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2022 United States Senate election in Indiana

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Not to be confused with2022 Indiana State Senate election.

2022 United States Senate election in Indiana

← 2016November 8, 20222028 →
 
NomineeTodd YoungThomas McDermott Jr.
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote1,090,165704,411
Percentage58.62%37.87%

County results
Congressional district results
Young:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
McDermott:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Todd Young
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Todd Young
Republican

Elections in Indiana
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
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2020
Republican
2008
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U.S. Senate elections
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The2022 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent thestate ofIndiana. Incumbent SenatorTodd Young won a second term.[1]

Young announced on March 2, 2021, that he would be running for a second term.[2] He was first elected to the Senate in2016 with 52.1% of the vote, succeeding retiring fellow RepublicanDan Coats.Hammond MayorThomas McDermott Jr. ran for the Democratic nomination. Both ran unopposed and won their respective primaries on May 3, 2022. This was the first election since1986 for Indiana's Class 3 U.S. Senate seat where neitherDan Coats norEvan Bayh were on the ballot.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Removed from ballot

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTodd Young (incumbent)372,738100.0%
Total votes372,738100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Removed from ballot

[edit]

On February 18, 2022, the Indiana Election Commission removed Democratic candidates Haneefah Khaaliq and Valerie McCray, as well as Republican candidate Danny Niederberger, from the primary ballot.[10] On February 4, 2022, McDermott campaign adviser Kevin Smith said the campaign would look closely at whether Khaaliq and McCray met the ballot requirements, and that avoiding a primary challenge could benefit McDermott as he entered this year with about $50,000 in campaign cash.[11] Khaaliq then conducted an investigation[12] and discovered that the individual who filed the challenge against both her and McCray was Scott Yahne, an attorney who was a close friend and ally of McDermott.[13]

As a result of the findings, Khaaliq filed a lawsuit against the Indiana Election Commission[14] and announced her decision to proceed as a write-in candidate in the 2022 general election. Khaaliq was the first African American to run for the U.S. Senate in a general election in Indiana's history.[14]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticThomas McDermott Jr.173,466100.0%
Total votes173,466100.0%

Libertarian convention

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • James Sceniak, activist and behavior therapist[19]

Eliminated at convention

[edit]

Write-ins

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Antonio Xavier Alvarez
  • Thomas Baer
  • Phillip Beachy
  • Haneefah Khaaliq, professor atIndiana University[20]
  • Danny Niederberger
  • David G. Storer

Withdrew/disqualified

[edit]
  • Ellen Kizik, retail worker[21]

General election

[edit]

Incumbent Senator Todd Young sought re-election in 2022. In2016, Young was initially perceived as the underdog when Former Senator Evan Bayh was chosen to replace Representative Baron Hill.[22][23] Bayh, an Indiana political giant, was considered the frontrunner until he faced criticism for many of his post-senatorial activities, allowing Young to gain momentum and secure a decisive victory.[24]

In March 2021, Young announced he would seek a second term.[25]

Young's main opponent in the election was Thomas McDermott Jr., the longtime mayor of Hammond, Indiana.[26] McDermott ran as a moderate, criticizing Young for his ties to the Republican establishment and emphasizing his pro-choice stance in light of the Dobbs v. Jackson Supreme Court decision.[27] Young, on the other hand, focused on issues like inflation and border security, directing most of his attacks at President Joe Biden rather than McDermott.[28][29] While early polls indicated a close race,[30] a poll conducted around Election Day showed Young with a comfortable lead.[31]

On October 16, three weeks before the election, the only debate was held which featured Young, McDermontt, and Libertarian Nominee James Sceniak. The Debate centered on a number of issues, including The Economy, Immigration/Border security, and Climate change, among others. Young, mainly focused on Immigration, while avoiding attacking his opponents, McDermott attacked Young relentlessly throughout the debate, even stating “When Senator Young supports spending, it is good inflation, but when he doesn't support it, that is bad inflation. The chips act is a spending bill. Todd Young helped to add to our nation inflation problem”.[32]

Young went on to win the election easily, outperforming his 2016 performance by 11 points and receiving nearly 59% of the vote to McDermott's 38%.[33]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[34]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[35]Solid RApril 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36]Safe RMarch 1, 2022
Politico[37]Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP[38]Safe RFebruary 24, 2022
Fox News[39]Solid RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ[40]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[41]Solid RJuly 6, 2022
The Economist[42]Safe RSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Todd Young (R)

Organizations

Newspapers

Thomas McDermott Jr. (D)

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Haneefah Khaaliq (I)(write-in)

Organizations

  • Freethought Equality Fund[60]
  • Indiana Civil Rights Agency

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Todd
Young (R)
Thomas
McDermott Jr. (D)
James
Sceniak (L)
OtherUndecided
Civiqs[61]November 4–7, 2022707 (LV)± 4.7%49%38%9%[b]4%
ARW Strategies[62]September 25–26, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%39%37%6%17%
Change Research (D)[63][A]August 20–24, 20222,111 (LV)± 2.6%45%42%13%

Results

[edit]
State Senate results
State House results
2022 United States Senate election in Indiana[64]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanTodd Young (incumbent)1,090,16558.62%+6.51%
DemocraticThomas McDermott Jr.704,41137.87%−4.54%
LibertarianJames Sceniak63,8143.43%−2.04%
Write-in1,4610.08%+0.07%
Total votes1,859,851100.0%N/A
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Young won seven of nine congressional districts.[65]

DistrictYoungMcDermott Jr.Representative
1st46%52%Frank J. Mrvan
2nd65%32%Rudy Yakym
3rd67%30%Jim Banks
4th63%31%Jim Baird
5th59%37%Victoria Spartz
6th64%31%Greg Pence
7th29%68%André Carson
8th68%30%Larry Bucshon
9th64%33%Trey Hollingsworth (117th Congress)
Erin Houchin (118th Congress)

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^"Someone else" with 9%

Partisan clients

  1. ^This poll was sponsored by McDermott's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^"2022 US Senate Election Results: Live Map".ABC News. November 8, 2022. RetrievedNovember 9, 2022.
  2. ^ab"'I'm running': Todd Young to seek re-election to US Senate".WANE-TV. March 2, 2021.Archived from the original on April 19, 2021. RetrievedMarch 2, 2021.
  3. ^Lange, Kaitlin (August 10, 2021)."Sen. Todd Young to vote against infrastructure bill after initially supporting it".The Indianapolis Star.Gannett (published August 9, 2021).Archived from the original on August 22, 2021. RetrievedAugust 22, 2021.
  4. ^Lange, Kaitlin (May 12, 2020)."2020 Elections: Here's who is running in Indiana's 5th Congressional District".The Indianapolis Star.Gannett (published October 11, 2019).Archived from the original on January 21, 2021. RetrievedAugust 22, 2021.
  5. ^abcLange, Kaitlin."Sen. Young won't face primary challengers after commission removes opponent from ballot".IndyStar. The Indianapolis Star. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2022.
  6. ^ab"Indiana Election Results - May 3, 2022". Indiana Election Division. May 9, 2022.
  7. ^ab"Indiana mayor starts challenge to Republican US Sen. Young".Associated Press. Hammond, Ind. August 19, 2021.Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. RetrievedAugust 22, 2021.
  8. ^Burgess, Rob (July 27, 2021)."Democratic senatorial candidate visits Wabash".Chronicle-Tribune.Archived from the original on August 22, 2021. RetrievedAugust 22, 2021.
  9. ^Kukulka, Alexandra (July 26, 2021)."Porter County march, rally calls for access to reproductive health care: 'Nobody should be ashamed of their own particular health care decision'".Post-Tribune.Archived from the original on July 26, 2021. RetrievedAugust 22, 2021.
  10. ^"Major party candidates for Senate will run unopposed in primary".NPR. February 18, 2022. RetrievedNovember 7, 2022.
  11. ^"3 longshot US Senate hopefuls file for Indiana primary race".Associated Press. February 4, 2022. RetrievedNovember 7, 2022.
  12. ^"Haneefah Khaaliq on her Decision to be a Write-in Candidate in the 2022 U.S. Senate Race".Hoosiers for Haneefah Campaign. September 8, 2022. RetrievedNovember 7, 2022.
  13. ^"Indiana Election Commission Public Session"(PDF).Indiana Election Commission. RetrievedNovember 7, 2022.
  14. ^ab"Enough is Enough".The Crusader Newspaper Group. September 27, 2022. RetrievedNovember 7, 2022.
  15. ^Laris, Michael; Duncan, Ian."Senate confirms Pete Buttigieg to lead Transportation Dept., the first openly gay person confirmed to a Cabinet seat".Washington Post.ISSN 0190-8286. RetrievedFebruary 2, 2021.
  16. ^Howey, Brian (March 14, 2021)."Joe Donnelly passes on a challenge to Sen. Todd Young".KPCNews. RetrievedMarch 14, 2021.
  17. ^abWren, Adam (January 24, 2021)."3 takeaways from Buttigieg's first week in Washington". Importantville. RetrievedJanuary 24, 2021.
  18. ^"2022 Candidate List"(PDF).Indianan Secretary of State. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2022.
  19. ^abBox, Terri (March 8, 2022)."The Libertarian Party of Indiana nominates candidates for 2022 | WBIW". RetrievedMay 3, 2022.
  20. ^"United States Senate Election in Indiana".Ballotpedia. RetrievedJune 4, 2022.
  21. ^"Indiana 2022 General Election".The Green Papers. RetrievedMay 5, 2022.
  22. ^says, Howard (September 19, 2016)."With Evan Bayh's surprise entry, Indiana's Senate race has turned from red to purple overnight".USAPP. RetrievedJuly 2, 2024.
  23. ^Silk Smith, Jeremy (August 17, 2016)."Poll: Bayh Holds Significant Lead Over Young in Indiana Senate Race".Roll Call. RetrievedJuly 2, 2024.
  24. ^Ropeik, Annie (November 9, 2016)."In Senate Loss, Bayh Couldn't Overcome Modern Image Among Voters".WFYI Public Media. RetrievedJuly 2, 2024.
  25. ^"Indiana Sen. Todd Young announces 2022 reelection campaign".AP News. March 2, 2021. RetrievedJuly 2, 2024.
  26. ^Lange, Kaitlin."Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott Jr. files to run for Sen. Todd Young's seat in 2022".The Indianapolis Star. RetrievedJuly 2, 2024.
  27. ^"Democratic Senate candidate Thomas McDermott talks 'the top issue' — abortion access — and plans if elected".Democratic Senate candidate Thomas McDermott talks ‘the top issue’ — abortion access — and plans if elected - Indiana Daily Student. RetrievedJuly 2, 2024.
  28. ^Todd Young (January 11, 2022).Border Collie | Todd Young for U.S. Senate. RetrievedJuly 2, 2024 – via YouTube.
  29. ^Todd Young (January 18, 2022).Recapping Joe Biden's Disastrous First Year | Todd Young for U.S. Senate. RetrievedJuly 2, 2024 – via YouTube.
  30. ^Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul."New Poll Shows Close U.S. Senate Race".Indy Politics. RetrievedJuly 2, 2024.
  31. ^Wiederkehr, Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King, Dhrumil Mehta and Anna (June 28, 2018)."Indiana : U.S. Senate : 2022 Polls".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on September 15, 2022. RetrievedJuly 2, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  32. ^"Indiana U.S. Senate Debate | C-SPAN.org".www.c-span.org. RetrievedJuly 2, 2024.
  33. ^Cheang, Ko Lyn."Todd Young wins U.S. Senate seat in Indiana over Democrat Thomas McDermott".The Indianapolis Star. RetrievedJuly 2, 2024.
  34. ^"2022 Senate Race ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2021.
  35. ^"Senate ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2021.
  36. ^"2022 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedJanuary 28, 2021.
  37. ^"Indiana Senate Race 2022".Politico. April 1, 2022.
  38. ^"Battle for the Senate 2022".RCP. January 10, 2022.
  39. ^"2022 Election Forecast".Fox News. May 12, 2022. RetrievedMay 12, 2022.
  40. ^"2022 Election Forecast".DDHQ. July 20, 2022. RetrievedJuly 20, 2022.
  41. ^"2022 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived fromthe original on June 30, 2022. RetrievedJune 30, 2022.
  42. ^"Economist's 2022 Senate forecast".The Economist. September 7, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2022.
  43. ^"Indiana Endorsements".huckpac.com.
  44. ^"International Franchise Association Announces 2022 Congressional Endorsements".www.franchise.org.International Franchise Association. April 28, 2022. RetrievedApril 30, 2022.
  45. ^ab"INDIANA PRIMARY ELECTION CANDIDATE ENDORSEMENTS ANNOUNCED".local150.org. April 26, 2022.
  46. ^"Senator Todd Young receives national endorsement in Fort Wayne".wowo.com. June 10, 2022.
  47. ^"Republicans win endorsement of Indiana small business advocacy organization". August 22, 2022.
  48. ^"National Right to Life Endorses Todd Young in Indiana Senate Race".www.nationalrighttolifenews.org/. April 26, 2022.
  49. ^"Endorsed Candidates".proisraelamerica.org. Archived fromthe original on December 20, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 22, 2022.
  50. ^"SBA List's Candidate Fund PAC Endorses U.S. Sen. Todd Young for Re-election in Indiana".am1050.com. April 19, 2022.
  51. ^"HODLpac Endorsements - May 4, 2022".hodlpac.substack.com. May 4, 2022. RetrievedNovember 7, 2022.
  52. ^"U.S. Chamber Endorses Todd Young for U.S. Senate".www.uschamber.com. October 25, 2022. RetrievedDecember 19, 2022.
  53. ^"Our view editorial: Destiny Wells has the character to be secretary of state".The Herald Bulletin. October 31, 2022. RetrievedNovember 6, 2022.
  54. ^ab"Mrvan, other Democrats stump at Get Out the Vote Rally hosted by Senator Melton". October 26, 2022.
  55. ^ab"Thomas McDermott, Jr. - The Voter's Self Defense System - Vote Smart".justfacts.votesmart.org. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2022.
  56. ^"Indiana AFL-CIO Labor 2022 Endorsements".inaflcio.org.
  57. ^"2022 INDIANA GENERAL ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS"(PDF).www.ikorcc.com. RetrievedNovember 7, 2022.
  58. ^"Indiana - COMPAC Endorsements".UMWA. RetrievedOctober 30, 2022.
  59. ^"Thomas McDermott, Jr.'s Ratings and Endorsements".justfacts.votesmart.org. RetrievedNovember 7, 2022.
  60. ^"Freethought Equality Fund PAC 2022 Endorsements".freethoughtequality.org. Archived fromthe original on November 11, 2021.
  61. ^Civiqs
  62. ^ARW Strategies
  63. ^Change Research (D)
  64. ^"Indiana Election Results November 8, 2022".Indiana Election Division.
  65. ^https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::c08c9df0-9756-4c5a-a7e7-01ff03bbb170

External links

[edit]

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