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2026 Arizona gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2026 United States gubernatorial elections.

2026 Arizona gubernatorial election
← 2022November 3, 20262030 →
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
IncumbentGovernor

Katie Hobbs
Democratic



Elections in Arizona

The2026 Arizona gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect thegovernor of Arizona. IncumbentDemocratic GovernorKatie Hobbs is running for re-election to a second term.

Following the passage of Proposition 131 in the2022 elections, this will be the first gubernatorial election in Arizona in which candidates will be required to nominate a running mate for the newly-established position ofLieutenant Governor.[1]

This will be one of five Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2026 in a state thatDonald Trump won in the2024 presidential election.

Background

[edit]

Arizona is considered to be apurple state at both the federal and statewide level. AfterJoe Biden carried the state narrowly in the2020 presidential election,[2]Donald Trump carried the state of Arizona by 5.5% in the2024 presidential election.[3] Democrats control bothU.S. Senate seats in Arizona[4][5] and hold the governorship and secretary of state office[6][7] while Republicans maintain a majority in theArizona Senate andArizona House of Representatives,[8] and control 6 of the 9House of Representatives seats in the state.[9]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Saint Omer "Captain" Ettré Divine Kakou[11]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Katie Hobbs
Organizations

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Christopher Ames[19]
  • Isiah Gallegos[20]
  • Christian Grey[21]
  • Robert McVeigh[22]
  • Donald Mucheck, entrepreneur and healthcare professional[23]
  • Scott Neely, concrete pumping contractor, candidate for governor in2022, and candidate formayor of Mesa in2024[19]
  • George Nicholson[19]
  • Alan White, energy executive[24]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Andy Biggs
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Karrin Taylor Robson
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
  • Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Arizona[37]
  • Tucson Police Officers Association[37]
  • Nogales Police Officers Association[37]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Andy
Biggs		Karrin
Taylor Robson		David
Schweikert		OtherUndecided
Pulse Decision Science (R)[38]September 8–10, 2025502 (LV)± 4.4%48%26%11%–15%
Kreate Strategies (R)August 19–21, 2025679 (RV)–65%14%––21%
Noble Predictive Insights[39]August 11–18, 2025385 (RV)± 5.0%27%37%––36%
NextGen P (R)[40]June 17–18, 20251,380 (LV)± 2.6%49%26%–8%17%
Kreate Strategies (R)[41][A]May 23–25, 20251,147 (LV)± 2.9%57%25%––18%
Pulse Decision Science (R)[42][B]April 6–9, 2025511 (LV)± 4.4%45%16%––39%
NicoPAC (R)[43]April 2–6, 2025477 (RV)± 4.5%66%15%–4%15%
NicoPAC (R)[44]January 24–26, 2025512 (RV)± 4.3%71%14%––15%
Hypothetical polling
Andy Biggs vs. Charlie Kirk vs. Jack McCain vs. Jake Hoffman vs. Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Kimberly Yee
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Andy
Biggs		Jake
Hoffman		Charlie
Kirk		Jack
McCain		Karrin
Taylor Robson		Kimberly
Yee		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights[45]May 12–16, 2025426 (RV)± 4.8%17%–17%–24%6%–37%
Noble Predictive Insights[46]February 11–13, 2025374 (RV)± 5.1%14%1%14%8%11%5%–47%
NicoPAC (R)[44]January 24–26, 2025512 (RV)± 4.3%59%–––9%11%3%[b]19%
Data Orbital[47][C]January 18–20, 2025500 (LV)± 4.5%32%–––12%7%4%[c]45%
Andy Biggs vs. Kimberly Yee
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Andy
Biggs		Kimberly
Yee		OtherUndecided
NicoPAC (R)[44]January 24–26, 2025512 (RV)± 4.3%67%19%–14%
Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Kimberly Yee
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Karrin
Taylor Robson		Kimberly
Yee		OtherUndecided
NicoPAC (R)[44]January 24–26, 2025512 (RV)± 4.3%15%41%–43%

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Barry Hess, businessman and perennial candidate[d][48]

Green primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]
  • Lisa Castillo[49]
  • Risa Lombardo[50]
  • William Pounds, streamer/recording artist and candidate for governor in2022[51]

Endorsements

[edit]
William Pounds
U.S. Representatives

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[53]TossupSeptember 11, 2025
Inside Elections[54]TossupAugust 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55]TossupSeptember 4, 2025
Race to the WH[56]Tilt DSeptember 11, 2025

Polling

[edit]

Katie Hobbs vs. Andy Biggs

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs (D)		Andy
Biggs (R)		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights[39]August 11–18, 2025948 (RV)± 3.2%39%37%4%[e]20%
Noble Predictive Insights[45]May 12–16, 20251,026 (RV)± 3.1%40%38%5%[f]17%
Pulse Decision Science (R)[42][B]April 6–9, 2025501 (LV)± 4.4%46%42%–12%
Noble Predictive Insights[46]February 11–13, 20251,006 (RV)± 3.1%40%38%5%17%
Kreate Strategies (R)[57][D]February 5–7, 2025924 (LV)± 3.0%43%44%–13%

Katie Hobbs vs. Karrin Taylor Robson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs (D)		Karrin Taylor
Robson (R)		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights[39]August 11–18, 2025948 (RV)± 3.2%40%38%4%[e]18%
Noble Predictive Insights[45]May 12–16, 20251,026 (RV)± 3.1%41%39%3%[g]17%
Pulse Decision Science (R)[42][B]April 6–9, 2025501 (LV)± 4.4%47%38%–15%
Noble Predictive Insights[46]February 11–13, 20251,006 (RV)± 3.1%43%35%4%18%
Kreate Strategies (R)[57][D]February 5–7, 2025924 (LV)± 3.0%40%38%–22%
Hypothetical polling

Katie Hobbs vs. Charlie Kirk

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs (D)		Charlie
Kirk (R)		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights[46]February 11–13, 20251,006 (RV)± 3.1%39%36%7%18%

Katie Hobbs vs. Jake Hoffman

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs (D)		Jake
Hoffman (R)		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights[46]February 11–13, 20251,006 (RV)± 3.1%40%35%5%20%

Katie Hobbs vs. Jack McCain

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs (D)		Jack
McCain (R)		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights[46]February 11–13, 20251,006 (RV)± 3.1%37%36%6%21%

Katie Hobbs vs. Kimberly Yee

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs (D)		Kimberly
Yee (R)		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights[46]February 11–13, 20251,006 (RV)± 3.1%40%34%6%20%

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcdefghijKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Tom Hatten with 2%; Scott Neely with 1%
  3. ^"Refused" with 4%
  4. ^Nominee forGovernor of Arizona in2002,2006,2010, and2014,2018, and2022; nominee forU.S. Senate in2000, and write-in candidate in2018 and2020
  5. ^ab"Third party candidate" with 4%
  6. ^"A third party candidate" with 5%
  7. ^"A third party candidate" with 3%

Partisan clients

  1. ^Poll sponsored by American Commitment
  2. ^abcPoll sponsored byClub for Growth
  3. ^Poll sponsored by AZ Free News
  4. ^abPoll sponsored by American Encore, which supports theRepublican Party.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Barchenger, Stacey (September 21, 2023)."Arizona will elect its first lieutenant governor in 2026. What to know about the role".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedOctober 14, 2024.
  2. ^Biden carries Arizona, flipping a longtime Republican stronghold, CNN, November 13, 2020
  3. ^US election: How big a win was this for Donald Trump?, Sky News, January 20, 2025
  4. ^Democrat Gallego wins Arizona, Republicans hold 53-47 US Senate majority, Al Jazeera, November 12, 2024
  5. ^Mark Kelly wins Senate race in Arizona, PBS, November 12, 2022
  6. ^Hobbs wins Arizona governor’s race, flipping state for Dems, AP News, November 14, 2022
  7. ^Post-Election: Republicans Add to Strong Hold of State Governments, MultiState.US, November 6, 2024
  8. ^Republicans maintain total control of the Arizona Legislature. Here’s what you need to know., The Copper Courier, November 20, 2024
  9. ^Republicans keep 6-3 majority in Arizona's US House delegation, AZ Central, November 13, 2024
  10. ^Govidarao, Sejal (October 8, 2025)."Democratic Arizona Gov. Hobbs launches reelection bid as her party aims to build power nationally".Associated Press. RetrievedOctober 8, 2025.
  11. ^"Candidate Statement of Interest"(PDF).Apps.Arizona.Vote. April 15, 2025. RetrievedJune 8, 2025.
  12. ^Wingett Sanchez, Yvonne; Marley, Patrick (December 17, 2024)."Top Arizona election official accuses predecessors of ignoring proof-of-citizenship problem".The Washington Post. RetrievedDecember 19, 2024.Fontes told The Post this week that he is running for reelection and is no longer considering challenging Hobbs in the Democratic primary for governor.
  13. ^Gilger, Lauren (November 20, 2024)."How the field is shaping up for the 2026 Arizona governor race".KJZZ. RetrievedDecember 14, 2024.There's also been talk from the Democratic side of Attorney General Kris Mayes challenging [Katie Hobbs]...She says as of right now she's planning on running for reelection.
  14. ^"EMILYs List Endorses Gov. Katie Hobbs for Reelection as Arizona Governor".emilyslist.org. July 24, 2025. RetrievedOctober 9, 2025.
  15. ^"Jewish Dems Endorsed Candidates".Jewish Democratic Council of America. RetrievedOctober 22, 2025.
  16. ^Schutsky, Wayne (January 27, 2025)."Congressman Andy Biggs officially enters 2026 Arizona governor's race".KJZZ-TV. RetrievedJanuary 28, 2025.
  17. ^Barchenger, Stacey (September 30, 2025)."Rep. David Schweikert to run for Arizona governor".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2025.
  18. ^Stone, Kevin (February 12, 2025)."Karrin Taylor Robson announces 2nd run for governor of Arizona".KTAR-TV. RetrievedFebruary 12, 2025.
  19. ^abcdeGersony, Laura (January 21, 2024)."US Rep. Andy Biggs signals he is considering run for Arizona governor in 2026".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2023.
  20. ^"Candidate Statement of Interest"(PDF).Apps.Arizona.Vote. April 27, 2025. RetrievedJune 8, 2025.
  21. ^"STATE OF ARIZONA Candidate Statement of Interest - Christian Grey"(PDF).Arizona Secretary of State. RetrievedFebruary 12, 2025.
  22. ^"Candidate Statement of Interest"(PDF).Apps.Arizona.Vote. May 19, 2025. RetrievedJune 8, 2025.
  23. ^"Candidate Statement of Interest"(PDF).Apps.Arizona.Vote. February 3, 2025. RetrievedJune 8, 2025.
  24. ^"Candidate Statement of Interest"(PDF).Apps.Arizona.Vote. February 11, 2025. RetrievedJune 8, 2025.
  25. ^Solender, Andrew (December 12, 2024)."GOP Rep. Ciscomani passes on run for Arizona governor".Axios. RetrievedDecember 12, 2024.Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R-Ariz.) will run for reelection to Congress rather than mount a bid for governor in 2026, his campaign spokesperson told Axios.
  26. ^Roberts, Laurie (November 19, 2024)."Republican goal for 2026 election: Kari Lake types need not apply | Opinion".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedNovember 20, 2024.A smattering of prominent and not-so-prominent Republicans are being mentioned as possibilities for making a run at Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs in 2026...some are floating Sen. Jake Hoffman as a possibility.
  27. ^Gersony, Laura (December 27, 2024)."'I don't want to run again': Kari Lake shrugs off political future at Turning Point event".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedDecember 27, 2024.
  28. ^Stone, Kevin (May 28, 2025)."Kimberly Yee files to face Tom Horne for education position".KTAR-FM. RetrievedMay 28, 2025.
  29. ^abO'Sullivan, Serena (April 21, 2025)."Another dual endorsement: Donald Trump says Andy Biggs has his support in gubernatorial run".KTAR-FM. RetrievedApril 21, 2025.
  30. ^abPoonia, Gitanjali (May 31, 2025)."Turning Point backs Arizona congressman, a BYU grad, in his bid for governor".Deseret News. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2025.
  31. ^abcArcand, Cameron (February 12, 2025)."'I will not rest': Border state gubernatorial hopeful launches campaign weeks after Trump backed her".Fox News. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2025.
  32. ^"Debbie Lesko endorses Andy Biggs for governor of Arizona".NW Valley Times. February 10, 2025. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2025.
  33. ^Montini, E. J. (May 19, 2025)."Charlie Kirk hammers second nail in Karrin Taylor Robson's campaign coffin | Opinion".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedMay 19, 2025.
  34. ^Piñon, Ericka (June 10, 2025)."Senator Pete Ricketts Endorses Karrin Taylor Robson for Governor".Cactus Politics. RetrievedJune 15, 2025.
  35. ^Arcand, Cameron (March 24, 2025)."Top GOP governor makes key endorsement in border state gubernatorial race: 'Deeply honored'".Fox News. RetrievedMarch 24, 2025.
  36. ^ab"GOP primary for Arizona governor pits a billionaire developer against a conservative firebrand".KTAR-FM. February 19, 2025. RetrievedJuly 29, 2025.
  37. ^abcPiñon, Ericka (July 22, 2025)."Nogales Police Endorsement Strengthens Robson's Campaign".Cactus Politics. RetrievedJuly 29, 2025.
  38. ^"Pulse Decision Science poll - Arizona Republican Primary - September 24, 2025 | PDF | Opinion Poll | Accountability".Scribd. RetrievedOctober 17, 2025.
  39. ^abc"Robson Rewrites the 2022 Playbook as She Opens with an Early Lead in Arizona GOP Primary".Noble Predictive Insights. August 28, 2025. RetrievedAugust 29, 2025.
  40. ^Pekau, Gregg (June 18, 2025)."Andy Biggs Continues to Hold Massive Lead in 2026 Republican Governor Primary".NextGen P. RetrievedJune 19, 2025.
  41. ^"New Poll: Andy Biggs Has Commanding Lead in Arizona Gubernatorial Primary".American Commitment. May 29, 2025. RetrievedMay 30, 2025.
  42. ^abcMutnick, Ally (April 21, 2025)."Club for Growth wades into Arizona governor race, with a shot at Karrin Taylor Robson".Politico. RetrievedApril 21, 2025.
  43. ^NicoPAC (April 8, 2025)."Arizona GOP Primary Poll April 2025: Biggs Leads Governor Race at 65.55% | NicoPAC".NicoPAC. RetrievedOctober 21, 2025.
  44. ^abcd"Andy Biggs Leads Field in RV Arizona Primary Poll from NicoPAC".NicoPAC. January 27, 2025. RetrievedJanuary 27, 2025.
  45. ^abc"AZ Governor's Race: Biggs Gains Momentum as GOP Field Shifts".Noble Predictive Insights. May 29, 2025. RetrievedMay 29, 2025.
  46. ^abcdefg"Arizona GOP Voters Still Searching for a Gubernatorial Primary Frontrunner".Noble Predictive Insights. February 26, 2025. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2025.
  47. ^Holloway, Matthew (January 24, 2025)."Exclusive AZ Free News Poll: Biggs Ahead In 2026 Republican Primary For Governor - AZ FREE NEWS".azfreenews.com. RetrievedJanuary 24, 2025.
  48. ^"STATE OF ARIZONA Candidate Statement of Interest - Barry Hess"(PDF).Arizona Secretary of State. January 3, 2025. RetrievedFebruary 12, 2025.
  49. ^"Candidate Statement of Interest"(PDF).Apps.Arizona.Vote. January 21, 2025. RetrievedJune 8, 2025.
  50. ^"Candidate Statement of Interest"(PDF).Apps.Arizona.Vote. March 5, 2025. RetrievedJune 8, 2025.
  51. ^"SeeTheMoney".seethemoney.az.gov.
  52. ^"Endorsements by Cynthia McKinney".Ballotpedia. RetrievedOctober 1, 2025.
  53. ^"2026 CPR Governor Race ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedJanuary 23, 2025.
  54. ^"Gubernatorial Ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedFebruary 7, 2025.
  55. ^"2026 Governor".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedMay 1, 2025.
  56. ^"Governor Forecast - 2026-2026".Race to the WH. RetrievedJune 30, 2025.
  57. ^ab"Arizona 2026 General Ballot Poll"(PDF).Kreate Strategies. February 8, 2025. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on February 14, 2025. RetrievedFebruary 12, 2025.

External links

[edit]
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