| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Horne: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hoffman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| Elections in Arizona | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||
The2022 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect theSuperintendent of Public Instruction ofArizona. IncumbentDemocratic SuperintendentKathy Hoffman was narrowly defeated in her run for a second term by formerRepublican Attorney GeneralTom Horne.[1] Significantly, Horne's win marked the first time in the state's history that a Republican won a statewide race without winningMaricopa County, home to 62% of the state's population and a former Republican stronghold; the only other statewide 2022 Republican candidate to win that year,Kimberly Yee, wonher race by a wide margin partly by carrying Maricopa County.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathy Hoffman (incumbent) | 564,099 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 564,099 | 100.0% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Tom Horne | Shiry Sapir | Michelle Udall | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[8] | July 27–28, 2022 | 710 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 18% | 16% | 6% | 22% |
| OH Predictive Insights[9] | July 27, 2022 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 21% | 21% | 14% | – | 44% |
| OH Predictive Insights[10] | June 30 – July 2, 2022 | 515 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 18% | 7% | 9% | – | 66% |
| OH Predictive Insights[11] | April 4–5, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 16% | 2% | 8% | 7%[b] | 67% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Horne | 321,208 | 41.92% | |
| Republican | Shiry Sapir | 256,286 | 33.45% | |
| Republican | Michelle Udall | 188,401 | 24.59% | |
| Write-in | 258 | 0.03% | ||
| Total votes | 766,153 | 100.0% | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Sheila Reid-Shaver (write-in) | 557 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 557 | 100.0% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Kathy Hoffman (D) | Tom Horne (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Orbital (R)[13] | November 4–6, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 49% | 2%[c] | 6% |
| HighGround Inc.[14] | November 1–2, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 46% | 1%[d] | 12% |
| Data Orbital (R)[15] | October 17–19, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 45% | 2%[e] | 10% |
| HighGround Inc.[16] | October 12–13, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 43% | 2%[f] | 14% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Horne | 1,255,977 | 50.17% | +1.73% | |
| Democratic | Kathy Hoffman (incumbent) | 1,247,010 | 49.82% | −1.74% | |
| Republican | Patrick Finerd (write-in) | 213 | 0.01% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 2,503,200 | 100.0% | |||
On December 5, 2022, following election certification, Secretary of StateKatie Hobbs petitioned the Maricopa County Superior Court to initiate a recount for the Superintendent of Public Instruction election.[18][19] On the same day, Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Timothy J. Thomason ordered for the recount to begin.[20] Although Hoffman had already conceded the election, the recount proceeded as the margin between the two candidates was 0.35%, which falls in the threshold to trigger an automatic recount.[17]
On December 29, Thomason announced the results of the recount, confirming Horne as the winner with an increased margin of 9,188 votes.[21]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Horne | 1,256,406 | 50.13% | +1.69% | |
| Democratic | Kathy Hoffman (incumbent) | 1,247,218 | 49.76% | −1.80% | |
| Write-in | 2,900 | 0.12% | +0.12% | ||
| Total votes | 2,506,524 | 100.0% | |||
| Republicangain fromDemocratic | |||||
Despite losing the state, Hoffman won five of nine congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.[23]
| District | Hoffman | Horne | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 51% | 49% | David Schweikert |
| 2nd | 45% | 55% | Tom O'Halleran (117th Congress) |
| Eli Crane (118th Congress) | |||
| 3rd | 76% | 24% | Ruben Gallego |
| 4th | 56% | 44% | Greg Stanton |
| 5th | 43% | 57% | Andy Biggs |
| 6th | 51% | 49% | Ann Kirkpatrick (117th Congress) |
| Juan Ciscomani (118th Congress) | |||
| 7th | 66% | 34% | Raúl Grijalva |
| 8th | 44% | 56% | Debbie Lesko |
| 9th | 36% | 64% | Paul Gosar |