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2024 Moldovan presidential election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2024 Moldovan presidential election

← 2020
20 October 2024 (first round)
3 November 2024 (second round)
2028 →
Turnout51.74% (first round)Increase 6.06pp
54.29% (second round)Increase 1.53pp
 
CandidateMaia SanduAlexandr Stoianoglo
PartyIndependentIndependent
AlliancePAS[a]PSRM[b]
Popular vote930,139750,430
Percentage55.35%44.65%

First round results by electoral district
Second round results by electoral district

President before election

Maia Sandu
PAS

ElectedPresident

Maia Sandu
PAS

Government of Moldova


Administrative divisions
flagMoldova portal

Presidential elections were held inMoldova on 20 October 2024,[2] with a runoff held on 3 November.[3] Incumbent presidentMaia Sandu, who won the first round, and formerProsecutor GeneralAlexandr Stoianoglo, who was the runner-up, contested the runoff, with Sandu winning a majority of votes and being re-elected for a second and final term.[4]

The Guardian described the election as a choice between the West and Russia, with Sandu representing thepro-European side and Stoianoglo the Russian-friendly side.[5]Renato Usatîi, who finished third in the first round, declined to back either candidate in the runoff.[6]Romanian Insider describedVictoria Furtună andVasile Tarlev, who came in fifth and sixth, as backed by the pro-Russian oligarchIlan Shor.[7]

On the same day as the first round of the election, a narrow majority of Moldovans voted "yes" toadd the desire for EU membership to the country's constitution. This was seen as a victory for Sandu who campaigned for the "yes" side, although the result was closer than expected, a fact Sandu blamed on allegedRussian-sponsored interference on the election, including vote buying organised by Russian-trained groups.[8]OSCE described international observers as assessing the first round's conduct "overwhelmingly positively", although OSCE also noted misuse of administrative resources and unbalanced media coverage in favor of the incumbent.[9] Analysts stated Sandu's runoff victory was seen as a major relief for thecurrent government, which strongly backed her candidacy, her push for closer ties with the West, and her support for Moldova's path toward the European Union.[10]

Electoral system

[edit]

Date

[edit]

On 17 April 2024, Parliament speakerIgor Grosu announced the holding of the presidential election in conjunction withthe constitutional referendum onEuropean Union (EU) accession on 20 October.[2] The decision was approved by theParliament of Moldova on 16 May.[11][12]

Eligibility requirements

[edit]

TheConstitution of Moldova (Article 78, Clause 2) defines four conditions that a presidential candidate must satisfy: Moldovan citizenship, at least 40 years of age, residence in Moldova for at least 10 years, and ability to speak the state language. Article 80 of the Constitution establishes a term limit: one individual cannot serve more than 2 terms in a row.[13]

Procedure

[edit]

Candidates can be nominated by apolitical party, anelectoral alliance, or run as independents. They have to collect at least 15,000 voter signatures in their support from at least half of Moldova's level 2 administrative territorial units with at least 600 signatures in each of them.[14] The election results can be considered valid only if the turnout is above or equal to 33.33%.[15] The candidate who receives an absolute majority of the votes is elected president. If no candidate receives a majority of the votes, a second round between the top 2 candidates is held two weeks after the first round. The candidate with the largest number of votes in the second round then becomes president.[16]

Security concerns

[edit]

Moldovan authorities have accused Russian-trained groups of plotting to destabilise the election.[17]

In June 2024, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada issued a joint statement on Russian influence within the Moldovan election.[18][19][20][21] At the same time, the US also announced sanctions against theGovernor of GagauziaEvghenia Guțul, who it alleged is an "active facilitator" of Russian-backed election influence.[22]

In September 2024, incidents of vandalism on the offices of theSupreme Court of Justice of Moldova and on the public broadcasterTeleradio-Moldova were attributed to the said groups.[23] In October 2024, authorities announced the discovery of a plot by exiled pro-Russian oligarchIlan Shor involving $15 million in funds from Russia that were distributed to around 130,000 people in order to bribe voters into selecting anti-Western decisions, and spread disinformation against the European Union on social media, following raids on 26 locations nationwide.[24][25] Russia denied the accusations.[26] Security checks were strengthened atChișinău International Airport following an influx of passengers from Russia carrying large amounts of cash believed to be connected with the plot.[27]

Later that month, Moldova accused Russia of plotting to bus in voters to polling stations at the Moldovan Embassy in Moscow. In response, the EU imposed sanctions on five officials from the autonomousGagauzia region and on one Russian-based entity involved in the influence operation.[28] The United States accused Russia of spending "millions of dollars" to support its preferred parties and spreading disinformation online.[29][30] The Russian foreign ministry in turn accused Moldova of printing only 10,000 ballots for 500,000 eligible Moldovans living in Russia.[31]

On 17 October, Moldovan authorities announced the discovery of another plot in which 100 youths were trained in Moscow, Serbia and Bosnia by private military groups to foment civil unrest, including using nonlethal weapons to create "mass disorder" during the election and referendum, adding that four people had been arrested and that some of them received several thousand euros in payments.[32]

Olga Roșca, a foreign policy adviser to Sandu, said that "Russia is pouring millions in dirty money to hijack our democratic processes. This isn't just meddling, it's full-blown interference aimed at destabilising our future. And it is alarming."[5]

The European Union deployed its Cyber Rapid Response Team led by Lithuania to Moldova in order to oversee cybersecurity concerns in the election and referendum following a request from the Moldovan Information Technology and Cyber Security Service.[33]

On 31 October, authorities raided a political party headquarters and accused 12 people of engaging in vote-buying. Forty government employees were also placed under investigation for selling their votes. On 1 November,Prime MinisterDorin Recean reported cases of "anonymous death threats via phone calls" being made on citizens nationwide, which he described as an attempt to scare voters.[34] On the day of the runoff vote, the CEC said that it had received reports of organised and illegal transportation of voters to Russia, Belarus, Azerbaijan and Turkey.[35] Stanislav Secrieru, a national security adviser to Sandu, wrote on X: "We are seeing massive interference by Russia in our electoral process," which he said had a "high potential to distort the outcome" of the vote.[36]

Moldovan citizens living abroad, mostly those working or studying overseas, who were eligible to vote faced other security issues at the second round of voting including false bomb threats at polling stations that temporarily disrupted voting in multiple cities inGermany and inLiverpool andNorthampton in theUnited Kingdom.[37][38] After polling stations in Germany, located inHamburg,Frankfurt,Kaiserslautern andBerlin were targeted by bomb threats, the German government, via foreign ministerAnnalena Baerbock condemned the "massive, coordinated attempt" to prevent Moldovans abroad voting, describing bomb threats against Moldovan polling stations in Germany as "totally unacceptable".[38]

On 6 November, the Russian foreign ministry summoned Moldovan ambassadorLilian Darii to complain about Moldova barring eight Russian election observers from entering the country to monitor the election and referendum.[39] Following the election, the Moldovan government served a note on 12 November to the Russian ambassador Oleg Ozerov formally complaining about Moscow's interference.[40]

Election

[edit]

First round

[edit]
Voting in a polling station on 20 October

Approximately 2.8 million ballots were issued for the election and the EU membership constitutional referendum. For the first time in Moldova, ballots were featured not only inRomanian but also in as many as five minority languages. Thus, 2,092,641 ballots were in Romanian, 631,979 inRussian, 3,400 inGagauz, 991 inBulgarian, 870 in theRomani language and 115 inUkrainian. For voters in the pro-Russian separatist region ofTransnistria, 90,000 ballots were issued, of which 45,000 were in Romanian and the rest in Russian.[41]

For the election and the referendum, 234 polling stations were opened abroad. The first vote in both was cast by Ludmila Vizdoagă, a woman who at the time had lived inSouth Korea for 19 years. She traveled fromSeoul toTokyo to vote in the polling station forJapan, which was the first to be opened.[41] A polling station was also set up inVarnița to serve voters fromTransnistria.[42]

Voting was held from 07:00 to 21:00.[42] As of 15:00, the minimum turnout of 33.33% necessary for the validation of the election had been reached with a turnout of 35.57%.[43]

Second round

[edit]

1,988 polling stations were opened throughout Moldova, including 30 that were utilised for voters living in Transnistria who had to go to Moldovan-held territory.[35] Promo-LEX observers detected 109 incidents at polling stations or in their immediate vicinity. These included the presence of electoral advertising material near polling stations, electoral agitation, the unjustified presence of unauthorized persons, violations of the secrecy of the vote, obstruction of access to observers and unjustified interruption of the vote.[44]

Campaign

[edit]

Launching her re-election campaign, Sandu condemnedRussia's invasion of Ukraine as a threat to regional stability and Moldova's sovereignty. She identified bothRussia andcorruption as the biggest challenges facing Moldova, emphasizing that addressing these issues is crucial for Moldova's security and its aspirations for closer integration with theEuropean Union.[45] In the presidential debate, Sandu accused Stoianoglo of being a "Trojan horse" candidate for outside interests wanting control of Moldova.[46] She said she would continue her pro-European course, saying, "Joining theEuropean Union is Moldova'sMarshall Plan".[47]

Stoianoglo said that he was in favour of joining the EU and that "the level of Russian interference in Moldova is highly exaggerated", adding that he would seek a "reset of relations" with Russia.[48] He expressed his intention to bridge differences with Moldova's separatistTransnistria region. In response to accusations, Stoianoglo stated that he had no connections to Ilan Shor, the fugitive pro-Russian businessman who admitted to paying voters to cast "no" ballots in theEU membership constitutional referendum.[49] Stoianoglo did not condemnRussia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, describing it as "a continuing tragedy" and suggesting that he would be willing to meetingVladimir Putin.[49]

Renato Usatîi, who finished third in the first round of the2020 presidential election, sought to adopt a middle ground between Russia and Western Europe.[45]

Candidates

[edit]

Between 21 and 31 August, theCentral Electoral Commission of Moldova (CEC) received 23 applications for the registration of initiative groups in support of 19 candidates, of which 13 applications were accepted.[50] Two of these initiative groups failed to get their candidate registered in the election.

NameBornCampaignExperiencePartyStatus

Maia Sandu
24 May 1972 (53)
Risipeni,Fălești

(website)
President of Moldova (2020–present)
Prime Minister of Moldova (2019)
Minister of Education (2012–2015)
Independent[a]Registered[51]

Alexandr Stoianoglo
3 June 1967 (58)
Comrat,Gagauzia
Prosecutor General of Moldova (2019–2021)
Vice President of the Parliament (2009–2010)
Independent[b]Registered[52]

Renato Usatîi
4 November 1978 (47)
Fălești

(website)
Mayor of Bălți (2015–2018, 2019–2021)Our PartyRegistered[53]

Vasile Tarlev
9 October 1963 (62)
Bașcalia,Basarabeasca

(website)
Prime Minister of Moldova (2001–2008)Future of Moldova Party
endorsed by theParty of Communists
Registered[54]

Irina Vlah
26 February 1974 (51)
Comrat, Gagauzia

(website)
Governor of Gagauzia (2015–2023)IndependentRegistered[55]

Ion Chicu
28 February 1972 (53)
Pîrjolteni,Călărași
Prime Minister of Moldova (2019–2020)
Minister of Finance (2018–2019)
Party of Development
and Consolidation
Registered[55]

Andrei Năstase
6 August 1975 (50)
Mîndrești,Telenești

(website)
Deputy Prime Minister,Minister of Internal Affairs (2019)IndependentRegistered[56]

Octavian Țîcu
21 August 1972 (53)
Costuleni,Ungheni
Member of Parliament (2019–2021)
Minister of Youth and Sport (2013)
TogetherRegistered[56]
Victoria Furtună24 February 1981 (44)
Hîncești

(website)
Anti-corruption prosecutorIndependentRegistered[57]

Tudor Ulianovschi
25 May 1983 (42)
Florești

(website)
Minister of Foreign Affairs and European Integration (2018–2019)
Ambassador toSwitzerland andLiechtenstein (2016–2018)
Permanent Representative to theUnited Nations (2016–2018)
IndependentRegistered[57]

Natalia Morari
12 January 1984 (42)
Hîncești

(website)
Journalist
Host of Morari.live
IndependentRegistered[57]

Rejected candidates

[edit]

The following people had their registration as candidates for the election rejected by the Central Electoral Commission:

Furthermore,Alexandru Arseni, whose initiative group supporting his candidacy had been successfully registered, did not submit the necessary documents for his inscription on the ballot of the election,[67] having previously failed to obtain the required number of signatures in his support within the required time frame.[68]

Ziarul de Gardă also listedVlad Filat and Ștefan Savițchi among the people that intended to run as a candidate in the election who either failed to submit the necessary documents to the CEC or whose applications were rejected.[60] Filat, former Moldovan prime minister and then president of theLiberal Democratic Party of Moldova (PLDM), stated that he was unable to run because the government failed to implement a 2023 ruling by theEuropean Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) which determined that the authorities had violated hisright to a fair trial in 2016 in relation to apassive corruption andinfluence peddling case because the court hearings were held behind closed doors.[69] The PLDM had decided to nominate Filat for the election on 31 May.[70] On the other hand, Savițchi was the vicepresident of theAlliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe (ALDE) and announced on 30 July his intention to run as an independent candidate,[71] later stating that he had "parted nicely" from the ALDE.[72]

Declined

[edit]

The following people were subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous months, but they rejected the speculation and announced they would not run as a candidate:

Opinion polls

[edit]

Registered candidates

[edit]
Fieldwork
date
Polling firm/
Commissioner
Sample sizeUndecided/
Abstention/
None/
Other
SanduStoianogloUsatîiTarlevVlahChicuNăstaseȚîcuFurtunăUlianovschiMorari
Ind./PASInd./PSRMPNPVMIndependentPDCMIndependentIndependentIndependentIndependent
11–16 Oct 2024WatchDog[76]1,03435.8%9.0%6.4%1.3%2.2%1.2%0.8%0.4%1.4%0.1%0.5%40.9%
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024iData–IPP[77][78]1,10029.5%11.6%13.3%6.1%4.5%3.4%1.1%1.3%5.5%4.3%0.4%18.9%
13–22 Sep 2024ASPEN–APEC–WatchDog[79]1,02136.1%10.1%7.5%1.8%4.1%2.5%0.6%0.8%0.5%0.8%0.6%34.6%
13–18 Sep 2024iData[80]1,02126.8%11.2%12.7%6.3%6.1%4.1%0.9%0.7%0.1%3.5%1.8%25.8%
30 Aug–2 Sep 2024Intellect Group[81]59624.5%12.0%6.2%4.7%5.0%1.5%3.5%2.0%40.6%
19–25 Aug 2024iData[82]1,00427.5%11.4%11.6%5.8%3.3%2.8%1.2%36.4%
20–23 Aug 2024CBS Research–WatchDog[83]1,01135.5%9.9%6.8%1.8%5.8%3.0%1.2%1.3%0.3%0.2%0.2%34.0%
8–21 Jul 2024IMAS[84]1,09333.7%11.5%10.8%1.2%8.9%6.0%1.4%0.9%0.1%1.1%24.4%

Second round

[edit]

Sandu vs. Stoianoglo

[edit]
Fieldwork
date
Polling firm/
Commissioner
Sample sizeNone/
Undecided/
Abstention
SanduStoianoglo
Ind./PASInd./PSRM
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024iData1,10040.6%36.4%23%

Hypothetical polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling for the 2024 Moldovan presidential election

Opinion polls before the start of the campaign

[edit]
Fieldwork
date
Polling firm/
Commissioner
Sample sizeOtherNone/
Undecided/
Abstention
SanduDodonStoianogloCebanShorVoroninChicuTauberUsatîiVlah
Ind./PASPSRMInd./PSRMMANȘORPCRMPDCMȘORPNIndependent
28 Jun–18 Jul 2024CBS-AXA-IPRE1,11930.3%13.0%1.0%5.4%2.5%3.4%3.2%6.5%5.6%6.3%23%
23 May–13 Jun 2024IRI[85]1,22534%18%4%4%5%5%4%3%24%
22–27 May 2024iData[38]1,02230.4%14.3%3.0%2.5%6.1%3.9%1.6%6.1%32.1%
2–19 May 2024IMAS[38]1,08835.2%16.4%5.9%5.3%5.7%4.7%4.1%7.8%14.9%
6–13 Apr 2024CBS-AXA–WatchDog[86]1,00835.1%15.8%5.4%1.7%4.6%5.6%3.9%4.5%5.3%18.0%
18–24 Mar 2024iData[87]1,13127.9%13.3%4.4%2.6%5.7%3.0%4.3%6.5%32.3%
27 Jan–22 Feb 2024IRI[88]1,24730%24%6%4%5%4%4%1%22%
7–12 Feb 2024CBS Research[48]1,10429.8%14.8%4.5%8.5%1.6%5.0%4.4%4.8%4.1%22.4%
26–30 Jan 2024iData[89]1,01124.1%29.7%46.2%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023IMAS[90]95430.1%24.0%8.1%2.7%6.1%4.1%5.6%6.0%13.3%
2–24 Sep 2023IMAS[91]82227.8%16.0%6.0%4.3%5.9%6.0%4.9%4.7%24.4%
9–23 Aug 2023CBS-AXA–IPP[92]1,21529.4%18.1%5.6%3.2%1.5%4.1%5.1%3.0%30.1%
13–28 Jun 2023CBS-AXA–IPRE[93]1,12032.6%17.8%5.3%3.3%4.3%2.9%3.0%4.3%1.5%24.0%
10–19 Jun 2023CBS-AXA–WatchDog[94]1,12137.9%14.2%6.2%2.5%4.7%5.0%3.5%4.7%3.0%18.3%
2–19 May 2023IMAS[95]1,11228.5%23.9%8.3%3.7%7.2%2.7%3.8%4.1%18.0%
27 Apr–8 May 2023iData[96]1,04930.4%18.3%6.7%12.2%5.9%4.5%2.8%1.5%17.7%
4–13 Apr 2023CBS-AXA–WatchDog[97]1,01538.3%18.4%6.2%2.5%3.2%4.9%2.2%3.2%1.9%19.2%
15–26 Mar 2023iData[98]1,06529.4%17.6%7.2%9.2%0.9%5.4%1.7%3.1%1.7%23.9%
24 Feb–3 Mar 2023CBS-AXA–WatchDog[99]1,00031.8%17.8%4.7%2.0%3.5%3.3%1.8%2.0%2.1%2.1%28.8%
6–23 Feb 2023IMAS[100]1,10025.2%20.4%8.2%4.9%5.4%4.3%3.4%3.8%24.6%
17–26 Jan 2023CBS-AXA–WatchDog[101]1,00128.2%17.6%8.5%4.2%3.9%3.9%2.4%3.5%1.8%4.0%21.8%
15–26 Dec 2022iData[102]1,00627.2%24.1%10.0%13.4%0.6%5.0%0.2%0.5%0.1%3.0%16.0%
10–29 Nov 2022IMAS[103]1,10026.9%19.6%8.8%4.0%7.1%2.8%2.2%7.3%21.3%
29 Oct–10 Nov 2022CBS Research/IPP[104]1,13427.3%15.4%7.1%9.1%4.3%2.9%3.5%30.5%
29 Sep–11 Oct 2022IDIS–CBS Research–IPRI[105]1,06634.1%19.1%7.1%6.3%5.2%2.5%3.3%1.2%3.2%18.1%
6–18 Jul 2022IMAS[106]1,00724.4%25.4%9.2%7.1%5.2%3.6%2.8%c. 5.4%16.0%

Hypothetical second rounds

[edit]
Sandu vs. Ceban
[edit]
Fieldwork
date
Polling firm/
Commissioner
Sample sizeNone/
Undecided/
Abstention
SanduCeban
Ind./PASMAN
6–13 Apr 2024CBS-AXA–WatchDog1,00840.2%32.3%27.4%
7–12 Feb 2024CBS Research[48]1,10439.5%35%25.8%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023IMAS[90]95434%42%24%
Sandu vs. Chicu
[edit]
Fieldwork
date
Polling firm/
Commissioner
Sample sizeNone/
Undecided/
Abstention
SanduChicu
Ind./PASPDCM
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024iData1,10040.7%30.1%29.2%
Sandu vs. Dodon
[edit]
Fieldwork
date
Polling firm/
Commissioner
Sample sizeNone/
Undecided/
Abstention
SanduDodon
Ind./PASPSRM
2–19 May 2024IMAS[38]1,08841.3%43.5%15.3%
6–13 Apr 2024CBS-AXA–WatchDog1,00842.2%34.9%22.9%
7–12 Feb 2024CBS Research[48]1,10440.2%39.3%20.4%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023IMAS[90]95435%46%19%
2–19 May 2023IMAS[95]1,11238%45%17%
Sandu vs. Usatîi
[edit]
Fieldwork
date
Polling firm/
Commissioner
Sample sizeNone/
Undecided/
Abstention
SanduUsatîi
Ind./PASPN
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024iData1,10038.6%35.6%25.8%
13–18 Sep 2024iData[80]1,02135.1%32.2%32.7%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023IMAS[90]95437%30%33%
Sandu vs. Vlah
[edit]
Fieldwork
date
Polling firm/
Commissioner
Sample sizeNone/
Undecided/
Abstention
SanduVlah
Ind./PASIndependent
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024iData1,10040.2%33.2%26.6%
6–13 Apr 2024CBS-AXA–WatchDog1,00843.2%28.3%28.5%
7–12 Feb 2024CBS Research[48]1,10442.2%33%24.7%
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023IMAS[90]95438%35%27%

Endorsements

[edit]

Party endorsements

[edit]

The table below lists the political parties and other political organizations that supported any of the candidates in the first and second rounds of the presidential election.

Party/organizationIdeologyFirst roundSecond round
Party of Action and SolidarityLiberalismMaia SanduMaia Sandu
Party of Socialists of the Republic of MoldovaSocialismAlexandr StoianogloAlexandr Stoianoglo
Common Action Party – Civil CongressSocialist democracyAlexandr Stoianoglo[107]Alexandr Stoianoglo
Our PartySocial conservatismRenato UsatîiNo endorsement[108]
Platform Moldova[d]Left-wing populismIrina VlahAgainst Sandu[109]
Future of Moldova PartyLeft-wing nationalismVasile TarlevAgainst Sandu[110]
Party of Communists of the Republic of MoldovaCommunismVasile TarlevAlexandr Stoianoglo[111]
Party of Development and ConsolidationChristian democracyIon ChicuAgainst Sandu[112]
Dignity and Truth Platform[e]LiberalismOctavian ȚîcuAgainst Stoianoglo[113][114]
Party of Change [ro][e]Conservative liberalism
League of Cities and Communes[e]LocalismMaia Sandu[115]
Victory[f]RussophiliaAgainst Sandu[116][117][g]Against Sandu[119]
Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for EuropeSocial liberalismNo candidateAgainst Stoianoglo[120]
Liberal Democratic Party of MoldovaLiberal conservatismNo candidateAgainst Sandu[121][122]
Ecologist Green PartyGreen politicsNo candidateMaia Sandu[123]
Liberal PartyConservative liberalismNo candidateMaia Sandu[124]
Coalition for Unity and WelfareLiberalismNo candidateParticipate without endorsement[125]

Second round candidate endorsements

[edit]
CandidateFirst roundEndorsement
Renato Usatîi13.79%No endorsement[108]
Irina Vlah5.38%Against Sandu[109]
Victoria Furtună4.45%Alexandr Stoianoglo[126]
Vasile Tarlev3.19%Against Sandu[110]
Ion Chicu2.06%Against Sandu[112]
Octavian Țîcu0.93%Against Stoianoglo[113][114]
Andrei Năstase0.64%No endorsement[127]
Natalia Morari0.61%Against Sandu[128]
Tudor Ulianovschi0.52%No endorsement[129]

Results

[edit]

First round

[edit]

Incumbent presidentMaia Sandu andAlexandr Stoianoglo advanced to the runoff, with Sandu winning the first round with about 42.5 percent of votes.[130] She did best in the central part of the country, winning 48.32% of the vote inChișinău, her best result of 59.97% was inIaloveni District. Sandu's strongest result was abroad, with 70.71% of the vote. In contrast, she recorded her worst results in the autonomy ofGagauzia[131] and the Bulgarian-majority[132]Taraclia District, at 2.26% and 4.44% of the vote, respectively. Meanwhile, Stoianoglo, a native of Gagauzia[133] secured his best result there, with slightly less than 50% of the vote. In addition to Gagauzia, he also performed well in the north of the country,[134] as well as Taraclia.

Second round

[edit]

Incumbent presidentMaia Sandu defeatedAlexandr Stoianoglo with about 55% of votes, compared to 45% of votes.[10] Stoianoglo led the counting within Moldova, particularly among rural areas and in the south of the country and Transnistria, winning 51.2%.[37] He recorded back-to-back landslide results in Gagauzia and Taraclia, winning more than 90% of the vote in each.[135] However, Sandu led votes in Chișinău and other cities, among the youth and theMoldovan diaspora, where she won 83% of the vote.[136][37][137] She secured her best result in Ialoveni District, which was also her strongest performance in the first round. Stoianoglo won seven subdivisions he lost in the first round: he securedFălești District first won by Usatîi, as well asSîngerei,Șoldănești,Dubăsari,Basarabeasca,Cahul districts andBotanica in Chișinău previously won by Sandu.[135]

CandidatePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Maia SanduIndependent (PAS)656,85242.49930,13955.35
Alexandr StoianogloIndependent (Party of Socialists)401,21525.95750,43044.65
Renato UsatîiOur Party213,16913.79
Irina VlahIndependent83,1935.38
Victoria FurtunăIndependent68,7784.45
Vasile TarlevFuture of Moldova Party[h]49,3163.19
Ion ChicuParty of Development and Consolidation31,7972.06
Octavian ȚîcuTogether14,3260.93
Andrei NăstaseIndependent9,9460.64
Natalia MorariIndependent9,4440.61
Tudor UlianovschiIndependent7,9950.52
Total1,546,031100.001,680,569100.00
Valid votes1,546,03198.821,680,56998.78
Invalid/blank votes18,4641.1820,7151.22
Total votes1,564,495100.001,701,284100.00
Registered voters/turnout3,023,50651.743,133,68754.29
Source:Central Electoral Commission
Vote share
Second round
Sandu
55.35%
Stoianoglo
44.65%
First round
Sandu
42.49%
Stoianoglo
25.95%
Usatîi
13.79%
Vlah
5.38%
Furtună
4.45%
Tarlev
3.19%
Chicu
2.06%
Others
2.70%
  • Sandu's results by district, first round
    Sandu's results by district, first round
  • Sandu's results by district, second round
    Sandu's results by district, second round
  • Stoianoglo's results by district, first round
    Stoianoglo's results by district, first round

Aftermath

[edit]

First round

[edit]

President Sandu attributed the result of the first round and the referendum to foreign interference and described it as an "unprecedented assault on democracy", adding that her government had evidence that 150,000 votes had been bought, with an objective of 300,000. The European Union also said that the two exercises had taken place "under unprecedented interference and intimidation by Russia and its proxies".[138] The United States also noted Russian attempts to "undermine Moldova's election and its European integration".[139] The Kremlin, in response, had denounced the votes in Moldova as "unfree", casting doubt on what it said was a "hard-to-explain" increase in votes in favor of Sandu and the EU referendum, and challenged her to "present evidence" of meddling.[140]

Instances of vote buying

[edit]

Four hundred Moldovan citizens were investigated for allegedly receiving money to choose the "no" option in the referendum and vote for a determined candidate in the presidential election. Those found guilty would have been fined 37,000Moldovan lei (over 1,900 euros), but were given the option of not receiving punishment if they cooperated with the authorities.[141]

The head of theMoldovan Police, Viorel Cernăuțeanu, stated on 24 October that since September, a total of $39 million, including 15 million that month and 24 million in October, had been transferred to over 138,000 people in Moldova through the Russian bankPromsvyazbank, which is banned in Moldova. He added that the number of people that had benefited from this system would be much greater as they would have received money not only for themselves but also for members of their family. This money transfer system was believed to have started in late spring, and was carried out through applications that people downloaded with instructions from interactive chatbots onTelegram. This allowed them to enter the system and benefit from transfers from the bank. Cernăuțeanu stated that Moldovan police had documented and stopped the activity of such bots in 97 Telegram groups.[142]

A later national poll showed that 74.7% of respondents knew people who had received benefits, material or financial, for their vote. The poll had 1,031 respondents and was conducted by theMoldova State University's Centre of Political and Administrative Studies in partnership with the Black Sea Trust for Regional Cooperation.[143][144]

International reactions

[edit]

TheOSCE election observation mission wrote that the voting process was received "overwhelmingly positively" by its observers. According to the report, "the electionadministration worked professionally and demonstrated impartiality in their decision-making", while "fundamental freedoms were generally respected and contestants could campaign freely". Regarding media landscape, the report stated that "the majority of ODIHR EOM interlocutors informed that conditions for media work without interference have improved", however it also noted misuse of administrative resources by Sandu's campaign and concluded that media coverage did not provide fully equal opportunities, with several media organizations, most notably the public broadcasterTeleradio-Moldova, favouring Sandu and the government. The Electoral Commission also did not resolve complaints in timely manner, and failed to properly address allegations of misuse of office by the incumbent. The report also acknowledged concerns over illicit foreign interference and disinformation campaigns.[145]

Domestic reactions

[edit]

In a statement on 24 October, Sandu stated that, despite the instances of vote buying, she had rejected suggestions of annulling and repeating the elections as "no one has the right to deny citizens a massive, honest and free expression of their will". She further stated that, without the buying of votes, "we would have had a clear victory for both the presidential elections and the referendum", and also urged the Moldovan judiciary to "wake up" and address the issue of electoral bribery.[146] Former Moldovan Defence MinisterAnatol Salaru said ahead of the run-off, that the result would decide whether Moldova would "continue the process of European integration or return to the Russia fold".[6]

Second round

[edit]

Sandu declared in her victory speech; "Moldova, you are victorious! Today, dear Moldovans, you have given a lesson in democracy, worthy of being written in history books. Today, you have saved Moldova". She went on to announce that the election had faced an unprecedented attack through alleged schemes including dirty money, vote-buying, and electoral interference "by hostile forces from outside the country" and criminal groups. She pledged to be a "president for all" and concluded: "You have shown that nothing can stand in the way of the people's power when they choose to speak through their vote". Her speech was delivered in Romanian and partly in Russian.[10][147]

Speaking before the final vote count, Stoianoglo told the media that "everyone's voice deserves respect" and that he hopes "from now on, we will put an end to the hatred and division imposed on us."[10] The Party of Socialists alleged that voting was marred by irregularities and the reduction of polling stations available for Moldovans living in Russia. It also called Sandu an "illegitimate president".[147] PSRM leader Igor Dodon also called Sandu "a president of the diaspora", citing her strong showing among overseas voters.[136] Stoianoglo formally conceded on 6 November, while noting that he had led in the counting within Moldova and describing his loss as "not a final defeat, it is only a lost battle".[148]

International reactions

[edit]
  • Romania: Prime MinisterMarcel Ciolacu congratulated Maia Sandu and said Moldovans chose to defend their democracy and continue their pro-European Union path. He declared that Moldovans "reconfirmed in front of the whole world not only their courage, but also their full confidence in their European future!" despite Russian attempts at vote-buying.[149]
  • European Union: EU foreign policy chiefJosep Borrell and EU Commission PresidentUrsula von der Leyen congratulated Sandu, with Von der Leyen saying that "it takes a rare kind of strength to overcome the challenges you've faced in this election.[37]
  • France: PresidentEmmanuel Macron praised the result, saying that democracy had "triumphed over all interference and all maneuvers".[150]
  • Germany: ChancellorOlaf Scholz praised Sandu for having "steered her country towards Europe," while denouncing what it described as "a large-scale, coordinated effort" to obstruct Moldovans abroad from voting, including throughbomb threats, labeling the intimidation as "completely unacceptable."[147]
  • United States: PresidentJoe Biden congratulated Maia Sandu on her reelection, praising the Moldovan people for supporting her vision of a "secure, prosperous, and democratic Moldova." He noted that Sandu's victory came just weeks after aconstitutional referendum endorsingMoldova's membership in the European Union. Biden condemnedRussia’s attempts to "undermine Moldova’s democratic institutions and election processes," noting that these efforts had failed. He lauded the Moldovan people for exercising their democratic right to "choose their own future," opting for an alignement with Europe and democracies worldwide.[151][152]
  • Ukraine: PresidentVolodymyr Zelensky congratulated Sandu for her victory and emphasised the need for "a peaceful, united Europe".[147]
  • Russia:Kremlin spokespersonDmitry Peskov described the election as "neither democratic nor fair" and refused to recognise Sandu as president, saying that overseas Moldovan voters in Russia were disenfranchised as only two polling stations supplied with 10,000 ballots were open in Russia, home to aMoldovan diaspora numbering in hundreds of thousands. The Russian foreign ministry accused the West of "blatant interference" in the election and Moldovan authorities of "unprecedented repression against the opposition".[153][154]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abThe President of Moldova traditionally resigns from party membership after taking office. Although Sandu was officially an independent, her campaign was endorsed and funded byParty of Action and Solidarity. On the election ballot, Maia Sandu was designated as a PAS candidate.[1]
  2. ^abAlthough Stoianoglo was officially an independent, his campaign was endorsed and funded byParty of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova. On the election ballot, Alexandr Stoianoglo was designated as a PSRM candidate.[1]
  3. ^Munteanu, and the Coalition for Unity and Welfare, were a member of the blocTogether, and helped nominate and initially endorsedOctavian Țîcu; however, Munteanu and the party later left the bloc, citing numerous reasons.[58]
  4. ^Political organization, not a party, led byIrina Vlah
  5. ^abcMember party of the bloc Together
  6. ^Political bloc, not a party, led by Ilan Shor
  7. ^Allegedly supportedVictoria Furtună[118]
  8. ^Endorsed by theParty of Communists

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  113. ^abPopescu, Andreea (30 October 2024)."Octavian Țîcu o susține pe Maia Sandu în turul doi: 'Trebuie să votăm împotriva lui Ilan Șor, Igor Dodon, Veaceslav Platon și a candidatului lor, Alexandr Stoianoglo'".Știri pe surse (in Romanian).
  114. ^ab"Blocul "Împreună" a anunțat pe cine va susține în turul II la prezidențiale: Mesajul transmis cetățenilor de Octavian Țîcu".Unimedia (in Romanian). 30 October 2024.
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  116. ^Достоевский, Генри (19 October 2024)."Молдавский оппозиционер Шор призвал выбрать «неСанду» президентом республики".Главные новости в России и мире – RTVI (in Russian). Retrieved1 November 2024.
  117. ^"Шор назвал своего кандидата".Новости в Молдове и мире. Независимый информационный портал (in Russian). 19 October 2024. Retrieved1 November 2024.
  118. ^Nistor, Mariuța (12 October 2024)."VIDEO/ Victoria Furtună, candidata (in)dependentă de rețeaua lui Șor".Ziarul de Gardă (in Romanian). Retrieved31 October 2024.
  119. ^"/VIDEO/ Blocul lui Șor îl va susține pe Stoianoglo la prezidențiale? Răspunsurile lui Bolea și Tauber".tv8.md. 31 October 2024. Retrieved31 October 2024.
  120. ^"Stoianoglo încearcă să ne întoarcă din drumul nostru European. Așteptarea unui "consens complet" este o capcană care ar amâna la nesfârșit reformele necesare și progresul".Alianța Liberalilor și Democraților pentru Europa (in Romanian). 24 October 2024. Retrieved25 October 2024.
  121. ^"Filat: 40% – Maia Sandu și 60% – Alexandr Stoianoglo este scenariul pe țară în turul II al alegerilor. Diaspora va schimba puțin această diferență zdrobitoare".UNIMEDIA (in Romanian). 25 October 2024. Retrieved25 October 2024.
  122. ^"Filat, despre turul II al alegerilor: Surprizele pentru PAS abia încep".stiri.md. Retrieved25 October 2024.
  123. ^"Conferința de presă al Partidul Verde Ecologist din Moldova privitor la al doilea tur electoral" (in Romanian). 29 October 2024. Retrieved29 October 2024 – viaFacebook.
  124. ^"Astăzi a avut loc ședința Consiliului Republican al Partidului Liberal" (in Romanian). 27 October 2024. Retrieved27 October 2024 – viaFacebook.
  125. ^Gandrabur, Corneliu (29 October 2024)."CUB îndeamnă cetățenii la un vot rațional în turul II: "Viitorul președinte trebuie să fie garantul bunăstării și unității naționale" Telegraph – Agenție de presă".Telegraph – Agenție de presă. Retrieved29 October 2024.
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  129. ^""Moldova are nevoie de o alternativă reală": Mesajul lui Ulianovschi, în contextul turului II al alegerilor prezidențiale".tv8.md. Retrieved28 October 2024.
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  131. ^Ciesielska, Paulina (21 October 2024)."Gagauzia votes overwhelmingly against EU integration". msn.com. Retrieved21 October 2024.
  132. ^Socor, Vladimir."Bessarabia's 'Ethnographic Harlequin' in a Regional Perspective".jamestown.org. Retrieved21 October 2024.
  133. ^Ciobanu, Cornel (23 August 2021)."DISINFORMATION: The government in Chisinau is undermining Gagauzia's autonomy". veridica.co. Retrieved21 October 2024.
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  141. ^"Sute de alegători din Moldova sunt anchetați pentru că și-ar fi vândut votul Moscovei. Riscă o amendă uriașă" (in Romanian). Pro TV. 23 October 2024.
  142. ^Conovali, Mihaela (24 October 2024)."Transferuri de până la $39 mln pentru a "corupe masiv electoratul". IGP: circa 138 mii de persoane din Moldova – în contact cu PSB Bank".NewsMaker (in Romanian).
  143. ^"Sondaj: 74,7% din respondenți cunosc persoane care și-au vândut votul".Știri.md (in Romanian). 24 January 2025.
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