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2022 United States Senate election in Maryland

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Main article:2022 United States Senate elections

2022 United States Senate election in Maryland
← 2016November 8, 20222028 →
 
NomineeChris Van HollenChris Chaffee
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote1,316,897682,293
Percentage65.77%34.07%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Van Hollen:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Chaffee:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Chris Van Hollen
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Chris Van Hollen
Democratic

Elections in Maryland
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
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Government

The2022 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to representMaryland. The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on July 19, 2022.[1]

IncumbentDemocratic SenatorChris Van Hollen was first elected in2016 with 60.9% of the vote, winning the seat of retiring incumbentBarbara Mikulski. He ran for a second term against Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee.[2]

Shortly after polls closed on November 8, 2022, theAssociated Press called the race for Van Hollen.[3] He overperformed his 2016 numbers and flipped four counties that he lost in his first election:Anne Arundel (home to the state capitalAnnapolis),Frederick,Kent, andTalbot.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Michelle Laurence Smith, federal employee and business owner[5]

Endorsements

[edit]
Chris Van Hollen

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Van Hollen
  •   60–70%
  •   70-80%
  •   80-90%
Democratic primary results[33]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChris Van Hollen (incumbent)535,01480.81%
DemocraticMichelle Laurence Smith127,08919.19%
Total votes662,103100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Chris Chaffee, homebuilding contractor and perennial candidate[a][34][35]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Chris Chaffee

Organizations

Nnabu Eze

Organizations

Lorie Friend

State legislators

Reba Hawkins

Organizations

Joseph Perez

Organizations

James Tarantin

State legislators

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Chaffee
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Friend
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Thormann
  •   10–20%
  Tarantin
  •   20–30%
Republican primary results[33]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanChris Chaffee50,51420.78%
RepublicanLorie Friend35,71414.69%
RepublicanJohn Thormann33,29013.69%
RepublicanJoseph Perez26,35910.84%
RepublicanGeorge Davis21,0958.68%
RepublicanJames Tarantin20,5148.44%
RepublicanReba Hawkins18,0577.43%
RepublicanJon McGreevey14,1285.81%
RepublicanTodd Puglisi13,5505.57%
RepublicanNnabu Eze9,9174.08%
Total votes243,138100.0%

Other candidates

[edit]

Write-in

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Scottie Griffin (Democratic)[34]
  • Andrew Wildman (unaffiliated)[34]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[46]Solid DMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[47]Solid DJuly 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48]Safe DJune 15, 2022
Politico[49]Solid DApril 1, 2022
RCP[50]Safe DJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News[51]Solid DMay 12, 2022
DDHQ[52]Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538[53]Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist[54]Safe DSeptember 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Chris Van Hollen (D)

Executive branch officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[c]		Margin
of error		Chris
Van Hollen (D)		Chris
Chaffee (R)		OtherUndecided
Goucher College[62]September 8–12, 2022748 (LV)± 3.6%56%33%2%[d]8%
Hypothetical polling

Chris Van Hollen vs. Larry Hogan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[c]		Margin
of error		Chris
Van Hollen (D)		Larry
Hogan (R)		OtherUndecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[63][A]November 29 – December 1, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%37%49%–14%
Change Research (D)[64]September 29 – October 1, 2020650 (V)± 4.6%50%34%–16%
University of Maryland/Washington Post[65]October 9–14, 2019819 (RV)± 4.5%42%50%3%[e]5%

Results

[edit]
2022 United States Senate election in Maryland[66]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticChris Van Hollen (incumbent)1,316,89765.77%+4.88%
RepublicanChris Chaffee682,29334.07%−1.60%
Write-in3,1460.16%+0.02%
Total votes2,002,336100.0%
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountyChris Van Hollen
Democratic		Chris Chaffee
Republican		Write-inMarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%
Allegany7,24433.5614,32666.36170.08-7,082-32.8121,587
Anne Arundel123,69657.3991,47142.443770.1732,22514.95215,544
Baltimore175,41764.2397,30735.634020.1578,11028.60273,126
Baltimore City129,25790.1513,8499.662800.19115,40880.49143,386
Calvert17,00745.4420,38254.46370.10-3,375-9.0237,426
Caroline3,58633.657,05466.20160.15-3,468-32.5510,656
Carroll27,77538.7843,76161.10900.13-15,986-22.3271,626
Cecil12,13236.8620,72562.97560.17-8,593-26.1132,913
Charles38,27070.1216,20729.70970.1822,06340.4354,574
Dorchester4,94743.126,51156.75150.13-1,564-13.6311,473
Frederick58,70855.2647,40644.621190.1111,30210.64106,233
Garrett2,60823.168,64776.7870.06-6,039-53.6211,262
Harford45,27343.9057,71355.961500.14-12,440-12.06103,136
Howard92,20570.9037,61728.922300.1854,58841.97130,052
Kent4,46152.953,95046.88140.175116.078,425
Montgomery276,48280.5965,95619.236340.18210,52661.36343,072
Prince George's218,72691.0421,1278.793980.17197,59982.25240,251
Queen Anne's8,71038.1914,06461.67310.14-5,354-23.4822,805
Somerset2,65639.024,14660.9150.07-1,490-21.896,807
St. Mary's15,65641.6721,86958.21430.11-6,213-16.5437,568
Talbot9,02851.338,54848.60130.074802.7317,589
Washington19,42040.0029,07259.87640.13-9,652-19.8848,556
Wicomico14,29646.9816,10452.92320.10-1,808-5.9430,432
Worcester9,33739.1714,48160.75190.08-5,144-21.5823,837
Totals1,316,89765.77682,29334.073,1460.16634,60431.692,002,336

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Van Hollen won seven of eight congressional districts.[67]

DistrictVan HollenChaffeeRepresentative
1st42.7%57.2%Andy Harris
2nd60.8%39.1%Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd62.3%37.5%John Sarbanes
4th91%8.9%Anthony Brown (117th Congress)
Glenn Ivey (118th Congress)
5th67.1%32.8%Steny Hoyer
6th54.4%45.5%David Trone
7th83.4%16.4%Kweisi Mfume
8th81.9%17.9%Jamie Raskin

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Candidate forMaryland's 5th congressional district in2010 and nominee in2014; candidate for U.S. Senate in2016 and2018
  2. ^Candidate for U.S. Senate in2018 and forMaryland's 4th congressional district in2020;Green nominee forMaryland's 3rd congressional district in2016
  3. ^abKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^"Some other candidate" (volunteered response) with 2%
  5. ^"Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 1%; "Other" with 0%

Partisan clients

  1. ^This poll was paid for by theSenate Leadership Fund

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Voting in Maryland".State Board of Elections. State of Maryland.Archived from the original on July 15, 2022. RetrievedJuly 16, 2022. Note Archived site contains Primary Election information, but not 'current' version.
  2. ^abKurtz, Josh (April 16, 2021)."Mizeur Collects $350K for Congressional Bid; Aruna Miller Raising Money for Possible House Run".Maryland Matters. RetrievedMay 7, 2021.
  3. ^"2022 race calls".Associated Press. November 8, 2022. RetrievedNovember 8, 2022.
  4. ^Kurtz, Josh (February 15, 2022)."Political Notes: A Barnburner in Southern Md., Van Hollen Makes It Official, Masking Changes, Senator Pulls Chief Judge Bill".Maryland Matters. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2022.
  5. ^"Michelle Smith for Senate". September 11, 2020. RetrievedJanuary 19, 2021.
  6. ^"AFSCME Maryland Announces Endorsements for Federal, State, and County Offices".afscmemd.org.American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 3. June 10, 2022. RetrievedJune 21, 2022.
  7. ^"2022 Election Endorsements for the Primary Election".afscme67.org.American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees Local 67. Archived fromthe original on October 5, 2022. RetrievedJune 21, 2022.
  8. ^"Labor-Endorsed Candidates for 2022 Primary Election".md.aft.org.American Federation of Teachers Maryland. June 15, 2022. RetrievedJune 21, 2022.
  9. ^"Endorsed Candidates 2022".mddclabor.org. Maryland State and District of ColumbiaAFL–CIO. May 18, 2022. RetrievedMay 19, 2022.
  10. ^"Our Recommended Candidates".educationvotes.nea.org.National Education Association. RetrievedMarch 15, 2022.
  11. ^"Endorsements".seiu500.org.Service Employees International Union Local 500. Archived fromthe original on June 23, 2022. RetrievedJune 21, 2022.
  12. ^"MD 2022 Election Endorsements/Respaldos políticos de la elección de MD de 2022".local25union.org.UNITE HERE Local 25. RetrievedJuly 17, 2022.
  13. ^"United Food & Commercial Workers Unions Announce Endorsements in Maryland".ufcw400.org.United Food and Commercial Workers Local 400. June 1, 2022. RetrievedJune 21, 2022.
  14. ^"2022 Endorsements".bendthearc.us.Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC. RetrievedJune 21, 2022.
  15. ^"Brady PAC Endorses 113 House and Senate Gun Safety Champions for Election in 2022".bradypac.org.Brady Campaign. March 17, 2022. RetrievedJune 21, 2022.
  16. ^Chartrand, KC (March 2, 2022)."CCAN Action Fund Endorses Climate Champion Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) for Re-election to the US Senate".Chesapeake Climate Action Network Action Fund. RetrievedMarch 15, 2022.
  17. ^"Senate Candidates – Council for a Livable World".
  18. ^ab"End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Chris Van Hollen for Re-Election".End Citizens United. February 23, 2022. RetrievedMarch 15, 2022.
  19. ^"2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements".feministmajoritypac.org. RetrievedApril 9, 2022.
  20. ^"Endorsements".Giffords. RetrievedJanuary 31, 2022.
  21. ^HRC Staff (June 1, 2022)."Human Rights Campaign Endorses Nine Pro-LGBTQ+ Equality U.S. Senators for Reelection".Human Rights Campaign. RetrievedJune 23, 2022.
  22. ^"2022 Endorsements".Humane Society Legislative Fund. RetrievedMay 23, 2022.
  23. ^Kassel, Matthew (November 30, 2021)."JDCA announces first slate of 2022 endorsements".Jewish Insider. RetrievedDecember 5, 2021.
  24. ^"JStreetPAC Candidates".jstreetpac.org.J Street. Archived fromthe original on May 2, 2018. RetrievedMay 4, 2022.
  25. ^"Maryland Realtors RPAC Announces Support for July 19 Primary Candidates"(PDF).mdrealtor.org.Maryland Realtors Political Action Committee. RetrievedJuly 5, 2022.
  26. ^"Endorsements".prochoiceamerica.org.NARAL Pro-Choice America. RetrievedApril 6, 2022.
  27. ^"2022 Federal Endorsements".nowpac.org.National Organization for Women. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2022.
  28. ^Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022)."NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections".Natural Resources Defense Council. RetrievedMarch 15, 2022.
  29. ^"Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates".www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. RetrievedMay 4, 2022.
  30. ^"2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived fromthe original on July 2, 2022. RetrievedNovember 12, 2021.
  31. ^"Endorsements".turnoutpac.org. Progressive Turnout Project. RetrievedMarch 30, 2022.
  32. ^"Sierra Club Endorsements".
  33. ^ab"Official 2022 Gubernatorial Primary Election Results for U.S. Senator". Maryland State Board of Elections. July 19, 2022. RetrievedAugust 15, 2022.
  34. ^abcdefghij"Official 2022 Gubernatorial Primary Election Results for U.S. Senator".2022 Gubernatorial Election. August 24, 2022.Archived from the original on October 16, 2022. RetrievedOctober 26, 2022.
  35. ^abcGunzburger, Ron."Online Guide to Maryland Elections, Candidates & Politics".Politics1.Archived from the original on September 5, 2022. RetrievedOctober 26, 2022.
  36. ^"Nnabu Eze".Ballotpedia. RetrievedJuly 13, 2021.
  37. ^Kaplan, Alex (June 2, 2021)."Here are the QAnon supporters running for Congress in 2022".Media Matters for America. RetrievedJuly 17, 2022.
  38. ^"Sheriff: US Senate candidate falsely reported child sex trafficking in Harford Co".WMAR-TV. July 15, 2022. RetrievedJuly 18, 2022.
  39. ^"MD Republican Senate candidate charged with making a false report after allegedly claiming adult bookstore trafficked children".CBS News. July 15, 2022. RetrievedJuly 19, 2022.
  40. ^"James Tarantin".Federal Election Commission.Archived from the original on October 28, 2021. RetrievedOctober 28, 2021.
  41. ^"Harris: 'This was a sham, snap impeachment'".WBAL-TV 11. January 16, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 19, 2021.
  42. ^"AP source: GOP Maryland Gov. Hogan won't run for Senate".WBAL. February 8, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2022.
  43. ^abcd"Maryland Right to Life Pro-Life Voter Guide 2022".mdrtl.org.Maryland Right to Life. Archived fromthe original on July 5, 2022. RetrievedJuly 28, 2022.
  44. ^abc"Senatorial candidate Lorie R. Friend receives multiple endorsements".The Garrett County Republican. July 14, 2022. RetrievedJuly 15, 2022.
  45. ^"Delegate Trent Kittleman Endorses James Tarantin For United States Senate".WICZ-TV. October 19, 2021. RetrievedApril 6, 2022.[permanent dead link]
  46. ^"2022 Senate Race ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2021.
  47. ^"Senate ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2021.
  48. ^"2022 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedJanuary 28, 2021.
  49. ^"Maryland Senate Race 2022".Politico. April 1, 2022.
  50. ^"Battle for the Senate 2022".RCP. January 10, 2022.
  51. ^"2022 Election Forecast".Fox News. May 12, 2022. RetrievedMay 12, 2022.
  52. ^"2022 Election Forecast".DDHQ. July 20, 2022. RetrievedJuly 20, 2022.
  53. ^"2022 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived fromthe original on June 30, 2022. RetrievedJune 30, 2022.
  54. ^"Economist's 2022 Senate forecast".The Economist. September 7, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2022.
  55. ^Wood, Pamela (August 25, 2022)."Biden rallies Maryland Democrats and stumps for Wes Moore in Montgomery County".Baltimore Banner. RetrievedAugust 25, 2022.
  56. ^"Politics and Local 26".ibewlocal26.org.International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 26. RetrievedOctober 27, 2022.
  57. ^"Maryland – UAW Endorsements".uawendorsements.org.United Auto Workers. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2022.
  58. ^"Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Announces First Major Round of Federal Endorsements".everytown.org.Everytown for Gun Safety. July 28, 2022. RetrievedJuly 28, 2022.
  59. ^"LCV Action Fund Endorses Chris Van Hollen and David Trone for Congress".www.lcv.org. July 27, 2022.
  60. ^"AFRO Ballot".Baltimore Afro-American. October 23, 2022. RetrievedOctober 27, 2022.
  61. ^Editorial Board (October 21, 2022)."Here's who The Post endorses for Congress in Maryland".The Washington Post. RetrievedOctober 22, 2022.
  62. ^Goucher College
  63. ^WPA Intelligence (R)
  64. ^Change Research (D)
  65. ^University of Maryland/Washington Post
  66. ^"Official 2022 Gubernatorial General Election Results for U.S. Senator".Maryland State Board of Elections.
  67. ^"Statewide Data Breakdown by State Congressional Districts".elections.maryland.gov.Archived from the original on August 9, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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