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| Turnout | 65.10% 1.80% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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The2024 United States presidential election in Arkansas took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Arkansas voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arkansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
Trump easily carried the state for the third time in a row in 2024, this time by a 30.64-point margin, which marks the eighth consecutive presidential election cycle in which Republicans have increased their margins in Arkansas.[2] Trump's margin of victory was the highest since1972.
The Arkansas Democratic primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 71,978 | 88.5% | 31 | ||
| Marianne Williamson | 3,883 | 4.8% | |||
| Dean Phillips | 2,346 | 2.9% | |||
| Stephen Lyons | 1,442 | 1.8% | |||
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 879 | 1.1% | |||
| Frankie Lozada | 786 | 1.0% | |||
| Total: | 81,314 | 100.00% | 37 | 37 | |
The Arkansas Republican primary was held onSuper Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 204,898 | 76.89% | 39 | 39 | |
| Nikki Haley | 49,085 | 18.42% | 1 | 1 | |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 7,377 | 2.77% | |||
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 3,162 | 1.19% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 860 | 0.32% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 600 | 0.23% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 183 | 0.07% | |||
| Doug Burgum (withdrawn) | 157 | 0.06% | |||
| David Stuckenberg | 151 | 0.06% | |||
| Total: | 266,473 | 100.00% | 40 | 40 | |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[6] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[9] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[10] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[11] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[12] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[13] | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP[14] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[15] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College[16][A] | September 5–6, 2024 | 696 (RV) | ± 4.6 points | 55% | 40% | 1% | – | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 21, 2024 | Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race. | |||||
| John Zogby Strategies[17][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 385 (LV) | – | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Emerson College[18] | October 1–4, 2023 | 435 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Echelon Insights[19][C] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 58% | 33% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[17][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 385 (LV) | – | 44% | 42% | 14% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[17][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 385 (LV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[19][C] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 49% | 31% | 20% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 759,241 | 64.20% | +1.80 pp | ||
| Democratic | 396,905 | 33.56% | –1.22 pp | ||
| Independent |
| 13,255 | 1.12% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | 5,715 | 0.48% | –0.60 pp | ||
| Green | 4,275 | 0.36% | +0.12 pp | ||
| American Solidarity |
| 2,141 | 0.18% | +0.04 pp | |
| Prohibition |
| 1,144 | 0.10% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,182,676 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County[20] | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Arkansas | 3,951 | 71.23% | 1,503 | 27.10% | 93 | 1.68% | 2,448 | 44.13% | 5,547 |
| Ashley | 5,145 | 73.19% | 1,774 | 25.23% | 111 | 1.58% | 3,371 | 47.96% | 7,030 |
| Baxter | 16,253 | 77.57% | 4,341 | 20.72% | 360 | 1.72% | 11,912 | 56.85% | 20,954 |
| Benton | 79,907 | 62.14% | 45,231 | 35.17% | 3,457 | 2.69% | 34,676 | 26.97% | 128,595 |
| Boone | 13,968 | 81.63% | 2,854 | 16.68% | 290 | 1.69% | 11,114 | 64.95% | 17,112 |
| Bradley | 2,213 | 68.96% | 961 | 29.95% | 35 | 1.09% | 1,252 | 39.01% | 3,209 |
| Calhoun | 1,674 | 80.02% | 379 | 18.12% | 39 | 1.86% | 1,295 | 61.90% | 2,092 |
| Carroll | 7,470 | 64.74% | 3,812 | 33.04% | 256 | 2.22% | 3,658 | 31.70% | 11,538 |
| Chicot | 1,658 | 47.51% | 1,796 | 51.46% | 36 | 1.03% | -138 | -3.95% | 3,490 |
| Clark | 4,526 | 59.11% | 2,959 | 38.64% | 172 | 2.25% | 1,567 | 20.47% | 7,657 |
| Clay | 3,968 | 79.89% | 907 | 18.26% | 92 | 1.85% | 3,061 | 61.63% | 4,967 |
| Cleburne | 10,595 | 83.17% | 1,941 | 15.24% | 203 | 1.59% | 8,654 | 67.93% | 12,739 |
| Cleveland | 2,804 | 83.11% | 524 | 15.53% | 46 | 1.36% | 2,280 | 67.58% | 3,374 |
| Columbia | 5,367 | 67.59% | 2,466 | 31.06% | 107 | 1.35% | 2,901 | 36.53% | 7,940 |
| Conway | 5,893 | 69.00% | 2,449 | 28.67% | 199 | 2.33% | 3,444 | 40.33% | 8,541 |
| Craighead | 25,152 | 67.54% | 11,210 | 30.10% | 880 | 2.36% | 13,942 | 37.44% | 37,242 |
| Crawford | 18,615 | 78.10% | 4,753 | 19.94% | 466 | 1.96% | 13,862 | 58.16% | 23,834 |
| Crittenden | 7,028 | 47.87% | 7,362 | 50.15% | 291 | 1.98% | -334 | -2.28% | 14,681 |
| Cross | 4,753 | 72.74% | 1,642 | 25.13% | 139 | 2.13% | 3,111 | 47.61% | 6,534 |
| Dallas | 1,482 | 63.77% | 798 | 34.34% | 44 | 1.89% | 684 | 29.43% | 2,324 |
| Desha | 1,805 | 51.50% | 1,638 | 46.73% | 62 | 1.77% | 167 | 4.77% | 3,505 |
| Drew | 4,203 | 66.03% | 2,050 | 32.21% | 112 | 1.76% | 2,153 | 33.82% | 6,365 |
| Faulkner | 35,357 | 64.92% | 17,752 | 32.59% | 1,356 | 2.49% | 17,605 | 32.33% | 54,465 |
| Franklin | 5,582 | 80.07% | 1,232 | 17.67% | 157 | 2.25% | 4,350 | 62.40% | 6,971 |
| Fulton | 4,040 | 80.11% | 906 | 17.97% | 97 | 1.92% | 3,134 | 62.14% | 5,043 |
| Garland | 28,359 | 67.00% | 13,015 | 30.75% | 953 | 2.25% | 15,344 | 36.25% | 42,327 |
| Grant | 6,755 | 83.62% | 1,192 | 14.76% | 131 | 1.62% | 5,563 | 68.86% | 8,078 |
| Greene | 12,617 | 79.75% | 2,935 | 18.55% | 268 | 1.69% | 9,682 | 61.20% | 15,820 |
| Hempstead | 4,193 | 68.86% | 1,776 | 29.17% | 120 | 1.97% | 2,417 | 39.69% | 6,089 |
| Hot Spring | 9,226 | 75.11% | 2,818 | 22.94% | 239 | 1.95% | 6,408 | 52.17% | 12,283 |
| Howard | 3,246 | 72.57% | 1,158 | 25.89% | 69 | 1.54% | 2,088 | 46.68% | 4,473 |
| Independence | 11,023 | 78.67% | 2,689 | 19.19% | 299 | 2.13% | 8,334 | 59.48% | 14,011 |
| Izard | 4,854 | 81.92% | 949 | 16.02% | 122 | 2.06% | 3,905 | 65.90% | 5,925 |
| Jackson | 3,509 | 73.49% | 1,183 | 24.77% | 83 | 1.74% | 2,326 | 48.72% | 4,775 |
| Jefferson | 8,468 | 39.19% | 12,802 | 59.25% | 338 | 1.56% | -4,334 | -20.06% | 21,608 |
| Johnson | 6,766 | 74.69% | 2,107 | 23.26% | 186 | 2.05% | 4,659 | 51.43% | 9,059 |
| Lafayette | 1,589 | 68.34% | 698 | 30.02% | 38 | 1.63% | 891 | 38.32% | 2,325 |
| Lawrence | 4,608 | 80.96% | 965 | 16.95% | 119 | 2.09% | 3,643 | 64.01% | 5,692 |
| Lee | 1,181 | 46.87% | 1,270 | 50.40% | 69 | 2.74% | -89 | -3.53% | 2,520 |
| Lincoln | 2,502 | 74.20% | 813 | 24.11% | 57 | 1.69% | 1,689 | 50.09% | 3,372 |
| Little River | 3,744 | 76.42% | 1,084 | 22.13% | 71 | 1.45% | 2,660 | 54.29% | 4,899 |
| Logan | 6,567 | 80.04% | 1,464 | 17.84% | 174 | 2.12% | 5,103 | 62.20% | 8,205 |
| Lonoke | 23,225 | 75.85% | 6,790 | 22.18% | 605 | 1.98% | 16,435 | 53.67% | 30,620 |
| Madison | 5,885 | 78.46% | 1,491 | 19.88% | 125 | 1.67% | 4,394 | 58.58% | 7,501 |
| Marion | 6,230 | 79.35% | 1,501 | 19.12% | 120 | 1.53% | 4,729 | 60.23% | 7,851 |
| Miller | 11,842 | 74.94% | 3,769 | 23.85% | 192 | 1.21% | 8,073 | 51.09% | 15,803 |
| Mississippi | 6,963 | 64.97% | 3,574 | 33.35% | 180 | 1.68% | 3,389 | 31.62% | 10,717 |
| Monroe | 1,385 | 56.93% | 1,002 | 41.18% | 46 | 1.89% | 383 | 15.75% | 2,433 |
| Montgomery | 2,987 | 80.58% | 645 | 17.40% | 75 | 2.02% | 2,342 | 63.18% | 3,707 |
| Nevada | 2,002 | 68.87% | 849 | 29.21% | 56 | 1.93% | 1,153 | 39.66% | 2,907 |
| Newton | 3,063 | 81.25% | 644 | 17.08% | 63 | 1.67% | 2,419 | 64.17% | 3,770 |
| Ouachita | 5,056 | 58.61% | 3,412 | 39.55% | 158 | 1.83% | 1,644 | 19.06% | 8,626 |
| Perry | 3,559 | 77.64% | 923 | 20.14% | 102 | 2.23% | 2,636 | 57.50% | 4,584 |
| Phillips | 2,098 | 42.49% | 2,754 | 55.77% | 86 | 1.74% | -656 | -13.28% | 4,938 |
| Pike | 3,746 | 85.96% | 560 | 12.85% | 52 | 1.19% | 3,186 | 73.11% | 4,358 |
| Poinsett | 5,731 | 80.96% | 1,235 | 17.45% | 113 | 1.60% | 4,496 | 63.51% | 7,079 |
| Polk | 6,987 | 84.30% | 1,145 | 13.82% | 156 | 1.88% | 5,842 | 70.48% | 8,288 |
| Pope | 18,118 | 74.90% | 5,487 | 22.68% | 586 | 2.42% | 12,631 | 52.22% | 24,191 |
| Prairie | 2,628 | 82.13% | 524 | 16.38% | 48 | 1.50% | 2,104 | 65.75% | 3,200 |
| Pulaski | 57,977 | 37.67% | 92,038 | 59.79% | 3,909 | 2.54% | -34,061 | -22.12% | 153,924 |
| Randolph | 5,367 | 80.88% | 1,138 | 17.15% | 131 | 1.97% | 4,229 | 63.73% | 6,636 |
| St. Francis | 2,909 | 48.65% | 2,953 | 49.39% | 117 | 1.96% | -44 | -0.74% | 5,979 |
| Saline | 39,736 | 68.98% | 16,609 | 28.83% | 1,264 | 2.19% | 23,127 | 40.15% | 57,609 |
| Scott | 2,913 | 86.08% | 425 | 12.56% | 46 | 1.36% | 2,488 | 73.52% | 3,384 |
| Searcy | 3,305 | 85.42% | 511 | 13.21% | 53 | 1.37% | 2,794 | 72.21% | 3,869 |
| Sebastian | 30,719 | 67.59% | 13,652 | 30.04% | 1,081 | 2.38% | 17,067 | 37.55% | 45,452 |
| Sevier | 3,772 | 80.02% | 862 | 18.29% | 80 | 1.70% | 2,910 | 61.73% | 4,714 |
| Sharp | 5,978 | 80.38% | 1,316 | 17.70% | 143 | 1.92% | 4,662 | 62.68% | 7,437 |
| Stone | 4,808 | 79.73% | 1,089 | 18.06% | 133 | 2.21% | 3,719 | 61.67% | 6,030 |
| Union | 10,196 | 66.00% | 5,019 | 32.49% | 233 | 1.51% | 5,177 | 33.51% | 15,448 |
| Van Buren | 6,023 | 79.03% | 1,437 | 18.86% | 161 | 2.11% | 4,586 | 60.17% | 7,621 |
| Washington | 50,243 | 51.71% | 43,779 | 45.06% | 3,136 | 3.23% | 6,464 | 6.65% | 97,158 |
| White | 24,514 | 79.50% | 5,641 | 18.29% | 682 | 2.21% | 18,873 | 61.21% | 30,837 |
| Woodruff | 1,513 | 65.27% | 760 | 32.79% | 45 | 1.94% | 753 | 32.48% | 2,318 |
| Yell | 5,147 | 79.47% | 1,213 | 18.73% | 117 | 1.81% | 3,934 | 60.74% | 6,477 |
| Totals | 759,241 | 64.20% | 396,905 | 33.56% | 26,530 | 2.24% | 362,336 | 30.64% | 1,182,676 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Swing by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic
|
Trump won all four congressional districts.[21]
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 72% | 26% | Rick Crawford |
| 2nd | 57% | 41% | French Hill |
| 3rd | 61% | 36% | Steve Womack |
| 4th | 69% | 29% | Bruce Westerman |
Although former Democratic PresidentBill Clinton hails from the state and comfortably won it in both of his victories (1992 and1996), Arkansas is aSouthern state in theBible Belt that has trended strongly towards the Republican Party in the 21st century, withAl Gore (from neighboringTennessee) losing the state in2000 by 5.45%. The last Democratic presidential candidate to come within single digits of carrying Arkansas, or even win more than 40% of the state vote, wasJohn Kerry in2004. The state's rightward shift continued underBarack Obama, leading to Arkansas becoming a Republican stronghold at the presidential level. In2008, Obama became the first Democrat to win without carrying Arkansas despite decisively winning nationwide.
The GOP's popularity in Arkansas has become so pronounced that the state turned sharply against formerFirst Lady of ArkansasHillary Clinton in2016, favoring RepublicanDonald Trump by 26.9%. Trump easily won the state again by 27.6% in2020. In addition, Republicans have held all statewide elected positions in Arkansas since2015.
Trump became the first Republican to carry the plurality-BlackDelta county ofDesha in a presidential election sincelandslide victorRichard Nixon in1972, when he carried every county in the state. Trump's success in Desha, as well as his narrowed margin in other Delta region counties, was partially attributed to a decreased turnout rate in the traditionally Democratic region (of the 10 counties in the state with the lowest turnout, 4 were in the Delta despite the Delta containing only 20% of the state's counties).[22] Despite this, he still failed to reach the success level seen by other Republicans in the region, most notably underperforming compared to governorSarah Huckabee Sanders two years prior.
Partisan clients
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{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)State and district results of the2024 United States presidential election | ||
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