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| Turnout | 57.5% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Mississippi voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. Mississippi's six votes in the Electoral College were unaffected byreapportionment after the2020 United States census.[1]
Donald Trump ran on the Republican ballot for a third consecutive time, winning the state by a margin of 22.9%, up 6.4 points from his marginfour years earlier. Trump was the first person to receive 60% of the vote in a presidential election in Mississippi sinceRonald Reagan in1984. Before the election, most news organizations considered Mississippi a safe win for Trump.
Turnout noticeably fell, with Harris receiving more than 70,000 fewer votes than Biden, and fewer raw votes thanHillary Clinton in2016. This was the first time since2004 that the Democratic presidential nominee won less than 40% of the vote in Mississippi, a state that is 38%Black. All but one county (Sharkey County) shifted towards Republicans, and Trump flipped somemajority-Black counties.
The Mississippi Republican primary was held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries inHawaii,Idaho,Missouri, andWashington. 40 delegates to theRepublican National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[2]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 229,198 | 92.50% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 13,437 | 5.42% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 4,042 | 1.63% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,096 | 0.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 247,773 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
The 2024 Mississippi Democratic presidential primary was held on March 12, 2024, alongside theDemocrats Abroad,Georgia,Mississippi, andWashington primaries, andNorthern Mariana Islands caucuses. 40 delegates to theDemocratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[4]
In Mississippi, candidates have to pay a filing fee of $2,500 and gather at least 500 signatures to make the primary ballot.[5] Incumbent PresidentJoe Biden won the primary, being the only candidate that met these requirements.[6][better source needed]
Results
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 87,922 | 98.7% | 35 | ||
| Write-in votes | 1,187 | 1.3% | |||
| Total: | 89,109 | 100.00% | 35 | 35 | |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[8] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[12] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[13] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[14] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[15] | Solid R | September 20, 2024 |
| RCP[16] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[17] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
| YouGov[18] | Likely R | November 1, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[19] | Safe R | November 1, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[20][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 423 (LV) | – | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[20][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 423 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[21][B] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
A study by the Center for Election Innovation & Research in July 2024 found that Mississippi is one of only three remaining states (along with Alabama and New Hampshire) to offer no early in-person voting option for the 2024 general election. The state also requires an eligible reason to vote by mail.[22]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 747,744 | 60.89% | +3.29% | ||
| Democratic | 466,668 | 38.00% | −3.06% | ||
| Independent |
| 5,387 | 0.44% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | 2,536 | 0.21% | −0.40% | ||
| Green | 1,873 | 0.15% | +0.04% | ||
| Socialism and Liberation | 1,075 | 0.09% | N/A | ||
| Constitution | 1,030 | 0.08% | N/A | ||
| American Solidarity |
| 1,007 | 0.08% | −0.01% | |
| Independent |
| 688 | 0.06% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,228,008 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County[24][25] | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 5,081 | 42.60% | 6,743 | 56.53% | 104 | 0.87% | -1,662 | -13.93% | 11,928 |
| Alcorn | 12,657 | 83.75% | 2,328 | 15.40% | 127 | 0.84% | 10,329 | 68.35% | 15,112 |
| Amite | 4,484 | 65.80% | 2,246 | 32.96% | 85 | 1.25% | 2,238 | 32.84% | 6,815 |
| Attala | 4,723 | 61.31% | 2,930 | 38.04% | 50 | 0.65% | 1,793 | 23.28% | 7,703 |
| Benton | 2,535 | 65.34% | 1,318 | 33.97% | 27 | 0.70% | 1,217 | 31.37% | 3,880 |
| Bolivar | 3,943 | 37.79% | 6,419 | 61.51% | 73 | 0.70% | -2,476 | -23.73% | 10,435 |
| Calhoun | 4,443 | 73.63% | 1,547 | 25.64% | 44 | 0.73% | 2,896 | 47.99% | 6,034 |
| Carroll | 3,730 | 71.81% | 1,431 | 27.55% | 33 | 0.64% | 2,299 | 44.26% | 5,194 |
| Chickasaw | 4,079 | 56.39% | 3,090 | 42.71% | 65 | 0.90% | 989 | 13.67% | 7,234 |
| Choctaw | 2,881 | 74.06% | 965 | 24.81% | 44 | 1.13% | 1,916 | 49.25% | 3,890 |
| Claiborne | 558 | 15.76% | 2,950 | 83.31% | 33 | 0.93% | -2,392 | -67.55% | 3,541 |
| Clarke | 5,093 | 67.27% | 2,430 | 32.10% | 48 | 0.63% | 2,663 | 35.17% | 7,571 |
| Clay | 4,017 | 44.35% | 4,960 | 54.76% | 80 | 0.88% | -943 | -10.41% | 9,057 |
| Coahoma | 2,008 | 29.57% | 4,711 | 69.38% | 71 | 1.05% | -2,703 | -39.81% | 6,790 |
| Copiah | 6,134 | 52.58% | 5,426 | 46.52% | 105 | 0.90% | 708 | 6.07% | 11,665 |
| Covington | 5,869 | 66.23% | 2,921 | 32.96% | 71 | 0.80% | 2,948 | 33.27% | 8,861 |
| DeSoto | 48,064 | 60.78% | 29,023 | 36.70% | 1,995 | 2.52% | 19,041 | 24.08% | 79,082 |
| Forrest | 16,579 | 58.24% | 11,475 | 40.31% | 412 | 1.45% | 5,104 | 17.93% | 28,466 |
| Franklin | 2,831 | 69.63% | 1,213 | 29.83% | 22 | 0.54% | 1,618 | 39.79% | 4,066 |
| George | 9,858 | 89.06% | 1,138 | 10.28% | 73 | 0.66% | 8,720 | 78.78% | 11,069 |
| Greene | 4,776 | 84.55% | 835 | 14.78% | 38 | 0.67% | 3,941 | 69.76% | 5,649 |
| Grenada | 5,651 | 57.86% | 4,060 | 41.57% | 55 | 0.56% | 1,591 | 16.29% | 9,766 |
| Hancock | 16,684 | 78.79% | 4,262 | 20.13% | 229 | 1.08% | 12,422 | 58.66% | 21,175 |
| Harrison | 48,497 | 63.88% | 26,555 | 34.98% | 871 | 1.15% | 21,942 | 28.90% | 75,923 |
| Hinds | 22,816 | 26.28% | 62,840 | 72.37% | 1,174 | 1.35% | -40,024 | -46.09% | 86,830 |
| Holmes | 1,243 | 18.47% | 5,420 | 80.53% | 67 | 1.00% | -4,177 | -62.07% | 6,730 |
| Humphreys | 990 | 28.55% | 2,443 | 70.44% | 35 | 1.01% | -1,453 | -41.90% | 3,468 |
| Issaquena | 296 | 47.59% | 287 | 46.14% | 39 | 6.27% | 9 | 1.45% | 622 |
| Itawamba | 9,523 | 89.66% | 1,027 | 9.67% | 71 | 0.67% | 8,496 | 79.99% | 10,621 |
| Jackson | 36,376 | 69.41% | 15,469 | 29.52% | 565 | 1.08% | 20,907 | 39.89% | 52,410 |
| Jasper | 4,118 | 52.19% | 3,722 | 47.17% | 50 | 0.63% | 396 | 5.02% | 7,890 |
| Jefferson | 541 | 16.40% | 2,727 | 82.66% | 31 | 0.94% | -2,186 | -66.26% | 3,299 |
| Jefferson Davis | 2,302 | 42.80% | 3,041 | 56.55% | 35 | 0.65% | -739 | -13.74% | 5,378 |
| Jones | 20,265 | 73.01% | 7,272 | 26.20% | 218 | 0.79% | 12,993 | 46.81% | 27,755 |
| Kemper | 1,691 | 41.39% | 2,381 | 58.27% | 14 | 0.34% | -690 | -16.89% | 4,086 |
| Lafayette | 14,050 | 60.02% | 8,956 | 38.26% | 403 | 1.72% | 5,094 | 21.76% | 23,409 |
| Lamar | 20,775 | 73.75% | 7,038 | 24.98% | 358 | 1.27% | 13,737 | 48.76% | 28,171 |
| Lauderdale | 16,487 | 60.16% | 10,677 | 38.96% | 243 | 0.89% | 5,810 | 21.20% | 27,407 |
| Lawrence | 4,113 | 67.95% | 1,899 | 31.37% | 41 | 0.68% | 2,214 | 36.58% | 6,053 |
| Leake | 5,143 | 61.37% | 3,182 | 37.97% | 55 | 0.66% | 1,961 | 23.40% | 8,380 |
| Lee | 24,339 | 68.87% | 10,616 | 30.04% | 383 | 1.08% | 13,723 | 38.83% | 35,338 |
| Leflore | 2,854 | 30.29% | 6,476 | 68.74% | 91 | 0.97% | -3,622 | -38.45% | 9,421 |
| Lincoln | 11,432 | 72.35% | 4,262 | 26.97% | 108 | 0.68% | 7,170 | 45.37% | 15,802 |
| Lowndes | 13,087 | 53.58% | 11,096 | 45.43% | 243 | 0.99% | 1,991 | 8.15% | 24,426 |
| Madison | 32,333 | 58.04% | 22,700 | 40.75% | 677 | 1.22% | 9,633 | 17.29% | 55,710 |
| Marion | 7,874 | 70.38% | 3,215 | 28.74% | 99 | 0.88% | 4,659 | 41.64% | 11,188 |
| Marshall | 7,977 | 53.24% | 6,888 | 45.97% | 118 | 0.79% | 1,089 | 7.27% | 14,983 |
| Monroe | 10,861 | 67.59% | 5,090 | 31.68% | 118 | 0.73% | 5,771 | 35.91% | 16,069 |
| Montgomery | 2,658 | 60.08% | 1,737 | 39.26% | 29 | 0.66% | 921 | 20.82% | 4,424 |
| Neshoba | 8,154 | 75.08% | 2,622 | 24.14% | 85 | 0.78% | 5,532 | 50.93% | 10,861 |
| Newton | 6,641 | 71.23% | 2,603 | 27.92% | 79 | 0.85% | 4,038 | 43.31% | 9,323 |
| Noxubee | 1,151 | 25.87% | 3,269 | 73.48% | 29 | 0.65% | -2,118 | -47.61% | 4,449 |
| Oktibbeha | 8,901 | 49.31% | 8,851 | 49.03% | 299 | 1.66% | 50 | 0.28% | 18,051 |
| Panola | 8,202 | 56.87% | 6,061 | 42.03% | 159 | 1.10% | 2,141 | 14.85% | 14,422 |
| Pearl River | 20,438 | 82.84% | 3,982 | 16.14% | 251 | 1.02% | 16,456 | 66.70% | 24,671 |
| Perry | 4,425 | 79.89% | 1,078 | 19.46% | 36 | 0.65% | 3,347 | 60.43% | 5,539 |
| Pike | 7,943 | 51.29% | 7,402 | 47.80% | 140 | 0.90% | 541 | 3.49% | 15,485 |
| Pontotoc | 11,740 | 83.45% | 2,214 | 15.74% | 114 | 0.81% | 9,526 | 67.71% | 14,068 |
| Prentiss | 8,581 | 82.66% | 1,727 | 16.64% | 73 | 0.70% | 6,854 | 66.02% | 10,381 |
| Quitman | 902 | 33.69% | 1,725 | 64.44% | 50 | 1.87% | -823 | -30.74% | 2,677 |
| Rankin | 50,896 | 73.04% | 18,060 | 25.92% | 722 | 1.04% | 32,836 | 47.13% | 69,678 |
| Scott | 6,098 | 61.65% | 3,729 | 37.70% | 64 | 0.65% | 2,369 | 23.95% | 9,891 |
| Sharkey | 551 | 31.20% | 1,201 | 68.01% | 14 | 0.79% | -650 | -36.81% | 1,766 |
| Simpson | 7,552 | 68.07% | 3,479 | 31.36% | 63 | 0.57% | 4,073 | 36.71% | 11,094 |
| Smith | 6,146 | 80.07% | 1,486 | 19.36% | 44 | 0.57% | 4,660 | 60.71% | 7,676 |
| Stone | 6,214 | 78.47% | 1,620 | 20.46% | 85 | 1.07% | 4,594 | 58.01% | 7,919 |
| Sunflower | 2,515 | 31.93% | 5,312 | 67.45% | 49 | 0.62% | -2,797 | -35.51% | 7,876 |
| Tallahatchie | 2,333 | 46.55% | 2,630 | 52.47% | 49 | 0.98% | -297 | -5.93% | 5,012 |
| Tate | 9,185 | 71.42% | 3,555 | 27.64% | 121 | 0.94% | 5,630 | 43.78% | 12,861 |
| Tippah | 7,984 | 83.24% | 1,547 | 16.13% | 60 | 0.63% | 6,437 | 67.12% | 9,591 |
| Tishomingo | 8,064 | 89.10% | 921 | 10.18% | 65 | 0.72% | 7,143 | 78.93% | 9,050 |
| Tunica | 799 | 29.95% | 1,837 | 68.85% | 32 | 1.20% | -1,038 | -38.91% | 2,668 |
| Union | 10,559 | 84.62% | 1,807 | 14.48% | 112 | 0.90% | 8,752 | 70.14% | 12,478 |
| Walthall | 4,114 | 63.01% | 2,355 | 36.07% | 60 | 0.92% | 1,759 | 26.94% | 6,529 |
| Warren | 9,407 | 51.41% | 8,683 | 47.45% | 208 | 1.14% | 724 | 3.96% | 18,298 |
| Washington | 4,649 | 31.97% | 9,735 | 66.95% | 156 | 1.07% | -5,086 | -34.98% | 14,540 |
| Wayne | 6,013 | 65.94% | 3,028 | 33.21% | 78 | 0.86% | 2,985 | 32.73% | 9,119 |
| Webster | 4,195 | 82.34% | 872 | 17.11% | 28 | 0.55% | 3,323 | 65.22% | 5,095 |
| Wilkinson | 1,075 | 36.68% | 1,817 | 61.99% | 39 | 1.33% | -742 | -25.32% | 2,931 |
| Winston | 4,922 | 58.71% | 3,392 | 40.46% | 70 | 0.83% | 1,530 | 18.25% | 8,384 |
| Yalobusha | 3,518 | 59.85% | 2,289 | 38.94% | 71 | 1.21% | 1,229 | 20.91% | 5,878 |
| Yazoo | 4,558 | 50.81% | 4,342 | 48.40% | 71 | 0.79% | 216 | 2.41% | 8,971 |
| Totals | 747,744 | 60.89% | 466,668 | 38.00% | 13,596 | 1.11% | 281,076 | 22.89% | 1,228,008 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Trump won three of four congressional districts.[26]
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 68% | 31% | Trent Kelly |
| 2nd | 39% | 60% | Bennie Thompson |
| 3rd | 64% | 35% | Michael Guest |
| 4th | 71% | 28% | Mike Ezell |
Though Mississippi has voted to the left of its bordering states in recent presidential elections, owing mainly to its largeAfrican-American minority, the state is located in theDeep South and therefore theBible Belt. One of the most socially conservative states in the nation, it has not been won by a Democratic presidential candidate sinceSouthernerJimmy Carter's narrow statewide victory in1976, nor has it been competitive at this level sinceBill Clinton of neighboringArkansas fell five points short of carrying the state in1996.
Trump received 60.9% of the vote in Mississippi, winning the state by a 22.9% margin. Harris received 15% less total votes than Biden did, in large part with a decline in turnout from black majority counties on theMississippi Delta. Collectively, these counties saw a 8% drop in turnout compared to 2020.[27] Trump has flipped the majority black counties ofCopiah,Issaquena,Jasper,Pike,Warren, andYazoo, as well asMarshall andOktibbeha counties.
Partisan clients