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2023 Russian Christmas truce proposal

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2023 Russian Christmas truce proposal
Part of theRussian invasion of Ukraine
Date5–7 January 2023
LocationEurope
Participantsabout 90% ofRussian forces in Ukraine at the time (according to Russia)[1][2]
OutcomePartially applied

On 5 January 2023,Patriarch Kirill of Moscow, head of theRussian Orthodox Church, called on both sides of theRussian invasion of Ukraine for anEastern Orthodox Christmas truce.[3] On the evening of the same day,Russian presidentVladimir Putin instructedRussian Defense MinisterSergei Shoigu to declare a 36-hour temporary ceasefire along the entire line of contact between Russian and Ukrainian troops from midday (12:00Moscow Time; 09:00UTC) on 6 January to midnight (24:00/00:00Moscow Time; 21:00UTC) on 7 to 8 January 2023.[4][5][6]

The truce proposal was rejected by the Ukrainian authorities, who called it a "cynical trap".[7][8][9][10] Despite the ceasefire being declared, it had little effect as fighting persisted.[11]

TheWagner Group (about 10% of Russia's total forces in Ukraine at the time[2]) did not commit to the ceasefire and was not ordered to observe it (it was not a part of the Russian Defense Ministry).[1]

Background

[edit]

Russians and Ukrainians, who are mostlyEastern Orthodox Christians, celebrate Christmas on 6–7 January.[3] However, following the Russian invasion, an increasingly high number of Ukrainians have begun celebrating Christmas on 25 December instead.[12]

Patriarch Kirill of Moscow often talks about the war in his sermons, justifying the invasion, qualifying it as "infighting", and calling the Russian Orthodox believers towards "spiritualmobilization". These statements finally pushed theUkrainian Orthodox Church (Moscow Patriarchate) to declare independence from theMoscow Patriarchy.[13] In June 2022, both the UK and Canada added Patriarch Kirill to their sanction lists.[7]

Russian unilateral ceasefire

[edit]

Following the proposal ofPatriarch Kirill,Russian presidentVladimir Putin instructed theRussian Defense MinisterSergei Shoigu to declare a temporary ceasefire along the entire line of contact between Russian and Ukrainian troops in connection with Eastern Orthodox Christmas. According to the announcement, the ceasefire will be in effect from noon on 6 January until midnight on 7 January. "Given that a large number of Orthodox citizens live in combat zones, we call on the Ukrainian side to declare a ceasefire and give them the chance to attend a service onChristmas Eve, as well as onChristmas", read Putin's statement.[4] The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation reported that it will fulfill Putin's order to introduce a ceasefire for Christmas.[14]

TheWagner Group, not being subject to the Russian Defense Ministry, didn’t have to observe and did not commit to the ceasefire.[1] At the time some 20,000 Wagner Group military personnel was believed to be fighting for Russia in Ukraine (about 10% of Russia's total forces in Ukraine at the time).[2]

Claims of violations

[edit]

Pre-ceasefire or early-ceasefire claims

[edit]

Reuters reported that 14 homes in a residential building inKramatorsk were damaged by Russian shelling shortly before the ceasefire was set to commence.[15] The BBC implied the Kramatorsk attack occurred after the ceasefire was to begin.[6]

According toGovernor of Kherson OblastYaroslav Yanushevych, Russian forces had fired at Kherson Oblast 39 times on Friday, during which one first-aid worker was killed and seven civilians were wounded.[16] Reuters stated: 'One rescue worker was killed and four others injured when Russian forces shelled a fire department in the southern Ukrainian city of Kherson before the deadline early on Friday, the regional governor said. Reuters could not immediately verify this.'[15] The BBC claimed the strike on the fire station in Kherson city happened after the unilateral ceasefire began.[6]

During the ceasefire

[edit]

On 6 January, Ukrainian MPInna Sovsun said "We are two and a half hours into this proclaimed ceasefire, and actually the whole territory of Ukraine is under air raid alert. So I think that speaks for itself, (…) Basically the ceasefire, the Russians are making it up."[6]

After three hours of the supposed ceasefire taking effect,Governor of Luhansk OblastSerhiy Haidai claimed that Russian forces had shelled Ukrainian positions 14 times inLuhansk Oblast, and stormed one settlement three times.[15] Reuters witnessed Russian and Ukrainian heavy artillery exchanging fire nearKreminna in the afternoon of 6 January.[15] AboutDonetsk Oblast, Reuters added: 'One witness in the Russian-occupied regional capital Donetsk also described outgoing artillery fired from pro-Russian positions on the city's outskirts after the truce was meant to take effect.'[15]

By midday of 7 January 2023, Ukrainian authorities had reported that at least three people had been killed and fourteen had been injured during Russian attacks across at least seven oblasts in eastern and southern Ukraine in the course of the first 24 hours of the 36-hour unilaterally declared Russian ceasefire.[16]Governor of Donetsk OblastPavlo Kyrylenko stated that on Friday, two civilians (a 66-year-old man and a 61-year-old woman) were killed in Bakhmut and nearby Krasna Hora, and seven others were injured.[16][17]

During the ceasefire the RussianWagner Group claimed it made a major breakthrough in theBattle of Soledar.[1] Wagner'smercenaries, not being subject to the Russian Defense Ministry, didn’t have to observe and did not commit to the ceasefire.[1]

End

[edit]

Just after the unilaterally declared ceasefire expired at midnight Moscow Time in the early minutes of Sunday 8 January (just after Saturday 23:00, 7 January Kyiv Time), residents of Kramatorsk heard missile strikes near two college dormitories.[18] Russian officials claimed that about 600 Ukrainian soldiers temporarily housed there were killed in retaliation for theMakiivka military quarters shelling on New Year's Eve, but Reuters journalists observed that the missiles barely did any damage to the buildings, there were no signs of casualties (with the mayor of Kramatorsk also saying there had been no casualties), let alone that Ukrainian soldiers were housed in the dormitories at the time.[18] A Ukrainian military spokesperson said the strike was an attempt by the Russian defence ministry to show it was capable of exacting heavy revenge for Makiivka.[18]

Reactions

[edit]

Ukraine

[edit]

The Ukrainian President's Office called Patriarch Kirill's earlier request for a ceasefire a "cynical trap and an element of propaganda". Ukrainian Presidential AdvisorMykhailo Podolyak said that theRussian Orthodox Church is not an authority for Eastern Orthodox believers worldwide and that he is "acting as a war propagandist", including by calling for "the genocide of Ukrainians".[4]

Secretary of theNational Security and Defense Council of UkraineOleksiy Danilov said that Ukraine would not negotiate with the Russian Federation on a Christmas truce. "Let's talk practical language. To whom are they offering this truce? To yourself?" Danilov said, offering the Russian troops a "simple solution" - to "pick up their suitcases" and go home. "No negotiations with them ... This priest came up with some kind of date. It has nothing to do with us. This is our land. We on our land will do what we consider necessary", he added.[14]

Ukrainian presidentVolodymyr Zelenskyy claimed that Russia would be using "the so-called truce" to stop the advance of theArmed Forces of Ukrainein the east.[19] In an evening video message Zelenskyy claimed that "in order to end the war faster" instead of a temporary truce "something completely opposite is needed" and that being "Russian citizens to find the courage to free themselves from their shameful fear of one person in theKremlin".[20]

Russia

[edit]

Actinghead of theDonetsk People's Republic,Denis Pushilin, said that it was only about a ceasefire. "The decision concerns a ceasefire or offensive action on our part. But this does not mean that we will not respond to the provocations of the enemy", he stressed.[14][21]

Russian pro-war milbloggers such asTelegram channels criticized the ceasefire initiative.[14][21]Igor Girkin ("Strelkov") called the ceasefire "a bold and decisive step towards defeat and surrender" for Russian forces, and alleged that Russian leadership had not learnt from the results of previous truces in the preceding 8 years.[21] The Rybar Telegram channel, which has over a million subscribers, wrote, "Maybe it’s enough to cast pearls in front of pigs? They still don't appreciate it." Yuri Kotenok and Roman Saponkov noted that the ceasefire regime is unilateral, will not be respected and looks like "defeatism". The Military Informant channel linked the ceasefire announcement to the conversation between Vladimir Putin andRecep Tayyip Erdoğan: "Apparently, the proposal received today from Erdogan’s respected and purely neutral partner turned out to be too tempting not to make another goodwill gesture".[14]

On the other hand, many pro-Russian commentators claimed the ceasefire initiative confirmed Putin to be 'a protector of religious values and morals', with former prime ministerDmitry Medvedev saying Putin offered "the hand to Christian mercy" to Ukraine, but because Ukraine lacked faith, it had rejected Putin's offer.[21] A pro-Russian Chechen commander took the opportunity to praise Putin's Christmas ceasefire initiative as an action of a "true believing Christian", adding a statement aboutJesus' prophethood in Islam, and accusing Ukraine of "Satanism" for rejecting the truce.[21] TheInstitute for the Study of War regarded this message as 'part of a specific and long-running Kremlin information operation that seeks to cater to various religious minority groups in the Russian Armed Forces by framing Ukraine as an immoral enemy whose lack of faith (...) offends Christians and Muslims alike.'[21]

Others

[edit]

U.S. presidentJoe Biden stated that the truce proposal was merely a "breather" for Russian forces and a chance for them to reform. Asked by journalists to comment on Putin's initiative, he noted that Russiacontinued to bomb Ukrainian "hospitals, kindergartens and churches" onChristmas day 2022 ("on the 25th") and New Year. "I think he [Putin] is trying to take a breath of air", Biden added.[22]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcde"After Soledar With the capture of a Ukrainian mining town, Evgeny Prigozhin's Wagner Group has a fine prize for Putin. But what's next?".Meduza. 14 January 2023. Retrieved16 January 2023.
  2. ^abc"What is Russia's Wagner Group of mercenaries in Ukraine?".BBC News. 14 January 2023. Retrieved16 January 2023.
  3. ^ab"Russian patriarch calls for Orthodox Christmas truce in Ukraine".Reuters. 5 January 2023. Retrieved5 January 2023.
  4. ^abc"Putin instructs Russian Defense Minister to declare ceasefire for Orthodox Christmas".Meduza. Retrieved5 January 2023.
  5. ^"Putin Orders a Surprise 36-Hour Cease-Fire for Orthodox Christmas".Bloomberg.com. 5 January 2023. Retrieved5 January 2023.
  6. ^abcdAlexandra Fouché (7 January 2023)."Ukraine war: Russians accused of opening fire despite Putin's unilateral truce".BBC News. Retrieved8 January 2023.We are two and a half hours into this proclaimed ceasefire, and actually the whole territory of Ukraine is under air raid alert. So I think that speaks for itself," Ukrainian MP Inna Sovsun told the BBC. "Basically the ceasefire, the Russians are making it up.
  7. ^ab"Zelensky's office criticizes Orthodox Patriarch Kirill's Christmas truce proposal".Meduza. Retrieved5 January 2023.
  8. ^"Putin has ordered a "Christmas truce" which may be a "cynical trap," Ukrainian officials warned (updated)".Euromaidan Press. 5 January 2023.
  9. ^"Ukraine rejects Vladimir Putin's call for Orthodox Christmas truce".ABC News. 5 January 2023. Retrieved5 January 2023.
  10. ^"Russia's war on Ukraine latest: Ukraine spurns Putin's Christmas truce".Reuters. 5 January 2023. Retrieved5 January 2023.
  11. ^"Little Let-up in Fighting as Ukraine, Russia Mark Orthodox Christmas".The Moscow Times. 7 January 2023.
  12. ^"Christmas comes early: Ukrainian church allows December 25 celebrations for first time".Politico. 25 December 2022. Retrieved27 May 2022.
  13. ^"Resolution of the Council of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church of May 27, 2022".Ukrainian Orthodox Church (Moscow Patrirachate) (in Ukrainian). 27 May 2022. Retrieved27 May 2022.
    "Ukraine's Moscow-backed Orthodox church says cuts ties with Russia".Alarabiya News. 27 May 2022. Retrieved27 May 2022.
    "Война в Украине и религия" [War in Ukraine and Religion] (in Russian).Voice of America. 5 October 2022. Retrieved5 October 2022.
  14. ^abcde"Путин поручил российской армии прекратить огонь в Украине на Рождество — якобы чтобы верующие сходили в церковь В офисе Зеленского отреагировали словами "Лицемерие оставьте себе"".Meduza (in Russian). Retrieved5 January 2023.
  15. ^abcdeHerbert Villarraga (6 January 2023)."Shells fly at Ukraine front despite Putin's truce".Reuters. Retrieved8 January 2023.
  16. ^abc"'Minstens drie doden in Oekraïne tijdens staakt-het-vuren'" [At least three killed in Ukraine during ceasefire].NOS.nl (in Dutch). Retrieved8 January 2023.Ondanks het veronderstelde staakt-het-vuren van het Kremlin tijdens de orthodoxe Kerst zijn in Oekraïne ten minste drie mensen omgekomen en veertien gewond geraakt. Dat melden Oekraïense autoriteiten. In ten minste zeven regio's in het oosten en zuiden van Oekraïne zijn de afgelopen 24 uur aanvallen gemeld.
  17. ^Emma Graham-Harrison (7 January 2023)."Russia launches strikes in Ukraine in violation of self-declared ceasefire".the Guardian. Retrieved8 January 2023.Russia has launched attacks across Ukraine, killing at least two civilians, in violation of a unilateral, self-declared ceasefire for the Orthodox celebration of Christmas on Saturday.
  18. ^abcVladyslav Smilianets (8 January 2023)."No sign of casualties after Russia claims revenge attack on Ukrainian soldiers".Reuters. Retrieved10 January 2023.
  19. ^Tetiana Lozovenko (5 January 2023)."Putin wants to use Christmas as a cover to stop the Ukrainian Armed Forces – Zelenskyy".Ukrainska Pravda. Retrieved5 January 2023.
  20. ^Tetiana Lozovenko (5 January 2023)."Zelenskyy to Russians: Free yourself from fear of one person at least for Christmas".Ukrainska Pravda. Retrieved5 January 2023.
  21. ^abcdefKarolina Hird, Riley Bailey, Layne Philipson, George Barros, and Frederick W. Kagan (6 January 2023)."Institute for the Study of War". Retrieved8 January 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  22. ^"Biden says Putin trying to find 'oxygen' with truce proposal".Reuters. 5 January 2023. Retrieved5 January 2023.
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