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2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Not to be confused with2022 North Carolina Senate election.

2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina

← 2016November 8, 20222028 →
 
NomineeTed BuddCheri Beasley
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote1,905,7861,784,049
Percentage50.50%47.27%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Budd:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Beasley:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%

U.S. senator before election

Richard Burr
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Ted Budd
Republican

Elections in North Carolina
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives

The2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of North Carolina. Republican CongressmanTed Budd won his first term in office, defeating Democratic nomineeCheri Beasley. Primary elections were scheduled for March 8, 2022,[1] but were delayed by theNorth Carolina Supreme Court and rescheduled for May 17.

Incumbent three-termRepublican U.S. SenatorRichard Burr announced in 2016 that he would not seek reelection in 2022.[2] Former chief justice of theNorth Carolina Supreme CourtCheri Beasley[3] andU.S. RepresentativeTed Budd won theDemocratic andRepublicanprimaries, respectively.[4][5][6][7] The race was considered competitive, with Budd narrowly leading in polls.[8][9] Budd ultimately won with 50.5% of the vote to Beasley's 47.3%—a margin of 3.2%.[10]

Despite ultimately winning the election, Budd's performance marked the lowest share of the vote received by any Republican running for North Carolina'sClass III Senate seat since1998.

Republican primary

[edit]
Former GovernorPat McCrory fromCharlotte finished second in the primary.
Former U.S. RepresentativeMark Walker fromGreensboro finished third in the primary.

With Burr's retirement, this primary was expected to be very competitive.[11] Former U.S. RepresentativeMark Walker was the first major candidate to announce his candidacy, on December 1, 2020.[12] Walker opted to retire from the House and not run for reelection in2020 becausehis district was made much more favorable to the Democratic Party after redistricting. Former presidentDonald Trump's daughter-in-lawLara Trump was widely speculated as a possible candidate for this seat.[11] She received encouragement and support from U.S. SenatorLindsey Graham[13] andKellyanne Conway,[11] a former Trump White House official. Early opinion polls suggested she would perform well against other prospective candidates in the primary.[14] On April 14, 2021, former governorPat McCrory announced his candidacy.[15] U.S. Representative Ted Budd announced his candidacy on April 28, 2021.[4]

Opinion polls taken during April 2021 showed McCrory with a wide lead over Walker and Budd. McCrory was aided by a high degree of name recognition because of his several statewide campaigns.[16]

On June 5, 2021, theNorth Carolina Republican Party held a convention inGreenville. At the convention, former president Trump announced that he was endorsing Budd for the U.S. Senate seat.[17] Lara Trump announced that she would not be running, and joined her father-in-law in endorsing Budd. The former president also took a shot at McCrory, saying, "You can't pick people that have already lost two races, that do not stand for our values." McCrory lost both the2008 and2016 gubernatorial elections.[18] Budd was reportedly unaware of Trump's intentions until 15 minutes before he took the stage.[18] Both Walker and McCrory stated their intentions to stay in the race.[5]

Meanwhile, North Carolina redrew its congressional maps, making Walker's house seat more favorable to Republicans than it had been before 2020. After that, Trump met with Walker and promised to endorse him if he left the Senate race to instead run for his old House seat, newly numbered as the 7th district.[19] Walker filed to switch races, but later decided against it in favor of staying in the Senate race.[20]

The first primary debate was held on February 26 in Raleigh. It was sponsored by theJohn Locke Foundation, aconservative think tank based in North Carolina. McCrory, Walker and Eastman participated. Budd was invited, but did not attend, leaving an empty podium.[21][22] The first televised debate was held byWRAL-TV on April 14 and featured McCrory and Walker, with Budd once again declining to attend.[23] A third debate was held on April 20 onSpectrum News 1. McCrory, Walker, and Eastman participated.[24] A fourth debate, sponsored byNexstar Media Group, was held on April 26 and aired on television stations across North Carolina, includingWJZY,WNCN,WGHP, andWNCT-TV.[25] McCrory and Walker participated. Budd declined and Eastman was not invited.[26]

Budd won the primary overwhelmingly with over 58% of the vote. McCrory finished second with almost 25%, and Walker third with 9%. Budd won a plurality in every county in the state except forMecklenburg, which McCrory won by under 100 votes. After the results were released, McCrory declared his political career over. He did not endorse Budd for the general election.[27]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ted Budd

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Organizations

Marjorie Eastman

U.S. senators

Pat McCrory

U.S. senators

U.S. governors

  • Jim Martin, 70th governor of North Carolina (1985–1993) and former U.S. representative forNC-09 (1973–1985)[67]
Mark Walker[68][37]

Executive branch officials

U.S. governors

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ted
Budd
Marjorie
Eastman
Pat
McCrory
Mark
Walker
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[73]April 1 – May 5, 2022May 12, 202240.3%2.8%22.3%8.5%26.1%Budd +18.0
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ted
Budd
Marjorie
Eastman
Pat
McCrory
Mark
Walker
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[74]May 7–9, 2022467 (LV)± 4.5%43%2%16%12%12%[c]16%
co/efficient (R)[75]May 4–5, 20221,089 (LV)± 3.0%48%3%20%13%5%11%
Atlantic Polling Strategies (R)[76]April 25–28, 2022534 (LV)± 4.9%45%3%21%9%2%20%
Meredith College[77]April 25–27, 2022588 (LV)± 4.0%33%3%26%7%6%34%
WPA Intelligence (R)[78][A]April 24–26, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%43%4%23%9%1%20%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[79]April 23–25, 20221,049 (LV)± 3.0%53%6%29%8%4%
Spry Strategies (R)[80]April 6–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%40%2%27%8%3%20%
SurveyUSA[81]April 6–10, 2022593 (LV)± 5.0%33%2%23%7%2%[d]33%
WPA Intelligence (R)[82][A]April 3–5, 2022510 (LV)± 4.4%44%3%31%11%1%11%
Emerson College[83]April 2–4, 2022508 (LV)± 4.3%38%1%22%9%8%[e]23%
Cygnal (R)[84]April 1–3, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%32%1%21%7%1%[f]39%
34%3%24%10%30%
Vitale & Associates (R)[85][B]March 22–23, 2022504 (LV)± 4.4%32%2%29%12%25%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[86][C]February 26 – March 1, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%25%4%31%16%23%
Ingress Research Group (R)[87][D]February 27, 2022864 (LV)± 3.3%18%4%29%11%35%
Remington Research Group (R)[88][E]February 2022– (LV)24%3%35%17%21%
Cygnal (R)[89]January 7–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%19%1%24%7%1%[g]49%
Strategic Partners Solutions (R)[90][F]January 5, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%21%1%30%8%<1%[h]41%
WPA Intelligence (R)[91][A]November 1–3, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%33%36%13%18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[92][F]October 16–19, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%25%40%8%
WPA Intelligence (R)[93][A]June 22–24, 2021509 (LV)± 4.4%21%45%13%21%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[94][C]June 9–10, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%19%45%12%23%
Spry Strategies (R)[95]April 21–24, 2021700 (LV)± 4.4%5%40%11%44%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[96][F]April 6–8, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%9%48%13%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ted
Budd
Dan
Forest
George
Holding
Pat
McCrory
Tim
Moore
Mark
Robinson
Lara
Trump
Mark
Walker
OtherUndecided
Spry Strategies (R)[80]April 6–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%30%20%
Cygnal (R)[89]January 7–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%34%33%33%
WPA Intelligence (R)[97][A]December 19–21, 2021504 (LV)± 4.4%47%43%10%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)[98]April 20, 2021500 (LV)± 6.2%2%36%36%10%15%
Cygnal (R)[99]April 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%13%14%20%32%3%
Meredith College[100]March 12–15, 2021217 (LV)± 6.3%6%17%27%7%4%39%
UNLV Lee Business School[101]November 30 – December 2, 2020221 (RV)± 7.0%3%23%2%24%7%3%39%

Debates

[edit]
2022 North Carolina US Senate election Republican primary debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W  Withdrawn
Ted BuddMarjorie EastmanPat McCroryMark Walker
1February 16, 2022John Locke Foundation
Carolina Journal
Jonah KaplanVideoAPPP
2April 14, 2022WRAL-TVLena TillettVideoANPP
3April 20, 2022Spectrum News 1Tim BoyumVideoAPPP
4April 26, 2022Nexstar Media GroupBob Buckley
Rod Carter
VideoANPP

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Budd
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  McCrory
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[102]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTed Budd448,12858.61%
RepublicanPat McCrory188,13524.60%
RepublicanMark Walker70,4869.22%
RepublicanMarjorie Eastman22,5352.95%
RepublicanDavid Flaherty7,2650.95%
RepublicanKenneth Harper Jr.7,1290.93%
RepublicanJen Banwart3,0880.40%
RepublicanCharles Kenneth Moss2,9200.38%
RepublicanLeonard Bryant2,9060.38%
RepublicanBenjamin E. Griffiths2,8700.38%
RepublicanDebora Tshiovo2,7410.36%
RepublicanLee A. Brian2,2320.29%
RepublicanLichia Sibhatu2,1910.29%
RepublicanDrew Bulecza2,0220.26%
Total votes764,648100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

After losing the 2020 Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, Erica Smith teased a campaign for the other Senate seat in 2022. She officially launched her campaign in March 2021. Jeff Jackson, who has represented the 37th district in theNorth Carolina Senate since 2014, was widely speculated as a potential candidate for Senate in 2020, but he decided to run for reelection to the State Senate instead.[103][104] In fall 2020, Jackson said he would discuss a potential 2022 campaign with his family over the holiday season. In January 2021, Jackson officially launched his campaign, and began a tour of the state, holding town hall events in all 100 counties.[105] Cheri Beasley narrowly lost her election to a full term as Chief Justice in 2020.[106] In February 2021, it was reported that she had hired a campaign consultant and was preparing to enter the U.S. Senate race.[107] Beasley officially launched her campaign on April 27.[108]

In November 2021, Smith filed papers to run forNorth Carolina's 1st congressional district in2022 after RepresentativeG. K. Butterfield announced he would not seek reelection.[109] On November 23, Smith officially launched her House campaign and ended her Senate campaign.[110] She endorsed Beasley on November 30.[111]

On December 16, 2021, Jackson withdrew from the race and endorsed Beasley,[112] making Beasley the presumptive nominee.[113]

Beasley easily won the nomination with over 81% of the vote.[114]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Greg Antoine, physician[30]
  • Chrelle Booker,Tryon city councillor (2019–present)[116]
  • James L. Carr Jr.[30]
  • Robert Colon[30]
  • Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond[30]
  • Constance Johnson, perennial candidate[117]
  • Tobias LaGrone, business owner, pastor, and counselor[34]
  • B. K. Maginnis[30]
  • Rett Newton, former mayor ofBeaufort (2017–2021)[118]
  • Marcus Williams, attorney and perennial candidate[30]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Tobias LaGrone
Organizations
Cheri Beasley

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Local officials

Organizations

Newspapers and publications

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Cheri
Beasley
Jeff
Jackson
Rett
Newton
Erica
Smith
Richard
Watkins
OtherUndecided
Meredith College[77]April 25–27, 2022392 (LV)± 4.9%49%16%[i]35%
SurveyUSA[81]April 6–10, 2022523 (LV)± 5.3%37%2%13%[j]49%
December 16, 2021Jackson withdraws from the race.
November 23, 2021Smith withdraws from the race.
November 17, 2021Watkins withdraws from the race.
Global Strategy Group (D)[157][G]November 1–7, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%39%25%36%
Public Policy Polling (D)[158][H]August 31 – September 1, 2021700 (LV)± 3.7%33%24%43%
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)[98]April 20, 2021500 (LV)± 6.2%32%26%8%16%3%14%
Meredith College[159]March 12–15, 2021312 (LV)± 5.3%13%13%11%4%3%57%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Beasley
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results[102]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCheri Beasley501,76681.09%
DemocraticJames L. Carr Jr.21,9033.54%
DemocraticAlyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond21,0053.39%
DemocraticMarcus W. Williams17,4462.82%
DemocraticConstance Johnson12,5002.02%
DemocraticRett Newton10,0431.62%
DemocraticChrelle Booker9,9371.61%
DemocraticB. K. Maginnis7,0441.14%
DemocraticRobert Colon6,9041.12%
DemocraticGreg Antoine5,1790.84%
DemocraticTobias LaGrone5,0480.82%
Total votes618,775100.0%

Independents and third-party candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Green Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Matthew Hoh, activist and veteran[161]

Independents

[edit]

Write-in candidates

[edit]
  • Michelle Lewis, activist[162]

Failed to make general election ballot

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
2022 North Carolina Senate general election debates[i]
No.DateOrganizerLocationKey:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W  Withdrawn
Source
Cheri BeasleyTed Budd
1October 7, 2022Spectrum News 1 North CarolinaRaleighPP[164]
  1. ^Minor candidates that aren't invited to any of the debates are omitted.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[165]Lean RFebruary 25, 2022
Inside Elections[166]Tilt ROctober 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[167]Lean RAugust 2, 2022
Politico[168]Lean RApril 1, 2022
RCP[169]Lean ROctober 26, 2022
Fox News[170]Lean RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ[171]Lean ROctober 6, 2022
538[172]Likely RAugust 3, 2022
The Economist[173]Lean RSeptember 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Ted Budd (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Cheri Beasley (D)

U.S. presidents

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Michelle Lewis (write-in)
Political parties
Declined to endorse

State officials

Fundraising

[edit]

In the first quarter of 2022, Beasley raised $3.6 million.[213] In the second quarter of 2022, Beasley reported raising $7.42 million, narrowly beating a second quarter record set byCal Cunningham in 2020.[214]

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ted
Budd (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
Undecided
[k]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[215]October 20 – November 6, 2022November 7, 202251.0%45.0%4.0%Budd +6.0
FiveThirtyEight[216]November 10, 2021 – November 6, 2022November 7, 202249.5%45.2%5.3%Budd +4.3
270toWin[217]November 2–7, 2022November 7, 202250.5%45.5%4.0%Budd +5.0
Average50.3%45.2%4.4%Budd +5.1

Graphical summary

This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ted
Budd (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[218]November 4–6, 20221,098 (LV)± 2.9%51%45%2%1%
Data for Progress (D)[219]November 2–6, 20221,322 (LV)± 2.0%51%45%3%[l]
East Carolina University[220]November 1–3, 20221,183 (LV)± 3.3%52%47%1%[m]
ActiVote[221]August 5 – November 3, 2022250 (LV)± 6.0%48%47%5%[n]
Remington Research Group (R)[222]November 1–2, 20221,140 (LV)± 2.9%50%43%2%[o]5%
Civiqs[223]October 29 – November 2, 2022674 (LV)± 4.9%49%49%2%[p]1%
Meredith College[224]October 27–30, 2022724 (RV)± 3.4%44%43%7%[q]7%
Emerson College[225]October 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%45%3%[r]2%
51%46%4%[s]
Cygnal (R)[226][I]October 20–22, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%47%43%2%[t]7%
Marist College[227]October 17–20, 20221,130 (RV)± 3.8%44%44%2%[u]10%
899 (LV)± 4.2%49%45%1%[v]5%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[228]October 16–19, 20221,081 (LV)± 2.9%48%44%3%[w]5%
East Carolina University[229]October 10–13, 2022902 (LV)± 3.8%50%44%2%[x]5%
Wick Insights[230]October 8–13, 20221,009 (LV)± 3.1%49%44%2%[y]5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[231][J]October 7–8, 2022606 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%9%
SurveyUSA[232]September 28 – October 2, 2022677 (LV)± 4.4%43%42%2%[z]13%
Cygnal (R)[233][I]September 24–26, 2022650 (LV)± 3.79%44%44%2%[aa]10%
Meredith College[234]September 20–23, 2022731 (LV)± 3.3%41%41%4%[ab]14%
Civiqs[235]September 17–20, 2022586 (LV)± 5.5%48%49%1%[ac]2%
Global Strategy Group (D)[236][G]September 12–20, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%46%46%
Emerson College[237]September 15–16, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%46%43%3%[ad]9%
East Carolina University[238]September 7–10, 20221,020 (LV)± 3.6%49%46%1%[ae]4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[239]September 1–4, 20221,079 (LV)± 2.9%47%44%4%[af]6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[240]August 29–30, 2022601 (V)± 4.0%41%42%6%[ag]12%
Cygnal (R)[241]August 13–15, 2022615 (LV)± 3.9%42%42%3%[ah]13%
Blueprint Polling (D)[242]August 4–6, 2022656 (LV)± 3.8%42%46%12%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[243][K]July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%40%43%2%15%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[244]June 29 – July 1, 20221,068 (LV)± 2.9%48%45%4%[ai]3%
Cygnal (R)[245]June 17–19, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%45%40%4%[aj]11%
SurveyUSA[246]June 8–12, 2022650 (LV)± 5.1%40%44%2%[ak]14%
Cygnal (R)[247]May 21–22, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%44%42%3%[al]12%
East Carolina University[248]May 19–20, 2022635 (RV)± 4.5%49%42%2%7%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[249][L]May 12–16, 2022500 (RV)± 4.4%46%45%10%
Emerson College[74]May 7–9, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%41%10%
Global Strategy Group (D)[250][G]April 28 – May 4, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%45%45%10%
Emerson College[83]April 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%50%43%8%
Cygnal (R)[251]March 30–31, 2022513 (LV)± 4.3%45%43%12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[252]November 10, 2021777 (RV)± 3.5%37%36%3%18%
757 (LV)± 3.6%40%39%3%16%
Hypothetical polling

Marjorie Eastman vs. Cheri Beasley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Marjorie
Eastman (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
Undecided
Emerson College[83]April 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%44%44%12%

Pat McCrory vs. Cheri Beasley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Pat
McCrory (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[74]May 7–9, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%39%44%17%
Global Strategy Group (D)[250][G]April 28 – May 4, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%45%44%11%
Emerson College[83]April 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%41%43%17%
Cygnal (R)[251]March 30–31, 2022513 (LV)± 4.3%41%41%18%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[252]November 10, 2021777 (RV)± 3.5%39%37%3%15%
757 (LV)± 3.6%42%40%3%13%

Mark Walker vs. Cheri Beasley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Mark
Walker (R)
Cheri
Beasley (D)
Undecided
Emerson College[83]April 2–4, 20221,047 (RV)± 3.0%47%42%11%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
OtherUndecided
Cygnal (R)[251]March 30–31, 2022513 (LV)± 4.3%50%44%7%
Spry Strategies (R)[253]August 17, 2021303 (LV)± 5.6%46%34%5%15%
Cygnal (R)[254]May 6–8, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%6%
Cygnal (R)[254]March 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%7%

Results

[edit]
2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina[255]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanTed Budd1,905,78650.50%−0.56%
DemocraticCheri Beasley1,784,04947.27%+1.90%
LibertarianShannon W. Bray51,6401.37%−2.20%
GreenMatthew Hoh29,9340.79%N/A
Write-in2,5150.07%N/A
Total votes3,773,924100.0%
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Budd and Beasley each won seven of 14 congressional districts.[256]

DistrictBuddBeasleyRepresentative
1st48.8%49.3%G. K. Butterfield (117th Congress)
Don Davis (118th Congress)
2nd34%63%Deborah Ross
3rd64%34%Greg Murphy
4th31%67%David Price (117th Congress)
Valerie Foushee (118th Congress)
5th60%37%Virginia Foxx
6th45%53%Kathy Manning
7th56%42%David Rouzer
8th68%30%Dan Bishop
9th54%44%Richard Hudson
10th70%28%Patrick McHenry
11th53%45%Madison Cawthorn (117th Congress)
Chuck Edwards (118th Congress)
12th36%62%Alma Adams
13th48%50%Wiley Nickel
14th41%57%Jeff Jackson

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^abcdefghKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^Harper with 3%; Flaherty and Bulecza with 2%; Banwart, Bryant, Griffiths, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 1%; Brian and Moss with 0%
  4. ^Brian and Moss with 1%; Banwart, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0%
  5. ^Griffiths with 2%; Brian, Bulecza, Flaherty, Harper, Moss, and Sibhatu with 1%; Banwart with 0%
  6. ^Banwart, Brian, Bryant, Bulecza, Flaherty, Griffiths, Harper, Moss, Sibhatu, and Tshiovo with 0%
  7. ^Bishop with 1%, Banwart with 0%
  8. ^Cooke with <1%; Banwart and Harper with 0%
  9. ^Williams with 9%, "Someone else" with 6%
  10. ^Williams with 4%; Booker, Carr, and Hammond with 2%; Antoine, Johnson, and LaGrone with 1%; Colon and Maginnis with 0%
  11. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. ^Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  13. ^Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with <1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1%
  14. ^Hoh (G) with 4%; Bray (L) with 1%
  15. ^Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  16. ^"Someone else" with 2%
  17. ^Bray (L) with 4%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  18. ^Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  19. ^Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  20. ^Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1%
  21. ^"Another party's candidate" with 2%
  22. ^"Another party's candidate" with 1%
  23. ^Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  24. ^Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Write-in candidate" with <1%
  25. ^"Someone else" with 2%
  26. ^Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with <1%
  27. ^Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  28. ^Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 2%
  29. ^"Someone else" with 1%
  30. ^Bray (L) with 1%; Hoh (G) with 1%, "Someone else" with 1%
  31. ^Hoh (G) with 1%; Bray (L) with <1%
  32. ^Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  33. ^Bray (L) with 5%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  34. ^Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  35. ^Bray (L) with 2%; "Other" with 2%
  36. ^Bray (L) with 3%; Hoh (G) with 1%
  37. ^Bray (L) with 2%
  38. ^Bray (L) with 2%; Hoh (G) with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^abcdePoll conducted for Club for Growth Action, which has endorsed Budd's campaign.
  2. ^Poll conducted for the North Carolina Values Coalition
  3. ^abPoll conducted for Budd's campaign
  4. ^Poll conducted for Awake Carolina, which supports Walker
  5. ^Poll conducted for Walker's campaign
  6. ^abcPoll conducted for McCrory's campaign committee
  7. ^abcdPoll conducted for Beasley's campaign
  8. ^Poll conducted for EMILY's List which endorsed Beasley prior to the poll's sampling period
  9. ^abPoll conducted for theJohn Locke Foundation, a conservative think tank.
  10. ^Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward, which supports Beasley
  11. ^Poll conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
  12. ^Poll sponsored by the Carolina Partnership for Reform

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  164. ^"NC Senate hopefuls Budd, Beasley agree to October debate".WUNC.Associated Press. September 15, 2022.Archived from the original on September 15, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 16, 2022.
  165. ^"2022 Senate Race ratings".The Cook Political Report.Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. RetrievedJuly 22, 2021.
  166. ^"Senate ratings".Inside Elections.Archived from the original on January 20, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2021.
  167. ^"2022 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball.Archived from the original on February 1, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 28, 2021.
  168. ^"North Carolina Senate Race 2022".Politico. April 1, 2022.
  169. ^"Battle for the Senate 2022".RealClearPolitics. January 10, 2022.
  170. ^"2022 Election Forecast".Fox News. May 12, 2022. RetrievedMay 12, 2022.
  171. ^"2022 Election Forecast".DDHQ. July 20, 2022. RetrievedJuly 20, 2022.
  172. ^"2022 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived fromthe original on June 30, 2022. RetrievedJune 30, 2022.
  173. ^"Economist's 2022 Senate forecast".The Economist. September 7, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2022.
  174. ^Mercer, Matt (July 15, 2022)."Nikki Haley endorses Ted Budd in US Senate race".North State Journal. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2022.
  175. ^Battagalia, Danielle (November 1, 2022)."Former VP Mike Pence to visit North Carolina for Budd campaign".The News & Observer. RetrievedNovember 2, 2022.
  176. ^Deatherage, Stan (August 10, 2022)."Secretary Pompeo Endorses Ted Budd For Senate" (Press release).Mike Pompeo. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2022 – via Beaufort County Now.
  177. ^Brand, Hayley (October 11, 2022)."Ted Budd Speaks at Rally Ahead of Midterm Election".WCCB.
  178. ^@votetimscott (July 17, 2022)."I'm endorsing Ted Budd because he fights hard to protect North Carolina families every single day. I firmly believe @TedBuddNC will work to make North Carolina and our country a better place to live."" (Tweet). RetrievedJuly 20, 2022 – viaTwitter.
  179. ^Deatherage, Stan (July 3, 2021)."Congressman Brian Mast Endorses Ted Budd for US Senate" (Press release).Brian Mast. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2022 – via Beaufort County Now.
  180. ^Deatherage, Stan (October 11, 2022)."NC Farmers Fact-Check Beasley Pre-Debate!" (Press release).Steve Troxler. RetrievedNovember 1, 2022 – via Beaufort County Now.
  181. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrDeatherage, Stan (April 6, 2022)."Conservative NC Lawmakers Endorse Ted Budd Never-Trumper Hosts McCrory!" (Press release).Jay Adams. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2022 – via Beaufort County Now.
  182. ^Battaglia, Danielle (August 5, 2022)."Trump Adviser Who Tried To Overturn Election Hosts NC fundraiser For US Senate Candidate".The Charlotte Observer. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2022.
  183. ^Fain, Travis (August 12, 2022)."In NC Senate race, GOP's Budd steps up public appearances to tout law enforcement support".WRAL. RetrievedAugust 12, 2022.
  184. ^Hammer, Josh (October 24, 2022)."Rhino Times Midterm Election Endorsements".Rhino Times. RetrievedNovember 2, 2022.
  185. ^"APP Congratulates Ted Budd on Victory in N.C. GOP Senate Primary".American Principles Project. May 18, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2022.
  186. ^"Endorsed Candidates".Campaign for Working Families. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2022.
  187. ^"Why You and Other North Carolinians should vote for Ted Budd". The Conservative Caucus. Archived fromthe original on September 27, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2022.
  188. ^"FRC Action PAC Endorses Ted Budd for U.S. Senate in North Carolina". August 9, 2022. RetrievedAugust 13, 2022.
  189. ^"Home".HSLDA Action PAC.
  190. ^"North Carolina".HUCK PAC.
  191. ^"North Carolina's Small Business Community Endorses Ted Budd".nfib.com. August 23, 2022. RetrievedAugust 25, 2022.
  192. ^"North Carolina".National Republican Senatorial Committee.
  193. ^"National Right to Life Endorses Ted Budd in North Carolina Senate Race" (Press release).National Right to Life Committee. May 24, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2022.
  194. ^"NRA-PVF - Grades - North Carolina".nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.
  195. ^"Vote Freedom First. Vote Ted Budd for U.S. Senate!".NRA-PVF.Archived from the original on September 27, 2022.
  196. ^"RJC endorsed candidates".rjcpac.com. Archived fromthe original on June 11, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 9, 2022.
  197. ^"Election Alert: Tea Party Express Endorses Ted Budd for Senate in North Carolina" (Press release).Tea Party Express. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2022.
  198. ^"U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses Budd as Planned Parenthood drops millions in N.C. for Democrats".The Carolina Journal.John Locke Foundation. October 12, 2022. RetrievedNovember 2, 2022.
  199. ^Schoenbaum, Hannah (October 25, 2022)."Obama endorses North Carolina candidate in crucial Senate race for Democrats".The Virginian-Pilot.Associated Press.Archived from the original on October 31, 2022.
  200. ^Levine, Marianne (October 4, 2022)."Dems agonize over N.C. spending debacle as Senate race tightens".Politico.Archived from the original on October 29, 2022.
  201. ^"Cheri Beasley's For the People: Get Out the Vote Tour -- Chapel Hill with Senator Jon Ossoff". Mobilize. September 8, 2022.
  202. ^ab"Clyburn, Stabenow to campaign for Beasley in North Carolina Senate race".The Hill. October 18, 2022.
  203. ^"U.S. Senate hopeful Beasley rallies supporters in Greenville". October 28, 2022.
  204. ^Shapero, Julia (November 3, 2022)."Oprah Winfrey backs Fetterman".The Hill.
  205. ^"Equality NC PAC2022 Endorsements". Equality NC PAC.
  206. ^Saccone, Mike (July 28, 2022)."National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Cheri Beasley for U.S. Senate" (Press release).National Wildlife Federation.
  207. ^"NWPC 2022 Endorsed Candidates".National Women's Political Caucus.
  208. ^"NC Labor 2022 - Endorsements". RetrievedJuly 2, 2022.
  209. ^"Endorsement: The Editorial Board's choice in North Carolina's U.S. Senate race".The Charlotte Observer (editorial). October 28, 2022.Archived from the original on November 14, 2022.
  210. ^"Editorial: Our endorsements for the 2022 midterm elections".
  211. ^Hackmer, Michael (November 1, 2022)."Reform Party Endorses Michelle Lewis for US Senate in North Carolina" (Press release). Reform Party National Committee. RetrievedNovember 1, 2022.
  212. ^"Pat McCrory refuses endorse Ted Budd after losing GOP primary in North Carolina" (video).NBC News.
  213. ^"Beasley makes largest quarterly fundraising in Senate bid".Associated Press. April 7, 2022. RetrievedJuly 14, 2022.
  214. ^Wright, Will (July 13, 2022)."Beasley campaign beats second-quarter fundraising record in North Carolina Senate bid".The News & Observer. RetrievedJuly 14, 2022.
  215. ^Real Clear Politics
  216. ^FiveThirtyEight
  217. ^270toWin
  218. ^The Trafalgar Group (R)
  219. ^Data for Progress (D)
  220. ^East Carolina University
  221. ^ActiVote
  222. ^Remington Research Group (R)
  223. ^Civiqs
  224. ^Meredith College
  225. ^Emerson College
  226. ^Cygnal (R)
  227. ^Marist College
  228. ^The Trafalgar Group (R)
  229. ^East Carolina University
  230. ^Wick Insights
  231. ^Public Policy Polling (D)
  232. ^SurveyUSA
  233. ^Cygnal (R)
  234. ^Meredith College
  235. ^Civiqs
  236. ^Global Strategy Group (D)
  237. ^Emerson College
  238. ^East Carolina University
  239. ^The Trafalgar Group (R)
  240. ^Public Policy Polling (D)
  241. ^Cygnal (R)
  242. ^Blueprint Polling (D)
  243. ^PEM Management Corporation (R)
  244. ^The Trafalgar Group (R)
  245. ^Cygnal (R)
  246. ^SurveyUSA
  247. ^Cygnal (R)
  248. ^East Carolina University
  249. ^Meeting Street Insights (R)Archived May 18, 2022, at theWayback Machine
  250. ^abGlobal Strategy Group (D)
  251. ^abcCygnal (R)
  252. ^abRedfield & Wilton Strategies
  253. ^Spry Strategies (R)
  254. ^abCygnal (R)
  255. ^"11/08/2022 OFFICIAL LOCAL ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE".North Carolina State Board of Elections.
  256. ^https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::6e8268a4-3b9b-4140-8f99-e3544a2f0816

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