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| Turnout | 62.61%[1] ( 0.04pp) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Precinct results
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| Elections in North Dakota | ||||||||
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The2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.North Dakota voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Dakota has three electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state gained no further congressional seats.[2]
On election night, Trump carried the state with an overwhelming victory margin of 36.45%, the highest out of any Republican presidential victory in the state since1980. It was Trump's fourth strongest state in margin of victory, behindIdaho,West Virginia andWyoming. Trump's 66.96% vote share is the largest for any presidential candidate in the state since1952.
By margin, this was the worst performance by a Democratic presidential nominee in North Dakota since1980, whenJimmy Carter lost the state by about 38%. Harris lost the state by 36.45%, worse thanHillary Clinton's 35.73% losing margin in2016.
The North Dakota Democratic primary was held mostly through mail in ballots. Limited in-person voting was held, and all ballots were due March 30, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden(incumbent) | 840 | 92.4% | 13 | 13 | |
| Marianne Williamson | 31 | 3.4% | |||
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 16 | 1.8% | |||
| Cenk Uygur (withdrawn) | 13 | 1.4% | |||
| Eban Cambridge | 4 | 0.4% | |||
| Stephen Lyons (withdrawn) | 3 | 0.3% | |||
| Jason Palmer | 2 | 0.2% | |||
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 0 | 0% | |||
| Total: | 909 | 100.0% | 13 | 4 | 17 |
The North Dakota Republican caucuses were held on March 4, 2024, one day beforeSuper Tuesday, where 15 states and 865 total delegates were up for election.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 1,632 | 84.43% | 29 | 0 | 29 |
| Nikki Haley | 273 | 14.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Stuckenberg | 19 | 0.98% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 9 | 0.47% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 1,933 | 100.00% | 29 | 0 | 29 |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[5] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[6] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[9] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[10] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[11] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[12] | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP[13] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[14] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic–NPL | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D)[15][A] | September 23–26, 2024 | 500 (LV) | – | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic–NPL | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence (R)[16][B] | September 28–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 59% | 32% | 1% | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic–NPL | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[17][C] | June 15–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 62% | 28% | 10% |
| John Zogby Strategies[18][D] | April 13–21, 2024 | 300 (LV) | – | 55% | 37% | 8% |
| Emerson College[19] | October 1–4, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 17% | 28% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[18][D] | April 13–21, 2024 | 300 (LV) | – | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic–NPL | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[18][D] | April 13–21, 2024 | 300 (LV) | – | 58% | 30% | 12% |
Swing by county| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 246,505 | 66.96% |  1.85% | ||
| Democratic–NPL | 112,327 | 30.51% | 1.27% | ||
| Libertarian | 6,227 | 1.69% | 0.91% | ||
| Write-in | 3,096 | 0.84% | 0.31% | ||
| Total votes | 368,155 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic-NPL | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 962 | 80.10% | 215 | 17.90% | 24 | 2.00% | 747 | 62.20% | 1,201 |
| Barnes | 3,531 | 66.14% | 1,661 | 31.11% | 147 | 2.75% | 1,870 | 35.03% | 5,339 |
| Benson | 1,163 | 58.09% | 795 | 39.71% | 44 | 2.20% | 368 | 18.38% | 2,002 |
| Billings | 543 | 83.93% | 93 | 14.37% | 11 | 1.70% | 450 | 69.56% | 647 |
| Bottineau | 2,628 | 76.24% | 735 | 21.32% | 84 | 2.44% | 1,893 | 54.92% | 3,447 |
| Bowman | 1,384 | 85.54% | 207 | 12.79% | 27 | 1.67% | 1,177 | 72.75% | 1,618 |
| Burke | 909 | 86.08% | 130 | 12.31% | 17 | 1.61% | 779 | 73.77% | 1,056 |
| Burleigh | 36,595 | 70.02% | 14,215 | 27.20% | 1,453 | 2.78% | 22,380 | 42.82% | 52,263 |
| Cass | 47,873 | 52.69% | 40,304 | 44.36% | 2,674 | 2.94% | 7,569 | 8.33% | 90,851 |
| Cavalier | 1,461 | 73.53% | 491 | 24.71% | 35 | 1.76% | 970 | 48.82% | 1,987 |
| Dickey | 1,829 | 74.56% | 557 | 22.71% | 67 | 2.73% | 1,272 | 51.85% | 2,453 |
| Divide | 914 | 76.10% | 253 | 21.07% | 34 | 2.83% | 661 | 55.03% | 1,201 |
| Dunn | 1,877 | 83.72% | 332 | 14.81% | 33 | 1.47% | 1,545 | 68.91% | 2,242 |
| Eddy | 862 | 71.54% | 316 | 26.22% | 27 | 2.24% | 546 | 45.32% | 1,205 |
| Emmons | 1,697 | 87.93% | 205 | 10.62% | 28 | 1.45% | 1,492 | 77.31% | 1,930 |
| Foster | 1,326 | 77.86% | 335 | 19.67% | 42 | 2.47% | 991 | 58.19% | 1,703 |
| Golden Valley | 847 | 85.47% | 122 | 12.31% | 22 | 2.22% | 725 | 73.16% | 991 |
| Grand Forks | 18,123 | 57.70% | 12,469 | 39.70% | 819 | 2.61% | 5,654 | 18.00% | 31,411 |
| Grant | 1,076 | 82.39% | 205 | 15.70% | 25 | 1.91% | 871 | 66.69% | 1,306 |
| Griggs | 963 | 74.71% | 301 | 23.35% | 25 | 1.94% | 662 | 51.36% | 1,289 |
| Hettinger | 1,089 | 83.38% | 192 | 14.70% | 25 | 1.92% | 897 | 68.68% | 1,306 |
| Kidder | 1,137 | 81.33% | 238 | 17.02% | 23 | 1.64% | 899 | 64.31% | 1,398 |
| LaMoure | 1,614 | 76.02% | 453 | 21.34% | 56 | 2.64% | 1,161 | 54.68% | 2,123 |
| Logan | 898 | 86.93% | 117 | 11.33% | 18 | 1.74% | 781 | 75.60% | 1,033 |
| McHenry | 2,223 | 80.78% | 479 | 17.41% | 50 | 1.82% | 1,744 | 63.37% | 2,752 |
| McIntosh | 1,132 | 81.44% | 229 | 16.47% | 29 | 2.09% | 903 | 64.97% | 1,390 |
| McKenzie | 4,627 | 83.81% | 809 | 14.65% | 85 | 1.54% | 3,818 | 69.16% | 5,521 |
| McLean | 4,231 | 78.05% | 1,093 | 20.16% | 97 | 1.79% | 3,138 | 57.89% | 5,421 |
| Mercer | 3,798 | 83.38% | 672 | 14.75% | 85 | 1.87% | 3,126 | 68.63% | 4,555 |
| Morton | 12,839 | 75.36% | 3,748 | 22.00% | 449 | 2.63% | 9,091 | 53.36% | 17,036 |
| Mountrail | 2,877 | 70.64% | 1,125 | 27.62% | 71 | 1.74% | 1,752 | 43.02% | 4,073 |
| Nelson | 1,141 | 64.79% | 580 | 32.94% | 40 | 2.27% | 561 | 31.85% | 1,761 |
| Oliver | 909 | 83.62% | 156 | 14.35% | 22 | 2.03% | 753 | 69.27% | 1,087 |
| Pembina | 2,350 | 75.51% | 704 | 22.62% | 58 | 1.86% | 1,646 | 52.89% | 3,112 |
| Pierce | 1,493 | 75.79% | 439 | 22.28% | 38 | 1.93% | 1,054 | 53.51% | 1,970 |
| Ramsey | 3,609 | 68.89% | 1,513 | 28.88% | 117 | 2.24% | 2,096 | 40.01% | 5,239 |
| Ransom | 1,661 | 62.70% | 920 | 34.73% | 68 | 2.57% | 740 | 27.97% | 2,649 |
| Renville | 993 | 82.20% | 179 | 14.82% | 36 | 2.98% | 814 | 67.38% | 1,208 |
| Richland | 5,576 | 67.50% | 2,473 | 29.94% | 212 | 2.57% | 3,103 | 37.56% | 8,261 |
| Rolette | 1,427 | 35.02% | 2,567 | 62.99% | 81 | 1.99% | -1,140 | -27.97% | 4,075 |
| Sargent | 1,325 | 64.86% | 663 | 32.45% | 55 | 2.69% | 662 | 32.41% | 2,043 |
| Sheridan | 644 | 85.07% | 101 | 13.34% | 12 | 1.59% | 543 | 71.73% | 757 |
| Sioux | 285 | 29.91% | 654 | 68.63% | 14 | 1.46% | -369 | -38.72% | 953 |
| Slope | 351 | 90.23% | 33 | 8.48% | 5 | 1.28% | 318 | 81.75% | 389 |
| Stark | 12,323 | 81.61% | 2,473 | 16.38% | 304 | 2.01% | 9,850 | 65.23% | 15,100 |
| Steele | 622 | 61.28% | 367 | 36.16% | 26 | 2.57% | 255 | 25.12% | 1,015 |
| Stutsman | 7,185 | 70.90% | 2,692 | 26.56% | 257 | 2.53% | 4,493 | 44.34% | 10,134 |
| Towner | 796 | 71.45% | 289 | 25.94% | 29 | 2.60% | 507 | 45.51% | 1,114 |
| Traill | 2,650 | 64.40% | 1,359 | 33.03% | 106 | 2.58% | 1,291 | 31.37% | 4,115 |
| Walsh | 3,186 | 70.86% | 1,173 | 26.09% | 137 | 3.05% | 2,013 | 44.77% | 4,496 |
| Ward | 20,635 | 72.27% | 7,215 | 25.27% | 702 | 2.46% | 13,420 | 47.00% | 28,552 |
| Wells | 1,815 | 80.56% | 405 | 17.98% | 33 | 1.47% | 1,410 | 62.58% | 2,253 |
| Williams | 12,501 | 82.67% | 2,276 | 15.05% | 345 | 2.28% | 10,225 | 67.62% | 15,122 |
| Totals | 246,505 | 66.96% | 112,327 | 30.51% | 9,323 | 2.53% | 134,178 | 36.45% | 368,155 |
Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is an at-large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| At-large | 66.96% | 30.51% | Julie Fedorchak |
A sparsely populatedGreat Plains state with a predominantlyWhite populace and electorate, North Dakota has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate sinceLyndon B. Johnson won it in his nationwide1964 landslide. Furthermore, it has only been decided by single digits in three presidential elections since 1964:1976,1996, and2008.Agribusiness and therecent oil boom have played a key role in cementing the GOP's overwhelming dominance in the state.
North Dakota has one of the highest percentage of Native Americans in the country, a constituency that has been relatively solidly Democratic in the past. In 2024, however, Native Americans shifted heavily to the right, with North Dakota's Native population following that trend.Sioux County, North Dakota's most Native American county, shifted harder to the right than any county in the state.[21]
North Dakota is considered a deeplyred state, and Republican nominee and former presidentDonald Trump won it by over 30 percentage points in both2016 and2020. In terms of popular vote percentage, North Dakota wasLibertarian candidateChase Oliver's strongest state, with 1.7 percent.[22]
Partisan clients
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