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 County results Congressional district results Precinct resultsSchumer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Pinion: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The2022 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of New York.
Incumbent four-termDemocratic SenatorChuck Schumer, who had served asSenate Majority Leader since 2021, was first elected in 1998, defeating Republican incumbentAl D'Amato. Schumer ran for a fifth term. RepublicanJoe Pinion is the first black Senate nominee of any major party in New York history. The filing deadline for the June primary was April 7, 2022.[1] Schumer became the longest-serving U.S. senator in the state's history once his fifth term began in the118th Congress.[2]
Though Schumer was comfortably re-elected by a margin of 14.02%, he lost significant support onLong Island andUpstate New York compared tohis last election in 2016. Pinion flipped the more conservative counties that Schumer had won in his previous runs, as well as some Democratic-leaning counties such asNassau,Saratoga,Broome,Clinton, andEssex. However, Schumer's lead was large enough inNew York City that it was called by most media outlets the moment the polls closed.[3]
Despite Democrats overperforming expectations on a national level during this cycle, this race was the most competitive in Schumer's Senate career since his first election in1998, when he won by 10.5%, along with being the closest U.S. Senate election from New York sinceHillary Clinton won by about 12.3 percentage points in2000. This was due to a Democratic underperformance in New York state despite their overperformance nationally, and Schumer's performance was still the highest margin (aside fromThomas DiNapoli in the concurrentcomptroller election) on the statewide ballot.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Chuck Schumer | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics[23] | May 7–9, 2020 | 328 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 54% | 21% | 25% |
At the 2022 New York State Republican Convention, Joe Pinion was designated as theNew York State Republican Party's preferred candidate for U.S. Senate. Pinion became the first Black individual to be backed by a major party in a U.S. Senate election in New York.[24]
Diane Sare ran on an Independent ballot line labeled "LaRouche."[35][36]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[37] | Solid D | November 19, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[38] | Solid D | January 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] | Safe D | November 3, 2021 |
| Politico[40] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[41] | Likely D | October 18, 2022 |
| Fox News[42] | Solid D | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[43] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[44] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[45] | Solid D | September 7, 2022 |
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Chuck Schumer (D) | Joe Pinion (R) | Undecided [b] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[55] | October 26–31, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.7% | 39.3% | 6.0% | Schumer +15.4 |
| FiveThirtyEight[56] | October 12 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 55.7% | 38.0% | 6.3% | Schumer +17.7 |
| 270towin[57] | October 26 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.6% | 38.6% | 6.8% | Schumer +16.0 |
| Average | 55.0% | 38.6% | 6.4% | Schumer +16.4 | ||
Graphical summary
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Chuck Schumer (D) | Joe Pinion (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co.[58] | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 37% | 2%[c] | 6% |
| ActiVote (D)[59] | August 8 – November 6, 2022 | 279 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 60% | 40% | – | – |
| Emerson College[60] | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 36% | 3%[d] | 6% |
| 57% | 39% | 4%[e] | – | ||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[61] | October 27–31, 2022 | 1,198 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 40% | 5%[f] | 4% |
| KAConsulting (R)[62][A] | October 27–29, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 38% | – | 7% |
| Data for Progress (D)[63] | October 26–28, 2022 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 39% | – | 5% |
| Long Island University[64] | October 24–26, 2022 | 1,001 (A) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 27% | 9%[g] | 10% |
| Civiqs[65] | October 22–25, 2022 | 593 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 56% | 41% | 1%[h] | 2% |
| Emerson College[60] | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 36% | 6%[i] | 8% |
| 53% | 40% | 8%[j] | – | ||||
| SurveyUSA[66] | October 14–18, 2022 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 52% | 38% | 4% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University[67] | October 12–16, 2022 | 1,617 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 54% | 42% | 1%[k] | 3% |
| Siena College[68] | October 12–14, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 57% | 37% | 1%[l] | 5% |
| Marist College[69] | October 3–6, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 1%[m] | 8% |
| 1,117 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 34% | 1%[n] | 11% | ||
| Siena College[70] | September 16–25, 2022 | 655 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 36% | 1%[o] | 8% |
| Emerson College[71] | September 4–6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 31% | 5%[p] | 9% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[72] | August 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 36% | – | 13% |
| Emerson College[73] | July 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 31% | 7% | 8% |
| Siena College[74] | July 24–28, 2022 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 0% | 8% |
Chuck Schumer vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Chuck Schumer (D) | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[72] | August 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chuck Schumer | 3,022,822 | 51.69% | −13.03% | |
| Working Families | Chuck Schumer | 297,739 | 5.09% | +1.82% | |
| Total | Chuck Schumer (incumbent) | 3,320,561 | 56.78% | −13.86% | |
| Republican | Joe Pinion | 2,204,499 | 37.69% | +14.37% | |
| Conservative | Joe Pinion | 296,652 | 5.07% | +1.45% | |
| Total | Joe Pinion | 2,501,151 | 42.76% | +15.58% | |
| LaRouche | Diane Sare | 26,844 | 0.46% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 5,848,556 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Democratichold | |||||
Swing by county
Trend by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic
|
| County[76] | Chuck Schumer Democratic | Joe Pinion Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Albany | 72,875 | 62.7% | 42,719 | 36.8% | 603 | 0.5% | 30,156 | 25.9% | 116,197 |
| Allegany | 4,306 | 27.5% | 11,277 | 72.0% | 84 | 0.5% | -6,971 | -44.5% | 15,667 |
| Bronx | 158,433 | 80.6% | 37,130 | 18.9% | 1,004 | 0.5% | 121,303 | 61.7% | 196,567 |
| Broome | 32,587 | 48.1% | 34,688 | 51.2% | 478 | 0.7% | -2,101 | -3.1% | 67,753 |
| Cattaraugus | 8,677 | 33.7% | 16,938 | 65.8% | 125 | 0.5% | -8,261 | -32.1% | 25,740 |
| Cayuga | 11,527 | 43.0% | 15,139 | 56.5% | 132 | 0.5% | -3,612 | -13.5% | 26,798 |
| Chautauqua | 16,782 | 38.8% | 26,217 | 60.7% | 203 | 0.4% | -9,435 | -21.9% | 43,202 |
| Chemung | 10,500 | 38.1% | 16,907 | 61.3% | 162 | 0.6% | -6,407 | -23.2% | 27,569 |
| Chenango | 5,778 | 34.6% | 10,805 | 64.7% | 128 | 0.8% | -5,027 | -30.1% | 16,711 |
| Clinton | 13,341 | 48.9% | 13,792 | 50.5% | 170 | 0.6% | -451 | -1.6% | 27,303 |
| Columbia | 16,812 | 56.9% | 12,633 | 42.8% | 98 | 0.4% | 4,179 | 14.1% | 29,543 |
| Cortland | 7,469 | 46.5% | 8,485 | 52.8% | 111 | 0.7% | -1,016 | -6.3% | 16,065 |
| Delaware | 7,041 | 38.1% | 11,316 | 61.3% | 103 | 0.5% | -4,275 | -23.2% | 18,460 |
| Dutchess | 57,306 | 50.1% | 56,353 | 49.3% | 617 | 0.5% | 953 | 0.8% | 114,276 |
| Erie | 188,979 | 55.6% | 148,585 | 43.7% | 2,156 | 0.7% | 40,394 | 11.9% | 339,720 |
| Essex | 7,514 | 49.2% | 7,654 | 50.2% | 91 | 0.6% | -140 | -1.0% | 15,259 |
| Franklin | 6,885 | 45.8% | 8,071 | 53.6% | 90 | 0.6% | -1,186 | -7.8% | 15,046 |
| Fulton | 6,121 | 33.2% | 12,191 | 66.1% | 121 | 0.6% | -6,070 | -32.9% | 18,433 |
| Genesee | 7,056 | 31.9% | 14,897 | 67.4% | 135 | 0.6% | -7,841 | -35.5% | 22,088 |
| Greene | 8,026 | 40.4% | 11,711 | 59.0% | 124 | 0.6% | -19,861 | -18.6% | 19,861 |
| Hamilton | 969 | 34.3% | 1,838 | 65.1% | 16 | 0.6% | -869 | -30.8% | 2,823 |
| Herkimer | 6,999 | 31.6% | 15,042 | 67.9% | 122 | 0.5% | -8,043 | -36.3% | 22,163 |
| Jefferson | 11,618 | 36.9% | 19,667 | 62.5% | 158 | 0.5% | -8,049 | -25.6% | 31,443 |
| Kings | 423,867 | 76.1% | 129,692 | 23.3% | 3,446 | 0.7% | 294,175 | 52.8% | 557,005 |
| Lewis | 3,001 | 28.8% | 7,372 | 70.8% | 37 | 0.3% | -4,371 | -42.0% | 10,410 |
| Livingston | 9,029 | 37.4% | 14,958 | 61.9% | 171 | 0.7% | -5,929 | -24.5% | 24,158 |
| Madison | 11,440 | 43.7% | 14,573 | 55.6% | 176 | 0.7% | -3,133 | -11.9% | 26,189 |
| Monroe | 156,529 | 56.9% | 117,075 | 42.5% | 1,556 | 0.6% | 39,454 | 14.4% | 275,160 |
| Montgomery | 5,783 | 37.0% | 9,764 | 62.5% | 85 | 0.5% | -3,981 | -25.5% | 15,632 |
| Nassau | 248,186 | 48.2% | 265,004 | 51.5% | 1,468 | 0.2% | -16,818 | -3.3% | 514,658 |
| New York | 383,518 | 84.9% | 65,366 | 14.5% | 2,710 | 0.6% | 318,152 | 70.4% | 451,594 |
| Niagara | 31,950 | 42.3% | 43,261 | 57.2% | 400 | 0.5% | -11,311 | -14.9% | 75,611 |
| Oneida | 29,494 | 39.4% | 44,899 | 60.0% | 430 | 0.5% | -15,405 | -20.6% | 74,823 |
| Onondaga | 99,205 | 58.5% | 69,374 | 40.9% | 986 | 0.6% | 29,831 | 17.6% | 169,565 |
| Ontario | 21,626 | 47.0% | 24,104 | 52.4% | 253 | 0.5% | -2,478 | -5.4% | 45,983 |
| Orange | 58,364 | 47.7% | 63,292 | 51.8% | 604 | 0.5% | -4,928 | -4.1% | 122,260 |
| Orleans | 3,788 | 28.1% | 9,609 | 71.3% | 75 | 0.5% | -5,821 | -43.2% | 13,472 |
| Oswego | 14,909 | 37.3% | 24,802 | 62.1% | 157 | 0.8% | -9,893 | -24.8% | 39,968 |
| Otsego | 9,623 | 44.1% | 12,042 | 55.2% | 161 | 0.8% | -2,419 | -11.1% | 21,826 |
| Putnam | 17,019 | 41.5% | 23,863 | 58.1% | 168 | 0.4% | -6,844 | -16.6% | 41,050 |
| Queens | 291,905 | 67.5% | 137,805 | 31.9% | 2,878 | 0.7% | 154,100 | 35.6% | 432,588 |
| Rensselaer | 30,809 | 49.8% | 30,662 | 49.5% | 436 | 0.7% | 147 | 0.3% | 61,907 |
| Richmond | 50,985 | 36.5% | 88,015 | 63.0% | 664 | 0.5% | -37,030 | -26.5% | 139,664 |
| Rockland | 52,298 | 50.3% | 51,183 | 49.3% | 412 | 0.4% | 1,115 | 1.0% | 103,893 |
| St. Lawrence | 14,351 | 42.3% | 19,389 | 57.1% | 212 | 0.6% | -5,038 | -14.8% | 33,952 |
| Saratoga | 50,718 | 49.1% | 52,030 | 50.4% | 549 | 1.3% | 1,312 | 1.3% | 103,297 |
| Schenectady | 29,124 | 54.0% | 24,440 | 45.3% | 365 | 0.7% | 4,684 | 8.7% | 53,929 |
| Schoharie | 4,385 | 34.4% | 8,254 | 64.8% | 101 | 0.8% | -3,869 | -30.4% | 12,740 |
| Schuyler | 2,883 | 37.5% | 4,759 | 61.9% | 46 | 0.6% | -1,876 | -24.4% | 7,688 |
| Seneca | 5,035 | 43.8% | 6,375 | 55.4% | 92 | 0.8% | -1,340 | -11.6% | 11,502 |
| Steuben | 10,616 | 31.0% | 23,456 | 68.5% | 188 | 0.5% | -12,840 | -37.5% | 34,260 |
| Suffolk | 246,789 | 44.0% | 311,254 | 55.6% | 2,214 | 0.4% | -64,465 | -11.6% | 560,257 |
| Sullivan | 10,800 | 44.4% | 13,385 | 55.0% | 160 | 0.6% | -2,585 | -10.6% | 24,345 |
| Tioga | 6,743 | 35.8% | 11,981 | 63.6% | 123 | 0.7% | -5,238 | -27.8% | 18,847 |
| Tompkins | 25,928 | 73.8% | 8,956 | 25.5% | 269 | 0.8% | 16,972 | 48.3% | 35,153 |
| Ulster | 45,660 | 58.9% | 31,327 | 40.4% | 516 | 0.7% | 14,333 | 18.5% | 77,503 |
| Warren | 12,263 | 47.5% | 14,452 | 51.8% | 183 | 0.6% | -1,189 | -4.3% | 27,898 |
| Washington | 8,773 | 40.1% | 12,987 | 59.3% | 139 | 0.6% | -4,214 | -19.2% | 21,899 |
| Wayne | 11,983 | 35.8% | 21,320 | 63.7% | 164 | 0.5% | -9,337 | -27.9% | 33,467 |
| Westchester | 205,496 | 62.9% | 119,891 | 36.7% | 1,136 | 0.3% | 85,605 | 26.2% | 326,523 |
| Wyoming | 3,838 | 25.4% | 11,191 | 74.0% | 87 | 0.6% | -7,353 | -48.6% | 15,116 |
| Yates | 3,247 | 39.5% | 4,934 | 60.0% | 47 | 0.6% | -1,687 | -20.5% | 8,228 |
| Totals | 3,320,561 | 56.7% | 2,501,151 | 42.7% | 30,995 | 0.5% | 819,410 | 14.0% | 5,852,707 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Schumer won 19 of 26 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans.[77]
| District | Schumer | Pinion | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 45% | 54% | Lee Zeldin (117th Congress) |
| Nick LaLota (118th Congress) | |||
| 2nd | 42% | 58% | Andrew Garbarino |
| 3rd | 48% | 52% | Tom Suozzi (117th Congress) |
| George Santos (118th Congress) | |||
| 4th | 50% | 49% | Kathleen Rice (117th Congress) |
| Anthony D'Esposito (118th Congress) | |||
| 5th | 76% | 23% | Gregory Meeks |
| 6th | 60% | 39% | Grace Meng |
| 7th | 81% | 18% | Nydia Velázquez |
| 8th | 73% | 27% | Hakeem Jeffries |
| 9th | 74% | 25% | Yvette Clarke |
| 10th | 85% | 15% | Jerry Nadler (117th Congress) |
| Dan Goldman (118th Congress) | |||
| 11th | 40% | 60% | Nicole Malliotakis |
| 12th | 83% | 16% | Carolyn Maloney (117th Congress) |
| Jerry Nadler (118th Congress) | |||
| 13th | 89% | 11% | Adriano Espaillat |
| 14th | 74% | 26% | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
| 15th | 83% | 17% | Ritchie Torres |
| 16th | 66% | 33% | Jamaal Bowman |
| 17th | 52% | 48% | Mondaire Jones (117th Congress) |
| Mike Lawler (118th Congress) | |||
| 18th | 51% | 48% | Sean Patrick Maloney (117th Congress) |
| Pat Ryan (118th Congress) | |||
| 19th | 50% | 49% | Pat Ryan (117th Congress) |
| Marc Molinaro (118th Congress) | |||
| 20th | 56% | 43% | Paul Tonko |
| 21st | 41% | 58% | Elise Stefanik |
| 22nd | 52% | 48% | Claudia Tenney (117th Congress) |
| Brandon Williams (118th Congress) | |||
| 23rd | 39% | 60% | Joe Sempolinski (117th Congress) |
| Nick Langworthy (118th Congress) | |||
| 24th | 38% | 61% | John Katko (117th Congress) |
| Claudia Tenney (118th Congress) | |||
| 25th | 56% | 43% | Joseph Morelle |
| 26th | 60% | 39% | Brian Higgins |
Partisan clients
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez had been floated as a Schumer challenger, but her spokeswoman told NY1 she has filed for reelection and is ruling out seeking his seat.
Reed said in his statement Sunday that he would not seek any elective office in 2022.
Official campaign websites
Party leader of the United States Senate (2017-present) • US Senator fromNew York (1999-present) • U.S. Representativefrom New York (1981–1999) | |||||
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