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2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut
← 2016
November 8, 2022
2028 →
Turnout51.03%Decrease
 
NomineeRichard BlumenthalLeora Levy
PartyDemocraticRepublican
AllianceWorking Families
Popular vote723,864535,943
Percentage57.45%42.54%
County results
Municipality results
Congressional district results
Blumenthal:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Levy:     50–60%     60–70%
U.S. senator before election

Richard Blumenthal
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Richard Blumenthal
Democratic

Elections in Connecticut
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The2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of Connecticut.

DemocratRichard Blumenthal was first elected to this seat in2010 with 55.2% of the vote over RepublicanLinda McMahon. He was thenre-elected in 2016 with 63.2% of the vote over RepublicanDan Carter. Blumenthal ran for reelection to a third term in office and secured the 2022 nomination. BusinesswomanLeora Levy won the Republican primary on August 9, 2022. Blumenthal won reelection, defeating Levy by about 15 points.[1] The race took place simultaneously with the2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election.

Democratic convention

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated at convention

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Richard Blumenthal

Organizations

Labor unions

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Eliminated at convention

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Themis Klarides

Governors

Local officials

Organizations

Leora Levy

Executive branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. House of Representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Levy
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  Klarides
  •   40-50%
Results by county
Results by municipality
  Levy
  •   30-40%
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  Klarides
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
Results by municipality
Republican primary results[31]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanLeora Levy46,77450.60%
RepublicanThemis Klarides37,00340.03%
RepublicanPeter Lumaj8,6659.37%
Total votes92,442100.0%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[32]Solid DMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[33]Solid DApril 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34]Safe DMarch 1, 2022
Politico[35]Likely DAugust 12, 2022
RCP[36]Lean DOctober 15, 2022
Fox News[37]Likely DSeptember 20, 2022
DDHQ[38]Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538[39]Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist[40]Safe DSeptember 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Richard Blumenthal (D)

Organizations

Leora Levy (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. Representatives

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Richard
Blumenthal (D)		Leora
Levy (R)		Other
[a]		Margin
Real Clear Politics[47]October 10–23, 2022October 30, 202252.7%41.7%5.6%Blumenthal +11.0
FiveThirtyEight[48]September 15 – October 19, 2022October 30, 202253.4%40.9%5.7%Blumenthal +12.4
270towin[49]September 7–21, 2022October 30, 202252.7%41.7%5.6%Blumenthal +11.0
Average52.9%41.4%5.7%Blumenthal +11.5

Graphical summary

This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Richard
Blumenthal (D)		Leora
Levy (R)		OtherUndecided
Long Island University[50]October 24–26, 20221,004 (A)± 3.0%51%26%9%[c]14%
Quinnipiac University[51]October 19–23, 20221,879 (LV)± 2.3%56%41%1%[d]2%
Emerson College[52]October 19–21, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%53%40%2%[e]5%
54%42%4%[f]–
Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)[53][A]October 10–13, 20221,200 (LV)± 2.8%49%44%–7%
Western New England University[54]September 15–21, 2022766 (RV)± 3.2%51%37%2%[g]10%
626 (LV)± 4.8%53%40%2%[h]5%
Quinnipiac University[51]September 15–19, 20221,911 (LV)± 2.2%57%40%1%[i]3%
Emerson College[55]September 7–9, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%36%–15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[56]July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%45%33%–22%
Emerson College[55]May 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%52%36%–11%
Hypothetical polling

Richard Blumenthal vs. Themis Klarides

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Richard
Blumenthal (D)		Themis
Klarides (R)		Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[56]July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%45%34%21%
Emerson College[55]May 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%50%40%10%

Richard Blumenthal vs. Peter Lumaj

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Richard
Blumenthal (D)		Peter
Lumaj (R)		Undecided
Emerson College[55]May 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%51%35%14%

Richard Blumenthal vs. generic opponent

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Richard
Blumenthal (D)		Generic
Opponent		Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[56]July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%41%47%12%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		OtherUndecided
Fabrizo Lee (R)[57][A]October 10–13, 20221,200 (LV)–45%43%1%[j]11%

Debates

[edit]
2022 United States Senate general election in Connecticut debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W  Withdrawn
Richard BlumenthalLeora Levy
1Nov. 2, 2022Channel 3, CT Insider[58]PP

Results

[edit]
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +>15%
  •   Democratic — +12.5-15%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
Trend relative to the state by county
County flips
Legend

  • Democratic

      Hold

    Republican

      Hold
      Gain from Democratic

2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut[59]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticRichard Blumenthal701,17555.65%−2.03%
Working FamiliesRichard Blumenthal22,6891.80%−3.71%
TotalRichard Blumenthal (incumbent)723,86457.45%-5.74%
RepublicanLeora Levy535,94342.54%+7.92%
Write-in800.00%±0.0%
Total votes1,259,887100.00%
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
CountyRichard Blumenthal

Democratic

Leora Levy

Republican

Various candidates

Other parties

Total votes cast
Fairfield186,69859.56%126,75740.44%70.00%313,462
Hartford189,51261.36%119,28038.62%420.01%308,834
Litchfield37,34546.02%43,78853.96%90.01%81,142
Middlesex41,91156.37%32,43043.62%50.01%74,346
New Haven161,06356.74%122,77043.25%60.00%282,839
New London56,71156.97%42,83543.03%60.01%99,552
Tolland32,12953.49%27,43146.05%30.01%59,560
Windham18,49547.24%20,65252.75%20.01%39,149
Total723,86457.45%535,94342.54%800.01%1,259,887

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Blumenthal won all five congressional districts.[60]

DistrictBlumenthalLevyRepresentative
1st63%37%John B. Larson
2nd55%45%Joe Courtney
3rd58%42%Rosa DeLauro
4th61%39%Jim Himes
5th52%48%Jahana Hayes

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^abcdeKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^"Not planning to vote" with 5%; "Another candidate" with 4%
  4. ^"Refused" with 1%
  5. ^"Someone else" with 2%
  6. ^"Someone else" with 4%
  7. ^"Refused" with 2%
  8. ^"Refused" with 2%
  9. ^"Refused" with 1%
  10. ^"Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^abThis poll was sponsored byThe Connecticut Examiner.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Kang, Hanna; Neubauer, Kelsey."Live Results: Democratic incumbent Sen. Richard Blumenthal beat Trump-endorsed Republican Leora Levy in Connecticut's US Senate race".Business Insider. RetrievedNovember 9, 2022.
  2. ^Munson, Emilie (November 4, 2020)."A campaign begins: Blumenthal will seek re-election in 2022".www.ctpost.com. RetrievedNovember 14, 2020.
  3. ^"2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements".feministmajoritypac.org. RetrievedApril 9, 2022.
  4. ^"Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements".www.jewishdems.org. November 30, 2021. RetrievedDecember 11, 2021.
  5. ^"Richard Blumenthal Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement for Reelection to the U.S. Senate".www.lcv.org. April 26, 2022.
  6. ^"NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for the U.S. House and Senate".NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 13, 2021.
  7. ^Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022)."NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections".Natural Resources Defense Council. RetrievedMarch 15, 2022.
  8. ^"2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived fromthe original on July 2, 2022. RetrievedApril 21, 2022.
  9. ^"Endorsed Candidates".proisraelamerica.org. Archived fromthe original on December 20, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2022.
  10. ^"Sierra Club 2022 Endorsements".Sierra Club Independent Action.
  11. ^"Labor Endorses Slate of Pro-Worker Candidates". June 24, 2022. RetrievedJuly 4, 2022.
  12. ^Borsuk, Ken (February 8, 2022)."Leora Levy seeks GOP nod for Senate run 'to lead the fight for freedom,' challenge Richard Blumenthal". Greenwich Time. RetrievedFebruary 9, 2022.
  13. ^House, Dennis (January 30, 2022)."This Week in CT: Themis Klarides announces run for U.S. Senate seat".WTNH. RetrievedMarch 24, 2022.
  14. ^Pazniokas, Mark (January 30, 2022)."Themis Klarides confirms a switch to U.S. Senate race".The Connecticut Mirror. RetrievedMarch 24, 2022.
  15. ^Keating, Christopher (December 20, 2021)."Connecticut Republicans, with little money and no prominent candidates, prepare to challenge U.S. Sen. Richard Blumenthal".Hartford Courant.Archived from the original on December 21, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 1, 2022.
  16. ^"GOP sees opportunity to defeat Blumenthal in 2022 elections".www.fox61.com.WTIC-TV. April 3, 2022. RetrievedApril 4, 2022.
  17. ^abcd"Republican Convention ends; Stefanowski nabs nomination".www.wfsb.com.WFSB-TV. May 6, 2022. RetrievedMay 28, 2022.
  18. ^"FLYNN, JOHN J - Candidate overview".FEC.gov. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2021.
  19. ^Munson, Emilie (December 1, 2019)."CT congressional candidate in Trump's inner circle - or is he?".Connecticut Post.Archived from the original on January 15, 2020. RetrievedAugust 9, 2020.
  20. ^Sommer, Will; Swan, Betsy (January 25, 2020)."Meet the Trump Donor Who Allegedly Stalked America's Ambassador in Ukraine".The Daily Beast.
  21. ^Pazniokas, Mark (April 4, 2016)."GOP's Dan Carter announces for U.S. Senate nomination".The Connecticut Mirror.
  22. ^Vigdor, Neil (May 28, 2019)."The once and future candidate? Republican Bob Stefanowski transforms from losing nominee to ubiquitous foil of Gov. Ned Lamont".courant.com.
  23. ^"FILING FEC-1500208". February 16, 2021.
  24. ^ab"Republican candidates vying for U.S. Senate in Connecticut ready for August Primary".WTNH. July 13, 2022.
  25. ^"Hogan hits hustings in New Hampshire as possible 2024 Republican bid takes shape".Washington Examiner. July 11, 2022.
  26. ^"Trump's endorsement of Levy — and any other GOP hopefuls — a mixed picture in CT". August 5, 2022.
  27. ^"Blumenthal leads potential GOP rivals ahead of Connecticut general election: poll".The Hill. May 19, 2021. RetrievedMay 19, 2022.The Connecticut GOP endorsed Klarides on Saturday.
  28. ^Pazniokas, Mark (August 4, 2022)."Donald Trump endorses Leora Levy for U.S. Senate in live phone call".The Connecticut Mirror. RetrievedAugust 4, 2022.
  29. ^"Endorsed Candidates".John Bolton PAC.
  30. ^abcdefghijklm"Leora is Backed by Conservatives!".
  31. ^"2022 Aug 9 Republican Primary - U.S. Senator".ct.gov.
  32. ^"2022 Senate Race ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2021.
  33. ^"Senate ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2021.
  34. ^"2022 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedJanuary 28, 2021.
  35. ^"Connecticut Senate Race 2022".Politico. April 1, 2022.
  36. ^"Battle for the Senate 2022".RCP. January 10, 2022.
  37. ^"2022 Election Forecast".Fox News. September 20, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2022.
  38. ^"2022 Election Forecast".DDHQ. July 20, 2022. RetrievedJuly 20, 2022.
  39. ^"2022 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived fromthe original on June 30, 2022. RetrievedJune 30, 2022.
  40. ^"Economist's 2022 Senate forecast".The Economist. September 7, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2022.
  41. ^Pazniokas, Mark (May 19, 2022)."Poll: In U.S. Senate race, Richard Blumenthal has double-digit leads".The CT Mirror.
  42. ^"OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". RetrievedOctober 29, 2022.
  43. ^"Nikki Haley endorses US Senate candidate Leora Levy". November 2022.
  44. ^"Mike Pompeo endorses GOP candidate for Connecticut's US Senate seat". October 27, 2022.
  45. ^Raychel (October 14, 2022)."Stefanik's E-PAC Endorses Leora Levy for U.S. Senate in Connecticut".Elevate PAC – Engage, Empower, Elevate. RetrievedSeptember 8, 2023.
  46. ^"We endorse: MRS. Levy for Senate | Republican-American".
  47. ^Real Clear Politics
  48. ^FiveThirtyEight
  49. ^270towin
  50. ^Long Island University
  51. ^abQuinnipiac University
  52. ^Emerson College
  53. ^Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)
  54. ^Western New England University
  55. ^abcdEmerson College
  56. ^abcMcLaughlin & Associates (R)
  57. ^Fabrizo Lee (R)
  58. ^YouTube
  59. ^"2022 General Election - United States Senator".Connecticut Secretary of State.
  60. ^"State of Connecticut Elections Database » 2022 Nov 8 :: General Election :: United States Senator :: State of Connecticut".State of Connecticut Elections Database.Archived from the original on December 28, 2024. RetrievedJanuary 25, 2025.

External links

[edit]

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