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2022 United States Senate election in Oregon

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2022 United States Senate election in Oregon
← 2016
November 8, 2022
2028 →
Turnout66.91%Decrease
 
NomineeRon WydenJo Rae Perkins
PartyDemocraticRepublican
AllianceIndependent PartyConstitution
Popular vote1,076,424788,991
Percentage55.83%40.92%
County results
Congressional district results
Wyden:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Perkins:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Ron Wyden
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ron Wyden
Democratic

Elections in Oregon
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List of Oregon ballot measures

The2022 United States Senate election in Oregon was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent thestate ofOregon.[1] IncumbentDemocratic U.S. SenatorRon Wyden, who was first elected in a1996 special election, ran for a fifth full term.[2]Jo Rae Perkins, who unsuccessfully ran for Oregon's other Senate seat in2020, won theRepublican primary with 33.3% of the vote.[3] The four candidates filing with the Oregon Secretary of State for this election included Chris Henry of theOregon Progressive Party and Dan Pulju of thePacific Green Party.[4]

Wyden ultimately won the election with 55.8% of the statewide vote. This was the first time since 1996 that none of the following counties went Democratic in a Senate Class III election:Gilliam,Jackson,Marion,Polk,Wasco, andYamhill. It was also the first timeColumbia County supported the Republican nominee in this seat since1986.[5]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Will Barlow, former Electrical and Elevator Board member[6][7]
  • Brent Thompson[8]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ron Wyden

Organizations

Unions

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Wyden
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRon Wyden (incumbent)439,66589.38%
DemocraticWilliam E. Barlow III35,0257.12%
DemocraticBrent Thompson17,1973.50%
Total votes491,887100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jo Rae Perkins

Individuals

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Perkins
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Harbick
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   50–60%
  Palmer
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Beebe
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJo Rae Perkins115,70133.32%
RepublicanDarin Harbick107,50630.96%
RepublicanSam Palmer42,70312.30%
RepublicanJason Beebe39,45611.36%
RepublicanChristopher C. Christensen28,4338.19%
RepublicanRobert M. Fleming6,8211.96%
RepublicanIbra A. Taher6,6591.92%
Total votes347,279100.0%

Libertarian primary

[edit]

The Libertarian primary was held on June 17, 2022, a month after the major party primaries.

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • John R Newton, brewer[27]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Pacific Green Party

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[32]Solid DNovember 19, 2021
Inside Elections[33]Solid DJanuary 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34]Safe DNovember 3, 2021
Politico[35]Solid DJune 8, 2022
RCP[36]Safe DJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News[37]Solid DMay 12, 2022
DDHQ[38]Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538[39]Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist[40]Safe DSeptember 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Ron Wyden (D)

Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Ron
Wyden (D)		Jo Rae
Perkins (R)		OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D)[51]November 1–6, 20221,393 (LV)± 3.0%56%42%2%[b]–
Emerson College[52]October 31 – November 1, 2022975 (LV)± 3.1%51%34%7%[c]8%
Data for Progress (D)[53]October 16–18, 20221,021 (LV)± 3.0%51%40%3%[d]7%
Civiqs[54]October 15–18, 2022804 (LV)± 4.3%55%38%5%[e]2%
Emerson College[55]September 29 – October 1, 2022796 (LV)± 3.4%51%32%8%[f]9%

Results

[edit]
2022 United States Senate election in Oregon[56]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticRon Wyden (incumbent)1,076,42455.83%−0.77%
RepublicanJo Rae Perkins788,99140.92%+7.57%
ProgressiveChris Henry36,8831.91%N/A
Pacific GreenDan Pulju23,4541.22%−1.28%
Write-in2,1970.11%+0.01%
Total votes1,927,949100.00%N/A
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
By county
County[56]Ron Wyden
Democratic		Jo Rae Perkins
Republican		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%
Baker2,53129.345,90268.421932.24-3,371-39.088,626
Benton29,95366.3813,40729.711,7663.9116,54636.6745,126
Clackamas112,38752.9094,23244.365,8292.7418,1558.55212,448
Clatsop11,14956.068,13540.906053.043,01415.1519,889
Columbia11,81043.7514,22152.689653.57-2,411-8.9326,996
Coos12,56040.3717,59556.569553.07-5,035-16.1831,110
Crook3,73026.839,89971.212731.96-6,169-44.3713,902
Curry5,22041.417,04955.923372.67-1,829-14.5112,606
Deschutes57,86553.6346,88643.463,1422.9110,97910.18107,893
Douglas16,93532.0534,52365.331,3822.62-17,588-33.2952,840
Gilliam33934.5962663.88151.53-287-29.29980
Grant1,06625.912,93571.341132.75-1,869-45.434,114
Harney97225.962,68371.66892.38-1,711-45.703,744
Hood River7,00265.273,37731.483483.243,62533.7910,727
Jackson48,07146.3752,71450.852,8792.78-4,643-4.48103,664
Jefferson3,59736.336,08361.442202.22-2,486-25.119,900
Josephine15,39636.2425,94861.081,1382.68-10,552-24.8442,482
Klamath8,91829.9720,08867.507552.54-11,170-37.5329,761
Lake85821.732,99975.96912.30-2,141-54.233,948
Lane110,57760.7465,60636.045,8703.2244,97124.70182,053
Lincoln15,28358.5110,01138.338263.165,27220.1826,120
Linn22,04136.2836,74060.481,9713.24-14,699-24.2060,752
Malheur2,33625.786,46971.382582.85-4,133-45.609,063
Marion60,61446.4565,60650.274,2763.28-4,992-3.83130,496
Morrow1,15928.682,78668.94962.38-1,627-40.264,041
Multnomah286,16778.8462,32417.1714,4623.98223,84361.67362,953
Polk18,92046.2020,74650.651,2903.15-1,826-4.4640,956
Sherman25324.8575474.07111.08-501-49.211,018
Tillamook7,17649.646,90947.793722.572671.8514,457
Umatilla7,71831.0716,50266.446182.49-8,784-35.3724,838
Union3,90231.508,21666.322702.18-4,314-34.8212,388
Wallowa1,52133.522,91764.29992.18-1,396-30.774,537
Wasco5,38247.655,56249.243513.11-180-1.5911,295
Washington160,85863.5783,14632.869,0553.5877,71230.71253,059
Wheeler23729.3754667.66242.97-309-38.29807
Yamhill21,92145.3324,84951.381,5903.29-2,928-6.0548,360
Totals1,076,42455.83788,99140.9262,5343.24287,43314.911,927,949

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Margin swing by county
Legend
  •   Republican — >15%
  •   Republican — +12.5–15%
  •   Republican — +10−12.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5–10%
  •   Republican — +5−7.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5−5%
  •   Democratic — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5−5%
County flips
Legend

  • Democratic

      Hold

    Republican

      Hold
      Gain from Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Wyden won five of six congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[57]

DistrictWydenPerkinsRepresentative
1st66.4%29.9%Suzanne Bonamici
2nd37.1%60.3%Cliff Bentz
3rd71.3%24.9%Earl Blumenauer
4th55.3%41.5%Peter DeFazio (117th Congress)
Val Hoyle (118th Congress)
5th52.4%44.6%Kurt Schrader (117th Congress)
Lori Chavez-DeRemer (118th Congress)
6th53.1%43.6%Andrea Salinas

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Henry (P) with 1%; Pulju (PG) with 1%
  3. ^Henry (P) with 3%; Pulju (PG) with 2%; "Someone else" with 3%
  4. ^Henry (P) with 2%; Pulju (PG) with 1%
  5. ^"Someone else" with 5%
  6. ^"Someone else" with 8%

References

[edit]
  1. ^"United States Senate election in Oregon, 2022".Ballotpedia. RetrievedSeptember 11, 2020.
  2. ^abLigori, Crystal (January 2, 2021)."US Sen. Ron Wyden will seek reelection in 2022".Oregon Public Broadcasting.Archived from the original on June 20, 2021. RetrievedMarch 2, 2021.
  3. ^"Oregon Primary Election Results".The New York Times. May 17, 2022.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedSeptember 29, 2022.
  4. ^Oregon SOS Candidate Filing Search, October 12, 2022
  5. ^"Wyden wins reelection, will return for 5th full Senate term".KOIN.com. November 8, 2022. RetrievedNovember 9, 2022.
  6. ^"BARLOW, WILLIAM EDWARD MR. III - Candidate overview".FEC.gov. RetrievedSeptember 13, 2021.
  7. ^ab"Oregon 2021 General Election".www.thegreenpapers.com. RetrievedSeptember 13, 2021.
  8. ^abcde"Candidates for 2022 Primary Election". Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedMarch 5, 2022.
  9. ^"2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements".feministmajoritypac.org. RetrievedApril 9, 2022.
  10. ^"Giffords PAC Endorses Ron Wyden for Reelection to the US Senate".www.giffords.org.Giffords. March 4, 2022.
  11. ^"Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements".www.jewishdems.org. November 30, 2021. RetrievedDecember 11, 2021.
  12. ^Courtnee Connon (June 10, 2021)."LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of U.S. Senate Endorsements in the 2022 Election Cycle".League of Conservation Voters.
  13. ^Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022)."NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections".Natural Resources Defense Council. RetrievedMarch 15, 2022.
  14. ^"2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived fromthe original on July 2, 2022. RetrievedApril 21, 2022.
  15. ^"Endorsed Candidates".proisraelamerica.org. Archived fromthe original on December 20, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 22, 2022.
  16. ^"Sierra Club Endorsements".
  17. ^"OEA-PAC Endorsed Candidates". RetrievedJuly 7, 2022.
  18. ^"2022 Primary Election Endorsements".seiu-oregon.org.
  19. ^ab"May 17, 2022, Primary Election Abstract of Votes"(PDF).Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 12, 2022.
  20. ^Day, Jim (November 13, 2020)."Perkins plans another run for Senate".Corvallis Gazette-Times.Archived from the original on December 16, 2020. RetrievedJune 20, 2021.
  21. ^"Prineville Mayor Jason Beebe announces bid to unseat Senator Ron Wyden".KTVZ. July 27, 2021. RetrievedAugust 14, 2021.
  22. ^"FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1536812".docquery.fec.gov. RetrievedSeptember 13, 2021.
  23. ^"PALMER, SAMUEL - Candidate overview".FEC.gov. RetrievedSeptember 13, 2021.
  24. ^"Taher to Run for US Senate as Republican".northwestobserver.com. RetrievedDecember 31, 2021.
  25. ^Fordham, Evie (May 2, 2021)."Oregon veteran who thwarted Paris train attack to run again to unseat Democrat DeFazio".Fox News. RetrievedMay 2, 2021.
  26. ^"Endorsements - Jo Rae Perkins for US Senate". June 13, 2022.
  27. ^"Libertarian Party of Oregon, Primary Election Results". March 11, 2022.
  28. ^"VERDE, THOMAS X TXV - Candidate overview".FEC.gov. RetrievedSeptember 13, 2021.
  29. ^"Thomas Verde".Ballotpedia. RetrievedSeptember 13, 2021.
  30. ^"Pulju, Dan - Candidate overview".FEC.gov. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2022.
  31. ^"Dan Pulju". RetrievedSeptember 30, 2022.
  32. ^"2022 Senate Race ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2021.
  33. ^"Senate ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2021.
  34. ^"2022 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedJanuary 28, 2021.
  35. ^"Oregon Senate Race 2022".Politico. April 1, 2022.
  36. ^"Battle for the Senate 2022".RCP. January 10, 2022.
  37. ^"2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. RetrievedMay 12, 2022.
  38. ^"2022 Election Forecast".DDHQ. July 20, 2022. RetrievedJuly 20, 2022.
  39. ^"2022 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived fromthe original on June 30, 2022. RetrievedJune 30, 2022.
  40. ^"The Economist's 2022 Senate Election forecast".The Economist. September 18, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2022.
  41. ^"Biden In Portland Touts Senator Wyden Who Is Running For Re-election".thepavlovictoday.com. October 15, 2022. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022.
  42. ^"Sen. Bernie Sanders visits Oregon to campaign for Democrats ahead of midterms". October 27, 2022.
  43. ^"Former U.S. Sen. Gordon Smith Endorses Ron Wyden in Senate Race".northeastoregonnow.com. October 4, 2022. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022.
  44. ^"AIPAC PAC Featured Candidates".AIPAC PAC.
  45. ^"The Mother PAC's Endorsements for Oregon's November 8, 2022 General Election".motherpac.org. May 4, 2022. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022.
  46. ^"Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates".
  47. ^"2022 OREGON AFL-CIO ENDORSEMENTS".oraflcio.org. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022.
  48. ^"OUR 2022 ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS: SHORT AND SURPRISING".The Corvallis Advocate. October 22, 2022. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022.
  49. ^"Return Wyden for another term".newsregister.com. October 15, 2022. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022.
  50. ^"Our opinion: Ron Wyden is an easy choice for voters".pamplinmedia.com. October 17, 2022. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022.
  51. ^Data for Progress (D)
  52. ^Emerson College
  53. ^Data for Progress (D)
  54. ^Civiqs
  55. ^Emerson College
  56. ^abFagan, Shemia (November 8, 2022)."November 8, 2022, General Election Abstract of Votes".Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2026.
  57. ^Oregon 2022-11-08 results by district (@elium2).docs.google.com (Report).

External links

[edit]

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