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| Turnout | 78.9% (of active registered voters)[1] 1.73pp66.7% (of estimated voting-eligible population)[2] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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The2024 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Florida voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.[3] This gave Florida the third-most electoral votes in the country, which marked the first time it carried more weight thanNew York (28 electoral votes) in a presidential election.
A heavily populatedSouth Atlantic state, Florida had previously been considered a crucialswing state and abellwether in past elections, but has shifted significantly to the political right since the2022 gubernatorial election where incumbent GovernorRon DeSantis won re-election with a 19.4% margin of victory. Trump's double-digit margin of victory solidified Florida further as a safe red state. Florida has two large distinct cultural areas:North Florida and theFlorida Panhandle are part of the conservativeDeep South, andSouth Florida has a heavyLatin American influence with largeCatholicCuban,Haitian,Nicaraguan, andVenezuelan populations in theMiami metropolitan area.
Trump defeated Harris in Florida by 13.1 percentage points, the biggest margin of victory for a candidate in the state since1988. Trump won all three of the state’smajority-Hispanic counties. Per exit polls, Trump won 63% of White voters, 58% of Hispanic voters, and 15% of Black voters in the state.[4]
Trump received the most votes for a political candidate ever in the state, breaking his previous record from2020, and marking the first time since1984 that a Republican won the state with a margin of over one million votes. Trump's overall total of 6.1 million votes was the second-highest total number of votes he received in any state in the country in 2024, only behind his 6.4 million inTexas.
In 2016, Trump was elected as a candidate from New York; in 2019, he formally changed his primary residence toMar-a-Lago, becoming the first Floridian to serve as president. However, it was not until 2024 that Trump would become the first presidential candidate from Florida to be elected. Kamala Harris did not flip a county Biden had lost in2020, but she was able to carryPalm Beach County, which had voted forGovernor Ron DeSantis in2022, narrowly keeping it in theDemocratic column.
The Florida Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries inArizona,Illinois, andOhio.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 911,424 | 81.19% | 125 | 0 | 125 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 155,560 | 13.86% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 41,269 | 3.68% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 8,953 | 0.80% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 2,850 | 0.25% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 1,385 | 0.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 1,190 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 1,122,631 | 100.00% | 125 | 0 | 125 |
On November 30, 2023,Politico reported that theFlorida Democratic Party had only submitted Biden's name to the Secretary of State, which meant that the primary would be cancelled under Florida law. This cancellation was criticized by theDean Phillips andMarianne Williamson campaigns.[6][7] Williamson and fellow Democratic candidateCenk Uygur held a press conference overZoom on December 1 criticizing the move.[8] On December 11, 2023, a voter filed a lawsuit in federal court seeking to add Phillips's, Williamson's, and Uygur's names to the ballot.[9] The voter lost in district court.[10]
U.S. representatives
State legislators
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Hillary Clinton | Kamala Harris | Gavin Newsom | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[15] | September 15–18, 2022 | 163 (LV) | – | 50% | – | – | 33% | 17% |
| Suffolk University[16] | January 26–29, 2022 | 164 (LV) | – | 43% | 46% | – | – | 11%[c] |
| Victory Insights[17] | September 16–18, 2021 | 200 (LV) | – | 60% | – | 17% | – | 23%[d] |
On September 15, 2024, Trump survived anassassination attempt while golfing atTrump International Golf Club inWest Palm Beach, Florida. 58-year-oldRyan Wesley Routh was spotted hiding in nearby shrubbery while aiming a rifle at a member of Trump'ssecurity detail.[18] ASecret Service agent fired upon Routh, who fled the scene and was later captured inMartin County.[19] The incident occurred two months after Trump surviveda previous assassination attempt while speaking at a campaign rally nearButler, Pennsylvania.
The following presidential candidates received ballot access in Florida:[20]
In addition,Robert F. Kennedy Jr. withdrew his name from the ballot after he suspended hiscampaign.[21]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Likely R | August 27, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Lean R | August 29, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Likely R | August 20, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[25] | Likely R | October 21, 2024 |
| CNalysis[26] | Likely R | November 4, 2024 |
| CNN[27] | Lean R | September 1, 2024 |
| The Economist[28] | Likely R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[29] | Likely R | October 8, 2024 |
| NBC News[30] | Likely R | October 6, 2024 |
| YouGov[31] | Lean R | October 16, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[32] | Likely R | November 1, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Undecided [e] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270ToWin[33] | October 23 – November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 44.6% | 51.1% | 4.3% | Trump +6.5% |
| 538[34] | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 44.6% | 51.2% | 4.2% | Trump +6.6% |
| Silver Bulletin[35] | through November 3, 2024 | November 3, 2024 | 44.8% | 51.3% | 3.9% | Trump +6.5% |
| The Hill/DDHQ[36] | through November 3, 2024 | November 3, 2024 | 44.9% | 51.6% | 3.2% | Trump +6.7% |
| Average | 44.7% | 51.3% | 4.0% | Trump +6.6% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co.[37] | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
| Victory Insights[38] | November 1–2, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | 2%[f] |
| Stetson University[39][40] | October 25 – November 1, 2024 | 452 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 46% | 1%[g] |
| Morning Consult[41] | October 23 − November 1, 2024 | 2,022 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[42] | October 19–27, 2024 | 913 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 53% | 44% | 3%[h] |
| 897 (LV) | 53% | 44% | 3%[h] | |||
| ActiVote[43] | October 11–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 56% | 44% | – |
| St. Pete Polls[44][A] | October 23–25, 2024 | 1,227 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 45% | 5%[i] |
| CES/YouGov[45] | October 1–25, 2024 | 5,952 (A) | – | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| 5,916 (LV) | 52% | 46% | 2% | |||
| Hunt Research[46][B] | October 16–22, 2024 | 1,234 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Emerson College[47] | October 18–20, 2024 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 52% | 44% | 4%[g] |
| 54%[j] | 46% | – | ||||
| Cherry Communications (R)[48][C] | October 10–20, 2024 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 45% | 4% |
| ActiVote[49] | October 7–20, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 45% | – |
| University of North Florida[50] | October 7–18, 2024 | 977 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 43% | 4%[k] |
| RMG Research[51][D] | October 14–17, 2024 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 45% | 3%[l] |
| 52%[j] | 47% | 1% | ||||
| Rose Institute/YouGov[52] | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,094 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | 7%[m] |
| 1,094 (RV) | 51%[j] | 46% | 3% | |||
| 1,076 (LV) | 51% | 46% | 3% | |||
| The Terrance Group (R)[53][E] | October 5–8, 2024 | 818 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
| Marist College[54] | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,410 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 47% | 2%[n] |
| 1,257 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 47% | 2%[n] | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[55] | September 29 – October 6, 2024 | 622 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 55% | 41% | 4% |
| ActiVote[56] | September 17 – October 6, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – |
| Mason-Dixon[57][F] | October 1–4, 2024 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8%[o] |
| RMG Research[58][D] | September 25–27, 2024 | 774 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 47% | 3%[l] |
| 50%[j] | 48% | 2% | ||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[59][G] | September 25–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[60][H] | September 23–25, 2024 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| Victory Insights[61] | September 22–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| The Bullfinch Group[62][I] | September 20–23, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Morning Consult[41] | September 9−18, 2024 | 2,948 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Morning Consult[41] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 3,182 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Emerson College[63] | September 3–5, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| 51%[j] | 48% | 1%[g] | ||||
| ActiVote[64] | August 16–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – |
| Cherry Communications (R)[65][C] | August 15–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[66][G] | August 21–22, 2024 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| ActiVote[67] | August 5–15, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[68] | August 10–11, 2024 | 1,055 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5%[p] |
| 1,040 (LV) | 50% | 47% | 3%[h] | |||
| University of North Florida[69] | July 24–27, 2024 | 774 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 42% | 9%[q] |
| July 21, 2024 | Kamala Harris declaresher candidacy. | |||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[70][J] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12%[r] |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[15] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Victory Insights[17] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Focaldata[71] | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 1,250 (LV) | – | 52% | 45% | – | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 1,099 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 46% | – | 1% | 0% | 3% | ||
| 1,250 (A) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 3% | ||
| Cygnal (R)[72] | October 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | – | 1% | 1% | 7%[s] |
| Hunt Research[46][B] | October 16–22, 2024 | 1,234 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 44% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[73] | October 16–18, 2024 | 1,275 (LV) | – | 49% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[74] | October 12–14, 2024 | 1,009 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| New York Times/Siena College[55] | September 29 – October 6, 2024 | 622 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 40% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[75] | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 2,946 (LV) | – | 49% | 45% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[59][G] | September 25–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | 0% | 1% | – | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[76] | September 16–19, 2024 | 1,602 (LV) | – | 50% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[77] | September 6–9, 2024 | 1,465 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[78] | August 25–28, 2024 | 980 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 43% | – | 0% | 1% | 8%[t] |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College[55] | September 29 – October 6, 2024 | 622 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspendshis presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | |||||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[66][G] | August 21–22, 2024 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[79] | August 12–15, 2024 | 1,296 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 3% | – | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[80][K] | August 7–11, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 42% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[81] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 976 (LV) | – | 47% | 41% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[82] | July 22–24, 2024 | 572 (LV) | – | 47% | 39% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 8% |
| Targoz Market Research[83][L] | July 19–24, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 39% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| 988 (LV) | 47% | 42% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 6% | |||
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspendshis presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[68] | August 10–11, 2024 | 1,055 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 5% | 4%[h] |
| 1,040 (LV) | 47% | 45% | 5% | 3%[h] | |||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[84][H] | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | 3% | 1% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race. | |||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[70][J] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 44% | 6%[u] |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[85] | June 8–9, 2024 | 883 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 42% | 13% |
| 771 (LV) | 49% | 43% | 8% | |||
| The Tyson Group (R)[86] | June 6–9, 2024 | 1,050 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
| Fox News[87] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| CBS News/YouGov[88] | May 10–16, 2024 | 1,209 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 45% | 1% |
| Prime Group[89][M] | May 9–16, 2024 | 486 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – |
| Cherry Communications (R)[90][C] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| John Zogby Strategies[91][N] | April 13–21, 2024 | 749 (LV) | – | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[92] | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 42% | 8% |
| 815 (LV) | 51% | 43% | 6% | |||
| Emerson College[93] | April 9–10, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
| 56%[j] | 44% | – | ||||
| St. Pete Polls[94] | March 11–13, 2024 | 1,963 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Cygnal (R)[95] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[96] | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[97] | October 7–9, 2023 | 1,100 (RV) | – | 44% | 39% | 17% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[98] | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 2% |
| Metropolitan Research Services[99] | March 15–19, 2023 | 1,001 (RV) | – | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Emerson College[100] | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| University of North Florida[101] | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| Victory Insights[102] | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[103][O] | November 8–9, 2022 | 1,224 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Florida Atlantic University[104] | October 12–16, 2022 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Suffolk University[15] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[105] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Suffolk University[16] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Victory Insights[17] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
| St. Pete Polls[106][A] | August 16–17, 2021 | 2,068 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[107][P] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[83][L] | July 19–24, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 35% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 11%[v] |
| 988 (LV) | 46% | 39% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 9%[w] | |||
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race. | ||||||||
| Fox News[87] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Prime Group[89][M] | May 9–16, 2024 | 486 (RV) | – | 48% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 1% | – |
| Emerson College[93] | April 9–10, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 35% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race. | ||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[85] | June 8–9, 2024 | 883 (A) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 37% | 10% | 10% |
| 771 (LV) | 45% | 40% | 8% | 6% | |||
| Cherry Communications (R)[90][C] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 37% | 10% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[108] | May 2–4, 2024 | 586 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[92] | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 38% | 7% | 7% |
| 815 (LV) | 49% | 40% | 6% | 5% | |||
| USA Today/Ipsos[109] | April 5–7, 2024 | 1,014 (A) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 31% | 7% | 23% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[110] | March 14–17, 2024 | 815 (LV) | – | 46% | 39% | 7% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[111] | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,147 (LV) | – | 45% | 34% | 9% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[112] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 44% | 34% | 9% | 13% |
| Cygnal (R)[95] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 37% | 11% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[97] | October 7–9, 2023 | 1100 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 8% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[91][N] | April 13–21, 2024 | 749 (LV) | – | 48% | 37% | 15% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[91][N] | April 13–21, 2024 | 749 (LV) | – | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[16] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[112] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 27% | 32% | 16% | 24% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[112] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 12% | 16% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[95] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[96] | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 39% | 15% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[98] | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| Emerson College[100] | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| University of North Florida[101] | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 51% | 42% | 8% |
| Cherry Communications[113][C] | February 10–19, 2023 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
| Victory Insights[102] | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – |
| Suffolk University[15] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Echelon Insights[105] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Suffolk University[16] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Victory Insights[17] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[114] | September 11–12, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[107] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[15] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 8% |
| Victory Insights[17] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 49% | – |
Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[16] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 40% | 7% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 6,110,125 | 56.09% | +4.87% | ||
| Democratic | 4,683,038 | 42.99% | −4.87% | ||
| Green | 43,155 | 0.40% | +0.27% | ||
| Libertarian | 31,972 | 0.29% | −0.35% | ||
| Socialism and Liberation |
| 11,969 | 0.11% | +0.06% | |
| American Solidarity |
| 7,454 | 0.07% | N/A | |
| Constitution | 5,834 | 0.05% | +0.01% | ||
| Write-in | 205 | 0.00% | N/A | ||
| Total valid votes | 10,893,752 | 99.00% | −0.31% | ||
| Invalid or blank votes | 110,457 | 1.00% | |||
| Turnout | 11,004,209 | 78.89% | +1.72% | ||
| Registered electors | 13,949,168 | 100.00% | −3.41% | ||
| County[116] | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Alachua | 52,939 | 38.56% | 81,578 | 59.42% | 2,765 | 2.02% | -28,639 | -20.86% | 137,282 |
| Baker | 12,926 | 86.11% | 1,982 | 13.20% | 103 | 0.69% | 10,944 | 72.91% | 15,011 |
| Bay | 71,497 | 72.84% | 25,201 | 25.67% | 1,459 | 1.49% | 46,296 | 47.17% | 98,157 |
| Bradford | 10,920 | 78.27% | 2,946 | 21.12% | 86 | 0.61% | 7,974 | 57.15% | 13,952 |
| Brevard | 216,533 | 59.65% | 141,233 | 38.91% | 5,249 | 1.44% | 75,300 | 20.74% | 363,015 |
| Broward | 358,952 | 40.92% | 507,328 | 57.83% | 10,982 | 1.25% | -148,376 | -16.91% | 877,262 |
| Calhoun | 5,367 | 83.29% | 1,021 | 15.84% | 56 | 0.87% | 4,346 | 67.45% | 6,444 |
| Charlotte | 82,480 | 66.45% | 40,450 | 32.59% | 1,188 | 0.96% | 42,030 | 33.86% | 124,118 |
| Citrus | 71,356 | 72.41% | 26,276 | 26.67% | 908 | 0.92% | 45,080 | 45.74% | 98,540 |
| Clay | 87,711 | 68.90% | 37,926 | 29.79% | 1,665 | 1.31% | 49,785 | 39.11% | 127,302 |
| Collier | 143,267 | 65.89% | 71,720 | 32.98% | 2,447 | 1.13% | 71,547 | 32.91% | 217,434 |
| Columbia | 25,108 | 74.53% | 8,250 | 24.49% | 332 | 0.98% | 16,858 | 50.04% | 33,690 |
| DeSoto | 8,888 | 70.96% | 3,525 | 28.14% | 112 | 0.90% | 5,363 | 42.82% | 12,525 |
| Dixie | 6,920 | 84.77% | 1,183 | 14.49% | 60 | 0.74% | 5,737 | 70.28% | 8,163 |
| Duval | 236,285 | 49.92% | 229,365 | 48.46% | 7,683 | 1.62% | 6,920 | 1.46% | 473,333 |
| Escambia | 96,407 | 58.96% | 64,601 | 39.51% | 2,496 | 1.53% | 31,806 | 19.45% | 163,504 |
| Flagler | 51,014 | 63.59% | 28,431 | 35.44% | 772 | 0.97% | 22,583 | 28.15% | 80,217 |
| Franklin | 4,831 | 71.20% | 1,870 | 27.56% | 84 | 1.24% | 2,961 | 43.64% | 6,785 |
| Gadsden | 7,495 | 34.17% | 14,203 | 64.76% | 234 | 1.07% | -6,708 | -30.59% | 21,932 |
| Gilchrist | 8,931 | 83.27% | 1,662 | 15.50% | 132 | 1.23% | 7,269 | 67.77% | 10,725 |
| Glades | 4,034 | 76.11% | 1,222 | 23.06% | 44 | 0.83% | 2,812 | 53.05% | 5,300 |
| Gulf | 6,684 | 76.62% | 1,970 | 22.58% | 70 | 0.80% | 4,714 | 54.04% | 8,724 |
| Hamilton | 3,964 | 68.92% | 1,727 | 30.02% | 61 | 1.06% | 2,237 | 38.90% | 5,752 |
| Hardee | 6,336 | 77.65% | 1,751 | 21.46% | 73 | 0.89% | 4,585 | 56.19% | 8,160 |
| Hendry | 9,253 | 68.61% | 4,096 | 30.37% | 138 | 1.02% | 5,157 | 38.24% | 13,487 |
| Hernando | 75,446 | 67.94% | 34,431 | 31.00% | 1,175 | 1.06% | 41,015 | 36.94% | 111,052 |
| Highlands | 36,382 | 69.92% | 15,227 | 29.27% | 422 | 0.81% | 21,155 | 40.65% | 52,031 |
| Hillsborough | 342,017 | 50.68% | 321,455 | 47.63% | 11,435 | 1.69% | 20,562 | 3.05% | 674,907 |
| Holmes | 8,193 | 89.72% | 882 | 9.66% | 57 | 0.62% | 7,311 | 80.06% | 9,132 |
| Indian River | 62,737 | 63.06% | 35,654 | 35.84% | 1,102 | 1.10% | 27,083 | 27.22% | 99,493 |
| Jackson | 16,074 | 72.56% | 5,892 | 26.60% | 186 | 0.84% | 10,182 | 45.96% | 22,152 |
| Jefferson | 5,011 | 58.73% | 3,429 | 40.19% | 92 | 1.08% | 1,582 | 18.54% | 8,532 |
| Lafayette | 3,296 | 87.50% | 441 | 11.71% | 30 | 0.79% | 2,855 | 75.79% | 3,767 |
| Lake | 140,500 | 61.75% | 84,546 | 37.16% | 2,468 | 1.09% | 55,954 | 24.59% | 227,514 |
| Lee | 250,661 | 63.60% | 139,240 | 35.33% | 4,204 | 1.07% | 111,421 | 28.27% | 394,105 |
| Leon | 60,397 | 38.29% | 94,520 | 59.93% | 2,810 | 1.78% | -34,123 | -21.64% | 157,727 |
| Levy | 18,245 | 74.62% | 5,994 | 24.51% | 212 | 0.87% | 12,251 | 50.11% | 24,451 |
| Liberty | 2,898 | 82.89% | 566 | 16.19% | 32 | 0.92% | 2,332 | 66.70% | 3,496 |
| Madison | 5,874 | 64.01% | 3,231 | 35.21% | 71 | 0.78% | 2,643 | 28.80% | 9,176 |
| Manatee | 140,486 | 61.13% | 86,674 | 37.72% | 2,652 | 1.15% | 53,812 | 23.41% | 229,812 |
| Marion | 140,173 | 65.27% | 72,436 | 33.73% | 2,134 | 1.00% | 67,737 | 31.54% | 214,743 |
| Martin | 64,121 | 64.90% | 33,539 | 33.95% | 1,136 | 1.15% | 30,582 | 30.95% | 98,796 |
| Miami-Dade | 605,590 | 55.19% | 480,355 | 43.78% | 11,264 | 1.03% | 125,235 | 11.41% | 1,097,209 |
| Monroe | 26,064 | 58.57% | 17,933 | 40.30% | 505 | 1.13% | 8,131 | 18.27% | 44,502 |
| Nassau | 47,945 | 72.72% | 17,143 | 26.00% | 846 | 1.28% | 30,802 | 46.72% | 65,934 |
| Okaloosa | 80,309 | 70.31% | 32,074 | 28.08% | 1,842 | 1.61% | 48,235 | 42.23% | 114,225 |
| Okeechobee | 12,315 | 76.51% | 3,671 | 22.81% | 110 | 0.68% | 8,644 | 53.70% | 16,096 |
| Orange | 258,279 | 42.37% | 340,807 | 55.91% | 10,521 | 1.72% | -82,528 | -13.54% | 609,607 |
| Osceola | 86,713 | 50.04% | 84,205 | 48.59% | 2,371 | 1.37% | 2,508 | 1.45% | 173,289 |
| Palm Beach | 366,836 | 49.01% | 372,512 | 49.77% | 4,775 | 0.80% | -5,676 | -0.76% | 748,489 |
| Pasco | 197,779 | 61.87% | 117,450 | 36.74% | 4,435 | 1.39% | 80,329 | 25.13% | 319,664 |
| Pinellas | 269,472 | 51.89% | 242,452 | 46.68% | 7,416 | 1.43% | 27,020 | 5.21% | 519,340 |
| Polk | 209,044 | 59.71% | 136,879 | 39.10% | 4,191 | 1.19% | 72,165 | 20.61% | 350,114 |
| Putnam | 26,700 | 73.41% | 9,354 | 25.72% | 316 | 0.87% | 17,346 | 47.69% | 36,370 |
| St. Johns | 128,759 | 64.87% | 66,862 | 33.68% | 2,875 | 1.45% | 61,897 | 31.19% | 198,496 |
| St. Lucie | 100,293 | 54.00% | 83,517 | 44.97% | 1,922 | 1.03% | 16,776 | 9.03% | 185,732 |
| Santa Rosa | 84,314 | 74.67% | 27,035 | 23.94% | 1,561 | 1.39% | 57,279 | 50.73% | 112,910 |
| Sarasota | 163,219 | 58.48% | 112,668 | 40.37% | 3,214 | 1.15% | 50,551 | 18.11% | 279,101 |
| Seminole | 129,735 | 50.90% | 120,717 | 47.37% | 4,408 | 1.73% | 9,018 | 3.53% | 254,860 |
| Sumter | 72,134 | 68.30% | 32,551 | 30.82% | 923 | 0.88% | 39,583 | 37.48% | 105,608 |
| Suwannee | 17,561 | 79.98% | 4,217 | 19.21% | 179 | 0.81% | 13,344 | 60.77% | 21,957 |
| Taylor | 7,954 | 79.37% | 1,991 | 19.87% | 77 | 0.76% | 5,963 | 59.50% | 10,022 |
| Union | 5,224 | 83.64% | 971 | 15.55% | 51 | 0.81% | 4,253 | 68.09% | 6,246 |
| Volusia | 187,691 | 60.23% | 120,132 | 38.55% | 3,821 | 1.22% | 67,559 | 21.68% | 311,644 |
| Wakulla | 14,246 | 71.51% | 5,441 | 27.31% | 236 | 1.18% | 8,805 | 44.20% | 19,923 |
| Walton | 38,970 | 78.25% | 10,287 | 20.66% | 545 | 1.09% | 28,683 | 57.59% | 49,802 |
| Washington | 10,370 | 82.14% | 2,140 | 16.95% | 115 | 0.91% | 8,230 | 65.19% | 12,625 |
| Totals | 6,110,125 | 55.87% | 4,683,038 | 42.82% | 142,302 | 1.31% | 1,427,087 | 13.05% | 10,935,465 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Swing by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic
|
Trump won 20 of 28 congressional districts.[118]
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 68% | 31% | Matt Gaetz |
| 2nd | 59% | 41% | Neal Dunn |
| 3rd | 60% | 39% | Kat Cammack |
| 4th | 55% | 44% | Aaron Bean |
| 5th | 60% | 39% | John Rutherford |
| 6th | 65% | 35% | Michael Waltz |
| 7th | 56% | 43% | Cory Mills |
| 8th | 61% | 38% | Bill Posey (118th Congress) |
| Mike Haridopolos (119th Congress) | |||
| 9th | 48% | 51% | Darren Soto |
| 10th | 38% | 61% | Maxwell Frost |
| 11th | 58% | 41% | Daniel Webster |
| 12th | 67% | 32% | Gus Bilirakis |
| 13th | 55% | 44% | Anna Paulina Luna |
| 14th | 46% | 53% | Kathy Castor |
| 15th | 55% | 44% | Laurel Lee |
| 16th | 57% | 42% | Vern Buchanan |
| 17th | 62% | 38% | Greg Steube |
| 18th | 64% | 35% | Scott Franklin |
| 19th | 64% | 35% | Byron Donalds |
| 20th | 30% | 69% | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick |
| 21st | 58% | 41% | Brian Mast |
| 22nd | 47% | 52% | Lois Frankel |
| 23rd | 49% | 51% | Jared Moskowitz |
| 24th | 35% | 65% | Frederica Wilson |
| 25th | 47% | 52% | Debbie Wasserman Schultz |
| 26th | 67% | 32% | Mario Díaz-Balart |
| 27th | 57% | 42% | María Elvira Salazar |
| 28th | 62% | 37% | Carlos A. Giménez |
In2020, RepublicanDonald Trump (who changed his resident state fromNew York to Florida in 2019[119]) carried the state again by 3.4 percentage points, an improvement from his 1.2% margin in2016, despite Trump losing re-election nationwide and polls pointing to a narrow Democratic win in Florida. In addition, Republicans won all statewide offices by double-digit margins in the2022 midterms.[120][121]
A heavily populatedSouth Atlantic state, Florida had formerly been considered a crucialswing state and abellwether in previous election cycles, but has shifted significantly to the political right and is now considered a safe red state with Trump's double-digit margin of victory solidifying it as such. Florida has two large distinct cultural areas.North Florida and theFlorida Panhandle are part of the conservativeDeep South.South Florida has a heavyLatin American influence, with largeCatholicCuban,Haitian,Central andSouth American populations in theMiami metropolitan area.
Although Democrats did not seriously contest the state, this still was their worst presidential performance in the state since 1988. Florida andIowa had voted twice for DemocratBarack Obama, and voted for Trump by 13% in 2024.
Florida voted over 10% to the right of the nation and its neighboring state of Georgia. Florida had previously voted to the left of Georgia from 1996 to 2016, andin 2016 Florida voted for Trump by just 1.2%.
Just eight years prior in 2016, DemocratHillary Clinton had won Miami-Dade by 29%, Broward by 35%, and Palm Beach by 15%. In 2024, Harris lost Miami-Dade by 11%, won Broward by 17%, and won Palm Beach by just 1%. Clinton had won the Miami metropolitan area by 27%, while Harris won it by just 1%.[122]
Some of the largest rightward swings in the country were inSouth Florida, along withSouth Texas and theNew York metropolitan area. Every single county in Florida swung rightward, with the three majority-Hispanic counties swinging the hardest.
Florida handed RepublicanDonald Trump a decisive victory, doing so by a margin of 1,427,087 votes—his second-largest state win in terms of vote count, behindTexas. This was the first time since1988 that the state was won with a double-digit margin, and thatMiami-Dade County voted Republican.[123] It was also the first time since1992 that the state voted Republican in three consecutive presidential elections. Trump became the first Republican nominee to winHillsborough County andOsceola County since2004.[124] He also flipped backDuval County,Pinellas County, andSeminole County after carrying them in2016.[125] Trump narrowly lost his home county ofPalm Beach.
Following the2022 midterms under Governor Ron DeSantis and SenatorMarco Rubio, this election has cemented Florida's transition from a swing state to a reliable red state. Trump’s performance was similar toRubio’s 2022 U.S. Senate performance, with both only narrowly losing Palm Beach County. Relatedly, RepublicanRick Scott won by a nearly identical 12.8% margin in the concurrent2024 U.S. Senate election in Florida with the same county map.
According to exit polls, Hispanic men voted to the right of White women in the state. Trump also won a majority of Hispanic women in Florida. DeSantis and Rubio had also won a majority of Hispanic women in Florida in 2022. Miami-Dade County (70% Hispanic) voted for Trump by over 11%, shifting rightward by 19 percentage points and voting almost as strongly for Trump as his 13% statewide margin. The state’s most populous county, Miami-Dade had voted for Hillary Clinton by 29% and Biden by 7%, with the county shifting hard to the right like manySouth Texas counties over Trump’s three runs. Trump won a majority of Hispanics in Florida andTexas, based on exit polls and county results in majority-Hispanic counties.
The only counties where Harris held up well were majority-BlackGadsden County, 30% BlackLeon County (home to the state capital ofTallahassee), andAlachua County (home to theUniversity of Florida). Gadsden County gave Harris 65% of the vote, Leon County 60%, and Alachua County 59%.
Harris only narrowly won theMiami metropolitan area, as a whole winning the three counties of Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade over Trump by just 1,360,195 to 1,331,378 (49.95% to 48.89%). InBroward County (home toFort Lauderdale and 27% Black), Harris won just 58% of the vote, the lowest for a Democratic candidate there since1992. Broward voted to the right of Gadsden, Leon, and Alachua counties despite being far more populous. Harris only won Palm Beach County by less than 1%, though it was Trump’s home county and Ron DeSantis had won the county in 2022.
Florida had the third-largest swing to the right in this election (afterNew York andNew Jersey), with Trump improving his performance from 2020 by 9.7%. It was also the largest swing to the right in a state he won.
| 2024 presidential election in Florida voter demographics[126] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic subgroup | Trump | Harris | % of total vote |
| Ideology | |||
| Liberals | 12 | 87 | 19 |
| Moderates | 46 | 53 | 44 |
| Conservatives | 91 | 9 | 38 |
| Party | |||
| Democrats | 2 | 97 | 25 |
| Republicans | 93 | 6 | 39 |
| Independents | 53 | 45 | 36 |
| Gender | |||
| Men | 62 | 38 | 46 |
| Women | 51 | 48 | 54 |
| Race/ethnicity | |||
| White | 63 | 37 | 59 |
| Black | 15 | 83 | 12 |
| Latino | 58 | 42 | 24 |
| Asian | n/a | n/a | 2 |
| All other races | 71 | 28 | 3 |
| Cuban/Puerto Rican descent | |||
| Cuban descent | 70 | 30 | 6 |
| Puerto Rican descent | 45 | 53 | 7 |
| Gender by race/ethnicity | |||
| White men | 68 | 31 | 27 |
| White women | 58 | 41 | 32 |
| Black men | 23 | 76 | 5 |
| Black women | 11 | 88 | 7 |
| Latino men | 63 | 37 | 12 |
| Latina women | 52 | 46 | 12 |
| All other races | 70 | 29 | 5 |
| Age | |||
| 18–29 years old | 44 | 56 | 14 |
| 30–44 years old | 56 | 43 | 23 |
| 45–64 years old | 59 | 40 | 35 |
| 65 and older | 58 | 41 | 28 |
| First time voter | |||
| Yes | 51 | 49 | 11 |
| No | 57 | 42 | 89 |
| 2020 presidential vote | |||
| Biden | 7 | 92 | 38 |
| Trump | 97 | 3 | 48 |
| Another candidate | n/a | n/a | 2 |
| Did not vote | 53 | 47 | 11 |
| Education | |||
| No college degree | 58 | 41 | 64 |
| College graduate | 53 | 46 | 36 |
| Education by race | |||
| White college graduates | 56 | 43 | 24 |
| White no college degree | 67 | 32 | 35 |
| Non-white college graduates | 46 | 53 | 12 |
| Non-white no college degree | 47 | 53 | 28 |
| Area type | |||
| Urban | 50 | 49 | 46 |
| Suburban | 61 | 38 | 46 |
| Rural | 64 | 35 | 8 |
| Biden job approval | |||
| Strongly disapprove | 94 | 5 | 50 |
| Somewhat disapprove | 52 | 46 | 14 |
| Somewhat approve | 5 | 95 | 18 |
| Strongly approve | 2 | 97 | 16 |
| Feeling about the way things are going in U.S. | |||
| Angry | 79 | 20 | 27 |
| Dissatisfied | 59 | 40 | 51 |
| Satisfied | 17 | 83 | 15 |
| Enthusiastic | n/a | n/a | 5 |
| Quality of candidate that mattered most | |||
| Has ability to lead | 73 | 27 | 34 |
| Can bring needed change | 75 | 23 | 28 |
| Has good judgment | 18 | 80 | 18 |
| Cares about people like me | 30 | 70 | 18 |
| Vote for president mainly | |||
| For your candidate | 61 | 38 | 76 |
| Against their opponent | 35 | 63 | 21 |
| Issue regarded as most important | |||
| Democracy | 17 | 82 | 30 |
| Economy | 80 | 20 | 38 |
| Abortion | 20 | 80 | 11 |
| Immigration | 86 | 14 | 16 |
| Foreign policy | n/a | n/a | 3 |
| Democracy threatened in the United States | |||
| Democracy in the U.S. very threatened | 56 | 44 | 40 |
| Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened | 57 | 43 | 33 |
| Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure | 49 | 50 | 17 |
| Democracy in the U.S. very secure | n/a | n/a | 8 |
| Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately | |||
| Very confident | 48 | 51 | 38 |
| Somewhat confident | 59 | 40 | 43 |
| Not very confident | 63 | 35 | 13 |
| Not at all confident | n/a | n/a | 4 |
| Condition of the nation's economy | |||
| Poor | 86 | 13 | 40 |
| Not so good | 61 | 37 | 31 |
| Good | 8 | 91 | 22 |
| Excellent | n/a | n/a | 6 |
| Family's financial situation today | |||
| Worse than four years ago | 84 | 15 | 55 |
| About the same | 26 | 72 | 25 |
| Better than four years ago | 13 | 86 | 19 |
| Abortion should be | |||
| Legal in all cases | 24 | 74 | 27 |
| Legal in most cases | 46 | 53 | 37 |
| Illegal in most cases | 94 | 6 | 27 |
| Illegal in all cases | n/a | n/a | 5 |
Partisan clients
National Democrats are grappling with an identity crisis. It's even worse in Florida. For those who'd been in denial, the 2024 election proclaimed Florida as a red state. The party got romped up and down the ticket, and many of the same factors that affected the rest of the U.S. were magnified here: Voters were deeply concerned about immigration, inflation, and the economy, and Republicans received strong support from Hispanics.
[DeSantis] flipped Miami-Dade County, Florida's political crown jewel, which completed a stunning reversal in just six years, after backing Hillary Clinton by 30 points in 2016, Joe Biden by 7 in 2020, and now DeSantis by 11 points. In running up the score, DeSantis also secured another major win, becoming the first Florida Republican gubernatorial candidate to win the Latino vote in 20 years, and the first Republican governor to do so since Brian Sandoval in Nevada in 2014. ... Devon Murphy-Anderson, the former finance director for the Florida Democratic Party and cofounder of Mi Vecino, which works to activate Latino voters in Florida, told Newsweek that while Miami-Dade is getting all of the attention, DeSantis' complete and total win also impressively flipped traditional blue areas like Palm Beach County and Hillsborough County. "It's important to know this was a strategy from Florida Republicans, and not to shift the blame to Latino voters," she argued, seeing the results as "a response to strategic investment by a political party."
State and district results of the2024 United States presidential election | ||
|---|---|---|
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