Movatterモバイル変換


[0]ホーム

URL:


Jump to content
WikipediaThe Free Encyclopedia
Search

2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2024 United States presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming

← 2020November 5, 20242028 →
Turnout59.7%Decrease 2.9pp[1]
 
NomineeDonald TrumpKamala Harris
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateFloridaCalifornia
Running mateJD VanceTim Walz
Electoral vote30
Popular vote192,63369,527
Percentage71.60%25.84%

County results
Precinct results

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Harris

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%

Tie/No Data

  
  


President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Elections in Wyoming
Presidential elections
Presidential caucuses
Democratic
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2008
2012
2016
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections

The2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Wyoming voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wyoming has three electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state gained no further congressional seats.[2]

A sparsely populatedMountain West state, Wyoming is considered to be a deeply red state, and Donald Trump was expected to easily win the state.Wyoming has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964. This is also the case inAlaska,Idaho,Utah,North Dakota,South Dakota,Nebraska,Kansas, andOklahoma. Wyoming had furthermore been Trump's second-strongest state in 2016 and strongest state in 2020 (trading places withWest Virginia), voting for Trump by more than a 40% margin in both elections.

On election day, Trump again fared better in Wyoming than in any other state, winning it by 45.76%. Trump's 71.60% vote share in the state was the highest a presidential nominee has ever received in Wyoming, surpassingRonald Reagan's 70.51% of the vote in the1984 presidential election; and was the first time that any nominee won over 70% of the vote in any state since2012 (whenBarack Obama did so inHawaii andMitt Romney inUtah).

Trump won the highest vote share ever in Wyoming despite not winning every county in the state, which last occurred in2000.Teton County gave Harris 66% of the vote, the second-highest for a Democratic candidate in its history after2020.

Primary elections

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

The Wyoming Republican primary was held from April 18 to 20, 2024,[3] as part of the Republican Party primaries. 23 delegates to the2024 Republican National Convention were selected at county conventions, between February and March, while six delegates were selected at the state convention.[4] However, all 29 delegates were allocated to candidates at the state convention. As the only candidate in the presidential preference poll taken at the state convention, former president and presumptive nomineeDonald Trump easily won all 29 delegates.[5]

Endorsements included those fromJohn Barrasso (senator; 2007–present),[6]Cynthia Lummis, (senator 2021–present),[6]Harriet Hageman,WY-AL (US representative, 2023–present),[7] andTimothy Mellon, chairman and majority owner ofPan Am Systems[8]

Wyoming Republican caucus, April 18–20, 2024[9]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump2929
Total:2929

Democratic caucuses

[edit]
Main article:2024 Wyoming Democratic presidential caucuses

The Wyoming Democratic caucuses was held on April 13, 2024, alongside theAlaska primary.

Wyoming Democratic caucus, April 13, 2024[10]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)38096.0%1313
Uncommitted133.3%
David Olscamp20.5%
Marianne Williamson10.3%
Jason Palmer00.0%
Armando Perez-Serrato00.0%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)00.0%
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn)00.0%
Total:396100.0%13417

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[11]Solid RDecember 19, 2023
Inside Elections[12]Solid RApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13]Safe RJune 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[14]Safe RDecember 14, 2023
CNalysis[15]Solid RDecember 30, 2023
CNN[16]Solid RJanuary 14, 2024
The Economist[17]Safe RJune 12, 2024
538[18]Solid RJune 11, 2024
RCP[19]Solid RJune 26, 2024
NBC News[20]Safe ROctober 6, 2024

Polling

[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[21]October 26–28, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%69%27%4%[b]
University of Wyoming[22]September 24 – October 27, 2024662 (LV)± 3.6%63%28%9%[c]
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[23][A]April 13–21, 2024249 (LV)67%26%7%
Emerson College[24]October 1–4, 2023478 (RV)±4.5%68%15%18%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[23][A]April 13–21, 2024249 (LV)53%36%11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[23][A]April 13–21, 2024249 (LV)67%20%13%

Results

[edit]
2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming[25]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican192,63371.60%+1.64%
Democratic69,52725.84%−0.71%
Libertarian4,1931.56%−0.49%
Write-in2,6951.00%+0.37%
Total votes269,048100.00%N/A
Republicanwin

By county

[edit]
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
County flips
Legend
  • Democratic

      Hold

    Republican

      Hold
      Gain from Democratic

CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Kamala Harris
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Albany8,93049.95%8,37146.83%5763.22%5593.12%17,877
Big Horn4,86784.86%74212.94%1262.20%4,12571.92%5,735
Campbell16,00687.26%2,00410.93%3321.81%14,00276.33%18,342
Carbon4,95277.53%1,27419.95%1612.52%3,67857.58%6,387
Converse5,75685.41%84512.54%1382.05%4,91172.87%6,739
Crook3,80587.59%44310.20%962.21%3,36277.39%4,344
Fremont11,55266.94%5,17930.01%5253.05%6,37336.93%17,256
Goshen4,89379.25%1,15618.72%1252.03%3,73760.53%6,174
Hot Springs2,08279.47%48818.63%501.90%1,59460.84%2,620
Johnson3,93680.36%84717.29%1152.35%3,08963.07%4,898
Laramie28,06364.72%14,15332.64%1,1462.64%13,91032.08%43,362
Lincoln8,95782.63%1,62314.97%2602.40%7,33467.66%10,840
Natrona24,67172.73%8,33724.58%9132.69%16,33448.15%33,921
Niobrara1,10889.79%1129.08%141.13%99680.71%1,234
Park13,08478.15%3,25919.46%4002.39%9,82558.69%16,743
Platte3,87481.30%78016.37%1112.33%3,09464.93%4,765
Sheridan12,04173.31%3,92023.87%4642.82%8,12149.44%16,425
Sublette3,90579.31%92018.68%992.01%2,98560.63%4,924
Sweetwater12,54175.10%3,73122.34%4262.56%8,81052.76%16,698
Teton4,13431.12%8,74865.84%4043.04%-4,614-34.72%13,286
Uinta7,28280.12%1,56117.17%2462.71%5,72162.95%9,089
Washakie3,12580.60%65616.92%962.48%2,46963.68%3,877
Weston3,06987.39%37810.76%651.85%2,69176.63%3,512
Totals192,63371.60%69,52725.84%6,8882.56%123,10645.76%269,048

By congressional district

[edit]

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is called the at-large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
At-large72.3%26.1%Harriet Hageman

County that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcdKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Oliver (L) with 2%
  3. ^"Other candidate" with 5%

Partisan clients

  1. ^abcPoll conducted forKennedy's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Wyoming Voter Registration and Voter Turnout Statistics"(PDF).sos.wyo.gov/. RetrievedFebruary 6, 2025.
  2. ^Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021)."Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats".NPR.Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. RetrievedFebruary 7, 2023.
  3. ^"Wyoming Republican Presidential Nominating Process".The Green Papers. January 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2024.
  4. ^"Wyoming starts selecting presidential delegates Saturday. But there's not a statewide election".Associated Press. February 24, 2024. RetrievedApril 22, 2024.
  5. ^"Trump picks up more national delegates as the only choice for Wyoming Republicans".AP News. April 20, 2024. RetrievedApril 22, 2024.
  6. ^abBycoffe, Aaron; Mejía, Elena; Radcliffe, Mary; Burton, Cooper; Groskopf, Christopher; Newman, Alex; Mangan, Andrew; Sweedler, Maya (April 24, 2023)."Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on April 19, 2023. RetrievedApril 25, 2023.
  7. ^Shimizu Harris, Maya (November 18, 2022)."Support for Trump presidential bid tepid among Wyoming's Washington delegation".Casper Star Tribune. RetrievedMarch 16, 2023.
  8. ^Schwartz, Brian (December 11, 2022)."Meet the megadonors backing the Trump super PAC as some top donors opt out of supporting 2024 candidacy".CNBC. RetrievedMarch 16, 2023.
  9. ^"Wyoming GOP presidential election results". Politico. RetrievedApril 26, 2024.
  10. ^"Wyoming Presidential Caucus". The AP. RetrievedApril 18, 2024.
  11. ^"2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings".cookpolitical.com.Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2024.
  12. ^"Presidential Ratings".insideelections.com.Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2024.
  13. ^"2024 Electoral College ratings".centerforpolitics.org.University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2024.
  14. ^"2024 presidential predictions".elections2024.thehill.com/.The Hill. December 14, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2024.
  15. ^"2024 Presidential Forecast".projects.cnalysis.com/.CNalysis. December 30, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2024.
  16. ^"Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270".CNN. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2024.
  17. ^"Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model".The Economist. RetrievedJune 12, 2024.
  18. ^Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024)."2024 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on June 11, 2024. RetrievedJune 11, 2024.
  19. ^"2024 RCP Electoral College Map".RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. RetrievedJune 26, 2024.
  20. ^"Presidential Election Preview 2024".NBC News.
  21. ^"Wyoming Poll: Trump, Barrasso Dominate". The Cheyenne Post. November 1, 2024. RetrievedNovember 2, 2024.
  22. ^"Wyoming Election Year Survey, 2024".University of Wyoming. November 1, 2024.
  23. ^abc"Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump".Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  24. ^Mumford, Camille (October 17, 2023)."Wyoming 2024 Poll: President Biden with 13% Approval among Wyoming Residents".Emerson Polling.
  25. ^Wyoming Secretary of State."2024 General Election Statewide Candidates Summary"(PDF). RetrievedNovember 14, 2024.
U.S.
President
U.S.
Senate
U.S.
House

(election
ratings
)
Governors
Lieutenant
governors
Attorneys
general
Secretaries
of state
State
treasurers
State
auditors
Judicial
Other
statewide
elections
State
legislative
Mayors
Local
States and
territories
Ballot
measures
State and district results of the2024 United States presidential election
Electoral map, 2024 election
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2024_United_States_presidential_election_in_Wyoming&oldid=1318042358"
Categories:
Hidden categories:

[8]ページ先頭

©2009-2025 Movatter.jp