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The2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect thegovernor of Connecticut . IncumbentDemocratic governorNed Lamont ran for re-election to a second term in office.[ 2] The race simultaneously took place with theelection to the state'sClass III Senate seat . This election featured a rematch of the previous2018 gubernatorial election , pitting Lamont againstRepublican Bob Stefanowski , whom he previously defeated by 3.2% of the vote.[ 3] This time Lamont won re-election by a wider margin, becoming the first Democrat to win a gubernatorial election by more than 5 points in the state since1986 .
This was the first time thatTolland County voted Democratic in a gubernatorial election since1994 ,Darien since1912 ,Wilton since1884 , andNew Canaan since1882 .
Democratic convention [ edit ] Lieutenant governor [ edit ] Republican convention [ edit ] Eliminated at convention [ edit ] Lieutenant governor [ edit ] Third-party candidates and independent candidates [ edit ] Aaron Lewis, founder of The Scribe's InstituteRunning mate: Kevin Skulczyck Michelle Louise Bicking, clinical social worker[ 11] Running mate: Cassandra Martineau, social justice activist[ 11] Independent Party of Connecticut [ edit ] In 2022, the Independent Party nominated its own candidate for governor for the first time ever. In every previous gubernatorial election since its creation, the party had always cross-endorsed the Republican nominee.[ 12]
Rob Hotaling, technology and business leader[ 13] Running mate: Dr. Stewart “Chip” Beckett, veterinarian, former chairman Capitol Region Council of Governments, Chairman Glastonbury Town Council Working Families Party [ edit ] TheWorking Families Party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an additional ballot line.[ 14] Official designee
Griebel-Frank for CT Party [ edit ] The Griebel-Frank for CT Party, which secured 54,741 votes in the 2018 election and is now affiliated with theForward Party , gained a ballot line for 2022. In September 2022, the party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an unprecedented three ballot lines for the election.[ 15] Official designee
Ned Lamont (D)
State officials
Local officials
Political parties
Labor unions
Bob Stefanowski (R)
State officials
Organizations
Connecticut Chapter of the Fraternal Order of Police[ 34] Political parties
Newspapers
Campaign finance reports as of January 10, 2023 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Ned Lamont (D) $25,518,245 $26,087,401 $355,916 Bob Stefanowski (R) $12,902,700 $14,498,162 $17,840 Source: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission[ 36]
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Ned Lamont (D) Bob Stefanowski (R) Other[ a] Margin Real Clear Politics [ 37] September 7–21, 2022 September 28, 2022 53.7% 39.3% 7.0% Lamont +14.4 FiveThirtyEight [ 38] May 11 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 52.9% 38.5% 8.6% Lamont +14.4 270ToWin [ 39] October 16–25, 2022 November 8, 2022 51.5% 39.0% 9.5% Lamont +12.5 Average 52.7% 38.9% 8.4% Lamont +13.8
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Ned Lamont (D) Bob Stefanowski (R) Other Undecided Long Island University [ 40] October 24–26, 2022 1,004 (A) ± 3.0% 55% 24% 8%[ c] 13% McLaughlin & Associates (R)[ 41] [ A] October 23–24, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 43% 4%[ d] 4% 50% 46% – 4% Quinnipiac University [ 42] October 19–23, 2022 1,879 (LV) ± 2.3% 56% 41% 2%[ e] 1% Emerson College [ 43] October 19–21, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 41% 2%[ f] 5% 53% 43% 4%[ g] – SurveyUSA [ 44] October 15–18, 2022 718 (LV) – 52% 34% 4%[ h] 10% Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)[ 45] [ B] October 10–13, 2022 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 46% 40% 5%[ i] 10% 50% 43% – 7% Western New England University [ 46] September 15–21, 2022 766 (RV) ± 3.2% 51% 38% 2%[ j] 8% 626 (LV) ± 4.8% 55% 40% 2%[ k] 3% Quinnipiac University [ 42] September 15–19, 2022 1,911 (LV) ± 2.2% 57% 40% 1%[ l] 2% Emerson College [ 47] September 7–9, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 38% 4% 9% Quinnipiac University [ 48] May 19–23, 2022 1,660 (RV) ± 2.4% 51% 43% <1%[ m] 6% Emerson College [ 49] May 10–11, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 38% – 12% Sacred Heart University [ 50] March 24 – April 11, 2022 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 48% 30% 0% 22% Public Policy Polling (D)[ 51] [ C] October 21–22, 2021 729 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 36% – 12%
Hypothetical polling
Ned Lamont vs. Themis Klarides
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Ned Lamont (D) Themis Klarides (R) Undecided Public Policy Polling (D)[ 51] [ C] October 21–22, 2021 729 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 32% 16%
Ned Lamont vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Ned Lamont (D) Generic Opponent Undecided Public Policy Polling (D)[ 51] [ C] October 21–22, 2021 729 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 41% 9%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Generic Democrat Generic Republican Other Undecided Fabrizo Lee (R)[ 52] [ B] October 10–13, 2022 1,200 (LV) – 46% 42% 1%[ n] 11%
2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election[ 53] [ 54] Party Candidate Votes % ±% Democratic Ned Lamont 691,146 54.47% +6.37% Working Families Ned Lamont 16,175 1.27% +0.00% Griebel-Frank for CT Party Ned Lamont 2,865 0.23% −3.66% Total Ned Lamont (incumbent)710,186 55.97% +6.60% Republican Bob Stefanowski 546,209 43.05% −3.16% Independent Party Robert Hotaling 12,400 0.98% −0.82% Green Michelle Louise Bicking (write-in) 98 0.00% N/A Total votes 1,268,893 100.0% Turnout 1,292,847 57.57% Registered electors 2,245,844 Democratic hold
Lamont won six out of all eight counties, while Stefanowski only won two.[ 55]
County Ned Lamont Democratic Bob Stefanowski Republican Other parties Independent Total votes cast # % # % # % Fairfield 185,900 58.8% 128,434 40.6% 2,056 0.6% 316,390 Hartford 185,124 59.6% 121,948 39.3% 3,313 1.1% 310,385 Litchfield 36,591 44.8% 44,282 54.2% 858 1.0% 81,731 Middlesex 41,052 54.9% 32,940 44.0% 830 1.1% 74,822 New Haven 157,023 54.9% 126,124 44.1% 2,723 1.0% 285,870 New London 55,174 54.9% 43,902 43.7% 1,353 1.3% 100,429 Tolland 31,348 52.4% 27,748 46.4% 753 1.3% 59,849 Windham 18,264 46.3% 20,688 52.5% 474 1.2% 39,426 Totals 710,476 55.97% 546,066 43.05% 12,360 0.98% 1,268,902
Margin swing by county Democratic — +2.5−5%
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +10−12.5%
Democratic — +12.5−15%
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic [ edit ] By congressional district [ edit ] Lamont won all five congressional districts.[ 56]
District Ned Lamont Democratic Bob Stefanowski Republican Other parties Independent Total votes cast Representative # % # % # % 1st 103,281 60.83% 64,555 38.02% 1,960 1.15% 169,796 John B. Larson 2nd 104,030 53.02% 89,650 45.69% 2,517 1.29% 196,197 Joe Courtney 3rd 108,548 56.42% 82,101 42.66% 1,772 0.92% 192,421 Rosa DeLauro 4th 96,180 60.29% 62,389 39.10% 979 0.61% 159,548 Jim Himes 5th 78,655 50.17% 76,554 48.84% 1,550 0.99% 156,759 Jahana Hayes Totals 710,186 55.97% 546,209 43.05% 12,498 0.98% 1,268,893
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. ^a b c d Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear ^ "Not planning to vote" with 5%; "Another candidate" with 3% ^ Hotaling (I) with 4% ^ "Refused" with 2% ^ Hotaling (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1% ^ Hotaling (I) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2% ^ Hotaling (I) with 4% ^ Hotaling with 5% ^ "Refused" with 2% ^ "Refused" with 2% ^ "Refused" with 1% ^ "Someone else" (volunteered response) with <1% ^ "Refused" with 1% Partisan clients
^ Poll conducted for Stefanowski's campaign. ^a b This poll was sponsored byThe Connecticut Examiner . ^a b c This poll was sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform CT ^ "November 2022 State Election" .Connecticut Secretary of the State .^a b c " 'I love the job.' Lamont officially announces reelection bid for Connecticut governor" .News 12 - The Bronx . November 9, 2021.^ "Public Reporting" .ctemspublic.pcctg.net . RetrievedOctober 4, 2022 .^ "Bob Stefanowski to Announce Run for Governor" .NBCConnecticut.com . January 19, 2022.^ Bergman, Julia (January 19, 2022)." 'Lack of affordability' in CT focus for Stefanowski in second run for governor" .Connecticut Post . ^ "SUSANFORCT2022" .SUSANFORCT2022 .^ "This Week in CT: Lawmakers conclude legislative session during pandemic turnaround" .wtnh.com . June 13, 2021.^ "Themis Klarides announces her run for United States Senate" .WFSB . RetrievedJanuary 30, 2022 .^ Rennie, Kevin (December 18, 2020)."Kevin Rennie: If Republicans want to think about beating Ned Lamont in 2022, they need to start with some fresh ideas" .Hartford Courant .Archived from the original on December 19, 2020. RetrievedMarch 28, 2021 . ^ Flood, Bill (March 14, 2021)."New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart says she will not run for governor" .Fox61 .Archived from the original on March 16, 2021. RetrievedMarch 28, 2021 . ^a b Stuart, Christine (May 19, 2022)."Green Party Nominates Gubernatorial Candidate" .CT News Junkie . ^ "Working Families Party Regains Third Line on Connecticut Ballot | Ballot Access News" . January 10, 2023.^ Dixon, Ken (August 22, 2022)."Independent's panel rebuffs Stefanowski, sets up caucus fight" .CT Insider . ^ "Connecticut Working Families Party endorses Ned Lamont and Susan Bysiewicz for re-election" .Working Families Party . August 15, 2022.^ Pazniokas, Mark (September 8, 2022)."Minor party endorses Lamont after a pledge for election reform" .Connecticut Public . ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings" .The Cook Political Report . RetrievedFebruary 4, 2021 .^ "Gubernatorial Ratings" .Inside Elections . RetrievedFebruary 19, 2021 .^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings" .Sabato's Crystal Ball . RetrievedMarch 11, 2021 .^ "Connecticut Governor Race 2022" .Politico . April 1, 2022.^ "2022 Governor Races" .RCP . January 10, 2022. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2022 .^ "2022 Election Forecast" .Fox News . May 12, 2022. RetrievedMay 12, 2022 .^ "2022 Election Forecast" .FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022. Archived fromthe original on June 30, 2022. RetrievedJune 30, 2022 .^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022)."Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings" .Elections Daily . RetrievedNovember 28, 2022 . ^ Ramirez II, Hector (May 14, 2021)." 'Governor Lamont has done a great job': CT Republican Mark Boughton endorsing Lamont for re-election" .WTNH . RetrievedMay 19, 2022 . ^a b Muce, Sophia (November 4, 2022)."Democrats Gather at Eastern on Friday to Rally Students to the Polls" .CT Examiner . ^a b "Parties Seek to Turn Out the Vote with Weekend Rallies" . November 5, 2022.^ "Minor party endorses Lamont after a pledge for election reform" .MSN . August 18, 2022.^ "Working Families Party endorses Lamont and Bysiewicz" . August 18, 2022.^ "Labor Endorses Slate of Pro-Worker Candidates" . June 24, 2022. RetrievedJuly 4, 2022 .^ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES" . RetrievedOctober 29, 2022 .^ Moritz, John (June 13, 2022)."Amid protest plans, conservative Nebraska governor cancels plans to stump for Stefanowski" .CT Insider . RetrievedJune 13, 2022 . ^ Christopher Keating, Hartford Courant (June 22, 2022)."New Hampshire Gov. Sununu, in CT to help Bob Stefanowski raise money, calls impending diesel tax hike 'the dumbest thing anyone could do' " . News.yahoo.com. RetrievedJune 27, 2022 . ^ "How Bob Stefanowski is changing his campaign message" . October 3, 2022.^ Lemanski, Michael (May 21, 2022)."GOP Hopefuls Stefanowski, Devlin Get Police Group's Endorsement" .Patch . ^ We endorse Mr. Stefanowski for governor Republican American. October 29, 2022. Retrieved December 19, 2022^ "Document/Filing Search" .Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission .^ Real Clear Politics ^ FiveThirtyEight ^ 270ToWin ^ Long Island University ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R) ^a b Quinnipiac University ^ Emerson College ^ SurveyUSA ^ Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R) ^ Western New England University ^ Emerson College ^ Quinnipiac University ^ Emerson College ^ Sacred Heart University ^a b c Public Policy Polling (D) ^ Fabrizo Lee (R) ^ "2022 General Election - Governor" .Connecticut Secretary of State .^ "State of Connecticut Elections Database » 2022 Nov 8 :: General Election :: Voting Statistics :: State of Connecticut" .^ "Connecticut Governor election results" .Politico .^ "State of Connecticut Elections Database » 2022 Nov 8 :: General Election :: Governor :: State of Connecticut" .State of Connecticut Elections Database .Official campaign websites
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