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Climate apocalypse

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
This article is about the term or expression, "Climate apocalypse", or similar terms. For substantive discussion of how climate change could lead to civilizational collapse, seeClimate change and civilizational collapse. For use of this, or similar terms, in the media, seeMedia coverage of climate change.
Term to describe possible catastrophic events due to climate change

Marchers holding a banner with the words "Youth vs Apocalypse". San Francisco Youth Climate Strike – March 15, 2019.

Aclimate apocalypse is a term used to denote apredicted scenario involving the globalcollapse of human civilization due to climate change. Such collapse could theoretically arrive through a set of interrelated concurrent factors such as famine,extreme weather, war and conflict, and disease.[1] There are many similar terms in use such as climatedystopia,collapse,endgame, andcatastrophe.

Meaning of the term

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Main articles:Effects of climate change andTipping points in the climate system

Aclimate apocalypse could theoretically arrive through a set of interrelated concurrent factors such as famine (crop loss,drought),extreme weather (hurricanes,floods), war (caused by the scarce resources) and conflict, systemic risk (relating tomigration, famine, or conflict), and disease.[2][1]

Scientific consensus regarding likelihood

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This section is an excerpt fromClimate change and civilizational collapse.[edit]
Climate change and civilizational collapse refers to a hypothetical risk that thenegative impacts ofclimate change might reduce globalsocioeconomic complexity to the point that complex humancivilization effectivelyends around the world, with humanity reduced to a less developed state. This hypothetical risk is typically associated with the idea of a massive reduction ofhuman population caused by the direct and indirect impacts of climate change, and also with a permanent reduction ofEarth'scarrying capacity. Finally, it is sometimes suggested that a civilizational collapse caused by climate change would soon be followed byhuman extinction.

Origin

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Rhetoric and belief centered onapocalypticism has deep roots in religious contexts, and similar rhetorical approaches undergird secular apocalyptic interpretations of climate.[3] Historical interpretations fall into two visions of apocalypse: the tragic and the comic. Tragic apocalypticism frames a clearly divided good and evil, with preordained events. In contrast, comic framing emphasizes flawed human agency, and it tends to be characterized by an open-ended, episodic, and ongoing timeline.[3] Some of the most significant books in environmentalism make use of either the tragic or comic apocalyptic framing:Rachel Carson'sSilent Spring (1962),Paul andAnne Ehrlich'sThe Population Bomb (1972), andAl Gore'sEarth in the Balance (1992).[3]

There is aWestern world tradition of describing a climate apocalypse with images and descriptions of theFour Horsemen of the Apocalypse and other features of the apocalypse of the Christian faith.[4]

Usage

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Main articles:Media coverage of climate change § Alarmism,Climate action, andClimate change mitigation

In fiction

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This section is an excerpt fromClimate fiction § Description of apocalyptic scenarios.[edit]

"Climate apocalypse scenarios" are explored in multiplescience fiction works. For example, inThe Wind from Nowhere (1961), civilization is devastated by persistent hurricane-force winds, andThe Drowned World (1962) describes a future of melted ice-caps andrising sea-levels caused bysolar radiation.[5] InThe Burning World (1964, later retitledThe Drought) his climate catastrophe is human-made, adrought due to disruption of the precipitation cycle byindustrial pollution.[6]

Octavia E. Butler'sParable of the Sower (1993) imagines a near-future for the United States where climate change, wealth inequality, and corporate greed cause apocalyptic chaos. Here, and in sequelParable of the Talents (1998), Butler dissects how instability and political demagoguery exacerbate society's underlying cruelty (especially with regards to racism and sexism) and also explores themes of survival and resilience.[7][8] Butler wrote the novel "thinking about the future, thinking about the things that we're doing now and the kind of future we're buying for ourselves, if we're not careful."[9]

Margaret Atwood explored the subject in her dystopian trilogyOryx and Crake (2003),The Year of the Flood (2009) andMaddAddam (2013).[10] InOryx and Crake, Atwood presents a world where "social inequality, genetic technology and catastrophic climate change, has finally culminated in some apocalyptic event".[11]

Reception

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Some researchers have speculated that society cannot comprehend an accurate end of the world prediction, and instead, more governments would be willing to respond productively to prevent catastrophe if reports framed the matter as a smaller problem than it actually is.[12] Talking about potential disaster can have a broad impact upon society by making many people feel that if the situation were truly horrible, then there must be good plans to prevent it so no further action is needed.[13][better source needed]

Related terminology

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See also:Climate crisis § Related terminology

Climate endgame is a term used to refer to the risk ofsocietal collapse and potentialhuman extinction due to theeffects of climate change.[2] The usage of the term seeks to improve risk management by putting a higher priority onworst-case scenarios, to "galvanise action, improve resilience, and informpolicy".[2][14] The termendgame has been used in relation to climate change by other authors in the past,[15] like inThe Extinction Curve book by John van der Velden and Rob White, published in 2021.[16]

See also

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References

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  1. ^abKemp, Luke; Xu, Chi; Depledge, Joanna;Ebi, Kristie L.; Gibbins, Goodwin; Kohler, Timothy A.;Rockström, Johan;Scheffer, Marten;Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim; Steffen, Will; Lenton, Timothy M. (23 August 2022)."Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.119 (34) e2108146119.Bibcode:2022PNAS..11908146K.doi:10.1073/pnas.2108146119.ISSN 0027-8424.PMC 9407216.PMID 35914185.
  2. ^abcCarrington, Damian (1 August 2022)."Climate endgame: risk of human extinction 'dangerously underexplored'".The Guardian.Archived from the original on 4 June 2023. Retrieved11 August 2022.
  3. ^abcGarrard, Greg (2004).Ecocriticism. New York, New York: Routledge. p. 85.ISBN 978-0-415-19692-5.
  4. ^Skrimshire, Stefan (2014). "Climate change and apocalyptic faith".WIREs Climate Change.5 (2):233–246.Bibcode:2014WIRCC...5..233S.doi:10.1002/wcc.264.S2CID 143074932.
  5. ^Litt, Toby (21 January 2009)."The best of JG Ballard".The Guardian.
  6. ^Milicia, Joe (December 1985)."Dry Thoughts in a Dry Season".Riverside Quarterly.7 (4). Retrieved30 January 2021.
  7. ^Lucas, Julian (8 March 2021)."How Octavia E. Butler Reimagines Sex and Survival".The New Yorker. Retrieved22 August 2021.
  8. ^Aguirre, Abby (26 July 2017)."Octavia Butler's Prescient Vision of a Zealot Elected to 'Make America Great Again'".The New Yorker. Retrieved22 August 2021.
  9. ^Butler, Octavia (1995)."Decades ago, Octavia Butler saw a 'grim future' of climate denial and income inequality".40 Acres and a Microchip (conference) (Interview). Interviewed byJulie Dash. Corinne Segal. Digital Diaspora, UK: LitHub. Retrieved22 August 2021.
  10. ^Crum, Maddie (12 November 2014)."Margaret Atwood: 'I Don't Call It Climate Change. I Call It The Everything Change'".The Huffington Post.
  11. ^"Fiction Book Review: Oryx and Crake by Margaret Atwood".Publishers Weekly. 1 May 2003.
  12. ^Feinberg, Matthew; Willer, Robb (9 December 2010). "Apocalypse Soon?".Psychological Science.22 (1):34–38.doi:10.1177/0956797610391911.PMID 21148457.S2CID 39153081.
  13. ^Swyngedouw, Erik (March 2013). "Apocalypse Now! Fear and Doomsday Pleasures".Capitalism Nature Socialism.24 (1):9–18.doi:10.1080/10455752.2012.759252.S2CID 143450923.
  14. ^Kraus, Tina; Lee, Ian (3 August 2022)."Scientists say the world needs to think about a worst-case "climate endgame"".CBS News.Archived from the original on 10 August 2022. Retrieved11 August 2022.
  15. ^O'Malley, Nick (15 April 2021)."Facing the climate 'endgame' in a world bound for 1.5 degrees warming".The Sydney Morning Herald.Archived from the original on 30 August 2022. Retrieved30 August 2022.
  16. ^Velden, John van der; White, Rob (22 January 2021).The Extinction Curve: Growth and Globalisation in the Climate Endgame. Emerald Group Publishing.ISBN 978-1-83982-670-2.
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