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2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Election following the death of Raúl Grijalva

2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election
← 2024
September 23, 2025
2026 →
Arizona's 7th congressional district
Turnout23.18%
 
NomineeAdelita GrijalvaDaniel Butierez
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote70,14829,944
Percentage68.92%29.42%
County results
Precinct results
Grijalva:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Butierez:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
U.S. Representative before election

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Adelita Grijalva
Democratic

Elections in Arizona

Aspecial election was held on September 23, 2025, to fillArizona's 7th congressional district for the remainder of the119th United States Congress. The result was certified by the Arizona Secretary of State,Adrian Fontes, on October 14.[1]

This followed the July 15, 2025, primary election which results were certified by Fontes 16 days later on July 31.

The seat became vacant following the death of incumbent DemocratRaúl Grijalva on March 13, 2025.[2] It is considered asafelyDemocratic district.[3]

The election was won by formerPima County supervisorAdelita Grijalva, Raúl Grijalva's daughter.[4] The younger Grijalva won by 40%, a significant overperformance fromKamala Harris's 22% victory in the district in the2024 presidential election.[5]

Background

[edit]

Incumbent CongressmanRaúl Grijalva was diagnosed withlung cancer on April 2, 2024, and died in office on March 13, 2025, from complications from cancer treatments at age 77.[2]

Writing forThe Arizona Republic in May, Laura Gersony noted that the "leading candidates" wereDaniel Hernández Jr.,Adelita Grijalva, andDeja Foxx; further noting that Hernández held an initial lead in fundraising stemming from supporters of Israel and that Grijalva would likely benefit from some of the campaign infrastructure built by her father.[6] Grijalva received the endorsement of both of Arizona's U.S. Senators,Mark Kelly andRuben Gallego, and a number of Democratic political organizations, includingEMILY's List andGiffords.[7][8][9]

Grijalva won the Democratic primary on July 15, and facedRepublican painting contractor Daniel Butierez.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Deja Foxx
U.S. representatives
Party officials
Individuals
Organizations
Adelita Grijalva
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Tribal nations
Daniel Hernández Jr.
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Deja
Foxx		Adelita
Grijalva		Daniel
Hernández		OtherUndecided
Change Research (D)[A]June 26–29, 2025540 (LV)± 4.5%35%43%9%3%[b]11%
Change Research (D)[A]May 13–16, 2025530 (LV)± 4.4%10%41%16%2%[c]32%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B]April 7–8, 2025527 (LV)± 4.3%5%49%11%–35%

Debates

[edit]
2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election Democratic primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticDemocraticDemocraticDemocraticDemocratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
FoxxGrijalvaHarrisHernándezMalvido
1May 27, 2025KAET[52]Ted Simons[53]PPPPP
2June 10, 2025Arizona Public Media[54]Steve Goldstein, Nohelani Graf[55]PPPPP

Results

[edit]
Results by county
Grijalva
  50–60%
  60–70%
Democratic primary results[56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAdelita Grijalva38,67961.48%
DemocraticDeja Foxx14,07822.38%
DemocraticDaniel Hernández Jr.8,54113.58%
DemocraticPatrick Harris9251.47%
DemocraticJose Malvido Jr.6871.09%
Total votes62,910100.00%
Results by county[57]
TownFoxxGrijalvaHarrisHernández Jr.Malvido Jr.Total
Cochise64622.17%1,88864.79%351.20%32611.19%190.65%2,914
Maricopa1,12221.69%2,73952.95%1092.11%1,16722.56%360.70%5,173
Pima10,88023.93%27,92361.42%6221.37%5,51212.12%5251.16%45,462
Pinal3114.90%12057.69%73.37%4521.64%52.40%208
Santa Cruz69615.08%3,08766.88%681.47%71715.53%481.04%4,616
Yuma70315.50%2,92264.40%841.85%77417.06%541.19%4,537


Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Daniel Butierez, painting contractor and nominee for this district in2024[58]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Jorge Rivas, restaurant owner[59]
  • Jimmy Rodriguez, businessman[59]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jorge Rivas
Local officials

Debates

[edit]
2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election Republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanRepublicanRepublican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
ButierezRivasRodriguez
1May 30, 2025KAET[60]Ted Simons[61]PPA
2June 9, 2025Arizona Public Media[54]Steve Goldstein, Nohelani Graf[62]PPP

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDaniel Butierez11,12160.89%
RepublicanJorge Rivas4,59425.15%
RepublicanJimmy Rodriguez2,54913.96%
Total votes18,264100.00%
Results by county[63]
TownButierezRivasRodriguezTotal
Cochise44651.86%30335.23%11112.91%860
Maricopa82446.29%60333.88%35319.83%1,780
Pima7,30962.15%2,87124.41%1,58013.44%11,760
Pinal17060.71%7827.86%3211.43%280
Santa Cruz93668.22%28220.55%15411.22%1,372
Yuma1,43464.89%45720.68%31914.43%2,210

Third parties and independents

[edit]

Green primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Eduardo Quintana, former chair of thePima County Green Party and nominee for U.S. Senate in2024(write-in)[14]
  • Gary Swing, organic produce clerk and perennial candidate(write-in)[64]

Results

[edit]
Green primary results[56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
GreenEduardo Quintana(write-in)4295.45%
GreenGary Swing(write-in)24.55%
Total votes44100.00%

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Andy Fernandez(write-in)[14]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianAndy Fernandez(write-in)19100.00%
Total votes19100.00%

No Labels primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Results

[edit]
No Labels primary results[56]
PartyCandidateVotes%
No LabelsRichard Grayson(write-in)1100.00%
Total votes1100.00%

Write-in candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[72]Solid DAugust 13, 2025
Inside Elections[73]Solid DJune 30, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[74]Safe DAugust 14, 2025
2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election General Election debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
ButierezGrijalva
1August 26, 2025Arizona Public Media[75]Nohelani Graf[76]PP

Results

[edit]
Swing by county
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5−7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5−5%
  •   Democratic — +0−2.5%
  •   Republican — +0−2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5−5%
2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election[77]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticAdelita Grijalva70,14868.92%+5.47%
RepublicanDaniel Butierez29,94429.42%−7.13%
GreenEduardo Quintana1,1181.10%N/A
No LabelsRichard Grayson5370.53%N/A
RepublicanJeff Beasley(write-in)90.01%N/A
IndependentJames Rose(write-in)80.01%N/A
IndependentTrista di Genova(write-in)30.00%N/A
RepublicanG. Sevillr Hatch(write-in)30.00%N/A
RepublicanAvery Block(write-in)20.00%N/A
IndependentDaniel Wood(write-in)20.00%N/A
No LabelsNathaniel James Irwin Sr.(write-in)10.00%N/A
DemocraticCheval Lavers(write-in)10.00%N/A
Total votes101,776100.00%N/A
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
County[77]Adelita Grijalva
Democratic		Daniel Butierez
Republican		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Cochise (part)3,32771.06%1,27727.27%781.67%2,05043.78%4,682
Maricopa (part)6,22167.80%2,80030.52%1541.68%3,42137.29%9,175
Pima (part)49,99270.26%19,98228.08%1,1801.66%30,01042.18%71,154
Pinal (part)27536.67%46061.33%152.00%-185-24.67%750
Santa Cruz4,91269.70%2,04729.05%881.25%2,86540.66%7,047
Yuma (part)5,42160.45%3,37837.67%1691.88%2,04322.78%8,968
Totals70,14868.92%29,94429.42%1,6841.65%40,20439.50%101,776

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Malvido with 3%; Harris with 0%
  3. ^Harris and Malvido with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^abPoll sponsored by Foxx's campaign
  2. ^Poll sponsored by Grijalva's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^Nintzel, Jim (October 14, 2025)."Arizona certifies CD7 election but Grijalva still blocked from taking office".TucsonSentinel.com. RetrievedOctober 14, 2025.
  2. ^abRomo, Renee (March 13, 2025)."Rep. Raul Grijalva dies at 77 following cancer battle".KOLD-TV. RetrievedMarch 13, 2025.
  3. ^Pallack, Becky; Washington, John (June 16, 2025)."Half the candidates in Southern Arizona's congressional special election don't live in District 7".AZ Luminaria. RetrievedJune 16, 2025.
  4. ^Browning, Kellen (September 23, 2025)."G.O.P. Majority in House Will Shrink After Democrat's Victory in Arizona".The New York Times. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2025.
  5. ^Stanton, Andrew (September 24, 2025)."Democrat Outperforms Kamala Harris in Swing State Special Election".Newsweek. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2025.
  6. ^Gersony, Laura (May 5, 2025)."Money floods into Tucson special congressional election, but a lot remains out of view".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedMay 5, 2025.
  7. ^abcdGersony, Laura (April 3, 2025)."Sen. Mark Kelly and Gabrielle Giffords back Adelita Grijalva in special congressional race".The Arizona Republic.
  8. ^ab"GIFFORDS PAC endorses Adelita Grijalva in AZ-07 special election".GIFFORDS. April 3, 2025. RetrievedApril 7, 2025.
  9. ^ab"EMILYs List Endorses Adelita Grijalva for Election to Arizona's 7th Congressional District".EMILYs List. May 13, 2025. RetrievedMay 15, 2025.
  10. ^Corrado, Brent (March 31, 2025)."Adelita Grijalva running for her late father's AZ congressional seat".KSAZ-TV. RetrievedMarch 31, 2025.
  11. ^https://theweek.com/edition/theweekus-morning-report-2025-07-16-101556
  12. ^McNeil, Stephanie (June 10, 2025)."Deja Foxx Is Running for Congress Because 'Girls Like Me Deserve a Fighter'".Glamour. RetrievedJune 15, 2025.
  13. ^Sievers, Caitlin (March 24, 2025)."Daniel Hernandez launches bid for southern Arizona congressional seat after Grijalva's death".AZ Mirror. RetrievedMarch 24, 2025.
  14. ^abcFontes, Adrian."2025 Special Primary Election Candidate Listing". Arizona Secretary of State.
  15. ^Covarrubias, Rey (March 26, 2025)."Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes won't run for Grijalva's seat in Congress".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedMarch 26, 2025.
  16. ^abcGersony, Laura (March 15, 2025)."Who's running for Grijalva seat? Adrian Fontes considering bid, Regina Romero won't run".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedMarch 15, 2025 – viaYahoo News.
  17. ^abcdefGersony, Laura (April 14, 2025)."Who qualified for the ballot in CD7 race to replace Rep. Raúl Grijalva?".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedApril 29, 2025.
  18. ^abcdefghiNintzel, Jim (March 31, 2025)."Adelita Grijalva to run for her late father's U.S. House seat".Tucson Sentinel. RetrievedMarch 31, 2025.
  19. ^abCohen, Max (May 27, 2025)."Inside the ASPIRE PAC's endorsement slate".Punchbowl News. RetrievedMay 27, 2025.
  20. ^Piper, Jessica (July 2, 2025)."David Hogg's PAC endorses Gen Z activist Deja Foxx in Arizona special election".Politico. RetrievedJuly 2, 2025.
  21. ^abcAltamari, Daniela (July 15, 2025)."What to know about the Arizona special election primary for Grijalva's seat".Roll Call. RetrievedJuly 15, 2025.
  22. ^Piper, Jessica (July 2, 2025)."David Hogg's PAC endorses Gen Z activist Deja Foxx in Arizona special election".Politico. RetrievedJuly 2, 2025.
  23. ^"LPAC Endorses 12 Congressional, State and Local History-Making Candidates".LPAC. April 16, 2025. RetrievedMay 25, 2025.
  24. ^"Bernie Sanders Endorses Adelita Grijalva in CD-7 race".Sierra Vista Herald. April 29, 2025. RetrievedApril 29, 2025.
  25. ^abcdefghijklmnopNintzel, Jim (April 30, 2025)."Sanders backs Adelita Grijalva in Southern Arizona congressional race".Tucson Sentinel. RetrievedMay 3, 2025.
  26. ^abcd"Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC Endorses Adelita Grijalva For AZ-07". April 22, 2025. RetrievedApril 22, 2025.
  27. ^ab"I'm excited to receive the endorsements of two Latina powerhouses in Congress, Congresswomen Nydia Velázquez and Veronica Escobar!". RetrievedJune 17, 2025.
  28. ^Adams, Kiara (July 1, 2025)."In CD7 special election, Democrat Deja Foxx says she represents a new generation of political leaders".Tucson Sentinel. RetrievedJuly 3, 2025.
  29. ^abNir, David; Singer, Jeff (July 15, 2025)."Morning Digest: An upset may be brewing in an Arizona special election". RetrievedJuly 15, 2025.
  30. ^"CWA Local 7000 is proud to endorse Adelita Grijalva for Arizona's 7th District Congressional Seat."www.facebook.com. CWA Local 7000. April 1, 2025. RetrievedApril 7, 2025.
  31. ^"UFCW 99 Candidate Endorsements". RetrievedApril 22, 2025.
  32. ^"Union nurses endorse Adelita Grijalva for Congress".National Nurses United. June 11, 2025. RetrievedJune 13, 2025.
  33. ^"Adelita Grijalva Endorsed by Center for Biological Diversity Action Fund for Arizona's 7th Congressional District".Center for Biological Diversity Action Fund. June 18, 2025. RetrievedJune 19, 2025.
  34. ^"Trans advocacy group endorses Grijalva as progressive frontrunner in special election".Arizona Mirror. April 30, 2025. RetrievedMay 1, 2025.
  35. ^"Humane World Action Fund endorses Adelita Grijalva for Arizona's 7th Congressional District".Humane World Action Fund. May 6, 2025. RetrievedJune 2, 2025.
  36. ^"Latino Victory Fund Endorses Adelita Grijalva for Arizona's 7th Congressional District".Latino Victory. June 25, 2025. RetrievedJune 28, 2025.
  37. ^"LCV Action Fund Endorses Adelita Grijalva for U.S. House of Representatives".LCV. May 2, 2025. RetrievedMay 3, 2025.
  38. ^"National Seniors' Group Endorses Adelita Grijalva in AZ-07 Special Election".NationalCommittee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare. June 2, 2025. RetrievedJune 2, 2025.
  39. ^"Our Revolution Endorses Adelita Grijalva for U.S. Congress (AZ-7)".Our Revolution. May 29, 2025. RetrievedJune 2, 2025.
  40. ^"PODER PAC Endorsements".PODER PAC. May 23, 2025. RetrievedJune 2, 2025.
  41. ^"Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Adelita Grijalva in AZ-07 Special Election".Reproductive Freedom for All. May 29, 2025. RetrievedMay 30, 2025.
  42. ^Howard, Andrew (May 27, 2025)."Missouri voters will again vote on abortion".Politico. RetrievedMay 27, 2025.
  43. ^"Tohono O'odham Nation Endorses Adelita Grijalva".Tohono O'odham Nation. July 9, 2025. RetrievedJuly 10, 2025.
  44. ^Gersony, Laura (April 29, 2025)."Sen. Bernie Sanders endorses a candidate in Arizona special congressional race".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedApril 29, 2025.
  45. ^Deutch, Gabby (April 7, 2025)."Daniel Hernandez pitches himself to Tucson voters — and pro-Israel backers". RetrievedApril 7, 2025.
  46. ^abcdeJaafari, Joseph Darius (March 28, 2025)."LOOKOUT Exclusive: Daniel Hernandez earns key endorsements in congressional bid".LOOKOUT News. RetrievedApril 5, 2025.
  47. ^Nintzel, Jim (July 1, 2025)."Former state lawmaker says he's a different kind of Democrat in Az special congressional race".Tucson Sentinel. RetrievedJuly 2, 2025.
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  50. ^"Arizona, District 7 - FFRF Action Fund".FFRF Action. June 13, 2025. RetrievedNovember 30, 2025.
  51. ^"Stonewall Democrats of Arizona". RetrievedApril 29, 2025.
  52. ^Sanchez, Camryn (May 28, 2025)."Dems clash on mining, experience, taxes and Trump in debate for Grijalva's House seat".KJZZ. RetrievedMay 30, 2025.
  53. ^"special election debate - Democratic |".YouTube.
  54. ^abNintzel, Jim (May 14, 2025)."Debates set for Southern Az special congressional election".Tucson Sentinel. RetrievedMay 15, 2025.
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  57. ^"Arizona Election Results".results.arizona.vote. Arizona Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 21, 2025.
  58. ^Cree, Hannah (March 17, 2025)."Former Grijalva challenger enters race for CD 7".AZPM News. RetrievedMarch 31, 2025.
  59. ^abWashington, John (April 1, 2025)."Who's running to replace Rep. Raúl Grijalva? A live list of 2025 candidates for Arizona District 7".AZ Luminaria. RetrievedApril 13, 2025.
  60. ^Fischer, Howard (May 30, 2025)."Arizona GOP congressional hopefuls tout deep support of Trump's policies".Arizona Daily Star. RetrievedMay 30, 2025.
  61. ^"AZ Votes: U.S. Congressional District 7 Republican candidates | May 29, 2025 | Full episode".YouTube.
  62. ^"U.S. House Arizona, CD 7 special election debate - Republicans | FOX 10 Phoenix".YouTube. June 10, 2025. RetrievedJune 23, 2025.
  63. ^"Arizona Election Results".results.arizona.vote. Arizona Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 22, 2025.
  64. ^Washington, John (March 31, 2025)."Supervisor Adelita Grijalva will run for her late father's seat in Congress".Sierra Vista Herald. RetrievedMarch 31, 2025.
  65. ^abc"U.S. Representative in Congress - District No. 7".arizona.vote. June 20, 2025. RetrievedJune 20, 2025.
  66. ^"STATE OF ARIZONAFederal Write-In CandidateNOMINATION PAPERDECLARATION OF QUALIFICATION"(PDF).arizona.vote. June 20, 2025. RetrievedJune 20, 2025.
  67. ^"STATE OF ARIZONA Federal Write-In Candidate NOMINATION PAPERDECLARATION OF QUALIFICATION"(PDF).arizona.vote. June 20, 2025. RetrievedJune 20, 2025.
  68. ^"STATE OF ARIZONA Federal Write-In Candidate NOMINATION PAPER DECLARATION OF QUALIFICATION"(PDF).Arizona.vote. June 20, 2025. RetrievedJune 20, 2025.
  69. ^"Trista di Genova".Ballotpedia. RetrievedJune 20, 2025.
  70. ^"STATE OF ARIZONA Federal Write-In Candidate NOMINATION PAPER DECLARATION OF QUALIFICATION"(PDF).arizona.vote. June 20, 2025. RetrievedJune 20, 2025.
  71. ^"Daniel Wood (Arizona congressional candidate)".Ballotpedia. RetrievedJune 20, 2025.
  72. ^"2026 CPR House Race Ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedJune 30, 2025.
  73. ^"House Ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedJune 30, 2025.
  74. ^"2026 House Ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedJune 30, 2025.
  75. ^Schutsky, Wayne (August 27, 2025)."Arizona's 7th Congressional District candidates debate immigration, Gaza ahead of special election".KJZZ. RetrievedSeptember 16, 2025.
  76. ^"special election debate |".YouTube.
  77. ^abFontes, Adrian (October 14, 2025)."STATE OF ARIZONA OFFICIAL CANVASS 2025 Special General Election - Sep 23, 2025"(PDF).Secretary of State of Arizona.Archived(PDF) from the original on January 28, 2026. RetrievedOctober 14, 2025.

External links

[edit]
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