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2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election
← 2018November 8, 20222026 →
Turnout50.81%Decrease
 
NomineeSarah Huckabee SandersChris Jones
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote571,105319,242
Percentage62.96%35.20%
County results
Congressional district results
Sanders:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Jones:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Governor before election

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

ElectedGovernor

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Republican

Elections in Arkansas
Seal of Arkansas
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections

The2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the nextgovernor of Arkansas. IncumbentRepublican governorAsa Hutchinson was term-limited and could not seek a third term. RepublicanSarah Huckabee Sanders, daughter of former Arkansas governorMike Huckabee, defeated Democrat Chris Jones to become the first woman ever elected to the office, and was sworn in on January 10, 2023.

Primary elections in Arkansas were held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate receives over 50% of the vote were scheduled for June 21. FormerWhite House press secretarySarah Huckabee Sanders won theRepublican nomination, while Chris Jones won theDemocratic nomination.[1]

Leading up to the Republican primary, Sanders received many endorsements from key Republican figures, includingDonald Trump,Mike Pence, incumbent Asa Hutchinson,Arkansas' entire U.S. Congressional delegation, and the majority of Republicans in both state legislative chambers. She faced little substantive opposition in the primary, as she won every county in the state with at least 70% of the vote.

As Arkansas is a staunchlyRepublican state, winning the party's nomination virtually guaranteed a victory for Sanders in the general election, in which she defeated Jones by 28 points. Jones became the first Democrat to winWashington County since2010, and Sanders became the first Republican to win majority-BlackCrittenden County since her father in1998, winning the county by one vote. This was the only2022 election where Washington County voted against the Republican nominee. This is the first time ever that the Republican Party won three straight gubernatorial elections in the state's history.

Sanders became the first female governor of Arkansas. With theelection ofLeslie Rutledge as lieutenant governor, Arkansas, along withMassachusetts, became the first two U.S. states to elect both a female governor and female lieutenant governor to serve at the same time.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Francis "Doc" Washburn, radio personality[3]

Withdrew

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Sarah Huckabee Sanders

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

U.S. Governors

State officials

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Leslie
Rutledge		Sarah
Huckabee Sanders		Francis
Washburn		Undecided
Hendrix College[18]May 2, 2022802 (LV)± 4.3%–73%17%10%
Remington Research (R)[19]May 1–2, 20221,622 (LV)± 2.2%–80%14%6%
November 9, 2021Rutledge withdraws from the race
Remington Research (R)[20]October 25–26, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%16%73%–11%
Hendrix College[21]May 26–31, 2021535 (LV)± 5.5%35%43%–22%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Sanders
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Republican primary results[22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSarah Huckabee Sanders289,24983.14%
RepublicanFrancis "Doc" Washburn58,63816.86%
Total votes347,887100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Chris Jones

Newspaper and other media

Organizations

Supha Xayprasith-Mays

Governors

Statewide officials

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Anthony
Bland		Chris
Jones		Supha
Xayprasith-Mays		Jay
Martin		James
Russell		Undecided
Hendrix College[18]May 2, 2022597 (LV)± 5.0%3%60%2%3%2%31%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Jones
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results[22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChris Jones66,54070.43%
DemocraticAnthony Bland9,0559.58%
DemocraticJay Martin7,7318.18%
DemocraticJames "Rus" Russell6,4216.80%
DemocraticSupha Xayprasith-Mays4,7255.00%
Total votes94,472100.0%

Libertarian convention

[edit]
The Libertarian nominee,prison chaplain Ricky Harrington fromPine Bluff

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • William E. Gates, pastor[40]

Write-ins

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Dan Nelson, activist[41]
  • Elvis Presley, perennial candidate[42]
  • Michael Woodard[41]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[43]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[44]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[45]Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico[46]Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP[47]Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News[48]Solid RMay 12, 2022
538[49]Solid RJune 30, 2022
Elections Daily[50]Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

[edit]
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Chris Jones (D)

Labor unions

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Sarah
Huckabee
Sanders (R)		Chris
Jones (D)		Undecided
[b]		Margin
FiveThirtyEight[52]August 31 – October 31, 2022November 3, 202254.4%36.1%9.5%Sanders +18.3

Graphical summary

This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Sarah
Huckabee
Sanders (R)		Chris
Jones (D)		Ricky
Harrington (L)		Undecided
University of Arkansas[53]October 13–31, 2022557 (LV)–53%34%4%9%
Hendrix College[54]October 17–18, 2022835 (LV)± 3.8%51%41%3%5%
Remington Research Group (R)[55]September 14–15, 20221,418 (LV)± 3.4%59%34%3%4%
Hendrix College[56]September 12, 2022835 (LV)± 3.8%51%40%2%7%
Echelon Insights[57]August 31 – September 7, 2022382 (RV)± 7.7%62%32%–6%
Remington Research Group (R)[58]February 26–27, 2022827 (LV)± 3.4%58%28%3%10%
Hypothetical polling

Sarah Huckabee Sanders vs. generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Sarah
Huckabee
Sanders (R)		Generic
Democrat		OtherUndecided
Hendrix College[59]February 7–8, 2022961 (LV)± 4.4%44%34%8%15%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Generic
Republican		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
University of Arkansas[60]October 12–24, 2021800 (A)± 3.5%46%21%34%
555 (LV)± 4.2%50%23%27%

Debates

[edit]
2022 Arkansas gubernatorial debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocraticLibertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee W  Withdrawn
Sarah Huckabee SandersChris JonesRicky Harrington Jr
1Oct, 2022Arkansas PBS[61]PPP

Results

[edit]
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +>15%
  •   Democratic — +12.5–15%
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5–10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5–10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5–15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +>15%
  •   Democratic — +12.5–15%
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5–10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5–10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5–15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election[62]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanSarah Huckabee Sanders571,10562.96%−2.37%
DemocraticChris Jones319,24235.20%+3.43%
LibertarianRicky Dale Harrington Jr.16,6901.84%−1.06%
Total votes907,037100.0%N/A
Turnout907,03750.81%
Registered electors1,799,136
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
County[62]Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Republican		Chris Jones
Democratic		Ricky Dale Harrington Jr.
Libertarian		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Arkansas3,19771.22%1,23127.42%611.36%1,96643.80%4,489
Ashley4,01273.47%1,38625.38%631.15%2,62648.09%5,461
Baxter12,09877.21%3,29321.02%2771.77%8,80556.20%15,668
Benton55,90761.51%33,00036.30%1,9902.19%22,90725.20%90,897
Boone10,12779.42%2,31918.19%3052.39%7,80861.23%12,751
Bradley1,76466.92%84632.09%260.99%91834.83%2,636
Calhoun1,24878.54%32420.39%171.07%92458.15%1,589
Carroll5,69262.96%3,15834.93%1902.10%2,53428.03%9,040
Chicot1,60147.01%1,78252.32%230.68%-181-5.31%3,406
Clark3,49256.62%2,58941.98%861.39%90314.64%6,167
Clay3,06077.59%79820.23%862.18%2,26257.35%3,944
Cleburne8,25282.17%1,60816.01%1821.81%6,64466.16%10,042
Cleveland2,30581.88%47917.02%311.10%1,82664.87%2,815
Columbia4,06666.80%1,93731.82%841.38%2,12934.98%6,087
Conway4,48166.25%2,17632.17%1071.58%2,30534.08%6,764
Craighead18,17165.57%8,98032.40%5612.02%9,19133.17%27,712
Crawford13,81476.92%3,77821.04%3672.04%10,03655.88%17,959
Crittenden5,29549.25%5,29449.24%1631.52%10.01%10,752
Cross3,67274.41%1,17423.79%891.80%2,49850.62%4,935
Dallas1,33163.68%73235.02%271.29%59928.66%2,090
Desha1,61151.80%1,46447.07%351.13%1474.73%3,110
Drew3,38063.63%1,87135.22%611.15%1,50928.41%5,312
Faulkner25,38262.93%14,13135.03%8222.04%11,25127.89%40,335
Franklin4,13075.88%1,21322.29%1001.84%2,91753.59%5,443
Fulton3,04576.43%83420.93%1052.64%2,21155.50%3,984
Garland22,22566.66%10,49331.47%6221.87%11,73235.19%33,340
Grant5,11281.31%1,05516.78%1201.91%4,05764.53%6,287
Greene8,98277.69%2,33020.15%2502.16%6,65257.53%11,562
Hempstead3,31170.67%1,31628.09%581.24%1,99542.58%4,685
Hot Spring7,23072.74%2,52825.44%1811.82%4,70247.31%9,939
Howard2,58070.84%1,00027.46%621.70%1,58043.38%3,642
Independence8,07776.31%2,31621.88%1921.81%5,76154.43%10,585
Izard3,63679.10%86118.73%1002.18%2,77560.37%4,597
Jackson2,86070.84%1,10627.40%711.76%1,75443.45%4,037
Jefferson6,87439.29%10,46659.82%1570.90%-3,592-20.53%17,497
Johnson5,07172.34%1,79125.55%1482.11%3,28046.79%7,010
Lafayette1,28664.88%67434.01%221.11%61230.88%1,982
Lawrence3,65578.74%87618.87%1112.39%2,77959.87%4,642
Lee98348.74%1,01250.17%221.09%-29-1.44%2,017
Lincoln2,01572.56%73026.29%321.15%1,28546.27%2,777
Little River2,90676.17%83521.89%741.94%2,07154.29%3,815
Logan4,85477.56%1,26520.21%1392.22%3,58957.35%6,258
Lonoke16,60374.22%5,28723.63%4802.15%11,31650.59%22,370
Madison4,40375.69%1,30422.42%1101.89%3,09953.27%5,817
Marion4,74479.04%1,11918.64%1392.32%3,62560.40%6,002
Miller8,57176.06%2,52322.39%1741.54%6,04853.67%11,268
Mississippi5,40162.13%3,09235.57%2002.30%2,30926.56%8,693
Monroe1,23355.02%97743.60%311.38%25611.42%2,241
Montgomery2,47179.17%57818.52%722.31%1,89360.65%3,121
Nevada1,65867.29%78031.66%261.06%87835.63%2,464
Newton2,44079.22%55718.08%832.69%1,88361.14%3,080
Ouachita4,06557.88%2,86340.77%951.35%1,20217.12%7,023
Perry2,87375.25%87122.81%741.94%2,00252.44%3,818
Phillips1,89243.33%2,41555.31%591.35%-523-11.98%4,366
Pike3,12183.81%55214.82%511.37%2,56968.98%3,724
Poinsett4,38678.76%1,05018.85%1332.39%3,33659.90%5,569
Polk5,63481.57%1,12316.26%1502.17%4,51165.31%6,907
Pope12,92873.33%4,41825.06%2841.61%8,51048.27%17,630
Prairie2,16781.22%45917.20%421.57%1,70864.02%2,668
Pulaski47,02737.88%75,39360.73%1,7331.40%-28,366-22.85%124,153
Randolph4,20178.42%1,02619.15%1302.43%3,17559.27%5,357
St. Francis2,47748.74%2,52749.72%781.53%-50-0.98%5,082
Saline29,87269.20%12,53229.03%7661.77%17,34040.17%43,170
Scott2,49884.36%40713.75%561.89%2,09170.62%2,961
Searcy2,60882.27%49215.52%702.21%2,11666.75%3,170
Sebastian22,93966.73%10,73431.23%7032.05%12,20535.50%34,376
Sevier2,82577.12%78421.40%541.47%2,04155.72%3,663
Sharp4,81679.64%1,05617.46%1752.89%3,76062.18%6,047
Stone3,93677.04%1,07020.94%1032.02%2,86656.10%5,109
Union7,82666.93%3,69531.60%1721.47%4,13135.33%11,693
Van Buren4,81076.68%1,33521.28%1282.04%3,47555.40%6,273
Washington34,36148.63%34,84249.31%1,4532.06%-481-0.68%70,656
White18,01077.88%4,61319.95%5022.17%13,39757.93%23,125
Woodruff1,34764.39%69533.22%502.39%65231.17%2,092
Yell4,17278.88%1,02219.32%951.80%3,15059.56%5,289
Totals571,10562.96%319,24235.20%16,6901.84%251,86327.77%907,037

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Huckabee Sanders won all four congressional districts.[63]

DistrictHuckabee SandersJonesRepresentative
1st70%28%Rick Crawford
2nd56%43%French Hill
3rd60%38%Steve Womack
4th68%30%Bruce Westerman

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcdeKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Arkansas Primary Election Results".The New York Times. May 24, 2022.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedOctober 3, 2022.
  2. ^"Sarah Sanders Running for Arkansas Governor".Associated Press. January 25, 2021. Archived fromthe original on February 1, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 25, 2021.
  3. ^"Republican Doc Washburn Enters Arkansas Governors Race".Arkansas Money & Politics. February 15, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2022.
  4. ^Brock, Roby (February 8, 2021)."Griffin to exit Governor's race, will seek AG post". Talk Business and Politics. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2021.
  5. ^Brock, Roby (November 9, 2021)."AG Rutledge enters Lt. Governor's race".Talk Business & Politics. RetrievedNovember 9, 2021.
  6. ^Jacob Jarvis (January 26, 2021)."Donald Trump Endorses 'Warrior' Sarah Sanders for Arkansas Governor".Newsweek.
  7. ^Julia Manchester (March 15, 2021)."Pence endorses Sarah Huckabee Sanders for Arkansas governor".The Hill.
  8. ^Brantley, Max (March 26, 2021)."Won't you come home, Sarah Sanders? She raises money with Mike Pompeo in Texas while Leslie Rutledge hangs out in Arkansas with Tracy Lawrence".Arkansas Times. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2022.
  9. ^abBratton, Regina (October 4, 2021)."CPAC Endorses Sarah Huckabee Sanders".American Conservative Union. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2022.
  10. ^abcdefgStimson, Brie (November 13, 2021)."Sarah Sanders snaps up Arkansas endorsements from governor, congressional delegation".Fox News. RetrievedNovember 13, 2021.
  11. ^Counts, Chris (January 25, 2021)."Sarah Huckabee Sanders officially announces her candidacy for Arkansas Governor".KARK. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2022.
  12. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyzaaabacadaeafagahaiajakalamanaoapaqarasatauavawaxayazbabbbcbdbebfbgbhbibjGladden, Drew (November 18, 2021)."101 Arkansas Legislators Endorse Sarah Huckabee Sanders for Governor".Arkansas Times. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2021.
  13. ^Brantley, Max (March 16, 2021)."Sarah Huckabee Sanders: Running for governor everywhere but Arkansas".Arkansas Times. RetrievedMarch 17, 2021.
  14. ^Brawner, Steve (November 24, 2021)."Republicans fall in line behind Sarah | Steve Brawner".Times Record. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2021.
  15. ^Goldberg, Paul."Breaking: Kid Rock backs Sarah Sanders for Arkansas Governor".News Thud. Archived fromthe original on January 30, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 30, 2021.
  16. ^Guardian Staff (January 25, 2021)."Sarah Sanders, former Trump press secretary, runs for Arkansas governor".The Guardian. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2022.
  17. ^"2022 Candidates".www.maggieslist.org. RetrievedJanuary 2, 2021.
  18. ^abHendrix College
  19. ^Remington Research (R)
  20. ^Remington Research (R)
  21. ^Hendrix College
  22. ^ab"2022 Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan Judicial General Election".
  23. ^"Chris Jones, a nuclear engineer and political newcomer, enters Arkansas governor's race".NBC News. June 15, 2021.
  24. ^Jared, George (March 26, 2021)."Supha Xayprasith-Mays to seek Democratic nomination for governor in 2022". Talk Business and Politics. RetrievedMarch 29, 2021.James "Rus" Russell has also announced for the Democratic nomination for governor as has Anthony Bland, who ran for Lt. Governor in 2018.
  25. ^"A pro-life Democrat enters the governor's race". Magnolia Reporter. February 17, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 18, 2022.
  26. ^Brock, Roby (February 7, 2021)."Political newcomer James Russell to seek Democratic nomination for Governor in 2022".KATV. Talk Business & Politics.Archived from the original on June 27, 2021. RetrievedAugust 31, 2021.
  27. ^"Supha Xayprasith-Mays announces run for Arkansas governor in 2022". KFSM. March 26, 2021. RetrievedMarch 29, 2021.
  28. ^"Arkansas mother, foster care advocate announces run for lieutenant governor".KARK. September 8, 2021. RetrievedSeptember 9, 2021.
  29. ^@GregLeding (January 24, 2021)."This is some excellent company, Kim, and I appreciate it—but it won't be me" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  30. ^@ClarkeTucker (January 24, 2021)."Thank you Kim! It's not going to be me. But I do appreciate the support" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  31. ^"Arkansas Democrat-Gazette Endorses Chris Jones in Democratic Primary".SWARK Today. May 16, 2022. RetrievedMay 19, 2022.
  32. ^"314 Action Fund Endorses Nuclear Engineer Chris Jones in AR-GOV Race".314 Action. November 11, 2021.
  33. ^"Collective PAC Endorses Chris Jones for Governor".AR Money & Politics. June 29, 2021.
  34. ^"Democracy for America Endorses Dr. Chris Jones for Governor of Arkansas".SWARK Today. May 13, 2022. RetrievedMay 19, 2022.
  35. ^abWickline, Michael (March 27, 2021)."In governor's race, business exec says inclusion a priority".Northwest Arkansas Democratic-Gazette. RetrievedApril 1, 2021.
  36. ^"Richard Leon Mays (1943–)".Encyclopedia of Arkansas. RetrievedApril 1, 2021.
  37. ^Hale, Tyler (April 23, 2021)."Harrington Declares Intent to Seek Arkansas Governor's Office in 2022".Arkansas Money and Politics. RetrievedApril 24, 2021.
  38. ^"Home".Ricky Harrington for Governor. RetrievedMarch 31, 2022.Ricky resides in Pine Bluff.
  39. ^Brawner, Steve (February 21, 2022)."Libertarians nominate more than 50, including Harrington for governor".Talk Business and Politics. RetrievedFebruary 28, 2022.
  40. ^"William E. Gates joins crowded Arkansas governor's race".Southwest Times Record. July 20, 2021. RetrievedAugust 6, 2021.
  41. ^ab"Candidate Information". Arkansas Secretary of State. RetrievedFebruary 22, 2022.
  42. ^"Elvis Presley listed among Arkansas gubernatorial candidates".Washington Examiner. February 26, 2022.
  43. ^"2022 Governor Race Ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedFebruary 4, 2021.
  44. ^"Gubernatorial Ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2021.
  45. ^"2022 Gubernatorial race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  46. ^"Arkansas Governor Race 2022".Politico. April 1, 2022.
  47. ^"2022 Governor Races".RCP. January 10, 2022. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2022.
  48. ^"2022 Election Forecast".Fox News. May 12, 2022. RetrievedMay 12, 2022.
  49. ^"2022 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived fromthe original on June 30, 2022. RetrievedJune 30, 2022.
  50. ^Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022)."Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings".Elections Daily. RetrievedNovember 28, 2022.
  51. ^"Arkansas Endorsed Candidates 2022 | CWA District 6".cwad6.org. RetrievedDecember 2, 2022.
  52. ^FiveThirtyEight
  53. ^University of Arkansas
  54. ^Hendrix College
  55. ^Remington Research Group (R)
  56. ^Hendrix College
  57. ^Echelon Insights
  58. ^Remington Research Group (R)
  59. ^Hendrix College
  60. ^University of Arkansas
  61. ^Link
  62. ^abJester, Cole (November 8, 2022)."2022 General Election - November 8, 2022".Secretary of State of Arkansas. RetrievedSeptember 4, 2025.
  63. ^"2022 AR GOV and SEN by CD".Google Docs. RetrievedAugust 21, 2024.

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites

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