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| Turnout | 64.04% [1] 5.26pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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The2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Tennessee voters have chosen electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of Tennessee has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[2]
Prior to the election, all major news organizations once again considered Tennessee a safered state; the state has voted Republican in every presidential election since2000, including by double-digit margins since2004.
On election night, Tennessee votedRepublican for former presidentDonald Trump by a wide margin for the third time in a row, with him winning the state by 29.7%, a considerable increase from his 23.2% victory in2020 and to a lesser extent his 26% victory in2016.[3] He received more than 1.96 million Tennessee votes which was a record for votes cast for any candidate in state history.[4] This is the best performance from a Republican candidate for a presidential election in Tennessee sinceRichard Nixon's 37.9% victory in1972.
The Tennessee Democratic primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024. President Biden won the state in a landslide, earning all 63 pledged delegates
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 122,803 | 92.14% | 63 | 63 | |
| Uncommitted | 10,475 | 7.86% | 0 | 0 | |
| Total: | 133,278 | 100.00% | 63 | 7 | 70 |
The Tennessee Republican primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former presidentDonald J. Trump was challenged byNikki Haley, the only other major candidate remaining in the Republican primaries. Trump won the state in a landslide, defeating Haley by 57.8 points and earning all 58 delegates.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 446,850 | 77.33% | 58 | 0 | 58 |
| Nikki Haley | 112,958 | 19.55% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 7,947 | 1.38% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 4,884 | 0.85% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,874 | 0.32% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,714 | 0.30% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 722 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 533 | 0.09% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Stuckenberg | 352 | 0.06% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 577,834 | 100.00% | 58 | 0 | 58 |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[12] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[13] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[14] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[15] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[3] | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP[16] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[17] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[18] | October 5−28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 62% | 38% | – |
| ActiVote[19] | September 24 – October 16, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 62% | 38% | – |
| ActiVote[20] | July 26 – August 29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63% | 37% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[21][A] | September 27 – October 8, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 54% | 35% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| 971 (LV) | 56% | 35% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Donald J. Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[22][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 510 (LV) | – | 59% | 35% | 6% |
| Targoz Market Research[23][A] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 60% | 31% | 9% |
| 974 (LV) | 55% | 31% | 14% | |||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[24] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 216 (RV) | – | 58% | 34% | 8%[b] |
| 201 (LV) | 59% | 34% | 7%[b] | |||
| Targoz Market Research[25][A] | December 14–28, 2023 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
| 929 (LV) | 63% | 31% | 5% | |||
| Siena College[26][C] | November 5–10, 2023 | 805 (A) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 20% | 31% |
| Targoz Market Research[27][A] | October 5–16, 2023 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 59% | 29% | 12% |
| 835 (LV) | 61% | 30% | 9% | |||
| Emerson College[28] | October 1–4, 2023 | 410 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Targoz Market Research[29][A] | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,120 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 32% | 17% |
| 1,046 (LV) | 54% | 34% | 11% | |||
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[30] | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 42% | 26% | 31% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[31][A] | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,152 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 55% | 28% | 7% | 10% |
| 962 (LV) | 58% | 28% | 5% | 9% | |||
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[32] | April 26 – May 9, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 29% | 8% | 16%[c] |
| Targoz Market Research[23][A] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 25% | 16% | 11% |
| 974 (LV) | 47% | 28% | 15% | 10% | |||
| Targoz Market Research[25][A] | December 14–28, 2023 | 1,187 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 48% | 23% | 17% | 12% |
| 929 (LV) | 51% | 25% | 16% | 8% | |||
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[33] | November 14 – December 2, 2023 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 26% | 12% | 17% |
| Targoz Market Research[27][A] | October 5–16, 2023 | 1,164 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 18% | 22% | 14% |
| 872 (LV) | 48% | 23% | 19% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin as an Independent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Manchin Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[27][A] | October 5–16, 2023 | 1,118 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 21% | 5% | 22% |
| 844 (LV) | 53% | 23% | 6% | 18% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[22][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 510 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[22][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 510 (LV) | – | 55% | 31% | 14% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[29][A] | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,120 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 32% | 22% |
| 977 (LV) | 52% | 36% | 11% | |||
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[30] | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 33% | 24% | 40% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 1,966,865 | 64.19% | +3.53% | ||
| Democratic | 1,056,265 | 34.47% | −2.98% | ||
| Independent |
| 21,535 | 0.70% | N/A | |
| Green | 8,967 | 0.29% | +0.14% | ||
| Independent |
| 5,865 | 0.19% | N/A | |
| Socialism and Liberation | 3,457 | 0.11% | +0.03% | ||
| Socialist Workers |
| 988 | 0.03% | −0.05% | |
| Total votes | 3,063,942 | 100.00% | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
| County[35] | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Anderson | 24,582 | 67.26% | 11,525 | 31.53% | 441 | 1.21% | 13,057 | 35.73% | 36,548 |
| Bedford | 15,772 | 78.51% | 4,122 | 20.52% | 196 | 0.97% | 11,650 | 57.99% | 20,090 |
| Benton | 5,886 | 81.07% | 1,317 | 18.14% | 57 | 0.79% | 4,569 | 62.93% | 7,260 |
| Bledsoe | 5,254 | 84.87% | 891 | 14.39% | 46 | 0.74% | 4,363 | 70.48% | 6,191 |
| Blount | 50,699 | 73.24% | 17,664 | 25.52% | 861 | 1.24% | 33,035 | 47.72% | 69,224 |
| Bradley | 38,836 | 78.86% | 9,852 | 20.01% | 558 | 1.13% | 28,984 | 58.85% | 49,246 |
| Campbell | 13,115 | 84.46% | 2,305 | 14.84% | 108 | 0.70% | 10,810 | 69.62% | 15,528 |
| Cannon | 5,682 | 82.58% | 1,132 | 16.45% | 67 | 0.97% | 4,550 | 66.13% | 6,881 |
| Carroll | 9,547 | 80.35% | 2,233 | 18.79% | 102 | 0.86% | 7,314 | 61.56% | 11,882 |
| Carter | 20,167 | 81.15% | 4,454 | 17.92% | 231 | 0.93% | 15,713 | 63.23% | 24,852 |
| Cheatham | 14,987 | 72.26% | 5,464 | 26.34% | 290 | 1.40% | 9,523 | 45.92% | 20,741 |
| Chester | 6,206 | 81.91% | 1,286 | 16.97% | 85 | 1.12% | 4,920 | 64.94% | 7,577 |
| Claiborne | 11,463 | 84.70% | 1,971 | 14.56% | 100 | 0.74% | 9,492 | 70.14% | 13,534 |
| Clay | 3,117 | 82.90% | 614 | 16.33% | 29 | 0.77% | 2,503 | 66.57% | 3,760 |
| Cocke | 13,105 | 83.67% | 2,415 | 15.42% | 143 | 0.91% | 10,690 | 68.25% | 15,663 |
| Coffee | 19,174 | 76.91% | 5,440 | 21.82% | 318 | 1.27% | 13,734 | 55.09% | 24,932 |
| Crockett | 4,674 | 78.94% | 1,196 | 20.20% | 51 | 0.86% | 3,478 | 58.74% | 5,921 |
| Cumberland | 27,399 | 79.09% | 6,996 | 20.20% | 247 | 0.71% | 20,403 | 58.89% | 34,642 |
| Davidson | 102,256 | 35.26% | 181,862 | 62.70% | 5,918 | 2.04% | −79,606 | −27.44% | 290,036 |
| Decatur | 4,596 | 84.08% | 819 | 14.98% | 51 | 0.94% | 3,777 | 69.10% | 5,466 |
| DeKalb | 7,599 | 80.87% | 1,706 | 18.16% | 91 | 0.97% | 5,893 | 62.71% | 9,396 |
| Dickson | 19,002 | 75.39% | 5,913 | 23.46% | 289 | 1.15% | 13,089 | 51.93% | 25,204 |
| Dyer | 11,603 | 80.61% | 2,707 | 18.81% | 84 | 0.58% | 8,896 | 61.80% | 14,394 |
| Fayette | 16,756 | 70.71% | 6,720 | 28.36% | 220 | 0.93% | 10,036 | 42.35% | 23,696 |
| Fentress | 8,555 | 87.56% | 1,149 | 11.76% | 67 | 0.68% | 7,406 | 75.80% | 9,771 |
| Franklin | 15,016 | 76.12% | 4,529 | 22.96% | 183 | 0.92% | 10,487 | 53.16% | 19,728 |
| Gibson | 16,346 | 75.51% | 5,100 | 23.56% | 202 | 0.93% | 11,246 | 51.95% | 21,648 |
| Giles | 10,394 | 77.07% | 2,974 | 22.05% | 119 | 0.88% | 7,420 | 55.02% | 13,487 |
| Grainger | 9,630 | 86.52% | 1,432 | 12.87% | 68 | 0.61% | 8,198 | 73.65% | 11,130 |
| Greene | 25,586 | 82.28% | 5,145 | 16.55% | 364 | 1.17% | 20,441 | 65.73% | 31,095 |
| Grundy | 5,334 | 84.29% | 948 | 14.98% | 46 | 0.73% | 4,386 | 69.31% | 6,328 |
| Hamblen | 20,154 | 79.03% | 5,132 | 20.12% | 215 | 0.85% | 15,022 | 58.91% | 25,501 |
| Hamilton | 97,195 | 55.72% | 74,437 | 42.67% | 2,806 | 1.61% | 22,758 | 13.05% | 174,438 |
| Hancock | 2,558 | 87.96% | 334 | 11.49% | 16 | 0.55% | 2,224 | 76.47% | 2,908 |
| Hardeman | 5,793 | 61.63% | 3,527 | 37.53% | 79 | 0.84% | 2,266 | 24.10% | 9,399 |
| Hardin | 10,293 | 85.11% | 1,704 | 14.09% | 97 | 0.80% | 8,589 | 71.02% | 12,094 |
| Hawkins | 22,066 | 84.01% | 3,987 | 15.18% | 213 | 0.81% | 18,079 | 68.83% | 26,266 |
| Haywood | 3,286 | 49.40% | 3,311 | 49.77% | 55 | 0.83% | −25 | −0.37% | 6,652 |
| Henderson | 10,083 | 83.70% | 1,902 | 15.79% | 62 | 0.51% | 8,181 | 67.91% | 12,047 |
| Henry | 11,629 | 77.14% | 3,286 | 21.80% | 161 | 1.06% | 8,343 | 55.34% | 15,076 |
| Hickman | 8,265 | 80.17% | 1,968 | 19.09% | 76 | 0.74% | 6,297 | 61.08% | 10,309 |
| Houston | 2,989 | 78.45% | 773 | 20.29% | 48 | 1.26% | 2,216 | 58.16% | 3,810 |
| Humphreys | 6,400 | 77.44% | 1,767 | 21.38% | 97 | 1.18% | 4,633 | 56.06% | 8,264 |
| Jackson | 4,586 | 80.80% | 1,040 | 18.32% | 50 | 0.88% | 3,546 | 62.48% | 5,676 |
| Jefferson | 21,068 | 81.61% | 4,503 | 17.44% | 244 | 0.95% | 16,565 | 64.17% | 25,815 |
| Johnson | 6,829 | 84.29% | 1,212 | 14.96% | 61 | 0.75% | 5,617 | 69.33% | 8,102 |
| Knox | 130,815 | 58.96% | 87,516 | 39.45% | 3,533 | 1.59% | 43,299 | 19.51% | 221,864 |
| Lake | 1,493 | 77.00% | 429 | 22.12% | 17 | 0.88% | 1,064 | 54.88% | 1,939 |
| Lauderdale | 5,633 | 68.15% | 2,571 | 31.10% | 62 | 0.75% | 3,062 | 37.05% | 8,266 |
| Lawrence | 16,429 | 84.11% | 2,939 | 15.05% | 165 | 0.84% | 13,490 | 69.06% | 19,533 |
| Lewis | 4,852 | 82.38% | 991 | 16.83% | 47 | 0.79% | 3,861 | 65.55% | 5,890 |
| Lincoln | 13,208 | 81.89% | 2,782 | 17.25% | 138 | 0.86% | 10,426 | 64.64% | 16,128 |
| Loudon | 25,226 | 75.96% | 7,625 | 22.96% | 358 | 1.08% | 17,601 | 53.00% | 33,209 |
| Macon | 8,958 | 86.69% | 1,277 | 12.36% | 98 | 0.95% | 7,681 | 74.33% | 10,333 |
| Madison | 23,385 | 58.52% | 16,115 | 40.32% | 464 | 1.16% | 7,270 | 18.20% | 39,964 |
| Marion | 10,788 | 77.43% | 3,026 | 21.72% | 119 | 0.85% | 7,762 | 55.71% | 13,933 |
| Marshall | 12,426 | 77.85% | 3,390 | 21.24% | 146 | 0.91% | 9,036 | 56.61% | 15,962 |
| Maury | 37,376 | 71.75% | 14,145 | 27.15% | 569 | 1.10% | 23,231 | 44.60% | 52,090 |
| McMinn | 19,673 | 81.73% | 4,207 | 17.48% | 192 | 0.79% | 15,466 | 64.25% | 24,072 |
| McNairy | 9,437 | 83.76% | 1,727 | 15.33% | 103 | 0.91% | 7,710 | 68.43% | 11,267 |
| Meigs | 5,085 | 83.37% | 968 | 15.87% | 46 | 0.76% | 4,117 | 67.50% | 6,099 |
| Monroe | 18,526 | 82.99% | 3,608 | 16.16% | 189 | 0.85% | 14,918 | 66.83% | 22,323 |
| Montgomery | 47,795 | 58.46% | 32,736 | 40.04% | 1,224 | 1.50% | 15,059 | 18.42% | 81,755 |
| Moore | 3,060 | 83.74% | 542 | 14.83% | 52 | 1.43% | 2,518 | 68.91% | 3,654 |
| Morgan | 7,427 | 86.76% | 1,054 | 12.31% | 79 | 0.93% | 6,373 | 74.45% | 8,560 |
| Obion | 10,596 | 82.14% | 2,221 | 17.22% | 83 | 0.64% | 8,375 | 64.92% | 12,900 |
| Overton | 9,042 | 81.69% | 1,931 | 17.45% | 96 | 0.86% | 7,111 | 64.24% | 11,069 |
| Perry | 3,139 | 84.47% | 558 | 15.02% | 19 | 0.51% | 2,581 | 69.45% | 3,716 |
| Pickett | 2,441 | 82.63% | 487 | 16.49% | 26 | 0.88% | 1,954 | 66.14% | 2,954 |
| Polk | 7,302 | 83.67% | 1,356 | 15.54% | 69 | 0.79% | 5,946 | 68.13% | 8,727 |
| Putnam | 25,554 | 73.14% | 8,991 | 25.73% | 394 | 1.13% | 16,563 | 47.41% | 34,939 |
| Rhea | 11,974 | 82.90% | 2,312 | 16.01% | 158 | 1.09% | 9,662 | 66.89% | 14,444 |
| Roane | 21,011 | 76.65% | 6,073 | 22.15% | 328 | 1.20% | 14,938 | 54.50% | 27,412 |
| Robertson | 26,260 | 74.88% | 8,428 | 24.03% | 382 | 1.09% | 17,832 | 50.85% | 35,070 |
| Rutherford | 88,811 | 60.15% | 56,656 | 38.37% | 2,189 | 1.48% | 32,155 | 21.78% | 147,656 |
| Scott | 8,608 | 89.62% | 942 | 9.81% | 55 | 0.57% | 7,666 | 79.81% | 9,605 |
| Sequatchie | 6,522 | 82.66% | 1,292 | 16.38% | 76 | 0.96% | 5,230 | 66.28% | 7,890 |
| Sevier | 35,207 | 80.07% | 8,322 | 18.93% | 441 | 1.00% | 26,885 | 61.14% | 43,970 |
| Shelby | 118,917 | 36.42% | 201,759 | 61.80% | 5,821 | 1.78% | −82,842 | −25.38% | 326,497 |
| Smith | 7,655 | 81.99% | 1,595 | 17.08% | 86 | 0.93% | 6,060 | 64.91% | 9,336 |
| Stewart | 5,389 | 81.40% | 1,160 | 17.52% | 71 | 1.08% | 4,229 | 63.88% | 6,620 |
| Sullivan | 58,154 | 76.98% | 16,624 | 22.01% | 763 | 1.01% | 41,530 | 54.97% | 75,541 |
| Sumner | 68,767 | 70.34% | 27,874 | 28.51% | 1,120 | 1.15% | 40,893 | 41.83% | 97,761 |
| Tipton | 20,303 | 75.95% | 6,178 | 23.11% | 252 | 0.94% | 14,125 | 52.84% | 26,733 |
| Trousdale | 3,359 | 79.02% | 856 | 20.14% | 36 | 0.84% | 2,503 | 58.88% | 4,251 |
| Unicoi | 6,876 | 80.51% | 1,578 | 18.48% | 87 | 1.01% | 5,298 | 62.03% | 8,541 |
| Union | 7,384 | 85.18% | 1,216 | 14.03% | 69 | 0.79% | 6,168 | 71.15% | 8,669 |
| Van Buren | 2,718 | 83.25% | 524 | 16.05% | 23 | 0.70% | 2,194 | 67.20% | 3,265 |
| Warren | 13,192 | 77.53% | 3,647 | 21.43% | 176 | 1.04% | 9,545 | 56.10% | 17,015 |
| Washington | 42,299 | 69.08% | 18,131 | 29.61% | 804 | 1.31% | 24,168 | 39.47% | 61,234 |
| Wayne | 6,016 | 88.07% | 762 | 11.16% | 53 | 0.77% | 5,254 | 76.91% | 6,831 |
| Weakley | 10,541 | 78.70% | 2,725 | 20.34% | 128 | 0.96% | 7,816 | 58.36% | 13,394 |
| White | 10,717 | 82.88% | 2,105 | 16.28% | 109 | 0.84% | 8,612 | 66.60% | 12,931 |
| Williamson | 94,562 | 65.36% | 47,695 | 32.97% | 2,411 | 1.67% | 46,867 | 32.39% | 144,668 |
| Wilson | 56,425 | 69.44% | 23,855 | 29.36% | 974 | 1.20% | 32,570 | 40.08% | 81,254 |
| Totals | 1,966,865 | 64.19% | 1,056,265 | 34.47% | 40,812 | 1.34% | 910,600 | 29.72% | 3,063,942 |
Trump won eight of nine congressional districts.[36]
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 78.41% | 20.57% | Diana Harshbarger |
| 2nd | 66.24% | 32.38% | Tim Burchett |
| 3rd | 67.29% | 31.40% | Chuck Fleischmann |
| 4th | 71.19% | 27.61% | Scott DesJarlais |
| 5th | 58.22% | 40.18% | Andy Ogles |
| 6th | 66.96% | 31.80% | John W. Rose |
| 7th | 60.31% | 38.24% | Mark E. Green |
| 8th | 70.25% | 28.63% | David Kustoff |
| 9th | 27.77% | 70.44% | Steve Cohen |
TheNashville metropolitan area, which includes urbanDavidson County (home to Tennessee’s state capitalNashville), along with the suburban counties ofRutherford,Sumner,Williamson, andWilson; the exurban counties ofCheatham,Maury, andRobertson; and the rural counties ofCannon,Dickson,Hickman,Macon,Smith, andTrousdale, voted as follows:
In Davidson County, Kamala Harris received 62.7% of the vote. The county has not supported a Republican presidential candidate sinceGeorge H. W. Bush in1988. Notably, Donald Trump performed surprisingly well in some of Nashville'surban core. He lostDowntown Nashville, home to landmarks likeBroadway and theCountry Music Hall of Fame and Museum, by only 7.9%—a significant improvement from his 24.6% loss there in2020.[39][40] Trump's strongest performance in Davidson County came from itsrural northern areas, such asJoelton. He also won in parts of southern Davidson County, includingsuburban areas likeForest Hills andBelle Meade.[41][42]
The surrounding suburban, exurban, and rural counties voted heavily for Trump. He received high raw vote totals in Rutherford, Sumner, Williamson, and Wilson counties, all of which ranked among the fastest-growing areas of Tennessee in 2023.[43] In Rutherford County, Trump carried the city ofMurfreesboro by 15.4%.[44] Across the Nashville metropolitan area, Trump received 58.0% of the vote, while Harris received 40.5%.[45]
Hamilton County, home toChattanooga, voted somewhat comfortably for Donald Trump, who received 55.7% of the vote. The last Democrat to win the county wasHarry S. Truman in 1948, althoughGeorge Wallace did win a plurality in 1968.[46] Kamala Harris won Chattanooga’s city limits by a 14.2% margin of victory. However, this was a decline from Joe Biden’s 18.8% margin during the 2020 election. Trump improved on his previous performance in the county, returning it to a double-digit margin after winning by only a single-digit margin in 2020.
Trump’s strength came from the suburban and mainly rural areas of Hamilton County, which outweighed Democratic support in the city. Outside Chattanooga, he dominated nearly all precincts, with his strongest performance in the northern and eastern rural parts of the county, which contributed to his comfortable overall lead in the county.[44]
Knox County, home toKnoxville, voted comfortably for Donald Trump, who received 59.0% of the vote. This result continues the county’s long-standing Republican tradition, as it has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate sinceFranklin D. Roosevelt in1940. Despite this Republican dominance, Kamala Harris won Knoxville’s city limits by a 11.4% margin of victory. However, this was a decline from Joe Biden’s 16.0% margin during the 2020 election.[44]
Trump's victory in Knox County was largely driven by his overwhelming support in the suburban and rural areas, which offset Harris’s strength in the urban core. Outside of Knoxville, Trump dominated nearly all precincts, with his strongest showing in the rural northern parts of the county. These regions played a pivotal role in securing his comfortable win.
Montgomery County, home toClarksville andFort Campbell, voted comfortably for Donald Trump, who received 58.5% of the vote. The county has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate sinceBill Clinton in1996.
Clarksville’s urban core, including its diverse neighborhoods and precincts, showed competitive support for Kamala Harris. However, other precincts outside the urban core offset that Democratic strength, helping Trump carry the city by a 6.2% margin, an improvement from his narrow 0.4% margin in 2020.[48] Most of the rural and suburban precincts outside Clarksville, such asCunningham,Palmyra,Port Royal, andSango, voted overwhelmingly for Trump, contributing to his comfortable overall lead in the county.[49]
Shelby County, home toMemphis, and the most populated county in Tennessee voted decisively for Kamala Harris, who received 61.8% of the vote. The county has not supported a Republican presidential candidate sinceGeorge H. W. Bush in1988. Harris’s win in the county was driven largely by the predominantlyblack, Democratic-leaning population of Memphis, which forms the county's urban core.
Trump performed best in Shelby County’s eastern white suburbs, includingBartlett,Collierville, andGermantown which tend to lean more conservative. He also did well in northern parts of the county, includingMillington, reflecting the stark demographic and geographical divide.[50][42]
A fast-growingSouthern state in the heart of theBible Belt, no Democrat has won Tennessee's electoral votes sinceBill Clinton of neighboringArkansas, who shared the ticket withfavorite sonAl Gore, in1996, nor has it been contested at the presidential level since2000, when Gore narrowly lost his home state by less than 4 points. The last Democratic presidential candidate to win at least 40% of the state vote wasBarack Obama in2008, and Republicans have occupied all statewide offices in Tennessee since2011.
Swing by county
Trend[f] relative to the nation by countyTennessee handed RepublicanDonald Trump a decisive victory, doing so by a margin of 910,600 votes, making it his third-largest state win in terms of vote count, followingTexas andFlorida, which are also in the South. This election marks the third consecutive cycle in which a presidential candidate secured over 60% of the Tennessean vote. Notably, Trump improved his margins in every county and gained significant support across all demographics, performing better inrural,exurban,suburban, andurban areas.[51]
Trump was able to increase his support in theNashville metropolitan area, particularly in the suburban counties ofWilliamson,Rutherford,Wilson, andSumner, performing similarly to his2016 results. He gained ground in every county and even recaptured support in the Democratic strongholds ofShelby andDavidson Counties, home toMemphis andNashville, as well as in the Republican strongholds ofHamilton,Knox, andMontgomery Counties, home toChattanooga,Knoxville, andClarksville.
Trump also came close to flipping majority-BlackHaywood County, losing it by just 25 votes. Notably, Haywood County voted Republican in theSenate andcongressional race on the same ballot. This was the closest the county has come to voting Republican in a presidential race since1972.[52]
Trump won all three ofTennessee's Grand Divisions—West,Middle, andEast Tennessee. Middle and East Tennessee are solidly Republican, while West Tennessee, owing to its high Black population, was formerly loyal to the Democrats. It has become competitive for Republicans in recent elections. In2020, Trump had won it with 49.43% to Biden's 49.06%. Democrats had previously won West Tennessee in2004,2008, and2012.[53][54]
| Grand Division | Trump | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| West | 53.36% | 45.25% |
| Middle | 62.84% | 35.75% |
| East | 71.28% | 27.51% |
Partisan clients
State and district results of the2024 United States presidential election | ||
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