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2022 Northern Ireland Assembly election

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2022 Northern Ireland Assembly election
← 20175 May 2022Next →

All 90 seats to theNorthern Ireland Assembly
Turnout63.61% (Decrease1.2%)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Michelle O'Neill at the Foyle Assembly election launch 2022 (cropped).jpg
Jeffrey Donaldson election infobox.jpg
Naomi_Long_MLA.jpg
LeaderMichelle O'Neill[n 1]Jeffrey DonaldsonNaomi Long
PartySinn FéinDUPAlliance
Leader since23 January 2017[n 2]30 June 202126 October 2016
Leader's seatMid UlsterLagan Valley(resigned)[a]Belfast East
Last election27 seats, 27.9%28 seats, 28.1%8 seats, 9.1%
Seats won272517
Seat changeSteadyDecrease3Increase9
Popular vote250,388184,002116,681
Percentage29.0%21.3%13.5%
SwingIncrease1.1%Decrease6.7%Increase4.5%

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
Doug Beattie.png
Colum Eastwood SDLP Conference 2023.jpg
Official portrait of Jim Allister MP crop 2.jpg
LeaderDoug BeattieColum EastwoodJim Allister
PartyUUPSDLPTUV
Leader since17 May 202114 November 20157 December 2007
Leader's seatUpper BannDid not stand[b]North Antrim
Last election10 seats, 12.9%12 seats, 11.9%1 seat, 2.6%
Seats won981
Seat changeDecrease1Decrease4Steady
Popular vote96,39078,23765,788
Percentage11.2%9.1%7.6%
SwingDecrease1.7%Decrease2.9%Increase5.0%

 Seventh party
 
Eamonn McCann, Foyle MLA 2016.jpg
LeaderEamonn McCann[n 3]
PartyPeople Before Profit
Leader sinceN/A
Leader's seatDid not stand
Last election1 seat, 1.8%
Seats won1
Seat changeSteady
Popular vote9,798
Percentage1.1%
SwingDecrease0.6%


First Minister and
deputy First Minister
before election

vacant positions

First Minister and
deputy First Minister

Michelle O'Neill (SF) &
Emma Little-Pengelly (DUP)

The2022 Northern Ireland Assembly election was held on 5 May 2022. It elected 90 members to theNorthern Ireland Assembly. It was the seventh assembly election since the establishment of the assembly in 1998. The election was held three months after theNorthern Ireland Executive collapsed due to the resignation of theFirst Minister,Paul Givan of theDemocratic Unionist Party (DUP), in protest against theNorthern Ireland Protocol.[2]

In the sixth assembly, elected in 2017, eight parties hadMembers of the Legislative Assembly (MLAs): the DUP, latterly led byJeffrey Donaldson;Sinn Féin, led byMichelle O'Neill; theUlster Unionist Party (UUP), latterly led byDoug Beattie; theSocial Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP), led byColum Eastwood;Alliance, led byNaomi Long; theGreens, led byClare Bailey;People Before Profit (PBP), which has a collective leadership; and theTraditional Unionist Voice (TUV), led byJim Allister.

Sinn Féin became the largest party, marking the first time anIrish nationalist/republican party won the most seats in an assembly election inNorthern Ireland, and has the right to nominate Northern Ireland's first nationalist First Minister. The DUP's vote share dropped almost 7% and it lost three seats; despite this,unionists won two more seats than nationalists—37 seats to 35—and a marginally higher share of the vote.[3] Alliance made large gains, as the only party to gain seats at the election, overtaking the UUP and the SDLP to become the third-largest party in the Assembly. The Greens lost both seats they held before the election and were unrepresented in the Assembly for the first time since 2003.[4][5]

As Northern Ireland's government is based onpower-sharing, the DUP (the largest unionist party) was required to nominate a deputy First Minister for the Executive to be formed and the Assembly to conduct business; however, they refused to do so due to their opposition to theNorthern Ireland Protocol and post-Brexit trading arrangements.[6] It wasn't until 31 January 2024 that the DUP andUK Government announced a deal had been struck to revive the Executive,[7] and on 3 February 2024 the Assembly swore in Sinn Féin First MinisterMichelle O'Neill and DUP deputy First MinisterEmma Little-Pengelly.[8]

Background

[edit]

Electoral events

[edit]

In May 2013,Theresa Villiers,Secretary of State for Northern Ireland, announced that the next Assembly election would be postponed to May 2016, and would be held at fixed intervals of five years thereafter.[9] Section 7 of theNorthern Ireland (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act 2014 specifies that elections will be held on the first Thursday in May on the fifth calendar year following that in which its predecessor was elected,[10] which would be 5 May 2022; however, there are several circumstances in which the Assembly can be dissolved before the date scheduled by virtue of section 31(1) of theNorthern Ireland Act 1998.

In June 2016,the UK voted to leave theEuropean Union, although Northern Ireland voted to remain.[11]The process of withdrawal held particular uncertainty for Northern Ireland due to thepotential for customs on theUK–Ireland border.[12] Meanwhile, anearly election was held to the Northern Ireland Assembly in March 2017. After the election, Sinn Féin stated that it would not return to a power-sharing arrangement with the Democratic Unionist Party without significant changes in the party's approach, includingArlene Foster not becomingFirst Minister until an investigation into theRenewable Heat Incentive scandal was complete.[13] Over the next few years,[14][15] the deadline to form an executive was repeatedly extended as negotiations continued with no success.[16][17][18]

On 18 April 2017,Theresa May,Prime Minister of the UK, called for a general election to beheld on 8 June 2017.[19] TheConservative Party lost its parliamentary majority and sought aconfidence and supply agreement with the DUP in order to remain in government. The DUP and the Conservatives reached an agreement on 26 June.[20]

In2019, the UK experienced significant political turbulence over the question of how to proceed with Brexit. TheEuropean Parliament election in May 2019 saw theAlliance Party take the third MEP place from theUlster Unionist Party (UUP). DUP support for the Conservative government broke down with disagreements over the government's Brexit plans. The Conservative government sought a new election, held inDecember 2019, which they won with a large majority. In Northern Ireland, for the first time, traditionalIrish nationalist parties won more seats than traditionalunionist parties. The SDLP and Alliance returned to the House of Commons, while the DUP and Sinn Féin saw vote share declines of more than 5%.[21]

A DUP/Sinn Féinexecutive was re-established on 10 January 2020 with theNew Decade, New Approach (NDNA) agreement, forestalling an immediate new election.[22] By the end of February 2020, theCOVID-19 pandemic was confirmed to have spread to Northern Ireland.[23]

On 15 January 2022, the UK government was accused of interfering in the election by reintroducingdual mandates, which had been abolished in 2016. This would enable MPs like Donaldson to have seats in Stormont as well as Westminster,[24] but plans were withdrawn four days later.[25]

Leadership changes

[edit]

On 28 April 2021, Arlene Foster announced that she would be resigning as DUP leader on 28 May and First Minister in June 2021 after more than 20 DUP MLAs and four DUP MPs signed a letter "...voicingno confidence in her leadership".[26]Edwin Poots narrowly won the subsequentMay 2021 DUP leadership election, but announced his resignation 21 days later.[27] The runner-up in the election,Jeffrey Donaldson, stood unopposed in theJune 2021 DUP leadership election and with no other candidates the party chose not to hold a ballot (some parties still do a leadership vote or ballot with one candidate with the other option to re-open nominations). Donaldson was ratified as the party's leader on 30 June 2021.[28] Meanwhile, after Poots elected not to replace Foster as First Minister,[29]Paul Givan took up the position on 17 June 2021.[30]

Steve Aiken announced his resignation as leader of the UUP on 8 May 2021,[31] withDoug Beattie taking up the post nine days later after standing unopposed.[32]

Northern Ireland Protocol

[edit]

TheNorthern Ireland Protocol is aprotocol to theBrexit Withdrawal Agreement that governs the unique customs and immigration issues at the border on the island ofIreland between theUnited Kingdom and theEuropean Union, and on some aspects of trade in goods between Northern Ireland and therest of the United Kingdom.[33]Its terms were negotiated in 2019 and agreed and concluded in December 2020. Due to a thirty-year internecine conflict in Northern Ireland known asThe Troubles, theUK–Ireland border has had a special status since that conflict was ended by theBelfast Agreement/Good Friday Agreement of 1998. As part of theNorthern Ireland Peace Process, the border has been largely invisible, without any physical barrier or customs checks on its many crossing points; this arrangement was made possible by both countries' common membership of both theEuropean Single Market andEU Customs Union, and of theirCommon Travel Area.

The DUP threatened to pull out of Stormont's power-sharing government on 9 September 2021, triggering a snap election "within weeks" unless the protocol was scrapped. Donaldson warned: "I say not as a threat but as a matter of political reality that our political institutions will not survive a failure to resolve the problems the Protocol has created."[34] The following week, SDLP leaderColum Eastwood accused the DUP of having a "petulant strop" and called for a new law to stop an early election. He told peers that the "delicate constitutional balance" in Northern Ireland was "too fragile for people to play games with".[35]

On 3 February 2022, Givan resigned as First Minister in protest over the protocol, which automatically resulted in the Deputy First Minister losing her role and theNorthern Ireland Executive collapsing.[36][37] Conservative MPJacob Rees-Mogg said that the UK government would "reform" the protocol if the EU did not,[38] whilst it was also reported that Westminster was planning legislation that would give ministers powers to abolish the protocol altogether.[39] During a rally inBallymena on 30 April, TUV leader Jim Allister said that the Executive would not be returning unless the protocol was removed.[40]

Calls for early election

[edit]

Following the collapse of the Assembly, Sinn Féin and the DUP both called for the election to be brought forward, but the UUP, SDLP and Alliance Party opposed the idea.[41][42] Northern Ireland SecretaryBrandon Lewis ruled out an early election,[43] saying that the priority was to get the Assembly up and running again.[44] Two weeks later, however, Lewis claimed there was "a real risk" that the Executive would not return after the election.[45]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominations opened on 29 March 2022 for the assembly election and closed on 8 April 2022.[46]

A total of 239 candidates contested the 90 available seats in the Assembly, an increase from 228 in 2016.[46] Eighty-seven women ran as candidates in the election, which is the highest number in history.[47] The seats were spread over 18 constituencies, with each constituency having five seats. The election was conducted using thesingle transferable vote system.

The table below lists all of the nominated candidates.[48][49]

  • * indicates an incumbent MLA
  • ** indicates the candidate is the incumbent MLA for a different constituency
  • ^ indicates a former MLA who was not a member at the dissolution of the 2017–22 Assembly
  • Leaders of parties represented in the assembly at dissolution are shown inbold text
  • Elected candidates are marked with an (E)
ConstituencyDUPSFSDLPUUPAllianceTUVGreenPBPAontúIndependentOthers
Belfast EastDavid Brooks (E)
Joanne Bunting* (E)
Mairéad O'DonnellCharlotte CarsonAndy Allen* (E)
Lauren Kerr
Naomi Long* (E)
Peter McReynolds (E)
John RossBrian SmythHannah KennyKarl Bennett (PUP)
Eoin MacNeill (WP)
Belfast NorthPhillip Brett (E)
Brian Kingston (E)
Gerry Kelly* (E)
Carál Ní Chuilín* (E)
Nichola Mallon*Julie-Anne Corr-JohnstonNuala McAllister (E)Ron McDowellMal O'HaraFiona FergusonSeán Mac NiocaillStafford WardBilly Hutchinson^ (PUP)
Lily Kerr (WP)
Belfast SouthEdwin Poots* (E)Deirdre Hargey* (E)Matthew O'Toole* (E)
Elsie Trainor
Stephen McCarthyPaula Bradshaw* (E)
Kate Nicholl (E)
Andrew GirvinClare Bailey*Sipho SibandaLuke McCannElly OdhiamboPaddy Lynn (WP)
Neil Moore (SP)
Belfast WestFrank McCoubreyDanny Baker (E)
Órlaithí Flynn* (E)
Aisling Reilly* (E)
Pat Sheehan* (E)
Paul DohertyLinsey GibsonDonnamarie HigginsJordan DoranStevie MaginnGerry Carroll* (E)Gerard HerdmanGerard Burns
Declan Hill
Tony Mallon
Patrick Crossan (WP)
Dan Murphy (IRSP)
East AntrimDavid Hilditch* (E)
Gordon Lyons* (E)
Oliver McMullan^Siobhán McAlisterJohn Stewart* (E)
Roy Beggs Jr*
Stewart Dickson* (E)
Danny Donnelly (E)
Norman Boyd^Mark Bailey
East LondonderryMaurice Bradley* (E)
Alan Robinson (E)
Caoimhe Archibald* (E)
Kathleen McGurk
Cara Hunter* (E)Darryl WilsonChris McCawJordan ArmstrongMark CoulsonAmy MerronGemma BrollyClaire Sugden* (Ind U) (E)
Niall Murphy
Stephanie Quigley
Billy Stewart
Russell Watton (PUP)
Fermanagh and
South Tyrone
Deborah Erskine* (E)
Paul Bell
Jemma Dolan* (E)
Colm Gildernew* (E)
Áine Murphy* (E)
Adam GannonTom Elliott^ (E)
Rosemary Barton*
Matthew BeaumontAlex ElliottKellie TurtleEmmett KilpatrickDenise MullenDerek Backhouse
Emma DeSouza
Donal O'Cofaigh (CCLA)
FoyleGary Middleton* (E)Pádraig Delargy* (E)
Ciara Ferguson* (E)
Mark H. Durkan* (E)
Sinead McLaughlin* (E)
Brian Tierney
Ryan McCreadyRachael FergusonElizabeth NeelyGillian HamiltonShaun HarkinEmmet DoyleAnne McCloskeyColly McLaughlin (IRSP)
Lagan ValleyJeffrey Donaldson^ (E)
Paul Givan* (E)
Gary McCleavePat Catney*Robbie Butler* (E)
Laura Turner
Sorcha Eastwood (E)
David Honeyford (E)
Lorna SmythSimon LeeAmanda DohertyGary Hynds
Mid UlsterKeith Buchanan* (E)Linda Dillon* (E)
Michelle O'Neill* (E)
Emma Sheerin* (E)
Patsy McGlone* (E)Meta GrahamClaire HackettGlenn MooreStefan Taylor[n 4]Sophia McFeelyAlixandra HallidayPatrick HaugheyConor Rafferty (Resume NI)
Hugh Scullion (WP)
Newry and ArmaghWilliam Irwin* (E)Cathal Boylan* (E)
Liz Kimmins* (E)
Conor Murphy* (E)
Justin McNulty* (E)David TaylorJackie CoadeKeith RatcliffeCiara HenryDaniel ConnollyGavin MaloneNicola Grant (WP)
North AntrimPaul Frew* (E)
Mervyn Storey*
Philip McGuigan* (E)Eugene ReidRobin Swann* (E)
Bethany Ferris
Patricia O'Lynn (E)Jim Allister* (E)
Matthew Armstrong
Paul VeronicaLaird Shingleton
North DownStephen Dunne* (E)
Jennifer Gilmour
Thérèse McCartneyDéirdre VaughanAlan Chambers* (E)
Naomi McBurney
Connie Egan (E)
Andrew Muir* (E)
John GordonRachel Woods*Alex Easton* (Ind U) (E)
Chris Carter
Ray McKimm
Matthew Robinson (Con)
South AntrimPam Cameron* (E)
Trevor Clarke* (E)
Declan Kearney* (E)Roisin LynchSteve Aiken* (E)
Paul Michael
John Blair* (E)Mel LucasLesley VeronicaJerry MaguireRóisín BennettAndrew Moran
South DownDiane Forsythe (E)Sinéad Ennis* (E)
Cathy Mason (E)
Colin McGrath* (E)
Karen McKevitt^
Jill MacauleyPatrick Brown (E)Harold McKee^Noeleen LynchPaul McCroryRosemary McGlonePatrick Clarke
StrangfordHarry Harvey* (E)
Michelle McIlveen* (E)
Peter Weir*
Róisé McGivernConor HoustonMike Nesbitt* (E)
Philip Smith^
Kellie Armstrong* (E)
Nick Mathison (E)
Stephen CooperMaurice MacartneyBen King
Upper BannJonathan Buckley* (E)
Diane Dodds* (E)
John O'Dowd* (E)
Liam Mackle
Dolores Kelly*Doug Beattie* (E)
Glenn Barr
Eóin Tennyson (E)Darrin FosterLauren KendallAidan GribbinGlenn Beattie (Heritage)
West TyroneTom Buchanan* (E)Nicola Brogan* (E)
Declan McAleer* (E)
Maolíosa McHugh* (E)
Daniel McCrossan* (E)Ian MarshallStephen DonnellyTrevor ClarkeSusan GlassCarol GallagherJames HopeBarry Brown
Paul Gallagher
Amy Ferguson (SP)

Members not seeking re-election

[edit]

The following MLAs announced that they would not stand for re-election.[51]

MLAConstituency
/region
First elected
or co-opted
PartyDate announced
Trevor LunnLagan Valley2007Independent[n 5]22 February 2021[52]
Emma RoganSouth Down2017Sinn Féin19 May 2021[53]
Sinéad BradleySouth Down2016SDLP24 May 2021[54]
Alex MaskeyBelfast West1998Sinn Féin5 August 2021[55]
Chris LyttleBelfast East2010Alliance29 October 2021[56]
Robin NewtonBelfast East2003DUP2 February 2022[57]
George RobinsonEast Londonderry2003DUP17 March 2022[58]
William HumphreyBelfast North2010DUP17 March 2022[59]
Paula BradleyBelfast North2011DUP17 March 2022[60]
Paul RankinLagan Valley2022DUP17 March 2022[61]
Jim WellsSouth Down1998Ind. Unionist[n 6]23 March 2022[62]

Campaign

[edit]

TheSinn Féin campaign avoided talk of aunited Ireland,[63] instead focusing on "bread and butter" issues.[64] Sinn Féin called for a £230 payment to help people with thecost of living.[65] A threat to destroy a Sinn Féin billboard was reported to the police.[66] TheSocial Democratic and Labour Party's campaign had reportedly been difficult.[67] Candidate Elsie Trainor was attacked by youths in Belfast who also hurledsectarian abuse.[68] LeaderColum Eastwood urgedtactical voting.[69]Aontú was the only Irish nationalist party to campaign on ananti-abortion platform.[70]

TheDemocratic Unionist Party campaign focused on their opposition to the Northern Ireland Protocol, Sinn Féin and the prospect of a referendum onIrish unity.[71] TheTraditional Unionist Voice said that opposing the Northern Ireland Protocol is "top priority".[72] They received a number of defections from the DUP.[73] In contrast to the DUP, theUlster Unionist Party leader Doug Beattie said a united Ireland would not happen in his or his children's lifetime, thus "we can set it aside in order to concentrate on the issues affecting the daily lives of our people who live here".[74] All three unionist leaders attended a series of rallies against the Protocol. In March, Beattie announced he would continue to oppose the Protocol but would no longer take part in the rallies. Beattie said they had been hijacked byloyalists to raise tensions "that now see a resurgence inUVF activity". Following this, his constituency office in Portadown was attacked,[75] and an election poster with a noose around his neck appeared at a loyalist rally inLurgan.[76]

TheAlliance Party advocated reform of the Stormont institutions to remove the designation system and avoid a "cycle of collapse". It also advocated health reform and the introduction of a child payment scheme to support people with the cost of living.[77] The party further promised to buildCasement Park,[78] positioned itself as the "centre ground" and campaigned in constituencies west of theRiver Bann, where they have never won any seats.[79]

TheGreen Party pledged the establishment of a bill of rights, an independent Environmental Protection Agency, and rent controls.[80] ThePeople Before Profit manifesto was launched on 22 April. In it, they promised a £1,000 to help with cost of living.[81] On 30 April, PBP candidate Hannah Kenny was attacked by three men inEast Belfast, who also subjected her to "sectarian and misogynistic" abuse.[82]

On 13 April, it was reported that thePolice Service of Northern Ireland had been notified of 41 political poster incidents.[83]

Televised debates between the party leaders were held on 1 May and 3 May.[84][85]

2022 Northern Ireland Assembly debates
Date
scheduled
OrganisersModerator(s) P Present[c]  AudienceRef.
DUPSFSDLPUUPAlliance
1 MayUTVMarc MallettP
Donaldson
P
O'Neill
P
Eastwood
P
Beattie
P
Long
Yes[86]
3 MayBBC One Northern IrelandJim FitzpatrickP
Donaldson
P
O'Neill
P
Eastwood
P
Beattie
P
Long
Yes[87]
  1. ^Donaldson was elected to the Assembly but declined to take up his seat.Emma Little-Pengelly was co-opted to the seat in his place.
  2. ^Eastwood sits in theHouse of Commons as the MP for Foyle
  3. ^Denotes a main invitee attending the event.

Opinion polls

[edit]
Local regression of polls conducted
Date(s)
conducted
PollsterClientSample
size
DUPUSFNUUPUSDLPNAPNIOTUVUGreenOPBPOAontúNOtherLead
5 May 20222022 Assembly election21.3%29.0%11.2%9.1%13.5%7.9%1.9%1.1%1.5%3.5%7.7%
16–26 Apr 2022Social Market ResearchUniversity of Liverpool/Irish News1,27018.2%26.6%12.1%10.5%18.2%5.7%2.9%2.1%TBD8.4%
22–24 Apr 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph1,70820%26%14%10%14%9%3%2%TBD2%6%
11–26 Mar 2022Social Market ResearchUniversity of Liverpool/Irish News1,00020.2%27.0%13.6%10.2%14.7%5.4%4.3%2.1%0.3%2.2%6.8%
18–21 Mar 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,28119%26%13%11%16%9%2%2%0%2%7%
25 Jan7 Feb 2022Social Market ResearchUniversity of Liverpool/Irish News1,00219.4%23.2%14.0%9.9%15.6%6.4%6.3%2.3%0.3%2.6%3.8%
3 Feb 2022Paul Givan resigns as First Minister[36]
14–17 Jan 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,11217%25%14%11%14%12%3%1%1%2%8%
5–11 Nov 2021LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,29818%24%14%12%15%11%2%2%0%2%6%
21–29 Oct 2021Social Market ResearchUniversity of Liverpool1,00220.6%23.5%13.0%11.4%17.3%5.6%3.9%1.0%0.7%2.4%2.9%
20–23 Aug 2021LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph2,40313%25%16%13%13%14%2%2%0%2%9%
30 Jun 2021Jeffrey Donaldsonbecomes leader of theDemocratic Unionist Party[88]
17 Jun 2021Paul Givan becomes First Minister[30]
17 May 2021Doug Beattie is elected leader of theUlster Unionist Party[89]
14–17 May 2021LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,07216%25%14%12%16%11%2%2%0%2%9%
14 May 2021Edwin Poots iselected leader of theDemocratic Unionist Party[90]
22–25 Jan 2021LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph2,29519%24%12%13%18%10%2%1%0%1%5%
2–5 Oct 2020LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph1,96123%24%12%13%16%6%3%2%0%1%1%
31 Jan 2020The United Kingdom leaves the European Union[91]
11 Jan 2020The Executive is re-established[92]
12 Dec 2019United Kingdom general election[93]
9 Nov 2019Steve Aiken becomes leader of theUlster Unionist Party[94]
23 May 2019European Parliament election[95]
2 May 2019Local elections[96]
23–26 Feb 2018LucidTalkNorthern Slant2,07933.6%32.4%10.3%8.6%8.0%2.3%1.9%1.7%1.7%1.2%
1–4 Dec 2017LucidTalkGUE/NGL2,07933.7%32.8%8.9%8.6%7.9%1.1%2.2%1.1%3.7%0.9%
8–11 Sep 2017LucidTalkN/A2,08035.5%31.2%9.6%9.4%8.6%1.3%1.7%1.5%1.3%4.3%
2 Mar 20172017 Assembly election28.1%27.9%12.9%11.9%9.1%2.6%2.3%1.8%3.6%0.2%

* (U): Unionist, (N): Nationalist, (O): Other

Results

[edit]

Votes were counted on 6 and 7 May.[97] Sinn Féin became the largest party, marking the first time anIrish nationalist/republican party had won the most seats in an election in Northern Ireland, and has the right to nominate Northern Ireland's first nationalist First Minister. As Northern Ireland's government is based onpower-sharing, the DUP (as second-largest party) must nominate a deputy First Minister for the Executive to be formed; however, they said they will not do so until their issues with the Northern Ireland Protocol are dealt with.[6]

The DUP's vote share dropped almost 7% and lost three seats; despite this,unionists won two more seats than nationalists—37 seats to 35—and a marginally higher share of the vote.[3] This being said, socialist party People Before Profit—who returned one candidate to the Assembly—favour a united socialist Ireland, though they officially designated themselves as Socialist, rather than Nationalist or Unionist, on the electoral register. Indeed, both nationalist parties (4) and unionist parties (3) lost seats overall to 'Others', who gained 7 seats for their highest ever proportion of seats in the assembly, 18 seats, or 20% of those available, despite both Green candidates losing their seat. Unionist parties lost greater combined vote share, losing just over 2.5% of the total vote, whereas nationalist parties (including newcomers Aontú) lost only around 0.5% of vote share combined.

Alliance achieved their highest ever first-preference vote share in an Assembly election, becoming the third-largest party in the Assembly and adding over 50% to their vote share, going from 9% to over 13.5%. They overtook the UUP (who lost one seat) and the SDLP (who lost four), who both received their lowest ever vote shares. The TUV also achieved their highest vote share, tripling their share and up 5% from the last election, but they did not win any more seats.[98] The Greens lost both seats they held before the election and were shut out of the Assembly for the first time since 2003.[4][5]Alex Easton, who left the DUP in 2021, was re-elected as an independent unionist, as was the returning former Justice Minister,Claire Sugden.Colum Eastwood believed SDLP voters gave their support to Sinn Féin in this election, saying "there's a tide there and people wanted to send a message, they wanted to kick the DUP and I think this is how they decided to do it".[47]

PartyVotes%+/–Seats
Assembly+/–Executive+/–
Sinn Féin250,38829.02+1.1275+1
Democratic Unionist Party184,00221.33-6.725-34-1
Alliance Party of Northern Ireland116,68113.53+4.517+92+1
Ulster Unionist Party96,39011.17-1.79-11
Social Democratic and Labour Party78,2379.07-2.98-40-1
Traditional Unionist Voice65,7887.63+5.01
Green Party Northern Ireland16,4331.90-0.4-2
Aontú12,7771.48NewNew
People Before Profit9,7981.14-0.61
Progressive Unionist Party2,6650.31-0.4
Irish Republican Socialist Party1,8690.22NewNew
Workers' Party8390.10-0.1
Cross-Community Labour Alternative6020.07-0.3
Socialist Party5240.06NewNew
Northern Ireland Conservatives2540.03-0.3
Heritage Party1280.01NewNew
Resume Party130.00NewNew
Independent25,3152.93+1.12+1
Total862,703100.00900120
Valid votes862,70398.73
Invalid/blank votes11,0781.27
Total votes873,781100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,373,73163.61
Map of the results
Seats won by each party per constituency, with turnout and vote share.
Seats per constituency, by party and designation (Nationalist, Unionist, Other)

Distribution of seats by constituency

[edit]

Party affiliation of the five Assembly members returned by each constituency. The first column indicates the party of the Member of theHouse of Commons (MP) returned by the corresponding parliamentary constituency in the2019 United Kingdom general election under thefirst-past-the-post voting method.

Party of MP, 2019ConstituencyNorthern Ireland Assembly seats
TotalGained
by
Formerly
held by
PBPGreenSinn
Féin
SDLPAPNIUUPDUPTUVInd.
DUPNorth Antrim511111AllianceDUP
DUPEast Antrim5212AllianceUUP
DUPSouth Antrim51112
Sinn FéinBelfast North5212AllianceSDLP
Sinn FéinBelfast West514
SDLPBelfast South51121AllianceGreen
DUPBelfast East5212
AllianceNorth Down52111Ind. U.DUP
AllianceGreen
DUPStrangford5212AllianceDUP
DUPLagan Valley5212AllianceSDLP
DUPUpper Bann51112AllianceSDLP
Sinn FéinSouth Down52111AllianceSDLP
Sinn FéinNewry and Armagh5311
Sinn FéinFermanagh & South Tyrone5311
Sinn FéinWest Tyrone5311
Sinn FéinMid Ulster5311
SDLPFoyle5221
DUPEast Londonderry51121
Total90102781792512
Change since 2017–2–4+9–1−3+1
Elected on 2 March 2017901227128102811
Elected on 5 May 20161082228128163811
Elected on 5 May 20111080129148163811
Elected on 7 March 2007108128167183611Prog. U.
Elected on 23 November 200310824186273011Prog. U.1UKUP
Elected on 25 June 199810818246282042Prog. U.5UKUP, 2NIWC

Share of first-preference votes

[edit]

Percentage of each constituency's first-preference votes. Absolute majorities are inbold. The constituencies are arranged in the geographic order described for the table above; click the icon next to "Constituency" to see them in alphabetical order.

The totals given here are the sum of all valid ballots cast in each constituency, and the percentages are based on such totals. The turnout percentages in the last column, however, are based upon all ballots cast, which also include anything from twenty to a thousand invalid ballots in each constituency. The total valid ballots' percentage of the eligible electorate can correspondingly differ by 0.1% to 2% from the turnout percentage.

All constituencies were five-seat constituencies, with members elected under theSingle transferable vote system. The quota in each constituency was therefore approximately 16.67% of the vote in the constituency. However, in some cases, despite a party gaining more than that share of the vote, imperfect transfer discipline between candidates meant that a seat was not automatically gained.

Member of Parliament, 2019ConstituencyNorthern Ireland Assembly seats
PartyProportion
of vote
Total
votes
Eligible
elector-
ate
Turn-
out
PBP
Aontú
Sinn
Féin
SDLP
Green
APNIUUP
DUP
TUV
Ind.
Others
DUP47.4%North Antrim18.53.80.79.520.525.721.30.151,22081,93562.5%
DUP45.3%East Antrim9.13.01.923.124.229.69.140,69367,69960.1%
DUP35.3%South Antrim0.61.420.16.91.216.017.925.99.60.646,19576,95060.0%
Sinn Féin47.1%Belfast North2.31.435.57.83.19.55.724.37.31.12.046,79675,80161.7%
Sinn Féin53.8%Belfast West7.54.063.75.80.72.11.19.51.80.83.044,44068,72764.7%
SDLP57.2%Belfast South1.31.720.315.88.724.96.515.44.10.21.147,30673,49764.4%
DUP49.2%Belfast East1.23.21.15.332.415.232.17.12.443,84070,12362.5%
Alliance45.2%North Down1.71.76.628.912.419.93.824.50.642,19870,17660.1%
DUP47.2%Strangford3.96.02.024.115.233.812.70.341,34570,77558.4%
DUP43.1%Lagan Valley0.55.36.31.324.319.334.76.81.451,54381,56263.2%
DUP41.0%Upper Bann1.029.46.50.811.515.327.58.40.256,95491,14962.5%
Sinn Féin32.4%South Down1.044.316.50.812.65.211.86.00.255,63184,04666.2%
Sinn Féin40.0%Newry & Armagh2.047.010.60.55.76.612.99.25.40.359,69387,15668.5%
Sinn Féin43.3%Fermanagh & S. Tyrone0.21.744.77.10.65.315.517.75.80.71.154,56078,96369.1%
Sinn Féin40.2%West Tyrone0.81.447.011.90.66.54.114.49.13.90.446,62969,70266.9%
Sinn Féin45.9%Mid Ulster0.42.552.710.00.34.14.216.57.41.70.252,27475,16869.5%
SDLP57.0%Foyle5.64.332.830.80.54.78.08.81.11.81.647,67477,34361.6%
DUP40.1%East Londonderry0.82.525.68.30.87.55.926.96.713.02.144,79672,95961.4%
Northern Ireland1.11.529.09.11.913.511.221.37.62.90.8873,7811,373,73163.6%
Change since 2017−0.7+1.5+1.1−2.8−0.4+4.4−1.7−6.8+5.0+1.1−1.0+60,998+119,022−1.2%
Election of March 20171.827.911.92.39.112.928.12.61.81.8812,7831,254,70964.8%
Election of May 20162.024.012.02.77.012.629.23.43.93.3703,7441,281,59554.9%
Election of May 201126.914.20.97.713.230.02.52.22.3661,7361,210,00955.6%
Election of March 200726.215.21.75.214.930.13.82.8690,3131,107,90462.9%
Election of Nov. 200323.517.00.43.722.725.75.62.8692,0261,097,52663.1%
Election of June 199817.622.00.16.521.318.110.93.5823,5651,178,55669.9%

Incumbents defeated

[edit]
Defeated MLAPartyConstituencyNew MLAPartyRef.
Roy Beggs JrUUPEast AntrimDanny DonnellyAlliance[47]
Dolores KellySDLPUpper BannEóin TennysonAlliance[99]
Peter WeirDUPStrangfordNick MathisonAlliance[47]
Pat CatneySDLPLagan ValleyDavid HoneyfordAlliance[47]
Clare BaileyGreen (NI)Belfast SouthKate NichollAlliance[100]
Mervyn StoreyDUPNorth AntrimPatricia O'LynnAlliance[47]
Rosemary BartonUUPFermanagh and South TyroneTom ElliottUUP[47]
Nichola MallonSDLPBelfast NorthNuala McAllisterAlliance[47]
Rachel WoodsGreen (NI)North DownConnie EganAlliance[47]

Aftermath

[edit]
Main article:2024 Northern Ireland Executive formation

Shortly before the final results were announced, O'Neill said: "Today ushers in a new era. Irrespective of religious, political or social backgrounds, my commitment is to make politics work."[101] Donaldson stated that the Executive would not sit unless theNorthern Ireland Protocol was removed. He later announced that he would not take his Assembly seat, which was co-opted byEmma Little-Pengelly,[102] and the DUP would not be nominating aSpeaker until the UK government took "decisive action".[103]

The SDLP responded by accusing the DUP of treating voters with contempt and "mak[ing] our electoral process look like a bad joke".[104] Naomi Long, leader of Alliance, said DUP Assembly Members should not be allowed to claim their salary while they prevented the Assembly from functioning.[105] These disagreements continued apolitical crisis from before the election, prompting Prime MinisterBoris Johnson to visit Northern Ireland to discuss amendments to the Protocol.[106][107]

TheDemocratic Unionist Party (DUP) refused to resume power sharing due to its stance on the protocol.[108][109] In the absence of an executive being formed, a new election should be called. However, the UK government got primary legislation passed three times to extend the deadline. Multiple negotiations with the DUP and the agreement of theWindsor Framework with the EU failed to produce a resolution.

However, on 30 January 2024, the DUP announced that it had accepted a deal (conditional on legislation being passed by the UK government) that saw it agreeing to form an executive. The Assembly first met on 3 February 2024, which sawEmma Little-Pengelly confirmed as Deputy First Minister, andMichelle O'Neill confirmed as First Minister, with a new executive formed the same day.[110][111]

See also

[edit]

Other elections in the UK that were held on the same day:

Footnotes

[edit]
  1. ^O'Neill is the "Party leader in the North" and vice president. Sinn Féin's president isMary Lou McDonald, but she is not a member of the Northern Ireland Assembly, as she isLeader of the Opposition in the neighbouringRepublic of Ireland and sits in thelower house of theOireachtas (the Republic of Ireland's parliament).
  2. ^As "Party leader in the North"
  3. ^People Before Profit has a collective leadership, but for the purposes of registration to the UK Electoral Commission, Eamonn McCann is registered as the party's leader in Northern Ireland.[1]
  4. ^Taylor was suspended from the Greens on 29 April 2022, though his name still appeared on the ballot.[50]
  5. ^Originally elected asAlliance
  6. ^Originally elected asDUP

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[edit]
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