 | |||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 52.32% ( 16.1) | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Congressional district results Precinct resultsVance: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ryan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The2022 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of Ohio.Republican writer and venture capitalistJD Vance defeatedDemocratic U.S. RepresentativeTim Ryan to succeed retiring incumbent RepublicanRob Portman.[1]
Vance won by a 6.1 point margin, which was significantly closer than all otherconcurrently held elections for statewide offices in Ohio won by Republicans, but fairly consistent with polling for the election.[2][3] Despite his defeat, Ryan flipped four counties carried by Portman in re-election in 2016:Summit,Montgomery,Hamilton, andLorain, the latter of which Trump won in 2020; however, Vance scored wins in Ryan's home county ofTrumbull and the industrial-basedMahoning County that contains much of Youngstown. Both counties were represented by Ryan in his congressional district.
Vance was endorsed byDonald Trump and became the only candidate in the seven statewide general election races funded by Trump'sPAC to win.[4] In 2025, Vance resigned from the Senate to become the 50thvice president of the United States under Trump.
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 1,069,826 votes | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
 Results by county: Vance
Mandel
Dolan
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
As a result of Portman's retirement, this primary was expected to be one of the most competitive in the nation. Due to his high approval ratings within the Republican Party, most of the candidates sought the endorsement of then-former presidentDonald Trump. Former state treasurerJosh Mandel, who had been the Republican nominee for Senate in2012, led most polls until late January, when businessman Mike Gibbons surged after spending millions in TV ads.[5] At a forum in March 2022, Gibbons and Mandel got into a forceful argument over Mandel's private sector experience. The debate moderator intervened after it was feared that the two candidates would come to blows.[6] On April 9, Gibbons said that middle-class Americans don't pay enough in income taxes, which immediately led to his poll numbers plummeting. On April 15, Trump endorsed writer and commentatorJD Vance, who had criticized him in the past.[7][8]
Vance had been trailing in the polls, but as a result of Trump's support, he surged to become the race's frontrunner for the first time and led in most polls up to election day. Meanwhile, State SenatorMatt Dolan, who disavowed Trump's claims of voter fraud in the2020 United States presidential election, saw a late surge after buying ad time.[9] Vance won with 32% of the vote with Mandel in second and Dolan in a close third. The primary was considered by many as a test of Trump's influence over theRepublican Party as he won Ohio by 8 points in2020.[10] The primary was also the most expensive in the state's history, with the candidates spending a combined $66 million throughout the campaign.[11]
U.S. governors
State officials
State senators
State representatives
Newspapers and other media
Organizations
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State senators
Individuals
Organizations
Executive branch officials
U.S. Ambassadors
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Organizations
Executive branch officials
U.S. governors
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
U.S. Presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Individuals
Newspapers and other media
Organizations
Executive branch officials
U.S. Ambassadors
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Organizations
 | This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension. |
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Matt Dolan | Mike Gibbons | Josh Mandel | Jane Timken | JD Vance | Other [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[100] | April 28 – May 1, 2022 | May 2, 2022 | 21.5% | 15.0% | 22.5% | 7.0% | 26.0% | 8.0% | Vance +3.5 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Matt Dolan | Mike Gibbons | Josh Mandel | Bernie Moreno | Jane Timken | Mike Turner | JD Vance | Other | Undecided | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[101] | April 29 – May 1, 2022 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 13% | 21% | – | 6% | – | 26% | 4%[c] | 9% | ||||||
| Emerson College[102] | April 28–29, 2022 | 885 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 18% | 14% | 22% | – | 7% | – | 24% | 4%[d] | 11% | ||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[103][A] | April 25–26, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 12% | 12% | 19% | – | 8% | – | 31% | 0% | 17% | ||||||
| Blueprint Polling (D)[104] | April 21–24, 2022 | 634 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 18% | 13% | 12% | – | 7% | – | 17% | – | 33% | ||||||
| Fox News[105] | April 20–24, 2022 | 906 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 11% | 13% | 18% | – | 6% | – | 23% | 2%[e] | 25% | ||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[106][A] | April 18–19, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | – | 11% | – | 25% | <1% | 23% | ||||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[107] | April 13–14, 2022 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 12% | 14% | 28% | – | 8% | – | 23% | 3%[f] | 13% | ||||||
| Remington Research Group (R)[108][B] | April 11–12, 2022 | 884 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 15% | 17% | 23% | – | 12% | – | 10% | 3% | 20% | ||||||
| Moore Information Group (R)[109][C] | April 3–4, 2022 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 13% | 20% | 16% | – | 15% | – | 10% | – | 26% | ||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[110][A] | March 30–31, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 9% | 18% | 18% | – | 9% | – | 18% | – | 29% | ||||||
| University of Akron[111] | February 17 – March 15, 2022 | – (LV) | – | 5% | 21% | 22% | – | 6% | – | 10% | 4% | 34% | ||||||
| Fox News[112] | March 2–6, 2022 | 918 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 7% | 22% | 20% | – | 9% | – | 11% | 3%[g] | 24% | ||||||
| Emerson College[113] | February 25–26, 2022 | 410 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 6% | 22% | 15% | – | 6% | – | 8% | 4%[h] | 39% | ||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[114][A] | February 23–24, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 8% | 18% | 14% | – | 12% | – | 14% | – | 34% | ||||||
| Cygnal (R)[115][D] | February 8–10, 2022 | 609 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 6% | 23% | 11% | – | 8% | – | 9% | – | 44% | ||||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[116] | February 8–10, 2022 | 1,085 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 10% | 16% | 21% | – | 10% | – | 14% | 3% | 25% | ||||||
| co/efficient (R)[117] | February 6–8, 2022 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 7% | 20% | 18% | – | 6% | – | 5% | 10%[i] | 34% | ||||||
| February 3, 2022 | Moreno withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||||
| WPA Intelligence (R)[118][B] | January 30 – February 1, 2022 | 514 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 5% | 17% | 28% | 6% | 9% | – | 13% | – | 22% | ||||||
| Cygnal (R)[119][D] | January 28–30, 2022 | 929 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 3% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 8% | – | 10% | – | 45% | ||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[120][A] | January 18–20, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 3% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 13% | – | 9% | 1% | 34% | ||||||
| KAConsulting LLC (R)[121][E] | January 11–13, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 3% | 10% | 20% | 10% | 18% | – | 10% | – | 24% | ||||||
| WPA Intelligence (R)[122][F] | January 5–6, 2022 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 4% | 14% | 26% | 7% | 15% | – | 10% | 8% | 16% | ||||||
| Moore Information Group (R)[123][C] | January 3, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 4% | 14% | 18% | 9% | 16% | – | 8% | – | 31% | ||||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[124] | December 12–15, 2021 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 5% | 12% | 21% | 2% | 10% | – | 15% | – | 34% | ||||||
| Moore Information Group (R)[125][C] | November 29, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 4% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 17% | – | 10% | – | 32% | ||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[120][A] | November 21–23, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 7% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 6% | 10% | – | 45% | ||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[126][A] | October 17–18, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 3% | 6% | 19% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 16% | – | 43% | ||||||
| Moore Information Group (R)[125][C] | September 2021 | – (LV) | – | 6% | 12% | 22% | 3% | 11% | – | 9% | – | 37% | ||||||
| WPA Intelligence (R)[127][B] | September 20–23, 2021 | 510 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 3% | 8% | 37% | 1% | 6% | – | 13% | 6% | 26% | ||||||
| Remington Research Group (R)[128][B] | September 6–7, 2021 | 980 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 2% | 5% | 34% | 2% | 11% | – | 16% | – | 30% | ||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[120][A] | August 17–19, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 2% | 4% | 19% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 13% | – | 51% | ||||||
| WPA Intelligence (R)[129][F] | July 27–29, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 3% | 40% | 1% | 8% | – | 12% | 13% | 20% | ||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[130][A] | July 20–22, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1% | 2% | 21% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 12% | – | 48% | ||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[130][A] | June 15–17, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 2% | 2% | 22% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 4% | – | 55% | ||||||
| Remington Research Group (R)[131][B] | June 1–3, 2021 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 2% | 5% | 35% | 2% | 16% | – | 6% | – | 34% | ||||||
| Moore Information Group (R)[132][C] | May 26, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 7% | 24% | 1% | 19% | 8% | 4% | – | 35% | ||||||
| Moore Information Group (R)[132][C] | April 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 1% | 23% | 1% | 14% | 7% | 4% | – | 37% | ||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[130][A] | April 20–22, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | 2% | 25% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 6% | – | 51% | ||||||
| Moore Information Group (R)[132][C] | March 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 2% | 28% | – | 11% | 7% | 2% | – | 37% | ||||||
| Moore Information Group (R)[132][C] | February 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 2% | 20% | – | 5% | 8% | – | – | 50% | ||||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Mike Gibbons | Josh Mandel | Bernie Moreno | Steve Stivers | Jane Timken | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group (R)[131][B] | June 1–3, 2021 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | 45% | – | – | 22% | 33% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[133][G] | February 1–3, 2021 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 38% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 39% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | JD Vance | 344,736 | 32.22% | |
| Republican | Josh Mandel | 255,854 | 23.92% | |
| Republican | Matt Dolan | 249,239 | 23.30% | |
| Republican | Mike Gibbons | 124,653 | 11.65% | |
| Republican | Jane Timken | 62,779 | 5.87% | |
| Republican | Mark Pukita | 22,692 | 2.12% | |
| Republican | Neil Patel | 9,873 | 0.92% | |
| Total votes | 1,069,826 | 100.0% | ||
Source[134]
| JD Vance | Josh Mandel | Matt Dolan | Mike Gibbons | Jane Timken | Mark Pukita | Neil Patel | Margin | Total | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Adams | 1,134 | 36.69% | 867 | 28.05% | 368 | 11.91% | 449 | 14.53% | 198 | 6.41% | 53 | 1.71% | 22 | 0.71% | 267 | 8.64% | 3,091 |
| Allen | 3,346 | 30.09% | 3,970 | 35.70% | 1,737 | 15.62% | 569 | 5.12% | 990 | 8.90% | 430 | 3.87% | 79 | 0.71% | -624 | -5.61% | 11,121 |
| Ashland | 2,197 | 29.22% | 2,190 | 29.13% | 1,368 | 18.19% | 920 | 12.24% | 438 | 5.83% | 295 | 3.92% | 111 | 1.48% | 7 | 0.09% | 7,519 |
| Ashtabula | 3,041 | 34.00% | 2,499 | 27.94% | 1,702 | 19.03% | 951 | 10.63% | 491 | 5.49% | 184 | 2.06% | 75 | 0.84% | 542 | 6.06% | 8,943 |
| Athens | 1,141 | 36.43% | 818 | 26.12% | 573 | 18.30% | 352 | 11.24% | 142 | 4.53% | 45 | 1.44% | 61 | 1.95% | 323 | 10.31% | 3,132 |
| Auglaize | 1,993 | 29.97% | 2,213 | 33.28% | 946 | 14.23% | 690 | 10.38% | 583 | 8.77% | 173 | 2.60% | 51 | 0.77% | -220 | -3.31% | 6,649 |
| Belmont | 2,637 | 39.32% | 2,143 | 31.96% | 677 | 10.10% | 427 | 6.37% | 631 | 9.41% | 117 | 1.74% | 74 | 1.10% | 494 | 7.37% | 6,706 |
| Brown | 1,581 | 36.61% | 1,168 | 27.04% | 557 | 12.90% | 607 | 14.05% | 283 | 6.55% | 94 | 2.18% | 29 | 0.67% | 413 | 9.56% | 4,319 |
| Butler | 11,946 | 36.10% | 7,662 | 23.15% | 7,114 | 21.50% | 3,888 | 11.75% | 1,853 | 5.56% | 346 | 1.05% | 286 | 0.86% | 4,284 | 12.94% | 33,095 |
| Carroll | 1,181 | 31.62% | 1,105 | 29.59% | 535 | 14.32% | 406 | 10.87% | 376 | 10.07% | 92 | 2.46% | 40 | 1.07% | 76 | 2.03% | 3,735 |
| Champaign | 1,933 | 33.42% | 1,554 | 26.87% | 1,107 | 19.14% | 683 | 11.81% | 285 | 4.93% | 154 | 2.66% | 68 | 1.18% | 379 | 6.55% | 5,784 |
| Clark | 4,364 | 29.37% | 3,971 | 26.72% | 3,404 | 22.91% | 1,671 | 11.25% | 847 | 5.70% | 470 | 3.16% | 132 | 0.89% | 393 | 2.64% | 14,859 |
| Clermont | 7,986 | 35.18% | 4,943 | 21.77% | 4,615 | 20.33% | 3,022 | 13.31% | 1,627 | 7.17% | 309 | 1.36% | 199 | 0.88% | 3,043 | 13.40% | 22,701 |
| Clinton | 1,819 | 34.22% | 1,357 | 25.53% | 874 | 16.44% | 779 | 14.66% | 305 | 5.74% | 100 | 1.88% | 81 | 1.52% | 462 | 8.69% | 5,315 |
| Columbiana | 3,783 | 33.32% | 2,148 | 18.92% | 1,858 | 16.37% | 1,638 | 14.43% | 1,301 | 11.46% | 536 | 4.72% | 89 | 0.78% | 1,635 | 14.40% | 11,353 |
| Coshocton | 1,629 | 28.33% | 1,791 | 31.14% | 897 | 15.60% | 890 | 15.48% | 334 | 5.81% | 124 | 2.16% | 86 | 1.50% | -162 | -2.82% | 5,751 |
| Crawford | 1,677 | 29.29% | 1,852 | 32.35% | 891 | 15.56% | 777 | 13.57% | 337 | 5.89% | 134 | 2.34% | 57 | 1.00% | -175 | -3.06% | 5,725 |
| Cuyahoga | 17,056 | 26.05% | 13,774 | 21.04% | 22,710 | 34.69% | 8,559 | 13.07% | 1,958 | 2.99% | 985 | 1.50% | 429 | 0.66% | -5,654 | -8.64% | 65,471 |
| Darke | 2,726 | 28.97% | 2,955 | 31.41% | 1,399 | 14.87% | 1,575 | 16.74% | 466 | 4.95% | 200 | 2.13% | 88 | 0.94% | -229 | -2.43% | 9,409 |
| Defiance | 1,768 | 35.58% | 1,151 | 23.16% | 633 | 12.74% | 723 | 14.55% | 179 | 3.60% | 446 | 8.98% | 69 | 1.39% | 617 | 12.42% | 4,969 |
| Delaware | 9,662 | 35.38% | 5,067 | 18.56% | 8,030 | 29.41% | 2,543 | 9.31% | 1,165 | 4.27% | 381 | 1.40% | 459 | 1.68% | 1,632 | 5.98% | 27,307 |
| Erie | 2,531 | 34.21% | 1,838 | 24.84% | 1,655 | 22.37% | 839 | 11.34% | 297 | 4.01% | 189 | 2.55% | 49 | 0.66% | 693 | 9.37% | 7,398 |
| Fairfield | 6,232 | 35.62% | 3,985 | 22.78% | 4,222 | 24.13% | 1,917 | 10.96% | 677 | 3.87% | 337 | 1.93% | 127 | 0.73% | 2,010 | 11.49% | 17,497 |
| Fayette | 971 | 29.92% | 838 | 25.82% | 633 | 19.51% | 579 | 17.84% | 142 | 4.38% | 40 | 1.23% | 42 | 1.29% | 133 | 4.10% | 3,245 |
| Franklin | 22,336 | 30.89% | 12,335 | 17.06% | 26,610 | 36.80% | 6,130 | 8.48% | 2,869 | 3.97% | 1,210 | 1.67% | 813 | 1.12% | -4,274 | -5.91% | 72,303 |
| Fulton | 2,025 | 30.58% | 1,644 | 24.82% | 1,029 | 15.54% | 1,294 | 19.54% | 383 | 5.78% | 183 | 2.76% | 65 | 0.98% | 381 | 5.75% | 6,623 |
| Gallia | 1,426 | 34.09% | 1,063 | 25.41% | 418 | 9.99% | 338 | 8.08% | 548 | 13.10% | 322 | 7.70% | 68 | 1.63% | 363 | 8.68% | 4,183 |
| Geauga | 4,141 | 25.07% | 3,314 | 20.06% | 6,818 | 41.27% | 1,292 | 7.82% | 573 | 3.47% | 232 | 1.40% | 151 | 0.91% | -2,677 | -16.20% | 16,521 |
| Greene | 6,783 | 31.22% | 5,201 | 23.94% | 5,494 | 25.29% | 2,482 | 11.42% | 1,162 | 5.35% | 410 | 1.89% | 195 | 0.90% | 1,289 | 5.93% | 21,727 |
| Guernsey | 1,245 | 32.52% | 1,153 | 30.11% | 724 | 18.91% | 468 | 12.22% | 128 | 3.34% | 83 | 2.17% | 28 | 0.73% | 92 | 2.40% | 3,829 |
| Hamilton | 17,043 | 30.83% | 10,661 | 19.29% | 15,150 | 27.41% | 6,194 | 11.21% | 5,155 | 9.33% | 523 | 0.95% | 550 | 1.00% | 1,893 | 3.42% | 55,276 |
| Hancock | 2,813 | 28.87% | 2,132 | 21.88% | 2,474 | 25.39% | 1,510 | 15.50% | 434 | 4.45% | 311 | 3.19% | 71 | 0.73% | 339 | 3.48% | 9,745 |
| Hardin | 1,075 | 28.35% | 1,199 | 31.62% | 687 | 18.12% | 487 | 12.84% | 216 | 5.70% | 80 | 2.11% | 48 | 1.27% | -124 | -3.27% | 3,792 |
| Harrison | 644 | 34.08% | 529 | 27.99% | 186 | 9.84% | 189 | 10.00% | 288 | 15.24% | 27 | 1.43% | 27 | 1.43% | 115 | 6.08% | 1,890 |
| Henry | 1,108 | 31.50% | 730 | 20.76% | 617 | 17.54% | 694 | 19.73% | 167 | 4.75% | 173 | 4.92% | 28 | 0.80% | 378 | 10.75% | 3,517 |
| Highland | 1,640 | 37.39% | 1,148 | 26.17% | 620 | 14.14% | 575 | 13.11% | 275 | 6.27% | 80 | 1.82% | 48 | 1.09% | 492 | 11.22% | 4,386 |
| Hocking | 1,067 | 34.90% | 915 | 29.93% | 459 | 15.01% | 376 | 12.30% | 119 | 3.89% | 105 | 3.43% | 16 | 0.52% | 152 | 4.97% | 3,057 |
| Holmes | 1,176 | 34.55% | 1,034 | 30.38% | 495 | 14.54% | 330 | 9.69% | 240 | 7.05% | 110 | 3.23% | 19 | 0.56% | 142 | 4.17% | 3,404 |
| Huron | 1,872 | 31.98% | 1,748 | 29.86% | 1,076 | 18.38% | 701 | 11.97% | 217 | 3.71% | 200 | 3.42% | 40 | 0.68% | 124 | 2.17% | 5,854 |
| Jackson | 1,055 | 40.39% | 596 | 22.82% | 281 | 10.76% | 330 | 12.63% | 281 | 10.76% | 43 | 1.65% | 26 | 1.00% | 459 | 17.57% | 2,612 |
| Jefferson | 2,359 | 38.85% | 1,826 | 30.07% | 567 | 9.34% | 479 | 7.89% | 602 | 9.91% | 200 | 3.29% | 39 | 0.64% | 533 | 8.78% | 6,072 |
| Knox | 2,852 | 35.25% | 2,072 | 25.61% | 1,589 | 19.64% | 1,045 | 12.92% | 271 | 3.35% | 199 | 2.46% | 62 | 0.77% | 780 | 9.64% | 8,090 |
| Lake | 8,474 | 29.99% | 7,076 | 25.05% | 8,201 | 29.03% | 2,722 | 9.63% | 1,161 | 4.11% | 432 | 1.53% | 186 | 0.66% | 273 | 0.97% | 28,252 |
| Lawrence | 2,726 | 41.38% | 1,506 | 22.86% | 681 | 10.34% | 642 | 9.74% | 817 | 12.40% | 87 | 1.32% | 129 | 1.96% | 1,220 | 18.52% | 6,588 |
| Licking | 7,154 | 34.56% | 4,711 | 22.76% | 5,074 | 24.51% | 2,433 | 11.75% | 770 | 3.72% | 418 | 2.02% | 142 | 0.69% | 2,080 | 10.05% | 20,702 |
| Logan | 1,833 | 27.36% | 2,335 | 34.86% | 1,161 | 17.33% | 891 | 13.30% | 303 | 4.52% | 97 | 1.45% | 79 | 1.18% | -502 | -7.49% | 6,699 |
| Lorain | 7,730 | 30.23% | 6,369 | 24.91% | 6,948 | 27.18% | 2,891 | 11.31% | 1,068 | 4.18% | 406 | 1.59% | 155 | 0.61% | 782 | 3.06% | 25,567 |
| Lucas | 7,582 | 35.05% | 4,074 | 18.83% | 4,818 | 22.27% | 3,723 | 17.21% | 784 | 3.62% | 477 | 2.21% | 172 | 0.80% | 2,764 | 12.78% | 21,630 |
| Madison | 1,668 | 32.70% | 1,343 | 26.33% | 1,021 | 20.02% | 646 | 12.66% | 243 | 4.76% | 122 | 2.39% | 58 | 1.14% | 325 | 6.37% | 5,101 |
| Mahoning | 8,067 | 39.38% | 3,549 | 17.33% | 3,556 | 17.36% | 3,424 | 16.72% | 1,408 | 6.87% | 366 | 1.79% | 114 | 0.56% | 4,511 | 22.02% | 20,484 |
| Marion | 2,239 | 32.84% | 1,867 | 27.38% | 1,170 | 17.16% | 931 | 13.66% | 426 | 6.25% | 110 | 1.61% | 75 | 1.10% | 372 | 5.46% | 6,818 |
| Medina | 7,078 | 30.15% | 5,891 | 25.09% | 6,097 | 25.97% | 2,606 | 11.10% | 940 | 4.00% | 693 | 2.95% | 170 | 0.72% | 981 | 4.18% | 23,475 |
| Meigs | 900 | 32.76% | 729 | 26.54% | 257 | 9.36% | 269 | 9.79% | 427 | 15.54% | 100 | 3.64% | 65 | 2.37% | 171 | 6.22% | 2,747 |
| Mercer | 2,454 | 30.47% | 2,697 | 33.48% | 1,132 | 14.05% | 1,032 | 12.81% | 355 | 4.41% | 329 | 4.08% | 56 | 0.70% | -243 | -3.02% | 8,055 |
| Miami | 4,217 | 30.51% | 3,816 | 27.61% | 3,232 | 23.38% | 1,575 | 11.39% | 645 | 4.67% | 216 | 1.56% | 121 | 0.88% | 401 | 2.90% | 13,822 |
| Monroe | 506 | 38.39% | 399 | 30.27% | 96 | 7.28% | 96 | 7.28% | 144 | 10.93% | 59 | 4.48% | 18 | 1.37% | 107 | 8.12% | 1,318 |
| Montgomery | 14,713 | 31.96% | 11,557 | 25.11% | 11,318 | 24.59% | 4,833 | 10.50% | 2,346 | 5.10% | 783 | 1.70% | 481 | 1.04% | 3,156 | 6.86% | 46,031 |
| Morgan | 682 | 30.86% | 681 | 30.81% | 340 | 15.38% | 348 | 15.75% | 90 | 4.07 | 27 | 1.22% | 42 | 1.90% | 1 | 0.05% | 2,210 |
| Morrow | 2,021 | 32.61% | 1,872 | 30.20% | 1,010 | 16.30% | 812 | 13.10% | 250 | 4.03% | 161 | 2.60% | 72 | 1.16% | 149 | 2.40% | 6,198 |
| Muskingum | 2,910 | 33.96% | 2,164 | 25.25% | 1,641 | 19.15% | 927 | 10.82% | 698 | 8.15% | 130 | 1.52% | 99 | 1.16% | 746 | 8.71% | 8,569 |
| Noble | 512 | 33.29% | 450 | 29.26% | 179 | 11.64% | 164 | 10.66% | 155 | 10.08% | 64 | 4.16% | 14 | 0.91% | 62 | 4.03% | 1,538 |
| Ottawa | 1,854 | 34.04% | 1,091 | 20.06% | 1,059 | 19.47% | 1,100 | 20.22% | 182 | 3.35% | 115 | 2.11% | 41 | 0.75% | 754 | 13.86% | 5,440 |
| Paulding | 1,215 | 45.57% | 585 | 21.94% | 147 | 5.51% | 252 | 9.45% | 279 | 10.47% | 137 | 5.14% | 51 | 1.91% | 630 | 23.63% | 2,666 |
| Perry | 1,512 | 33.83% | 1,235 | 27.63% | 723 | 16.17% | 771 | 17.25% | 123 | 2.75% | 79 | 1.77% | 27 | 0.60% | 741 | 16.58% | 4,470 |
| Pickaway | 2,385 | 34.34% | 1,916 | 27.59% | 1,350 | 19.44% | 865 | 12.46% | 221 | 3.18% | 167 | 2.40% | 41 | 0.59% | 469 | 6.75% | 6,945 |
| Pike | 748 | 41.21% | 554 | 30.52% | 224 | 12.34% | 191 | 10.52% | 60 | 3.31% | 25 | 1.38% | 13 | 0.72% | 194 | 10.69% | 1,815 |
| Portage | 4,543 | 30.59% | 3,937 | 26.51% | 3,667 | 24.69% | 1,609 | 10.83% | 717 | 4.83% | 287 | 1.93% | 92 | 0.62% | 606 | 4.08% | 14,852 |
| Preble | 1,830 | 30.95% | 1,813 | 30.67% | 1,009 | 17.07% | 786 | 13.29% | 358 | 6.06% | 69 | 1.17% | 47 | 0.79% | 17 | 0.29% | 5,912 |
| Putnam | 1,912 | 36.87% | 1,539 | 29.68% | 597 | 11.51% | 490 | 9.45% | 510 | 9.83% | 100 | 1.93% | 38 | 0.73% | 373 | 7.19% | 5,186 |
| Richland | 4,692 | 30.85% | 5,063 | 33.29% | 2,481 | 16.31% | 1,631 | 10.72% | 596 | 3.92% | 546 | 3.59% | 199 | 1.31% | -371 | -2.44% | 15,208 |
| Ross | 2,325 | 34.98% | 1,916 | 28.83% | 1,153 | 17.35% | 860 | 12.94% | 241 | 3.63% | 101 | 1.52% | 51 | 0.77% | 409 | 6.15% | 6,647 |
| Sandusky | 2,391 | 30.63% | 1,605 | 20.56% | 1,441 | 18.46% | 1,776 | 22.75% | 291 | 3.73% | 231 | 2.96% | 72 | 0.92% | 615 | 7.88% | 7,807 |
| Scioto | 2,740 | 47.28% | 1,319 | 22.76% | 536 | 9.25% | 580 | 10.01% | 499 | 8.61% | 71 | 1.23% | 50 | 0.86% | 1,421 | 24.52% | 5,795 |
| Seneca | 2,072 | 26.83% | 1,800 | 23.31% | 1,359 | 17.260% | 1,598 | 20.69% | 362 | 4.69% | 425 | 5.50% | 107 | 1.39% | 272 | 3.52% | 7,723 |
| Shelby | 1,888 | 28.16% | 2,421 | 36.11% | 1,074 | 16.02% | 862 | 12.86% | 291 | 4.34% | 116 | 1.73% | 53 | 0.79% | -533 | -7.95% | 6,705 |
| Stark | 11,736 | 29.88% | 8,909 | 22.68% | 8,412 | 21.42% | 3,381 | 8.61% | 5,694 | 14.50% | 879 | 2.24% | 265 | 0.67% | 2,827 | 7.20% | 39,276 |
| Summit | 13,188 | 31.26% | 10,369 | 24.58% | 11,459 | 27.17% | 3,780 | 8.96% | 2,315 | 5.49% | 723 | 1.71% | 348 | 0.82% | 2,819 | 6.68% | 42,182 |
| Trumbull | 6,567 | 37.62% | 3,564 | 20.42% | 2,997 | 17.17% | 2,728 | 15.63% | 1,121 | 6.42% | 353 | 2.02% | 126 | 0.72% | 3,003 | 17.20% | 17,456 |
| Tuscarawas | 2,750 | 34.52% | 2,217 | 27.83% | 1,281 | 16.08% | 793 | 9.95% | 672 | 8.44% | 199 | 2.50% | 54 | 0.68% | 533 | 6.69% | 7,966 |
| Union | 2,765 | 34.18% | 1,883 | 23.28% | 1,837 | 22.71% | 978 | 12.09% | 302 | 3.73% | 222 | 2.74% | 102 | 1.26% | 882 | 10.90% | 8,089 |
| Van Wert | 1,452 | 32.72% | 1,264 | 28.49% | 375 | 8.45% | 350 | 7.89% | 720 | 16.23% | 157 | 3.54% | 119 | 2.68% | 188 | 4.24% | 4,437 |
| Vinton | 478 | 38.36% | 346 | 27.95% | 109 | 8.80% | 134 | 10.82% | 121 | 9.77% | 33 | 2.67% | 17 | 1.37% | 132 | 10.66% | 1,238 |
| Warren | 10,322 | 36.78% | 6,513 | 23.21% | 5,947 | 21.19% | 3,015 | 10.74% | 1,624 | 5.79% | 394 | 1.40% | 252 | 0.90% | 3,809 | 13.57% | 28,067 |
| Washington | 2,466 | 36.50% | 1,713 | 25.35% | 876 | 12.96% | 516 | 7.64% | 973 | 14.40% | 144 | 2.13% | 69 | 1.02% | 753 | 11.14% | 6,757 |
| Wayne | 4,037 | 29.39% | 4,046 | 29.46% | 3,045 | 22.17% | 1,086 | 7.91% | 773 | 5.63% | 641 | 4.67% | 107 | 0.78% | -9 | -0.07% | 13,735 |
| Williams | 1,804 | 36.31% | 1,092 | 21.98% | 691 | 13.91% | 759 | 15.28% | 268 | 5.39% | 296 | 5.96% | 58 | 1.17% | 712 | 14.33% | 4,968 |
| Wood | 3,736 | 31.79% | 2,136 | 18.18% | 3,155 | 26.85% | 1,870 | 15.91% | 476 | 4.05% | 301 | 2.56% | 78 | 0.66% | 581 | 4.94% | 11,752 |
| Wyandot | 870 | 29.46% | 763 | 25.84% | 504 | 17.07% | 559 | 18.93% | 127 | 4.30% | 79 | 2.68% | 51 | 1.73% | 107 | 3.62% | 2,953 |
| |||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 517,497 votes | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||
 Results by county: Ryan
| |||||||||||||||||
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. governors
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State senators
State representatives
Mayors
County officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Morgan Harper | Traci Johnson | Tim Ryan | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Akron[111] | February 17 – March 15, 2022 | – (LV) | – | 18% | – | 43% | 4% | 37% |
| Emerson College[113] | February 25–26, 2022 | 313 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 4% | 9% | 31% | 5%[j] | 51% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Amy Acton | Tim Ryan | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[179][H] | March 15–16, 2021 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 37% | 32% | 31% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tim Ryan | 359,941 | 69.55% | |
| Democratic | Morgan Harper | 92,347 | 17.84% | |
| Democratic | Traci Johnson | 65,209 | 12.60% | |
| Total votes | 517,497 | 100.0% | ||
Source[134]
| Tim Ryan | Morgan Harper | Traci Johnson | Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Adams | 336 | 72.10% | 62 | 13.30% | 68 | 14.59% | 268 | 57.51% | 466 |
| Allen | 1,646 | 64.52% | 436 | 17.09% | 469 | 18.38% | 1,177 | 46.14% | 2,551 |
| Ashland | 893 | 74.11% | 196 | 16.27% | 116 | 9.63% | 697 | 57.84% | 1,205 |
| Ashtabula | 3,112 | 78.41% | 436 | 10.99% | 421 | 10.61% | 2,676 | 67.42% | 3,969 |
| Athens | 2,045 | 62.65% | 837 | 25.64% | 382 | 11.70% | 1,208 | 37.01% | 3,264 |
| Auglaize | 551 | 70.46% | 131 | 16.75% | 100 | 12.79% | 420 | 53.71% | 782 |
| Belmont | 1,713 | 69.10% | 333 | 13.43% | 433 | 17.47% | 1,280 | 51.63% | 2,479 |
| Brown | 597 | 74.16% | 110 | 13.66% | 98 | 12.17% | 487 | 60.50% | 805 |
| Butler | 5,583 | 66.39% | 1,516 | 18.03% | 1,311 | 15.59% | 4,067 | 48.36% | 8,410 |
| Carroll | 619 | 77.57% | 84 | 10.53% | 95 | 11.90% | 524 | 65.66% | 798 |
| Champaign | 692 | 71.71% | 151 | 15.65% | 122 | 12.64% | 441 | 45.70% | 965 |
| Clark | 3,544 | 68.54% | 854 | 16.52% | 773 | 14.95% | 2,690 | 52.02% | 5,171 |
| Clermont | 3,169 | 68.61% | 864 | 18.71% | 586 | 12.69% | 2,305 | 49.90% | 4,619 |
| Clinton | 558 | 64.88% | 171 | 19.88% | 131 | 15.23% | 387 | 45.00% | 860 |
| Columbiana | 2,391 | 85.15% | 235 | 9.83% | 182 | 6.48% | 2,156 | 76.78% | 2,808 |
| Coshocton | 629 | 70.52% | 153 | 17.15% | 110 | 12.33% | 476 | 53.36% | 892 |
| Crawford | 745 | 72.90% | 192 | 18.79% | 85 | 8.32% | 553 | 54.11% | 1,022 |
| Cuyahoga | 62,325 | 70.14% | 4,188 | 6.72% | 12,341 | 13.89% | 49,986 | 56.26% | 88,854 |
| Darke | 765 | 75.82% | 152 | 15.06% | 92 | 9.12% | 613 | 60.75% | 1,009 |
| Defiance | 888 | 76.09% | 163 | 13.97% | 116 | 9.94% | 725 | 62.13% | 1,167 |
| Delaware | 6,252 | 69.43% | 1,886 | 20.94% | 867 | 9.63% | 4,366 | 48.48% | 9,005 |
| Erie | 2,731 | 76.82% | 457 | 12.86% | 367 | 10.32% | 2,274 | 63.97% | 3,555 |
| Fairfield | 3,154 | 67.42% | 936 | 20.01% | 588 | 12.57% | 2,218 | 47.41% | 4,678 |
| Fayette | 356 | 67.81% | 108 | 20.57% | 61 | 11.62% | 248 | 47.24% | 525 |
| Franklin | 42,648 | 59.67% | 21,534 | 30.13% | 7,296 | 10.21% | 21,114 | 29.54% | 71,478 |
| Fulton | 939 | 66.22% | 256 | 18.05% | 223 | 15.73% | 683 | 48.17% | 1,418 |
| Gallia | 411 | 65.76% | 96 | 15.36% | 118 | 18.88% | 293 | 46.88% | 625 |
| Geauga | 2,782 | 79.10% | 452 | 12.85% | 283 | 8.05% | 2,330 | 66.25% | 3,517 |
| Greene | 4,581 | 67.33% | 1,310 | 19.25% | 913 | 13.42% | 3,271 | 48.07% | 6,804 |
| Guernsey | 685 | 70.47% | 153 | 15.74% | 134 | 13.79% | 532 | 54.73% | 972 |
| Hamilton | 23,204 | 59.04% | 7,885 | 20.06% | 8,213 | 20.90% | 14,991 | 38.14% | 39,302 |
| Hancock | 1,284 | 71.29% | 311 | 17.27% | 206 | 11.44% | 973 | 54.03% | 1,801 |
| Hardin | 382 | 67.25% | 129 | 22.71% | 57 | 10.04% | 253 | 44.54% | 568 |
| Harrison | 387 | 68.86% | 77 | 13.70% | 98 | 17.44% | 289 | 51.42% | 562 |
| Henry | 452 | 69.43% | 94 | 14.44% | 105 | 16.13% | 347 | 53.30% | 651 |
| Highland | 452 | 71.52% | 88 | 13.92% | 92 | 14.56% | 360 | 56.96% | 632 |
| Hocking | 738 | 73.87% | 159 | 15.92% | 102 | 10.21% | 579 | 57.96% | 999 |
| Holmes | 330 | 77.83% | 54 | 12.74% | 40 | 9.43% | 276 | 65.09% | 424 |
| Huron | 1,105 | 73.13% | 248 | 16.41% | 158 | 10.46% | 857 | 56.72% | 1,511 |
| Jackson | 322 | 74.88% | 58 | 13.49% | 50 | 11.63% | 264 | 61.40% | 430 |
| Jefferson | 1,878 | 69.38% | 340 | 12.56% | 489 | 18.06% | 1,389 | 51.31% | 2,707 |
| Knox | 1,198 | 74.00% | 270 | 16.68% | 151 | 9.33% | 928 | 57.32% | 1,619 |
| Lake | 8,766 | 76.78% | 1,640 | 14.36% | 1,011 | 8.86% | 7,126 | 62.42% | 11,417 |
| Lawrence | 836 | 58.87% | 294 | 20.70% | 290 | 20.42% | 542 | 38.17% | 1,420 |
| Licking | 4,376 | 69.21% | 1,247 | 19.72% | 700 | 11.07% | 3,129 | 49.49% | 6,323 |
| Logan | 636 | 71.86% | 132 | 14.92% | 117 | 13.22% | 504 | 56.95% | 885 |
| Lorain | 12,806 | 75.36% | 2,367 | 13.93% | 1,820 | 10.71% | 10,439 | 61.43% | 16,993 |
| Lucas | 12,562 | 66.09% | 3,632 | 19.11% | 2,813 | 14.80% | 8,930 | 46.98% | 19,007 |
| Madison | 606 | 66.09% | 198 | 21.59% | 113 | 12.32% | 408 | 44.49% | 917 |
| Mahoning | 13,549 | 84.69% | 1,380 | 8.63% | 1,069 | 6.68% | 12,169 | 76.07% | 15,998 |
| Marion | 1,354 | 69.08% | 325 | 16.58% | 281 | 14.34% | 1,029 | 52.50% | 1,960 |
| Medina | 5,751 | 77.95% | 1,008 | 13.66% | 619 | 8.39% | 4,743 | 64.29% | 7,378 |
| Meigs | 289 | 62.28% | 94 | 20.26% | 81 | 17.46% | 195 | 42.03% | 464 |
| Mercer | 649 | 75.38% | 121 | 14.05% | 91 | 10.57% | 528 | 61.32% | 861 |
| Miami | 1,752 | 72.01% | 385 | 15.82% | 296 | 12.17% | 1,367 | 56.19% | 2,433 |
| Monroe | 417 | 70.80% | 83 | 14.09% | 89 | 15.11% | 328 | 55.69% | 589 |
| Montgomery | 17,587 | 62.58% | 5,096 | 18.13% | 5,419 | 19.28% | 12,168 | 43.30% | 28,102 |
| Morgan | 253 | 70.47% | 64 | 17.83% | 42 | 11.70% | 189 | 52.65% | 359 |
| Morrow | 635 | 68.06% | 178 | 19.08% | 120 | 12.86% | 457 | 48.98% | 933 |
| Muskingum | 1,373 | 70.77% | 337 | 17.37% | 230 | 11.86% | 1,036 | 53.40% | 1,940 |
| Noble | 260 | 68.78% | 53 | 14.02% | 65 | 17.20% | 195 | 51.59% | 378 |
| Ottawa | 1,513 | 70.63% | 339 | 15.83% | 290 | 13.54% | 1,174 | 54.81% | 2,142 |
| Paulding | 333 | 67.55% | 78 | 15.82% | 82 | 16.63% | 251 | 50.91% | 493 |
| Perry | 799 | 73.24% | 178 | 16.32% | 114 | 10.45% | 621 | 56.92% | 1,091 |
| Pickaway | 985 | 69.56% | 270 | 19.07% | 161 | 11.37% | 715 | 50.49% | 1,416 |
| Pike | 441 | 75.51% | 85 | 14.55% | 58 | 9.93% | 356 | 60.96% | 584 |
| Portage | 6,919 | 82.38% | 879 | 10.47% | 601 | 7.16% | 6,049 | 72.02% | 8,399 |
| Preble | 609 | 73.11% | 130 | 15.61% | 94 | 11.28% | 479 | 57.50% | 833 |
| Putnam | 452 | 71.41% | 102 | 16.11% | 79 | 12.48% | 350 | 55.29% | 633 |
| Richland | 2,541 | 69.27% | 604 | 16.47% | 523 | 14.26% | 1,937 | 52.81% | 3,668 |
| Ross | 1,461 | 71.69% | 371 | 18.20% | 206 | 10.11% | 1,090 | 53.48% | 2,038 |
| Sandusky | 1,573 | 70.00% | 345 | 15.35% | 329 | 14.64% | 1,228 | 54.65% | 2,247 |
| Scioto | 1,097 | 66.48% | 260 | 15.76% | 293 | 17.76% | 804 | 48.73% | 1,650 |
| Seneca | 1,245 | 71.22% | 302 | 17.28% | 201 | 11.50% | 943 | 53.95% | 1,748 |
| Shelby | 661 | 75.80% | 128 | 14.68% | 83 | 9.52% | 533 | 61.12% | 872 |
| Stark | 12,006 | 76.18% | 2,030 | 12.88% | 1,725 | 10.94% | 9,976 | 63.30% | 15,761 |
| Summit | 24,275 | 79.17% | 3,788 | 12.35% | 2,597 | 8.47% | 20,487 | 66.82% | 30,660 |
| Trumbull | 13,682 | 83.12% | 1,527 | 9.28% | 1,251 | 7.60% | 12,155 | 73.85% | 16,460 |
| Tuscarawas | 2,010 | 76.83% | 325 | 12.42% | 281 | 10.73% | 1,685 | 64.41% | 2,616 |
| Union | 1,008 | 64.33% | 377 | 24.06% | 182 | 11.61% | 631 | 40.27% | 1,567 |
| Van Wert | 406 | 62.85% | 118 | 18.27% | 122 | 18.89% | 284 | 43.96% | 646 |
| Vinton | 200 | 69.20% | 56 | 19.38% | 33 | 11.42% | 144 | 49.83% | 289 |
| Warren | 4,097 | 69.11% | 1,215 | 20.50% | 616 | 10.39% | 2,882 | 48.62% | 5,928 |
| Washington | 1,259 | 65.17% | 341 | 17.65% | 332 | 17.18% | 918 | 47.52% | 1,932 |
| Wayne | 2,407 | 74.98% | 489 | 15.23% | 314 | 9.78% | 1,918 | 59.75% | 3,210 |
| Williams | 576 | 71.64% | 130 | 16.17% | 98 | 12.19% | 446 | 55.47% | 804 |
| Wood | 3,489 | 69.17% | 983 | 19.49% | 572 | 11.34% | 2,506 | 49.68% | 5,044 |
| Wyandot | 368 | 69.43% | 98 | 18.49% | 64 | 12.08% | 270 | 50.94% | 530 |
Ohio had trended Republican in recent years, voting forDonald Trump by eight points in both the2016 and2020 presidential elections. As such, most analysts expected that this seat would easily remain in Republican hands. However, aggregate polling on the run-up to the election indicated a competitive race, and most outlets considered it to be "lean Republican". In the end, JD Vance held the open seat for the Republicans.
The funding in the race was described as "lopsided" in favor of J.D. Vance who struggled to raise money on his own but was massively helped by national groups who poured in more than $30 million worth of advertising. Tim Ryan, the Democratic nominee, was the more prolific fundraiser but national Democratic groups provided comparatively little help on the airwaves and advertisements to keep up with the Republican campaign. Ryan called it "David against Goliath."[185]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[186] | Lean R | October 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[187] | Lean R | October 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[188] | Lean R | August 31, 2022 |
| Politico[189] | Lean R | September 5, 2022 |
| RCP[190] | Lean R | September 20, 2022 |
| Fox News[191] | Lean R | September 20, 2022 |
| DDHQ[192] | Likely R | November 5, 2022 |
| 538[193] | Likely R | October 7, 2022 |
| The Economist[194] | Likely R | November 5, 2022 |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||
| JD Vance | Tim Ryan | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 10, 2022 | Fox 8 | Colleen Marshall Joe Toohey | YouTube | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 17, 2022 | 21 WFMJ | Lindsay McCoy Bertram de Souza Derek Steyer | YouTube | P | P |
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
Individuals
Newspapers and other media
Organizations
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State representatives
County officials
Individuals
Newspapers and other media
Organizations
Labor unions
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | JD Vance (R) | Tim Ryan (D) | Undecided [k] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[236] | October 30 – November 5, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 51.8% | 43.8% | 4.4% | Vance +8.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[237] | October 17 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 50.9% | 44.7% | 4.4% | Vance +6.2 |
| 270towin[238] | November 4–7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 52.0% | 44.2% | 3.8% | Vance +7.8 |
| Average | 51.6% | 44.2% | 4.2% | Vance +7.4 | ||
Graphical summary
| This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | JD Vance (R) | Tim Ryan (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[239] | November 4–7, 2022 | 716 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 51% | 46% | 2%[l] | 2% |
| Research Co.[240] | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 52% | 44% | – | 4% |
| Targoz Market Research[241] | November 2–6, 2022 | 505 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 45% | 3%[m] | – |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[242] | November 3–5, 2022 | 1,123 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 44% | – | 3% |
| Data for Progress (D)[243] | November 2–5, 2022 | 1,413 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
| Cygnal (R)[244] | November 1–3, 2022 | 1,498 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[245] | November 1–2, 2022 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 43% | – | 9% |
| Emerson College[246] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 43% | 2%[n] | 4% |
| 53% | 44% | 3%[o] | – | ||||
| Cygnal (R)[247] | October 29 – November 1, 2022 | 1,520 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
| Cygnal (R)[248] | October 26–30, 2022 | 1,510 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| Cygnal (R)[249] | October 24–28, 2022 | 1,776 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 43% | – | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[250] | October 22–26, 2022 | 1,817 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 44% | – | 8% |
| Cygnal (R)[251] | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,886 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| Baldwin Wallace University[252] | October 20–23, 2022 | 1,068 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 50% | – | 4% |
| Cygnal (R)[253] | October 18–22, 2022 | 1,547 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% |
| Marist College[254] | October 17–20, 2022 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 45% | 1%[p] | 8% |
| 942 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 47% | 1%[q] | 5% | ||
| Cygnal (R)[255] | October 16–20, 2022 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| Siena College[256] | October 14–19, 2022 | 644 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 46% | 46% | 3%[r] | 6% |
| Cygnal (R)[257] | October 14–18, 2022 | 1,438 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% |
| Ohio Northern University/Lucid[258] | October 11–15, 2022 | 668 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 43% | 1%[s] | 15% |
| Suffolk University[259] | October 11–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 45% | 1%[t] | 6% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[260] | October 10–12, 2022 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| Data for Progress (D)[261] | October 7–12, 2022 | 1,016 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[262][I] | October 6–8, 2022 | 640 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | – | 9% |
| Emerson College[263] | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | 1%[u] | 9% |
| Kurt Jetta (D)[264][J] | October 2–3, 2022 | 950 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 35% | 43% | – | 22% |
| 528 (LV) | 38% | 49% | – | 14% | |||
| Siena College[265] | September 18–22, 2022 | 642 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 46% | 2%[v] | 9% |
| Baldwin Wallace University[266] | September 12–15, 2022 | 855 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 48% | – | 7% |
| Marist College[267] | September 12–15, 2022 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | – | 9% |
| 1,009 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 47% | – | 5% | ||
| Emerson College[268] | September 10–13, 2022 | 1000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 40% | 3% | 13% |
| Civiqs[269] | September 10–13, 2022 | 780 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 45% | 3% | 4% |
| Fallon Research[270] | September 6–11, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 46% | 1% | 10% |
| Suffolk University[271] | September 5–7, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 47% | 1% | 6% |
| Echelon Insights[272] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 39% | 45% | – | 15% |
| Impact Research (D)[273][K] | August 17–23, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | – | 3% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[274] | August 16–19, 2022 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 45% | – | 6% |
| Emerson College[275] | August 15–16, 2022 | 925 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 42% | 4% | 10% |
| Kurt Jetta (D)[276][J] | August 1–3, 2022 | 1,180 (A) | ± 2.9% | 32% | 42% | – | 26% |
| 974 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 33% | 44% | – | 23% | ||
| 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | 49% | – | 12% | ||
| Impact Research (D)[277][K] | July 21–28, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 48% | – | 7% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)[278][L] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 38% | 44% | 3% | 15% |
| Grow Progress (D)[279][M] | July 5–10, 2022 | 2,032 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 46% | – | 13% |
| Kurt Jetta (D)[276][J] | July 1–3, 2022 | 1,199 (A) | ± 2.8% | 36% | 41% | – | 23% |
| 989 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 44% | – | 20% | ||
| 528 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 46% | – | 11% | ||
| Impact Research (D)[280][K] | June 27–30, 2022 | 816 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | – | 6% |
| Grow Progress (D)[281][M] | May 30 – June 3, 2022 | 2,018 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | – | 15% |
| Suffolk University[282] | May 22–24, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 39% | 2% | 17% |
| Momentive (D)[283][J] | May 13, 2022 | 1,174 (A) | ± 2.9% | 37% | 37% | – | 25% |
| 989 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 39% | – | 21% | ||
| 528 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 43% | – | 9% | ||
| Grow Progress (D)[284][M] | April 25–29, 2022 | 2,014 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 41% | 43% | – | 15% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[285] | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 3% | 24% |
| 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 36% | 37% | 3% | 23% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[286][H] | March 18–19, 2021 | 700 (V) | ± 3.7% | 39% | 37% | – | 24% |
Josh Mandel vs. Amy Acton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Josh Mandel (R) | Amy Acton (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[287][H] | March 18–19, 2021 | 700 (V) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
Josh Mandel vs. Tim Ryan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Josh Mandel (R) | Tim Ryan (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[285] | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 38% | 36% | 4% | 18% |
| 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 37% | 4% | 17% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[287][H] | March 18–19, 2021 | 700 (V) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 38% | – | 20% |
Jane Timken vs. Amy Acton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Jane Timken (R) | Amy Acton (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[287][H] | March 18–19, 2021 | 700 (V) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
Jane Timken vs. Tim Ryan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Jane Timken (R) | Tim Ryan (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[285] | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 4% | 23% |
| 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 36% | 38% | 4% | 22% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[287][H] | March 18–19, 2021 | 700 (V) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 38% | – | 21% |
JD Vance vs. Amy Acton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | JD Vance (R) | Amy Acton (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[287][H] | March 18–19, 2021 | 700 (V) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | JD Vance | 2,192,114 | 53.03% | −5.00% | |
| Democratic | Tim Ryan | 1,939,489 | 46.92% | +9.76% | |
| Write-in | 1,739 | 0.04% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 4,133,342 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republicanhold | |||||
| County | JD Vance Republican | Tim Ryan Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 6,749 | 77.34% | 1,976 | 22.64% | 1 | 0.01% | 4,773 | 54.70% | 8,726 |
| Allen | 23,229 | 71.02% | 9,428 | 28.83% | 49 | 0.15% | 13,801 | 42.19% | 32,706 |
| Ashland | 13,366 | 72.61% | 5,034 | 27.35% | 9 | 0.05% | 8,332 | 45.26% | 18,409 |
| Ashtabula | 18,277 | 59.14% | 12,561 | 40.64% | 69 | 0.22% | 5,716 | 18.50% | 30,907 |
| Athens | 7,482 | 39.18% | 11,578 | 60.62% | 38 | 0.20% | -4,096 | -21.44% | 19,098 |
| Auglaize | 15,022 | 80.37% | 3,641 | 19.48% | 28 | 0.15% | 11,381 | 60.89% | 18,691 |
| Belmont | 15,169 | 67.25% | 7,356 | 32.61% | 31 | 0.14% | 7,813 | 34.64% | 22,556 |
| Brown | 10,832 | 76.62% | 3,300 | 23.34% | 5 | 0.04% | 7,532 | 53.28% | 14,137 |
| Butler | 79,240 | 61.88% | 48,777 | 38.09% | 35 | 0.03% | 30,463 | 23.79% | 128,052 |
| Carroll | 7,372 | 72.70% | 2,743 | 27.05% | 25 | 0.25% | 4,629 | 45.65% | 10,140 |
| Champaign | 10,253 | 71.03% | 4,095 | 28.37% | 87 | 0.60% | 6,158 | 42.66% | 14,435 |
| Clark | 27,131 | 61.10% | 17,141 | 38.60% | 130 | 0.30% | 9,990 | 22.50% | 44,402 |
| Clermont | 52,888 | 65.97% | 27,084 | 33.78% | 194 | 0.24% | 25,804 | 32.19% | 80,166 |
| Clinton | 10,515 | 74.59% | 3,562 | 25.27% | 21 | 0.15% | 6,953 | 49.32% | 14,098 |
| Columbiana | 24,829 | 69.77% | 10,705 | 30.08% | 51 | 0.14% | 14,124 | 39.69% | 35,585 |
| Coshocton | 8,021 | 70.97% | 3,255 | 28.80% | 26 | 0.23% | 4,766 | 42.17% | 11,302 |
| Crawford | 10,855 | 73.18% | 3,948 | 26.61% | 31 | 0.21% | 6,907 | 46.57% | 14,834 |
| Cuyahoga | 131,427 | 32.12% | 277,039 | 67.70% | 750 | 0.18% | -145,612 | -35.58% | 409,216 |
| Darke | 15,977 | 80.76% | 3,773 | 19.07% | 33 | 0.17% | 12,204 | 61.69% | 19,783 |
| Defiance | 8,821 | 66.03% | 4,513 | 33.78% | 25 | 0.19% | 4,308 | 32.25% | 13,359 |
| Delaware | 52,540 | 53.13% | 46,319 | 46.84% | 27 | 0.03% | 6,221 | 6.29% | 98,886 |
| Erie | 15,287 | 52.93% | 13,541 | 46.89% | 51 | 0.18% | 1,746 | 6.04% | 28,879 |
| Fairfield | 35,926 | 60.63% | 23,305 | 39.33% | 27 | 0.05% | 12,621 | 21.30% | 59,258 |
| Fayette | 6,287 | 74.76% | 2,102 | 24.99% | 21 | 0.25% | 4,185 | 49.77% | 8,410 |
| Franklin | 143,263 | 33.64% | 281,505 | 66.10% | 1,134 | 0.27% | -138,242 | -32.46% | 425,902 |
| Fulton | 10,906 | 67.18% | 5,299 | 32.64% | 28 | 0.17% | 5,607 | 34.54% | 16,233 |
| Gallia | 6,993 | 76.68% | 2,116 | 23.20% | 11 | 0.12% | 4,877 | 53.48% | 9,120 |
| Geauga | 25,332 | 59.24% | 17,348 | 40.57% | 81 | 0.19% | 7,984 | 18.67% | 42,761 |
| Greene | 39,385 | 59.51% | 26,751 | 40.42% | 43 | 0.06% | 12,634 | 19.09% | 66,179 |
| Guernsey | 8,678 | 71.18% | 3,505 | 28.75% | 9 | 0.07% | 5,173 | 42.43% | 12,192 |
| Hamilton | 127,792 | 42.25% | 174,511 | 57.69% | 183 | 0.06% | -46,719 | -15.44% | 302,486 |
| Hancock | 18,357 | 67.77% | 8,717 | 32.18% | 14 | 0.05% | 9,640 | 35.59% | 27,088 |
| Hardin | 6,521 | 72.48% | 2,471 | 27.46% | 5 | 0.06% | 4,050 | 45.02% | 8,997 |
| Harrison | 3,721 | 71.78% | 1,451 | 27.99% | 12 | 0.23% | 2,270 | 43.79% | 5,184 |
| Henry | 7,102 | 68.94% | 3,190 | 30.96% | 10 | 0.10% | 3,912 | 37.98% | 10,302 |
| Highland | 10,185 | 77.68% | 2,925 | 22.31% | 2 | 0.02% | 7,260 | 55.37% | 13,112 |
| Hocking | 6,353 | 66.80% | 3,139 | 33.00% | 19 | 0.20% | 3,214 | 33.80% | 9,511 |
| Holmes | 7,056 | 81.82% | 1,564 | 18.14% | 4 | 0.05% | 5,492 | 63.68% | 8,624 |
| Huron | 12,398 | 67.24% | 5,998 | 32.53% | 42 | 0.23% | 6,400 | 34.71% | 18,438 |
| Jackson | 6,599 | 74.17% | 2,285 | 25.68% | 13 | 0.15% | 4,314 | 48.49% | 8,897 |
| Jefferson | 14,970 | 65.32% | 7,914 | 34.53% | 34 | 0.15% | 7,056 | 30.79% | 22,918 |
| Knox | 16,104 | 69.70% | 6,969 | 30.16% | 31 | 0.13% | 9,135 | 39.54% | 23,104 |
| Lake | 50,890 | 54.02% | 43,166 | 45.82% | 158 | 0.17% | 7,724 | 8.20% | 94,214 |
| Lawrence | 12,697 | 72.51% | 4,793 | 27.37% | 21 | 0.12% | 7,904 | 45.14% | 17,511 |
| Licking | 41,566 | 62.51% | 24,774 | 37.26% | 154 | 0.23% | 16,792 | 25.25% | 66,494 |
| Logan | 12,551 | 76.15% | 3,898 | 23.65% | 32 | 0.19% | 8,653 | 52.50% | 16,481 |
| Lorain | 54,488 | 48.70% | 57,191 | 51.11% | 209 | 0.19% | -2,703 | -2.41% | 111,888 |
| Lucas | 53,009 | 40.09% | 78,727 | 59.54% | 480 | 0.36% | -25,718 | -19.45% | 132,216 |
| Madison | 9,763 | 69.01% | 4,350 | 30.75% | 35 | 0.25% | 5,413 | 38.26% | 14,148 |
| Mahoning | 44,397 | 51.64% | 41,421 | 48.18% | 151 | 0.18% | 2,976 | 3.46% | 85,969 |
| Marion | 12,760 | 66.65% | 6,342 | 33.12% | 44 | 0.23% | 6,418 | 33.53% | 19,146 |
| Medina | 45,960 | 58.86% | 31,979 | 40.95% | 145 | 0.19% | 13,981 | 17.91% | 78,084 |
| Meigs | 5,589 | 74.84% | 1,875 | 25.11% | 4 | 0.05% | 3,714 | 49.73% | 7,468 |
| Mercer | 14,390 | 80.84% | 3,389 | 19.04% | 21 | 0.12% | 11,001 | 61.80% | 17,800 |
| Miami | 30,114 | 71.35% | 11,993 | 28.42% | 99 | 0.23% | 18,121 | 42.93% | 42,206 |
| Monroe | 3,479 | 71.48% | 1,378 | 28.31% | 10 | 0.21% | 2,101 | 43.17% | 4,867 |
| Montgomery | 91,382 | 49.04% | 94,512 | 50.72% | 460 | 0.25% | -3,130 | -1.68% | 186,354 |
| Morgan | 3,494 | 72.52% | 1,317 | 27.33% | 7 | 0.15% | 2,177 | 45.19% | 4,818 |
| Morrow | 9,985 | 75.04% | 3,303 | 24.82% | 18 | 0.14% | 6,682 | 50.22% | 13,306 |
| Muskingum | 18,664 | 68.28% | 8,638 | 31.60% | 34 | 0.12% | 10,026 | 36.68% | 27,336 |
| Noble | 3,519 | 76.30% | 1,083 | 23.48% | 10 | 0.22% | 2,436 | 52.82% | 4,612 |
| Ottawa | 10,653 | 57.80% | 7,750 | 42.05% | 27 | 0.15% | 2,903 | 15.75% | 18,430 |
| Paulding | 4,873 | 75.31% | 1,587 | 24.52% | 11 | 0.17% | 3,286 | 50.79% | 6,471 |
| Perry | 8,557 | 71.70% | 3,342 | 28.00% | 36 | 0.30% | 5,215 | 43.70% | 11,935 |
| Pickaway | 13,859 | 70.72% | 5,696 | 29.07% | 41 | 0.21% | 8,163 | 41.65% | 19,596 |
| Pike | 5,488 | 70.21% | 2,327 | 29.77% | 2 | 0.03% | 3,161 | 40.44% | 7,817 |
| Portage | 32,274 | 53.29% | 28,175 | 46.52% | 114 | 0.19% | 4,099 | 6.77% | 60,563 |
| Preble | 12,156 | 77.22% | 3,533 | 22.44% | 54 | 0.34% | 8,623 | 54.78% | 15,743 |
| Putnam | 12,332 | 82.09% | 2,667 | 17.75% | 24 | 0.16% | 9,665 | 64.34% | 15,023 |
| Richland | 28,812 | 69.04% | 12,904 | 30.92% | 16 | 0.04% | 15,908 | 38.12% | 41,732 |
| Ross | 14,728 | 65.06% | 7,858 | 34.71% | 52 | 0.23% | 6,870 | 30.35% | 22,638 |
| Sandusky | 13,076 | 61.27% | 8,177 | 38.31% | 90 | 0.42% | 4,899 | 22.96% | 21,343 |
| Scioto | 14,656 | 69.56% | 6,411 | 30.43% | 4 | 0.02% | 8,245 | 39.13% | 21,071 |
| Seneca | 11,618 | 64.58% | 6,322 | 35.14% | 51 | 0.28% | 5,296 | 29.44% | 17,991 |
| Shelby | 14,512 | 80.32% | 3,509 | 19.42% | 47 | 0.26% | 11,003 | 60.90% | 18,068 |
| Stark | 77,287 | 57.87% | 56,215 | 42.09% | 44 | 0.03% | 21,072 | 15.78% | 133,546 |
| Summit | 86,724 | 43.31% | 113,112 | 56.49% | 415 | 0.21% | -26,388 | -13.18% | 200,251 |
| Trumbull | 39,082 | 53.46% | 33,890 | 46.36% | 132 | 0.18% | 5,192 | 7.10% | 73,104 |
| Tuscarawas | 20,072 | 66.01% | 10,267 | 33.77% | 67 | 0.22% | 9,805 | 32.24% | 30,406 |
| Union | 16,320 | 64.16% | 9,075 | 35.67% | 43 | 0.17% | 7,245 | 28.49% | 25,438 |
| Van Wert | 7,959 | 78.49% | 2,176 | 21.46% | 5 | 0.05% | 5,783 | 57.03% | 10,140 |
| Vinton | 2,986 | 74.28% | 1,028 | 25.57% | 6 | 0.15% | 1,958 | 48.71% | 4,020 |
| Warren | 65,370 | 64.38% | 35,970 | 35.43% | 196 | 0.19% | 29,400 | 28.95% | 101,536 |
| Washington | 15,812 | 69.50% | 6,938 | 30.50% | 1 | 0.00% | 8,874 | 39.00% | 22,751 |
| Wayne | 25,599 | 66.58% | 12,832 | 33.37% | 19 | 0.05% | 12,767 | 33.21% | 38,450 |
| Williams | 8,935 | 69.57% | 3,903 | 30.39% | 5 | 0.04% | 5,032 | 39.18% | 12,843 |
| Wood | 24,854 | 51.62% | 23,269 | 48.33% | 25 | 0.05% | 1,585 | 3.29% | 48,148 |
| Wyandot | 5,811 | 71.93% | 2,255 | 27.91% | 13 | 0.16% | 3,556 | 44.02% | 8,079 |
| Totals | 2,192,312 | 52.97% | 1,939,751 | 46.86% | 7,071 | 0.17% | 252,561 | 6.11% | 4,139,134 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Shift by county
Trend by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold Gain from Republican | Republican Hold
|
Vance won ten of 15 congressional districts.[288]
| District | Vance | Ryan | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 46% | 54% | Steve Chabot (117th Congress) |
| Greg Landsman (118th Congress) | |||
| 2nd | 70% | 30% | Brad Wenstrup |
| 3rd | 28% | 72% | Joyce Beatty |
| 4th | 67% | 33% | Jim Jordan |
| 5th | 61% | 39% | Bob Latta |
| 6th | 62% | 38% | Bill Johnson |
| 7th | 52% | 48% | Bob Gibbs /Anthony Gonzalez (117th Congress) |
| Max Miller (118th Congress) | |||
| 8th | 61% | 39% | Warren Davidson |
| 9th | 49.8% | 50.2% | Marcy Kaptur |
| 10th | 52% | 48% | Mike Turner |
| 11th | 20% | 80% | Shontel Brown |
| 12th | 63% | 37% | Troy Balderson |
| 13th | 47% | 53% | Tim Ryan (117th Congress) |
| Emilia Sykes (118th Congress) | |||
| 14th | 55% | 45% | David Joyce |
| 15th | 53% | 47% | Mike Carey |
According to exit polls by theNational Election Pool, Vance won the election (53% to 47%), winning majority of white voters (59% to 40%), while Ryan received majorities of the Black vote (86% to 13%) and, to smaller extent, the Latino vote (59% to 41%).[289]
| Demographic subgroup | Ryan | Vance | No answer | % of voters |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | ||||
| Men | 41 | 58 | 1 | 52 |
| Women | 53 | 47 | N/A | 48 |
| Age | ||||
| 18–24 years old | 59 | 41 | N/A | 4 |
| 25–29 years old | 59 | 40 | 1 | 6 |
| 30–39 years old | 54 | 45 | 1 | 12 |
| 40–49 years old | 47 | 53 | 1 | 16 |
| 50–64 years old | 42 | 58 | N/A | 31 |
| 65 and older | 44 | 55 | 1 | 31 |
| Race | ||||
| White | 40 | 59 | 1 | 83 |
| Black | 86 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| Latino | 59 | 41 | N/A | 2 |
| Race by gender | ||||
| White men | 35 | 64 | 1 | 44 |
| White women | 46 | 53 | 1 | 39 |
| Black men | 83 | 15 | 2 | 6 |
| Black women | 88 | 11 | N/A | 6 |
| Education | ||||
| High school or less | 36 | 64 | N/A | 17 |
| Somecollege education | 46 | 53 | 1 | 25 |
| Associate degree | 44 | 55 | 1 | 15 |
| Bachelor's degree | 49 | 51 | N/A | 25 |
| Advanced degree | 57 | 43 | N/A | 17 |
| Party ID | ||||
| Democrats | 97 | 3 | N/A | 30 |
| Republicans | 8 | 92 | N/A | 41 |
| Independents | 50 | 49 | 1 | 29 |
| Ideology | ||||
| Liberals | 95 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
| Moderates | 56 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| Conservatives | 11 | 89 | N/A | 38 |
| Marital status | ||||
| Married | 47 | 53 | N/A | 64 |
| Unmarried | 54 | 45 | 1 | 36 |
| Gender by marital status | ||||
| Married men | 38 | 62 | N/A | 31 |
| Married women | 55 | 45 | N/A | 33 |
| Unmarried men | 45 | 53 | 2 | 18 |
| Unmarried women | 63 | 37 | N/A | 17 |
| Union household | ||||
| Yes | 56 | 43 | 1 | 21 |
| No | 44 | 55 | 1 | 79 |
| First-time midterm election voter | ||||
| Yes | 48 | 52 | N/A | 9 |
| No | 47 | 53 | N/A | 91 |
| Most important issue facing the country | ||||
| Crime | 41 | 59 | N/A | 8 |
| Inflation | 25 | 75 | N/A | 35 |
| Gun policy | 54 | 43 | 3 | 16 |
| Immigration | 12 | 88 | N/A | 9 |
| Abortion | 81 | 19 | N/A | 26 |
| Area type | ||||
| Urban | 58 | 42 | N/A | 33 |
| Suburban | 41 | 58 | 1 | 51 |
| Rural | 42 | 57 | 1 | 16 |
| Region | ||||
| Cleveland Area | 68 | 31 | 1 | 12 |
| North | 44 | 55 | 1 | 20 |
| West | 35 | 65 | N/A | 16 |
| Columbus Area | 60 | 40 | N/A | 19 |
| Cincinnati/Dayton Area | 41 | 58 | 1 | 20 |
| Ohio Valley | 35 | 65 | N/A | 13 |
| Source:CBS News[290] | ||||
Partisan clients
.jpg)
.jpg)
{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)Official campaign websites
| |||||
| Vice Presidency | .jpg) | ||||
| Politics | |||||
| Elections |
| ||||
| Works |
| ||||
| Family |
| ||||
