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2022 United States Senate election in Idaho

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2022 United States Senate election in Idaho
← 2016
November 8, 2022
2028 →
 
NomineeMike CrapoDavid RothScott Cleveland
PartyRepublicanDemocraticIndependent
Popular vote358,539169,80849,917
Percentage60.68%28.74%8.45%
County results
Congressional district results
Crapo:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Roth:     50–60%     60–70%
U.S. senator before election

Mike Crapo
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Crapo
Republican

Elections in Idaho
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The2022 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent thestate ofIdaho. IncumbentRepublican SenatorMike Crapo was first elected in1998 and ran for re-election to a fifth term in office.[1][2] Primary elections were held on May 17, 2022. Crapo easily won renomination, while formerIdaho House of Representatives candidate David Roth won the Democratic primary with 57.8% of the vote. Crapo ultimately won the election, but this was the lowest share of the vote he had ever received for this seat, partially because of an independent candidate, Scott Cleveland, taking away some of his votes.[3]

The election resulted in both the worst performance by a Republican, and the best performance by a Democrat in theClass 3 seat since1992. It was also the best performance by athird-party orindependent candidate sinceGlen H. Taylor'swrite-in campaign in1956.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Failed to file

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Crapo

Former U.S. executive branch officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Crapo
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Crapo (incumbent)177,90667.13%
RepublicanScott Trotter27,69910.45%
RepublicanBrenda Bourn21,6128.16%
RepublicanRamont Turnbull20,8837.88%
RepublicanNatalie Fleming16,9026.38%
Total votes265,002100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Ben Pursley, real estate developer[19]

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Roth
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   90–100%
  Pursley
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDavid Roth19,16057.80%
DemocraticBen Pursley13,98742.20%
Total votes33,147100.0%

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianIdaho Sierra Law673100.0%
Total votes673100.0%

Constitution primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Ray Writz, nominee for U.S. Senate in2016 and2020

Results

[edit]
Constitution primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
ConstitutionRay Writz520100.0%
Total votes520100.0%

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Scott Cleveland, entrepreneur[20][8]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[21]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[22]Solid RApril 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23]Safe RMarch 1, 2022
Politico[24]Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP[25]Safe RFebruary 24, 2022
Fox News[26]Solid RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ[27]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[28]Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist[29]Safe RSeptember 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Mike Crapo (R)

Organizations

David Roth (D)

Organizations

Newspapers

Debates

[edit]
2022 United States Senate general election in Idaho debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocraticIndependent
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W  Withdrawn
Mike CrapoDavid RothScott Clevland
1Oct. 5, 2022Idaho Public TelevisionMelissa Davlin[34]PPP

Results

[edit]
2022 United States Senate election in Idaho[35]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanMike Crapo (incumbent)358,53960.68%−5.45%
DemocraticDavid Roth169,80828.74%+1.01%
IndependentScott Cleveland49,9178.45%N/A
ConstitutionRay Writz8,5001.44%−4.70%
LibertarianIdaho Sierra Law4,1260.70%N/A
Total votes590,890100.0%N/A
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountyMike Crapo
Republican		David Roth
Democratic		Scott Cleveland
Independent		Ray Writz
Constitution		Idaho Sierra Law
Libertarian		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Ada87,57947.4676,65641.5417,5519.511,5610.851,1740.6410,9235.92184,521
Adams1,42570.8636718.251507.46562.78130.651,05852.612,011
Bannock14,48056.919,05435.591,2995.113771.482330.925,42621.3325,443
Bear Lake1,87183.381968.73873.88703.12200.891,67574.642,244
Benewah2,66276.8550314.521514.361103.18381.102,15962.333,464
Bingham9,49177.101,75014.227716.262231.81750.617,74162.8812,310
Blaine3,12132.216,00661.993363.47991.021271.31-2,885-29.789,689
Boise2,17263.1967319.5847813.91832.41310.901,49943.613,437
Bonner13,34864.295,46726.331,5027.233001.451440.697,88137.9620,761
Bonneville24,57969.367,86622.202,2486.345201.472260.6416,71347.1635,439
Boundary3,93975.7573214.084037.75931.79330.633,20761.675,200
Butte78378.8511411.48595.94282.8290.9166967.37993
Camas36771.129518.41295.62214.0740.7827252.71516
Canyon36,55862.7812,96122.267,29912.539761.684350.7523,59740.5258,229
Caribou1,73581.992059.691095.15542.55130.611,53072.312,116
Cassia4,61979.6958410.083986.871542.66410.714,03569.625,796
Clark16178.16199.22157.2894.3720.9714268.93206
Clearwater2,38976.5752616.861193.81722.31140.451,86359.713,120
Custer1,44772.0335917.871135.62793.93110.551,08854.162,009
Elmore4,38066.311,33420.2068810.421412.13620.943,04646.126,605
Franklin3,58883.343027.022575.971353.14230.533,28676.334,305
Fremont3,39980.1748011.322475.83872.05270.642,919{68.844,240
Gem5,11867.601,07614.211,17315.491331.76710.943,94552.117,571
Gooding2,94172.6760915.053749.24912.25320.792,33257.624,047
Idaho5,74176.9196212.895357.171772.37500.674,77964.027,465
Jefferson7,39681.338369.195856.432232.45540.596,56072.149,094
Jerome3,50672.0780316.514218.651022.10330.682,70355.564,865
Kootenai42,11567.6713,40421.545,5158.868361.343690.5928,71146.1362,239
Latah7,48449.956,88145.923612.411330.891250.836034.0214,984
Lemhi2,69073.6267418.451754.79822.24330.902,01655.173,654
Lewis1,09780.7217612.95584.27261.9120.1592167.771,359
Lincoln97874.4322116.82765.78272.05120.9175757.611,314
Madison6,53378.9497211.745196.271952.36570.695,56167.198,276
Minidoka3,62376.8959212.563667.77992.10320.683,03164.334,712
Nez Perce8,98666.833,62826.986394.751000.74930.695,35839.8513,446
Oneida1,33083.071177.31996.18442.75110.691,21375.771,601
Owyhee2,37672.5541112.5538211.66672.05391.191,96560.003,275
Payette5,50972.611,07914.2283511.011251.65390.514,43058.397,587
Power1,42872.4142021.30713.60351.77180.911,00851.121,972
Shoshone2,85869.551,00524.461724.19431.05310.751,85345.104,109
Teton2,10044.812,37550.681433.05360.77320.68-275-5.874,686
Twin Falls14,91465.234,78020.912,42510.615642.471800.7910,13444.3222,863
Valley2,82954.201,97437.823306.32500.96370.7185516.385,220
Washington2,89474.2656414.473549.08641.64210.542,33059.793,897
Totals358,53960.68169,80828.7449,9178.458,5001.444,1260.70188,73131.94590,890

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Crapo won both congressional districts.[36]

DistrictCrapoRothClevelandRepresentative
1st64%24%10%Russ Fulcher
2nd57%34%7%Mike Simpson

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Nominee forstate representative from the29th district in 2012 and 2018; nominee forstate senator from the29th district in 2016; nominee forIdaho's 2nd congressional district in2020

References

[edit]
  1. ^abAlex Rogers, Manu Raju and Ted Barrett (January 27, 2021)."Retirements shake up 2022 map as Republican senators eye exits".CNN. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2021.
  2. ^abBrizee, Alex (January 5, 2022)."Idaho's Mike Crapo will run for a fifth U.S. Senate term in 2022 midterm elections".Idaho Statesman. RetrievedApril 10, 2023.
  3. ^"Idaho Republican U.S. Sen. Crapo wins fifth term".Washington Post.ISSN 0190-8286. RetrievedNovember 9, 2022.
  4. ^"BOURN, BRENDA - Candidate overview".www.fec.gov. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2022.
  5. ^"Natalie Fleming for US Senate".Facebook. RetrievedAugust 22, 2021.
  6. ^"Natalie M Fleming for United States Senate - Idaho". Natalie M Fleming for U.S. Senate. RetrievedAugust 22, 2021.
  7. ^Trotter for United States Senate (October 11, 2021)."FEC FORM 1 | STATEMENT OF ORGANIZATION"(PDF). FEC. RetrievedNovember 29, 2021.
  8. ^abc"These Senate seats are up for election in 2022".The Hill. January 21, 2022.
  9. ^"Candidate Filing Report"(PDF).Idaho Secretary of State. RetrievedMarch 3, 2022.
  10. ^"FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY FILING FEC-1541914".fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. RetrievedNovember 6, 2021.
  11. ^"GILBERT, JEREMY JOSEPH - Candidate overview".fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. RetrievedMay 18, 2021.
  12. ^"Statement from Jeremy Gilbert".Facebook.com. Jeremy Gilbert for U.S. Senate. November 16, 2021. RetrievedNovember 19, 2021.It's with a heavy heart that today I announce I will be suspending my campaign for the 2022 U.S. Senate seat in Idaho.
  13. ^McFall, Caitlin (March 5, 2021)."Trump issues GOP endorsements in latest sign he is reentering political arena".Fox News. RetrievedMarch 6, 2021.
  14. ^"Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle".cresenergy.com.Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. May 4, 2022. Archived fromthe original on August 21, 2022. RetrievedJune 7, 2022.
  15. ^"NRA-PVF - Grades - Idaho".nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.
  16. ^"NRA-PVF Endorses Sen. Mike Crapo in Idaho Primary". April 21, 2022.Archived from the original on May 14, 2022.
  17. ^"Endorsed Candidates".proisraelamerica.org. Archived fromthe original on December 20, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2022.
  18. ^abcd"OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS-2022 Primary Election". RetrievedMay 30, 2022.
  19. ^ab"Candidate Filing Report"(PDF). RetrievedApril 10, 2023.
  20. ^"CLEVELAND, SCOTT OH - Candidate overview | FEC". FEC. RetrievedNovember 28, 2021.
  21. ^"2022 Senate Race ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2021.
  22. ^"Senate ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2021.
  23. ^"2022 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedJanuary 28, 2021.
  24. ^"Idaho Senate Race 2022".Politico. April 1, 2022.
  25. ^"Battle for the Senate 2022".RCP. January 10, 2022.
  26. ^"2022 Election Forecast".Fox News. May 12, 2022. RetrievedMay 12, 2022.
  27. ^"2022 Election Forecast".DDHQ. July 20, 2022. RetrievedJuly 20, 2022.
  28. ^"2022 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived fromthe original on June 30, 2022. RetrievedJune 30, 2022.
  29. ^"Economist's 2022 Senate forecast".The Economist. September 7, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2022.
  30. ^abcdef"Mike Crapo's Ratings and Endorsements".justfacts.votesmart.org. RetrievedNovember 7, 2022.
  31. ^"2022 Stonewall Voter Guide".Stonewall Democratic Club. RetrievedDecember 5, 2022.
  32. ^"2022 Candidates for Common Good".Vote Common Good. RetrievedNovember 1, 2022.
  33. ^"Idaho Statesman".idahostatesman.com. RetrievedApril 10, 2023. (subscription required)
  34. ^YouTube
  35. ^"2022 General Election - OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS".State of Idaho - Elections Department.
  36. ^"2022 Idaho Election Results by Congressional District".

External links

[edit]

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