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The2028 Queensland state election will be held on or before 28 October 2028[1] to elect the 59thParliament of Queensland and its 93 seats. TheElectoral Commission of Queensland (ECQ) will conduct the election.
The incumbent Liberal Nationalmajority government, led byPremierDavid Crisafulli, will seek a second four-year term in government. They will be challenged by theQueensland Labor Party, led byLeader of the Opposition and former PremierSteven Miles. It is expected that theQueensland Greens,Pauline Hanson's One Nation,Katter's Australian Party, and other minor parties and independents will contest the election.
Queensland has compulsory voting, with preferential instant runoff voting in single-member seats. However, PremierDavid Crisafulli has pledged to reinstateoptional preferential voting after Labor reinstated full compulsory preferential voting in 2016, returning the system to the recommendations from theFitzgerald Inquiry.[2]
At the 2024 Queensland state election, theLiberal National Party of Queensland (LNP), led byDavid Crisafulli, ended nine years inOpposition by securing a decisive victory. The LNP won 52 seats, compared to Labor's 36. TheGreens, who previously held two seats, lostSouth Brisbane but managed to retainMaiwar.Katter's Australian Party (KAP), led byRobbie Katter, held onto its three seats, whilePauline Hanson's One Nation lostMirani following the defection ofStephen Andrew to the KAP. Andrew, however, was defeated by the LNP in Mirani during the election.[3][4]
The parliament has fixed four-year terms with the election held on the fourth Saturday in October, though theGovernor may dissolve the house sooner on the advice of the Premier. Additionally, Section 19B, Paragraph 3 of the Constitution of Queensland 2001 states that “The Governor may at any time, by proclamation, order the polling day for an ordinary general election to be postponed to a Saturday not more than 35 days after the normal polling day (the postponed polling day)" if there are exceptional circumstances and if both the premier, and the Leader of the Opposition agrees to its postponement. Examples of exceptional circumstances listed in the constitution includes "An election for members of the House of Representatives or the Senate of the Commonwealth Parliament is to be held on the normal polling day or "A natural disaster has affected such a wide area of the State that the conduct of an election on the normal polling day would be impracticable.[1]
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | TPP vote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | KAP | IND | OTH | LNP | ALP | ||||
| 13–20 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[5][6][7] | 1,006 | ±3.6% | 37% | 29% | 12% | 14% | — | — | 8% | 54% | 46% |
| Sep–Oct 2025 | Resolve[8][9][a] | 868 | ±3% | 33% | 32% | 10% | 9% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Jul–Aug 2025 | Resolve[10][11][a] | 869 | ±3.2% | 34% | 32% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 4–9 Jul 2025 | DemosAU[12][13] | 1,027 | ±3.6% | 40% | 28% | 13% | 12% | — | — | 7% | 55% | 45% |
| 17–25 Mar 2025 | RedBridge[14] | 1,507 | 44% | 27% | 12% | 10% | — | — | 7% | 56.5% | 43.5% | |
| Jan–Apr 2025 | Resolve[15] | 934 | ±3.2% | 45% | 22% | 12% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 60% | 40% |
| 10–14 Feb 2025 | DemosAU[16][17] | 1,004 | ±4.2% | 40% | 30% | 12% | 10% | — | — | 8% | 56% | 44% |
| 26 Oct 2024 | 2024 election | 41.5% | 32.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 53.8% | 46.2% | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample | Preferred Premier | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crisafulli | Miles | Don't know | |||
| 13–20 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[5][6][7] | 1,006 | 44% | 32% | 24% |
| Sep–Oct 2025 | Resolve[8] | 868 | 39% | 22% | 39% |
| Jul–Aug 2025 | Resolve[10] | 869 | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Jan–Apr 2025 | Resolve[15] | 934 | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| Date | Firm | Sample | Crisafulli | Miles | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Net | |||
| Sep–Oct 2025 | Resolve[8] | 868 | — | — | — | +17% | — | — | — | –2% |
| Jul–Aug 2025 | Resolve[10] | 869 | — | — | — | +20% | — | — | — | –1% |
| 17–25 Mar 2025 | RedBridge[14] | 1,507 | 46% | 17% | 37% | +29% | 22% | 41% | 37% | –19% |
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | TPP vote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | KAP | IND | OTH | LNP | ALP | ||||
| Oct 2025 | RedBridge[18][19] | 1,013 | 38% | 34% | 14% | — | — | — | 14% | 46% | 54% | |
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | TPP vote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | KAP | IND | OTH | LNP | ALP | ||||
| 13–20 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[5][6][7] | 1,006 | ±3.6% | 39% | 29% | 11% | 13% | — | — | 8% | 55% | 45% |
| Oct 2025 | RedBridge[18][19] | 1,013 | 36% | 35% | 13% | 11% | — | — | 5% | 48% | 52% | |
| 26 Oct 2024 | 2024 election | 40.4% | 35.9% | 12.1% | 6.1% | — | — | 5.5% | 50.3% | 49.7% | ||
| Date | Firm | Sample size | Margin of error | Primary vote | TPP vote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | KAP | IND | OTH | LNP | ALP | ||||
| 13–20 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[5][6][7] | 1,006 | ±3.6% | 38% | 25% | 7% | 21% | — | — | 9% | 60% | 40% |