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2025 Vincentian general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2025 Vincentian general election

← 2020
27 November 2025
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15 of the 23 seats in theHouse of Assembly
8 seats needed for a majority
Registered103,524[1]
Turnout62.53% (Decrease 4.52pp)[1]
 First partySecond party
 
LeaderGodwin FridayRalph Gonsalves
PartyNew DemocraticUnity Labour
Leader since27 November 20266 December 1998
Leader's seatNorthern GrenadinesNorth Central Windward
Last election50.33%, 6 seats49.59%, 9 seats
Seats won141
Seat changeIncrease 8Decrease 8
Popular vote37,20727,152
Percentage57.74%42.14%
SwingIncrease 7.41ppDecrease 7.19pp

Results by constituency

Prime Minister before election

Ralph Gonsalves
Unity Labour

ElectedPrime Minister

Godwin Friday
New Democratic

General elections were held inSaint Vincent and the Grenadines on 27 November 2025 to elect 15 members of theHouse of Assembly.[2][3][4]

Administrative divisions(parishes)

The incumbentUnity Labour Party (ULP) government, led by Prime MinisterRalph Gonsalves, sought re-election to a record sixth term in office. They were challenged by the oppositionNew Democratic Party (NDP), led byGodwin Friday, who sought to form government for the first time since1998. The election resulted in a landslide victory for the NDP, winning 14 of the 15 seats up for election. In its worst result in party history, the ULP was reduced to one seat from 9, with Gonsalves as its only remaining representative. The party also saw several cabinet members defeated in what was the largest fall from government in the nation's history.[5] It was also the best result for the NDP since1989.

Background

[edit]

The2020 elections saw the incumbentUnity Labour Party (ULP) government underRalph Gonsalves getting re-elected to a record fifth consecutive term.[6] While the ULP won nine seats, an increase by one, the incumbent party lost the popular vote for the first time since1998.[7][8] Gonsalves was sworn in for his fifth term on 7 November 2020.[9]

The incumbent ULP government sought re-election to a record sixth term in office. They were challenged by the oppositionNew Democratic Party (NDP), led byGodwin Friday, who sought to form government for the first time since1998.[10]

Electoral system

[edit]

The 15 elected members (representatives) of theHouse of Assembly are elected every five years in single-member constituencies using thefirst-past-the-post system.[11][12] A further six members (senators) are appointed;[3] four by the government and two by the opposition.[13][14] The remaining two seats are held by theattorney general andSpeaker, for a total of 23 members.[15]

St. Vincent and the Grenadines has atwo-party system. Only the ULP and NDP tend to win seats in elections.[14][16]

Parties

[edit]
PartyPositionIdeologyLeader

(since)

Slogan and Manifesto
Unity Labour Party (ULP)Centre-left toleft-wingDemocratic socialism
Agrarian socialism
Republicanism
Ralph Gonsalves
(December 1998)[17]
"Lifting SVG higher."[18]
"Labour is working fuh We!"[19]
New Democratic Party (NDP)Centre-rightConservatism
Pro-Commonwealth
Godwin Friday
(November 2016)[20]
"Together We Win"[21]
"Yellow is the Code"[22]

Campaign

[edit]

On 28 October, outgoing Prime Minister Gonsalves dissolved the Parliament, starting the electoral campaign period.[23][24] The candidate filing deadline was 10 November, and the voter registration deadline was 13 November.[15] Thirty-two candidates filed to contest the 15 seats. Thirty of the candidates were members of either the ULP or NDP, and there was oneindependent candidate not affiliated with a party.[25]Doris Charles-Frederick, the leader of the National Liberation Movement (NLM), also ran as an independent candidate in South Leeward.[26] Nine of the candidates running were women, and before the election, there were five female members of the House of Assembly.[15][25]

Early in the campaign, the ULP was expected to lead in the election. In October, the Dunn Pierre Barnett & Company Canada (DPBA) conducted a poll predicting the ULP to lead one seat over the NDP. Women tended to favour the ULP, but men favoured the NDP. Urban voters, especially inKingstown, recorded lower satisfaction with the government than rural voters.[27][28] Later, on 12 November, the DPBA still found that the ULP had a 64% chance of retaining power.[10]

The campaign for both parties hinged greatly on economic performance. The relatively high youth unemployment rate, at 27%, was a major driver of dissatisfaction with the ULP-led government.[27] The general unemployment rate of 18% and the poverty rate of 26% also affected the ULP's image.[29][30]

The ULP contested the election based on the economy, political stability, modernity, regionalism in the Caribbean, and attracting investment in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. The ULP also supported increasing tourism to the country.[31] Gonsalves and the ULP also supported greater cooperation in the Caribbean.[32] This election was the first in which the ULP did not have adeputy leader.[24] The party focused on the fact that many of their members and candidates are younger than in the NDP.[24] Much sentiment against the ULP was due to their 24-year-long stint in government. The governmentvaccine mandate during theCOVID-19 pandemic also affected the ULP's support.[5] Gonsalves was a strong supporter of the governments of Venezuela underNicolás Maduro and Cuba underMiguel Diaz-Canel.[30]

The NDP focused on reducing unemployment, improving infrastructure and healthcare, political change, the cost-of-living, and crime.[5][32][33] The party's strategy centered around groups least satisfied with the government.[27] The NDP also previously supported severing diplomatic relations withTaiwan and moving to closer ties with thePRC, although this was absent from theirelection manifesto and the NDP did not commit to such a move during the campaign.[10][34][35] The ULP had previously accused the PRC of financing the NDP.[36] The NDP has proposed a "golden passport" system in which foreigners could invest in the country in order to gain citizenship.[10][24] Surveys show that 62% of Vincentians would support such a citizenship-by-investment program.[37]

TheCaribbean Community (CARICOM) sent a ten-member "CARICOM Election Observation Mission" (CEOM) to monitor the election. The CEOM was invited by the outgoing government on 2 October. The mission was in the country from 23–29 November.[38][39]

Opinion polling

[edit]
Polling firmLast date
of polling
SourceULPNDPSeatsChance of
victory
Margin
of error
Lead
2025 election27 November 2025[40]42.357.71/14--15.4
Sentinel Research4 May 2025[41]3430Not surveyedNot surveyed±3.1%4
DPBA30 October 2025[42]52488/764/33Not published4
WIC News24 November 2025[43]44493/11Not surveyedNot published5

Results

[edit]

The opposition NDP obtained asupermajority with 14 out of 15 elected seats, coming back to lead the government for the first time since 2001. This was the largest supermajority government for any party sincethe 1989 election,[44] and the worst result for the ULP since its foundation in the mid-1990s. The outgoing Prime MinisterRalph Gonsalves was the only ULP representative to retain their seat.[5] Finance MinisterCamillo Gonsalves and Agriculture MinisterSaboto Caesar, who were both seen as potential leaders of the ULP, would also lose their respective seats.[45] Following the election, the ULP issued a statement saying that it would "keep working and advocating" for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.[29][30] Friday was sworn in as Prime Minister on 28 November and his cabinet was sworn in on 2 December.[29][46]

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
New Democratic Party37,20757.7414+8
Unity Labour Party27,15242.141–8
Independents800.1200
Total64,439100.00150
Valid votes64,43999.54
Invalid/blank votes2970.46
Total votes64,736100.00
Registered voters/turnout103,52462.53
Source:Electoral Office[a]

By constituency

[edit]
ConstituencyElectorateTurnout%Political partyCandidateVotes%
CentralKingstown7,6774,42057.57New Democratic PartySt. Clair A. Leacock2,84664.6
Unity Labour PartyMarvin C. Fraser1,56035.4
Central Leeward7,1944,78166.46New Democratic Party (gain)Conroy C. Huggins2,40850.5
Unity Labour PartyOrando Brewster2,35949.5
EastKingstown7,4184,47460.31New Democratic PartyDwight F. Bramble2,72861.2
Unity Labour PartyLuke V. Browne1,72738.8
East St. George9,3695,77861.67New Democratic Party (gain)Laverne H. Velox3,39559.1
Unity Labour PartyCamillo M. Gonsalves2,35240.9
Marriaqua7,0734,38762.02New Democratic Party (gain)Phillip C. Jackson2,38654.6
Unity Labour PartySt. Clair E. Prince1,98345.4
North Central Windward5,8913,794[a]64.40Unity Labour PartyRalph E. Gonsalves2,57768.4
New Democratic PartyChieftain J. Neptune119331.6
North Leeward6,4454,51270.00New Democratic Party (gain)Kishore N. M. Shallow2,52656.2
Unity Labour PartyCarlos James1,96643.8
North Windward7,3035,34373.16New Democratic Party (gain)Shevern R. John2,78152.2
Unity Labour PartyGrace R. Walters2,54247.8
Northern Grenadines4,3762,53557.93New Democratic PartyGodwin L. Friday2,18586.6
Unity Labour PartyA. M. Carlos Williams33913.4
South Central Windward6,6264,30364.94New Democratic Party (gain)Isreal R. Bruce2,30853.8
Unity Labour PartySaboto S. Caesar1,98446.2
South Leeward8,6275,26060.97New Democratic PartyNigel Stephenson3,23761.8
Unity Labour PartyGrenville Williams1,97137.6
IndependentDoris D. Charles280.6
South Windward7,1904,37560.85New Democratic Party (gain)Andrew D. John2,44856.2
Unity Labour PartyDarron R. John1,91143.8
Southern Grenadines3,0841,79058.04New Democratic PartyTerrance Ollivierre1,17265.8
Unity Labour PartyChevonne A. Stewart60934.2
WestKingstown7,2264,16957.69New Democratic PartyDaniel E. Cummings2,69165.0
Unity Labour PartyKeisal M. Peters1,45035.0
West St. George8,0254,81560.00New Democratic Party (gain)Kaschaka Cupid2,90360.7
Unity Labour PartyCurtis M. King1,82238.2
IndependentKenna V. Questelles521.1
Source:Electoral Office

Reactions

[edit]
  • Jamaica: Prime MinisterAndrew Holness congratulated Friday on his victory, describing the election as an "important moment for the Vincentian people" and wishing Friday "every success as he undertakes the responsibility of national leadership".[5]
  • Taiwan: The ambassador to St. Vincent and the Grenadines congratulated Friday, despite the NDP previously proposing severing relations with Taiwan and pivoting towards China.[5][35] However, the oppositionKuomintang was harsher towards the new government, saying that the election reflected "deteriorating cross-strait relations".[35]
  • Venezuela: President Maduro said that he would be willing to work with Friday's government and thanked the outgoing Gonsalves.[29] Gonsalves had been a strong supporter of Maduro's government.[30]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abThe source shows a discrepancy of 200 votes between the valid votes cast in the North Central Windward constituency and the sum of the votes obtained by each contesting candidates plus the rejected votes.

References

[edit]
  1. ^abElectoral Office – Preliminary Resutls
  2. ^McLeod, Sheri-kae (1 April 2025)."St. Vincent PM Ralph Gonsalves seeks historic sixth term in office".CNW Network. Retrieved22 October 2025.
  3. ^abSaint Vincent and the Grenadines IPU Parline
  4. ^"Ralph Gonsalves announces Nov 27 General Election in St Vincent and the Grenadines – WIC News".WIC News. 29 October 2025. Retrieved19 November 2025.
  5. ^abcdefDuncan, Natricia (28 November 2025)."St Vincent opposition party celebrates historic election win".The Guardian.ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved29 November 2025.
  6. ^"Ralph romps to fifth straight election win in St Vincent and the Grenadines".Jamaica Gleaner. 6 November 2020. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  7. ^"ULP wins 5 in a row".iWitness News. 6 November 2020. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  8. ^"Elections in SVG, 'popular votes' – facts and figures".thevincentian.com. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  9. ^McLeod, Sheri-kae (7 November 2020)."Ralph Gonsalves Sworn into Office for a Fifth Consecutive Term".Caribbean National Weekly. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  10. ^abcdHenry, Robertson (27 November 2025)."St Vincent heads to polls as incumbent party seeks sixth straight term".Reuters.Archived from the original on 28 November 2025. Retrieved29 November 2025.
  11. ^"Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | House of Assembly | Electoral system".IPU Parline: global data on national parliaments. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  12. ^"Voting".www.gov.vc. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  13. ^"Senators".assembly.gov.vc. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  14. ^ab"St. Vincent and the Grenadines: Freedom in the World 2022 Country Report".Freedom House. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  15. ^abc"IFES Election Guide | Elections: Saint Vincentian House of Assembly 2025 General".www.electionguide.org. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  16. ^"Voting".www.gov.vc. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  17. ^"Dr. Hon. Ralph Gonsalves".Government of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. Retrieved24 October 2020.
  18. ^"Manifesto".Unity Labour Party.Archived from the original on 7 December 2010. Retrieved28 October 2020.
  19. ^"ULP 2025 Manifesto"(PDF).Vote ULP. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  20. ^Haynes, Abigail (28 November 2016)."NDP's New President".NBC SVG.
  21. ^"Manifesto".New Democratic Party (NDP) – St. Vincent. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  22. ^"Pierre dubbed 'Code Breaker' as SLP wins landslide victory in St. Lucia".One News SVG. 2 December 2025. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  23. ^"St Vincent to hold General Elections on 27th November, 2025".St Vincent Times. 11 November 2025. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  24. ^abcdChance, Kenton X. (4 November 2025)."SVG General Election Vital to the Survival of the Two Major Political Parties".Caribbean Today. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  25. ^abDavis, Jovani (16 November 2025)."32 candidates set for St. Vincent and the Grenadines general elections".CNW Network. Retrieved19 November 2025.
  26. ^"Wife of former ULP MP forms party to contest next elections".iWitness News. 21 August 2024. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  27. ^abcPierre, C. Justine (15 November 2025)."DPBA predicts tight race in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines' November 27, 2025 general elections".The New Today. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  28. ^"DPBA Poll Projects Hairline Lead for ULP in St Vincent Election 2025".St Vincent Times. 11 November 2025. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  29. ^abcdCoto, Danica (28 November 2025)."One of world's longest serving democratic leaders loses election in St. Vincent and the Grenadines".AP News. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  30. ^abcdCoto, Danica."One of world's longest serving democratic leaders loses election".ABC News. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  31. ^"ROLLING OUT THE VISION BEFORE OUR VERY EYES"(PDF).Office of the Prime Minister. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  32. ^ab"Opposition NDP party claims victory in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines".Al Jazeera. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  33. ^Duncan, Natricia (28 November 2025)."St Vincent prime minister seeks record sixth term in tight election".The Guardian. Retrieved29 November 2025.
  34. ^"Taiwan congratulates opposition for election win in ally Saint Vincent".Reuters. 28 November 2025. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  35. ^abcChung, Lawrence (1 December 2025)."Will the St Vincent election cost Taiwan another Caribbean ally?".South China Morning Post. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  36. ^"St. Vincent PM accuses China of election interference to reinstate Golden Passport scheme – Caribbean Life".www.caribbeanlife.com. 1 July 2025. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  37. ^Nesheim, Christian Henrik (28 November 2025)."Opposition Declares Election Win in St Vincent, Paving the Way for a CBI Program".IMI Daily. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  38. ^"ARRIVAL STATEMENT | CARICOM Election Observation Mission to the General Elections of St Vincent and the Grenadines – CARICOM".caricom.org. Retrieved3 December 2025.
  39. ^Webmaster (25 November 2025)."CARICOM Elections Observer Mission on the ground in SVG – Searchlight". Retrieved3 December 2025.
  40. ^"Decision SVG - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Election Results".Decision SVG. Retrieved8 December 2025.
  41. ^Abbas, Ahmad (12 May 2025)."Survey Finds 62% of Vincentians Support CBI Program".IMI Daily. Retrieved8 December 2025.
  42. ^"DPBA Poll Projects Hairline Lead for ULP in St Vincent Election 2025".St Vincent Times. 11 November 2025. Retrieved8 December 2025.
  43. ^"ELXN CALL > LPC 42.6, CPC 39.9, NDP 7.8,BQ 6.4, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1 (One day survey on April 27, 2025)"(PDF).Nanos Research. 27 April 2025. Retrieved27 April 2025.
  44. ^"'Yellow wash' Gonsalves loses power after 24-yrs".St Vincent Times. 28 November 2025. Retrieved29 November 2025.
  45. ^Chabrol, Denis (28 November 2025)."St Vincent's Ralph Gonsalves suffers crushing defeat after 25 years in office".Demerara Waves. Retrieved28 November 2025.
  46. ^"New SVG govt ministers sworn in".St. Vincent Times. 2 December 2025. Retrieved3 December 2025.
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