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| Turnout | 77.8% (of registered voters) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Idaho | ||
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The2024 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Idaho voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of Idaho has 4 electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[2]
Prior to the election, all major news organizations considered Idaho a solidred state; a sparsely populatedMountain state with an overwhelminglyWhite populace, a largemormon population, and anevangelical predominance, Idaho is one of the most staunchly conservative states in the U.S., with the only Democratic presidential candidate to carry the state afterHarry Truman in1948 beinglandslide winnerLyndon B. Johnson in1964, and Republicans having never won the state's electoral votes by less than 13% since.
As expected, RepublicanDonald J. Trump overwhelmingly won Idaho, taking 66.9% of the vote to DemocratKamala Harris' 30.4% and winning the state by 36.5%, well above his 30.8% in2020 and his 31.8% in2016, and the widest presidential margin of victory in Idaho sinceGeorge W. Bush's 38.1% in2004. Idaho was Trump's third strongest state nationwide, only behindWest Virginia and neighboringWyoming.
This was the first election in whichTeton County, Idaho voted for a Democrat who lost the presidential election.
TheIdaho Legislature passed HB 138 during the 2023 legislative session, resulting in the elimination of the state-run primary for all parties. The legislature did not restore the state-run primary by the October 1 deadline, and both the major parties in the state opted to operate and fundfirehouse nominations for president.[3]
The Idaho Republican primary was held on March 2, 2024, alongside primaries inHawaii,Mississippi,Missouri, andWashington.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 33,603 | 84.89% | 32 | 0 | 32 |
| Nikki Haley | 5,221 | 13.18% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 534 | 1.35% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 95 | 0.24% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 91 | 0.23% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 40 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 39,584 | 100.00% | 32 | 0 | 32 |
The Idaho Democratic presidential caucuses were held on May 23, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 2,297 | 95.2% | 23 | ||
| Marianne Williamson | 79 | 3.3% | |||
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 14 | 0.6% | |||
| David Olscamp | 14 | 0.6% | |||
| Jason Palmer (withdrawn) | 5 | 0.2% | |||
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 3 | 0.1% | |||
| Total: | 2,412 | 100.0% | 23 | 4 | 27 |
The official list of certified candidates was finalized byIdaho secretary of statePhil McGrane on September 4, 2024, with the following nine candidates qualifying:[7]
Despite Terry being the nominee of the national Constitution Party, the state party dissented and chose to nominateJoel Skousen. Terry then petitioned to appear on the ballot as an independent candidate.[8]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[12] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[13] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[14] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[15] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[16] | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP[17] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[18] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
Donald J. Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race. | |||||
| John Zogby Strategies[19][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 309 (LV) | – | 60% | 30% | 10% |
| Emerson College[20] | October 1–4, 2023 | 490 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Donald J. Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[19][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 309 (LV) | – | 54% | 32% | 14% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[19][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 309 (LV) | – | 60% | 25% | 15% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 605,246 | 66.87% | |||
| Democratic | 274,972 | 30.38% | |||
| Independent |
| 12,812 | 1.42% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | 4,462 | 0.49% | |||
| Green | 2,973 | 0.33% | |||
| Constitution |
| 1,577 | 0.17% | ||
| Socialism and Liberation |
| 1,230 | 0.14% | ||
| Independent | 1,026 | 0.11% | N/A | ||
| Independent |
| 514 | 0.1% | N/A | |
| American Solidarity | Peter Sonski (write-in) Lauren Onak (write-in) | 242 | 0.03% | ||
| Independent | Other (write-in) | 3 | 0.00% | ||
| Total votes | 905,057 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County[22] | Donald J. Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Ada | 143,759 | 53.76% | 116,116 | 43.42% | 7,544 | 2.82% | 27,643 | 10.34% | 267,419 |
| Adams | 2,037 | 75.98% | 577 | 21.52% | 67 | 2.50% | 1,460 | 54.46% | 2,681 |
| Bannock | 24,329 | 60.86% | 14,306 | 35.79% | 1,341 | 3.35% | 10,023 | 25.07% | 39,976 |
| Bear Lake | 2,908 | 87.46% | 346 | 10.41% | 71 | 2.13% | 2,562 | 77.05% | 3,325 |
| Benewah | 4,094 | 79.57% | 935 | 18.17% | 116 | 2.26% | 3,159 | 61.40% | 5,145 |
| Bingham | 16,188 | 78.39% | 3,878 | 18.78% | 585 | 2.83% | 12,310 | 59.61% | 20,651 |
| Blaine | 4,281 | 32.71% | 8,424 | 64.36% | 384 | 2.93% | -4,143 | -31.65% | 13,089 |
| Boise | 3,727 | 75.91% | 1,065 | 21.69% | 118 | 2.40% | 2,662 | 54.22% | 4,910 |
| Bonner | 21,352 | 71.87% | 7,650 | 25.75% | 708 | 2.38% | 13,702 | 46.12% | 29,710 |
| Bonneville | 40,053 | 70.97% | 14,458 | 25.62% | 1,925 | 3.41% | 25,595 | 45.35% | 56,436 |
| Boundary | 5,794 | 81.49% | 1,145 | 16.10% | 171 | 2.41% | 4,649 | 65.39% | 7,110 |
| Butte | 1,268 | 84.87% | 185 | 12.38% | 41 | 2.75% | 1,083 | 72.49% | 1,494 |
| Camas | 547 | 75.14% | 153 | 21.02% | 28 | 3.84% | 394 | 54.12% | 728 |
| Canyon | 72,755 | 72.01% | 25,669 | 25.41% | 2,606 | 2.58% | 47,086 | 46.60% | 101,030 |
| Caribou | 2,906 | 84.09% | 445 | 12.88% | 105 | 3.03% | 2,461 | 71.21% | 3,456 |
| Cassia | 7,959 | 83.27% | 1,359 | 14.22% | 240 | 2.51% | 6,600 | 69.05% | 9,558 |
| Clark | 280 | 84.08% | 50 | 15.02% | 3 | 0.90% | 230 | 69.06% | 333 |
| Clearwater | 3,550 | 80.32% | 774 | 17.51% | 96 | 2.17% | 2,776 | 62.81% | 4,420 |
| Custer | 1,998 | 75.40% | 586 | 22.11% | 66 | 2.49% | 1,412 | 53.29% | 2,650 |
| Elmore | 7,791 | 73.00% | 2,611 | 24.47% | 270 | 2.53% | 5,180 | 48.53% | 10,672 |
| Franklin | 6,279 | 87.40% | 703 | 9.79% | 202 | 2.81% | 5,576 | 77.61% | 7,184 |
| Fremont | 5,645 | 82.98% | 954 | 14.02% | 204 | 3.00% | 4,691 | 68.96% | 6,803 |
| Gem | 8,707 | 81.99% | 1,699 | 16.00% | 214 | 2.01% | 7,008 | 65.99% | 10,620 |
| Gooding | 4,676 | 79.01% | 1,100 | 18.59% | 142 | 2.40% | 3,576 | 60.42% | 5,918 |
| Idaho | 8,148 | 82.58% | 1,460 | 14.80% | 259 | 2.62% | 6,688 | 67.78% | 9,867 |
| Jefferson | 13,481 | 85.21% | 1,891 | 11.95% | 448 | 2.84% | 11,590 | 73.26% | 15,820 |
| Jerome | 6,012 | 75.66% | 1,742 | 21.92% | 192 | 2.42% | 4,270 | 53.74% | 7,946 |
| Kootenai | 72,059 | 74.78% | 22,113 | 22.95% | 2,193 | 2.27% | 49,946 | 51.83% | 96,365 |
| Latah | 10,669 | 52.14% | 9,039 | 44.18% | 753 | 3.68% | 1,630 | 7.97% | 20,461 |
| Lemhi | 3,716 | 76.24% | 1,038 | 21.30% | 120 | 2.46% | 2,678 | 54.94% | 4,874 |
| Lewis | 1,503 | 81.42% | 305 | 16.52% | 38 | 2.06% | 1,198 | 64.90% | 1,846 |
| Lincoln | 1,466 | 76.47% | 392 | 20.45% | 59 | 3.08% | 1,074 | 56.02% | 1,917 |
| Madison | 13,925 | 80.20% | 2,767 | 15.94% | 671 | 3.86% | 11,158 | 64.26% | 17,363 |
| Minidoka | 6,401 | 80.54% | 1,373 | 17.27% | 174 | 2.19% | 5,028 | 63.27% | 7,948 |
| Nez Perce | 13,707 | 68.08% | 5,928 | 29.44% | 500 | 2.48% | 7,779 | 38.64% | 20,135 |
| Oneida | 2,119 | 86.24% | 253 | 10.30% | 85 | 3.46% | 1,866 | 75.94% | 2,457 |
| Owyhee | 4,101 | 82.85% | 756 | 15.27% | 93 | 1.88% | 3,345 | 67.58% | 4,950 |
| Payette | 9,458 | 80.42% | 2,064 | 17.55% | 239 | 2.03% | 7,394 | 62.87% | 11,761 |
| Power | 2,146 | 71.04% | 785 | 25.98% | 90 | 2.98% | 1,361 | 45.06% | 3,021 |
| Shoshone | 4,500 | 73.39% | 1,472 | 24.01% | 160 | 2.60% | 3,028 | 49.38% | 6,132 |
| Teton | 3,005 | 44.86% | 3,463 | 51.70% | 230 | 3.44% | -458 | -6.84% | 6,698 |
| Twin Falls | 27,304 | 73.04% | 9,064 | 24.25% | 1,015 | 2.71% | 18,240 | 48.79% | 37,383 |
| Valley | 4,214 | 58.20% | 2,869 | 39.63% | 157 | 2.17% | 1,345 | 18.57% | 7,240 |
| Washington | 4,429 | 79.73% | 1,010 | 18.18% | 116 | 2.09% | 3,419 | 61.55% | 5,555 |
| Totals | 605,246 | 66.87% | 274,972 | 30.38% | 24,839 | 2.74% | 330,274 | 36.49% | 905,057 |
Trump won both congressional districts.[23]
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 71.29% | 26.24% | Russ Fulcher |
| 2nd | 61.83% | 35.11% | Mike Simpson |
Trump flipped thePanhandle county ofLatah, anchored by thecollege town ofMoscow, becoming the first Republican to win the county since Bush in 2004; and with nearly an 8% margin of victory, having the best showing for a presidential candidate there since Bush's 16.3% margin in2000. He also became the first Republican to win the White House without winningTeton County since it was established in 1915. He also recovered his margins in larger urban areas, winningAda County — home to the state capital and largest cityBoise — by a double-digit margin for the first time in his electoral history.
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