2022 United States Senate election in Alaska Maximum round results by borough and census area Murkowski: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%Tshibaka: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
The2022 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 8, 2022. Incumbent Republican senatorLisa Murkowski won reelection to a fourth full term, defeating fellow Republican Kelly Tshibaka andDemocrat Patricia Chesbro.[ 1]
This was the first U.S. Senate election in Alaska to be held under a new election process provided for inBallot Measure 2 . All candidates ran in anonpartisan blanket top-four primary on August 16, 2022, and the top four candidates advanced to the general election, where voters utilizedranked-choice voting .[ 2] [ 3]
Murkowski had been a vocal critic ofDonald Trump during his presidency and opposed several of his initiatives. Murkowski was one of seven Republican senators who voted to convict Trump in hissecond impeachment trial in 2021, and was the only one up for re-election in 2022. On March 16, 2021, theAlaska Republican Party voted to censure Murkowski and announced that it would recruit a Republican challenger in the 2022 election cycle. Kelly Tshibaka, a former commissioner of theAlaska Department of Administration , was endorsed by Trump and the Alaska Republican Party.[ 4] [ 5] [ 6] Mitch McConnell and theNational Republican Senatorial Committee supported Murkowski.[ 7]
In addition to Murkowski and Tshibaka,Democrat Pat Chesbro and Republican Buzz Kelley also advanced to the general election. On September 13, Kelley suspended his campaign and endorsed Tshibaka but remained on the ballot.[ 8] instant runoff was triggered. Murkowski won reelection in the third and final round, winning most of the second-choice votes from Chesbro's voters.[ 9]
Advanced to general [ edit ] Withdrew after advancing to general [ edit ] Buzz Kelley, retired mechanic[ 12] (remained on ballot; endorsed Tshibaka) [ a] [ 13] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Advanced to general [ edit ] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Alaskan Independence Party [ edit ] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Dave Darden, perennial candidate[ 29] Shoshana Gungurstein, businesswoman Sid Hill, politicalgadfly and candidate for U.S. Senate in2014 [ 29] Jeremy Keller, television personality[ 14] Huhnkie Lee, attorney, army veteran and Republican candidate forAlaska Senate in2020 [ 15] Primary election results bystate house district Primary election results[ 12] [ 32] Party Candidate Votes % Republican Lisa Murkowski (incumbent)85,794 45.05% Republican Kelly Tshibaka 73,414 38.55% Democratic Patricia Chesbro 12,989 6.82% Republican Buzz Kelley 4,055 2.13% Republican Pat Nolin 2,004 1.05% Democratic Edgar Blatchford 1,981 1.04% Democratic Ivan R. Taylor 1,897 1.00% Republican Sam Merrill 1,529 0.80% Libertarian Sean Thorne 1,399 0.73% Independent Shoshana Gungurstein 853 0.45% Independence Joe Stephens 805 0.42% Republican John Schiess 734 0.39% Independence Dustin Darden 649 0.34% Republican Kendall L. Shorkey 627 0.33% Republican Karl Speights 613 0.32% Independent Jeremy Keller 405 0.21% Independent Sid Hill 274 0.14% Independent Huhnkie Lee 238 0.12% Independent Dave Darden 198 0.10% Total votes 190,458 100.0%
Lisa Murkowski (R)
Executive branch officials
Governors
U.S. Senators
John Barrasso ,U.S. Senator fromWyoming (2007–present)[ 49] Susan Collins ,U.S. Senator fromMaine (1997–present)[ 50] John Cornyn ,U.S. Senator fromTexas (2002–present)[ 51] Joni Ernst ,U.S. Senator fromIowa (2015–present)[ 50] Angus King ,U.S. Senator fromMaine (2013–present)(Independent) [ 51] Joe Manchin ,U.S. Senator fromWest Virginia (2010–2025)(Democratic) [ 52] Mitch McConnell ,U.S Senator fromKentucky (1985–present),Senate Minority Leader (2021–2025, 2007–2015), and formerSenate Majority Leader (2015–2021)[ 53] Rick Scott ,U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present)[ 54] Tim Scott ,U.S. Senator fromSouth Carolina (2013–present)[ 55] Kyrsten Sinema ,U.S. Senator fromArizona (2019–2025) (Democratic) [ 51] Dan Sullivan ,U.S. Senator fromAlaska (2015–present)[ 56] Brian Schatz ,U.S. Senator fromHawaii (2012–present)(Democratic) [ 51] Jeanne Shaheen ,U.S. Senator fromNew Hampshire (2009–present)(Democratic) [ 51] John Thune ,U.S. Senator fromSouth Dakota (2005–present),Senate Minority Whip (2021–2025), and formerSenate Majority Whip (2019–2021)Mark Warner ,U.S. Senator fromVirginia (2009–present)(Democratic) [ 51] U.S. Representatives
State Legislators
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Organizations
Labor unions
Kelly Tshibaka (R)
Executive branch officials
Governors
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s) Sample[ b] Margin RCV Pat Dustin ElviGray-Jackson Al John Joe Lisa Sarah Kelly Other Undecided Alaska Survey Research [ 89] July 2–5, 2022 1,201 (LV) ± 2.9% 1 17% 5% – 35% – 43% – 2 20% – 36% 45% 3 – 52% 48% Cygnal (R)[ 90] [ B] March 14–16, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.2% 1 – 29% – 45% 26% – ? 49% – 51% – Alaska Survey Research [ 91] October 22–27, 2021 969 (RV) ± 3.2% 1 – 22% – 35% 20% 23% – 2 23% 42% – 35% 3 – 60% 40% Alaska Survey Research [ 92] July 11–21, 2021 947 (LV) ± 3.2% 1 – 19% – 18% 36% – 27% – 2 21% – 39% 40% 3 – 55% 45% Change Research (D)[ 93] [ C] May 22–25, 2021 1,023 (LV) ± 3.1% BA – 25% 4% – 19% – 39% 1%[ i] 12% 3[ j] 46% – – 54% –
Lisa Murkowski vs. Kelly Tshibaka
Poll source Date(s) Sample[ b] Margin Lisa Kelly Undecided Alaska Survey Research [ 94] April 16–21, 2022 1,208 (LV) ± 2.9% 55% 45% –
Preference flow 2022 United States Senate election in Alaska[ 95] [ 96] Party Candidate First choice Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Votes % Transfer Votes % Transfer Votes % Transfer Votes % Republican Lisa Murkowski 113,495 43.37% +623 114,118 43.39% +1,641 115,759 44.49% +20,571 136,330 53.70% Republican Kelly Tshibaka 111,480 42.60% +621 112,101 42.62% +3,209 115,310 44.32% +2,224 117,534 46.30% Democratic Pat Chesbro 27,145 10.37% +1,088 28,233 10.73% +901 29,134 11.20% −29,134 Eliminated Republican Buzz Kelley (withdrew) [ a] 7,557 2.89% +1,018 8,575 3.26% −8,575 Eliminated Write-in 2,028 0.77% -2,028 Eliminated Total votes 261,705 263,027 260,203 253,864 Blank or inactive ballots 3,770 +2,824 6,594 +6,339 12,933 Republican hold
^a b Remained on the ballot because he withdrew after the deadline of 64 days ahead of the election.[ 13] ^a b c Key: ^a b Kelley eliminated. ^a b Chesbro eliminated. ^ The margin of sampling error for the 500 statewide sample is ±4.4%; for the 840 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.3%. ^ Standard polling question. ^ Kelley eliminated. Vote transfer breakdown: 29% to Tshibaka and 71% not ranked further. ^ Chesbro eliminated. Vote transfer breakdown: 77% to Murkowski, 8% to Tshibaka, and 15% not ranked further. ^ Would not vote with 1% ^ Excluding undecided voters Partisan clients
^ Poll sponsored byAARP ^ This poll was sponsored by Kelly Tshibaka's campaign ^ This poll was sponsored by314 Action ^ Gomez, Henry J. "Sen. Lisa Murkowski wins re-election in Alaska, fending off Trump-backed challenge after a ranked-choice runoff ",NBC News (November 23, 2022). ^ Kitchenman, Andrew (November 18, 2020)."Alaska will have a new election system: Voters pass Ballot Measure 2" .KTOO (FM) Archived from the original on November 18, 2020. RetrievedNovember 18, 2020 . ^ "Alaska Division of Elections, Primary Election Info" .Archived from the original on May 4, 2022. RetrievedDecember 10, 2021 .^ Steinhauser, Paul (March 16, 2021)."Alaska GOP censures Murkowski, says it will recruit primary challenger" .Fox News .Archived from the original on April 19, 2022. RetrievedMarch 17, 2021 . ^ "Lisa Murkowski censured by Alaska Republicans for voting to convict Trump" .The Guardian . Associated Press. March 16, 2021.Archived from the original on March 16, 2021. RetrievedMarch 17, 2021 .^ Acosta, Jim; Pellish, Aaron (March 6, 2021)."Trump says he'll campaign against Murkowski in Alaska next year" .CNN .Archived from the original on March 6, 2021. RetrievedMarch 6, 2021 . ^ "Alaska GOP votes to censure McConnell over his support for Murkowski" .Washington Post .ISSN 0190-8286 . RetrievedNovember 13, 2022 .^ "Alaska Senate candidate drops out of race" .The Hill . September 13, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 26, 2022 .^ Cochrane, Emily (November 24, 2022)."Lisa Murkowski Wins Re-election in Alaska, Beating a Trump-Backed Rival" .The New York Times .ISSN 0362-4331 . RetrievedNovember 24, 2022 . ^ "Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski to run in 2022; Trump backs rival" .Associated Press Archived from the original on April 12, 2022. RetrievedNovember 12, 2021 .^ Becky Bohrer (March 29, 2021)."Republican announces run for Murkowski's Alaska Senate seat" .Associated Press Archived from the original on April 18, 2022. RetrievedMarch 29, 2021 . ^a b c d e "2022 Primary Candidate List" .Division of Elections - State of Alaska . Alaska Division of Elections. December 7, 2021.Archived from the original on June 3, 2022. RetrievedJune 1, 2022 .^a b c "Alaska Senate candidate drops out of race" .The Hill . RetrievedOctober 28, 2022 .^a b c "Alaska Division of Elections Candidate List" . April 25, 2022. Archived fromthe original on June 3, 2022. RetrievedApril 25, 2021 .^a b c d Thiessen, Mark (April 27, 2021)."Alaska candidate shadowed by anti-gay article, election post" .Associated Press Archived from the original on June 12, 2021. RetrievedJune 12, 2021 .The state elections office says others who have registered for Senate include Dustin Darden with the Alaskan Independence Party, Huhnkie Lee, who is undeclared, and Republicans Samuel Little and Karl Speights. ^ Lottsfeldt, Jim (August 12, 2020)."It sure looks like Dunleavy is running for U.S. Senate in 2022" .The Midnight Sun .Archived from the original on March 19, 2021. RetrievedOctober 30, 2020 . ^ Brooks, James (August 13, 2021)."Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy will run for re-election in 2022" .Anchorage Daily News Archived from the original on April 16, 2022. RetrievedAugust 14, 2021 . ^ Kerry Picket (April 6, 2021)."Lisa Murkowski trails GOP challenger: Poll" .Washington Examiner .Archived from the original on June 28, 2021. RetrievedApril 6, 2021 . ^ "Sarah Palin Is Considering Running For Senate 'If God Wants Me To'—And Here We Go Again" .Comic Sands . August 2, 2021.Archived from the original on November 21, 2021. RetrievedAugust 2, 2021 .^ Ulloa, Jazmine; Peters, Jeremy W. (April 2, 2022)."Sarah Palin Announces She's Running for Congress in Alaska" .The New York Times .Archived from the original on May 10, 2022. RetrievedMay 8, 2022 . ^ "A Mat-Su Democrat is running for U.S. Senate in Alaska, potentially scrambling the campaign" .Archived from the original on May 20, 2022. RetrievedMay 17, 2022 .^ "Chesbro For Alaska" .Chesbro For Alaska .Archived from the original on June 24, 2022. RetrievedJune 7, 2022 .^a b "ALASKA STATEWIDE – SURVEY MEMORANDUM" .www.politico.com . March 29, 2021.Archived from the original on April 14, 2021. RetrievedMay 4, 2021 .^ "Taylor4Alaska.org" .www.taylor4alaska.org .Archived from the original on May 18, 2022. RetrievedJune 7, 2022 .^ Landfield, Jeff (July 27, 2021)."Democratic State Senator Elvi Gray-Jackson considering run for U.S. Senate" .The Alaska Landmine .Archived from the original on February 10, 2022. RetrievedJuly 28, 2021 . ^ "Anchorage state Sen. Elvi Gray-Jackson is 1st Democrat to enter race for U.S. Senate" .Archived from the original on March 28, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 10, 2022 .^ Democratic State Sen. Elvi Gray-Jackson makes it official: She is withdrawing from the Alaska U.S. Senate race in order to run for re-election to the Alaska Legislature. Archived March 25, 2022, at theWayback Machine James Brooks on Twitter ^ "Sean Thorne FEC Statement of Candidacy" .Archived from the original on December 23, 2021. RetrievedDecember 23, 2021 .^a b c "Statewide campaign coffers are filling up" .Juneau Empire . November 3, 2021.Archived from the original on March 5, 2022. RetrievedMarch 5, 2022 .^ Jacob Rubashkin (April 12, 2021)."Alaska Senate: Al Gross, 2020 Nominee, Considering Another Run" .Inside Elections Archived from the original on May 13, 2022. RetrievedApril 12, 2021 . ^ Matt Hickman (March 19, 2022)."Source: Gross running for Congressional seat vacated by Young's passing" .Anchorage Press Archived from the original on March 20, 2022. RetrievedMarch 21, 2022 . ^ "August 16, 2022 Primary Election Summary Report - OFFICIAL RESULTS" (PDF) . Alaska Division of Elections. September 2, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2022 .^ "2022 Senate Race ratings" .The Cook Political Report .Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2021 .^ "Senate ratings" .Inside Elections .Archived from the original on January 20, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 18, 2021 .^ "2022 Senate" .Sabato's Crystal Ball .Archived from the original on February 1, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 28, 2021 .^ "Alaska Senate Race 2022" .Politico . April 1, 2022.Archived from the original on April 19, 2022. RetrievedApril 19, 2022 .^ "Battle for the Senate 2022" .RCP . January 10, 2022.Archived from the original on January 24, 2022. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2022 .^ "2022 Election Forecast" .Fox News . May 12, 2022.Archived from the original on May 12, 2022. RetrievedMay 12, 2022 .^ "2022 Election Forecast" .DDHQ . July 20, 2022.Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. RetrievedJuly 20, 2022 .^ "2022 Election Forecast" .FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022. Archived fromthe original on August 1, 2022. RetrievedJune 30, 2022 .^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast" .The Economist . September 7, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2022 .^ "Alaska U.S. Senate candidate forum: Sept. 1, 2022" . September 1, 2022 – via YouTube.^ "Alaska U.S. Senate candidate forum: October 10, 2022" . October 10, 2022 – via YouTube.^ "Our Endorsed Candidates for Congress 2022" .akcenter.org . July 20, 2022. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022 .^ Samuels, Iris (August 11, 2022)."In Alaska's U.S. Senate race, Murkowski and Tshibaka look ahead to November" .Anchorage Daily News Archived from the original on August 13, 2022. RetrievedAugust 16, 2022 . ^ Greenwood, Max (February 1, 2022)."Ex-President Bush backs two high-profile Republicans slammed by Trump" .The Hill .Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 1, 2022 . ^ "Hogan to headline fundraiser for Murkowski in DC" .The Hill . June 15, 2022.Archived from the original on August 1, 2022. RetrievedAugust 1, 2022 .^ "Bill Walker on Facebook" .Facebook ^ Niedzwiadek, Nick (March 7, 2021)."Sen. Barrasso backs Murkowski after Trump targets her" .Politico .Archived from the original on March 12, 2021. RetrievedMarch 25, 2021 . ^a b Suzanne Downing (April 16, 2021)."Murkowski raises $380,687 in first quarter, as Tshibaka raises $214,844 in three days" .Must Read Alaska .Archived from the original on June 2, 2021. RetrievedJune 1, 2021 . ^a b c d e f "Democrats for Murkowski: Alaska Republican counts her fans across the aisle" .POLITICO . POLITICO. July 18, 2022.Archived from the original on July 24, 2022. RetrievedJuly 25, 2022 .^ Schnell, Mychael (February 6, 2022)."Manchin crosses party lines in officially endorsing Murkowski" .The Hill .Archived from the original on February 6, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 6, 2022 . ^ Alex Rogers (March 30, 2021)."Republican Kelly Tshibaka launches Senate campaign against Lisa Murkowski" .CNN .Archived from the original on April 10, 2021. RetrievedApril 10, 2021 . ^a b Wang, Amy B."Defying Trump, Rick Scott backs McConnell and Murkowski, tiptoes around false claims about election fraud" .The Washington Post ISSN 0190-8286 .Archived from the original on November 8, 2021. RetrievedNovember 8, 2021 . ^ Olson, Tyler (August 4, 2022)."Tim Scott defends Murkowski endorsement amid blowback from the right: 'I like to win' .Fox News . ^ Ardrey, Taylor (March 28, 2021)."Alaska Sen. Dan Sullivan said he'll 'support' Sen. Lisa Murkowski's reelection" .Business Insider .Archived from the original on March 28, 2021. RetrievedMarch 28, 2021 . ^ Montellaro, Zach (October 11, 2022)."Kinzinger endorses Dems in major governor, secretary of state races" .Politico Archived from the original on October 11, 2022. RetrievedOctober 11, 2022 . ^ Caldwell, Leigh Ann (October 24, 2022)."Murkowski, Peltola cross party lines to endorse each other in tight Alaska races" .The Washington Post ISSN 0190-8286 .Archived from the original on October 24, 2022. RetrievedOctober 28, 2022 .^a b c d Suzanne Downing (January 11, 2022)."Reps. Zack Fields, Bryce Edgmon, Dan Ortiz, and Sen. Gary Stevens endorse Murkowski" .Archived from the original on January 25, 2022. RetrievedJanuary 25, 2022 . ^a b c d Downing, Suzanne (February 8, 2022)."Lisa gets support from State Sen. von Imhof; Tshibaka brings in Alaska Outdoor Council endorsement for Senate" .Must Read Alaska .Archived from the original on February 8, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 11, 2022 . ^a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Endorsements - Lisa Murkowski for US Senate" .lisamurkowski.com . RetrievedNovember 6, 2022 .^ "AFN endorses Peltola and Murkowski, citing accomplishments and commitments" .alaskabeacon.com . October 23, 2022. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022 .^ "Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle" .cresenergy.com .Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions . May 4, 2022.Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. RetrievedJune 7, 2022 .^ "Endorsements" .Forward Party .^ "2022 Endorsed Candidates - Log Cabin Republicans" .^ "Notes from the trail: Palin stumps in Georgia and Murkowski endorsed by NEA-Alaska" . May 22, 2022.Archived from the original on May 22, 2022. RetrievedMay 28, 2022 .^ "Endorsed Candidates" .proisraelamerica.org .Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 22, 2022 .^ "Anti-Trump Republicans endorsing vulnerable Democrats to prevent GOP takeover" .The Hill Archived from the original on October 19, 2021. RetrievedOctober 14, 2021 .^ Hall, Joelle; Bradley, Neil (October 18, 2022)."Opinion: Murkowski is a champion for workers and our economy" .Anchorage Daily News . RetrievedDecember 19, 2022 . ^ Brooks, James (June 23, 2022)."Alaska AFL-CIO endorses Walker, Murkowski, Peltola" .Archived from the original on June 27, 2022. RetrievedJune 27, 2022 . ^ Axelrod, Tal (June 18, 2021)."Trump endorses Murkowski challenger" .The Hill .Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. RetrievedJune 18, 2021 . ^ "Gov. Kristi Noem endorsing Kelly Tshibaka for Senate" . May 12, 2022.Archived from the original on May 28, 2022. RetrievedMay 28, 2022 .^ "Trump rallies his Alaska faithful against Murkowski, for Tshibaka and Palin" .alaskapublic.org . July 9, 2022. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022 .^ "Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka won on Wednesday the endorsement of Edgar Blatchford, a former U.S. Senate Democrat candidate and mayor of Seward" .Twitter . RetrievedNovember 6, 2022 .^ Surreal ValeCity (April 5, 2021)."Former Republican Chairmen endorse Kelly Tshibaka" .www.surrealvalecity.com .Archived from the original on April 9, 2021. RetrievedApril 7, 2021 . ^ "Notes from the trail: Walker picks up new co-chairs" . July 23, 2022.Archived from the original on July 25, 2022. RetrievedJuly 25, 2022 .^ Downing, Suzanne (August 6, 2021)."Donald Trump Jr. jumps in, supports Kelly Tshibaka for Senate" .Must Read Alaska .Archived from the original on August 10, 2021. RetrievedAugust 10, 2021 . ^ "POLITICAL CANDIDATE SURVEY AND ENDORSEMENTS" .alaskaoutdoorcouncil.org . June 30, 2022. RetrievedNovember 8, 2022 .^ Celine Castronuovo (July 10, 2021)."Alaska GOP endorses Murkowski primary challenger" .The Hill Archived from the original on July 10, 2021. RetrievedJuly 10, 2021 . ^ Bratton, Regina (September 29, 2021)."The Conservative Political Action Coalition (CPAC) today announced its endorsement Kelly Tshibaka for U.S. Senator of the State of Alaska" .American Conservative Union .Archived from the original on June 26, 2022. RetrievedJune 26, 2022 . ^ "Endorsed Candidates" .Campaign for Working Families .Archived from the original on November 30, 2020. RetrievedAugust 3, 2022 .^ "FRC Action PAC Endorses Kelly Tshibaka for U.S. Senate in Alaska" . June 27, 2022.Archived from the original on August 13, 2022. RetrievedAugust 13, 2022 .^ Manchester, Julia (December 22, 2021)."Conservative women's group backing Murkowski challenger" .The Hill Archived from the original on December 22, 2021. RetrievedDecember 22, 2021 . ^ Downing, Suzanne (March 9, 2022)."Oil and Gas Workers Association endorses Tshibaka" .Mustreadalaska.com .Archived from the original on March 12, 2022. RetrievedMarch 18, 2022 . ^ "Tshibaka endorsed by leading national pro-life women's group" .alaskawatchman.com . September 22, 2022. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022 .^ "Ivan Moore 🇬🇧🇺🇸🇸🇬🇺🇦🏴🏳️🌈⛄️ (@IvanMoore1) on X" .^ Alaska Survey Research ^ "Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)" (PDF) .^ "Wayback Machine" (PDF) .projects.fivethirtyeight.com .^ "Cygnal (R)" .Politico ^ "Ivan Moore on Twitter" .^ "Ivan Moore 🇺🇦 on Twitter" .^ "Change Research on Twitter" .^ "Ivan Moore 🇺🇦 on Twitter" .^ "State of Alaska 2022 General Election RCV Detailed Report" (PDF) .Alaska Division of Elections . November 30, 2022. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2023 .^ "State of Alaska 2022 GENERAL ELECTION Election Summary Report" (PDF) .Alaska Division of Elections . November 30, 2022. RetrievedJanuary 8, 2023 .Official campaign websites
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