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2025 United States gubernatorial elections

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2025 United States elections.
2025 United States gubernatorial elections

← 2024November 4, 20252026 →
← 2021
2029 →

2 governorships
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Seats before2723
Seats up11

United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 4, 2025 in two states:New Jersey andVirginia. These elections will be held as part of the2025 United States elections. The last gubernatorial elections for New Jersey and Virginia were in2021. Both incumbents are ineligible to run for election again due to term limits. More states may hold elections due to a gubernatorial vacancy (depending on a state's constitution) or recall of a governor.[1][2]

In2024, Democratic nomineeKamala Harris won both states by slightly less than six percent.

Partisan composition

[edit]

Going into the election, there are 27 Republican governors and 23 Democratic governors in the United States. This class of governors is made up of one Republican and one Democrat. Republicans are defending one governorship in a state thatKamala Harris won in 2024 (Virginia). Democrats are defending one governorship in a state that Harris won (New Jersey).

Election predictions

[edit]

Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of theincumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state'sCook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating a party's predicted advantage in winning that seat.

Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
StatePVI[3]IncumbentLast
race
Cook
Sep. 11,
2025
[4]
IE
Aug. 28,
2025
[5]
Sabato
Sep. 4,
2025
[6]
WH
Sep. 13,
2025
[7]
SN
Sep. 30,
2025
[8][9]
New JerseyD+4Phil Murphy
(term-limited)
51.2% DLean DLean DLean DLikely DLikely D
VirginiaD+3Glenn Youngkin
(term-limited)
50.6% RLikely D(flip)Lean D(flip)Likely D(flip)Safe D(flip)Solid D(flip)

Race summary

[edit]
StateGovernorPartyFirst electedLast raceStatusCandidates
New JerseyPhil MurphyDemocratic201751.2% DTerm-limited
VirginiaGlenn YoungkinRepublican202150.6% RTerm-limited

New Jersey

[edit]
Main article:2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election
New Jersey gubernatorial election

← 2021
2029 →
 
NomineeMikie SherrillJack Ciattarelli
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Running mateDale CaldwellJim Gannon

County results

IncumbentGovernor

Phil Murphy
Democratic



GovernorPhil Murphy was elected to a second term in2021 with 51.2% of the vote. He will beterm-limited by theNew Jersey Constitution and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term.Jersey CitymayorSteven Fulop, formerNew Jersey Senate presidentStephen Sweeney, U.S. RepresentativesJosh Gottheimer andMikie Sherrill, andNewarkmayorRas Baraka ran for the Democratic nomination.[16][17][18][19][13] Ultimately, Sherrill won the Democratic nomination on June 10. Former state AssemblymanJack Ciattarelli, who was the Republican nominee in2021, is the Republican nominee.

Virginia

[edit]
Main article:2025 Virginia gubernatorial election
Virginia gubernatorial election

← 2021
2029 →
 
NomineeWinsome Earle-SearsAbigail Spanberger
PartyRepublicanDemocratic

County and independent city results

IncumbentGovernor

Glenn Youngkin
Republican



GovernorGlenn Youngkin was elected in2021 with 50.6% of the vote. He will beterm-limited by theVirginia Constitution and cannot seek election to a second consecutive term.Lieutenant GovernorWinsome Earle-Sears is the Republican nominee.[20] FormerU.S. Representative forVirginia's 7th congressional districtAbigail Spanberger is the Democratic nominee.[21] Both candidates won their respective party’s nominations unopposed. The winner of this election will become the firstfemale governor in Virginia's history.

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Phil Murphy narrowly reelected governor in New Jersey, defeating Republican Jack Ciattarelli".6abc Philadelphia.Associated Press. November 3, 2021. RetrievedNovember 3, 2021.
  2. ^"Term Limits on Governor".U.S. Term Limits. RetrievedNovember 3, 2021.
  3. ^"2025 Cook PVI℠: State Map and List".Cook Political Report. March 6, 2025. RetrievedMay 10, 2025.
  4. ^"2025 CPR Governor Race ratings".The Cook Political Report.
  5. ^"Gubernatorial Ratings".insideelections.com. RetrievedFebruary 7, 2025.
  6. ^Coleman, J. Miles (April 30, 2025)."The Governors, Part One: Democrats Start as Favorites in 2025 New Jersey and Virginia Races".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedApril 30, 2025.
  7. ^"Governor Forecast - 2025-2026".Race to the WH. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2025.
  8. ^"Virginia, Forecast: Gov".State Navigate. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2025.
  9. ^"2025 NJ Forecasts".projects.statenavigate.com. RetrievedOctober 1, 2025.
  10. ^Wildstein, David (April 9, 2024)."Jack Ciattarelli launches bid for governor, pledging to cut taxes and spending".New Jersey Globe. RetrievedApril 9, 2024.
  11. ^Winger, Richard (June 9, 2025)."Libertarian Party Files 3,208 Signatures to Qualify for New Jersey Gubernatorial Race".Ballot Access News. RetrievedJune 10, 2025.
  12. ^Wildstein, David (June 17, 2025)."Two independent gubernatorial candidates likely off ballot".New Jersey Globe. RetrievedJune 18, 2025.
  13. ^abFriedman, Matt (November 18, 2024)."New Jersey Rep. Mikie Sherrill's campaign for governor takes flight".Politico. RetrievedNovember 18, 2024.
  14. ^Vozzella, Laura; Schneider, Gregory S. (September 5, 2024)."Virginia Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears announces her candidacy for governor".The Washington Post. RetrievedSeptember 5, 2024.
  15. ^Rankin, Sarah (November 13, 2023)."Virginia Rep. Abigail Spanberger is running for governor instead of seeking reelection to the House".AP News. The Associated Press. RetrievedNovember 13, 2023.
  16. ^Wildstein, David (April 11, 2023)."Fulop announces bid for Governor in 2025".New Jersey Globe. RetrievedApril 11, 2023.
  17. ^Racioppi, Dustin (December 11, 2023)."Sweeney enters NJ governor's race after upset loss as Senate president".Politico. RetrievedDecember 11, 2023.
  18. ^Wildstein, David (February 19, 2024)."Baraka Says He'll Run For Governor In 2025".New Jersey Globe. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2024.
  19. ^Sobko, Katie (November 15, 2024)."Rep. Josh Gottheimer makes it official: He's running for governor of New Jersey".North Jersey. RetrievedNovember 15, 2024.
  20. ^Nadeau, Ryan (April 5, 2025)."Earle-Sears secures Republican nomination for Virginia governor, creating historic gubernatorial ticket".WIRC. RetrievedApril 5, 2025.
  21. ^Fortinsky, Sarah (April 3, 2025)."Spanberger confirmed as Democratic nominee for Virginia governor's race".The Hill. RetrievedApril 3, 2025.
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