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2025 Virginia's 11th congressional district special election

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2025 Virginia's 11th congressional district special election

← 2024September 9, 20252026 →

Virginia's 11th congressional district
 
NomineeJames WalkinshawStewart Whitson
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote113,59637,297
Percentage75.14%24.67%

County and independent city results
Walkinshaw:     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Gerry Connolly
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

James Walkinshaw
Democratic

Elections in Virginia
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Governor
Lieutenant Governor
Attorney General
Senate
House of Delegates
State elections
Commonwealth's Attorney

Aspecial election to determine the member of theUnited States House of Representatives forVirginia's 11th congressional district was held on September 9, 2025. The seat became vacant following the death of DemocratGerry Connolly on May 21, 2025. The district was consideredsafely Democratic.

Fairfax County SupervisorJames Walkinshaw won the primary with 59% of the vote, defeatingIrene Shin andStella Pekarsky. Stewart Whitson, a former FBI agent, won the primary with 39% of the vote. In the general election, Walkinshaw outraised Whitson by $1 million to $224 thousand.

In the September 9 general election, Walkinshaw defeated Whitson by roughly 50 percentage points, a much larger margin of victory than in2024.

Background

[edit]

Incumbent representativeGerry Connolly died ofesophageal cancer on May 21, 2025.[1] Connolly had previously announced that he would not seek re-election in 2026.[2] He was first elected in2008, and had announced his cancer diagnosis shortly after being re-elected in 2024.[3] In the United States, vacancies in the House must be filled by special elections. Under Virginia law, the governor schedules the special election and political parties handle their nominating processes themselves. Republican GovernorGlenn Youngkin called a special election to be held on September 9, 2025. The deadline for candidates to file a candidacy was July 11, 2025.[4]

Based primarily inFairfax County, this suburban district is widely regarded by political analysts to be asafely Democratic seat. The last time aRepublican was elected to this district was in2006, whenTom Davis was re‑elected. As of 2025, the seat has remained underDemocratic control ever since, and Connolly won it by 67% to 33% in 2024.[5]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]
Eventual nominee James Walkinshaw speaking at a Democratic forum

Opponents ofJames Walkinshaw, includingStella Pekarsky andIrene Shin, have alleged that the primary election was biased in favor of Walkinshaw, pointing to the short timeline for the election and the party's choice not to useranked-choice voting in the primary.[6] Pekarsky, Shin, and other candidates have expressed frustration with delays in the party releasing voting locations and other information. Other candidates have shared concerns that party volunteers have publicly displayed a preference for Walkinshaw while working on behalf of the party.[7]

Fairfax County Democratic Committee chair Aaron Yohai denied Shin and Pekarsky’s claims, blaming Virginia governorGlenn Youngkin for scheduling the election so soon, which he said caused the delays in information.[8] Walkinshaw told Virginia Scope the complaints were candidates "trying to work the refs."[9]

On June 24, Connolly's social media accounts posted messages of support for Walkinshaw, causing shock and controversy on social media.[10]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Candice Bennett
Local officials
Stella Pekarsky
State legislators
Irene Shin
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Individuals
James Walkinshaw
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
County officials
Organizations
  • Alliance for American Leadership

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joshua
Aisen
Candice
Bennett
Dan
Lee
Leopoldo
Martínez Nucete
Stella
Pekarsky
Amy
Roma
Irene
Shin
James
Walkinshaw
Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D)[39][A]June 5–9, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%2%2%2%1%8%1%6%41%36%

Debates and forums

[edit]
2025 Virginia's 11th congressional district special election Democratic primary debates and forums
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticDemocraticDemocraticDemocraticDemocraticDemocraticDemocraticDemocraticDemocraticDemocratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
BennettBranstetterLeeMartinezPapanuPekarskyPunnooseRomaShinWalkinshaw
1June 24, 2025WinDem[40]Suhas Subramanyam[41]PAPPPPPPPP

Results

[edit]
Democratic firehouse primary results[42]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJames Walkinshaw22,53759.67%
DemocraticIrene Shin5,61314.23%
DemocraticStella Pekarsky5,27113.36%
DemocraticAmy Roma2,8077.12%
DemocraticDan Lee7341.86%
DemocraticLeopoldo Martínez Nucete5331.35%
DemocraticAmy Papanu4151.05%
DemocraticPriya Punnoose2410.61%
DemocraticCandice Bennett1990.50%
DemocraticRoss William Branstetter IV250.06%
Total votes39,444100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]
Whitson with his family on the day of Nomination

The Republicans held a canvass to determine their nominee on June 28 atFairfax High School, rather than run a full primary.[43]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Stewart Whitson, government relations professional[44]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Debates and forums

[edit]
2025 Virginia's 11th congressional district special election Republican primary debates and forums
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanRepublican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
HeadrickLipsmanPurvesRandVan MeterWhitsonWong
1June 22, 2025WMAL-FM[51]Vince Coglianese[52]APAPPPP
2June 23, 2025WMAL-FM[53]Larry O'Connor[54]APPPPPP

Results

[edit]
Republican canvass results[55]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanStewart Whitson1,01939.18%
RepublicanKarina Lipsman62023.84%
RepublicanMike Van Meter58622.53%
RepublicanLucas Rand1987.61%
RepublicanSam Wong993.81%
RepublicanNathan Headrick401.54%
RepublicanArthur Purves391.49%
Total votes2,601100.00%

Independents

[edit]

Failed to qualify

[edit]
  • Chandrashekar Tamirisa, sustainability leader[56]

General election

[edit]

Debates and forums

[edit]
2025 Virginia 11th congressional district special election debates and forums
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee   W Withdrawn
James WalkinshawStewart Whitson
1July 28, 2025Reston Citizens Association[57]Lynne Mulston[58]PP
2August 18, 2025League of Women Voters of the Fairfax Area[59]Catherine White[60]PP

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
James Walkinshaw (D)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Stewart Whitson (R)
Statewide officials
County officials

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[67]Solid DAugust 23, 2025
Inside Elections[68]Solid DAugust 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[69]Safe DAugust 29, 2025

Results

[edit]
2025 Virginia's 11th congressional district special election[70]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticJames Walkinshaw113,59675.14+8.46%
RepublicanStewart Whitson37,29724.67−8.19%
Write-in2870.19-0.26%
Total votes151,180100.00N/A
Democratichold

By county and independent city

[edit]
Locality[71]James Walkinshaw
Democratic
Stewart Whitson
Republican
Write-in
Various
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Fairfax City4,00174.52%1,36225.37%60.11%2,63949.15%5,369
Fairfax County (part)109,59575.16%35,93524.64%2810.19%73,66050.52%145,811
Totals113,59675.14%37,29724.67%2870.19%76,29950.47%151,180

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^Poll sponsored by Walkinshaw's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^Serre, Jared (May 21, 2025)."BREAKING: Rep. Gerry Connolly, longtime Fairfax politician, dies".FFXnow. RetrievedMay 21, 2025.
  2. ^Quinn, Melissa (May 21, 2025)."Democratic Rep. Gerry Connolly dies at 75".CBS News. RetrievedMay 21, 2025.
  3. ^Fields, Odyssey (November 7, 2024)."Virginia US Rep. Gerry Connolly announces cancer diagnosis after reelection".DC News Now. RetrievedMay 21, 2025.
  4. ^Schmidt, Markus (June 3, 2025)."Youngkin sets Sept. 9 special election to fill Connolly's seat in Congress".Virginia Mercury. RetrievedJune 3, 2025.
  5. ^Lesniewski, Niels; Altimari, Daniela (May 21, 2025)."Virginia Rep. Gerald Connolly dies after cancer returns".Roll Call. RetrievedMay 31, 2025.
  6. ^Kerley, Andrew (June 19, 2025)."Walkinshaw's frontrunner status sparks debate over fairness in Virginia's 11th Congressional District Primary". Virginia Scope. RetrievedJune 25, 2025.
  7. ^Barthel, Margaret (June 23, 2025)."Fairfax voters head to the polls this week for a high-stakes congressional primary". WAMU 88.5. RetrievedJune 25, 2025.
  8. ^Kerley, Andrew (June 19, 2025)."Walkinshaw's frontrunner status sparks debate over fairness in Virginia's 11th Congressional District Primary". Virginia Scope. RetrievedJune 25, 2025.
  9. ^Barthel, Margaret (June 23, 2025)."Fairfax voters head to the polls this week for a high-stakes congressional primary". WAMU 88.5. RetrievedJune 25, 2025.
  10. ^Solendar, Andrew (June 24, 2025)."Dead congressman promotes candidate for his seat on social media". Axios. RetrievedJune 25, 2025.
  11. ^"Supervisor Walkinshaw is running for Congress".Annandale Today. May 6, 2025. RetrievedMay 6, 2025.
  12. ^Serre, Jared (May 19, 2025)."Fairfax planning commissioner announces Congressional run".FFXnow. RetrievedMay 19, 2025.
  13. ^Kerley, Andrew (June 19, 2025)."Walkinshaw's frontrunner status sparks debate over fairness in Virginia's 11th Congressional District Primary".Virginia Scope. RetrievedJune 20, 2025.
  14. ^abSerre, Jared (June 3, 2025)."JUST IN: Youngkin schedules special election to replace Rep. Gerry Connolly".FFXnow. RetrievedJune 3, 2025.
  15. ^Woolsey, Angela (May 29, 2025)."Former Venezuelan congressman joins race to succeed Rep. Gerry Connolly | FFXnow".FFXnow. RetrievedMay 29, 2025.
  16. ^O'Connell, Michael (June 5, 2025)."National Security Expert, Ex-CIA Operations Officer Enters 11th District Race".Patch. Patch Media. RetrievedJune 6, 2025.
  17. ^Serre, Jared (May 7, 2025)."State Sen. Stella Pekarsky joins race to replace Rep. Gerry Connolly".FFXnow. RetrievedMay 7, 2025.
  18. ^"2025 Democratic Firehouse Primary (6/28/2025) SPECIAL".The Virginia Public Access Project. RetrievedJune 23, 2025.
  19. ^Woolsey, Angela (May 30, 2025)."Vienna energy expert launches bid for 11th Congressional District seat".FFXnow. RetrievedJune 3, 2025.
  20. ^abJarvis, Brandon (May 15, 2025)."Boysko is endorsing Walkinshaw".Virginia Political Newsletter. Virginia Scope. RetrievedJune 6, 2025.
  21. ^abSteve Descano (@SteveDescano) (June 18, 2025)."Steve Descano (@SteveDescano) "Proud to support my friend @JamesWalkinshaw" [Tweet]".X (formerly Twitter). RetrievedJune 19, 2025.
  22. ^abKassel, Matthew (May 16, 2025)."Eileen Filler-Corn endorses James Walkinshaw in Northern Virginia House race".Jewish Insider. RetrievedJune 6, 2025.
  23. ^Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (June 5, 2025)."Morning Digest: Well-known Nebraska Democrat joins race to take on Don Bacon". RetrievedJune 5, 2025.
  24. ^abcMartz, Michael (June 3, 2025)."Field grows as Youngkin sets special election for Connolly's congressional seat".Richmond Times-Dispatch. RetrievedJune 3, 2025.
  25. ^abcdefghiJacobs, Michael O'Connell (May 15, 2024)."Fairfax Leaders Endorse Democrat In Race To Succeed U.S. Rep. Connolly".Patch. Patch Media. RetrievedMay 22, 2025.
  26. ^Jared Serre (June 16, 2025)."Jared Serre (@JaredSerre) [Tweet]".X (formerly Twitter). RetrievedJune 19, 2025.
  27. ^Cullum, James (June 26, 2025)."Alexandria Mayor Gaskins endorses Fairfax County Planning Commissioner Candice Bennett for Virginia's open 11th Congressional District seat". RetrievedJune 28, 2025.
  28. ^abcdefSerre, Jared (May 9, 2025)."State Democrats start to pick sides early in race to choose Rep. Connolly's successor".FFXnow. RetrievedMay 9, 2025.
  29. ^Blanchard, Jack; Burns, Dasha (June 3, 2025)."Playbook: Trump turns the screws".Politico. RetrievedJune 3, 2025.
  30. ^Jarvis, Brandon (June 20, 2025)."RGA to invest in Earle-Sears". Virginia Scope. RetrievedJune 20, 2025.
  31. ^"Video: Roland Martin's Virginia Exclusives; LG Nominee Hashmi Backs Del. Irene Shin for Congress; Chesley: Don't Underestimate LG Earle-Sears". June 23, 2025. RetrievedJune 24, 2025.
  32. ^"Instagram". RetrievedJune 25, 2025.
  33. ^Daniels, Cheyanne (June 10, 2025)."With removal looming, David Hogg endorses in Virginia special election".Politico. RetrievedJune 10, 2025.
  34. ^O'Connell, Michael (May 22, 2025)."Choosing Connolly's Successor In Congress: What To Know".Patch. Patch Media. RetrievedJune 3, 2025.
  35. ^Serre, Jared (May 6, 2025)."Rep. Connolly backs former chief of staff to succeed him in Congress".InsideNova. RetrievedMay 23, 2025.
  36. ^Dylan Ebs (June 15, 2025)."Virginia Democrats target Trump in race to replace Gerry Connolly in Congress".NBC News. RetrievedJune 27, 2025.
  37. ^lowkell (June 27, 2025)."After COMPLETELY Botching Their VA11 Democratic Candidates Questionnaire (Weird Yes/No Questions, Lack of "nuance and context," etc.), the WaPo Deletes the Answers".Blue Virginia. RetrievedJune 28, 2025.
  38. ^"BREAKING: Gov. Glenn Youngkin Sets Date (9/9/25) for Special Election in VA11".Blue Virginia. June 3, 2025. RetrievedJune 6, 2025.
  39. ^"Results from a Recent Baseline Poll in the VA-11 Special Democratic Primary Election".Punchbowl News. June 11, 2025. RetrievedJune 12, 2025.
  40. ^"AT CAPACITY Congressional District 11 Candidate Forum".Fairfax Democrats. Archived fromthe original on June 20, 2025. RetrievedJune 20, 2025.
  41. ^"WATCH LIVE: Virginia's Congressional District 11 Democratic Candidate Forum".YouTube. June 24, 2025. RetrievedJune 24, 2025.
  42. ^"CD-11 UNOFFICIAL RESULTS".Google Docs. 11th Congressional District Democratic Committee. June 28, 2025. RetrievedJune 29, 2025.
  43. ^Serre, Jared (June 9, 2025)."Republicans will decide 11th Congressional District nominee at lone canvass event".FFXnow. RetrievedJune 9, 2025.A singular canvass event will be held on June 28 at Fairfax High School, gathering all voters in one location to select a nominee, Virginia's 11th Congressional District Republican Committee announced last week.
  44. ^"Stewart Whitson - Republican Candidate for Virginia's 11th Congressional District".Virginia's 11th Congressional District Republicans. June 12, 2025. RetrievedJune 16, 2025.
  45. ^Quarshie, Mabinty (June 5, 2025)."Virginia Republican plans to spend $2 million on special election".Washington Examiner. RetrievedJune 6, 2025.
  46. ^Elkind, Elizabeth (June 3, 2025)."Trump-supporting communism survivor jumps into race for late Democrat's seat".Fox News. RetrievedJune 3, 2025.
  47. ^"Arthur Purves - Republican Candidate for Virginia's 11th Congressional District".Virginia's 11th Congressional District Republicans. RetrievedJune 19, 2025.
  48. ^Israel, Josh (June 4, 2025)."Gov. Youngkin calls Virginia 11th District special election for Sept. 9".The Virginia Independent. RetrievedJune 6, 2025.
  49. ^Serre, Jared (April 30, 2025)."SCOOP: Former Republican nominee will run again to replace Rep. Gerry Connolly".FFXnow. RetrievedApril 30, 2025.
  50. ^"Sam Wong - Republican Candidate for Virginia's 11th Congressional District".Virginia's 11th Congressional District Republicans. June 10, 2025. RetrievedJune 19, 2025.
  51. ^"11th Congressional District Candidate Forum #1".Fairfax GOP. Archived fromthe original on June 20, 2025. RetrievedJune 20, 2025.
  52. ^"Fairfax County 11th District Congressional Candidate Forum".YouTube. June 24, 2025. RetrievedJune 24, 2025.
  53. ^"11th Congressional District Candidate Forum #2".Fairfax GOP. Archived fromthe original on June 20, 2025. RetrievedJune 20, 2025.
  54. ^"11CD Republican Candidates Forum Virginia".YouTube. June 24, 2025. RetrievedJuly 29, 2025.
  55. ^"Stewart Whitson Wins Republican Nomination For The 11th Congressional District Special Election".Virginia's 11th Congressional District Republicans. Archived fromthe original on June 29, 2025. RetrievedJune 29, 2025.
  56. ^O'Connell, Michael (July 14, 2025)."Independent Candidate Not On Ballot In 11th District Race".Patch. RetrievedJuly 15, 2025.
  57. ^Harrell, Princess (July 22, 2025)."WATCH: Fairfax voters hear from CD-11 candidates at forum ahead of special election".WJLA-TV. RetrievedJuly 28, 2025.
  58. ^"YOUR VOICE, YOUR VOTE - Virginia 11th Congressional District Candidate Forum".YouTube. July 28, 2025. RetrievedJuly 28, 2025.
  59. ^O'Connell, Michael (August 19, 2025)."DOGE Job Cuts, Public Safety Top Priorities For Walkinshaw, Whitson".Patch Media. RetrievedAugust 20, 2025.
  60. ^"Inside Scoop 827".YouTube. August 19, 2025. RetrievedAugust 20, 2025.
  61. ^"Democratic leaders urge voters to support Walkinshaw in special election Sept. 9".Annandale Today. September 7, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2025.
  62. ^"Democratic leaders urge voters to support Walkinshaw in special election Sept. 9".Annandale Today. September 7, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2025.
  63. ^"Democratic leaders urge voters to support Walkinshaw in special election Sept. 9".Annandale Today. September 7, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2025.
  64. ^"Democratic leaders urge voters to support Walkinshaw in special election Sept. 9".Annandale Today. September 7, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2025.
  65. ^"Governor Glenn Youngkin Endorses Stewart Whitson in Key Special Election".Virginia's 11th Congressional District Republicans. July 7, 2025. Archived fromthe original on July 29, 2025. RetrievedJuly 29, 2025.
  66. ^@JaredSerre (August 7, 2025)."Pat Herrity, the lone Republican on the Fairfax County Board of Supervisors has endorsed Stewart Whitson in #VA11. As expected, despite Whitson's opponent being one of Herrity's colleagues on the board" (Tweet). RetrievedAugust 12, 2025 – viaTwitter.
  67. ^"2026 CPR House Race Ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedJune 30, 2025.
  68. ^"House Ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedJune 30, 2025.
  69. ^"2026 House Ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedJune 30, 2025.
  70. ^O'Bannon, John (September 9, 2025)."Member, House of Representatives (11th District)".Virginia Department of Elections. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2025.
  71. ^O'Bannon, John (September 9, 2025)."Member, House of Representatives (11th District)".Virginia Department of Elections. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2025.

External links

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