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2024 United States Senate election in Ohio

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Not to be confused with2024 Ohio Senate election.

Main article:2024 United States Senate elections

2024 United States Senate election in Ohio
← 2018
November 5, 2024
2030 →
Turnout69.9%Increase 15.3pp
 
NomineeBernie MorenoSherrod Brown
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote2,857,3832,650,949
Percentage50.09%46.47%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Moreno:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Brown:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
U.S. senator before election

Sherrod Brown
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Bernie Moreno
Republican

Elections in Ohio
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant Governor elections
Secretary of State elections
Attorney General elections
State Auditor elections
State Treasurer elections
State Supreme Court elections
State House elections
State Senate elections

The2024 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state ofOhio. IncumbentDemocratic SenatorSherrod Brown lost re-election to a fourth term, being defeated byRepublican nomineeBernie Moreno.[1][2] Primary elections took place on March 19, 2024.[3] This was the first U.S. Senate race in Ohio where the incumbent was defeated since2006, when Brown defeatedMike DeWine.

This race was one of two2024 U.S. Senate races in which Democratic senators sought re-election in states where RepublicanDonald Trump won in both the2016 and2020 presidential elections (the other beingMontana). This was the most expensive U.S. Senate election of 2024, with a record-breaking $483.4 million spent in total.[4][5] Brown's reelection was considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024.[6]

Moreno won 8 counties that Brown won in 2018, all of them located in northern Ohio,Ashtabula,Erie,Lake,Mahoning,Ottawa,Portage,Trumbull, andWood. His campaign was aided by Republican nomineeDonald Trump's 11.21% margin of victory in Ohio, helping secure an outright majority forSenate Republicans for the first time since 2021, with a net gain of four seats in the2024 elections. Although Brown outperformedKamala Harris in theconcurrent presidential election by 7.59 percentage points, it was not enough to win. Brown received about 120,000 more votes than Harris, while Moreno received about 320,000 fewer votes than Trump. Libertarian candidate Don Kissick received around 195,000 votes, approximately 3% of the vote. This was the first time since1954 that a Republican defeated an incumbent Democrat senator in Ohio. Along withBob Casey Jr. inPennsylvania andJon Tester inMontana, Brown was one of three incumbent senators to lose re-election in 2024. Notably, all three were first elected in2006, defeating Republican incumbents, and won re-election in2012 and2018.To date, this isSherrod Brown's second general election loss of his political career, following his 1990 loss toRobert Taft in his bid for re-election as Secretary of State of Ohio. Following his defeat, Brown would later run for the Senate again in2026.

Moreno's swearing in on January 3, 2025 gave Republicans control of both of Ohio's U.S. Senate seats for the first time since 2007. As Ohio's other U.S. senator,JD Vance, was electedvice president of the United States, Moreno became Ohio's senior senator upon Vance's resignation.

Background

[edit]

After voting forBarack Obama in both the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections, Ohio has trended increasingly Republican in subsequent years and is now considered ared state. Republicans hold all statewide offices in addition to the majority in both chambers of the state legislature. Republicans also have a majority of the state'sUS House delegation.

Donald Trump won Ohio in2016 and again in2020 by 8 points both times.

RepublicanJD Vance defeated DemocratTim Ryan in 2022 forOhio’s other U.S. Senate seat by slightly over 6 points.[7][8]

Brown was first elected in2006, defeating SenatorMike DeWine (who was subsequently electedgovernor), and won re-election in2012 and2018. If he had been reelected he would have been only the second Ohioan to be elected to the United States Senate four times, the other beingJohn Glenn. Abortion was a key issue of the election. Brown held a pro-choice stance, while Moreno held a pro life stance and won the support ofOhio Right to Life. Brown raised the issue frequently. Because of this, the topic of abortion made the news.[9][10][11][12] Initially, the seat was viewed by many to be a likely Democratic win, with some early polls showing Brown ahead, but Moreno attained a lead in the summer which grew through the duration of the campaign.[13]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Sherrod Brown

U.S. senators

Political parties

Organizations

Labor unions

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Sherrod Brown (D)$27,838,244$14,594,991$14,614,497
Source:Federal Election Commission[33]

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling

Sherrod Brown vs. Tim Ryan vs. Shontel Brown

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Sherrod
Brown		Shontel
Brown		Tim
Ryan		Undecided
Ohio Northern University[34]October 16–19, 2023256 (LV)[b]± 8.3%58%6%15%21%
Ohio Northern University[35]July 17–26, 2023675 (RV)± 3.7%59%7%17%17%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[36]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSherrod Brown (incumbent)535,305100.0%
Total votes535,305100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Failed to qualify

[edit]
  • Doug Stuart, retired businessman[40][41]

Declined

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
No.DateHostModeratorLinkCandidates
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W  Withdrawn
Matt DolanFrank LaRoseBernie Moreno
1January 22, 2024FOX 8Colleen Marshall
Joe Toohey		FOX 8[50]PPP
2February 19, 2024Spectrum NewsMike KallmeyerSpectrum News[51]PPP
3March 6, 2024WLWTSheree PaolelloYouTube[52]PPP

Endorsements

[edit]
Matt Dolan

U.S. senators

Governors

State representatives

Local officials

Individuals

Newspapers

Frank LaRose

U.S. representatives

State representatives

Political parties

Organizations

Bernie Moreno

U.S. presidents

U.S. ambassadors

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Governors

Statewide officials

Individuals

Political parties

Organizations

Declined to endorse

Statewide officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of February 28, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Matt Dolan (R)$11,425,814[c]$9,089,493$2,383,077
Bernie Moreno (R)$9,735,460[d]$7,338,751$2,396,709
Frank LaRose (R)$2,217,016[e]$1,625,972$591,043
Source:Federal Election Commission[33]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Matt
Dolan		Frank
LaRose		Bernie
Moreno		OtherUndecided
Emerson College[93]March 17–18, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%40%16%44%–
Mainstreet Research/
Florida Atlantic University[94]		March 13–15, 2024818 (RV)± 3.4%31%19%29%–21%
East Carolina University[95]March 8–11, 2024<1,298 (LV)± 4.6%39%27%34%–
SurveyUSA[96][A]March 6–11, 2024533 (LV)± 3.3%18%16%22%–44%
Emerson College[97]March 7–10, 2024443 (LV)± 2.6%26%16%23%3%32%
SurveyUSA[98][B]February 27 – March 3, 2024568 (LV)± 4.6%27%21%29%–23%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[99][C]February 25–26, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%19%21%31%–27%
Emerson College[100]January 23–25, 20241844 (RV)± 2.3%15%21%22%–42%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[101][D]December 12–14, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%16%18%22%–44%
SurveyUSA[102][B]December 8–12, 2023573 (LV)± 4.6%18%33%12%1%[f]35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[103][C]December 3–5, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%18%19%23%–40%
co/efficient (R)[104][C]November 18–20, 2023950 (LV)± 3.18%13%14%15%–58%
Emerson College/WJW-TV[105]November 10–13, 2023468 (LV)± 4.5%15%18%10%32%[g]25%
Data for Progress (D)[106]October 31 – November 2, 2023294 (LV)± 6.0%20%30%7%0%[h]43%
Ohio Northern University[34]October 16–19, 2023269 (LV)[i]± 8.2%13%30%7%2%49%
Ohio Northern University[35]July 17–26, 2023675 (RV)± 3.7%18%32%7%1%43%
Suffolk/USA Today[107]July 9–12, 2023190 (RV)–14%19%9%–57%
East Carolina University[108]June 21–24, 2023405 (RV)± 4.0%14%17%7%4%58%
Causeway Solutions (R)[109][E]May 19–27, 2023526 (RV)± 2.5%11%24%6%17%42%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Moreno
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Vote share of Bernie Moreno (left), Matt Dolan (center), Frank LaRose (right) by counties
Republican primary results[36]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBernie Moreno557,62650.48%
RepublicanMatt Dolan363,01332.86%
RepublicanFrank LaRose184,11116.67%
Total votes1,104,750100.0%

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Write-in candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[113]TossupSeptember 25, 2024
Inside Elections[114]TossupSeptember 26, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[115]Lean R(flip)November 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[116]TossupSeptember 27, 2024
Elections Daily[117]Lean DNovember 4, 2024
CNalysis[118]Tilt DNovember 4, 2024
RealClearPolitics[119]TossupSeptember 28, 2024
Split Ticket[120]TossupOctober 23, 2024
538[121]TossupOctober 23, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Sherrod Brown (D)

Governors

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Bernie Moreno (R)

Governors

Federal officials

U.S. senators

Statewide officials

Individuals

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Sherrod Brown (D)$91,399,138$88,358,633$4,411,749
Bernie Moreno (R)$24,237,971[j]$21,447,672$2,636,429
Source:Federal Election Commission[33]

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Sherrod
Brown (D)		Bernie
Moreno (R)		Undecided
[k]		Margin
FiveThirtyEight[140]through November 4, 2024November 4, 202447.1%47.8%5.1%Moreno +0.7%
RealClearPolitics[141]October 23 – November 4, 2024November 4, 202446.3%48.0%5.7%Moreno +1.7%
270toWin[142]October 10 – November 4, 2024November 4, 202447.3%47.0%5.7%Brown +0.3%
TheHill/DDHQ[143]through November 4, 2024November 4, 202446.8%48.9%4.3%Moreno +2.1%
Average46.9%47.9%5.2%Moreno +1.0%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Sherrod
Brown (D)		Bernie
Moreno (R)		OtherUndecided
AtlasIntel[144]November 3–4, 20241,022 (LV)± 3.0%46%49%3%[l]3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[145]November 2–4, 20241,095 (LV)± 2.9%48%48%2%2%
Emerson College[146][F]October 30 – November 2, 2024900 (LV)± 3.2%45%48%–6%
48%[m]52%––
Morning Consult[147]October 23 – November 1, 20241,254 (LV)± 3.0%46%47%–7%
Miami University[148]October 28–30, 2024857 (RV)± 5.0%48%46%3%[n]2%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[149]October 25–28, 20241,127 (LV)± 2.9%48%47%2%3%
ActiVote[150]October 14–28, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%49%51%––
J.L. Partners (R)[151]October 22–24, 2024997 (LV)± 3.1%46%52%3%–
University of Akron[152]September 12 – October 24, 20241,241 (RV)± 2.8%46%44%–10%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[153][G]October 19–22, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%47%49%3%[o]3%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[154]October 10–21, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.6%47%45%1%[p]7%
ActiVote[155]September 23 – October 20, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%48%52%––
Morning Consult[147]October 6–15, 2024490 (LV)± 3.0%46%47%1%6%
The Washington Post[156]October 3–7, 20241,002 (LV)± 3.5%48%47%1%[q]3%
1,002 (RV)48%47%1%[r]4%
Marist College[157]October 3–7, 20241,327 (LV)± 3.2%50%48%–2%
1,511 (RV)± 3.0%49%48%1%[s]2%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[158]September 18–27, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.6%49%45%–6%
New York Times/Siena College[159]September 21–26, 2024687 (LV)± 4.2%47%43%–10%
687 (RV)± 4.1%46%41%–13%
ActiVote[160]August 16 – September 22, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%49%51%––
RMG Research[161][H]September 18–20, 2024781 (LV)± 3.5%46%48%5%[t]–
Morning Consult[147]September 9–18, 20241,488 (LV)± 3.0%46%44%–10%
Morning Consult[147]August 30 – September 8, 20241,558 (LV)± 3.0%46%43%–11%
SoCal Strategies (R)[162][I]August 31 – September 1, 2024600 (LV)–50%45%–5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[163][J]August 13–17, 20241,267 (LV)–47%42%–11%
ActiVote[164]July 20 – August 12, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%52.5%47.5%––
Fabrizio Ward (R)/
Impact Research (D)[165][K]		July 23–28, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%46%42%1%11%
Remington Research Group (R)[166][L]June 29 – July 1, 2024611 (LV)± 4.0%50%44%–7%
Marist College[167]June 3–6, 20241,137 (RV)± 3.6%50%45%1%4%
National Public Affairs[168]May 28–29, 2024801 (LV)± 3.5%54%46%––
March 19, 2024Primary elections held
Mainstreet Research/FAU[94]March 13–15, 2024818 (RV)± 3.4%47%36%–17%
East Carolina University[95]March 8–11, 20241,298 (LV)± 3.2%45%41%3%12%
SurveyUSA[96][A]March 6–11, 2024533 (LV)± 3.3%43%37%–20%
Emerson College[97]March 7–10, 20241,300 (RV)± 2.6%39%34%6%21%
Emerson College[100]January 23–25, 20241844 (RV)± 2.3%39%37%5%18%
Emerson College[105][M]November 10–13, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%32%–26%
Data for Progress (D)[106]October 31 – November 2, 2023597 (LV)± 4.0%47%44%–9%
Ohio Northern University[34]October 16–19, 2023668 (RV)± 3.8%48%26%1%25%
Emerson College[169]October 1–3, 2023438 (RV)± 4.5%35%33%–32%
Ohio Northern University[35]July 17–26, 2023675 (RV)± 3.7%45%28%0%27%
Suffolk University[107]July 9–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%48%41%–10%
East Carolina University[108]June 21–24, 2023805 (RV)± 4.0%46%42%2%11%
Hypothetical polling

Sherrod Brown vs. Matt Dolan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Sherrod
Brown (D)		Matt
Dolan (R)		OtherUndecided
Mainstreet Research/FAU[94]March 13–15, 2024818 (RV)± 3.4%45%41%–14%
East Carolina University[95]March 8–11, 20241,298 (LV)± 3.2%41%43%4%12%
SurveyUSA[96][A]March 6–11, 2024533 (LV)± 3.3%42%39%–18%
Emerson College[97]March 7–10, 20241,300 (RV)± 2.6%37%34%7%22%
Emerson College[100]January 23–25, 20241844 (RV)± 2.3%38%37%5%20%
Emerson/WJW-TV[105]November 10–13, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%38%–22%
Data for Progress (D)[106]October 31 – November 2, 2023597 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%–7%
Ohio Northern University[34]October 16–19, 2023668 (RV)± 3.8%45%30%0%25%
Emerson College[169]October 1–3, 2023438 (RV)± 4.5%36%38%–26%
Ohio Northern University[35]July 17–26, 2023675 (RV)± 3.7%45%33%0%22%
Suffolk University[107]July 9–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%46%43%–11%
East Carolina University[108]June 21–24, 2023805 (RV)± 4.0%45%44%4%7%

Sherrod Brown vs. Frank LaRose

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Sherrod
Brown (D)		Frank
LaRose (R)		OtherUndecided
Mainstreet Research/
Florida Atlantic University[94]		March 13–15, 2024818 (RV)± 3.4%48%37%–15%
East Carolina University[95]March 8–11, 20241,298 (LV)± 3.2%45%40%4%12%
SurveyUSA[96][A]March 6–11, 2024533 (LV)± 3.3%44%36%–19%
Emerson College[97]March 7–10, 20241,300 (RV)± 2.6%39%33%7%21%
Emerson College[100]January 23–25, 20241844 (RV)± 2.3%39%37%6%18%
Emerson/WJW-TV[105]November 10–13, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%36%–24%
Data for Progress (D)[106]October 31 – November 2, 2023597 (LV)± 4.0%46%46%–8%
Ohio Northern University[34]October 16–19, 2023668 (RV)± 3.8%44%31%0%25%
Emerson College[169]October 1–3, 2023438 (RV)± 4.5%38%39%–23%
Ohio Northern University[35]July 17–26, 2023675 (RV)± 3.7%45%32%0%23%
Suffolk University[107]July 9–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%45%45%–10%
East Carolina University[108]June 21–24, 2023805 (RV)± 4.0%44%42%4%11%

Sherrod Brown vs. Joel Mutchler

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Sherrod
Brown (D)		Joel
Mutchler (R)		OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D)[106]October 31 – November 2, 2023597 (LV)± 4.0%48%43%-9%

Sherrod Brown vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Sherrod
Brown (D)		Generic
Republican		Undecided
Causeway Solutions (R)[109][E]May 19–27, 20231639 (RV)± 2.5%39%37%24%

Results

[edit]

Moreno was declared the winner at around 11:30 PM on Election Day.[170] Brown had the second worst performance of a Democratic incumbent in 2024. Only Montana SenatorJon Tester had aworse performance.

While Brown was able to win urban counties, Moreno won nearly all rural and suburban counties except Athens and Lorain. He also managed to win most counties in Brown’s home region ofnorthern Ohio, flipping 8 counties in this area that Brown had previously won.

2024 United States Senate election in Ohio[171]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanBernie Moreno2,857,38350.09%+3.51%
DemocraticSherrod Brown (incumbent)2,650,94946.47%−6.93%
LibertarianDon Kissick195,6483.43%+3.43%
Write-in6400.01%-0.01%
Total votes5,704,620100.00%
Turnout69.91%+15.26
Republicangain fromDemocratic

By county

[edit]
County[172]Bernie Moreno
Republican		Sherrod Brown
Democratic		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams9,32576.60%2,44720.10%4013.29%6,87856.50%12,173
Allen30,20865.69%14,12030.70%1,6603.61%16,08834.99%45,988
Ashland17,89468.32%7,28027.79%1,0193.89%10,61440.53%26,193
Ashtabula24,11756.50%16,78539.33%1,7804.17%7,33217.17%42,682
Athens10,01339.06%14,69657.32%9283.62%−4,683−18.26%25,637
Auglaize19,36376.02%5,24820.60%8613.38%14,11555.42%25,472
Belmont20,14665.51%9,47630.82%1,1293.67%10,67034.69%30,751
Brown15,62274.46%4,61021.97%7483.57%11,01252.49%20,980
Butler104,95257.91%69,73438.48%6,5573.62%35,21819.43%181,243
Carroll9,54369.87%3,54525.95%5714.18%5,99843.92%13,659
Champaign13,91768.68%5,54727.37%8013.95%8,37041.31%20,265
Clark36,61158.45%23,63037.73%2,3933.82%12,98120.72%62,634
Clermont70,59262.43%37,82533.45%4,6494.11%32,76728.98%113,066
Clinton14,51370.61%5,15425.08%8874.32%9,35945.53%20,554
Columbiana31,75766.72%13,90229.21%1,9354.07%17,85537.51%47,594
Coshocton11,01168.03%4,45727.54%7174.43%6,55440.49%16,185
Crawford13,93869.24%5,40026.82%7933.94%8,53842.42%20,131
Cuyahoga170,67130.00%384,04267.49%14,3522.52%−213,371−37.49%569,065
Darke20,61576.75%5,35919.95%8863.30%15,25656.80%26,860
Defiance12,02864.22%5,88031.39%8224.39%6,14832.83%18,730
Delaware65,71549.41%63,69747.89%3,5822.69%2,0181.52%132,994
Erie19,65450.00%18,11746.09%1,5363.91%1,5373.91%39,307
Fairfield47,34256.45%33,69740.18%2,8193.36%13,64516.27%83,858
Fayette8,71270.30%3,20725.88%4743.82%5,50544.42%12,393
Franklin186,44131.65%385,85065.50%16,7902.85%−199,409−33.85%589,081
Fulton14,45065.44%6,76430.63%8683.93%7,68634.81%22,082
Gallia9,31673.22%2,91222.89%4963.90%6,40450.33%12,724
Geauga30,98756.72%22,31540.85%1,3302.43%8,67215.87%54,632
Greene49,47755.06%37,32741.54%3,0523.40%12,15013.52%89,856
Guernsey11,83668.07%4,83927.83%7124.10%6,99740.24%17,387
Hamilton158,52338.88%235,82557.84%13,3943.28%−77,302−18.96%407,742
Hancock23,80363.44%12,17032.44%1,5474.12%11,63331.00%37,520
Hardin8,83969.10%3,36726.32%5854.57%5,47242.78%12,791
Harrison4,89169.20%1,85726.27%3204.53%3,03442.93%7,068
Henry9,68566.32%4,35629.83%5623.85%5,32936.49%14,603
Highland14,88475.45%4,15221.05%6923.51%10,73254.40%19,728
Hocking8,59964.67%4,12531.02%5724.30%4,47433.65%13,296
Holmes9,69979.52%2,11717.36%3813.12%7,58262.16%12,197
Huron17,09063.69%8,45231.50%1,2894.80%8,63832.19%26,831
Jackson10,29972.95%3,34623.70%4723.34%6,95349.25%14,117
Jefferson19,79564.25%9,81931.87%1,1963.88%9,97632.38%30,810
Knox21,36366.84%9,53729.84%1,0613.32%11,82637.00%31,961
Lake64,08950.76%58,12546.04%4,0453.20%5,9644.72%126,259
Lawrence18,07768.66%7,19227.32%1,0604.03%10,88541.34%26,329
Licking55,32058.66%35,37337.51%3,6163.83%19,94721.15%94,309
Logan16,76371.77%5,61424.03%9814.20%11,14947.74%23,358
Lorain71,75945.95%79,30750.78%5,1153.28%−7,548−4.83%156,181
Lucas72,54438.38%107,78357.02%8,7034.60%−35,239−18.64%189,030
Madison13,34765.24%6,32230.90%7893.86%7,02534.34%20,458
Mahoning54,06748.49%53,84748.29%3,5853.22%2200.20%111,499
Marion16,76362.59%8,82432.95%1,1954.46%7,93929.64%26,782
Medina58,91555.92%43,17340.98%3,2623.10%15,74214.94%105,350
Meigs7,38572.30%2,45624.04%3743.66%4,92948.26%10,215
Mercer18,43278.54%4,33718.48%1,0574.50%14,09560.06%23,826
Miami39,22566.72%17,52529.81%2,0393.47%21,70036.91%58,789
Monroe4,71570.89%1,72525.94%2113.17%2,99044.95%6,651
Montgomery112,32444.58%130,46451.78%9,1463.63%−18,140−7.20%251,934
Morgan4,58769.07%1,80227.13%2523.79%2,78541.94%6,641
Morrow13,19771.20%4,61024.87%7273.92%8,58746.33%18,534
Muskingum25,40865.25%11,85230.44%1,6804.31%13,55634.81%38,940
Noble4,55575.00%1,31621.67%2023.33%3,23953.33%6,073
Ottawa13,31756.19%9,46039.92%9213.89%3,85716.27%23,698
Paulding6,67872.67%2,05622.37%4564.96%4,62250.30%9,190
Perry11,62669.32%4,49226.78%6543.90%7,13442.54%16,772
Pickaway19,61367.51%8,45229.09%9863.39%11,16138.42%29,051
Pike8,26468.62%3,36427.93%4153.45%4,90040.69%12,043
Portage42,16351.27%37,08245.09%3,0003.65%5,0816.18%82,245
Preble15,80673.41%4,94022.94%7853.65%10,86650.47%21,531
Putnam15,58279.08%3,57318.13%5492.79%12,00960.95%19,704
Richland37,36864.71%18,48832.02%1,8913.27%18,88032.69%57,747
Ross20,40262.42%11,12534.03%1,1603.55%9,27728.39%32,687
Sandusky16,95157.94%10,78236.86%1,5225.20%6,16921.08%29,255
Scioto20,50967.20%8,93529.28%1,0753.52%11,57437.92%30,519
Seneca15,42061.45%8,50933.91%1,1634.63%6,91127.54%25,092
Shelby19,27576.88%4,92719.65%8683.46%14,34857.23%25,070
Stark99,36554.67%75,43441.51%6,9413.82%23,93113.16%181,740
Summit111,57341.13%150,51755.49%9,1743.38%−38,944−14.36%271,264
Trumbull48,75550.97%43,17845.14%3,7223.89%5,5775.83%95,655
Tuscarawas27,39564.25%13,50131.67%1,7404.08%13,89432.58%42,636
Union21,92659.32%13,71937.12%1,3153.56%8,20722.20%36,960
Van Wert10,82674.12%3,20421.93%5773.95%7,62252.19%14,607
Vinton4,01871.76%1,36024.29%2213.95%2,65847.47%5,599
Warren84,79661.06%49,35035.54%4,7263.40%35,44625.52%138,872
Washington19,86565.78%9,27530.71%1,0613.51%10,59035.07%30,201
Wayne33,53263.57%17,31332.82%1,9003.60%16,21930.75%52,745
Williams12,03666.80%5,04327.99%9405.22%6,99338.81%18,019
Wood32,80149.10%31,24246.77%2,7584.13%1,5592.33%66,801
Wyandot7,81369.29%2,99626.57%4674.14%4,81742.72%11,276
Totals2,857,38350.09%2,650,94946.47%196,2883.44%206,4343.62%5,704,620
Shift by county
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Republican — >15%
  •   Republican — +12.5−15%
  •   Republican — +10−12.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5−10%
  •   Republican — +5−7.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5−5%
  •   Republican — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5−5%
  •   Democratic — +5−7.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +10−12.5%
  •   Democratic — +12.5−15%
County flips
Legend

  • Democratic

      Hold

    Republican

      Hold
      Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Moreno won nine of 15 congressional districts, with the remaining six going to Brown, including one that elected a Republican.[173]

DistrictBrownMorenoRepresentative
1st53.7%43.1%Greg Landsman
2nd28.8%67.4%Brad Wenstrup (118th Congress)
David Taylor (119th Congress)
3rd71.1%26.4%Joyce Beatty
4th34.0%62.5%Jim Jordan
5th38.2%58.1%Bob Latta
6th36.6%59.7%Michael Rulli
7th47.7%49.4%Max Miller
8th39.7%56.8%Warren Davidson
9th48.1%47.4%Marcy Kaptur
10th48.7%47.7%Mike Turner
11th78.4%19.2%Shontel Brown
12th36.1%60.3%Troy Balderson
13th52.1%44.5%Emilia Sykes
14th44.2%52.3%David Joyce
15th47.5%49.1%Mike Carey

Exit poll

[edit]
2024 Ohio U.S. Senate election voter demographics (CNN)[174]
Demographic subgroupBrownMoreno% of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals92722
Moderates583841
Conservatives88837
Party
Democrats95431
Republicans79041
Independents524328
Biden job approval
Approve96340
Disapprove158259
Gender
Men415547
Women514553
Race/ethnicity
White425585
Black89108
OtherN/AN/A7
Gender by race
White men385941
White women455144
Black men79183
Black women9555
Age
18–29 years old514311
30–44 years old534327
45-64 years old395836
65 and older484926
Area type
Urban643331
Suburban445244
Rural306725
Education
College graduate554242
No college degree415558
Education by race
White college graduates524536
Non-white college graduates70286
Whites without college356149
Non-whites without college732310
Education by gender and race
White women with college degrees564119
White women without college degrees385826
White men with college degrees494917
White men without college degrees316523
Voters of color722515
Educational attainment
Advanced degree613818
Bachelor's degree514624
Associate's degree385715
Some college494825
Never attended college336319

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcdefgKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^A subset of poll respondents who said they planned to vote in the Democratic primary
  3. ^$9,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Dolan.
  4. ^$4,200,000 of this total was self-funded by Moreno.
  5. ^$250,000 of this total was self-funded by LaRose.
  6. ^Joel Mutchler with 1%
  7. ^"Someone else" with 29%; Joel Mutchler with 3%
  8. ^Joel Mutchler with 0%
  9. ^A subset of poll respondents who said they planned to vote in the Republican primary
  10. ^$4,500,838 of this total was self-funded by Moreno.
  11. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. ^"Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  13. ^With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  14. ^Kissick (L) with 3%;"Other" with <1%
  15. ^Kissick (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  16. ^"Did not vote for Senator" with 1%
  17. ^"Wouldn't Vote" with 1%
  18. ^"Wouldn't Vote" with 1%
  19. ^"Another party's candidate" with 1%
  20. ^"Won't Vote" with 5%

Partisan clients

  1. ^abcdPoll sponsored by theOhio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy
  2. ^abPoll sponsored byThe Center for Election Science
  3. ^abcPoll sponsored by Moreno's campaign
  4. ^Poll sponsored by Buckeye Values PAC, which supports Moreno
  5. ^abPoll sponsored by Leadership for Ohio Fund, which supports LaRose
  6. ^Poll sponsored byThe Hill
  7. ^Poll sponsored by Senate Opportunity Fund, a super PAC that primarily supports Republican candidates in U.S. Senate races
  8. ^Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  9. ^Poll sponsored by On Point Politics and Red Eagle Politics, the latter of which supports Republican candidates
  10. ^Poll sponsored byNumbersUSA, a conservative group
  11. ^Poll sponsored byAARP
  12. ^Poll sponsored byAmerican Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republicans.
  13. ^Poll sponsored byWGW-TV

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