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2024 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun federal by-election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Federal by-election in Quebec, Canada
2024 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun by-election

← 2021
September 16, 2024 (2024-09-16)
2025 →

Riding ofLaSalle—Émard—Verdun
Turnout39.66% (Decrease 20.94)
 First partySecond party
 
LPC
CandidateLouis-Philippe SauvéLaura Palestini
PartyBloc QuébécoisLiberal
Popular vote8,8848,636
Percentage28.02%27.23%
SwingIncrease 5.93ppDecrease 15.69pp

 Third partyFourth party
 
CPC
CandidateCraig SauvéLouis Ialenti
PartyNew DemocraticConservative
Popular vote8,2623,676
Percentage26.05%11.59%
SwingIncrease 6.70ppIncrease 4.14pp

LaSalle-Emard-Verdun By-Election Results

MP before election

David Lametti
Liberal

ElectedMP

Louis-Philippe Sauvé
Bloc Québécois

A by-election was held in the federal riding ofLaSalle—Émard—Verdun inQuebec, Canada, on September 16, 2024, following the resignation of incumbentLiberal MPDavid Lametti.

While the riding was considered a "stronghold" for the Liberals, the by-election was expected by some to be a close race between the Liberals and the NDP, who ran "well known" Montreal city councillorCraig Sauvé.[1] The by-election was expected to be a three-way marginal with theBloc Québécois also having strong support in the riding.[2]

The by-election was held on the same day as one inElmwood—Transcona inManitoba and was considered a test for the government ofJustin Trudeau.[3] After results were announced, Trudeau said that his party had "a lot of work to do".[4][5]

Background

[edit]

The riding ofLaSalle—Émard—Verdun was vacated on February 1, 2024, following the resignation of Liberal MPDavid Lametti.[6] Lametti, who previously served asMinister of Justice and Attorney General inthe government ofJustin Trudeau, won the seat in2015.

Constituency

[edit]

The constituency is an urban Francophone riding located in the southwestern part ofMontreal containing parts of the boroughs ofLe Sud-Ouest,Verdun andLaSalle.[7] The riding has been held by the Liberals since its creation in 2015. Prior to 2015, this area of the city was split into two different ridings, with Verdun being in one riding (Jeanne-Le Ber from 2004 to 2016) and theLaSalle andVille-Émard areas being in another (LaSalle—Émard from 1988 to 2015). Both ridings went NDP during the "orange wave" of the2011 Canadian federal election. Prior to 2011, the LaSalle—Émard area has been reliably Liberal, while Verdun has been less-so, with the Bloc holding it from 2006 to 2011.

Candidates

[edit]

The total of 91 candidates broke the record for the longest list of candidates in a federal by-election, besting the 84 that ran in the2024 Toronto—St. Paul's federal by-election, both results being attributed to theLongest Ballot Committee, an organization protesting thefirst-past-the-post electoral system.[8] It was equalled inCarleton during the 2025 Canadian federal election, and is set to be broken and more than doubled during the2025 Battle River—Crowfoot federal by-election.

Ballot
Ballot comprising 91 candidates

On July 19, Montreal city councillor Laura Palestini was selected by the Liberals as their candidate over others seeking the nomination[9] such as Eddy Kara, a political strategist,[10] Christopher Baenninger,Quebec Liberal candidate inSainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques in2022 andSaint-Henri–Sainte-Anne in2023,[11] and Lori Morrison, Electoral Division 1 Commissioner of theLester B. Pearson School Board.[11] The party approached Charles Milliard, president of the Fédération des chambres de commerce du Québec, to run as their candidate in the by-election. He ultimately declined to run, preferring running in the2025 Quebec Liberal Party leadership election.[12]

On March 28,Craig Sauvé, independent city councillor for the district of Saint-Henri—Little-Burgundy—Pointe-Saint-Charles announced that he was standing for nomination for theNew Democratic Party's candidate.[13] He was officially nominated as the NDP candidate on April 28.[14]

On July 19, the Conservative Party announced that their candidate would be Louis Ialenti, a small business owner. He was previously the Conservative candidate forSaint-Léonard—Saint-Michel in 2021.[15]

The Bloc Québécois candidate wasLouis-Philippe Sauvé, a party staffer and the former communications and administration coordinator at the Institute for Research in Contemporary Economics.[16]

Gregory Yablunovsky was the PPC candidate. He was previously the party's candidate inSaint-Laurent in 2021 andLa Prairie in 2019.[17]

On May 27, it was announced that Jency Mercier had won the nomination race for the Green Party.[18]

Alain Paquette was theChristian Heritage Party candidate.[19]

On July 17, theRhinoceros Party announced that party leaderSébastien CoRhino would be the candidate.[20]

TheLongest Ballot Committee targeted theLaSalle—Émard—Verdun by-election[21] resulting in 77 independent candidates affiliated to the organization running in this riding.[22]

On August 14, the newly formedCanadian Future Party announced Mark Khoury as their candidate in the election.[23]

Campaign

[edit]

It was reported that Liberal campaign materials omitted the image ofJustin Trudeau, unlike other parties which used their party leader's picture.[24] The unpopularity of the federal government has been a consideration.[25] Senior Liberal figures considered the by-election a "must-win".[26]

Opinion polls

[edit]
Polling FirmLast Date
of Polling
LinkLPCBQNDPCPCPPCGreenMargin
of Error[1]
Sample
Size[2]
Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet ResearchSeptember 7-9, 2024[27]24.129.623.07.3N/aN/a±4.7 pp443IVR
Mainstreet ResearchJuly 9, 2024[28]2926251413±5.4 pp329IVR
Election 2021September 20, 202142.9322.0919.367.453.383.0447,360

Results

[edit]

11,000 people voted in advance polling.[29]

Canadian federal by-election,September 16, 2024:LaSalle—Émard—Verdun
Resignation ofDavid Lametti
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Bloc QuébécoisLouis-Philippe Sauvé8,92528.20+6.11
LiberalLaura Palestini8,65627.35-15.58
New DemocraticCraig Sauvé8,27226.13+6.77
ConservativeLouis Ialenti3,64111.50+4.05
GreenJency Mercier5571.76-1.28
IndependentTina Jiu Ru Zhu1980.63
People'sGregory Yablunovsky1590.50-2.88
Canadian FutureMark Khoury930.29
RhinocerosSébastien CoRhino670.21
Christian HeritageAlain Paquette550.17
MarijuanaSteve Berthelot530.17
IndependentLanna Palsson480.15
Marxist–LeninistNormand Chouinard400.13
No AffiliationMyriam Beaulieu400.13
IndependentLine Bélanger340.11
IndependentMarie-Hélène LeBel300.09
IndependentPierre Samson290.09
IndependentJulie St-Amand240.08
IndependentLaura Vegys230.07
No AffiliationManon Marie Lili Desbiens210.07
IndependentAlain Bourgault210.07
IndependentMark Moutter200.06
IndependentCharles Lemieux190.06
IndependentPeter Barry Clarke190.06
IndependentGuillaume Paradis190.06
IndependentHans Armando Vargas170.05
IndependentFelix-Antoine Hamel170.05
IndependentMartin Croteau170.05
IndependentDaniel Gagnon170.05
IndependentMatéo Martin160.05
IndependentDaniel St-Pierre160.05
IndependentJohn "The Engineer" Turmel160.05
IndependentAlex Banks160.05
IndependentAgnieszka Marszalek150.05
No AffiliationFang Hu150.05
IndependentNassim Barhoumi150.05
IndependentConnie Lukawski140.04
IndependentAlain Lamontagne140.04
IndependentMarie-Eve Vermette140.04
IndependentGlen MacDonald140.04
IndependentMylène Bonneau140.04
IndependentMartin Acetaria Caesar Jubinville130.04
IndependentRéal BatRhino Martel130.04
IndependentAndrew Davidson130.04
IndependentRyan Huard130.04
IndependentJohn Dale120.04
IndependentJohn Francis O'Flynn120.04
IndependentJaël Champagne Gareau120.04
IndependentMário Stocco120.04
IndependentJacques-Eric Guy120.04
IndependentYusuf Nasihi110.03
IndependentAntony George Ernest Marcil110.03
IndependentSamuel Ducharme110.03
IndependentChristian Baril110.03
IndependentAlexandra Engering110.03
IndependentDanny Légaré100.03
IndependentTimothy Schoen100.03
IndependentMarc Corriveau100.03
IndependentMark Dejewski90.03
IndependentKrzysztof Krzywinski90.03
IndependentGrayson Pollard80.03
IndependentMichael Bednarski80.03
IndependentDonovan Eckstrom70.02
IndependentLorant Polya70.02
IndependentJudy D. Hill70.02
IndependentAdam Smith60.02
IndependentJordan Wong60.02
IndependentJeani Boudreault60.02
No AffiliationKaty Le Rougetel60.02
IndependentElliot Wand50.02
IndependentDarcy Justin Vanderwater50.02
IndependentGavin Vanderwater50.02
IndependentLajos Polya50.02
IndependentMichael Skirzynski50.02
IndependentGerrit Dogger40.01
IndependentHarout Manougian40.01
IndependentRoger Sherwood40.01
IndependentSpencer Rocchi40.01
IndependentPatrick Strzalkowski40.01
IndependentAnthony Hamel30.01
IndependentJulian Selody30.01
IndependentErle Stanley Bowman30.01
IndependentDji-Pé Frazer30.01
IndependentBenjamin Teichman30.01
IndependentWinston Neutel20.01
IndependentBlake Hamilton20.01
IndependentWallace Richard Rowat10.00
IndependentPascal St-Amand10.00
IndependentDavid Erland10.00
IndependentDaniel Stuckless00.00
IndependentYsack Dupont00.00
Total valid votes31,65397.77
Total rejected ballots7232.23+0.09
Turnout32,37640.84-19.75
Eligible voters79,268
Bloc Québécoisgain fromLiberalSwing+10.81
Source:Elections Canada[30]

2021 results

[edit]
2021 Canadian federal election:LaSalle—Émard—Verdun
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
LiberalDavid Lametti20,33042.93-0.60$55,842.59
Bloc QuébécoisRaphaël Guérard10,46122.09-2.00$9,992.28
New DemocraticJason De Lierre9,16819.36+2.89$2,674.57
ConservativeJanina Moran3,5307.45+0.41$714.88
People'sMichel Walsh1,6003.38+2.44$2,295.27
GreenSarah Carter1,4393.04-3.80$0.00
FreePascal Antonin6361.34N/A$2.73
CommunistJ.P. Fortin1960.41N/A$0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit47,36097.86$110,554.58
Total rejected ballots1,0362.14+0.52
Turnout48,39660.59-3.78
Registered voters79,869
LiberalholdSwing+0.70
Source:Elections Canada[31]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Montreal byelection expected to be a tight race between Liberals, NDP: analyst".CTV News. 29 July 2024. Retrieved2 August 2024.
  2. ^Tasker, John Paul; Boudjikanian, Raffy (September 6, 2024)."Trudeau's Liberals face another big test in Montreal byelection - NDP, Bloc Québécois hoping voters tired of Trudeau will help them take long-time Liberal seat".CBC News.
  3. ^"Trudeau déclenche deux élections partielles, dont une dans LaSalle—Émard—Verdun".La Presse (in Canadian French). 2024-07-28. Retrieved2024-08-03.
  4. ^Tasker, John Paul (2024-09-17)."Trudeau says Liberals have 'a lot of work to do' after his party loses another byelection".CBC News. Retrieved2024-09-17.
  5. ^Rana, Uday (2024-09-17)."'The Liberals are done': What will the Montreal byelection loss mean for Trudeau?".Global News. Retrieved2024-09-17.
  6. ^"Former justice minister David Lametti resigning as Liberal MP to join law firm".The Province. RetrievedJanuary 25, 2024.
  7. ^"Canada election results: LaSalle–Émard–Verdun | Globalnews.ca".Global News. Retrieved2024-08-03.
  8. ^"LaSalle-Émard-Verdun riding breaks record for longest list of candidates in federal byelection | Watch News Videos Online".Global News. Retrieved2024-09-11.
  9. ^"Montreal city councillor to represent Liberals in byelection".CBC News. 19 July 2024. Retrieved19 July 2024.
  10. ^Saba, Michel (23 July 2024)."Decision to parachute Trudeau's choice into Montreal byelection shocks would-be candidates".Montreal Gazette.The Canadian Press. Retrieved24 July 2024.
  11. ^abLabbé, Jérôme (19 July 2024)."Le PLC recrute une conseillère municipale pour la partielle dans LaSalle–Émard–Verdun".Radio-Canada. Retrieved19 July 2024.
  12. ^Thomas Laberge (August 13, 2024)."Élection partielle dans LaSalle—Émard—Verdun | Milliard a « considéré » puis « refusé » de se lancer pour le PLC".La Presse (in French). RetrievedAugust 25, 2024.
  13. ^@CraigSauve (March 28, 2024)."Grosse annonce aujourd'hui ! 🧡 Merci tout le monde pour les très nombreux messages de soutien ! 🙏 // Big announcement today! 🧡 Thank you for the many messages of support! 🙏 #polcan #cdnpoli #polmtl" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  14. ^"Lasalle--Émard--Verdun NDP Nomination Meeting".New Democratic Party of Canada. Retrieved12 April 2024.
  15. ^Serebrin, Jacob (19 July 2024)."Liberals, Conservatives select candidates for Montreal byelection".Montreal Gazette.Postmedia Network. Retrieved19 July 2024.
  16. ^Séguin, Charles (2024-07-28)."Deux élections partielles fédérales auront lieu le 16 septembre".Radio-Canada (in French). Retrieved2024-07-31.
  17. ^"Gregory Yablunovsky".People's Party of Canada. Retrieved12 April 2024.
  18. ^"Jency Mercier to run in LaSalle—Émard—Verdun".Green Party of Canada. 27 May 2024. Retrieved28 May 2024.
  19. ^"Alain Paquette - LaSalle—Émard—Verdun".Christian Heritage Party of Canada. Retrieved19 July 2024.
  20. ^"The people of LaSalle - Ville Émard - Verdun have endorsed Sébastien CoRhino as their candidate for the soon to be announced by-election".Facebook.Rhinoceros Party. 17 July 2024. Retrieved19 July 2024.
  21. ^Bryan Passifiume (July 16, 2024)."Long-ballot protesters try to snarl another byelection after breaking record in Toronto—St. Paul's".National Post. RetrievedAugust 25, 2024.
  22. ^Audrey Sanikopoulos (August 27, 2024)."Protestation contre le système électoral: 91 candidats inscrits pour l'élection partielle de LaSalle-Émard-Verdun".Le Journal de Montréal (in French). RetrievedSeptember 8, 2024.
  23. ^Nick Murray (August 14, 2024)."Canadian Future Party launches, will field candidates in upcoming byelections".CBC News. RetrievedAugust 25, 2024.
  24. ^Forrest, Maura (September 5, 2024)."No photos of Trudeau on campaign signs in Montreal riding ahead of byelection Other major party campaign signs feature photos of their leaders".CBC News.
  25. ^Madoc-Jones, Gareth; Patterson, Kelsey (2024-08-31)."Montreal byelection: what's next for Trudeau if Liberals lose?".CityNews Montreal. Retrieved2024-09-11.
  26. ^"Liberals face must-win by-election in Montreal as they try to hold onto their base".The Globe and Mail. 2024-09-11. Retrieved2024-09-11.
  27. ^"Bloc ahead in crucial Montreal byelection, according to poll".CTV News Montreal. 2024-09-12. Retrieved2024-09-14.
  28. ^@CanadianPolling (July 11, 2024)."LaSalle-Emard-Verdun Byelection Polling" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  29. ^mporco (2024-09-10)."LaSalle–Émard–Verdun byelection: 11,000 vote in advance polling".CityNews Montreal. Retrieved2024-09-11.
  30. ^"Official Voting Results — September 16, 2024, By-elections".Elections Canada. Retrieved2 May 2025.
  31. ^"Official Voting Results — LaSalle—Émard—Verdun".Elections Canada. Retrieved31 August 2024.
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