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 County results Congressional district results Precinct resultsUpthegrove: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Herrera Beutler: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||
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The2024Washington Public Lands Commissioner election was held on November 5, 2024.DemocratDave Upthegrove, a King County councilmember, defeatedRepublicanJaime Herrera Beutler, a formerU.S. Representative fromWashington's 3rd congressional district.[1] Thetop-two primary was held on August 6.[2] Incumbent Public Lands CommissionerHilary Franz, elected in2016 and re-elected in2020, did not seek a third term, opting to run insteadfor governor.[3][4]
The primary saw a close race with the Democratic vote split across five candidates, causing a recount in order to determine the winners and narrowly avoiding a lockout for the Democratic Party.[5]
Current Public Lands CommissionerHilary Franz, elected in 2016 and re-elected in 2020, did not seek a third term. She initially chose torun for governor, later dropping out of that race to insteadrun for the U.S. House.[6] During the primary election, the race drew many candidates, including five Democrats and two Republicans. It was suggested that the numerous Democratic candidates might split the vote enough so that the two Republican candidates advance to the general election, locking out Democrats from the office.[7]
The results of the primary election hadRepublicanJaime Herrera Beutler lead while the second-place position remained tight betweenDemocratDave Upthegrove and Republican Sue Kuehl Pederson, with a margin of only 51 votes between the two. This triggered an automatic hand recount per Washington state laws.[8][9] After a recount and certification of the results showed Upthegrove with a lead of 49 votes, he advanced to the general election thus ensuring that Democrats would not be locked out of the general election.[10]
During their campaigns, both Upthegrove and Beutler focused on the protection and management of forests and public lands albeit with differing views of how such aims would be achieved. Upthegrove emphasized preservation of public lands, especially legacy forests (mature natural forests), and maintaining a balance between conservation and economical value of the forests. Beutler focused on the generation of revenue vialogging and other activities to keep lands economically and environmentally sustainable, claiming that excessive preservation of legacy forests can lead to susceptibility to disease, raise wildfire risks, and reduce the stream of revenue on which schools and other public services rely. On tribal issues, Upthegrove supported strengthening the role of co-management with tribes while Beutler supported continuing Franz's creation of a tribal liaison.[11][8]
Washington is one of two states that holds atop-two primary, meaning all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two advance to the general election.
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Patrick DePoe (D) | Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) | Allen Lebovitz (D) | Sue Kuehl Pederson (R) | Dave Upthegrove (D) | Kevin Van De Wege (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[36][A] | July 24–25, 2024 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 4% | 18% | 3% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 5%[b] | 48% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[37][A] | May 15–16, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1% | 16% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 2% | – | 58% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[38][A] | November 14–15, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 5% | 18% | – | 14% | 3% | 2% | 11%[c] | 48% |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Republican | Republican | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||||||
| Anderson | DePoe | Herrera Beutler | Kuehl Pederson | Lebovitz | Upthegrove | Van De Wege | |||||
| 1 | Jul. 18, 2024 | League of Women Voters of Washington The Columbian The Reflector | Craig Brown | TVW | P | P | P | P | P | P | P |
Atop-two primary took place on August 6. All candidates were listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two advanced to the general election in November. Results were certified by county canvassing boards on August 20, showing DemocratDave Upthegrove in second place, with a margin of only 51 votes (0.0027% of the total votes) over Republican Sue Kuehl Pederson, enough to trigger an automatic hand recount per Washington state laws.[39][9]
On September 3, hand recounts returned with Upthegrove holding a 53-vote margin over Pederson.[33][40] Results were certified on September 4, with Dave Upthegrove holding a final margin of 49 votes over Sue Kuehl Pederson, ensuring that Democrats would not be locked out of the general election.[41][10]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jaime Herrera Beutler | 419,309 | 22.033 | |
| Democratic | Dave Upthegrove | 396,304 | 20.824 | |
| Republican | Sue Kuehl Pederson | 396,255 | 20.821 | |
| Democratic | Patrick DePoe | 267,944 | 14.079 | |
| Democratic | Allen Lebovitz | 194,118 | 10.200 | |
| Democratic | Kevin Van De Wege | 143,174 | 7.523 | |
| Democratic | Jeralee Anderson | 84,353 | 4.432 | |
| Write-in | 1,658 | 0.087 | ||
| Total votes | 1,903,115 | 100.000 | ||
Newspapers
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[d] | Margin of error | Dave Upthegrove (D) | Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[44][A] | October 16–17, 2024 | 571 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 38% | 16% |
| Strategies 360[45] | October 11–16, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
| Cascade PBS/Elway Research[46] | October 8–12, 2024 | 401 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 41% | 35% | 24% |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Dave Upthegrove | Jaime Herrera Beutler | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 18, 2024 | Association of Washington Business | Bill Lucia | TVW | P | P |
| 2 | Sep. 25, 2024 | League of Women Voters of Washington andBenton-Franklin Counties Northwest Public Broadcasting | Matt Loveless | YouTube | P | P |
| 3 | Oct. 2, 2024 | The Impact | Mike McClanahan | TVW | P | P |
| 4 | Oct. 7, 2024 | Society of American Foresters | Samantha Chang | TVW | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dave Upthegrove | 1,969,936 | 52.62% | −4.07% | |
| Republican | Jaime Herrera Beutler | 1,765,121 | 47.15% | +3.94% | |
| Write-in | 8,394 | 0.22% | +0.12% | ||
| Total votes | 3,743,451 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratichold | |||||
| County[48] | Dave Upthegrove Democratic | Jaime Herrera Beutler Republican | Write-in Various | Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 1,182 | 22.92% | 3,962 | 76.81% | 14 | 0.27% | -2,780 | -53.90% | 5,158 |
| Asotin | 3,395 | 31.12% | 7,493 | 68.69% | 20 | 0.18% | -4,098 | -37.57% | 10,908 |
| Benton | 31,896 | 33.06% | 64,393 | 66.73% | 203 | 0.21% | -32,497 | -33.68% | 96,492 |
| Chelan | 15,304 | 38.08% | 24,828 | 61.78% | 54 | 0.13% | -9,524 | -23.70% | 40,186 |
| Clallam | 23,010 | 49.17% | 23,699 | 50.64% | 91 | 0.19% | -689 | -1.47% | 46,800 |
| Clark | 122,529 | 47.03% | 136,098 | 52.24% | 1,916 | 0.74% | -13,569 | -5.21% | 260,543 |
| Columbia | 535 | 22.58% | 1,827 | 77.12% | 7 | 0.30% | -1,292 | -54.54% | 2,369 |
| Cowlitz | 19,536 | 34.38% | 36,881 | 64.90% | 409 | 0.72% | -17,345 | -30.52% | 56,826 |
| Douglas | 6,326 | 31.18% | 13,921 | 68.62% | 41 | 0.20% | -7,595 | -37.44% | 20,288 |
| Ferry | 1,105 | 27.78% | 2,866 | 72.05% | 7 | 0.18% | -1,761 | -44.27% | 3,978 |
| Franklin | 10,443 | 34.11% | 20,127 | 65.74% | 46 | 0.15% | -9,684 | -31.63% | 30,616 |
| Garfield | 243 | 18.63% | 1,060 | 81.29% | 1 | 0.08% | -817 | -62.65% | 1,304 |
| Grant | 9,190 | 26.56% | 25,336 | 73.23% | 73 | 0.21% | -16,146 | -46.67% | 34,599 |
| Grays Harbor | 15,110 | 41.76% | 20,997 | 58.02% | 80 | 0.22% | -5,887 | -16.27% | 36,187 |
| Island | 26,330 | 52.14% | 24,074 | 47.67% | 99 | 0.20% | 2,256 | 4.47% | 50,503 |
| Jefferson | 16,360 | 67.96% | 7,687 | 31.93% | 27 | 0.11% | 8,673 | 36.03% | 24,074 |
| King | 730,900 | 67.87% | 344,616 | 32.00% | 1,474 | 0.14% | 386,284 | 35.87% | 1,076,990 |
| Kitsap | 81,860 | 54.44% | 68,301 | 45.42% | 213 | 0.14% | 13,559 | 9.02% | 150,374 |
| Kittitas | 8,943 | 35.50% | 16,206 | 64.32% | 45 | 0.18% | -7,263 | -28.83% | 25,194 |
| Klickitat | 5,112 | 39.52% | 7,739 | 59.83% | 85 | 0.66% | -2,627 | -20.31% | 12,936 |
| Lewis | 12,024 | 27.68% | 31,165 | 71.73% | 258 | 0.59% | -19,141 | -44.06% | 43,447 |
| Lincoln | 1,274 | 18.39% | 5,642 | 81.45% | 11 | 0.16% | -4,368 | -63.06% | 6,927 |
| Mason | 15,518 | 44.08% | 19,599 | 55.68% | 85 | 0.24% | -4,081 | -11.59% | 35,202 |
| Okanogan | 7,371 | 36.93% | 12,538 | 62.83% | 48 | 0.24% | -5,167 | -25.89% | 19,957 |
| Pacific | 5,747 | 41.93% | 7,885 | 57.53% | 74 | 0.54% | -2,138 | -15.60% | 13,706 |
| Pend Oreille | 2,184 | 26.47% | 6,050 | 73.32% | 18 | 0.22% | -3,866 | -46.85% | 8,252 |
| Pierce | 209,423 | 49.75% | 210,804 | 50.08% | 732 | 0.17% | -1,381 | -0.33% | 420,959 |
| San Juan | 8,770 | 71.22% | 3,517 | 28.56% | 27 | 0.22% | 5,253 | 42.66% | 12,314 |
| Skagit | 32,131 | 48.13% | 34,495 | 51.67% | 128 | 0.19% | -2,364 | -3.54% | 66,754 |
| Skamania | 2,690 | 38.61% | 4,209 | 60.40% | 69 | 0.99% | -1,519 | -21.80% | 6,968 |
| Snohomish | 209,235 | 53.08% | 184,349 | 46.77% | 613 | 0.16% | 24,886 | 6.31% | 394,197 |
| Spokane | 113,724 | 41.47% | 159,989 | 58.34% | 500 | 0.18% | -46,265 | -16.87% | 274,213 |
| Stevens | 6,371 | 23.15% | 21,105 | 76.68% | 46 | 0.17% | -14,734 | -53.54% | 27,522 |
| Thurston | 84,851 | 53.69% | 72,860 | 46.10% | 330 | 0.21% | 11,991 | 7.59% | 158,041 |
| Wahkiakum | 985 | 33.44% | 1,935 | 65.68% | 26 | 0.88% | -950 | -32.25% | 2,946 |
| Walla Walla | 11,222 | 39.36% | 17,263 | 60.55% | 24 | 0.08% | -6,041 | -21.19% | 28,509 |
| Whatcom | 76,452 | 57.73% | 55,808 | 42.14% | 175 | 0.13% | 20,644 | 15.59% | 132,435 |
| Whitman | 9,122 | 47.41% | 10,080 | 52.39% | 37 | 0.19% | -958 | -4.98% | 19,239 |
| Yakima | 31,533 | 36.86% | 53,717 | 62.80% | 288 | 0.34% | -22,184 | -25.93% | 85,538 |
| Totals | 1,969,936 | 52.62% | 1,765,121 | 47.15% | 8,394 | 0.22% | 204,815 | 5.47% | 3,743,451 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Swing by county
Trend relative to the state by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic
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Upthegrove won six of ten congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Herrera Beutler, including two that elected Democrats.[49]
| District | Upthegrove | Herrera Beutler | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 57% | 43% | Suzan DelBene |
| 2nd | 56% | 44% | Rick Larsen |
| 3rd | 42% | 57% | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez |
| 4th | 34% | 66% | Dan Newhouse |
| 5th | 39% | 61% | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (118th Congress) |
| Michael Baumgartner (119th Congress) | |||
| 6th | 54% | 46% | Derek Kilmer (118th Congress) |
| Emily Randall (119th Congress) | |||
| 7th | 79% | 21% | Pramila Jayapal |
| 8th | 46% | 54% | Kim Schrier |
| 9th | 65% | 35% | Adam Smith |
| 10th | 53% | 47% | Marilyn Strickland |
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