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2022 Michigan Secretary of State election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2022 Michigan Secretary of State election

← 2018
November 8, 2022
2026 →
 
NomineeJocelyn BensonKristina Karamo
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote2,467,8591,852,510
Percentage55.86%41.93%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Benson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Karamo:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     

Secretary of State before election

Jocelyn Benson
Democratic

ElectedSecretary of State

Jocelyn Benson
Democratic

Elections in Michigan
U.S. President
Presidential Primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Other localities

The2022 Michigan Secretary of State election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect theSecretary of State of Michigan. IncumbentDemocratJocelyn Benson decisively won reelection to a second term, defeatingRepublicanKristina Karamo by a 14 percentage point margin.

Michigan does not hold partisan primaries for statewide offices other thangovernor. Instead, the state parties hold conventions in August to nominate candidates for the general election. Party nomination conventions were held on April 9 for theMichigan Democratic Party and April 23 for theMichigan Republican Party.[1][2]

Some analysts originally predicted for the race to be competitive, especially during the final days, but Benson's performance seemingly outperformed the polls following the election. The results held the largest margin in the2022 state elections, as well as the worst performance by Republican candidate in theSecretary of State election since1990. It was also the first time since 1990 that a Democratic candidate won re-election.

Background

[edit]

The position ofSecretary of State of Michigan is responsible for overseeing elections in the state.[3] Benson, a Democrat, was first elected to the position in2018. She received national attention in her position followingJoe Biden's victory in the state in the2020 presidential election.Donald Trump's campaign contested Biden's victory in Michigan and filed a lawsuit over the counting of absentee ballots.[4]

The race for Michigan Secretary of State in 2022 received national attention over its potential impact on how the state would oversee the2024 presidential election there.[5]

Democratic convention

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jocelyn Benson

Labor unions

Political parties

Republican convention

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated at convention

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Kristina Karamo

Executive officials

State officials

Organizations

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19]Leans DNovember 3, 2022
Elections Daily[20]Likely DNovember 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Jocelyn Benson (D)

Executive officials

U.S. Representatives

Organizations

Newspapers

Kristina Karamo (R)

Organizations

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jocelyn
Benson (D)
Kristina
Karamo (R)
OtherUndecided
Cygnal (R)[28]November 1–4, 20221,603 (LV)± 2.5%49%44%2%[b]6%
Mitchell Research[29]November 3, 2022658 (LV)± 3.8%51%40%2%[c]7%
Cygnal (R)[30]October 31 – November 2, 20221,754 (LV)± 2.3%49%42%3%[d]6%
EPIC-MRA[31]October 28 – November 1, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%41%3%[e]6%
Cygnal (R)[32]October 27–31, 20221,584 (LV)± 2.5%50%40%3%[f]7%
Cygnal (R)[33]October 25–29, 20221,543 (LV)± 2.5%50%39%3%[g]8%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[34]October 26–28, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%49%39%5%7%
Cygnal (R)[35]October 23–27, 20221,822 (LV)± 2.3%49%41%3%[h]8%
Cygnal (R)[36]October 21–25, 20221,378 (LV)± 2.6%50%40%3%[i]8%
Cygnal (R)[37]October 19–23, 20221,459 (LV)± 2.6%48%41%3%[j]8%
Cygnal (R)[38]October 17–21, 20221,904 (LV)± 2.3%49%39%3%[k]9%
Mitchell Research[39]October 19, 2022541 (LV)± 4.2%49%40%2%[l]9%
Cygnal (R)[40]October 15–19, 20221,793 (LV)± 2.3%48%40%4%[m]9%
CNN/SSRS[41]October 13–18, 2022901 (RV)± 4.2%54%41%5%[n]1%
651 (LV)± 4.9%51%47%1%[o]
Cygnal (R)[42][A]October 12–14, 2022640 (LV)± 3.9%48%42%3%[p]7%
EPIC-MRA[43]October 6–12, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%47%37%4%[q]12%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[44]September 26–29, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%47%29%8%[r]14%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[45]September 24–28, 20221,075 (LV)± 2.9%50%45%4%[s]2%
EPIC-MRA[46][B]September 15–19, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%51%37%12%
EPIC-MRA[47][C]September 7–13, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%48%40%7%[t]5%
EPIC-MRA[48]August 18–23, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%44%38%18%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[49]July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%46%39%15%
Target Insyght[50]May 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%56%23%22%
EPIC-MRA[51]May 11–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%47%38%15%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[52]January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%46%32%22%

Results

[edit]
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
2022 Michigan Secretary of State election[53]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticJocelyn Benson (incumbent)2,467,85955.86%+2.96%
RepublicanKristina Karamo1,852,51041.93%−2.05%
LibertarianGregory Scott Stempfle52,9821.20%−0.76%
ConstitutionChristine Schwartz27,9370.63%−0.54%
GreenLarry James Hutchinson Jr.16,6150.38%N/A
Total votes4,417,903100.00%
Democratichold

By congressional district

[edit]

Benson won nine of 13 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.[54]

DistrictBensonKaramoRepresentative
1st44%53%Jack Bergman
2nd42%56%John Moolenaar
3rd57%41%Peter Meijer (117th Congress)
Hillary Scholten (118th Congress)
4th51%47%Bill Huizenga
5th42%56%Tim Walberg
6th68%30%Debbie Dingell
7th55%42%Elissa Slotkin
8th56%41%Dan Kildee
9th43%54%Lisa McClain
10th58%40%John James
11th66%32%Haley Stevens
12th76%22%Rashida Tlaib
13th77%21%Shri Thanedar

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^"Third party candidate" with 2%
  3. ^"Another candidate" with 2%
  4. ^"Third party candidate" with 3%
  5. ^Hutchinson (G) with 1%; Schwartz (UTP) with 1%; Stempfle (L) with 1%
  6. ^"Third party candidate" with 3%
  7. ^"Third party candidate" with 3%
  8. ^"Third party candidate" with 3%
  9. ^"Third party candidate" with 3%
  10. ^"Third party candidate" with 3%
  11. ^"Third party candidate" with 3%
  12. ^"Another candidate" with 2%
  13. ^"Third party candidate" with 4%
  14. ^"Neither" with 3%; "Other with 2%
  15. ^"Neither" with 1%
  16. ^"Third party candidate" with 3%
  17. ^Stempfle (L) with 2%; Schwartz (UTP) with 1%; Hutchinson (G) with 1%
  18. ^Stempfle with 4%; Hutchinson Jr. with 3%; Schwartz with 1%
  19. ^Stempfle (L) and "Other" with 2%
  20. ^"Third party candidate" with 7%
  1. ^This poll was sponsored by theMichigan Association of Broadcasters
  2. ^Poll conducted forWJRT-TV and theDetroit Free Press.
  3. ^Poll conducted for MIRS, Governmental Consultant Services Inc., and the Life Insurance Association of Michigan.

References

[edit]
  1. ^"2022 Election Dates Booklet"(PDF).Michigan Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 22, 2021.
  2. ^Mauger, Craig (August 16, 2021)."Michigan GOP sets early convention, declines vote by hand count".The Detroit News. RetrievedDecember 22, 2021.
  3. ^About the Michigan Department of State (Michigan.gov)
  4. ^"Michigan judge dismisses Trump campaign lawsuit over absentee ballots".PBS NewsHour. November 5, 2020. RetrievedJune 5, 2022.
  5. ^McQuade, Barbara (May 12, 2022)."Opinion | The Most Pivotal Elections in 2022 Are Not the Ones You Think".The New York Times.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedJune 5, 2022.
  6. ^"2022 People Endorsements".AFSCME Council 25. June 8, 2022.
  7. ^Sutton, Dana (January 25, 2022)."AFT Michigan Endorses Whitmer, Benson and Nessel in 2022 Midterms".AFT Michigan. RetrievedMay 8, 2022.
  8. ^"UAW ENDORSES GRETCHEN WHITMER FOR REELECTION AS GOVERNOR OF MICHIGAN – LT. GOV. GILCHREST, A.G. NESSEL AND S.O.S. BENSON ALSO GET NOD".UAW. May 6, 2022. RetrievedMay 8, 2022.
  9. ^White, Rose (April 9, 2022)."Jocelyn Benson, Dana Nessel, others snag endorsements from the Michigan Democratic Party".www.mlive.com. RetrievedApril 13, 2022.
  10. ^Barrett, Malachi (May 13, 2021)."Republican who challenged Michigan election results now running for Secretary of State".www.mlive.com. RetrievedJanuary 6, 2022.
  11. ^"Chesterfield Township Clerk Cindy Berry joins race for Michigan secretary of state".www.voicenews.com. October 25, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2022.
  12. ^Mauger, Craig (October 4, 2021)."Michigan GOP lawmaker announces secretary of state campaign".www.detroitnews.com.The Detroit News. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2022.
  13. ^Mauger, Craig (September 7, 2021)."Donald Trump backs Michigan election critic for secretary of state".www.detroitnews.com.The Detroit News. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2022.
  14. ^Mathews, Jessica (September 17, 2021)."No SOS Run For State Representative Ann Bollin".www.whmi.com.WHMI-FM. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2022.
  15. ^King, Jon (September 24, 2021)."Reckling Considering Run For Michigan Secretary Of State".www.whmi.com.WHMI-FM. RetrievedJanuary 12, 2022.
  16. ^Cavitt, Mark (September 9, 2021)."Donald Trump endorses Oak Park's Kristina Karamo for secretary of state".www.thenewsherald.com.The News-Herald. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2022.
  17. ^Burr, Alyssa (April 11, 2022)."Karamo secures former secretary of state's endorsement as GOP convention nears".www.mlive.com. RetrievedApril 13, 2022.
  18. ^Parks, Miles (April 25, 2022)."Michigan GOP moves forward with 2020 election-denying secretary of state and AG".Georgia Public Broadcasting.
  19. ^"Secretary of State and Attorney General: What to Watch for Next Week in Key Statewide Contests".Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2022. RetrievedNovember 3, 2022.
  20. ^Solomon, Zack (November 7, 2022)."Elections Daily Secretary of State Ratings".Elections Daily. RetrievedNovember 29, 2022.
  21. ^"Obama to stump in key races".Politico. October 15, 2022.
  22. ^Montellaro, Zach."Kinzinger endorses Dems in major governor, secretary of state races".POLITICO. RetrievedOctober 11, 2022.
  23. ^"Human Rights Campaign Endorses Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson for Reelection".Human Rights Campaign. August 26, 2022. RetrievedNovember 29, 2022.
  24. ^Saccone, Mike (July 12, 2022)."National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Whitmer, Nessel, Benson for Re-Election".National Wildlife Federation.
  25. ^"Here are all Detroit Free Press endorsements for 2022 general election".Detroit Free Press. October 19, 2022. Archived fromthe original on October 19, 2022. RetrievedOctober 20, 2022.
  26. ^"From the Daily: Endorsements for the 2022 Michigan midterms". November 2022.
  27. ^"Candidates - America First Secretary of State Coalition".americafirstsos.com. November 26, 2018. Archived from the original on September 13, 2022. RetrievedJune 5, 2022.
  28. ^Cygnal (R)
  29. ^Mitchell Research
  30. ^Cygnal (R)
  31. ^EPIC-MRA
  32. ^Cygnal (R)
  33. ^Cygnal (R)
  34. ^The Glengariff Group, Inc.
  35. ^Cygnal (R)
  36. ^Cygnal (R)
  37. ^Cygnal (R)
  38. ^Cygnal (R)
  39. ^Mitchell Research
  40. ^Cygnal (R)
  41. ^CNN/SSRS
  42. ^Cygnal (R)
  43. ^EPIC-MRA
  44. ^The Glengariff Group, Inc.
  45. ^The Trafalgar Group (R)
  46. ^EPIC-MRA
  47. ^EPIC-MRA
  48. ^EPIC-MRA
  49. ^The Glengariff Group, Inc.
  50. ^Target Insyght
  51. ^EPIC-MRA
  52. ^The Glengariff Group, Inc.
  53. ^"2022 Michigan Election Results".Michigan Election Results.
  54. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedNovember 6, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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