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2024 United States presidential election in Delaware

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(Redirected from2024 Delaware Democratic presidential primary)

Main article:2024 United States presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Delaware

← 2020November 5, 20242028 →
Turnout65.74%Decrease 3.12pp
 
NomineeKamala HarrisDonald Trump
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateCaliforniaFlorida
Running mateTim WalzJD Vance
Electoral vote30
Popular vote289,758214,351
Percentage56.49%41.79%

County results
Precinct results

Harris

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

No Data

  


President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The2024 United States presidential election in Delaware took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Delaware voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of Delaware has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

Delaware is the home state of the 46th U.S. PresidentJoe Biden, and has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since1988. It is astrongly blue state on theEast Coast with the majority of the population being concentrated in the urban northern part of the state, despite the southern portion being rural and having someSouthern cultural influence.

Harris carried Delaware by 14.7%, a decrease from Biden's 19% margin in 2020. This compares to Harris significantly underperforming in many other blue states. Harris carriedKent County, abellwether county, despite losing the election, which last occurred in1992. Trump is the first Republican to win the presidency without the county since1924.

Primary elections

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

The Delaware Republican primary was scheduled to be held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries inPennsylvania andRhode Island. As all other primary candidates besidesDonald Trump withdrew their names from the ballot, the primary was cancelled on March 19,[2] giving Trump all 16 pledged delegates.[3]

Winner of delegates

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Main article:Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
Donald Trump

Notable individual

Democratic primary

[edit]

The Delaware Democratic primary was originally scheduled to be held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries inConnecticut,New York,Rhode Island, andWisconsin.[5] In Delaware, candidates can make the primary ballot by submitting at least 500 valid signatures by the filing deadline of February 2, 2024.[6] Incumbent presidentJoe Biden was the only one who met the requirements to make the ballot.[7] Pursuant to Delaware state law, this means that the primary was cancelled, with the delegates awarded to Biden.[8]

Delaware sent 34 delegates, 19 pledged and 15superdelegates, to the2024 Democratic National Convention.[5]

Winner of delegates

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Main article:Endorsements in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
Joe Biden(withdrawn)
U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Governors

General election

[edit]

Candidate ballot access

[edit]

The following candidates have qualified for presidential ballot access in Delaware:[13]

Nominated parties

Other qualified parties

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[14]Solid DDecember 19, 2023
Inside Elections[15]Solid DApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe DJune 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[17]Safe DDecember 14, 2023
CNalysis[18]Solid DDecember 30, 2023
CNN[19]Solid DJanuary 14, 2024
The Economist[20]Safe DOctober 1, 2024
538[21]Solid DSeptember 15, 2024
RCP[22]Solid DJune 26, 2024
NBC News[23]Safe DOctober 6, 2024

Polling

[edit]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Slingshot Strategies (D)[24][A]September 19–21, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%54%37%9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of Delaware[25]September 11–19, 2024383 (LV)± 5.8%56%36%3%1%4%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race.
John Zogby Strategies[26][B]April 13–21, 2024310 (LV)51%40%9%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024Joe Bidenwithdraws from the race.
John Zogby Strategies[26][B]April 13–21, 2024310 (LV)46%42%12%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
August 23, 2024Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspendshis presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
John Zogby Strategies[26][B]April 13–21, 2024310 (LV)42%36%22%

Results

[edit]
2024 United States presidential election in Delaware[27]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic289,75856.49%Decrease 2.25%
Republican214,35141.79%Increase 2.02%
Independent Party4,6360.90%N/A
Libertarian2,0380.40%Decrease 0.59%
Green
9140.18%Decrease 0.24%
Conservative
9140.18%N/A
American Solidarity
980.02%Steady
Independent
960.02%N/A
Socialism and Liberation
870.02%Increase 0.02%
Independent
40.00%N/A
Write-in160.00%N/A
Total votes512,912100.00%
Democraticwin

By county

[edit]
Swing by county:
  Democratic — +0-2.5%
  Republican — +0-2.5%
  Republican — +2.5-5%
CountyKamala Harris
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Kent44,22250.09%42,45848.09%1,6091.82%1,7642.00%88,289
New Castle180,70065.27%90,86832.82%5,2911.91%89,83232.45%276,859
Sussex64,83643.88%81,02554.83%1,9031.29%-16,189-10.95%147,764
Totals289,75856.49%214,35141.79%8,8031.72%75,40714.70%512,912

By congressional district

[edit]

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is called the at-large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
At-large41.79%56.49%Sarah McBride

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abBiden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board member
  2. ^abBiden campaign national co-chair
  3. ^abcdeKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^Poll sponsored by Citizens for Judicial Fairness
  2. ^abcPoll conducted forKennedy's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021)."Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats".NPR.Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. RetrievedFebruary 7, 2023.
  2. ^Chase, Randall (March 19, 2024)."Delaware calls off Republican presidential primary after Haley removes name from ballot".Associated Press. RetrievedMarch 22, 2024.
  3. ^"Delaware Republican Presidential Nominating Process".thegreenpapers.com. January 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 7, 2023.
  4. ^"Radio Show Hour 2 – 2022/11/12".The Political Cesspool. November 12, 2022. RetrievedMay 20, 2023.
  5. ^ab"2024 Democratic Pledged and Unpledged Delegate Summary".www.thegreenpapers.com. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2024.
  6. ^"Ballot access for presidential candidates".Ballotpedia. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2024.
  7. ^"2024 Presidential Primary Election Candidate List - Department of Elections - State of Delaware".elections.delaware.gov. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2024.
  8. ^"DELEGATE SELECTION PLAN FOR THE 2024 DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION"(PDF).Delaware Dems. RetrievedFebruary 7, 2024.Pursuant to Delaware State Law, if the Delaware Democratic Party submits the name of only one Presidential Candidate, and no other candidates file for the ballot, the state run presidential primary shall be cancelled.
  9. ^Edelen, Joseph (April 25, 2023)."President Joe Biden to run for reelection in 2024".Bay to Bay News.
  10. ^Morris, Kyle (January 22, 2023)."10 Democrats who have vowed support for Biden in 2024 as voters await his official re-election decision".Fox News.Archived from the original on February 16, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 16, 2023.
  11. ^Gangitano, Alex (April 25, 2023)."Biden names campaign managers, national co-chairs for 2024".The Hill.
  12. ^Stockburger, George (May 10, 2023)."Josh Shapiro, Malcolm Kenyatta named to Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board".ABC27/WHTM.
  13. ^Winger, Richard (May 6, 2024)."April 2024 Ballot Access News Print Edition".Ballot Access News. RetrievedMay 8, 2024.
  14. ^"2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings".cookpolitical.com.Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2024.
  15. ^"Presidential Ratings".insideelections.com.Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2024.
  16. ^"2024 Electoral College ratings".centerforpolitics.org.University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2024.
  17. ^"2024 presidential predictions".elections2024.thehill.com/.The Hill. December 14, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2024.
  18. ^"2024 Presidential Forecast".projects.cnalysis.com/.CNalysis. December 30, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2024.
  19. ^"Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270".CNN. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2024.
  20. ^"Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model".The Economist. RetrievedOctober 3, 2024.
  21. ^Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024)."2024 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedSeptember 15, 2024.
  22. ^"2024 RCP Electoral College Map".RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. RetrievedJune 26, 2024.
  23. ^"Presidential Election Preview 2024".NBC News.
  24. ^"Citizens for Judicial Fairness Poll: New Castle County Executive Matt Meyer Well Positioned for Victory in Race for Delaware Governor, Vice President Kamala Harris Favorability Ratings Pass Biden".Business Wire. September 24, 2024.
  25. ^Bothum, Peter (September 27, 2024)."New poll shows gender gap and independents fueling large lead for Delaware Democrats".University of Delaware.
  26. ^abc"Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump".Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  27. ^"Official 2024 Presidential General Election Results"(PDF).Federal Election Commission. January 16, 2025. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2025.
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