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All 13 Michigan seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Party gains District results County results Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold Republican gain
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The2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the thirteen seats in Michigan (reduced from 14 in theredistricting cycle following the2020 United States census). The deadline for candidates to file for the August 2 primary was April 19.[1] The congressional makeup prior to the election was seven Democrats and seven Republicans. However, after the 2020 census, Michigan lost one congressional seat. Democrats won a majority of seats in the state for the first time since2008.[a] This can be partly attributed to the decrease in the number of districts, which resulted in two Republican incumbents –Bill Huizenga andFred Upton – in the new4th district.[2] Redistricting also played a part in shifting partisan lean of the districts which favored the Democrats overall, including in the3rd district, which Democrats were able to flip with a margin of victory of 13 points.[3] That was made possible by a non-partisan citizens' commission drawing the new political boundaries instead of the Michigan legislature after a2018 ballot proposal was approved.[4]
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 Results by county Bergman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Lorinser: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district covers theUpper Peninsula and the northern part of theLower Peninsula, includingTraverse City. The incumbent was RepublicanJack Bergman, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Jack Bergman.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jack Bergman (incumbent) | 111,911 | 100.0 | |
| Write-in | 6 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 111,917 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Lorinser | 67,251 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 67,251 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jack Bergman (incumbent) | 233,094 | 60.0 | |
| Democratic | Bob Lorinser | 145,403 | 37.4 | |
| Working Class | Liz Hakola | 5,510 | 1.4 | |
| Libertarian | Andrew Gale | 4,592 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 388,599 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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 Results by county Moolenaar: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district runs along the eastern shoreline ofLake Michigan fromManistee to northernMuskegon County, includes parts of theGrand Rapids suburbs inKent county, and parts ofCentral Michigan, includingMount Pleasant and westernMidland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was RepublicanJohn Moolenaar of the4th congressional district, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was John Moolenaar.
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Moolenaar (incumbent) | 77,394 | 65.2 | |
| Republican | Tom Norton | 41,273 | 34.8 | |
| Write-in | 37 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 118,704 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry Hilliard | 40,952 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 40,952 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Moolenaar (incumbent) | 216,222 | 63.7 | |
| Democratic | Jerry Hilliard | 116,452 | 34.3 | |
| Libertarian | Nathan Hewer | 6,847 | 2.0 | |
| Total votes | 339,521 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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 County results Scholten: 50–60% Gibbs: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Scholten: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gibbs: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is based inwestern Michigan, and includesGrand Rapids,Muskegon, and parts ofOttawa County. The incumbent was RepublicanPeter Meijer, who was elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2020, but lost in the primary to pro-Trump candidateJohn Gibbs on August 2, 2022; as he was one of ten House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump after the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.[5]
In the final days of the primary, theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee bought $425,000 in TV ads that ostensibly attacked Gibbs (identifying him as "too conservative for West Michigan" and linking him to Trump) but were in fact designed to boost Gibbs' standing among pro-Trump Republican primary voters. The strategy—controversial within the Democratic Party—was based on the idea that Gibbs would be the weaker opponent in the general election, giving the Democrats an opportunity to win the 3rd district seat,[24][25][26] which following the2020 redistricting cycle had shifted from a Republican-leaning district to a swing district.[26] Democrat Hillary Scholten flipped the district, winning by 12.93%. In flipping the district to the Democratic side, Scholten became the first Democratic member of Congress from the area since 1977.[27]
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | John Gibbs | Audra Lemons-Johnson | Gabriella Manolache | Peter Meijer | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research (D)[37][A] | January 11–13, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 26% | 55% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Gibbs | 54,136 | 51.8 | |
| Republican | Peter Meijer (incumbent) | 50,440 | 48.2 | |
| Total votes | 104,576 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hillary Scholten | 59,661 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 59,661 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Lean D(flip) | August 5, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Lean D(flip) | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean D(flip) | September 7, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Lean D(flip) | August 12, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Tossup | August 3, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Lean D(flip) | October 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Tossup | October 20, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Lean D(flip) | September 28, 2022 |
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | John Gibbs (R) | Hillary Scholten (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[61][B] | May 25–26, 2022 | 676 (V) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 44% | 21% |
Peter Meijer vs. Hillary Scholten
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Peter Meijer (R) | Hillary Scholten (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[61][B] | May 25–26, 2022 | 676 (V) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 39% | 24% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hillary Scholten | 185,989 | 54.9 | |
| Republican | John Gibbs | 142,229 | 42.0 | |
| Libertarian | Jamie Lewis | 6,634 | 2.0 | |
| Working Class | Louis Palus | 4,136 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 338,988 | 100.0 | ||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | ||||
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 Results by county Huizenga: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Alfonso: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is based in southwestern Michigan, and includes the cities ofKalamazoo andHolland. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – RepublicanBill Huizenga of the2nd congressional district, who was re-elected with 59.2% of the vote in 2020,[5] and RepublicanFred Upton of the6th congressional district, who was re-elected with 55.8% of the vote in 2020.[5] Upton announced that he would be retiring at the end of his term.[62] The winner was Bill Huizenga.
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 88,851 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 88,851 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joseph Alfonso (write-in) | 10,992 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 10,992 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid R | June 15, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | June 15, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | June 15, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Likely R | June 14, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 183,936 | 54.4 | |
| Democratic | Joseph Alfonso | 143,690 | 42.5 | |
| Libertarian | Lorence Wenke | 8,478 | 2.5 | |
| U.S. Taxpayers | Curtis Michael Clark | 2,244 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 338,348 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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 County results Walberg: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district runs along Michigan's entire southern border withIndiana andOhio and includes the cities ofThree Rivers,Jackson, andMonroe. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was RepublicanTim Walberg of the7th congressional district, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Tim Walberg.
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 67,582 | 67.2 | |
| Republican | Sherry O'Donnell | 32,886 | 32.7 | |
| Write-in | 97 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 100,565 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bart Goldberg | 39,971 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 39,971 | 100.0 | ||
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| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 198,020 | 62.4 | |
| Democratic | Bart Goldberg | 110,946 | 35.0 | |
| Libertarian | Norman Peterson | 5,129 | 1.6 | |
| U.S. Taxpayers | Ezra Scott | 3,162 | 1.0 | |
| Write-in | 1 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 317,258 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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 County results Dingell: 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is based in southeastern Michigan, taking inWashtenaw County, parts ofWayne andOakland counties, including the cities ofAnn Arbor,Canton,Novi, andYpsilanti. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was DemocratDebbie Dingell of the12th congressional district, who was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Debbie Dingell.
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Dingell (incumbent) | 102,859 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 102,859 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Whittney Williams | 30,564 | 53.7 | |
| Republican | Hima Kolanagireddy | 26,371 | 46.3 | |
| Total votes | 56,935 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid D | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Dingell (incumbent) | 241,759 | 65.9 | |
| Republican | Whittney Williams | 125,167 | 34.1 | |
| Write-in | 1 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 366,927 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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 County resultsSlotkin: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Barrett: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is based around theLansing–East Lansing metropolitan area, but also includesLivingston County and a small part ofOakland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was DemocratElissa Slotkin of the8th congressional district, who was re-elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2020.[5]
In 2018, total campaign spending for the seat won by Slotkin drew the highest amount for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history.[89] In October 2022, the Slotkin–Barrett race was the most expensive House race nationwide.[90] The winner was Elissa Slotkin.[91]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Elissa Slotkin (incumbent) | 77,826 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 77,826 | 100.0 | ||
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Barrett | 75,491 | 96.1 | |
| Republican | Jake Hagg (write-in) | 3,108 | 3.9 | |
| Total votes | 78,599 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Tossup | June 15, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Tilt D | June 15, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean R(flip) | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Tossup | June 14, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
| Decision Desk HQ[15] | Tossup | November 4, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Lean D | October 20, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Lean D | November 8, 2022 |
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| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Elissa Slotkin (D) | Tom Barrett (R) | Undecided [c] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[112] | April 10 – November 2, 2022 | November 3, 2022 | 47.7% | 44.3% | 8.0% | Slotkin +3.4 |
Graphical summary
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Elissa Slotkin (D) | Tom Barrett (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research[113] | November 2, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | – | 4% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc.[114] | October 18–20, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 41% | 4%[d] | 8% |
| Target Insyght[115] | September 12–14, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 56% | 38% | – | 6% |
| Cygnal (R)[116][C] | June 14–16, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 46% | – | 10% |
| Slingshot Strategies (D)[117] | April 10–15, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 34% | 4% | 19% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[116][C] | June 14–16, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 39% | 50% | – | 10% |
| Slingshot Strategies (D)[117] | April 10–15, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 39% | 4% | 16% |
| Cygnal (R)[118][D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 414 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 41% | 51% | – | 8% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Elissa Slotkin (incumbent) | 192,809 | 51.7 | |
| Republican | Tom Barrett | 172,624 | 46.3 | |
| Libertarian | Leah Dailey | 7,275 | 2.0 | |
| Total votes | 372,708 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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 Results by county Kildee: 40–50% 50–60% Junge: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
 Results by precinct Kildee: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Junge: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district centers around theSaginaw Bay and includes the cities ofFlint,Saginaw,Bay City, andMidland. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was DemocratDan Kildee of the5th congressional district, who was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Dan Kildee.[119]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 70,791 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 70,791 | 100.0 | ||
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Paul Junge | 42,363 | 53.7 | |
| Republican | Matthew Seely | 18,658 | 23.6 | |
| Republican | Candice Miller | 17,879 | 22.7 | |
| Total votes | 78,900 | 100.0 | ||
Newspapers
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Lean D | October 5, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Lean D | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Lean D | October 3, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Tossup | November 6, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Tossup | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Likely D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Lean D | October 4, 2022 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Dan Kildee (D) | Paul Junge (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[132][E] | September 27–30, 2022 | 335 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 44% | 45% | 6% | 5% |
| RMG Research[133] | July 28 – August 4, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 40% | 7% | 9% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 178,322 | 53.1 | |
| Republican | Paul Junge | 143,850 | 42.8 | |
| Working Class | Kathy Goodwin | 9,077 | 2.7 | |
| Libertarian | David Canny | 4,580 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 335,829 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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 Results by county McClain: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is based inThe Thumb region, includingPort Huron as well as the northernDetroitexurbs inOakland andMacomb counties. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was RepublicanLisa McClain formerly of the10th congressional district, who was elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Lisa McClain.[134]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lisa McClain (incumbent) | 97,017 | 78.7 | |
| Republican | Michelle Donovan | 26,215 | 21.3 | |
| Total votes | 123,232 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brian Jaye | 48,802 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 48,802 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid R | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid R | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lisa McClain (incumbent) | 238,300 | 63.9 | |
| Democratic | Brian Jaye | 123,702 | 33.2 | |
| Working Class | Jim Walkowicz | 6,571 | 1.8 | |
| Libertarian | Jacob Kelts | 4,349 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 372,922 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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 County resultsJames: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district is based primarily in southeastern Michigan'sMacomb County, taking inWarren andSterling Heights, as well as a small portion of easternOakland County. Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this was an open district with no incumbent. The winner wasJohn James.
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Huwaida Arraf | Carl Marlinga | Rhonda Powell | Angela Rogensues | Michael Taylor | Henry Yanez | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght (D)[150][F] | May 24–27, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 8% | 40% | 13% | 16% | – | 7% | 15% |
| Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | ~225 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 3% | 33% | – | 2% | 16% | – | 47% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carl Marlinga | 32,653 | 47.8 | |
| Democratic | Rhonda Powell | 11,396 | 16.7 | |
| Democratic | Angela Rogensues | 9,503 | 13.9 | |
| Democratic | Huwaida Arraf | 8,846 | 13.0 | |
| Democratic | Henry Yanez | 5,891 | 8.6 | |
| Total votes | 68,289 | 100.0 | ||
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Eric Esshaki | John James | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | ~230 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 7% | 68% | 24% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John James | 63,417 | 86.3 | |
| Republican | Tony Marcinkewciz | 10,079 | 13.7 | |
| Total votes | 73,496 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Likely R(flip) | August 10, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Lean R(flip) | August 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Lean R(flip) | June 15, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Likely R(flip) | October 18, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Likely R(flip) | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Likely R(flip) | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Likely R(flip) | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Likely R(flip) | October 6, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Lean R(flip) | November 1, 2022 |
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| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Carl Marlinga (D) | John James (R) | Undecided [e] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[162] | January 26 – October 18, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 39.2% | 44.7% | 16.1% | James +5.5 |
Graphical summary
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Carl Marlinga (D) | John James (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght (D)[163][F] | October 16–18, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |
| The Glengariff Group, Inc.[164] | October 4–6, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 44% | 5%[f] | 13% |
| Mitchell Research (R)[165] | August 16–21, 2022 | 429 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 38% | 47% | – | 15% |
| Target Insyght (D)[166][F] | August 16–18, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
| Target Insyght (D)[167][F] | May 24–27, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 40% | – | 16% |
| The Tarrance Group (R)[168][G] | April 24–26, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 47% | – | 12% |
| Target Insyght (D)[169][F] | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
| Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
Carl Marlinga vs. Eric Esshaki
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Carl Marlinga (D) | Eric Esshaki (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 31% | 17% |
Andy Levin vs. John James
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Andy Levin (D) | John James (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[170][D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 42% | 50% | – |
Haley Stevens vs. John James
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Haley Stevens (D) | John James (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[170][D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 41% | 50% | – |
Michael Taylor vs. Eric Esshaki
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Michael Taylor (D) | Eric Esshaki (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 39% | 34% | 27% |
Michael Taylor vs. John James
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Michael Taylor (D) | John James (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght[151] | January 25–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 42% | 13% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[170][D] | November 17–18, 2021 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 42% | 49% | – |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John James | 159,202 | 48.8 | ||
| Democratic | Carl Marlinga | 157,602 | 48.3 | ||
| Working Class | Andrea Kirby | 5,905 | 1.8 | ||
| Libertarian | Mike Saliba | 3,524 | 1.1 | ||
| Write-in | 4 | 0.0 | |||
| Total votes | 326,237 | 100.0 | |||
| Republicanwin (new seat) | |||||
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 Results by county Stevens: 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is based solely inOakland County and includes the cities ofRoyal Oak andPontiac. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – DemocratHaley Stevens, who was re-elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2020,[5] and DemocratAndy Levin of the9th congressional district, who was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2020.[5] The winner was Haley Stevens.
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Andy Levin | Haley Stevens | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght[204] | July 18–20, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 31% | 58% | 11% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[205][H] | February 15–20, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 36% | 28% |
| Target Insyght[206] | February 1–3, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| Impact Research (D)[207][I] | January 24–27, 2022 | 519 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 35% | 42% | 23% |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Andy Levin | Haley Stevens | |||||
| 1 | May 24, 2022 | Oakland University Oakland University Center for Civic Engagement | Emily Lawler Chad Livengood | [208] | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Haley Stevens (incumbent) | 70,508 | 59.9 | |
| Democratic | Andy Levin (incumbent) | 47,117 | 40.1 | |
| Total votes | 117,625 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mark Ambrose | 42,270 | 70.5 | |
| Republican | Matthew DenOtter | 17,702 | 29.5 | |
| Total votes | 59,972 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid D | June 15, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid D | June 15, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | June 15, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid D | November 7, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid D | August 17, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Haley Stevens (incumbent) | 224,537 | 61.3 | |
| Republican | Mark Ambrose | 141,642 | 38.7 | |
| Total votes | 366,179 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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 Results by county Tlaib: 60–70% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district is based in northernWayne County and includes the cities ofDearborn andSouthfield. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was DemocratBrenda Lawrence of the14th congressional district, who was re-elected with 79.3% of the vote in 2020.[5] On January 4, 2022, Lawrence announced that she would not seek re-election.[210] Subsequently, DemocratRashida Tlaib of the13th congressional district announced she would be running in the district.[211] Tlaib was re-elected in 2020 with 78.1% of the vote.[5] The winner was Rashida Tlaib.
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Phil Cavanagh | Kelly Garrett | Shanelle Jackson | Maureen Miller Bronsan | Rashida Tlaib | William Wild | Janice Winfrey | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght (D)[227][J] | January 18–20, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 62% | 13% | 4% | 10% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Rashida Tlaib (incumbent) | 61,635 | 63.8 | |
| Democratic | Janice Winfrey | 21,636 | 22.4 | |
| Democratic | Kelly Garrett | 8,334 | 8.6 | |
| Democratic | Shanelle Jackson | 4,927 | 5.1 | |
| Total votes | 96,532 | 100.0 | ||
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steven Elliott | 14,431 | 52.9 | |
| Republican | James Hooper | 9,651 | 35.4 | |
| Republican | Hassan Nehme | 3,196 | 11.7 | |
| Total votes | 27,278 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid D | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Rashida Tlaib (incumbent) | 196,643 | 70.8 | |
| Republican | Steven Elliott | 72,888 | 26.3 | |
| Working Class | Gary Walkowicz | 8,046 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 277,577 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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2024 → | |||||||||||||||||
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 Precinct results Thanedar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bivings: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district is based solely inWayne County and includes most ofDetroit and the cities ofTaylor andRomulus. Due to redistricting, this was an open district with no incumbent. The winner wasShri Thanedar.
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Hansen Clarke | John Conyers III | Shawna Diggs | Sherry Gay-Dagnogo | Ralph Godbee | Michael Griffie | Adam Hollier | Angela McIntosh | Sharon McPhail | Sam Riddle | Portia Roberson | Lorrie Rutledge | Shri Thanedar | Adrian Tonon | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Insyght[249] | July 19–22, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 7% | – | 5% | – | 5% | 16% | – | 7% | 4% | 17% | 0% | 22% | – | 16% |
| Target Insyght[250] | May 3–5, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 15% | – | 9% | – | 2% | 6% | 0% | 20% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 25% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[251][K] | March 21–22, 2022 | 463 (LV) | ± 4.6% | – | 19% | – | 6% | 5% | 0% | 6% | – | 9% | – | 4% | – | 7% | 0% | 43% |
| Target Insyght (D)[252][J] | February 22–24, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 0% | 6% | – | 24% | 1% | 7% | – | 12% | – | 31% |
| Target Insyght (D)[253][J] | January 18–20, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 23% | – | 0% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 5% | – | 25% | – | 7% | – | 7% | – | 16% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Shri Thanedar | 22,314 | 28.3 | |
| Democratic | Adam Hollier | 18,517 | 23.5 | |
| Democratic | Portia Roberson | 13,318 | 16.9 | |
| Democratic | John Conyers III | 6,778 | 8.6 | |
| Democratic | Sherry Gay-Dagnogo | 6,440 | 8.2 | |
| Democratic | Sharon McPhail | 5,043 | 6.4 | |
| Democratic | Michael Griffie | 3,636 | 4.6 | |
| Democratic | Sam Riddle | 1,841 | 2.3 | |
| Democratic | Lorrie Rutledge | 916 | 1.2 | |
| Write-in | 6 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 78,809 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Martell Bivings | 19,618 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 19,618 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Solid D | December 28, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[10] | Solid D | January 13, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[12] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[14] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[15] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[16] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[17] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Shri Thanedar | 166,650 | 71.1 | ||
| Republican | Martell Bivings | 56,187 | 24.0 | ||
| Working Class | Simone Coleman | 8,833 | 3.8 | ||
| U.S. Taxpayers | Chris Dardzinski | 2,769 | 1.2 | ||
| Write-in | 5 | 0.0 | |||
| Total votes | 234,444 | 100.0 | |||
| Democraticwin (new seat) | |||||
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{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
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