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2022 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2022 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election

← 2018November 8, 20222026 →
 
NomineeTom HorneKathy Hoffman
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote1,256,4061,247,218
Percentage50.17%49.82%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Horne:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Hoffman:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No votes

Superintendent before election

Kathy Hoffman
Democratic

ElectedSuperintendent

Tom Horne
Republican

Elections in Arizona

The2022 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect theSuperintendent of Public Instruction ofArizona. IncumbentDemocratic SuperintendentKathy Hoffman was narrowly defeated in her run for a second term by formerRepublican Attorney GeneralTom Horne.[1] Significantly, Horne's win marked the first time in the state's history that a Republican won a statewide race without winningMaricopa County, home to 62% of the state's population and a former Republican stronghold; the only other statewide 2022 Republican candidate to win that year,Kimberly Yee, wonher race by a wide margin partly by carrying Maricopa County.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKathy Hoffman (incumbent)564,099100.0%
Total votes564,099100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Did not file

[edit]
  • Michael Trevillion, assistant principal[6][7]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Tom
Horne
Shiry
Sapir
Michelle
Udall
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports[8]July 27–28, 2022710 (LV)± 4.0%38%18%16%6%22%
OH Predictive Insights[9]July 27, 2022502 (LV)± 4.4%21%21%14%44%
OH Predictive Insights[10]June 30 – July 2, 2022515 (LV)± 4.3%18%7%9%66%
OH Predictive Insights[11]April 4–5, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%16%2%8%7%[b]67%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTom Horne321,20841.92%
RepublicanShiry Sapir256,28633.45%
RepublicanMichelle Udall188,40124.59%
Write-in2580.03%
Total votes766,153100.0%

Libertarian primary

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Candidates

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Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianSheila Reid-Shaver (write-in)557100.0%
Total votes557100.0%

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hoffman (D)
Tom
Horne (R)
OtherUndecided
Data Orbital (R)[13]November 4–6, 2022550 (LV)± 4.3%44%49%2%[c]6%
HighGround Inc.[14]November 1–2, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%41%46%1%[d]12%
Data Orbital (R)[15]October 17–19, 2022550 (LV)± 4.3%43%45%2%[e]10%
HighGround Inc.[16]October 12–13, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%40%43%2%[f]14%

Certified results

[edit]
2022 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanTom Horne1,255,97750.17%+1.73%
DemocraticKathy Hoffman (incumbent)1,247,01049.82%−1.74%
RepublicanPatrick Finerd (write-in)2130.01%N/A
Total votes2,503,200100.0%

Recount

[edit]

On December 5, 2022, following election certification, Secretary of StateKatie Hobbs petitioned the Maricopa County Superior Court to initiate a recount for the Superintendent of Public Instruction election.[18][19] On the same day, Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Timothy J. Thomason ordered for the recount to begin.[20] Although Hoffman had already conceded the election, the recount proceeded as the margin between the two candidates was 0.35%, which falls in the threshold to trigger an automatic recount.[17]

On December 29, Thomason announced the results of the recount, confirming Horne as the winner with an increased margin of 9,188 votes.[21]

Recount results

[edit]
2022 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election[22]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanTom Horne1,256,40650.13%+1.69%
DemocraticKathy Hoffman (incumbent)1,247,21849.76%−1.80%
Write-in2,9000.12%+0.12%
Total votes2,506,524100.0%
Republicangain fromDemocratic

By congressional district

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Despite losing the state, Hoffman won five of nine congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.[23]

DistrictHoffmanHorneRepresentative
1st51%49%David Schweikert
2nd45%55%Tom O'Halleran (117th Congress)
Eli Crane (118th Congress)
3rd76%24%Ruben Gallego
4th56%44%Greg Stanton
5th43%57%Andy Biggs
6th51%49%Ann Kirkpatrick (117th Congress)
Juan Ciscomani (118th Congress)
7th66%34%Raúl Grijalva
8th44%56%Debbie Lesko
9th36%64%Paul Gosar

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^abKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Kim Fisher with 4%, Kara Woods with 3%, Jennie Paperman with 0%
  3. ^"Refused" with 2%
  4. ^"Some other candidate" with 1%
  5. ^"Refused" with 2%
  6. ^"Some other candidate" with 2%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ab"Superintendent Kathy Hoffman announces re-election campaign".AZFamily. RetrievedMay 13, 2021.
  2. ^abcArizona Secretary of State (August 22, 2022)."State of Arizona Official Canvass – August 2, 2022, Primary Election"(PDF). RetrievedAugust 26, 2022.
  3. ^Pitzl, Mary Jo (May 13, 2021)."Tom Horne seeks return as state schools chief, citing slipping standards amid equity debate".The Arizona Republic.
  4. ^"Local Conservatives to Host Shiry Sapir, Candidate for State Superintendent of Public Instruction | Prescott eNews". September 23, 2021.
  5. ^"Udall takes step in run for schools chief". October 9, 2021.
  6. ^Pitzl, Mary Jo."School administrator seeks GOP nod for state superintendent".The Arizona Republic. RetrievedMay 13, 2021.
  7. ^"HOME | Dr. Michael Trevillion for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction".Trevillion 4 AZ Supt. RetrievedMay 13, 2021.
  8. ^Rasmussen Reports
  9. ^OH Predictive Insights
  10. ^OH Predictive Insights
  11. ^OH Predictive Insights
  12. ^"2022 Primary Election".apps.azsos.gov. RetrievedJuly 25, 2022.
  13. ^Data Orbital (R)
  14. ^HighGround Inc.
  15. ^Data Orbital (R)
  16. ^HighGround Inc.
  17. ^ab"2022 General Election Statewide Canvass"(PDF).Arizona Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 5, 2022.
  18. ^"Petition for Automatic Recount"(PDF).Arizona Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 5, 2022.
  19. ^"Arizona Sec. of State Katie Hobbs gets recount process started for 3 races".KTAR News. December 5, 2022. RetrievedDecember 7, 2022.
  20. ^"Order to Conduct Recount"(PDF).Arizona Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 5, 2022.
  21. ^"CV2022-015915: Order Regarding Recount Results".Maricopa County Superior Court. December 29, 2022. RetrievedDecember 29, 2022.
  22. ^"General Election Statewide Recount Results"(PDF).Arizona Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 29, 2022.
  23. ^"AZ Statewides by CD".
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