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2024 San Francisco mayoral election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2024 San Francisco mayoral election

← 2019November 5, 20242028 →
Turnout78.93% (Increase37.29pp)
 
CandidateDaniel LurieLondon Breed
First round102,720
26.33%
95,117
24.38%
Maximum round182,364
55.02%
149,113
44.98%

 
CandidateAaron PeskinMark Farrell
First round89,215
22.86%
72,115
18.48%
Maximum roundEliminatedEliminated

First round results by precinct

Mayor before election

London Breed
Democratic

Elected mayor

Daniel Lurie
Democratic

The2024 San Francisco mayoral election took place on November 5, 2024, to elect themayor ofSan Francisco,California. It was originally scheduled for November 7, 2023, but following the passage of Proposition H in 2022, mayoral elections were rescheduled to coincide withpresidential elections. The election usedranked-choice voting.

Incumbent mayorLondon Breed ran for re-election to a second term in office; she was considered vulnerable, as polls had consistently shown her with low approval ratings. Breed had also faced criticism for her handling of important issues in the city, including homelessness, crime, and drug addiction.[1]

On November 7, Breed conceded the race toDaniel Lurie.[2]

Background

[edit]

A survey was released by the San Francisco Controller in 2023 which reported the lowest safety rating since 1996, and the lowest government rating since 2002.[3] Polling in June reported that 64% of people did not believeLondon Breed should be reelected and she had a 66% disapproval rating.[4][5]

Candidates

[edit]

Debates and forums

[edit]
2024 San Francisco mayoral election debates and forums
DateHostModerator(s)LinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  W Withdrawn
London BreedMark FarrellDaniel LurieAaron PeskinAhsha Safaí
May 20, 2024
(cancelled)[16]
TogetherSF ActionKaren Breslau
Kim-Mai Cutler
WAWWA
June 12, 2024City Arts & LecturesHeather Knight
Manny Yekutiel
VideoPPPPP
June 17, 2024San Francisco
Democratic Party
Terisa EstacioPPPPP
July 8, 2024Stop Crime Action
Stop Crime SF
ConnectedSF
Frank Noto
Amber Lee
PPPAP
Sept. 5, 2024District 8
Neighborhood Groups
Joe Fitzgerald RodriguezVideoAPPPP
Sept. 11, 2024KPIX
San Francisco Examiner
KCBS
Ryan Yamamoto
Doug Sovereign
Adam Shanks
APPPP
Sept. 19, 2024KQED
San Francisco Chronicle
Joe Garofoli
Marisa Lagos
Scott Shafer
VideoPPPPP
Sept. 26, 2024Asian Pacific Islander CouncilRichard Lui
Gia Vang
PPPPP
Sept. 28, 2024San Francisco Latino Parity
and Equity Coalition
Chris Iglesias
Ani Rivera
PAPPP
Sept. 30, 2024League of Women Voters
of San Francisco
Alison Goh
Darcy Brown
VideoAPPPP

Endorsements

[edit]
London Breed

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Political parties

Organizations

Labor unions

Editorial boards

Mark Farrell

Local officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Daniel Lurie

Local officials

Organizations

Editorial boards

Aaron Peskin

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Political parties

Organizations

Labor unions

Ahsha Safaí

Labor unions

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
RCV
round
London
Breed
Mark
Farrell
Daniel
Lurie
Aaron
Peskin
Ahsha
Safaí
OtherUndecided
David Binder Research[56][A]October 26–27, 2024600 (LV)± 4%23%17%26%18%4%5%7%
Public Policy Polling[57][B]October 18–19, 2024621 (LV)± 4%18%15%25%25%6%11%
Sextant Strategies & Research[58][C]October 15–16, 2024802 (LV)± 3.5%127%16%27%21%6%3%
227%17%27%22%7%
330%18%28%24%
433%41%26%
544%56%
Lieberman Data & Insights, Inc.[59][D]October 9–19, 2024950 (LV)± 3.2%125%21%21%20%3%4%6%
David Binder Research[60][A]September 28 – October 1, 2024600 (LV)± 4.4%123%19%22%16%4%6%10%
227%23%27%18%5%
329%24%28%20%
437%27%36%
547%53%
FM3 Research (D)[61][E]September 21–26, 2024415 (RV)± 4.9%138%19%21%18%4%11%
239%19%21%21%
343%34%23%
451%49%
David Binder Research[62][A]September 3–8, 2024800 (LV)± 4.0%126%28%26%14%6%
227%29%28%16%
333%33%34%
443%57%
KRON4/Emerson College[63]September 5–7, 2024750 (LV)± 3.5%120.3%20.6%17.5%8.5%1.6%26.5%
FM3 Research (D)[64][A]August 21–28, 2024708 (LV)± 4.0%136%23%22%14%5%
238%23%23%15%
344%27%28%
452%48%
Probolsky Research[65][F]July 30–August 7, 2024300 (RV)± 5.8%128%24%19%22%3%
228%24%19%22%3%
329%24%20%22%3%
430%25%20%22%3%
530%26%21%23%
636%36%28%
751%49%
Sextant Strategies & Research[66][C]July 31 – August 5, 2024804 (LV)± 3.5%28%20%17%12%5%18%
FM3 Research (D)[67][E]July 9–18, 20241066 (LV)± 3.1%BA[b]24%21%16%14%7%18%
130%26%20%16%8%
233%27%21%19%
341%32%26%
451%49%
Impact Research (D)[68][G]June 1–6, 2024500 (LV)± 4.5%BA[b]21%23%20%17%4%5%11%
543%57%
FM3 Research (D)[69][H]May 10–16, 2024866 (LV)± 3.5%BA[b]19%20%17%12%4%1%28%
545%55%
FM3 Research (D)[70][E]April 29–May 5, 2024412 (RV)± 4.9%BA[b]21%16%16%12%7%28%
129%23%23%16%9%
230%26%24%20%
339%31%30%
451%49%
Probolsky Research[71][F]June 16–20, 2023300 (RV)± 5.8%26%29%45%
Sextant Strategies & Research[72][C]February 14–18, 2024812 (LV)± 3.4%18%20%16%8%38%
David Binder Research (D)[73][A]January 15–20, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%26%15%21%10%28%

Results

[edit]
Elections in California
U.S. President
U.S. President primary
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
Executive
Governor
Lieutenant governor
Secretary of state
Attorney general
Treasurer
Controller
Superintendent
Insurance commissioner
Board of equalization

Legislature
Senate
Assembly

Judiciary
Court of appeals

Elections by year
2024 San Francisco mayoral election[74]
CandidateMaximum
round
Maximum
votes
Share in
maximum
round
Maximum votes
First round votesTransfer votes
Daniel Lurie14182,36455.0%
London Breed (incumbent)14149,11345.0%
Aaron Peskin13104,27928.3%
Mark Farrell1278,87820.5%
Ahsha Safaí1113,6183.5%
Ellen Lee Zhou1010,0942.6%
Dylan Hirsch-Shell93,9391.0%
Keith Freedman82,5390.7%
Nelson Mei72,0430.5%
Shahram Shariati61,7310.4%
Henry Flynn51,3850.4%
Paul Ybarra Robertson48380.2%
Jon Soderstrom34120.1%
Marc Roth230.0%
Michael Lin110.0%
2024 San Francisco Mayoral Election Ranked-Choice-Voting Round-by-Round Results[75]
CandidateRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Round 8Round 9Round 10Round 11Round 12Round 13Round 14
Votes%TransferVotes%TransferVotes%TransferVotes%TransferVotes%TransferVotes%TransferVotes%TransferVotes%TransferVotes%TransferVotes%TransferVotes%TransferVotes%TransferVotes%TransferVotes%
Daniel Lurie102,72026.33%+1102,72126.33%+1102,72226.33%+29102,75126.34%+62102,81326.36%+138102,95126.41%+163103,11426.46%+148103,26226.52%+439103,70126.66%+754104,45526.89%+2,291106,74627.65%+2,616109,36228.46%+41,233150,59540.84%+31,769182,36455.02%
London Breed (incumbent)95,11724.38%095,11724.38%095,11724.38%+2195,13824.39%+6495,20224.41%+9195,29324.45%+22195,51424.51%+14795,66124.57%+23695,89724.65%+57096,46724.84%+85497,32125.21%+2,59199,91226.00%+13,953113,86530.88%+35,248149,11344.98%
Aaron Peskin89,21522.86%089,21522.86%089,21522.86%+2589,24022.87%+13389,37322.92%+12589,49822.96%+15089,64823.01%+21689,86423.08%+23490,09823.16%+71290,81023.38%+1,20992,01923.84%+4,05496,07325.00%+8,206104,27928.28%-104,279
Mark Farrell72,11518.48%072,11518.48%072,11518.48%+4172,15618.50%+10372,25918.53%+30972,56818.62%+14872,71618.66%+18972,90518.72%+53373,43818.88%+60874,04619.06%+2,29276,33819.77%+2,54078,87820.53%-78,878
Ahsha Safaí11,4252.93%011,4252.93%011,4252.93%+2911,4542.94%+3611,4902.95%+6411,5542.96%+39011,9443.07%+9812,0423.09%+15012,1923.13%+36412,5563.23%+1,06213,6183.53%-13,618
Ellen Lee Zhou8,6652.22%08,6652.22%08,6652.22%+498,7142.23%+568,7702.25%+1038,8732.28%+1889,0612.33%+3899,4502.43%+2999,7492.51%+34510,0942.60%-10,094
Dylan Hirsch-Shell2,8970.74%02,8970.74%+12,8980.74%+272,9250.75%+412,9660.76%+863,0520.78%+1333,1850.82%+4403,6250.93%+3143,9391.01%-3,939
Keith Freedman2,0790.53%02,0790.53%02,0790.53%+422,1210.54%+592,1800.56%+1492,3290.60%+772,4060.62%+1332,5390.65%-2,539
Nelson Mei1,7910.46%01,7910.46%01,7910.46%+181,8090.46%+651,8740.48%+741,9480.50%+952,0430.52%-2,043
Shahram Shariati1,6130.41%01,6130.41%01,6130.41%+111,6240.42%+431,6670.43%+641,7310.44%-1,731
Henry Flynn1,3190.34%01,3190.34%01,3190.34%+341,3530.35%+321,3850.36%-1,385
Paul Ybarra Robertson8120.21%08120.21%08120.21%+268380.21%-838
Jon Soderstrom4120.11%04120.11%04120.11%-412
Marc Roth30.00%030.00%-3
Michael Lin10.00%-1
Continuing Votes Total390,184390,184390,183390,123389,979389,797389,631389,348389,014388,428386,042384,225368,739331,477
Exhausted Ballots000+11+5253+133186+170356+152508+260768+3141,082+5461,628+2,3283,956+1,7345,690+15,23520,925+36,93457,859
Over Votes1,38101,38101,381+81,389+111,400+121,412+141,426+231,449+401,509+581,567+831,650+2511,901+3282,229
Under Votes18,540018,540018,540018,540018,540018,540018,540018,540018,540018,540018,540018,540018,540018,540
Non-Transferable Total19,92119,92119,92219,98220,12620,30820,47420,75721,09121,67724,06325,88041,36678,628

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^abcdWith undecideds

Partisan Clients

  1. ^abcdePoll sponsored by Lurie's campaign
  2. ^Poll sponsored by Peskin's campaign
  3. ^abcPoll sponsored by theSan Francisco Chronicle
  4. ^Poll sponsored by TogetherSF Action, which endorsed Farrell
  5. ^abcPoll sponsored by GrowSF
  6. ^abPoll sponsored by the San Francisco Deputy Sheriff’s Association
  7. ^Poll sponsored by Farrell's campaign
  8. ^Poll sponsored by Neighbors for San Francisco, which endorsed Farrell and Lurie

References

[edit]
  1. ^Knight, Heather (December 12, 2023)."The Challengers Weighing a Run at San Francisco's Mayor".The New York Times. RetrievedFebruary 22, 2024.
  2. ^"San Francisco mayoral race: Breed concedes, Lurie's lead widens".NBC Bay Area.Associated Press. November 7, 2024. RetrievedNovember 8, 2024.
  3. ^"San Franciscans say they feel less safe than in over 20 years, city survey shows".San Francisco Chronicle. April 13, 2023.Archived from the original on August 17, 2023.
  4. ^Morris, J. D. (July 31, 2023)."Is S.F. Mayor Breed at risk of losing reelection? Here's what experts say".San Francisco Chronicle.Archived from the original on September 19, 2023.
  5. ^"Supervisor Ahsha Safaí Wins in a Head-to-Head Election Contest with Mayor Breed".Probolsky Research. June 23, 2023.Archived from the original on September 29, 2023.
  6. ^Morris, J. D.; Moench, Mallory (March 23, 2023)."S.F. Mayor Breed may have a challenger in next year's election. Here's who is looking to run".San Francisco Chronicle. RetrievedMarch 24, 2023.
  7. ^Knight, Heather (February 13, 2024)."Will Voters in San Francisco Go for a Different Kind of Mayor?".The New York Times. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2024.
  8. ^abcdDickey, Megan Rose (June 17, 2024)."What to know about San Francisco's mayoral race".Axios. RetrievedJune 20, 2024.
  9. ^Shanks, Adam (September 26, 2023)."Officially official: Lurie joins SF mayoral field".San Francisco Examiner. RetrievedDecember 10, 2023.
  10. ^"Sup. Aaron Peskin says he's running for San Francisco mayor".KTVU. April 3, 2024. RetrievedApril 4, 2024.
  11. ^"Candidates - November 5, 2024, Consolidated General Election".SF.gov. City and County of San Francisco. RetrievedMay 22, 2024.
  12. ^Gaus, Annie; Ege, Mike (May 8, 2023)."Mayor London Breed Gets a Reelection Challenger".The San Francisco Standard. RetrievedMay 9, 2023.
  13. ^Ege, Mike (January 15, 2024)."Get To Know the Longshots Running for San Francisco Mayor".The San Francisco Standard.
  14. ^Bajko, Matthew (June 19, 2024)."Gay underdogs qualify for San Francisco mayoral race".Bay Area Reporter. RetrievedJune 20, 2024.
  15. ^Han, Li (April 11, 2024)."This far-right, MAGA candidate could decide the race for San Francisco mayor".The San Francisco Standard.
  16. ^Morris, J.D. (May 17, 2024)."More S.F. mayor's race drama as two forums canceled".San Francisco Chronicle. RetrievedOctober 23, 2024.
  17. ^abcdeKoehn, Josh (May 18, 2024)."Mayor Breed kicks off reelection campaign, drop-kicks foes".The San Francisco Standard. RetrievedJuly 18, 2024.
  18. ^abBajko, Matthew S. (March 25, 2024)."Political Notes: With DCCC race results, Breed could have edge for SF Dems endorsement".Bay Area Reporter. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2024.
  19. ^Korte, Lara; Gardiner, Dustin (October 24, 2023)."London Breed's power play".Politico. RetrievedOctober 27, 2023.
  20. ^Morris, J.D. (October 22, 2024)."How London Breed's unpopularity and ranked-choice voting could doom her reelection bid".San Francisco Chronicle. RetrievedOctober 22, 2024.
  21. ^abcdefgRivano Barros, Joe (October 11, 2024)."D10 Supervisor Shamann Walton endorses Breed for mayor—but also Peskin".Mission Local. RetrievedOctober 11, 2024.
  22. ^abShanks, Adam (July 18, 2024)."Stefani endorses Farrell, Breed in mayor's race".San Francisco Examiner. RetrievedJuly 18, 2024.
  23. ^Har, Janie (October 4, 2024)."San Francisco's first Black female mayor is in a pricey battle for a second term".Associated Press. RetrievedOctober 17, 2024.
  24. ^Rivano Barros, Jon (September 27, 2024)."See how they run: Dolores Huerta endorses Mayor London Breed".Mission Local. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2024.
  25. ^Toledo, Aldo (July 24, 2024)."S.F. Democratic Party gives sole election endorsement to Mayor Breed. Here's why that's a big deal".San Francisco Chronicle.
  26. ^"November 5, 2024 General Election Endorsements".alicebtoklas.org/. RetrievedAugust 21, 2024.
  27. ^"Black Women Organized For Political Action SF & BLKxSF Phone Bank for Mayor London Breed".mobilize.us. RetrievedOctober 17, 2024.
  28. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyzaaabacadaeafagahaiajakalaman"2024 San Francisco Mayoral Race". RetrievedOctober 4, 2024.
  29. ^"Nov 5, 2024, General Election Endorsements 三藩市十一月大選背書名單". RetrievedOctober 17, 2024.
  30. ^Chou, Lauren (July 24, 2023)."EMILYs List Endorses London Breed for Reelection as Mayor of San Francisco, California".EMILYs List. RetrievedJuly 25, 2023.
  31. ^"Your 2024 Gun Sense Candidates".gunsensevoter.org. RetrievedJuly 25, 2024.
  32. ^"Moms' Seal of Approval on Child Care". RetrievedOctober 22, 2024.
  33. ^"Elect Champions for Reproductive Rights". RetrievedSeptember 8, 2024.
  34. ^"Endorsing London Breed for Mayor". RetrievedSeptember 30, 2024.
  35. ^"Endorsements - San Francisco League of Conservation Voters". RetrievedSeptember 8, 2024.
  36. ^Eskenazi, Joe (August 22, 2024)."San Francisco police union endorses Mayor Breed, but cops cry foul".Mission Local. RetrievedAugust 29, 2024.
  37. ^"ENDORSEMENTS FOR THE NOVEMBER 2024 GENERAL ELECTION". RetrievedOctober 17, 2024.
  38. ^Johnson, Sydney (July 23, 2024)."SF Mayor London Breed Wins Key 'YIMBY' Endorsement After String of Misses".KQED-TV. RetrievedAugust 28, 2024.
  39. ^"November 2024 Endorsements". RetrievedOctober 17, 2024.
  40. ^"Laborers Union Local 261 Announces Final Ranked Endorsement in San Francisco Mayor's Race".Facebook. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2024.
  41. ^"Ballot Recommendations Voters Guide". RetrievedSeptember 17, 2024.
  42. ^"Editorial: Reelect SF Mayor London Breed".Bay Area Reporter. October 2, 2024. RetrievedOctober 3, 2024.
  43. ^abJohnson, Sydney (August 15, 2024)."In SF Mayor's Race, Farrell Flips 2 Key Endorsements That Previously Went to Breed".KQED-TV. RetrievedSeptember 15, 2024.
  44. ^"Mark Farrell for Mayor of San Francisco". July 22, 2024. RetrievedOctober 6, 2024.
  45. ^"San Francisco Endorsements 2024"(PDF). RetrievedOctober 20, 2024.
  46. ^ab"Who Are Safai and Farrell and Why Should We Vote for Them?". September 25, 2024. RetrievedOctober 6, 2024.
  47. ^ab"San Francisco Deputy Sheriffs' Association Announces Mayoral Endorsements and Denounces Current Mayor". August 23, 2024. RetrievedOctober 6, 2024.
  48. ^ab"See how they run: Former mayoral candidate Matt Gonzalez offers Daniel Lurie advice". RetrievedJune 16, 2025.
  49. ^Justice, Tiffany (March 28, 2024)."SF mayor candidate Daniel Lurie gets big endorsement".KRON-TV. RetrievedMarch 28, 2024.
  50. ^"Endorsement: Breed is the safe choice for mayor. But if you think S.F. needs change, only one candidate fits".San Francisco Chronicle. October 16, 2024. RetrievedOctober 17, 2024.
  51. ^abc"2024 California Voter Guide: San Francisco Races". RetrievedOctober 21, 2024.
  52. ^Smith, H.R. (October 24, 2024)."Dolores Huerta says she regrets endorsing London Breed, backs Peskin as No. 1".Mission Local. RetrievedNovember 3, 2024.
  53. ^Menconi, Keith (October 2024)."How SF mayoral candidates plan to meet 'aggressive' state housing goals".San Francisco Examiner. RetrievedOctober 21, 2024.
  54. ^"NUHW endorses Aaron Peskin for San Francisco mayor". RetrievedJune 19, 2024.
  55. ^Eskenazi, Joe (July 16, 2024)."SEIU 1021, SF's largest union, sole-endorses Aaron Peskin".Mission Local. RetrievedJuly 18, 2024.
  56. ^David Binder Research
  57. ^Public Policy Polling
  58. ^Sextant Strategies & Research
  59. ^Lieberman Data & Insights, Inc.
  60. ^David Binder Research
  61. ^FM3 Research (D)
  62. ^David Binder Research
  63. ^KRON4/Emerson College
  64. ^FM3 Research (D)
  65. ^Probolsky Research
  66. ^Sextant Strategies & Research
  67. ^FM3 Research (D)
  68. ^Impact Research (D)
  69. ^FM3 Research (D)
  70. ^FM3 Research (D)
  71. ^Probolsky Research
  72. ^Sextant Strategies & Research
  73. ^David Binder Research (D)
  74. ^"November 5, 2024 Election Results".sfelections.org. RetrievedDecember 9, 2024.
  75. ^"RCV Results for MAYOR".sfelections.org. RetrievedJanuary 8, 2025.

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites

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