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2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Not to be confused with2022 Arkansas Senate election.

2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas

← 2016November 8, 2022 (2022-11-08)2028 →
Turnout50.81%Decrease
 
NomineeJohn BoozmanNatalie James
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote592,437280,187
Percentage65.73%31.09%

County results
Congressional district results
Boozman:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
James:     50–60%

U.S. senator before election

John Boozman
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

John Boozman
Republican

Elections in Arkansas
Seal of Arkansas
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The2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member to theUnited States Senate to represent thestate ofArkansas. IncumbentRepublican SenatorJohn Boozman ran for a third term.[1] He won the May 24, 2022 Republican primary with 58.03% of the vote and the general election with 65.73% of the vote.[2]

This was the best performance for a Republican senator in the state's history, and was the first time for either U.S. Senate seat in Arkansas that Republicans won three consecutive elections.

Republican primary

[edit]

Incumbent senatorJohn Boozman ran with the endorsement offormer President Donald Trump. However, he attracted multiple opponents from the right who questioned his loyalty to Trump, attacking him for refusing to object to the results of the2020 United States presidential election.[3] Despite it being his first time running for office, former NFL football playerJake Bequette and his supporting groups raised over $2.6 million.[4] Boozman ultimately won with 58% of the vote, easily avoiding a runoff.

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]
  • Michael Deel, corporate analyst[8]

Endorsements

[edit]
John Boozman

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

Organizations

Jake Bequette

U.S. Representatives

Individuals

  • Stuart Scheller, former lt. colonel[16]

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of May 4, 2022
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
John Boozman (R)$5,515,449$4,930,354$1,580,776
Jake Bequette (R)$1,262,746$875,103$375,720
Source:Federal Election Commission[17]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jake
Bequette
John
Boozman
Heath
Loftis
Jan
Morgan
Undecided
Hendrix College[18]May 2, 2022802 (LV)± 4.3%19%45%2%17%18%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Boozman
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
Republican primary results[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Boozman (incumbent)201,67758.03%
RepublicanJake Bequette71,80920.66%
RepublicanJan Morgan65,95818.98%
RepublicanHeath Loftis8,1122.33%
Total votes347,556100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Natalie James, realtor[20]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Jack Foster, formerPine Bluff city alderman[21]
  • Dan Whitfield, blue collar worker and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in2020[22]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jack
Foster
Natalie
James
Dan
Whitfield
Undecided
Hendrix College[18]May 2, 2022597 (LV)± 5.0%5%17%15%63%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  James
  •   30-40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  James/Whitfield tie
  •   40–50%
  Whitfield
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Foster
  •   30–40%
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticNatalie James49,72254.09%
DemocraticDan Whitfield28,31930.80%
DemocraticJack Foster13,89115.11%
Total votes91,932100.0%

Libertarian convention

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated at convention

[edit]
  • Kenneth Cates, firefighter[23]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[24]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[25]Solid RApril 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Safe RMarch 1, 2022
Politico[27]Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP[28]Safe RFebruary 24, 2022
Fox News[29]Solid RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ[30]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[31]Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist[32]Safe RSeptember 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Natalie James (D)

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Boozman (R)
Natalie
James (D)
OtherUndecided
Hendrix College[36]September 12, 2022835 (LV)± 3.8%44%31%5%[b]21%
Echelon Insights[37]August 31 – September 7, 2022382 (RV)± 7.7%56%32%12%

Results

[edit]
2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas[38]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanJohn Boozman (incumbent)592,43765.73%+5.96%
DemocraticNatalie James280,18731.09%−5.08%
LibertarianKenneth Cates28,6823.18%−0.78%
Total votes901,306100.00%N/A
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
County[38]John Boozman
Republican
Natalie James
Democratic
Kenneth Cates
Libertarian
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Arkansas3,34274.95%1,01222.70%1052.35%2,33052.25%4,459
Ashley4,10375.51%1,25123.02%801.47%2,85252.48%5,434
Baxter12,20778.30%2,94018.86%4432.84%9,26759.44%15,590
Benton58,93865.08%28,33631.29%3,2883.63%30,60233.79%90,562
Boone10,17480.20%1,97915.60%5334.20%8,19564.60%12,686
Bradley1,82469.70%73027.89%632.41%1,09441.80%2,617
Calhoun1,26980.16%28117.75%332.08%98862.41%1,583
Carroll5,86764.98%2,83531.40%3273.62%3,03233.58%9,029
Chicot1,68749.90%1,65348.89%411.21%341.01%3,381
Clark3,68560.36%2,26737.13%1532.51%1,41823.23%6,105
Clay3,08078.63%69817.82%1393.55%2,38260.81%3,917
Cleburne8,33683.14%1,34213.39%3483.47%6,99469.76%10,026
Cleveland2,34384.04%38013.63%652.33%1,96370.41%2,788
Columbia4,17769.01%1,75228.94%1242.05%2,42540.06%6,053
Conway4,64869.21%1,85627.64%2123.16%2,79241.57%6,716
Craighead18,69767.78%7,88228.58%1,0043.64%10,81539.21%27,583
Crawford13,89478.59%3,12517.68%6603.73%10,76960.91%17,679
Crittenden5,43651.07%4,99946.96%2101.97%4374.11%10,645
Cross3,70775.58%1,07922.00%1192.43%2,62853.58%4,905
Dallas1,36666.50%63030.67%582.82%73635.83%2,054
Desha1,64754.64%1,29643.00%712.36%35111.65%3,014
Drew3,52567.19%1,63231.11%891.70%1,89336.08%5,246
Faulkner26,21865.54%12,25730.64%1,5263.81%13,96134.90%40,001
Franklin4,28479.73%89216.60%1973.67%3,39263.13%5,373
Fulton3,11978.60%68117.16%1684.23%2,43861.44%3,968
Garland22,60668.60%9,16227.80%1,1863.60%13,44440.80%32,954
Grant5,20582.91%85913.68%2143.41%4,34669.23%6,278
Greene9,05078.65%2,02717.62%4293.73%7,02361.04%11,506
Hempstead3,33872.00%1,19325.73%1052.26%2,14546.27%4,636
Hot Spring7,36074.60%2,13921.68%3673.72%5,22152.92%9,866
Howard2,66873.84%86123.83%842.32%1,80750.01%3,613
Independence8,32579.13%1,83917.48%3573.39%6,48661.65%10,521
Izard3,68780.75%72115.79%1583.46%2,96664.96%4,566
Jackson2,91372.61%98824.63%1112.77%1,92547.98%4,012
Jefferson7,57043.97%9,33954.25%3071.78%-1,769-10.28%17,216
Johnson5,28775.67%1,45820.87%2423.46%3,82954.80%6,987
Lafayette1,28165.49%63232.31%432.20%64933.18%1,956
Lawrence3,69280.68%72915.93%1553.39%2,96364.75%4,576
Lee97849.20%95648.09%542.72%221.11%1,988
Lincoln2,04074.64%61922.65%742.71%1,42151.99%2,733
Little River2,87975.98%79821.06%1122.96%2,08154.92%3,789
Logan4,92079.00%1,09417.57%2143.44%3,82661.43%6,228
Lonoke17,00776.14%4,47720.04%8523.81%12,53056.10%22,336
Madison4,48977.73%1,10219.08%1843.19%3,38758.65%5,775
Marion4,76679.65%1,01516.96%2033.39%3,75162.68%5,984
Miller8,47575.78%2,42221.66%2862.56%6,05354.13%11,183
Mississippi5,43063.87%2,87633.83%1952.29%2,55430.04%8,501
Monroe1,29557.99%89139.90%472.10%40418.09%2,233
Montgomery2,51679.80%53216.87%1053.33%1,98462.92%3,153
Nevada1,66767.87%74030.13%492.00%92737.74%2,456
Newton2,44079.74%51316.76%1073.50%1,92762.97%3,060
Ouachita4,16359.52%2,66338.08%1682.40%1,50021.45%6,994
Perry2,91976.98%71218.78%1614.25%2,20758.20%3,792
Phillips1,92945.11%2,28153.34%661.54%-352-8.23%4,276
Pike3,13384.61%47212.75%982.65%2,66171.86%3,703
Poinsett4,41979.64%97617.59%1542.78%3,44362.05%5,549
Polk5,66982.59%93213.58%2633.83%4,73769.01%6,864
Pope13,15875.39%3,67821.07%6183.54%9,48054.31%17,454
Prairie2,20983.11%38614.52%632.37%1,82368.59%2,658
Pulaski52,74542.73%67,50354.69%3,1842.58%-14,758-11.96%123,432
Randolph4,16079.31%86416.47%2214.21%3,29662.84%5,245
St. Francis2,51449.89%2,42448.10%1012.00%901.79%5,039
Saline30,90071.73%10,60224.61%1,5743.65%20,29847.12%43,076
Scott2,49784.64%34911.83%1043.53%2,14872.81%2,950
Searcy2,52381.10%42613.69%1625.21%2,09767.41%3,111
Sebastian24,09770.32%8,92626.05%1,2463.64%15,17144.27%34,269
Sevier2,88879.71%62517.25%1103.04%2,26362.46%3,623
Sharp4,84880.45%97916.25%1993.30%3,86964.21%6,026
Stone3,94977.94%93218.39%1863.67%3,01759.54%5,067
Union7,92668.33%3,44329.68%2301.98%4,48338.65%11,599
Van Buren4,86177.93%1,11117.81%2664.26%3,75060.12%6,238
Washington37,33653.01%30,93543.92%2,1603.07%6,4019.09%70,431
White18,49780.24%3,73216.19%8233.57%14,76564.05%23,052
Woodruff1,37666.28%63330.49%673.23%74335.79%2,076
Yell4,26481.03%83615.89%1623.08%3,42865.15%5,262
Totals592,43765.73%280,18731.09%28,6823.18%312,25034.64%901,306

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Boozman won all four congressional districts.[39]

DistrictBoozmanJamesRepresentative
1st72%25%Rick Crawford
2nd59%38%French Hill
3rd63%33%Steve Womack
4th70%27%Bruce Westerman

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Cates with 5%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ab"Senator Boozman seeks re-election in 2022". Southwest Times Record. March 15, 2021. RetrievedMarch 17, 2021.
  2. ^"AP PROJECTS: Republican John Boozman wins reelection to U.S. Senate from Arkansas".ky3. November 9, 2022. RetrievedNovember 9, 2022.
  3. ^"Boozman blasted for private remarks about Trump". April 5, 2022.
  4. ^"Senate Candidate Jake Bequette and Supporting Groups Raise over $2.6 Million to Date".
  5. ^"Former NFL player, Iraq war veteran Jake Bequette challenges Arkansas Sen. Boozman". Fox News. July 12, 2021. RetrievedJuly 12, 2021.
  6. ^"Another challenger to John Boozman from the right". Arkansas Times. March 24, 2021. RetrievedApril 9, 2021.
  7. ^"Former gubernatorial candidate Jan Morgan launches U.S. Senate bid". Arkansas Democrat Gazette. March 17, 2021. RetrievedMarch 18, 2021.
  8. ^Staff Reports."Young Republican Michael Deel makes bid for U.S. Senate".Southwest Times Record. RetrievedMay 10, 2021.
  9. ^abFrank E. Lockwood (March 18, 2021)."Gun-rights activist Jan Morgan kicks off Senate run".Northwest Arkansas Democrat Gazette.
  10. ^"Donald Trump endorses Sen. John Boozman for reelection".FoxNews. March 8, 2021. RetrievedMarch 8, 2021.
  11. ^Raju, Manu; Rogers, Alex (March 12, 2021)."McConnell quietly courts Senate primary candidates 'who can win' regardless of Trump ties".CNN.Archived from the original on August 24, 2021.
  12. ^"Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle".cresenergy.com.Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. May 4, 2022. Archived fromthe original on August 21, 2022. RetrievedJune 7, 2022.
  13. ^"John Boozman Endorsements".
  14. ^"Endorsed Candidates".proisraelamerica.org. Archived fromthe original on December 20, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2022.
  15. ^ab"Republican congressmen endorse Sen. Boozman's primary opponent". January 18, 2022.
  16. ^https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=915738115796020[user-generated source]
  17. ^"2022 Election United States Senate - Arkansas".Federal Election Commission.
  18. ^abHendrix College
  19. ^ab"2022 Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan Judicial General Election".
  20. ^Staff, A. M. P. (June 14, 2021)."Democrat Natalie James Announces for U.S. Senate".AMP. RetrievedJune 15, 2021.
  21. ^"Foster to run for US senate". Arkansas Democratic Gazette. April 10, 2021. RetrievedApril 10, 2021.
  22. ^"Dan Whitfield to run against Boozman for US Senate seat in 2022".KFSM. January 13, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2021.
  23. ^"Libertarians nominate more than 50, including Harrington for governor".Talk Business & Politics. February 21, 2022.
  24. ^"2022 Senate Race ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2021.
  25. ^"Senate ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2021.
  26. ^"2022 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedJanuary 28, 2021.
  27. ^"Arkansas Senate Race 2022".Politico. April 1, 2022.
  28. ^"Battle for the Senate 2022".RCP. January 10, 2022.
  29. ^"2022 Election Forecast".Fox News. May 12, 2022. RetrievedMay 12, 2022.
  30. ^"2022 Election Forecast".DDHQ. July 20, 2022. RetrievedJuly 20, 2022.
  31. ^"2022 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived fromthe original on June 30, 2022. RetrievedJune 30, 2022.
  32. ^"Economist's 2022 Senate forecast".The Economist. September 7, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2022.
  33. ^"Natalie James Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement to Fight for Arkansas Communities in the Senate". October 19, 2022.
  34. ^"Endorsed Candidates".National Women's Political Caucus. RetrievedNovember 2, 2022.
  35. ^"2022 Candidates for Common Good".Vote Common Good. RetrievedNovember 3, 2022.
  36. ^Hendrix College
  37. ^Echelon Insights
  38. ^abJester, Cole (November 8, 2022)."2022 General Election - November 8, 2022".Secretary of State of Arkansas.Archived from the original on June 14, 2025. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2025.
  39. ^"2022 AR GOV and SEN by CD".Google Docs. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2025.

External links

[edit]

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