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| Turnout | 47.74% 0.3pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct resultsHochul: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Zeldin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2022 New York gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022 to elect thegovernor andlieutenant governor ofNew York.
In August 2021, Lt. Gov.Kathy Hochul ascended to the governorship after Gov.Andrew Cuomo resigned in the wake ofallegations of sexual harassment. A Democrat, Hochul sought a full term as governor in 2022. Hochul defeatedJumaane Williams andTom Suozzi in the June 28, 2022 Democratic primary for governor. Lt. Gov.Antonio Delgado—who had been appointed lieutenant governor by Hochul earlier in 2022 to fill a vacancy—defeatedAna Maria Archila andDiana Reyna in the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor.
Lee Zeldin ran as theRepublican nominee, having defeatedRob Astorino,Andrew Giuliani, andHarry Wilson in the Republican primary. Zeldin selected Alison Esposito, anNYPD officer, as his running mate. Esposito won unopposed in the primary for lieutenant governor, becoming the first openly gay major party nominee for statewide office in New York. This election was the first New York gubernatorial election in over 80 years not to feature any third-party candidates, although the Working Families Party endorsed Hochul and the Conservative Party endorsed Zeldin.
On Election Day, Hochul won a full term in office. She defeated Zeldin by a margin of 53.1%-46.7% and became the first woman elected to the state's governorship. The election was New York's closest gubernatorial election since1994.
In August 2021, after New York GovernorAndrew Cuomo announced his resignation, then-Lieutenant Governor Kathy Hochul announced that she would run for governor in 2022.[1] Hochul was sworn in as governor of New York on August 24, 2021.[2] Hochul was elected to the position of lieutenant governor in 2014, and was re-elected in 2018; in both elections, she was Cuomo's running mate.[3]
New York Attorney GeneralLetitia James garnered attention for releasing a report on her office's investigation into allegedsexual harassment by Cuomo; the release of this report helped lead to Cuomo's resignation in August 2021.[4] James announced her gubernatorial campaign in October 2021 and was considered a formidable challenger to Hochul.[4]
On November 12, 2021,Newsday reported that Hochul had raised $10 million in campaign donations since taking office as governor.[5] On November 16, 2021, New York City Public AdvocateJumaane Williams, described byCNN as "a progressive favorite from Brooklyn", announced his 2022 gubernatorial bid. Williams had run for lieutenant governor against Hochul in 2018, losing a close race.[6] On November 29, 2021, U.S. Rep.Tom Suozzi of Long Island announced that he was running for governor. According toThe New York Times, Suozzi was known as a "vocal centrist" and announced an intent to bill himself as a "'common-sense Democrat'".[7] Suozzi was considered to have the potential to siphon votes away from Hochul.[8]
In early December, James withdrew her gubernatorial candidacy and chose to seekre-election as attorney general instead.[9] James' withdrawal from the race was seen as a positive development for Hochul, as James had been considered the second-strongest candidate in the race.[8] The exit of James boosted the campaign of Williams, who became the only major candidate fromNew York City and the clear choice for the left wing of the Democratic Party.[8]
On February 17, 2022, at the New York State Democratic Convention, Hochul was selected as the preferred Democratic candidate for governor of New York in 2022. At the convention, Hochul received 85.6% of the weighted vote, while Williams received 12.5%. Neither Williams nor Suozzi received sufficient support to obtain automatic ballot access and force a primary election;[10][11] however, both candidates later gathered sufficient signatures to qualify for the Democratic primary ballot.[12]
On June 28, 2022, Hochul won the Democratic gubernatorial primary with 67.6% of the vote, defeating Williams (19.4%) and Suozzi (13.0%).[13]
| Date | Host | Location | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul | Tom Suozzi | Jumaane Williams | |||||
| June 7, 2022 | CBS New York WCBS Newsradio 880 | New York, New York | Maurice DuBois Marcia Kramer | [89] | P | P | P |
| June 20, 2022 | NBC New York Telemundo 47 | New York, New York | David Ushery | [90] | P | P | P |
Graphical summary
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| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kathy Hochul | Tom Suozzi | Jumaane Williams | Other [b] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[91] | June 6–20, 2022 | June 22, 2022 | 58.5% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 9.0% | Hochul +40.5 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Steven Bellone | Preet Bharara | Alessandra Biaggi | Andrew Cuomo | Bill de Blasio | Thomas DiNapoli | Kathryn Garcia | Kirsten Gillibrand | Kathy Hochul | Letitia James | Sean Patrick Maloney | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Tom Suozzi | Scott Stringer | Jumaane Williams | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[92] | March 20–24, 2022 | 369 (RV) | ± 5.5% | – | – | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 7% | 1% | 14% |
| Emerson College[93] | March 9–10, 2022 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 4% | 9%[d] | 9% |
| Zogby Analytics[94] | January 21–24, 2022 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | – | – | – | 20% | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 13% | 5% | 14% |
| Data for Progress (D)[95][A] | November 16–17, 2021 | 528 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 15% | 3% | – | – | – | 36% | 22% | – | – | 6% | – | 7% | – | 11% |
| – | – | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | 64% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | ||||
| Siena College[96] | October 10–14, 2021 | 419 (RV) | ± 5.4% | – | – | – | 17% | 6% | – | – | – | 31% | 14% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 23% |
| Marist College[97] | October 4–7, 2021 | 389 (RV) | ± 6.9% | – | – | – | 19% | – | – | – | 36% | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | – | 12% |
| co/efficient (R)[98] | August 15–16, 2021 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | – | 26% | – | – | – | 30% | |
| Slingshot Strategies (D)[99] | August 6–7, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 26% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 2% | – | 19% |
| 3% | 6% | 2% | – | 5% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 4% | – | 22% | ||||
| Zogby Analytics[100] | February 3–5, 2021 | 316 (LV) | ± 5.5% | – | – | – | 65% | – | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13% |
| – | – | – | 67% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | 9% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathy Hochul (incumbent) | 607,928 | 67.64% | |
| Democratic | Jumaane Williams | 173,872 | 19.35% | |
| Democratic | Tom Suozzi | 116,972 | 13.01% | |
| Total votes | 898,772 | 100.0% | ||
On April 12, 2022, incumbent lieutenant governorBrian Benjamin resigned from office after being arrested for campaign finance violations.[101] On May 3, 2022, Hochul announced her intent to appoint RepresentativeAntonio Delgado to the position of lieutenant governor.[45][102] He was sworn in on May 25.[103] Delgado ran for lieutenant governor in the June 2022 primary, winning by a large margin.[13]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Antonio Delgado (incumbent) | 522,069 | 60.93% | |
| Democratic | Ana Maria Archila | 213,210 | 24.88% | |
| Democratic | Diana Reyna | 121,589 | 14.19% | |
| Total votes | 856,868 | 100.0% | ||
In June 2020,Lewis County sheriff Mike Carpinelli became the first Republican to enter the race.[119] He was the only announced challenger untilLong Island congressmanLee Zeldin announced his own campaign in April 2021. By the end of April, Zeldin had announced that the Republican Party chairs ofErie County andNiagara County had endorsed his campaign, giving him the necessary 50% of state committee support to gain the Republican nomination.[120][121]Trump administration officialAndrew Giuliani and2014 New York gubernatorial nomineeRob Astorino made campaign announcements the following month.[122][123][124] Contractor and podcast host Derrick Gibson also entered the race.[125]
In June 2021, Zeldin was named the presumed nominee of the New York's Republican Party by state chairmanNick Langworthy after he earned 85 percent of astraw poll vote of county leaders, and was also called the presumptive nominee of theConservative Party by Conservative state chairman Gerard Kassar.[126] As of February 2022, Zeldin had received the endorsements of 59 of New York's 62 county Republican committees.[127]
In February 2022, shortly before the Republican convention, businessmanHarry Wilson announced his candidacy for governor of New York.[128] Wilson stated that he intended to invest $12 million of his own money in the race.[129]
At the Republican convention inNassau County, Zeldin received 85 percent support from the party's voting committee members, with Astorino and Wilson each receiving 7 percent of the vote and Giuliani receiving less than one percent.[130]
On June 28, 2022, the primary election was held. Zeldin prevailed, receiving the most votes in 48 of New York's 62 counties and earning 76% of the vote in his native Suffolk County.[131] Zeldin received 43.6% of the vote, defeating Giuliani (22.9%), Astorino (18.7%), and Wilson (14.8%).[13]
| Date | Host | Location | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Zeldin | Andrew Giuliani | Rob Astorino | Harry Wilson | |||||
| June 13, 2022 | CBS New York | New York, New York | Maurice DuBois Marcia Kramer | Video[175] | P | P | P | P |
| June 20, 2022 | NY1 | New York, New York | Susan Arbetter Errol Louis | Video[176] | P | P | P | P |
| June 21, 2022 | Newsmax | Rochester, New York | Eric Bolling | Video[177] | P | P | P | P |
Graphical summary
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| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Lee Zeldin | Andrew Giuliani | Rob Astorino | Harry Wilson | Other [e] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[178] | June 6–20, 2022 | June 22, 2022 | 32.5% | 20.0% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 24.3% | Zeldin +12.5 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Rob Astorino | Michael Carpinelli | Derrick Gibson | Andrew Giuliani | Harry Wilson | Lee Zeldin | Other | Undecided | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[179] | June 20–22, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 16% | – | – | 28% | 14% | 35% | – | 8% | ||||||
| SurveyUSA[180] | June 15–20, 2022 | 538 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 8% | – | – | 23% | 13% | 25% | – | 31% | ||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[181] | June 16–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | – | – | 17% | 16% | 38% | – | 12% | ||||||
| Emerson College[182] | June 9–10, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 16% | – | – | 13% | 15% | 34% | – | 22% | ||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[183] | May 24–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | – | – | 18% | 13% | 41% | – | 12% | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies[184] | May 18–20, 2022 | 408 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 17% | – | – | 35% | 12% | 25% | – | 11% | ||||||
| May 4, 2022 | Gibson does not qualify for primary ballot | ||||||||||||||||
| Emerson College[185] | May 1–3, 2022 | 192 (LV) | ± 7.0% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 18% | 8% | 26% | 10%[f] | 19% | ||||||
| April 22, 2022 | Carpinelli withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[186] | April 11–12, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 17% | – | – | 15% | 7% | 47% | – | 14% | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies[187] | April 10, 2022 | 267 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 15% | – | – | 29% | 11% | 28% | – | 17% | ||||||
| Emerson College[93] | March 9–10, 2022 | 225 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 17% | 6% | 27% | 8%[g] | 23% | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies[188] | March 3, 2022 | 266 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 21% | 9% | – | 31% | 5% | 23% | – | 12% | ||||||
| Zogby Analytics[94] | January 21–24, 2022 | 243 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 18% | – | 16% | 5% | 33% | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies[189] | January 20–21, 2022 | 251 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 26% | 2% | 28% | 2%[h] | 21% | ||||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Rob Astorino | Andrew Giuliani | Harry Wilson | Lee Zeldin | Undecided | |||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[186] | April 11–12, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 20% | – | 9% | 53% | 18% | |||||||||
| – | – | 13% | 64% | 24% | |||||||||||||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lee Zeldin | 196,874 | 43.62% | |
| Republican | Andrew Giuliani | 103,267 | 22.88% | |
| Republican | Rob Astorino | 84,464 | 18.71% | |
| Republican | Harry Wilson | 66,736 | 14.79% | |
| Total votes | 451,341 | 100.0% | ||
Zeldin selected Alison Esposito, anNYPD officer, as his running mate, and she won unopposed in the primary. Esposito is the first openly gay major party nominee for statewide office in New York.[190]
At the 2022Conservative Party convention, the party endorsedCongressmanLee Zeldin for governor andNYPD deputy inspector Alison Esposito forlieutenant governor.[192]
On February 8, 2022, theWorking Families Party endorsedNew York City Public AdvocateJumaane Williams for the governorship.[194] On February 28, 2022, the party announced that its preferred candidate forlieutenant governor was activistAna Maria Archila.[195]
Following Hochul and Delgado's respective wins in the Democratic gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial primary, the party filed to put the two Democratic nominees on the Working Families ballot line.[196]
In an unprecedented decision, theNew York State Board of Elections rejected all petitions for non-qualified party ballot access in July 2022.[198] Among the parties who submitted rejected petitions:
On February 16, 2022,Larry Sharpe, theLibertarian Party's candidate for governor of New York in2018, officially announced his campaign to run for governor of New York onKennedy.[195] He received his party's nomination at the convention inAlbany on February 19, 2022.[199] In July 2022, theNew York State Board of Elections disqualified Sharpe for not meeting the qualifications for ballot access.[198]
On April 25, 2022,Howie Hawkins, who had run for numerous elected offices including Governor of New York, launched his campaign.[204] In July 2022, theNew York State Board of Elections disqualified Hawkins for not meeting the qualifications for ballot access.[198]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[209] | Solid D | August 26, 2022 |
| RealClearPolitics[210] | Tossup | October 15, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[211] | Likely D | October 19, 2022 |
| The Cook Political Report[212] | Likely D | October 28, 2022 |
| Fox News[213] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[214] | Likely D | November 3, 2022 |
| Politico[215] | Lean D | November 4, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[216] | Safe D | November 7, 2022 |
| No. | Date | Host | Location | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||
| Lee Zeldin | Kathy Hochul | ||||||
| 1 | Oct. 25, 2022 | Spectrum News | Pace University Manhattan, New York | Errol Louis Susan Arbetter | [276] | P | P |
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kathy Hochul (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Undecided [i] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[277] | October 26–31, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 52.0% | 45.0% | 3.0% | Hochul +7.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[278] | October 20 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 51.7% | 43.9% | 4.4% | Hochul +7.8 |
| Average | 51.8% | 44.5% | 3.7% | Hochul +7.4 | ||
| This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co.[279] | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 41% | – | 11% | ||
| ActiVote (D)[280] | August 8 – November 6, 2022 | 260 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 55% | 45% | – | – | ||
| Patriot Polling[281] | October 31 – November 3, 2022 | 826 (RV) | – | 49% | 44% | – | 7% | ||
| Emerson College[282][B] | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 44% | 1%[j] | 3% | ||
| 54% | 45% | 2%[k] | – | ||||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[283] | October 27–31, 2022 | 1,198 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 48% | – | 4% | ||
| KAConsulting (R)[284][C] | October 27–29, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | 3%[l] | 5% | ||
| Data for Progress (D)[285] | October 26–28, 2022 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 42% | – | 4% | ||
| Slingshot Strategies (D)[286] | October 25–26, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 42% | – | 10% | ||
| Civiqs[287] | October 22–25, 2022 | 593 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 54% | 43% | 2%[m] | 2% | ||
| Emerson College[282][B] | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 44% | 2%[n] | 4% | ||
| 52% | 44% | 4%[o] | – | ||||||
| Bold Decision[288] | October 16–20, 2022 | 1,204 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 37% | – | 12% | ||
| co/efficient (R)[289] | October 18–19, 2022 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 46% | – | 9% | ||
| SurveyUSA[290] | October 14–18, 2022 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 47% | 41% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Quinnipiac University[291] | October 12–16, 2022 | 1,617 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 46% | 1%[p] | 2% | ||
| Siena College[292] | October 12–14, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 41% | 1%[q] | 6% | ||
| Marist College[293] | October 3–6, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 44% | 1%[r] | 3% | ||
| 1,117 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 1%[s] | 7% | ||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[294] | September 30 – October 3, 2022 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 43% | 3%[t] | 10% | ||
| Siena College[295] | September 16–25, 2022 | 655 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 37% | 2%[u] | 7% | ||
| Data for Progress (D)[296] | September 9–13, 2022 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 39% | – | 9% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[297][D] | September 8–9, 2022 | 510 (LV) | – | 54% | 39% | – | 7% | ||
| co/efficient (R)[298] | September 5–7, 2022 | 1,194 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% | ||
| Emerson College[299] | September 4–6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 35% | 6%[v] | 9% | ||
| The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)[300] | August 31 – September 1, 2022 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 43% | 2%[w] | 7% | ||
| SurveyUSA[301] | August 17–21, 2022 | 715 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 31% | – | 14% | ||
| Emerson College[302] | July 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 35% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Siena College[303] | July 24–28, 2022 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 39% | 0% | 7% | ||
| July 7, 2022 | Sharpe is disqualified from the ballot | ||||||||
| SurveyUSA[304] | June 15–20, 2022 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 28% | – | 20% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies[305] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 32% | 6%[x] | 10% | ||
| 54% | 36% | – | 10% | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies[306] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 34% | 3%[y] | 14% | ||
| Data for Progress (D)[307] | March 30 – April 4, 2022 | 947 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 36% | – | 13% | ||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[308] | March 9–11, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 46% | – | 11% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies[309] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 33% | 6%[z] | 14% | ||
| 50% | 35% | – | 15% | ||||||
| Zogby Analytics[94] | January 21–24, 2022 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 27% | 6%[aa] | 23% | ||
| John Zogby Strategies[310] | January 20–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 29% | 6%[ab] | 15% | ||
| 51% | 33% | – | 16% | ||||||
Kathy Hochul vs. Rob Astorino
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Rob Astorino (R) | Larry Sharpe (L) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[304] | June 15–20, 2022 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 55% | 28% | – | 17% |
| John Zogby Strategies[305] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 35% | – | 11% |
| John Zogby Strategies[306] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 34% | – | 16% |
| John Zogby Strategies[309] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 35% | – | 16% |
| Zogby Analytics[94] | January 21–24, 2022 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 27% | 6% | 22% |
Kathy Hochul vs. Andrew Giuliani
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Andrew Giuliani (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[304] | June 15–20, 2022 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 56% | 30% | 15% |
| John Zogby Strategies[305] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 35% | 11% |
| John Zogby Strategies[309] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 33% | 15% |
Kathy Hochul vs. Harry Wilson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Harry Wilson (R) | Larry Sharpe (L) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[304] | June 15–20, 2022 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 54% | 29% | – | 17% |
| John Zogby Strategies[305] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 32% | 5% | 12% |
| 53% | 36% | – | 11% | ||||
| John Zogby Strategies[306] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 30% | 4% | 16% |
| 51% | 32% | – | 17% | ||||
| John Zogby Strategies[309] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 34% | – | 16% |
Tom Suozzi vs. Harry Wilson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Tom Suozzi (D) | Harry Wilson (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[305] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 34% | 17% |
| John Zogby Strategies[306] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 31% | 24% |
| John Zogby Strategies[309] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 32% | 25% |
Tom Suozzi vs. Lee Zeldin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Tom Suozzi (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[305] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
| John Zogby Strategies[309] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 34% | 23% |
Jumaane Williams vs. Rob Astorino
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Jumaane Williams (D) | Rob Astorino (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[305] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 36% | 17% |
| John Zogby Strategies[306] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 33% | 24% |
| John Zogby Strategies[309] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 35% | 22% |
Jumaane Williams vs. Andrew Giuliani
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Jumaane Williams (D) | Andrew Giuliani (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[305] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| John Zogby Strategies[306] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 35% | 20% |
| John Zogby Strategies[309] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 33% | 22% |
Jumaane Williams vs. Harry Wilson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Jumaane Williams (D) | Harry Wilson (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[305] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 37% | 18% |
| John Zogby Strategies[306] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 34% | 25% |
| John Zogby Strategies[309] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 34% | 24% |
Jumaane Williams vs. Lee Zeldin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Jumaane Williams (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[305] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 37% | 16% |
| John Zogby Strategies[306] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 36% | 21% |
| John Zogby Strategies[309] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 36% | 22% |
Andrew Cuomo vs. Rob Astorino
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Andrew Cuomo (D) | Rob Astorino (R) | Larry Sharpe (L) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics[94] | January 21–24, 2022 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 31% | 7% | 28% |
Andrew Cuomo vs. Elise Stefanik
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Andrew Cuomo (D) | Elise Stefanik (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics[100] | February 3–5, 2021 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Andrew Cuomo vs. Lee Zeldin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Andrew Cuomo (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Larry Sharpe (L) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group (R)[311] | October 27–31, 2022 | 1198 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
| Data for Progress (D)[307] | March 30 – April 4, 2022 | 947 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 41% | – | 15% |
| Zogby Analytics[94] | January 21–24, 2022 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 31% | 7% | 28% |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez vs. Elise Stefanik
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) | Elise Stefanik (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics[100] | February 3–5, 2021 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Andrew Cuomo vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Andrew Cuomo (D) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[312] | May 16–20, 2021 | 793 (RV) | ± 4% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
Letitia James vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Letitia James (D) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[312] | May 16–20, 2021 | 793 (RV) | ± 4% | 46% | 29% | 25% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[312] | May 16–20, 2021 | 793 (RV) | ± 4% | 55% | 29% | 16% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican with Andrew Cuomo as an independent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Andrew Cuomo (I) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[185] | May 1–3, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 33% | 33% | 16% | 18% |
| Emerson College[93] | March 9–10, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 33% | 12% | 17% |
Kathy Hochul vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[313] | June 7–13, 2022 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Siena College[314] | April 18–21, 2022 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
| Siena College[92] | March 20–24, 2022 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| Siena College[315] | February 14–17, 2022 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Antonio Delgado vs. Alison Esposito[E]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Antonio Delgado (D) | Alison Esposito (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D)[285] | October 26–28, 2022 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Swing by county
Trend by county| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |
| 2,879,092 | 48.70% | −7.39% | |
| Working Families |
| 261,323 | 4.42% | +2.54% | |
| Total |
| 3,140,415 | 53.12% | −6.43% | |
| Republican |
| 2,449,394 | 41.43% | +9.87% | |
| Conservative |
| 313,187 | 5.30% | +1.14% | |
| Total |
| 2,762,581 | 46.73% | +10.57% | |
| Write-in | 9,290 | 0.16% | +0.04% | ||
| Total votes | 5,912,286 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratichold | |||||
By county | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
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| 2022 gubernatorial election in New York City | Manhattan | The Bronx | Brooklyn | Queens | Staten Island | Total | |||
| Democratic- Working Families | Kathy Hochul | 372,149 | 155,564 | 402,114 | 277,280 | 47,135 | 1,254,242 | 69.8% | |
| 82.3% | 77.6% | 71.1% | 63.4% | 33.4% | |||||
| Republican- Conservative | Lee Zeldin | 80,159 | 44,948 | 163,430 | 160,279 | 93,818 | 542,634 | 30.2% | |
| 17.7% | 22.4% | 28.9% | 36.6% | 66.6% | |||||
Hochul won 42 of 51 city council districts, while Zeldin won 9 of 51 city council districts, including three held by Democrats.[317][318]
| District | Hochul | Zeldin | City-Council member |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 76.7% | 23.2% | Christopher Marte |
| 2nd | 83.0% | 16.8% | Carlina Rivera |
| 3rd | 84.0% | 15.8% | Erik Bottcher |
| 4th | 73.1% | 26.7% | Keith Powers |
| 5th | 77.2% | 22.7% | Julie Menin |
| 6th | 85.1% | 14.8% | Gale Brewer |
| 7th | 88.6% | 11.2% | Shaun Abreu |
| 8th | 84.8% | 15.1% | Diana Ayala |
| 9th | 92.9% | 6.9% | Kristin Richardson Jordan |
| 10th | 82.2% | 17.7% | Carmen De La Rosa |
| 11th | 74.4% | 25.5% | Eric Dinowitz |
| 12th | 90.3% | 9.7% | Kevin Riley |
| 13th | 53.1% | 46.9% | Marjorie Velázquez |
| 14th | 78.3% | 21.7% | Pierina Sanchez |
| 15th | 80.7% | 19.2% | Oswald Feliz |
| 16th | 84.8% | 15.2% | Althea Stevens |
| 17th | 83.1% | 16.8% | Rafael Salamanca |
| 18th | 86.7% | 12.6% | Amanda Farías |
| 19th | 43.0% | 57.0% | Vickie Paladino |
| 20th | 50.1% | 49.9% | Sandra Ung |
| 21st | 70.1% | 29.9% | Francisco Moya |
| 22nd | 70.9% | 29.0% | Tiffany Cabán |
| 23rd | 59.4% | 40.6% | Linda Lee |
| 24th | 56.0% | 44.0% | James F. Gennaro |
| 25th | 66.6% | 33.3% | Shekar Krishnan |
| 26th | 75.9% | 24.0% | Julie Won |
| 27th | 91.2% | 8.8% | Nantasha Williams |
| 28th | 81.7% | 18.3% | Adrienne Adams |
| 29th | 60.3% | 39.6% | Lynn Schulman |
| 30th | 42.0% | 58.0% | Robert Holden |
| 31st | 82.2% | 17.8% | Selvena Brooks-Powers |
| 32nd | 41.6% | 58.4% | Joann Ariola |
| 33rd | 74.3% | 25.6% | Lincoln Restler |
| 34th | 84.8% | 15.2% | Jennifer Gutiérrez |
| 35th | 90.0% | 9.9% | Crystal Hudson |
| 36th | 94.2% | 5.6% | Chi Ossé |
| 37th | 84.9% | 15.1% | Sandy Nurse |
| 38th | 69.8% | 30.1% | Alexa Avilés |
| 39th | 83.0% | 16.9% | Shahana Hanif |
| 40th | 91.0% | 8.9% | Rita Joseph |
| 41st | 92.1% | 7.9% | Darlene Mealy |
| 42nd | 91.7% | 8.3% | Charles Barron |
| 43rd | 47.5% | 52.4% | Justin Brannan |
| 44th | 15.2% | 84.8% | Kalman Yeger |
| 45th | 76.2% | 23.8% | Farah Louis |
| 46th | 65.3% | 34.7% | Mercedes Narcisse |
| 47th | 36.7% | 63.3% | Ari Kagan |
| 48th | 26.7% | 73.2% | Inna Vernikov |
| 49th | 58.9% | 41.1% | Kamillah Hanks |
| 50th | 29.7% | 70.3% | Steven Matteo |
| 51st | 19.3% | 80.6% | Joe Borelli |
Hochul won 14 of 26 congressional districts, with the remaining 12 going to Zeldin, including one that elected a Democrat.[319]
| District | Hochul | Zeldin | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 43% | 57% | Lee Zeldin (117th Congress) |
| Nick LaLota (118th Congress) | |||
| 2nd | 39% | 61% | Andrew Garbarino |
| 3rd | 44% | 56% | Tom Suozzi (117th Congress) |
| George Santos (118th Congress) | |||
| 4th | 47% | 53% | Kathleen Rice (117th Congress) |
| Anthony D'Esposito (118th Congress) | |||
| 5th | 73% | 27% | Gregory Meeks |
| 6th | 55% | 45% | Grace Meng |
| 7th | 76% | 24% | Nydia Velázquez |
| 8th | 69% | 30% | Hakeem Jeffries |
| 9th | 68% | 32% | Yvette Clarke |
| 10th | 81% | 19% | Jerry Nadler (117th Congress) |
| Dan Goldman (118th Congress) | |||
| 11th | 36% | 64% | Nicole Malliotakis |
| 12th | 80% | 20% | Carolyn Maloney (117th Congress) |
| Jerry Nadler (118th Congress) | |||
| 13th | 86% | 14% | Adriano Espaillat |
| 14th | 70% | 30% | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
| 15th | 80% | 20% | Ritchie Torres |
| 16th | 64% | 36% | Jamaal Bowman |
| 17th | 48% | 52% | Mondaire Jones (117th Congress) |
| Mike Lawler (118th Congress) | |||
| 18th | 49% | 51% | Sean Patrick Maloney (117th Congress) |
| Pat Ryan (118th Congress) | |||
| 19th | 47% | 53% | Pat Ryan (117th Congress) |
| Marc Molinaro (118th Congress) | |||
| 20th | 53% | 47% | Paul Tonko |
| 21st | 36% | 64% | Elise Stefanik |
| 22nd | 47% | 53% | Claudia Tenney (117th Congress) |
| Brandon Williams (118th Congress) | |||
| 23rd | 36% | 64% | Joe Sempolinski (117th Congress) |
| Nick Langworthy (118th Congress) | |||
| 24th | 34% | 66% | John Katko (117th Congress) |
| Claudia Tenney (118th Congress) | |||
| 25th | 53% | 47% | Joe Morelle |
| 26th | 57% | 43% | Brian Higgins |
In 2022, New York was a solidly Democratic state where Republicans had not won a statewide election since the2002 election for governor of New York. The main focus of the election was crime.[320] Zeldin accused Hochul of being weak on crime, promising to declare a statewide crime emergency and to repeal cashless bail,[321] while Hochul attacked him for his ties to former presidentDonald Trump and to theanti-abortion movement.[322]
In October, theAssociated Press stated that Zeldin's focus on crime was persuasive and was making the race closer; however, Hochul was still favored to prevail.[320] Hochul's campaign ramped up in the final weeks in an effort to prevent an upset loss. She pivoted her messaging to focus more on crime.[323] She also reached out to theWorking Families Party and campaigned with Democrats such asHillary Clinton.[324]
On Election Day, Hochul won a full term in office, defeating Zeldin by a margin of 53.1%–46.7%[316] and becoming the first woman elected to the state's governorship.[325] The election was New York's closest gubernatorial election since 1994, and the closest Democratic win since 1982.[326] Hochul was criticized for prevailing "by single digits and only after some of the biggest names in the Democratic Party traveled to New York in the election's final days to help her".[327] Former U.S. House SpeakerNancy Pelosi blamed Hochul's lack of coattails for Democrats' poor showing in U.S. House races in New York in 2022 and, by extension, for contributing to the Democrats' loss of control of the U.S. House of Representatives. Specifically, Pelosi said that Hochul "'didn't realize soon enough where the trouble was'".[328] Hochul disagreed with this criticism, stating that "'no governor in the history of the state of New York has worked harder to elect members of Congress'" than she had.[329]
Despite his loss, Zeldin's performance helped Republicans to flip four congressional seats in New York, contributing to the GOP's majority in the House of Representatives. Due to his overperformance, Zeldin was considered to be a potential challenger toRonna McDaniel as chair of theRepublican National Committee;[330] however, he later declined to challenge McDaniel.[331]
This election was the first New York gubernatorial election in over 80 years not to feature any third-party candidates, although the Working Families Party endorsed Hochul and the Conservative Party endorsed Zeldin.[198]
Hochul won thecity of New York with 69.8% to 30.2%, the latter being the highest vote percentage for a Republican since 2002. Zeldin carried voters outside New York City by a 54.1–45.9% margin and carriedUpstate New York by a 54.6%–45.4% margin. Zeldin received the most votes for a Republican since 1970. Exit polls from Fox News Voter Analysis showed that Zeldin won White voters (54%–46%), while Hochul won African Americans (82%–17%), Latinos (64%–35%) (including Puerto Rican Americans (66%–33%)), and other minorities (58%–41%).[332][failed verification]
Partisan clients
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