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2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
(Redirected from2022 Pennsylvania lieutenant gubernatorial election)

For related races, see2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

← 2018November 8, 20222026 →
Turnout60.5%
 
NomineeJosh ShapiroDoug Mastriano
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Running mateAustin DavisCarrie DelRosso
Popular vote3,031,1372,238,477
Percentage56.49%41.71%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Shapiro:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Mastriano:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data

Governor before election

Tom Wolf
Democratic

ElectedGovernor

Josh Shapiro
Democratic

Elections in Pennsylvania
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2008
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
Government

The2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect thegovernor andlieutenant governor of Pennsylvania.Democratic state Attorney GeneralJosh Shapiro defeatedRepublican state SenatorDoug Mastriano to win his first term in office. Shapiro succeeded Democratic incumbentTom Wolf, who was term limited.

In the primaries on May 17, 2022, Shapiro was unopposed for the Democratic nomination. Mastriano, who was endorsed byDonald Trump (between presidencies), won the Republican nomination with 44% of the vote over former congressmanLou Barletta and former U.S. attorneyWilliam McSwain. Although the election was expected to be competitive due to Pennsylvania's reputation as aswing state, Mastriano had trouble fundraising, made few media appearances, committed multiple gaffes, was accused of antisemitism against Shapiro, and generated controversy from hisfar-right positions.[1][2][3][4][5][6] Mastriano's struggles helped Shapiro take a strong polling lead that continued up to the election.

Shapiro defeated Mastriano by almost 15 points, the largest margin for a non-incumbent candidate for Pennsylvania governor since1946, and earned the most votes of a Pennsylvania gubernatorial candidate at just over three million.[7][8] His large margin of victory was credited withhelping down-ballot Democrats inconcurrent elections. The victory also marked the first time since1844 that the Democratic Party won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in Pennsylvania, and the first since1950 that any party had done so.[citation needed] According toRon Brownstein ofCNN in 2023, Shapiro won independent voters by 31 percentage points, which contributed to Mastriano's defeat.[9][10]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Governor

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Pennsylvania Attorney GeneralJosh Shapiro ran unopposed and was described as the Democratic Party's presumptive nominee byThe Philadelphia Inquirer and thePennsylvania Capital-Star early in the campaign, with theCapital-Star reporting that efforts to recruit aprimary challenger to the left of Shapiro had failed.[11][12]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Failed to qualify for ballot access
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Josh Shapiro

U.S. senators

State executives

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Party officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Individuals

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary (governor)[58]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJosh ShapiroUnopposed
Total votes1,227,151100.0%

Lieutenant governor

[edit]
Democratic nomineeAustin Davis

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Austin Davis

State executives

State legislators

State representatives

Local officials

Labor unions

Newspapers and other media

Organizations

Brian Sims

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Davis
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary (lieutenant governor)[76]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAustin Davis768,14163.00%
DemocraticBrian Sims305,95925.09%
DemocraticRay Sosa145,22811.91%
Total votes1,219,328100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

In the Republican primary, leading candidates included former congressmanLou Barletta,Montgomery County commissioner Joe Gale, political strategistCharlie Gerow, former U.S. AttorneyWilliam McSwain, state SenatorDoug Mastriano, and former Delaware County councilmember Dave White.

Several key issues, such asschool choice,natural gas exploration in PA, and tax reform, were early themes in thePennsylvania GOP debates before the primary election,[77] while voting laws in the Commonwealth were a later topic of debate.[78]

Due to his support for overturning the results of the2020 presidential election and his role in theJanuary 6 U.S. Capitol attack, many Republicans expressed concern about Mastriano's ability to win the general election. As a result, the party encouraged other candidates to drop out to allow for an alternative to Mastriano to gain traction.[79]

On May 12, president pro tempore of thePennsylvania SenateJake Corman dropped out and endorsed Barletta.[80] On May 14, former presidentDonald Trump endorsed Mastriano.[81][82] On May 12,The Philadelphia Inquirer reported that former U.S. RepresentativeMelissa Hart would also drop out and endorse Barletta.[83] Mastriano won the primary with almost 44% of the vote, defeating his nearest competitor, Barletta, by over 23 points.

The New York Times reported in mid-June that Mastriano had been aided in the primary by the Pennsylvania Democratic Party and Shapiro's campaign with an ad equating him to Trump. Shapiro defended the move, saying the ad demonstrated the contrast between him and Mastriano as part of the general election campaign. TheTimes saw it as part of a nationwide strategy to gain easier opponents in November.[84]

Governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election Republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant  N Non-invitee 
Lou BarlettaJake CormanJoe GaleCharlie GerowMelissa HartDoug MastrianoWilliam McSwainDave White
1Apr 27, 2022ABC 27/WPXIDennis Owens
Lisa Sylvester
PNNNNPPP

Endorsements

[edit]
Lou Barletta

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

  • Rick Santorum, U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (1995–2007) and candidate for president in2012 and2016(previously endorsed Corman)[122]

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Organizations

  • Oil and Gas Workers Association[130]
Jake Corman(withdrawn)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

  • Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania (1995–2007) and candidate for President in2012 and2016(switched endorsement to Barletta after Corman withdrew)[122]
Charlie Gerow

U.S. representatives

Organizations

  • American Conservative Union[133]
Doug Mastriano

U.S. presidents

Executive branch officials

Local officials

Organizations

Individuals

William McSwain

U.S. senators

Party officials

Jason Richey(withdrawn)

Individuals

Dave White

Executive branch officials

State legislators

Declined to endorse

Organizations

Newspapers and other media

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Lou
Barletta
Jake
Corman
Doug
Mastriano
William
McSwain
Dave
White
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[143]May 3–16, 2022May 17, 202220.3%2.7%34.3%15.3%9.8%17.6%Mastriano +14.0
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Lou
Barletta
Jake
Corman
Scott
Martin
Doug
Mastriano
William
McSwain
Dave
White
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[144]May 14–16, 20221,195 (LV)± 2.9%25%37%17%10%6%[c]5%
Emerson College[145]May 14–15, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%22%2%34%12%9%7%[d]15%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[146]May 12–15, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%15%1%29%18%8%6%[e]24%
May 13, 2022Hart withdraws from the race
May 12, 2022Corman withdraws from the race
The Trafalgar Group (R)[147]May 6–8, 20221,080 (LV)± 3.0%18%5%28%14%15%9%[f]11%
Fox News[148]May 3–7, 20221,001 (LV)± 3.0%17%5%29%13%11%9%[g]15%
Franklin & Marshall College[149]April 20 – May 1, 2022325 (RV)± 6.9%11%1%20%12%8%11%[h]34%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[150]April 11–13, 20221,074 (LV)± 3.0%19%3%22%17%11%8%[i]19%
Franklin & Marshall College[151]March 30 – April 10, 2022317 (RV)± 6.6%10%2%15%12%5%14%[j]40%
Eagle Consulting Group (R)[152]April 7–9, 2022502 (LV)± 4.4%11%19%13%7%6%44%
Emerson College[153]April 3–4, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%20%4%19%8%12%11%[k]27%
Emerson College[154]March 26–28, 2022372 (LV)± 5.0%12%2%16%6%6%8%[l]49%
Fox News[155]March 2–6, 2022517 (LV)± 4.0%19%6%3%18%11%14%2%[m]25%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[156]February 1–4, 20221,070 (LV)± 3.0%24%5%4%20%4%14%29%
Public Policy Polling (D)[157][A]November 9–10, 2021648 (LV)± 3.8%14%4%3%18%2%1%4%[n]56%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[158]September 24–30, 2021313 (LV)± 5.6%27%6%0%6%[o]60%
WPA Intelligence (R)[159][B]May 10–12, 2021826 (LV)± 3.4%16%19%17%[p]49%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[160]February 16–24, 2021272 (LV)± 5.9%20%11%3%8%[q]60%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Mastriano
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Barletta
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   70–80%
  McSwain
  •   30–40%
  White
  •   50–60%
Republican primary (governor)[58]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDoug Mastriano591,24043.81%
RepublicanLou Barletta273,25220.25%
RepublicanWilliam McSwain212,88615.78%
RepublicanDave White129,0589.56%
RepublicanMelissa Hart (withdrawn)[r]54,7524.06%
RepublicanJoe Gale27,9202.07%
RepublicanJake Corman (withdrawn)[r]26,0911.93%
RepublicanCharlie Gerow17,9221.33%
RepublicanNche Zama16,2381.20%
Total votes1,349,359100.00%

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Declined

[edit]
  • Brandon Flood, former secretary of the Pennsylvania Board of Pardons (2019–2021)[177](endorsed Coleman)

Endorsements

[edit]
Teddy Daniels

State legislators

Jeff Coleman

U.S. senators

Individuals

  • Brandon Flood, former secretary of the Pennsylvania Board of Pardons (2019–2021)[177]
Russ Diamond

Organizations

  • Stand for Health Freedom[180]

Results

[edit]
  DelRosso
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Saccone
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Daniels
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   50–60%
  Schillinger
  •   20–30%
  •   40–50%
  Coleman
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Diamond
  •   60–70%
  Brown
  •   20–30%
  •   40–50%
  Frye
  •   20–30%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary (lieutenant governor)[76]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCarrie DelRosso318,97025.59%
RepublicanRick Saccone195,77415.71%
RepublicanTeddy Daniels150,93512.11%
RepublicanClarice Schillinger148,44211.91%
RepublicanJeff Coleman126,07210.11%
RepublicanJames Jones113,9669.14%
RepublicanRuss Diamond74,2655.96%
RepublicanJohn Brown59,2674.75%
RepublicanChris Frye58,7524.71%
Total votes1,246,443100.00%

Libertarian nomination

[edit]

The Libertarian Party nominees qualified for the general election ballot on August 1.[181][182][183]

Governor

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Matt Hackenburg, aerospace computer engineer[184]

Eliminated in board vote

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]
  • Nicole Shultz, auditor of Windsor Township, York County (2022–present) and treasurer of the Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania (2021–2022) (ran for Governor)[168][186][187][185]

Green convention

[edit]

The Green Party nominees qualified for the general election ballot on August 1.[181][182][183]

Governor

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Keystone nomination

[edit]

Governor

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Nicole Shultz (Keystone nominee), auditor ofWindsor Township, York County (2022–present) and treasurer of the Keystone Party of Pennsylvania (2022–present) (originally ran as a Libertarian for lieutenant governor and later governor)[193][186][197][183]

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Attorney General Josh Shapiro ran a progressive campaign emphasizing protecting abortion rights, voter rights, and raising the state's minimum wage to $15 an hour. On criminal justice issues, Shapiro promised to sign a bill abolishing the death penalty having previously supported it, but also faced criticism from some left-wing voters for adopting a "tough on crime" image. In addition, he has openly feuded withPhiladelphia District AttorneyLarry Krasner.[198]

State Senator Doug Mastriano positioned himself as a staunch ally of former president Donald Trump, promotingconspiracy theories about the 2020 election, defense ofConfederate monuments,[199] arming school teachers with firearms,[200] and disobeying COVID-19 safety protocols.[201] Mastriano also drew accusations ofantisemitism for using anti-semitic dogwhistles against Shapiro.[6] One of Mastriano's most vocal supporters wasAndrew Torba, the CEO of far-right social media websiteGab, a website on which the perpetrator of theTree of Life Synagogue shooting posted before committing the massacre. Torba donated $500 to the Mastriano campaign, and Mastriano himself told the Gab founder in an interview, "Thank God for what you've done."[202]

No debate was held during the general election, as Shapiro and Mastriano were unable to come to an agreement on how to debate.[203] In addition, Mastriano did not release his first general election ads until October, while the more well-funded Shapiro had already spent $18.6 million in television broadcasting by that time.[204] These factors, combined with Mastriano's refusal to talk to major media outlets and decision to ban journalists from campaign rallies, severely limited his voter outreach.[205]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[206]Likely DSeptember 29, 2022
Inside Elections[207]Lean DOctober 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[208]Likely DSeptember 28, 2022
Politico[209]Likely DOctober 25, 2022
RCP[210]Lean DNovember 2, 2022
Fox News[211]Likely DNovember 1, 2022
538[212]Solid DOctober 28, 2022
Elections Daily[213]Likely DNovember 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Josh Shapiro (D)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

State officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers and other media

Individuals

Doug Mastriano (R)

Executive branch officials

State officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Declined to endorse

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Organizations

Individuals

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2022
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Josh Shapiro (D)$67,981,264$54,967,428$403,274
Doug Mastriano (R)$7,055,316$7,081,556$1,018,238
Source: Commonwealth of Pennsylvania[335]

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Josh
Shapiro (D)
Doug
Mastriano (R)
Other
[s]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[336]October 24–31, 2022October 31, 202252.6%40.6%6.8%Shapiro +12.0%
FiveThirtyEight[337]June 10 – October 31, 2022October 28, 202251.5%40.9%7.6%Shapiro +10.7%
Average52.1%40.8%7.2%Shapiro +11.4%

Graphical summary

This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Josh
Shapiro (D)
Doug
Mastriano (R)
OtherUndecided
Research Co.[338]November 4–6, 2022450 (LV)± 4.6%53%41%2%[t]4%
Targoz Market Research[339]November 2–6, 2022631 (LV)± 3.8%52%46%3%[u]
InsiderAdvantage (R)[340]November 3, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%51%43%3%[v]4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[341]November 1–3, 20221,097 (LV)± 2.9%50%45%2%3%
Remington Research Group (R)[342]November 1–2, 20221,180 (LV)± 2.8%52%40%3%[w]4%
Marist College[343]October 31 – November 2, 20221,152 (RV)± 3.8%54%39%1%[x]7%
1,021 (LV)± 4.0%54%40%5%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[344]October 28 – November 1, 2022700 (LV)± 3.7%52%38%1%[y]9%
Emerson College[345]October 28–31, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%50%41%5%[z]5%
53%43%5%[aa]
Suffolk University[346]October 27–30, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%40%1%[ab]7%
Fox News[347]October 26–30, 20221,005 (RV)± 3.0%53%37%4%[ac]6%
Big Data Poll[348]October 27–28, 20221,005 (LV)± 3.1%49%44%4%[ad]4%
co/efficient (R)[349]October 26–28, 20221,716 (LV)± 3.4%51%41%4%[ae]4%
Muhlenberg College[350]October 24–28, 2022460 (LV)± 6.0%54%40%2%[af]4%
Wick Insights (R)[351]October 26–27, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.2%49%43%2%[ag]6%
Siena Research/NYT[352]October 24–26, 2022620 (LV)± 4.4%53%40%<1%[ah]7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[353]October 25, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%50%42%4%[ai]4%
YouGov/CBS News[354]October 21–24, 20221,084 (LV)± 4.1%54%45%
Franklin & Marshall College[355]October 14–23, 2022620 (RV)± 5.3%54%32%6%[aj]10%
384 (LV)± 6.8%58%36%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[356]October 19–20, 2022972 (LV)± 3.0%43%40%6%[ak]10%
Echelon Insights[357]October 18–20, 2022500 (LV)± 4.8%50%38%3%[al]8%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[358]October 19, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%49%42%3%[am]6%
CNN/SSRS[359]October 13–17, 2022901 (RV)± 4.1%56%39%5%[an]
703 (LV)± 4.6%56%41%2%[ao]
Wick Insights[360]October 8–14, 20221,013 (LV)± 3.1%49%46%2%[ap]3%
Patriot PollingOctober 10–12, 2022857 (RV)50%45%5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[361]October 4–12, 20221,400 (LV)± 4.4%53%42%1%[aq]4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[362][C]October 8–11, 20221,078 (LV)± 2.9%53%44%1%[ar]2%
Monmouth University[363]September 29 – October 3, 2022610 (RV)± 4.8%54%38%8%
Suffolk University[364]September 27–30, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%48%37%2%[as]13%
Emerson College[365]September 23–26, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%51%41%2%[at]7%
Fox News[366]September 19–25, 20221,008 (RV)± 3%51%40%9%
Franklin & Marshall College[367]September 19–25, 2022517 (RV)± 5.6%51%37%12%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[368]September 23–24, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%52%37%4%[au]7%
Marist College[369]September 19–22, 20221,242 (RV)± 3.5%53%40%<1%[av]6%
1,043 (LV)± 3.8%54%42%4%
The Phillips Academy Poll[370]September 16–19, 2022759 (RV)± 3.6%46%43%12%
Muhlenberg College[371]September 13–16, 2022420 (LV)± 6.0%53%42%1%[aw]3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[372]September 13–15, 20221,078 (LV)± 2.9%47%45%4%[ax]3%
Monmouth University[373]September 8–12, 2022605 (RV)± 4.0%54%36%
YouGov/CBS News[374]September 6–12, 20221,188 (LV)± 3.8%55%44%1%
RABA Research[375]August 31 – September 3, 2022679 (LV)± 3.8%47%41%4%[ay]9%
Survey Monkey (D)[376][D]August 31 – September 1, 20221,012 (RV)± 3.0%53%32%15%
616 (LV)± 3.0%56%35%9%
Emerson College[377]August 22–23, 20221,034 (LV)± 3.0%47%44%3%6%
Franklin & Marshall College[378]August 15–21, 2022522 (RV)± 5.3%48%36%4%[az]12%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[379]August 15–18, 20221,096 (LV)± 2.9%49%45%2%[ba]5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[380]August 7–10, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%51%37%11%
Fox News[381]July 22–26, 2022908 (RV)± 3.0%50%40%1%8%
Blueprint Polling (D)[382]July 19–21, 2022712 (LV)± 3.7%51%39%10%
Beacon Research (D)[383][E]July 5–20, 20221,012 (RV)± 3.1%49%35%1%12%
609 (LV)± 4.0%52%39%1%7%
Global Strategy Group (D)[384][F]July 14–19, 20221,200 (LV)± 2.9%50%42%7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[385]June 12–19, 20221,382 (LV)± 4.4%49%46%5%
Cygnal (R)[386]June 16–17, 2022535 (LV)± 4.2%48%45%7%
Suffolk University[387]June 10–13, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%44%40%3%[bb]13%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[388]May 12–18, 2022600 (RV)± 4.6%47%45%8%

Results

[edit]
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election[389]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic3,031,13756.49%−1.28%
Republican2,238,47741.71%+1.01%
Libertarian
  • Matt Hackenburg
  • Tim McMaster
51,6110.96%−0.02%
Green
  • Christina DiGiulio
  • Michael Bagdes-Canning
24,4360.46%−0.09%
Keystone
  • Joe Soloski
  • Nicole Shultz
20,5180.38%N/A
Total votes5,366,179100.0%N/A
Turnout60.53%
Registered electors8,864,831
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
County[390]Josh Shapiro
Democratic Party
Doug Mastriano
Republican Party
Jonathan Hackenburg
Libertarian Party
Christina Digiulio
Green Party
Joseph Soloski
Keystone Party
MarginTotal
votes
##%#%#%#%#%#%
Adams18,82140.51%26,81957.73%4671.01%1600.34%1920.41%-7,998-17.22%46,459
Allegheny393,38668.68%169,91329.66%5,3540.93%2,3190.40%1,8410.32%223,47339.02%572,813
Armstrong9,52333.46%18,41964.73%2650.93%880.31%1620.57%-8,896-31.27%28,457
Beaver36,91750.39%34,77747.47%8111.11%3860.53%3710.51%2,1402.92%73,262
Bedford4,72121.25%17,19877.40%1670.75%560.25%780.35%-12,477-56.15%22,220
Berks78,75750.87%72,18546.63%1,9361.25%1,0960.71%8440.55%6,5724.24%154,818
Blair17,71635.20%31,82363.22%4120.82%1990.40%1840.37%-14,107-28.02%50,334
Bradford7,38931.47%15,52966.14%2791.19%1640.70%1180.50%-8,140-34.67%23,479
Bucks185,33959.02%122,98239.16%2,9350.93%1,6940.54%1,0910.35%62,35719.86%314,041
Butler40,06542.87%51,54655.15%1,1011.18%3670.39%3820.41%-11,481-12.28%93,461
Cambria22,88540.66%32,38157.53%4890.87%2910.52%2350.42%-9,496-16.87%56,281
Cameron63933.81%1,20063.49%261.38%30.16%221.16%-561-29.68%1,890
Carbon10,74340.90%14,94356.90%3261.24%1510.57%1010.38%-4,200-16.00%26,264
Centre35,65357.49%25,20140.64%6541.05%2090.34%3000.48%10,45216.85%62,017
Chester160,79662.32%92,58535.88%2,7131.05%1,0930.42%8380.32%68,21126.44%258,025
Clarion5,11433.19%10,01965.03%1541%570.37%630.41%-4,905-31.84%15,407
Clearfield10,32632.87%20,52565.34%3161.01%1250.40%1190.38%-10,199-32.47%31,411
Clinton5,29337.61%8,51260.48%1340.95%590.42%750.53%-3,219-22.87%14,073
Columbia10,14841.08%13,95956.51%3721.51%1090.44%1150.47%-3,811-15.43%24,703
Crawford12,60938.41%19,54159.52%3381.03%1660.51%1750.53%-6,932-21.11%32,829
Cumberland61,31952.86%52,28045.07%1,3421.16%5130.44%5480.47%9,0397.79%116,002
Dauphin68,58559.95%43,58038.10%1,1621.02%6040.53%4670.41%25,00521.85%114,398
Delaware170,16267.83%76,88030.65%2,1020.84%1,1260.45%5850.23%93,28237.18%250,855
Elk4,84335.41%8,59762.85%1210.88%610.45%560.41%-3,754-27.44%13,678
Erie63,08159.74%40,43338.29%1,0370.98%5690.54%4790.45%22,64821.45%105,599
Fayette20,12042.92%26,16555.82%3220.69%1370.29%1330.28%-6,045-12.90%56,877
Forest82537.64%1,34061.13%120.55%60.27%90.41%-515-23.49%2,192
Franklin21,61233.07%42,73165.39%5710.87%2100.32%2260.35%-21,119-32.32%65,350
Fulton1,12817.94%5,09280.99%390.62%130.21%150.24%-3,964-63.05%6,287
Greene5,14239.14%7,70658.65%1080.82%930.71%900.68%-2,564-19.51%13,139
Huntingdon5,59730.34%12,57968.19%1450.79%600.33%670.36%-6,982-37.85%18,448
Indiana13,03239.80%19,17958.58%2480.76%1480.45%1350.41%-6,147-18.78%32,742
Jefferson5,03828.27%12,43369.77%2181.22%680.38%630.35%-7,395-41.5%17,820
Juniata2,76128.27%6,85170.14%940.96%410.42%210.21%-4,090-41.87%9,768
Lackawanna54,44261.28%32,69736.80%7740.87%5830.66%3470.39%21,74524.48%88,843
Lancaster108,23348.26%112,04049.96%2,5301.13%7400.33%7250.32%-3,807-1.70%224,268
Lawrence16,02344.15%19,61154.03%3230.89%1800.50%1570.43%-3,588-9.88%36,294
Lebanon23,64641.88%31,73156.19%6011.06%2570.46%2310.41%-8,085-14.31%56,466
Lehigh79,99158.67%53,46839.22%1,5911.17%7340.54%5500.40%26,52319.45%136,334
Luzerne57,59849.63%56,32648.53%1,1000.95%6050.52%4350.37%1,2721.10%116,064
Lycoming15,64333.80%29,75564.29%5231.13%1800.39%1840.40%-14,112-30.49%46,285
McKean4,39229.85%10,08268.53%1190.81%550.37%640.44%-5,690-38.68%14,712
Mercer18,28240.33%26,27357.96%4080.90%2160.48%1520.34%-7,991-17.63%45,331
Mifflin5,11930.39%11,46068.02%1500.89%500.30%680.40%-6,341-37.63%16,847
Monroe32,00954.41%25,60443.52%6501.10%3780.64%1860.32%6,40510.89%58,827
Montgomery285,71269.18%121,28929.37%3,4630.84%1,3840.34%1,1680.28%163,88339.81%413,016
Montour3,64046.33%4,03751.38%1061.35%430.55%310.39%-397-5.05%7,857
Northampton72,26955.63%54,92842.28%1,4661.13%7110.55%5270.41%17,34113.35%129,901
Northumberland12,05236.58%19,09457.95%4661.41%2820.86%1,0573.21%-7,042-21.37%32,951
Perry6,91234.15%12,92863.87%2341.16%840.42%820.41%-6,016-29.72%20,240
Philadelphia426,88585.68%65,29313.10%2,4920.50%2,3720.48%1,2180.24%361,59272.58%498,260
Pike10,33941.14%14,37157.18%2100.84%1280.51%850.34%-4,032-16.04%25,133
Potter1,51321.29%5,23573.68%771.08%1121.58%1682.36%-3,722-52.39%7,105
Schuylkill21,20338.25%33,00859.54%6741.22%2880.52%2620.47%-11,805-21.29%55,435
Snyder4,86731.69%10,21566.50%1661.08%570.37%550.36%-5,348-34.81%15,360
Somerset9,47329.08%22,55969.25%2740.84%1390.43%1310.40%-13,086-40.17%32,576
Sullivan1,02433.87%1,92363.61%331.09%270.89%160.53%-899-29.74%3,023
Susquehanna5,76833.31%11,15364.41%1801.04%1100.64%1050.61%-5,385-31.10%17,316
Tioga4,49426.98%11,84071.08%1701.02%840.50%700.42%-7,346-44.10%16,658
Union6,89842.81%8,89755.22%1791.11%750.47%640.40%-1,999-12.41%16,113
Venango7,77737.18%12,74160.91%2201.05%810.39%1000.48%-4,964-23.73%20,919
Warren6,03237.55%9,70460.40%1641.02%770.48%880.55%-3,672-22.85%16,065
Washington45,03048.10%47,05250.26%9060.97%2710.29%3580.38%-2,022-2.16%93,617
Wayne8,46637.22%13,86860.98%2110.93%1150.51%830.36%-5,402-23.76%22,743
Westmoreland77,15245.93%87,80452.27%1,6130.96%6770.40%7220.43%-10,652-6.34%167,968
Wyoming4,51938.37%6,96659.15%1401.19%910.77%610.52%-2,447-20.78%11,777
York83,64944.86%98,62252.89%2,6281.41%8090.43%7680.41%-14,973-8.03%186,476

By congressional district

[edit]

Shapiro won 11 of 17 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.[391]

DistrictShapiroMastrianoRepresentative
1st59%39%Brian Fitzpatrick
2nd76%22%Brendan Boyle
3rd92%6%Dwight Evans
4th66%32%Madeleine Dean
5th70%28%Mary Gay Scanlon
6th61%37%Chrissy Houlahan
7th55%43%Susan Wild
8th54%44%Matt Cartwright
9th38%59%Dan Meuser
10th55%43%Scott Perry
11th46%52%Lloyd Smucker
12th68%30%Mike Doyle (117th Congress)
Summer Lee (118th Congress)
13th34%64%John Joyce
14th44%55%Guy Reschenthaler
15th38%60%Glenn Thompson
16th48%50%Mike Kelly
17th62%36%Conor Lamb (117th Congress)
Chris Deluzio (118th Congress)

Analysis

[edit]

Josh Shapiro defeated Doug Mastriano by 14.8%. While this marked a 2.73% Republican swing from 2018, it was still 13.18% larger thanJoe Biden's win in thepresidential race in Pennsylvania two years earlier in 2020, and 9.86% larger than Shapiro'sreelection for Attorney General that same year. All counties in the Keystone State voted the exact same way they did in 2018, with Shapiro doing best in heavily populatedSoutheastern Pennsylvania, which is made up ofPhiladelphia and its suburbs,Berks County (Reading), theLehigh Valley (Allentown,Bethlehem, andEaston), theWyoming Valley (Scranton,Wilkes-Barre, andHazleton), theSusquehanna Valley (Harrisburg andCarlisle),Erie County in the northwest corner, and finally,Greater Pittsburgh in the southwest.

Doug Mastriano, meanwhile, piled up large margins in Pennsylvania's rural counties, but also won some populous places located in the western part of the state, likeButler,Washington, andWestmoreland counties near Pittsburgh. However, Mastriano significantly underperformed President Donald Trump's margins in the 2020 Presidential election in some of those counties; Westmoreland County, for example, voted for Trump by 28 points in 2020, but only backed Mastriano by 6 points in 2022. A similar leftward shift happened in neighboring Washington County, with Shapiro only losing the county by 2 points despite Joe Biden losing the county by over 20 points 2 years earlier. Mastriano also carriedLancaster, including the counties contained either fully or partially withinhis State Senate district, namelyAdams,Franklin andYork. Except for Adams and Franklin counties, Lancaster and York were once again carried by single digits by the Republican gubernatorial candidate just like 2018, as Mastriano's extremist views likely turned off moderate independents and Republicans in these areas.[citation needed]

Southeastern Pennsylvania, a strong Democratic area during elections, shifted more Democratic. This region, with strongly Democratic Philadelphia, anchored by its suburbs, has become a Democratic stronghold in elections, winning all Delaware Valley counties. Southeastern Pennsylvania piled up large margins in its suburbs. Its electorate is highly educated, affluent, and diverse. In addition to the region's strong Democratic tilt, abortion rights were a significant campaign issue among voters. According to CNN polling data,[392] 62% of Pennsylvania voters believed abortion should be legal, and those voters broke for Shapiro by a landslide margin of 81%–18%. College-educated voters, who made up 41% of the electorate, also voted heavily for Shapiro by a 64%–35% margin. Shapiro won 92% of Black voters, 72% of Latino voters, and 50% of White voters. According toRon Brownstein ofCNN in 2023, Shapiro won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Mastriano's defeat.[9]

Voter demographics

[edit]

Voter demographic data for 2022 was collected byCNN. The voter survey is based onexit polls completed by 2,657 voters in person as well as by phone.[392]

2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election voter demographics (CNN)[392]
Demographic subgroupShapiroMastriano% of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals94425
Moderates712841
Conservatives138634
Party
Democrats96337
Republicans168340
Independents643324
Gender
Men485049
Women633751
Marital status
Married524764
Unmarried653336
Gender by marital status
Married men495036
Married women554429
Unmarried men534314
Unmarried women732721
Race/ethnicity
White504881
Black9288
Latino72258
White voters by gender
White men435541
White women584241
Age
18–24 years old72257
25–29 years old69315
30–39 years old643413
40–49 years old554411
50–64 years old514929
65 and older514734
2020 presidential vote
Biden96348
Trump158445
First time midterm election voter
Yes663012
No544588
Education
Never attendedcollege415924
Some college education593821
Associate degree544414
Bachelor's degree584123
Advanced degree722718
Education by race
White college graduates623735
White no college degree435647
Non-white college graduates76236
Non-white no college degree821712
Education by gender/race
White women with college degrees693017
White women without college degrees504924
White men with college degrees554418
White men without college degrees356323
Non-white801919
Issue regarded as most important
Crime554211
Abortion801937
Inflation336628
Feelings aboutRoe v. Wade being overturned
Enthusiastic/satisfied148438
Dissatisfied/angry841559
Abortion should be
Legal811862
Illegal168334

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^abcKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^Gerow with 4%; Gale with 3%
  4. ^Gerow with 3%; Hart with 2%; Gale and Zama with 1%
  5. ^Gerow with 3%; Hart, Gale, and "Other" with 1%; Zama with 0%
  6. ^Hart with 4%, Gale with 3%, Gerow with 2%
  7. ^Hart with 4%; Gale with 2%; Gerow, Zama, and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  8. ^"Someone else" with 5%; Hart and Zama with 2%; Gale and Gerow with 1%
  9. ^Hart with 4%, Gale and Zama with 2%, Gerow with 1%
  10. ^"Someone else" with 7%, Gale and Hart with 3%, Gerow with 1%, Zama with 0%
  11. ^Gale, Gerow, and Hart with 3%; Zama with 2%
  12. ^Gale and Hart with 3%; Gerow with 2%; Zama with 0%
  13. ^Zama and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  14. ^Gale with 3%; Richley with 1%
  15. ^"None/other" with 4%; Gale and Richey with 1%; Ciarrocchi, Gerow, Laughlin, and Zama with 0%
  16. ^"Someone else" with 10%; "Other" with 7%
  17. ^Meuser with 3%, Cawley with 2%, "None/other" with 1%; Gale and Richey with 1%
  18. ^abWithdrew after deadline, remained on ballot
  19. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  20. ^"Some other candidate" with 2%
  21. ^Hackenburg (L) with 1%; "All others" with 2%
  22. ^Hackenburg (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  23. ^Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) with 1%
  24. ^"Another party's candidate" with 1%
  25. ^"Other" with 1%; "Refuse" with <1%
  26. ^Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) with 2%; Soloski (K) with <1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  27. ^Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) with 2%; Soloski (K) with <1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  28. ^Hackenburg (L) with 1%; Soloski (K) with 1%; DiGuilio (G) with <1%
  29. ^"Other" with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  30. ^Hackenburg (L) with 2%, Soloski (K) with 1%, Digiulio (G) with 1%
  31. ^"Someone else" with 4%
  32. ^"Neither/Other" with 2%
  33. ^"someone else" with 2%
  34. ^Hackenburg (L) with <1%; Digiulio (G) with <1%; Soloski (K) with <1%
  35. ^Hackenburg (L) with 3%, "someone else" with 1%
  36. ^"Some other candidate" with 3%; Hackenburg (L) with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  37. ^"Some other candidate" with 6%
  38. ^DiGuilo (G), Hackenburg (L) and Soloski (K) with 1%
  39. ^Hackenburg (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  40. ^"Neither" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
  41. ^"Neither" with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  42. ^"Someone else" with 2%
  43. ^"Other" with 1%
  44. ^Hackenburg (L) with 1%; "Other" with <1%
  45. ^DiGuilo (G) and Hackenburg (L) with 1%; Soloski (K) with <1%
  46. ^"Someone else" with 2%
  47. ^Hackenburg (L) with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%
  48. ^"Another party's candidate" with <1%
  49. ^"Neither/Other" with 1%
  50. ^Hackenburg (L) and "Other" with 2%
  51. ^"Someone else" with 4%
  52. ^Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) and "Some other candidate" with 1%; Soloski (K) with 0%
  53. ^Hackenburg (L) and "Other" with 1%
  54. ^DiGuilo (G) and Hackenburg (L) with 1%; Soloski (K) and "someone else" with <1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  2. ^Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
  3. ^This poll was sponsored byThe Daily Wire.
  4. ^This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Mastriano.
  5. ^This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project.
  6. ^This poll was sponsored by EDF Action and NRDC Action Fund.

References

[edit]
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  2. ^abEpstein, Reid J. (May 17, 2022)."Doug Mastriano, a far-right 2020 election denier, is Pennsylvania Republicans' choice for governor".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 18, 2022.
  3. ^Smith, Allan (May 17, 2022)."Far-right election denier Mastriano wins GOP race for governor in Pennsylvania".NBC News. RetrievedMay 19, 2022.
  4. ^Dunklau, Sam (May 17, 2022)."A far-right election denier wins GOP governor primary in swing state of Pennsylvania".NPR. RetrievedMay 19, 2022.
  5. ^Epstein, Reid J. (September 26, 2022)."Mastriano's Sputtering Campaign: No TV Ads, Tiny Crowds, Little Money".The New York Times.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedApril 24, 2023.
  6. ^ab"Jewish leaders call on GOP to take stronger stance on condemning antisemitism".ABC News. RetrievedNovember 13, 2022.
  7. ^Scolforo, Mark (November 10, 2022)."Pennsylvania Democrats kept suburbs, gained rural voters".WESA (FM). RetrievedNovember 15, 2022.
  8. ^Platt, Larry (November 11, 2022)."The Jewish Obama, Niceness Makes a Comeback, The Best PA Reporter Commutes From London (Midterm election recap)".The Philadelphia Citizen. RetrievedNovember 20, 2022.Why did Shapiro win this week by the largest margin of any non-incumbent gubernatorial candidate since 1946
  9. ^abBrownstein, Ronald (October 10, 2023)."McCarthy's fall and Trump's rise reflect the same bet among Republicans". CNN. RetrievedOctober 10, 2023.
  10. ^"Exit Poll for Pennsylvania Results".CBS News. November 8, 2022. RetrievedOctober 2, 2024.
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  14. ^Brennan, Chris; Terruso, Julia; McCrystal, Laura (November 8, 2019)."Did Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf just endorse Josh Shapiro for governor in 2022? 'That's my guy.'".The Philadelphia Inquirer. RetrievedJanuary 17, 2020.
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  31. ^abcdefg"Attorney General Josh Shapiro announces long-expected run for Pennsylvania governor".WESA (FM). October 13, 2021.
  32. ^abcdefghTerruso, Julia (January 4, 2022)."Josh Shapiro wants Austin Davis, a 32-year-old Western Pa. lawmaker, to be his lieutenant governor".The Philadelphia Inquirer. RetrievedJanuary 4, 2022.
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  233. ^ab"Leading GOP candidates in Pennsylvania were in Washington on Jan. 6".The Washington Post. May 19, 2022.
  234. ^"Austin Davis announces bid for lieutenant governor, backed by Josh Shapiro".WESA (FM). January 4, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 4, 2022.
  235. ^ab"With Roe v. Wade gone, both sides see Pa. as a battlefield for the future of abortion rights".The Philadelphia Inquirer. June 25, 2022. RetrievedAugust 2, 2022.
  236. ^Montellaro, Zach (October 11, 2022)."Kinzinger endorses Dems in major governor, secretary of state races".Politico. RetrievedOctober 11, 2022.
  237. ^ab"Shapiro uses Swarthmore visit to outline how he sees gubernatorial race".Delaware County Daily Times. May 15, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 4, 2022.
  238. ^abMoss, Jon."Josh Shapiro, Austin Davis announce $1.4 million campaign to reach Black voters in Pa". RetrievedSeptember 13, 2022.
  239. ^"Gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro stops in Erie part of bus tour".YourErie.com. November 1, 2022.
  240. ^ab"We've seen firsthand that to defend reproductive rights and protect our freedoms, we need a Democratic governor".City & State. June 10, 2022.
  241. ^"Josh Shapiro, John Fetterman Hold 'Rally In The Valley' Event At Old Main".Onward State. November 3, 2022. RetrievedNovember 3, 2022.
  242. ^"Shapiro joins Fiedler, Saval for launch of South Philly Voter Project".South Philly Review. September 15, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2022.
  243. ^Gabriel, Trip (August 19, 2022)."Once Alarmed, Mainstream Pennsylvania Republicans Unite Around Mastriano".The New York Times. RetrievedAugust 20, 2022.
  244. ^abcd"Dems to launch statewide tour, arguing GOP is 'too extreme' for Pa. voters".Pennsylvania Capital-Star. July 29, 2022. RetrievedAugust 2, 2022.
  245. ^abcNunez, Alan (August 12, 2022)."Shapiro hosts community conversation in West Philly on criminal justice reform, how to keep communities safe".Al Día. RetrievedSeptember 4, 2022.
  246. ^McGoldrick, Gillian (September 5, 2022)."President Biden emphasizes union support at United Steelworkers Labor Day event in West Mifflin".Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. RetrievedSeptember 6, 2022.
  247. ^"Shapiro rallies in Beaver County a week before election".The Tribune-Democrat. November 2, 2022. RetrievedNovember 2, 2022.
  248. ^"Bucks County Republicans Fundraise For Shapiro, Blast Mastriano".Patch. September 15, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2022.
  249. ^abcBrennan, Chris (September 28, 2022)."Mastriano mocks Shapiro as 'little Josh.' Shapiro's revenge: a massive bank account".The Philadelphia Inquirer. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2022.
  250. ^Sirianni, Pete (July 8, 2022)."Boyd backs Shapiro, calls Mastriano an 'extremist'".New Castle News. RetrievedJuly 28, 2022.
  251. ^"Fulop holding fundraiser for Shapiro in Pennsylvania governor's race". September 9, 2022.
  252. ^Deto, Ryan (July 27, 2022)."Josh Shapiro pitches economic plan during visit to Pittsburgh's robotics row".Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. RetrievedJuly 28, 2022.
  253. ^"Helen Gym Is Ready for Battle Over Roe, the Sixers and More".Philadelphia Magazine. September 4, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 4, 2022.
  254. ^"Transcript: Leadership During Crisis with Philadelphia Mayor Jim Kenney".The Washington Post. September 3, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 4, 2022.
  255. ^"Doug Mastriano's Lunatic Appeal".The Atlantic. October 4, 2022. RetrievedOctober 4, 2022.
  256. ^Nunez, Alan (July 29, 2022)."Shapiro tours North Philly's Latino businesses, speaks with local owners in latest campaign stop".Al Día. RetrievedAugust 2, 2022.
  257. ^Brennan, Chris (November 5, 2021)."SClout has three questions every Election Day. Some politicians answered. Everyone dodged the third one".The Philadelphia Inquirer. RetrievedSeptember 6, 2022.
  258. ^Cann, Harrison (August 31, 2022)."Shapiro, Philly officials blast Mastriano for Confederate uniform faculty photo".City & State. RetrievedSeptember 4, 2022.
  259. ^Shahan, Blaine (September 24, 2022)."Josh Shapiro visits Lancaster County Democrats".LancasterOnline. RetrievedSeptember 24, 2022.
  260. ^"APSCUF endorses Josh Shapiro".The Rocket. September 9, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 9, 2022.
  261. ^"PASNAP endorses Josh Shapiro for governor".Lower Bucks Times. January 20, 2022. RetrievedAugust 11, 2022.
  262. ^"Pennsylvania Firefighters Association endorses Democrat Josh Shapiro".WGAL 8. June 17, 2022. RetrievedJune 17, 2022.
  263. ^"PSEA recommends Josh Shapiro in Democratic gubernatorial primary".Pennsylvania State Education Association. December 21, 2021. RetrievedAugust 11, 2022.
  264. ^Manchester, Julia (September 28, 2022)."Pennsylvania State Troopers Association endorses Democrat Shapiro, Republican Oz".The Hill. Nexstar Inc. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2022.
  265. ^"Philadelphia Federation of Teachers Endorses Shapiro for Governor".American Federation of Teachers. February 16, 2022. RetrievedAugust 11, 2022.
  266. ^"Pennsylvania - COMPAC Endorsements".UMWA. RetrievedNovember 1, 2022.
  267. ^"USW Proudly Supports Josh Shapiro, Austin Davis for Pennsylvania Governor, Lt. Governor".United Steelworkers. August 24, 2022. RetrievedAugust 27, 2022.
  268. ^"AAPI VICTORY FUND ENDORSES JOSH SHAPIRO FOR PENNSYLVANIA GOVERNOR".AAPI Victory Fund. Archived fromthe original on October 6, 2022. RetrievedOctober 6, 2022.
  269. ^"Josh Shapiro, other Democrats stump at get-out-the-vote rally in Highland Park".Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. September 18, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2022.
  270. ^"BLACK ECONOMIC ALLIANCE PAC ENDORSES U.S. SENATE, GUBERNATORIAL, AND DOWN-BALLOT CANDIDATES IN MICHIGAN, WISCONSIN, PENNSYLVANIA, AND MARYLAND".Black Economic Alliance. August 12, 2022.
  271. ^CeaseFire PA [@CeaseFirePA] (August 1, 2022)."Today we're announcing our endorsement of @JoshShapiroPA" (Tweet). RetrievedAugust 1, 2022 – viaTwitter.
  272. ^ab"LEADING PA ENVIRONMENTAL ADVOCATES ENDORSE JOSH SHAPIRO FOR GOVERNOR". April 7, 2022. RetrievedAugust 11, 2022.
  273. ^"2022 Endorsements".conservationpa.org.
  274. ^Democrats Abroad [@DemsAbroad] (May 17, 2022)."Congratulations Josh Shapiro! Let work together to keep Pennsylvania BLUE! 🇺🇸🌍" (Tweet). RetrievedJuly 31, 2022 – viaTwitter.
  275. ^"Endorsements – Emgage PAC".emgagepac.org. Archived fromthe original on June 25, 2022. RetrievedMay 29, 2022.
  276. ^"Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Announces New Gubernatorial and Statewide Endorsements".Everytown for Gun Safety.
  277. ^"Shapiro campaign reaching out to younger voters using the power of TikTok".Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
  278. ^"Human Rights Campaign Endorses Josh Shapiro for Governor of Pennsylvania".Human Rights Campaign.
  279. ^abRullo, David (September 30, 2022)."New Lincoln Project ad targets Mastriano".Pittsburgh Jewish Chronicle. RetrievedOctober 1, 2022.
  280. ^"OUR CANDIDATES".MoveOn.
  281. ^"Pennsylvania".National Democratic Redistricting Committee.
  282. ^Saccone, Mike (April 7, 2022)."National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Josh Shapiro for Pennsylvania Governor".National Wildlife Federation.
  283. ^"Billboards touting Republicans supporting Josh Shapiro for governor going up around Pittsburgh area".Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
  284. ^"Endorsements".Ricky’s Pride PAC.
  285. ^"2022-endorsements".Sierra Club.
  286. ^"2022 Endorsed Candidate Questionnaires".Stonewall Democrats. February 13, 2022.
  287. ^"Shapiro right for Pennsylvania".The Daily Item. RetrievedOctober 30, 2022.
  288. ^"PA Media Group endorses candidates for top offices in the Nov. 8 elections".The Patriot-News. October 29, 2022. RetrievedNovember 7, 2022.
  289. ^"Josh Shapiro is the clear choice for Pennsylvania governor".The Philadelphia Inquirer. October 9, 2022. RetrievedOctober 9, 2022.
  290. ^"Josh Shapiro is the clear choice for governor".The Philadelphia Tribune. October 30, 2022. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022.
  291. ^"Editorial: A new era of Pennsylvania politics".Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. RetrievedMay 19, 2022.
  292. ^"Editorial : Our endorsement: Shapiro clearly best choice for governor".The Tribune-Democrat. November 2, 2022. RetrievedNovember 4, 2022.
  293. ^"Vote responsibly: Shapiro for governor, Fetterman for Senate".The York Dispatch. November 6, 2022. RetrievedNovember 28, 2022.
  294. ^"Our View: Doug Mastriano's dangerous history of election denial and contemptuous disdain for system".USA Today. October 19, 2022. RetrievedOctober 20, 2022.
  295. ^"Kristin Kanthak: Some Pa. Republicans endorsed Josh Shapiro over Doug Mastriano. But do political endorsements work?".Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
  296. ^"Salena Zito: A 'once in a lifetime' candidate". September 25, 2022.
  297. ^"Franco Harris on Josh Shapiro's Team".Nittany Nation. August 10, 2022.
  298. ^Mui, Ylan (September 30, 2022)."Silicon Valley billionaires square off over support for Trump and the MAGA movement".CNBC.
  299. ^Hounshell, Blake (May 19, 2022)."Republican Panic Grows After Mastriano Wins".The New York Times.
  300. ^Brennan, Chris (October 11, 2022)."Josh Shapiro raises money warning of Donald Trump's ads (which don't even mention Doug Mastriano)".The Philadelphia Inquirer.
  301. ^Miller, Rachel (October 30, 2022)."Gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro talks importance of Gen Z civic engagement at Clark Park rally".The Daily Pennsylvanian.
  302. ^Mayo, Bob; Valente, Mike (November 2, 2022)."Shapiro, Mastriano campaign in Washington County, rally supporters in PA governor race".WTAE: Pittsburgh's Action News 4. RetrievedNovember 4, 2022.
  303. ^"PA Gov. Race: DeSantis to campaign for Mastriano in Pennsylvania". August 8, 2022.
  304. ^"Some Republicans Warm to Far-Right Candidate for Pa. Governor".
  305. ^Lehman, Tom (September 16, 2022)."Doug Mastriano and Rick Santorum hold rally in Drexel Hill".Wgal.
  306. ^"Lou Barletta (@RepLouBarletta)".Twitter. October 24, 2022. Archived fromthe original on January 14, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2023.
  307. ^abcdefghi"All but one Pennsylvania House GOP members endorse Mastriano for governor". August 2022.
  308. ^"Trump moves to general election mode with Pennsylvania rally".Associated Press. September 3, 2022.
  309. ^Kines, Halie (November 2, 2022)."During State College visit, Doug Mastriano promises 'new birth of freedom' if elected PA governor".Centre Daily Times. RetrievedNovember 2, 2022.
  310. ^"Doug Mastriano brings gubernatorial campaign to Westmoreland County". August 12, 2022.
  311. ^Thompson, Charles (October 30, 2022)."Doug Mastriano rallies the faithful in Lancaster".The Patriot News. RetrievedNovember 2, 2022.
  312. ^"Mastriano Joins Crowded GOP Field in 2022 Governor's Race". RetrievedSeptember 17, 2022.
  313. ^D'Orsie, Joe (November 1, 2022)."Joe D'Orsie: Let's define 'extreme'".Broad & Liberty. RetrievedMay 13, 2023.
  314. ^"Sen. Doug Mastriano watch party".PennLive. May 17, 2022.
  315. ^Bertman, Christopher (October 28, 2022)."Kari Lake Endorses Fellow Republican Candidates Doug Mastriano, Tudor Dixon For Governor".Timcast. Timcast. RetrievedOctober 29, 2022.
  316. ^abBender, William (September 28, 2022)."As campaign struggles, Doug Mastriano plans '40 days of fasting and prayer'".The Philadelphia Inquirer. RetrievedSeptember 29, 2022.
  317. ^"Gab Was Key To The Tree Of Life Shooting. Doug Mastriano Seems To Be Paying It For Followers".HuffPost. July 15, 2022. RetrievedJuly 15, 2022.
  318. ^"Donald Trump Jr. To rally with Doug Mastriano in Chambersburg". September 14, 2022.
  319. ^"Candidates - America First Secretary of State Coalition".americafirstsos.com. November 26, 2018. Archived from the original on September 13, 2022. RetrievedJune 5, 2022.
  320. ^"GOA Endorses Sen. Doug Mastriano For Governor". RetrievedSeptember 17, 2022.
  321. ^"Pennsylvania Endorsements".National Right to Life Victory Fund. RetrievedOctober 23, 2022.
  322. ^"Pennsylvania Grades & Endorsements".nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2023.
  323. ^Pennsylvania Republican Party [@PAGOP] (July 26, 2022)."While Biden's record-breaking inflation has families hurting badly, many universities in Pennsylvania are piling on with tuition hikes" (Tweet). RetrievedNovember 4, 2022 – viaTwitter.
  324. ^"More Republicans back Josh Shapiro for Pennsylvania governor".The Philadelphia Inquirer. RetrievedAugust 30, 2022.
  325. ^"Toomey Will Support Dr. Oz". The Dispatch. July 27, 2022. RetrievedJuly 27, 2022.
  326. ^"Mastriano largely out of public eye; concerns of 'extremism' rising on both sides". Gallatin News. Archived fromthe original on September 20, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2022.
  327. ^"Far-right election denier Mastriano wins GOP race for governor in Pennsylvania".NBC News. May 17, 2022.
  328. ^"Brief of Amici Curiae Bipartisan Group of Former Public Officials, Former Judges, and Election Experts from Pennsylvania in Support of Respondents"(PDF).Supreme Court of the United States. RetrievedJanuary 23, 2022.
  329. ^"GOP governor criticizes Trump-backed candidates in Arizona, Pennsylvania".The Hill. July 17, 2022. RetrievedJuly 17, 2022.
  330. ^"Gov. Larry Hogan (R-MD) is Interviewed about Midterms; Court Ruling Wont' Slow Migrants; Voters Hit Polls in Five States".CNN. May 24, 2022. RetrievedAugust 17, 2022.
  331. ^"GOP Gov. Chris Sununu slams Republicans campaigning as election deniers".Washington Examiner. July 10, 2022. RetrievedAugust 17, 2022.
  332. ^"Fight him, shun him ... embrace him? Mastriano's relationship with GOP leaders mirrors Trump's rise".Politico. August 4, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2022.
  333. ^"Pennsylvania Race: Antisemitism, Extremism Dominate Agenda as Keystone State Becomes Key Swing State".Haaretz. October 6, 2022. RetrievedOctober 6, 2022.
  334. ^"POLITICO Playbook: Inside McConnell's fateful impeachment decision".Politico. September 21, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2022.
  335. ^"Campaign Finance Online Reporting".Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
  336. ^Real Clear Politics
  337. ^FiveThirtyEight
  338. ^Research Co.
  339. ^Targoz Market Research
  340. ^InsiderAdvantage (R)
  341. ^The Trafalgar Group (R)
  342. ^Remington Research Group (R)
  343. ^Marist College
  344. ^Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
  345. ^Emerson College
  346. ^Suffolk University
  347. ^Fox News
  348. ^Big Data Poll
  349. ^co/efficient (R)
  350. ^Muhlenberg College
  351. ^Wick Insights (R)
  352. ^Siena Research/NYT
  353. ^InsiderAdvantage (R)Archived October 27, 2022, at theWayback Machine
  354. ^YouGov/CBS News
  355. ^Franklin & Marshall CollegeArchived October 27, 2022, at theWayback Machine
  356. ^Rasmussen Reports (R)
  357. ^Echelon Insights
  358. ^InsiderAdvantage (R)
  359. ^CNN/SSRS
  360. ^Wick Insights
  361. ^Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
  362. ^The Trafalgar Group (R)
  363. ^Monmouth University
  364. ^Suffolk University
  365. ^Emerson College
  366. ^Fox News
  367. ^Franklin & Marshall College
  368. ^InsiderAdvantage (R)
  369. ^Marist College
  370. ^The Phillips Academy Poll
  371. ^Muhlenberg College
  372. ^The Trafalgar Group (R)
  373. ^Monmouth University
  374. ^YouGov/CBS News
  375. ^RABA Research
  376. ^Survey Monkey (D)
  377. ^Emerson College
  378. ^Franklin & Marshall College
  379. ^The Trafalgar Group (R)
  380. ^Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  381. ^Fox News
  382. ^Blueprint Polling (D)Archived July 26, 2022, at theWayback Machine
  383. ^Beacon Research (D)
  384. ^Global Strategy Group (D)
  385. ^Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
  386. ^Cygnal (R)
  387. ^Suffolk University
  388. ^Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  389. ^"2022 General Election Official Returns - Governor".Pennsylvania Department of State.
  390. ^"2022 General Election Official Returns".Department of State – Pennsylvania Elections. November 8, 2022. RetrievedAugust 16, 2024.
  391. ^2022 PA Statewides by CD.docs.google.com (Report).
  392. ^abc"Exit polls for Midterm Election Results 2022 | CNN Politics".CNN. RetrievedNovember 20, 2022.

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