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2023 Rockingham state by-election

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Election in Western Australia

2023 Rockingham state by-election

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29 July 2023
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Electoral district of Rockingham in the
Western Australian Legislative Assembly
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
IND
CandidateMagenta MarshallPeter HudsonHayley Edwards
PartyLaborLiberalIndependent
Popular vote10,7913,8683,488
Percentage49.33%17.73%15.95%
SwingDecrease 33.42Increase 7.91Increase 15.95
TCP61.3738.63%
TCP swingDecrease 26.35Increase 38.63

Map showing the location of the electoral district of Rockingham (dark green) in metropolitan Perth, Western Australia

MP before election

Mark McGowan
Labor

Elected MP

Magenta Marshall
Labor

Aby-election for theelectoral district of Rockingham inWestern Australia was held on 29 July 2023, following the resignation ofPremier and sittingLabor MPMark McGowan, on 8 June 2023.[1][2] Thewrit was issued on the same day.[3]

The two major party candidates for the election wereMagenta Marshall for theAustralian Labor Party and Peter Hudson for theLiberal Party. Additionally,Hayley Edwards the Deputy Mayor of theCity of Rockingham also announced her candidacy.[4] TheGreens preselected Madeleine De Jong. There were nine candidates for the seat.[5] Notably, both major parties preselected candidates under the age of 30.[6]

The election was called for Labor at 7:30pm AWST, with Marshall claiming victory for the Labor Party. However, Labor suffered one of the biggest swings against it at a by-election in the state's history: with a swing against them of 33.4% in the primary vote and a swing against of 22.5% in thetwo-party-preferred vote.[7]

Background

[edit]

Resignation of Mark McGowan

[edit]

On 29 May 2023, McGowan announced that he was resigning asPremier of Western Australia and the MLA for Rockingham, a seat he had held since 1996. He stated that the job was "relentless" and that he no longer had the "energy or drive to continue". Reflecting on his political career, McGowan thanked voters ofWestern Australia who had "provided [him] with the opportunity of a lifetime." McGowan led Labor to government for the first time since 2008 in 2017.[8]

Seat details

[edit]

The electoral district of Rockingham was first contested at the1974 Western Australian state election and has been held by theAustralian Labor Party since its inception. Previous member Mike Barnett held the district from the beginning until his retirement at the1996 election where he was succeeded by McGowan. Barring the elections in 1974 and 1977, Rockingham has been a consistently safe electorate for Labor with the smallest margin being 0.9 per cent of thetwo-party-preferred vote (TPP) in its first election. At the2021 Western Australian state election, McGowan received a TPP of 87.7% - one of the highest margins in both federal and state elections in Australia.

Geographically, the district encompasses theCity of Rockingham and its surrounding areas. Located 47 km south-southwest of the Perth CBD by the coast near theCockburn Sound inlet. The district is adjacent to several maritime and resource-industry installations and offshore is home to Australia's largest naval fleet and submarine base atGarden Island. According to the2021 Census, the median age of Rockingham is 45 with a weekly median household income of $1,273 per week. 20.5 per cent of residents are currently engaged in secondary education and 17.7 per cent in tertiary education.[9]

Two-party-preferred vote in Rockingham, 1996–2021
Election1996200120052008201320172021
 Labor57.50%65.6%62.30%60.60%63.20%73.40%87.70%
 Liberal42.50%34.4%37.70%39.40%36.80%26.60%12.30%
GovernmentLIBALPALPLIBLIBALPALP

Candidates

[edit]
PartyCandidateBackground
LaborMagenta MarshallLabor campaign strategist.[10]
Legalise CannabisRae CottamCity of Rockingham councillor.[11]
LiberalPeter HudsonResources sector recruitment consultant; candidate forBrand at the2022 federal election.[6]
Janetia KnappCandidate forFremantle at the 2022 federal election. Endorsed by the unregisteredWestern Australia Party.
GreensMadeleine De JongFormer staffer toJordon Steele-John.
IndependentClive GalletlyMassage therapist.
IndependentHayley EdwardsDeputy Mayor of Rockingham.[12] She was formerly affiliated with theLabor Party.
AustralianChristiansMike Crichton[13]Candidate for theSenate at the 2022 federal election.
IndependentPeter DunneCandidate at the2022 North West Central state by-election.

Preselection

[edit]

Labor

[edit]

On 14 June, it was confirmed that Labor strategist Magenta Marshall has been preselected for Labor to run as the party's candidate in Rockingham.[10]

Liberal

[edit]

On 13 June, the Liberal Party announced that the party would contest the by-election.[14]

On 18 June, it was reported that 21-year-old Peter Hudson will be the party's candidate. He was the only person to nominate for preselection.[6]

2021 election results

[edit]
This section is an excerpt fromResults of the 2021 Western Australian state election (Legislative Assembly) § Rockingham.[edit]
2021 Western Australian state election:Rockingham[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LaborMark McGowan19,66182.8+21.3
LiberalMichael McClure2,3229.8−7.9
GreensBreanna Morgan7533.2−4.0
One NationGeoff George4892.1−6.6
No Mandatory VaccinationTom Hawkins3831.6+1.6
Liberal DemocratsWilliam Lofts1510.6+0.6
Total formal votes23,75996.7+1.1
Informal votes8013.3−1.1
Turnout24,56083.9−1.2
Two-party-preferred result
LaborMark McGowan20,83687.7+14.2
LiberalMichael McClure2,91612.3−14.2
LaborholdSwing+14.2

Results

[edit]
2023 Rockingham state by-election[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LaborMagenta Marshall10,79149.33−33.42
LiberalPeter Hudson3,86817.73+7.91
IndependentHayley Edwards3,48815.95+15.95
Legalise CannabisRae Cottam1,4876.80+6.80
GreensMadeleine De Jong1,0814.94+1.77
ChristiansMike Crichton5342.44+2.44
Western AustraliaJanetia Knapp2621.20+1.20
IndependentClive Gallety1930.88+0.88
IndependentPeter Dunne1700.78+0.78
Total formal votes21,87497.20+0.46
Informal votes6302.80−0.46
Turnout22,50474.48−9.46
Notionaltwo-party-preferred count
LaborMagenta Marshall13,97865.20−22.52
LiberalPeter Hudson7,46134.80+22.52
Two-candidate-preferred result
LaborMagenta Marshall13,41261.37−26.35
IndependentHayley Edwards8,44338.63+38.63
LaborholdSwingN/A

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"'I'm tired, extremely tired': Western Australia Premier Mark McGowan steps down". Nine News. 29 May 2023.
  2. ^Bourke, Keane (8 June 2023)."WA Premier Roger Cook sworn in with new cabinet, forecasting 'remarkable things'".ABC News (Australia).Archived from the original on 9 June 2023. Retrieved9 June 2023.
  3. ^https://www.elections.wa.gov.au/elections/state-elections/2023-rockingham-election
  4. ^"High-profile independent joins race for Rockingham".The West Australian. 20 June 2023. Retrieved22 June 2023.
  5. ^Cross, Hannah (5 July 2023)."Independents hope to make a dent in margin as Rockingham by-election candidates ready for July 29 vote".The West Australian.
  6. ^abc"Liberals set to unveil candidate to run for McGowan's seat".The West Australian. 18 June 2023. Retrieved12 October 2023.
  7. ^"WA Labor retains former premier Mark McGowan's seat of Rockingham".ABC News. 29 July 2023. Retrieved12 October 2023.
  8. ^Shepherd, Tory (29 May 2023)."Mark McGowan resigns as premier of Western Australia, saying he is 'exhausted'".The Guardian.ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved17 June 2023.
  9. ^"2021 Rockingham (South Metropolitan), Census All persons QuickStats | Australian Bureau of Statistics".www.abs.gov.au. Retrieved17 June 2023.
  10. ^abZimmerman, Josh (14 June 2023)."Labor strategist Magenta Marshall confirmed as party's candidate to replace Mark McGowan in Rockingham".The West Australian. Retrieved28 June 2023.
  11. ^"Rockingham councillor announced as Legalise Cannabis Party candidate for by-election".97.3 Coast FM. Retrieved12 October 2023.
  12. ^"High-profile independent joins race for Rockingham".The West Australian. 20 June 2023. Retrieved12 October 2023.
  13. ^"Rockingham by-election 2023 | Western Australia - Australian Christians".australianchristians.org.au. 23 June 2023. Retrieved28 June 2023.
  14. ^"Liberals to contest McGowan's Rockingham seat in by-election".The West Australian. 13 June 2023. Retrieved12 October 2023.
  15. ^2021 State General Election – Rockingham District Results, WAEC
  16. ^State By-elections – 2023 Rockingham By-election, Western Australian Electoral Commission

External links

[edit]
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