The2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of North Carolina . Republican CongressmanTed Budd won his first term in office, defeating Democratic nomineeCheri Beasley . Primary elections were scheduled for March 8, 2022,[ 1] but were delayed by theNorth Carolina Supreme Court and rescheduled for May 17.
Incumbent three-termRepublican U.S. SenatorRichard Burr announced in 2016 that he would not seek reelection in 2022.[ 2] Former chief justice of theNorth Carolina Supreme Court Cheri Beasley [ 3] andU.S. Representative Ted Budd won theDemocratic andRepublican primaries , respectively.[ 4] [ 5] [ 6] [ 7] The race was considered competitive, with Budd narrowly leading in polls.[ 8] [ 9] Budd ultimately won with 50.5% of the vote to Beasley's 47.3%—a margin of 3.2%.[ 10]
Despite ultimately winning the election, Budd's performance marked the lowest share of the vote received by any Republican running for North Carolina'sClass III Senate seat since1998 .
Former GovernorPat McCrory fromCharlotte finished second in the primary. Former U.S. RepresentativeMark Walker fromGreensboro finished third in the primary. With Burr's retirement, this primary was expected to be very competitive.[ 11] Former U.S. RepresentativeMark Walker was the first major candidate to announce his candidacy, on December 1, 2020.[ 12] Walker opted to retire from the House and not run for reelection in2020 becausehis district was made much more favorable to the Democratic Party after redistricting. Former presidentDonald Trump 's daughter-in-lawLara Trump was widely speculated as a possible candidate for this seat.[ 11] She received encouragement and support from U.S. SenatorLindsey Graham [ 13] andKellyanne Conway ,[ 11] a former Trump White House official. Early opinion polls suggested she would perform well against other prospective candidates in the primary.[ 14] On April 14, 2021, former governorPat McCrory announced his candidacy.[ 15] U.S. Representative Ted Budd announced his candidacy on April 28, 2021.[ 4]
Opinion polls taken during April 2021 showed McCrory with a wide lead over Walker and Budd. McCrory was aided by a high degree of name recognition because of his several statewide campaigns.[ 16]
On June 5, 2021, theNorth Carolina Republican Party held a convention inGreenville . At the convention, former president Trump announced that he was endorsing Budd for the U.S. Senate seat.[ 17] Lara Trump announced that she would not be running, and joined her father-in-law in endorsing Budd. The former president also took a shot at McCrory, saying, "You can't pick people that have already lost two races, that do not stand for our values." McCrory lost both the2008 and2016 gubernatorial elections.[ 18] Budd was reportedly unaware of Trump's intentions until 15 minutes before he took the stage.[ 18] Both Walker and McCrory stated their intentions to stay in the race.[ 5]
Meanwhile, North Carolina redrew its congressional maps, making Walker's house seat more favorable to Republicans than it had been before 2020. After that, Trump met with Walker and promised to endorse him if he left the Senate race to instead run for his old House seat, newly numbered as the 7th district.[ 19] Walker filed to switch races, but later decided against it in favor of staying in the Senate race.[ 20]
The first primary debate was held on February 26 in Raleigh. It was sponsored by theJohn Locke Foundation , aconservative think tank based in North Carolina. McCrory, Walker and Eastman participated. Budd was invited, but did not attend, leaving an empty podium.[ 21] [ 22] The first televised debate was held byWRAL-TV on April 14 and featured McCrory and Walker, with Budd once again declining to attend.[ 23] A third debate was held on April 20 onSpectrum News 1 . McCrory, Walker, and Eastman participated.[ 24] A fourth debate, sponsored byNexstar Media Group , was held on April 26 and aired on television stations across North Carolina, includingWJZY ,WNCN ,WGHP , andWNCT-TV .[ 25] McCrory and Walker participated. Budd declined and Eastman was not invited.[ 26]
Budd won the primary overwhelmingly with over 58% of the vote. McCrory finished second with almost 25%, and Walker third with 9%. Budd won a plurality in every county in the state except forMecklenburg , which McCrory won by under 100 votes. After the results were released, McCrory declared his political career over. He did not endorse Budd for the general election.[ 27]
Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Jen Banwart, Department of Defense employee (2001–2020), and legislative staffer on Capitol Hill (1994–1996)[ 28] [ 29] Lee Brian, videographer and withdrawn candidate forNC-04 in2018 [ 30] Leonard Bryant, senior religious affairs advisor for theUnited States Army [ 31] [ 30] Drew Bulecza, businessman[ 30] Marjorie Eastman , author and veteran[ 32] David Flaherty, formerstate representative [ 33] [ 30] Benjamin Griffiths[ 30] Kenneth Harper, business owner[ 34] Pat McCrory , formergovernor of North Carolina (2013–2017), formermayor of Charlotte (1995–2009)[ 15] Charles Kenneth Moss, radio evangelist and former member of theRandolph County Soil & Water Board[ 30] [ 35] Lichia Sibhatu, daycare owner[ 30] [ 36] Debora Tshiovo[ 30] Mark Walker , former U.S. Representative forNC-06 (2015–2021)[ 37] Richard Burr , incumbent U.S. senator[ 2] (endorsed Pat McCrory )[ 40] Dan Forest , formerlieutenant governor of North Carolina (2013–2021) and nominee forgovernor in2020 [ 11] Virginia Foxx , U.S. representative forNC-5 (2005–present)[ 41] Mark Meadows , formerWhite House chief of staff , former U.S. representative forNC-11 and former chairman of the Freedom Caucus (2013–2020)[ 42] (endorsed Ted Budd )[ 43] Tim Moore ,speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives [ 11] (2015–present) (running for reelection )[ 44] Mark Robinson ,lieutenant governor of North Carolina (2021–present)[ 45] Lara Trump , television producer, senior advisor toDonald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign , and daughter-in-law of formerpresident of the United States Donald Trump (endorsed Ted Budd )[ 11] [ 46] [ 47] [ 48] Michael Whatley , chair of theNorth Carolina Republican Party [ 49] [ 50] [ 51] Ted Budd
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John M. Alexander Jr. ,state senator from District 18 (2019–2021) and District 15 (2015–2019)[ 58] W. Ted Alexander ,state senator from District 44 (2019–present)[ 58] Tom Apodaca ,state senator from District 48 (2003–2016)[ 58] Kristin Baker ,state representative from District 82 (2020–present)[ 58] Patrick J. Ballantine ,state senator from District 18 (1995–2004)[ 58] James L. Boles Jr. ,state representative from District 52 (2009–present)[ 58] Danny Britt ,state senator from District 13 (2017–present)[ 58] Jim Burgin ,state senator from District 12 (2019–present)[ 58] Warren Daniel ,state senator from District 46 (2013–present) and District 44 (2011–2013)[ 58] Carl Ford ,state senator from District 33 (2019–present)[ 58] Holly Grange ,state representative from District 20 (2016–2021)[ 58] Julia C. Howard ,state representative from District 77 (2019–present), District 79 (2003–2019), District 74 (1999–2003) and District 37 (1989–1993)[ 58] Frank Iler ,state representative from District 17 (2009–present)[ 58] Jake Johnson ,state representative from District 113 (2019–present)[ 58] Keith Kidwell ,state representative from District 79 (2019–present)[ 58] Joyce Krawiec ,state senator from District 31 (2014–present)[ 58] Michael Lazzara ,state senator from District 6 (2021–present)[ 58] Tom McInnis ,state senator from District 25 (2015–present)[ 58] Jeffrey McNeely ,state representative from District 84 (2019–present)[ 58] Grey Mills ,state representative from District 95 (2021–present, 2009–2013)[ 58] Paul Newton ,state senator from District 36 (2017–present)[ 58] Ray Pickett ,state representative from District 93 (2021–present)[ 58] Larry Pittman ,state representative from District 83 (2019–present) and District 82 (2011–2019)[ 58] Larry Potts ,state representative from District 81 (2017–present)[ 58] Mark Robinson ,lieutenant governor (2021–present)[ 59] Bob Rucho ,state senator from District 39 (2008–2017, 2003–2005) and District 35 (1997–2003)[ 58] Jason Saine ,state representative from District 97 (2011–present)[ 58] Mitchell S. Setzer ,state representative from District 89 (2003–present) and District 43 (1999–2003)[ 58] Fred Smith ,state senator from District 12 (2003–2009)[ 58] Jeff Tarte ,state senator from District 41 (2013–2019)[ 58] Harry J. Warren ,state representative from District 76 (2019–present) and District 77 (2011–2019)[ 58] Sam Watford ,state representative from District 80 (2021–present, 2015–2019)[ 58] Jeff Zenger ,state representative from District 74 (2021–present)[ 58] Organizations
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Jim Martin , 70th governor of North Carolina (1985–1993) and former U.S. representative forNC-09 (1973–1985)[ 67] Executive branch officials
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Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Ted Budd Marjorie Eastman Pat McCrory Mark Walker Other[ a] Margin Real Clear Politics [ 73] April 1 – May 5, 2022 May 12, 2022 40.3% 2.8% 22.3% 8.5% 26.1% Budd +18.0
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Ted Budd Marjorie Eastman Pat McCrory Mark Walker Other Undecided Emerson College [ 74] May 7–9, 2022 467 (LV) ± 4.5% 43% 2% 16% 12% 12%[ c] 16% co/efficient (R)[ 75] May 4–5, 2022 1,089 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 3% 20% 13% 5% 11% Atlantic Polling Strategies (R)[ 76] April 25–28, 2022 534 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 3% 21% 9% 2% 20% Meredith College [ 77] April 25–27, 2022 588 (LV) ± 4.0% 33% 3% 26% 7% 6% 34% WPA Intelligence (R)[ 78] [ A] April 24–26, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 4% 23% 9% 1% 20% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 79] April 23–25, 2022 1,049 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 6% 29% 8% – 4% Spry Strategies (R)[ 80] April 6–10, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 2% 27% 8% 3% 20% SurveyUSA [ 81] April 6–10, 2022 593 (LV) ± 5.0% 33% 2% 23% 7% 2%[ d] 33% WPA Intelligence (R)[ 82] [ A] April 3–5, 2022 510 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 3% 31% 11% 1% 11% Emerson College [ 83] April 2–4, 2022 508 (LV) ± 4.3% 38% 1% 22% 9% 8%[ e] 23% Cygnal (R)[ 84] April 1–3, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 32% 1% 21% 7% 1%[ f] 39% 34% 3% 24% 10% – 30% Vitale & Associates (R)[ 85] [ B] March 22–23, 2022 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 32% 2% 29% 12% – 25% Meeting Street Insights (R)[ 86] [ C] February 26 – March 1, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 25% 4% 31% 16% – 23% Ingress Research Group (R)[ 87] [ D] February 27, 2022 864 (LV) ± 3.3% 18% 4% 29% 11% – 35% Remington Research Group (R)[ 88] [ E] February 2022 – (LV) – 24% 3% 35% 17% – 21% Cygnal (R)[ 89] January 7–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 19% 1% 24% 7% 1%[ g] 49% Strategic Partners Solutions (R)[ 90] [ F] January 5, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 21% 1% 30% 8% <1%[ h] 41% WPA Intelligence (R)[ 91] [ A] November 1–3, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 33% – 36% 13% – 18% Public Opinion Strategies (R)[ 92] [ F] October 16–19, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 25% – 40% 8% – – WPA Intelligence (R)[ 93] [ A] June 22–24, 2021 509 (LV) ± 4.4% 21% – 45% 13% – 21% Meeting Street Insights (R)[ 94] [ C] June 9–10, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 19% – 45% 12% – 23% Spry Strategies (R)[ 95] April 21–24, 2021 700 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% – 40% 11% – 44% Public Opinion Strategies (R)[ 96] [ F] April 6–8, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 9% – 48% 13% – –
2022 North Carolina US Senate election Republican primary debates No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn Ted Budd Marjorie Eastman Pat McCrory Mark Walker 1 February 16, 2022 John Locke Foundation Carolina JournalJonah Kaplan Video A P P P 2 April 14, 2022 WRAL-TV Lena Tillett Video A N P P 3 April 20, 2022 Spectrum News 1 Tim Boyum Video A P P P 4 April 26, 2022 Nexstar Media Group Bob Buckley Rod Carter Video A N P P
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Republican primary results[ 102] Party Candidate Votes % Republican Ted Budd 448,128 58.61% Republican Pat McCrory 188,135 24.60% Republican Mark Walker 70,486 9.22% Republican Marjorie Eastman 22,535 2.95% Republican David Flaherty 7,265 0.95% Republican Kenneth Harper Jr. 7,129 0.93% Republican Jen Banwart 3,088 0.40% Republican Charles Kenneth Moss 2,920 0.38% Republican Leonard Bryant 2,906 0.38% Republican Benjamin E. Griffiths 2,870 0.38% Republican Debora Tshiovo 2,741 0.36% Republican Lee A. Brian 2,232 0.29% Republican Lichia Sibhatu 2,191 0.29% Republican Drew Bulecza 2,022 0.26% Total votes 764,648 100.0%
After losing the 2020 Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, Erica Smith teased a campaign for the other Senate seat in 2022. She officially launched her campaign in March 2021. Jeff Jackson, who has represented the 37th district in theNorth Carolina Senate since 2014, was widely speculated as a potential candidate for Senate in 2020, but he decided to run for reelection to the State Senate instead.[ 103] [ 104] In fall 2020, Jackson said he would discuss a potential 2022 campaign with his family over the holiday season. In January 2021, Jackson officially launched his campaign, and began a tour of the state, holding town hall events in all 100 counties.[ 105] Cheri Beasley narrowly lost her election to a full term as Chief Justice in 2020.[ 106] In February 2021, it was reported that she had hired a campaign consultant and was preparing to enter the U.S. Senate race.[ 107] Beasley officially launched her campaign on April 27.[ 108]
In November 2021, Smith filed papers to run forNorth Carolina's 1st congressional district in2022 after RepresentativeG. K. Butterfield announced he would not seek reelection.[ 109] On November 23, Smith officially launched her House campaign and ended her Senate campaign.[ 110] She endorsed Beasley on November 30.[ 111]
On December 16, 2021, Jackson withdrew from the race and endorsed Beasley,[ 112] making Beasley the presumptive nominee.[ 113]
Beasley easily won the nomination with over 81% of the vote.[ 114]
Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Greg Antoine, physician[ 30] Chrelle Booker,Tryon city councillor (2019–present)[ 116] James L. Carr Jr.[ 30] Robert Colon[ 30] Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond[ 30] Constance Johnson, perennial candidate[ 117] Tobias LaGrone, business owner, pastor, and counselor[ 34] B. K. Maginnis[ 30] Rett Newton, former mayor ofBeaufort (2017–2021)[ 118] Marcus Williams, attorney and perennial candidate[ 30] Sydney Batch , state senator (2021–present)[ 121] Mandy Cohen , secretary of theNorth Carolina Department of Health and Human Services (2017–present)[ 122] [ 123] Roy Cooper ,governor of North Carolina (2017–2025)[ 124] Anita Earls , associate justice of theNorth Carolina Supreme Court (2019–present)[ 125] Terence Everitt , state representative[ 126] Anthony Foxx , formerUnited States Secretary of Transportation (2013–2017) and formermayor of Charlotte (2009–2013)[ 121] Joan Higginbotham , electricalengineer and formerNASA astronaut[ 127] Vi Lyles ,mayor of Charlotte (2017–present) (running for re-election )[ 121] Grier Martin ,state representative (2005–present)[ 103] Deborah K. Ross , U.S. Representative fromNC-2 [ 128] Heath Shuler , former U.S. Representative forNC-11 (2007–2013)[ 129] Cheri Beasley
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Democratic primary results[ 102] Party Candidate Votes % Democratic Cheri Beasley 501,766 81.09% Democratic James L. Carr Jr. 21,903 3.54% Democratic Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond 21,005 3.39% Democratic Marcus W. Williams 17,446 2.82% Democratic Constance Johnson 12,500 2.02% Democratic Rett Newton 10,043 1.62% Democratic Chrelle Booker 9,937 1.61% Democratic B. K. Maginnis 7,044 1.14% Democratic Robert Colon 6,904 1.12% Democratic Greg Antoine 5,179 0.84% Democratic Tobias LaGrone 5,048 0.82% Total votes 618,775 100.0%
Independents and third-party candidates [ edit ] Matthew Hoh, activist and veteran[ 161] Write-in candidates [ edit ] Michelle Lewis, activist[ 162] Failed to make general election ballot [ edit ] ^ Minor candidates that aren't invited to any of the debates are omitted. Post-primary endorsements [ edit ] Ted Budd (R)
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Jay Adams ,state representative fromDistrict 96 (2015–present)[ 181] Mike Clampitt ,state representative fromDistrict 119 (2021–present, 2017–2019)[ 181] Jimmy Dixon ,state representative fromDistrict 4 (2021–present, 2017–2019)[ 181] Jeffrey Elmore ,state representative fromDistrict 94 (2021–present, 2017–2019)[ 181] Karl Gillespie ,state representative fromDistrict 120 (2021–present, 2017–2019)[ 181] Bobby Hanig ,state senator fromDistrict 6 (2022–present) andstate representative fromDistrict 120 (2019–2022)[ 181] Kathy Harrington , majority leader of theNorth Carolina Senate (2021–present) andstate senator fromDistrict 43 (2011–present)[ 181] Brenden Jones ,state representative fromDistrict 46 (2017–present)[ 181] Donny Lambeth ,state representative fromDistrict 75 (2013–present)[ 181] Charlie Miller ,state representative fromDistrict 19 (2021–present)[ 181] Cleta Mitchell ,Oklahoma state representative from District 44 (1977–1985) and adviser to Donald Trump[ 182] Ben Moss ,state representative fromDistrict 66 (2021–present)[ 181] Mark Pless ,state representative fromDistrict 118 (2021–present)[ 181] Bill Rabon ,state senator fromDistrict 8 (2011–present)[ 181] David Rogers ,state representative fromDistrict 112 (2016–present)[ 181] Wayne Sasser ,state representative fromDistrict 67 (2019–present)[ 181] John I. Sauls ,state representative fromDistrict 51 (2017–present, 2003–2007)[ 181] Sarah Stevens , speaker pro tempore of theNorth Carolina House of Representatives (2017–present) andstate representative fromDistrict 90 (2009–present)[ 181] Matthew Winslow ,state representative fromDistrict 7 (2021–present)[ 181] Local officials
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In the first quarter of 2022, Beasley raised $3.6 million.[ 213] In the second quarter of 2022, Beasley reported raising $7.42 million, narrowly beating a second quarter record set byCal Cunningham in 2020.[ 214]
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Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Ted Budd (R) Cheri Beasley (D) Undecided[ k] Margin Real Clear Politics [ 215] October 20 – November 6, 2022 November 7, 2022 51.0% 45.0% 4.0% Budd +6.0 FiveThirtyEight [ 216] November 10, 2021 – November 6, 2022 November 7, 2022 49.5% 45.2% 5.3% Budd +4.3 270toWin [ 217] November 2–7, 2022 November 7, 2022 50.5% 45.5% 4.0% Budd +5.0 Average 50.3% 45.2% 4.4% Budd +5.1
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Ted Budd (R) Cheri Beasley (D) Other Undecided The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 218] November 4–6, 2022 1,098 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 45% 2% 1% Data for Progress (D)[ 219] November 2–6, 2022 1,322 (LV) ± 2.0% 51% 45% 3%[ l] – East Carolina University [ 220] November 1–3, 2022 1,183 (LV) ± 3.3% 52% 47% 1%[ m] – ActiVote [ 221] August 5 – November 3, 2022 250 (LV) ± 6.0% 48% 47% 5%[ n] – Remington Research Group (R)[ 222] November 1–2, 2022 1,140 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 43% 2%[ o] 5% Civiqs [ 223] October 29 – November 2, 2022 674 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 49% 2%[ p] 1% Meredith College [ 224] October 27–30, 2022 724 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 43% 7%[ q] 7% Emerson College [ 225] October 27–29, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 45% 3%[ r] 2% 51% 46% 4%[ s] – Cygnal (R)[ 226] [ I] October 20–22, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 43% 2%[ t] 7% Marist College [ 227] October 17–20, 2022 1,130 (RV) ± 3.8% 44% 44% 2%[ u] 10% 899 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 45% 1%[ v] 5% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 228] October 16–19, 2022 1,081 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 44% 3%[ w] 5% East Carolina University [ 229] October 10–13, 2022 902 (LV) ± 3.8% 50% 44% 2%[ x] 5% Wick Insights [ 230] October 8–13, 2022 1,009 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 44% 2%[ y] 5% Public Policy Polling (D)[ 231] [ J] October 7–8, 2022 606 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% – 9% SurveyUSA [ 232] September 28 – October 2, 2022 677 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 42% 2%[ z] 13% Cygnal (R)[ 233] [ I] September 24–26, 2022 650 (LV) ± 3.79% 44% 44% 2%[ aa] 10% Meredith College [ 234] September 20–23, 2022 731 (LV) ± 3.3% 41% 41% 4%[ ab] 14% Civiqs [ 235] September 17–20, 2022 586 (LV) ± 5.5% 48% 49% 1%[ ac] 2% Global Strategy Group (D)[ 236] [ G] September 12–20, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 46% – – Emerson College [ 237] September 15–16, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 43% 3%[ ad] 9% East Carolina University [ 238] September 7–10, 2022 1,020 (LV) ± 3.6% 49% 46% 1%[ ae] 4% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 239] September 1–4, 2022 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 44% 4%[ af] 6% Public Policy Polling (D)[ 240] August 29–30, 2022 601 (V) ± 4.0% 41% 42% 6%[ ag] 12% Cygnal (R)[ 241] August 13–15, 2022 615 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 42% 3%[ ah] 13% Blueprint Polling (D)[ 242] August 4–6, 2022 656 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 46% – 12% PEM Management Corporation (R)[ 243] [ K] July 22–24, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 40% 43% 2% 15% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 244] June 29 – July 1, 2022 1,068 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 45% 4%[ ai] 3% Cygnal (R)[ 245] June 17–19, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 40% 4%[ aj] 11% SurveyUSA [ 246] June 8–12, 2022 650 (LV) ± 5.1% 40% 44% 2%[ ak] 14% Cygnal (R)[ 247] May 21–22, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 42% 3%[ al] 12% East Carolina University [ 248] May 19–20, 2022 635 (RV) ± 4.5% 49% 42% 2% 7% Meeting Street Insights (R)[ 249] [ L] May 12–16, 2022 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 45% – 10% Emerson College [ 74] May 7–9, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 41% – 10% Global Strategy Group (D)[ 250] [ G] April 28 – May 4, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 45% – 10% Emerson College [ 83] April 2–4, 2022 1,047 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 43% – 8% Cygnal (R)[ 251] March 30–31, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 45% 43% – 12% Redfield & Wilton Strategies [ 252] November 10, 2021 777 (RV) ± 3.5% 37% 36% 3% 18% 757 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 39% 3% 16%
Hypothetical polling
Marjorie Eastman vs. Cheri Beasley
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Marjorie Eastman (R) Cheri Beasley (D) Undecided Emerson College [ 83] April 2–4, 2022 1,047 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 44% 12%
Pat McCrory vs. Cheri Beasley
Mark Walker vs. Cheri Beasley
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Mark Walker (R) Cheri Beasley (D) Undecided Emerson College [ 83] April 2–4, 2022 1,047 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 42% 11%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Generic Republican Generic Democrat Other Undecided Cygnal (R)[ 251] March 30–31, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 44% – 7% Spry Strategies (R)[ 253] August 17, 2021 303 (LV) ± 5.6% 46% 34% 5% 15% Cygnal (R)[ 254] May 6–8, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% – 6% Cygnal (R)[ 254] March 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% – 7%
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican [ edit ] Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic [ edit ] By congressional district [ edit ] Budd and Beasley each won seven of 14 congressional districts.[ 256]
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. ^a b c d e f g h Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear ^ Harper with 3%; Flaherty and Bulecza with 2%; Banwart, Bryant, Griffiths, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 1%; Brian and Moss with 0% ^ Brian and Moss with 1%; Banwart, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0% ^ Griffiths with 2%; Brian, Bulecza, Flaherty, Harper, Moss, and Sibhatu with 1%; Banwart with 0% ^ Banwart, Brian, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Moss, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0% ^ Bishop with 1%, Banwart with 0% ^ Cooke with <1%; Banwart and Harper with 0% ^ Williams with 9%, "Someone else" with 6% ^ Williams with 4%; Booker, Carr, and Hammond with 2%; Antoine, Johnson, and LaGrone with 1%; Colon and Maginnis with 0% ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1% ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with <1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1% ^ Hoh (G) with 4%; Bray (L) with 1% ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1% ^ "Someone else" with 2% ^ Bray (L) with 4%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2% ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1% ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1% ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1% ^ "Another party's candidate" with 2% ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1% ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1% ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1% ^ "Someone else" with 2% ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1% ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1% ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 2% ^ "Someone else" with 1% ^ Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%, "Someone else" with 1% ^ Hoh (G) with 1%; Bray (L) with <1% ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1% ^ Bray (L) with 5%; Hoh (G) with 1% ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1% ^ Bray (L) with 2%; "Other" with 2% ^ Bray (L) with 3%; Hoh (G) with 1% ^ Bray (L) with 2% ^ Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1% Partisan clients
^a b c d e Poll conducted for Club for Growth Action, which has endorsed Budd's campaign. ^ Poll conducted for the North Carolina Values Coalition ^a b Poll conducted for Budd's campaign ^ Poll conducted for Awake Carolina, which supports Walker ^ Poll conducted for Walker's campaign ^a b c Poll conducted for McCrory's campaign committee ^a b c d Poll conducted for Beasley's campaign ^ Poll conducted for EMILY's List which endorsed Beasley prior to the poll's sampling period ^a b Poll conducted for theJohn Locke Foundation , a conservative think tank. ^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward, which supports Beasley ^ Poll conducted for John Bolton Super PAC ^ Poll sponsored by the Carolina Partnership for Reform ^ "2022 State Primary Election Dates and Filing Deadlines" .www.ncsl.org . RetrievedNovember 6, 2021 .^a b Campbell, Colin (July 20, 2016)."US Sen. Richard Burr says 2016 will be his last run for elected office" .The Charlotte Observer .Archived from the original on November 11, 2016. RetrievedNovember 10, 2016 . ^ Anderson, Bryan (April 27, 2021)."Ex-Justice Cheri Beasley joins North Carolina Senate race" .Associated Press .Archived from the original on July 9, 2021. RetrievedJuly 9, 2021 . ^a b c "Ted Budd launches Senate bid in North Carolina" .Politico . April 28, 2021.Archived from the original on April 28, 2021. RetrievedApril 28, 2021 .^a b Dawsey, Josh (June 6, 2021)."Trump endorses North Carolina's Rep. Ted Budd for Senate after Lara Trump declines to run" .The Washington Post . Archived fromthe original on June 7, 2021. RetrievedJune 7, 2021 . ^ Dawsey, Josh; Wastson, Julie (June 6, 2021)."Republican leaders say they want to focus on the future, but Trump is far from done with the past" .The Washington Post . Archived fromthe original on June 7, 2021. RetrievedJune 7, 2021 . ^ "NC military veteran Marjorie K. 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September 8, 2022.^a b "Clyburn, Stabenow to campaign for Beasley in North Carolina Senate race" .The Hill . October 18, 2022.^ "U.S. Senate hopeful Beasley rallies supporters in Greenville" . October 28, 2022.^ Shapero, Julia (November 3, 2022)."Oprah Winfrey backs Fetterman" .The Hill . ^ "Equality NC PAC2022 Endorsements" . Equality NC PAC.^ Saccone, Mike (July 28, 2022)."National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Cheri Beasley for U.S. Senate" (Press release).National Wildlife Federation . ^ "NWPC 2022 Endorsed Candidates" .National Women's Political Caucus .^ "NC Labor 2022 - Endorsements" . RetrievedJuly 2, 2022 .^ "Endorsement: The Editorial Board's choice in North Carolina's U.S. Senate race" .The Charlotte Observer (editorial). October 28, 2022.Archived from the original on November 14, 2022.^ "Editorial: Our endorsements for the 2022 midterm elections" .^ Hackmer, Michael (November 1, 2022)."Reform Party Endorses Michelle Lewis for US Senate in North Carolina" (Press release). Reform Party National Committee. RetrievedNovember 1, 2022 . ^ "Pat McCrory refuses endorse Ted Budd after losing GOP primary in North Carolina" (video).NBC News .^ "Beasley makes largest quarterly fundraising in Senate bid" .Associated Press . April 7, 2022. RetrievedJuly 14, 2022 .^ Wright, Will (July 13, 2022)."Beasley campaign beats second-quarter fundraising record in North Carolina Senate bid" .The News & Observer . RetrievedJuly 14, 2022 . ^ Real Clear Politics ^ FiveThirtyEight ^ 270toWin ^ The Trafalgar Group (R) ^ Data for Progress (D) ^ East Carolina University ^ ActiVote ^ Remington Research Group (R) ^ Civiqs ^ Meredith College ^ Emerson College ^ Cygnal (R) ^ Marist College ^ The Trafalgar Group (R) ^ East Carolina University ^ Wick Insights ^ Public Policy Polling (D) ^ SurveyUSA ^ Cygnal (R) ^ Meredith College ^ Civiqs ^ Global Strategy Group (D) ^ Emerson College ^ East Carolina University ^ The Trafalgar Group (R) ^ Public Policy Polling (D) ^ Cygnal (R) ^ Blueprint Polling (D) ^ PEM Management Corporation (R) ^ The Trafalgar Group (R) ^ Cygnal (R) ^ SurveyUSA ^ Cygnal (R) ^ East Carolina University ^ Meeting Street Insights (R) Archived May 18, 2022, at theWayback Machine ^a b Global Strategy Group (D) ^a b c Cygnal (R) ^a b Redfield & Wilton Strategies ^ Spry Strategies (R) ^a b Cygnal (R) ^ "11/08/2022 OFFICIAL LOCAL ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE" .North Carolina State Board of Elections .^ https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::6e8268a4-3b9b-4140-8f99-e3544a2f0816 Official campaign websites
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