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2026 Alaska gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2026 United States gubernatorial elections.

2026 Alaska gubernatorial election
← 2022November 3, 20262030 →
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
IncumbentGovernor

Mike Dunleavy
Republican



Elections in Alaska

The2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the nextgovernor andlieutenant governor of Alaska. Incumbent GovernorMike Dunleavy is term-limited and ineligible to seek a third consecutive term.

A nonpartisan blanket primary will be held on August 18, 2026, in which the four highest-placing candidates will advance to aranked-choice general election.

Candidates

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Republican Party

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Declared

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Publicly expressed interest

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Democratic Party

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Declared

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Potential

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Primary election

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Endorsements

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Bernadette Wilson (R)
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials

Polling

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Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Tom
Begich (D)		Click
Bishop (R)		Adam
Crum (R)		Nancy
Dahlstrom (R)		Edna
DeVries (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		Treg
Taylor (R)		Bernadette
Wilson (R)		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[15]July 21–27, 2025678 (LV)± 4.0%6%6%4%10%2%40%3%11%18%

"Republican Primary Poll"[b]

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Nancy
Dahlstrom (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		Bernadette
Wilson (R)		OtherUndecided
Cygnal (R)[16][A]July 24–27, 2025500 (LV)–11%9%17%6%57%

General election

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Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[17]Solid RSeptember 11, 2025
Inside Elections[18]Solid RAugust 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19]Likely RSeptember 4, 2025
Race to the WH[20]TossupSeptember 11, 2025

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		RCV
round		Tom
Begich (D)		Click
Bishop (R)		Adam
Crum (R)		Nancy
Dahlstrom (R)		Edna
DeVries (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		Treg
Taylor (R)		Bernadette
Wilson (R)
Data for Progress (D)[15]July 21–27, 2025584 (LV)± 4.0%18%8%5%13%3%47%3%13%
581 (LV)28%9%5%14%Elim48%4%14%
575 (LV)38%9%5%15%48%Elim14%
567 (LV)49%10%Elim17%49%15%
562 (LV)5Elim10%19%54%16%
544 (LV)6[c]Elim23%58%19%
491 (LV)7[c]35%65%Elim
498 (LV)7[d]36%64%
539 (LV)7[e]41%59%
539 (LV)7[f]49%51%
562 (LV)7[g]44%56%Elim

Nick Begich vs. Mary Peltola

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Nick
Begich (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D)[21][22]February 28 – March 7, 20251000 (LV)± 3.0%46%46%5%[h]3%

Nancy Dahlstrom vs. Mary Peltola

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Nancy
Dahlstrom (R)		Mary
Peltola (D)		OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D)[21][22]February 28 – March 7, 20251000 (LV)± 3.0%34%44%14%[i]7%

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^abKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Survey asked only Republican voters. In Alaska, all candidates run on the same ballot in a “blanket primary.”
  3. ^abHypothetical continuation of elimination/distribution even though a candidate already exceeded 50%
  4. ^Hypothetical scenario where voters whose fourth ranking is Click Bishop or Bernadette Wilson and whose vote is exhausted when those candidates are eliminated are instead distributed to Nancy Dahlstrom
  5. ^Hypothetical scenario above while also distributing the vote of all Republican respondents whose vote was exhausted after eliminating 'Not sure' to Nancy Dahlstrom
  6. ^Hypothetical scenario above while also distributing all votes exhausted when a Republican candidate is eliminated to Nancy Dahlstrom
  7. ^Hypothetical scenario above while also eliminating Mary Peltola in the first round
  8. ^"I would rank neither" with 5%
  9. ^"I would rank neither" with 14%

Partisan clients

  1. ^Poll sponsored by the Building Alaska PAC

References

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  1. ^abcBrooks, James (May 14, 2025)."Third Republican candidate, Bernadette Wilson, enters Alaska governor's race".Alaska Beacon. RetrievedMay 14, 2025.
  2. ^Barnwell, Jack (October 2, 2025)."Dave Bronson, former Anchorage mayor, enters governor's race".Fairbanks Daily News-Miner. RetrievedOctober 2, 2025.
  3. ^Samuels, Iris (August 12, 2025)."Former Alaska revenue commissioner is the 8th Republican to enter governor's race".Anchorage Daily News. RetrievedAugust 13, 2025.
  4. ^Maguire, Sean (June 12, 2025)."Mat-Su mayor files to run as a Republican for Alaska governor".Anchorage Daily News. RetrievedJune 12, 2025.
  5. ^Stone, Eric (July 16, 2025)."Anchorage podiatrist joins all-Republican field in 2026 Alaska governor's race".Alaska Public Media. RetrievedJuly 16, 2025.
  6. ^Stone, Eric (July 25, 2025)."Palmer state Sen. Shelley Hughes announces campaign for governor".Alaska Public Media. RetrievedJuly 26, 2025.
  7. ^Larson, Clarise (July 16, 2025)."Angoon resident and former teacher launches bid for Alaska governor".KTOO.Archived from the original on July 16, 2025. RetrievedAugust 4, 2025.
  8. ^Pike, Josiah (September 17, 2025)."Former Attorney General Treg Taylor announces gubernatorial campaign".Alaska's News Source. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2025.
  9. ^Samuels, Iris (September 10, 2025)."Bernadette Wilson chooses Wasilla senator as running mate in Alaska governor's race".Anchorage Daily News. RetrievedSeptember 11, 2025.
  10. ^Samuels, Iris (August 4, 2025)."Murkowski declines to rule out a run for Alaska governor".Anchorage Daily News. RetrievedAugust 5, 2025.
  11. ^Courtney, Wil (August 18, 2025)."Tom Begich enters governor's race, first Democrat to join crowded field".Alaska's News Source. RetrievedAugust 18, 2025.
  12. ^Journal, Nathaniel Herz, Northern (July 15, 2025)."Dems are 'salivating' over a Peltola bid for Senate, but Alaska governor race could be 'wide open'".Alaska Beacon. RetrievedJuly 16, 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  13. ^Downing, Suzanne (June 8, 2025)."Video: Congressman Byron Donalds endorses Bernadette Wilson for governor of Alaska at rally".Must Read Alaska. RetrievedJune 15, 2025.
  14. ^Downing, Suzanne (July 8, 2025)."Former Lt. Gov. Craig Campbell joins Bernadette Wilson campaign, calls her the leader Alaska needs".Must Read Alaska. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2025.
  15. ^ab"Mary Peltola Would Be Front-Runner for Alaska Governor".Data for Progress. August 8, 2023. RetrievedAugust 8, 2025.
  16. ^Davidson, Joel (August 20, 2025)."Alaska's GOP candidates struggle with name recognition".Alaska Watchman. RetrievedAugust 22, 2025.
  17. ^"2026 CPR Governor Race ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedJanuary 23, 2025.
  18. ^"Gubernatorial Ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedFebruary 7, 2025.
  19. ^"2026 Governor".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedMay 1, 2025.
  20. ^"Governor Forecast - 2026-2026".Race to the WH. RetrievedJune 30, 2025.
  21. ^abKatz-Brown, Jason (March 13, 2025)."Oil Taxes, Rural Subsistence, Public School Funding: These Are a Few of Alaska Voters' Favorite Things".Data For Progress. RetrievedMarch 13, 2025.
  22. ^ab"Data for Progress March 2025 Crosstabs"(PDF).Data for Progress. March 13, 2025. RetrievedMay 6, 2025.

External links

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Official campaign websites

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