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Constant elasticity of variance model

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Inmathematical finance, theCEV orconstant elasticity ofvariance model is astochastic volatility model, although technically it would be classed more precisely as alocal volatility model, that attempts to capture stochastic volatility and theleverage effect. The model is widely used by practitioners in the financial industry, especially for modellingequities andcommodities. It was developed byJohn Cox in 1975.[1]

Dynamic

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The CEV model is a stochastic process which evolves according to the followingstochastic differential equation:

dSt=μStdt+σStγdWt{\displaystyle \mathrm {d} S_{t}=\mu S_{t}\mathrm {d} t+\sigma S_{t}^{\gamma }\mathrm {d} W_{t}}

in whichS is the spot price,t is time, andμ is a parameter characterising the drift,σ andγ are volatility parameters, andW is a Brownian motion.[2]It is a special case of a generallocal volatility model, written as

dSt=μStdt+v(t,St)StdWt{\displaystyle \mathrm {d} S_{t}=\mu S_{t}\mathrm {d} t+v(t,S_{t})S_{t}\mathrm {d} W_{t}}

where the price return volatility is

v(t,St)=σStγ1{\displaystyle v(t,S_{t})=\sigma S_{t}^{\gamma -1}}

The constant parametersσ,γ{\displaystyle \sigma ,\;\gamma } satisfy the conditionsσ0,γ0{\displaystyle \sigma \geq 0,\;\gamma \geq 0}.

The parameterγ{\displaystyle \gamma } controls the relationship between volatility and price, and is the central feature of the model. Whenγ<1{\displaystyle \gamma <1} we see an effect, commonly observed in equity markets, where the volatility of a stock increases as its price falls and the leverage ratio increases.[3] Conversely, in commodity markets, we often observeγ>1{\displaystyle \gamma >1},[4][5] whereby the volatility of the price of a commodity tends to increase as its price increases and leverage ratio decreases. If we observeγ=1{\displaystyle \gamma =1} this model becomes ageometric Brownian motion as in theBlack-Scholes model, whereas ifγ=0{\displaystyle \gamma =0} and eitherμ=0{\displaystyle \mu =0} or the driftμS{\displaystyle \mu S} is replaced byμ{\displaystyle \mu }, this model becomes anarithmetic Brownian motion, the model which was proposed byLouis Bachelier in his PhD Thesis "The Theory of Speculation", known asBachelier model.

See also

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References

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  1. ^Cox, J. "Notes on Option Pricing I: Constant Elasticity of Diffusions." Unpublished draft, Stanford University, 1975.
  2. ^Vadim Linetsky & Rafael Mendozaz, 'The Constant Elasticity of Variance Model', 13July 2009. (Accessed 2018-02-20.)
  3. ^ Yu, J., 2005. On leverage in a stochastic volatility model. Journal of Econometrics 127, 165–178.
  4. ^Emanuel, D.C., and J.D. MacBeth, 1982. "Further Results of the Constant Elasticity of Variance Call Option Pricing Model." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 4 : 533–553
  5. ^Geman, H, and Shih, YF. 2009. "Modeling Commodity Prices under the CEV Model." The Journal of Alternative Investments 11 (3): 65–84.doi:10.3905/JAI.2009.11.3.065

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