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2021 Scottish Parliament election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
General Election held in Scotland on 6 May 2021

2021 Scottish Parliament election

← 20166 May 2021 (2021-05-06)Next →

All 129 seats to theScottish Parliament
65 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
TurnoutConstituency – 63.5%Increase7.7pp
Regional – 63.5%Increase7.7pp
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Nicola_Sturgeon_2021.jpg
Douglas Ross 2021.jpg
Anas Sarwar MSP.jpg
LeaderNicola SturgeonDouglas RossAnas Sarwar
PartySNPConservativeLabour
Leader since14 November 20145 August 202027 February 2021
Leader's seatGlasgow SouthsideHighlands and Islands[a]Glasgow
Last election63 seats31 seats24 seats
Seats before613023
Seats won643122
Seat changeIncrease 1SteadyDecrease 2
Constituency vote1,291,204592,526584,392
% and swing47.7%Increase1.2%21.9%Decrease0.1%21.6%Decrease1.0%
Regional vote1,094,374637,131485,819
% and swing40.3%Decrease1.4%23.5%Increase0.6%17.9%Decrease1.2%

 Fourth partyFifth party
 
Lorna Slater MSP and Patrick Harvie MSP.jpg
Official Portrait of Willie Rennie MSP.jpg
LeaderLorna Slater /
Patrick Harvie
Willie Rennie
PartyGreenLiberal Democrats
Leader since1 August 2019 (Slater) /
22 November 2008 (Harvie)
17 May 2011
Leader's seatLothian (Slater) /
Glasgow (Harvie)
North East Fife
Last election6 seats5 seats
Seats before55
Seats won84
Seat changeIncrease 2Decrease 1
Constituency vote34,990187,816
% and swing1.3%Increase0.7%6.9%Decrease0.9%
Regional vote220,324137,151
% and swing8.1%Increase1.5%5.1%Decrease0.1%

The map shows the election results in single-member constituencies. The additional member MSPs in the 8 regions are shown around the map.

First Minister before election

Nicola Sturgeon
SNP

First Minister after election

Nicola Sturgeon
SNP

The2021 Scottish Parliament election took place on 6 May 2021 under the provisions of theScotland Act 1998. It was the sixthScottish Parliament election since the devolved parliament was established in 1999. 129Members of the Scottish Parliament were elected. The election was held alongside theSenedd election in Wales,English local elections,London Assembly andmayoral election and theHartlepool by-election.

The election campaign started on 25 March 2021, during theCOVID-19 pandemic in Scotland. As a result, Parliament went into recess on 5 May, the day before the election.[3] The main parties fielding candidates were: theScottish National Party (SNP), led byFirst MinisterNicola Sturgeon; theScottish Conservatives, led byDouglas Ross;Scottish Labour, led byAnas Sarwar; theScottish Liberal Democrats, led byWillie Rennie, and theScottish Greens, jointly led byPatrick Harvie andLorna Slater. Of those five parties, three had changed their leader since the2016 election.

Newer parties set up since the 2016 election included:Reform UK Scotland, led byMichelle Ballantyne; theAlba Party, led by former First Minister and SNP leaderAlex Salmond; andAll for Unity, led byGeorge Galloway. These parties only competed for seats on theregional lists. They all failed to win any seats.

The election resulted in the SNP winning a fourth consecutive term in government. They won 64 seats, a net increase of one from the 2016 election. The SNP gainedEdinburgh Central,Ayr, andEast Lothian, as well as winning the largest share of the popular vote and the largest number of constituency seats in any Scottish Parliament election (62).[4] The Greens won eight seats, their best result to date at a Scottish Parliament election, while the Conservatives retained second place with 31 seats. Labour had its worst-ever result with 22 seats, and the lowest share of the vote in both constituency and list votes for either Westminster or Holyrood since 1910. The Liberal Democrats also had their worst showing at a Holyrood election to date, winning only four seats.[5]

The SNP and the Greens, both of which supportScottish independence, won 72 of the 129 seats in the parliament. Unionist parties (that is, those against independence) achieved a small majority of votes in constituency contests, whilst pro-independence parties achieved a small majority in the regional lists.[6] Theturnout was 63.5%, which is the highest ever at a Scottish Parliament election. Following the election, thethird Sturgeon government was formed. It initially consisted of just the SNP, but later included Slater and Harvie of the Scottish Greens as junior ministers after the two parties negotiated apower-sharing agreement.[7]

Background

[edit]

Electoral events

[edit]

2016 Scottish Parliament election

[edit]

At the2016 election, the rulingScottish National Party (SNP) lost itsparliamentary majority but was able to continue governing underNicola Sturgeon as aminorityadministration.[8] At the same election, theConservatives overtookLabour to place second, whilst theGreens overtook theLiberal Democrats to place fourth.[8] No representatives of minor parties were elected to the Parliament.[8]

Other elections

[edit]

Four further elections affecting Scotland took place between the 2016 and 2021 Scottish Parliament elections:

  • May 2017: Scottish local government elections. The SNP retained its position as the largest party in terms of votes and councillors. The Conservatives displaced Labour as the second largest party, while the Liberal Democrats suffered a net loss of councillors despite increasing their share of the vote.[9]
  • June 2017: United Kingdom general election. The SNP lost 21 of its MPs, winning 35 seats. The Conservatives won 13 seats, with their highest vote share in any election in Scotland since 1979. Labour won seven seats, while the Liberal Democrats won four.[10]
  • May 2019: European Parliament election. This was dominated by the impending Brexit-deadline. The SNP won three of the six seats in Scotland, with the Brexit Party, Conservatives and Liberal Democrats each winning one seat.[11]
  • December 2019: United Kingdom general election. The SNP increased its share of the vote, reclaiming thirteen of the seats they lost in 2017. The Conservatives won six Scottish seats with a net lost of seven. The Liberal Democrats won four seats with no net losses, but their leader,Jo Swinson, lost her own seat to the SNP. Labour was reduced to a single Scottish seat, a net loss of six.[12]

Leadership changes

[edit]

Three parties had undergone leadership changes since the 2016 election. In August 2017,Kezia Dugdale resigned as leader of Scottish Labour and wasreplaced byRichard Leonard.[13] In January 2021, less than four months before the election, Leonard resigned.[14]Anas Sarwar won the subsequentleadership election.[15]

In August 2019,Lorna Slater andPatrick Harvie becameco-leaders of theScottish Greens.[16]

Also in August 2019,Ruth Davidson resigned as leader of the Scottish Conservatives and wassucceeded byJackson Carlaw.[17] Carlaw resigned as leader in July 2020,[18] withDouglas Ross winning the subsequentleadership election unopposed.[19]

Expansion of the electorate

[edit]

The 2021 election was the first to come after the passage of the Scottish Elections (Franchise and Representation) Act, which extended thefranchise to those serving prison sentences of 12 months or less.[20][21] In 2005, the United Kingdom was found in breach of Protocol 1, Article 3 of theEuropean Convention on Human Rights in regards to prisoner voting rights in theEuropean Court of Human Rights as a result ofHirst v United Kingdom (No 2); the Act brings Scotland in line with the court ruling.[22]

This act also allows all foreign nationals resident in Scotland to vote and all those withindefinite leave to remain or equivalent status, includingpre–settled status in the United Kingdom, to stand as candidates.[23][20][24] A BBC News report in April 2021 said that there were around 55,000 foreign nationals who had been given the right to vote as a result of these changes, including 20,000 refugees.[24]

Date

[edit]

Under theScotland Act 1998, an ordinary general election to the Scottish Parliament would normally have been held on the first Thursday in May four years after the2016 election, i.e. in May 2020.[25] This would have clashed with the proposed date of a UK general election, although this became a moot point when a snap UK general election was held inJune 2017 (a further UK general election was held inDecember 2019).[26] In November 2015, the Scottish Government published a Scottish Elections (Dates) Bill, which proposed to extend the term of the Parliament to five years.[26] This was passed by the Scottish Parliament on 25 February 2016 and received Royal Assent on 30 March 2016, setting the new date for the election as 6 May 2021.[27]

The Scottish Elections (Dates) Act did not affect the legal possibilities for the Parliament to be dissolved earlier, those being;

  • That the date of the poll may be varied by up to one month either way by themonarch, on the proposal of thePresiding Officer.[25]
  • If Parliament itself resolves that it should be dissolved, with at least two-thirds of theMembers (i.e. 86 Members) voting in favour, the Presiding Officer proposes a date for an extraordinary general election and the Parliament is dissolved by the monarch byroyal proclamation.[28]
  • If Parliament fails to nominate one of its members to beFirst Minister within 28 days, irrespective of whether at the beginning or in the middle of a parliamentary term.[28] Therefore, if the First Minister resigned, Parliament would then have 28 days to elect a successor and if no new First Minister was elected then the Presiding Officer would ask for Parliament to be dissolved. This process could also be triggered if the First Minister lost avote of confidence by asimple majority, as they must then resign.

Nevertheless, no extraordinary general elections have been held to date. Any extraordinary general election would be in addition to the ordinary general elections, unless held less than six months before the due date of an ordinary general election, in which case it would supplant it.[28] This would not affect the year in which the subsequent ordinary general election would be held.[28]

On 16 November 2020, the Scottish General Election (Coronavirus) Bill was introduced.[29] This draft legislation stated that while the next election was intended to be held on 6 May 2021, thePresiding Officer would gain the power to postpone the election by up to six months if the spread ofCOVID-19 made that date impractical.[29] The bill also proposed to change the date of dissolution to the day before the election, meaning that the Parliament could be recalled during the election period.[29] The bill was enacted and receivedRoyal Assent on 29 January 2021.[30] Parliament was in fact recalled on 12 April, to allow MSPs to mark the death ofPrince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh.[31]

Retiring MSPs

[edit]
MSPConstituency/RegionFirst electedPartyDate announced
Neil FindlayLothian2011Labour28 May 2019[32][33]
Mary FeeWest Scotland20117 August 2019[32][34][35]
John FinnieHighlands and Islands2011Green27 August 2019[32][36]
Elaine SmithCentral Scotland1999Labour3 September 2019[32][37]
Ruth DavidsonEdinburgh Central2011Conservative6 October 2019[32][38]
Bruce CrawfordStirling1999SNP18 February 2020[32][39]
Richard LyleUddingston and Bellshill201120 February 2020[32][40]
Gail RossCaithness, Sutherland and Ross201627 February 2020[32][41]
Michael RussellArgyll and Bute19991 March 2020[32][42]
Stewart StevensonBanffshire and Buchan Coast20011 March 2020[32][42]
Mark McDonaldAberdeen Donside2011Independent[b]5 March 2020[32][43]
Aileen CampbellClydesdale2007SNP8 March 2020[32][44]
Margaret MitchellCentral Scotland2003Conservative18 April 2020[32][45]
David StewartHighlands and Islands2007Labour9 June 2020[32][46]
Angus MacDonaldFalkirk East2011SNP11 June 2020[32][47]
Iain GrayEast Lothian1999Labour18 June 2020[32][48]
Adam TomkinsGlasgow2016Conservative17 July 2020[32][49]
Gil PatersonClydebank and Milngavie1999SNP31 July 2020[32][50]
Linda FabianiEast Kilbride199911 August 2020[32][51]
Derek MackayRenfrewshire North and West2011Independent[c]14 August 2020[32][52]
Roseanna CunninghamPerthshire South and Kinross-shire1999SNP22 August 2020[32][53]
Alex NeilAirdrie and Shotts199923 August 2020[32][54]
Jeane FreemanCarrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley201624 August 2020[32][55]
Sandra WhiteGlasgow Kelvin199927 August 2020[32][56]
Maureen WattAberdeen South and North Kincardine2006[d]7 September 2020[32][57]
Peter ChapmanNorth East Scotland2016ConservativeSeptember 2020[32]
Mike Rumbles1999Liberal DemocratsSeptember 2020[32]
Ken MacintoshWest Scotland1999Presiding Officer[e]22 September 2020[32][58]
Jenny MarraNorth East Scotland2011Labour28 November 2020[32][59]
Lewis Macdonald199930 November 2020[32][60]
Johann LamontGlasgow19994 March 2021[32][61]
Alison HarrisCentral Scotland2016Conservative7 March 2021[62]
Bill BowmanNorth East Scotland20169 March 2021[63]
Tom Mason20179 March 2021[63]

James Dornan announced in February 2020 his intention to retire at the next Holyrood election,[64] but reversed this decision some months later.[65]

Parties

[edit]
See also:List of political parties in Scotland

The SNP, Conservatives, Labour and Liberal Democrats fielded candidates in all 73 constituencies and all eight of the regional ballots.[66] Five other parties contested both all eight regions and at least one constituency: the Scottish Greens (12 constituencies) theScottish Libertarian Party (9), theScottish Family Party (7),UKIP (5) and the Freedom Alliance (4). Four parties –Abolish the Scottish Parliament Party,Alba Party,All for Unity, andReform UK – stood in all eight electoral regions, but did not contest any constituencies.

Six other parties contested some of the regions and at least one constituency:TUSC (3 regions and 3 constituencies), Restore Scotland (2 regions, 4 constituencies),Scotia Future (2 of each), theCommunist Party of Britain (2 regions and 1 constituency), theReclaim Party (1 of each) and the Vanguard Party (also 1 of each). Five other parties –Independent Green Voice (5 regions),Renew (5), theSocial Democratic Party (2),Women's Equality (2) andAnimal Welfare (1) – contested some of the regions, but not any constituencies.

TheScottish Socialist Party, which participated in the last election as part of the electoral allianceRISE – Scotland's Left Alliance, opted not to participate in this election, for the first time since its inception.

List of parties contesting all regional ballots

[edit]
This list isincomplete; you can help byadding missing items.(April 2021)
NameIdeologyLeader(s)2016 Scottish Parliament election resultSeats at dissolution
Votes (%)Seats
ConstituencyRegional
Scottish National PartySocial democracy
Scottish independence
Nicola Sturgeon
MSP forGlasgow Southside
46.541.7
63 / 129
61 / 129
Scottish ConservativesConservatism
Unionism
Douglas Ross
Not an MSP
22.022.9
31 / 129
30 / 129
Scottish LabourSocial democracy
Unionism
Anas Sarwar
MSP forGlasgow region
22.619.1
24 / 129
23 / 129
Scottish GreensGreen politics
Scottish independence
Patrick Harvie (co-leader)
MSP forGlasgow region
0.66.6
6 / 129
5 / 129
Lorna Slater (co-leader)
Not an MSP
Scottish Liberal DemocratsLiberalism
Federalism
Willie Rennie
MSP forNorth East Fife
7.85.2
5 / 129
5 / 129
Reform UK ScotlandRight-wing populism
Euroscepticism
Michelle Ballantyne
MSP forSouth Scotland region
0 / 129
1 / 129
UKIP ScotlandRight-wing populism
Anti-devolution
Donald Mackay[67]
Not an MSP
2.0
0 / 129
0 / 129
Scottish Libertarian PartyLibertarianism
Scottish independence
Tam Laird
Not an MSP
0.00.1
0 / 129
0 / 129
Scottish Family PartyAnti-abortion
Social conservatism
Richard Lucas
Not an MSP
Did not exist
0 / 129
Alba PartyScottish nationalism
Scottish independence
Alex Salmond
Not an MSP
Did not exist
0 / 129
All for UnityAnti-nationalism
Unionism
Jamie Blackett
Not an MSP
Did not exist
0 / 129
Abolish the Scottish ParliamentAnti-devolution
Unionism
John Mortimer
Not an MSP
Did not exist
0 / 129
Freedom AllianceAnti-lockdownCarol Dobson
Not an MSP
Did not exist
0 / 129

Election system, seats and regions

[edit]
Main article:List of Scottish Parliament constituencies and electoral regions (2011–2026)
AnElectoral Commission voter guide booklet sent to Scottish households ahead of the election.

The total number ofMembers of the Scottish Parliament (MSPs) elected to the Parliament was 129.

The Scottish Parliament uses anadditional member system (AMS), designed to produce approximateproportional representation for each region. There are 8 regions, each sub-divided into 8 to 10 single-member constituencies. There is a total of 73constituencies. Each constituency elects one MSP by theplurality (first past the post) system of election. Each region elects 7 additional MSPs using anadditional member system. A modifiedD'Hondt method using the constituency results is used to elect these additional MSPs.[68][69]

The boundaries of the 73 constituencies last changed as of the2011 Scottish Parliament election, as did the configuration of the electoral regions used to elect "list" members of the Scottish Parliament.[70] These revisions were the outcome of the First Periodical Review of theScottish Parliament's constituencies and regions conducted by theBoundary Commission for Scotland; the Review was announced on 3 July 2007 and the Commission published its final report on 26 May 2010.

The Scottish Parliament constituencies have not been coterminous withScottish Westminster constituencies since the2005 general election, when the 72 former UK Parliament constituencies were replaced with a new set of 59, generally larger, constituencies (seeScottish Parliament (Constituencies) Act 2004). The size difference between Westminster and Holyrood boundaries was due to diverge further upon the implementation of theSixth Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, which has not been voted upon by Parliament. The2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies for a UK total of 650 MPs commenced in England in 2021 and will complete for the UK by 2023.

Campaign

[edit]

The election campaign started on 25 March 2021.[3] The Scottish Conservatives launched their campaign the same day, with a focus on promoting Scotland's recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.[71]

On 26 March 2021, theAlba Party was publicly launched by formerFirst Minister of Scotland and SNP leader,Alex Salmond.[72][73][74][75] The party announced plans to standlist-only candidates. Two sitting SNP MPs later defected to the Alba party.[76] TheAction for Independence party, which had intended to pursue a similar list-only strategy, announced they would stand down their candidates in favour of Alba.[77] Sturgeon said she would refuse to have any dealings with Salmond unless he apologises to the women who had accused him of harassment.[78] Salmond was ultimatelyacquitted of all charges.

BBC Scotland announced that it would broadcast two debates between the main parties' leaders; the first was aired on 30 March 2021 and was moderated by the corporation's Scotland editorSarah Smith.[79] The debate included key questions from the audience on theCOVID-19 recovery,climate change, and asecond referendum onScottish independence. The second BBC debate was held on 4 May 2021 and was moderated by BBC Scotland's political editorGlenn Campbell.[80]

Commercial broadcasterSTV held their leaders' debate on 13 April, moderated by their political editorColin Mackay.[81][82][83]NUS Scotland held a debate, specifically on student issues, on 20 April; it was moderated by NUS Scotland president Matt Crilly and featured the three main party leaders.[84]

On 1 April,Planet Radio announced that theirClyde 2 station would be hosting a Leaders Phone-In with the main party leaders every Sunday before the election.Douglas Ross was the first to be interviewed on 4 April,[85] withWillie Rennie following on 18 April. WhilstNicola Sturgeon was set to be interviewed on 11 April, campaigning was delayed following the death ofPrince Philip and her phone-in was instead held on 22 April.Patrick Harvie followed on 25 April; andAnas Sarwar had the final phone-in on 2 May.[86]

Following Prince Philip's death on 9 April, the SNP, Conservatives, Labour, Greens and Liberal Democrats said they would suspend election campaigning until further notice.[87][88][89] After discussion between the parties, they agreed to resume campaigning after a special parliamentary session on 12 April to make tributes and to pause activities again on the day of the funeral (17 April).[31][90]

Election debates

[edit]
2021 Scottish Parliament election debates
DateOrganisersModerator(s) P Present[f]   S Surrogate[g]   NI Not invited  A Absent invitee  INV Invited 
SNPConservativesLabourGreensLib DemsAudienceRef.
30 MarchBBC ScotlandP
Sturgeon
P
Ross
P
Sarwar
P
Slater
P
Rennie
Virtual[91]
13 AprilSTVColin MackayP
Sturgeon
P
Ross
P
Sarwar
P
Harvie
P
Rennie
[92]
20 AprilNUS ScotlandMatt CrillyP
Sturgeon
P
Ross
P
Sarwar
S
Greer[h]
S
Ford[i]
Virtual[84]
22 AprilBBC (Question Time Special)Fiona BruceS
Brown[j]
P
Ross
P
Sarwar
P
Slater
P
Rennie
Virtual[93]
27 AprilChannel 4 NewsKrishnan Guru-MurthyP
Sturgeon
P
Ross
P
Sarwar
P
Harvie
P
Rennie
[94]
4 MayBBC ScotlandGlenn CampbellP
Sturgeon
P
Ross
P
Sarwar
P
Harvie
P
Rennie
[95]

Opinion polling

[edit]
Main article:Opinion polling for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election

Graph of opinion poll results prior to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election. Trendlines are 30-day moving averages.

Regional vote
Constituency vote
Key

  SNP –Scottish National Party
  Conservative –Scottish Conservatives
  Labour –Scottish Labour
  Lib Dem –Scottish Liberal Democrats
  Green –Scottish Greens
  UKIP –UK Independence Party
  Reform –Reform UK
  SSP –Scottish Socialist Party
  Alba –Alba Party
  AFU –All for Unity

Target seats

[edit]

Below are listed all the constituencies which required aswing of less than 5% from the 2016 result to change hands. The most marginal opportunity for theGreens was inGlasgow Kelvin, which they needed a 7.1% swing to gain. TheLiberal Democrats' best bet wasCaithness, Sutherland and Ross, which required a 6.1% swing. The SNP ended up holding both of these constituencies.

SNP targets

[edit]
RankConstituencyWinning party
in 2016
Swing to
gain %
SNP's place
in 2016
Result
1DumbartonLabour0.172ndLabour hold
2Edinburgh CentralConservative0.90SNP gain
3AyrConservative1.00
4Aberdeenshire WestConservative1.28Conservative hold
5East LothianLabour1.45SNP gain
6Edinburgh SouthernLabour1.47Labour hold
7DumfriesshireConservative1.70Conservative hold
8EastwoodConservative2.22
9Galloway and West DumfriesConservative2.27
10Edinburgh WesternLiberal Democrats3.73Lib Dems hold

Conservative targets

[edit]
RankConstituencyWinning party
in 2016
Swing to
gain %
Cons' place
in 2016
Result
1Perthshire South and Kinross-shireSNP1.972ndSNP hold
2Edinburgh PentlandsSNP3.68
3Angus North and MearnsSNP4.21
4Aberdeen South and North KincardineSNP4.26
5MoraySNP4.30
6Edinburgh SouthernLabour4.743rdLabour hold
7Perthshire NorthSNP4.902ndSNP hold

Labour targets

[edit]
RankConstituencyWinning party
in 2016
Swing to
gain %
Labour's place
in 2016
Result
1EastwoodConservative2.563rdConservative hold
2Edinburgh CentralConservative4.193rdSNP gain

Results

[edit]
See also:Results of the 2021 Scottish Parliament election
Regional vote plurality in each constituency
SNP regional vote
Conservative regional vote
Labour regional vote
Green regional vote
Liberal Democrat regional vote
Election result with constituency names labeled

Overall

[edit]
PartyConstituencyRegionalTotal
seats
+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Scottish National Party1,291,20447.70621,094,37440.34264+1
Conservative592,52621.895637,13123.4926310
Labour584,39221.592485,81917.912022–2
Greens34,9901.290220,3248.1288+2
Liberal Democrats187,8166.944137,1515.0604–1
Alba44,9131.6600New
All for Unity23,2990.8600New
Scottish Family Party2,7340.10016,0850.5900New
Independent Green Voice9,7560.3600New
Abolish the Scottish Parliament7,2620.2700New
Freedom Alliance1,1540.0406,2710.2300New
Reform UK5,7930.2100New
Libertarian1,9130.0704,9870.18000
UKIP6990.0303,8980.14000
Animal Welfare2,3920.09000
Women's Equality1,8960.07000
TUSC9590.0401,4040.05000
Restore Scotland1,1920.0401,1490.0400New
Communist Party of Britain1940.0101,1420.04000
Renew4930.0200New
Scotia Future1,0320.0404510.0200New
Social Democratic4050.0100New
Reclaim1140.0001740.0100New
Vanguard670.000920.0000New
Liberal1020.0000New
Independents5,6730.2106,1220.23000
Total2,706,761100.00732,712,783100.00561290
Valid votes2,706,76199.632,712,78399.81
Invalid/blank votes10,0240.375,2820.19
Total votes2,716,785100.002,718,065100.00
Registered voters/turnout4,280,78563.464,280,78563.49
Source:Electoral Management Board for Scotland

(Note: no mechanism is used to have the overall seat counts for each party reflect the party share of the overall vote. Each region is taken independently and seats in each region are allocated just as per the region's vote.)

Votes summary

[edit]
64831224
SNPGreenConservativeLabourLD
Popular Vote (Constituency)
SNP
47.70%
Conservative
21.89%
Labour
21.59%
Liberal Democrats
6.94%
Green
1.29%
Other
0.59%
Popular Vote (Regional)
SNP
40.34%
Conservative
23.49%
Labour
17.91%
Green
8.12%
Liberal Democrats
5.06%
Alba
1.66%
Other
3.42%
Parliament seats
SNP
49.61%
Conservative
24.00%
Labour
17.05%
Green
6.20%
Liberal Democrats
3.10%

Central Scotland

[edit]
2021 Scottish Parliament election:Central Scotland constituencies
ConstituencyElected memberResult
Airdrie and ShottsNeil GraySNPhold
Coatbridge and ChrystonFulton MacGregor
Cumbernauld and KilsythJamie Hepburn
East KilbrideCollette Stevenson
Falkirk EastMichelle Thomson
Falkirk WestMichael Matheson
Hamilton, Larkhall and StonehouseChristina McKelvie
Motherwell and WishawClare Adamson
Uddingston and BellshillStephanie Callaghan
2021 Scottish Parliament election:Central Scotland regional list
PartyElected candidatesSeats+/−Votes%+/−%
SNP0Steady148,39945.3Decrease 2.4
LabourRichard Leonard
Monica Lennon
Mark Griffin
3Decrease 177,62323.7Decrease 1.1
ConservativeStephen Kerr
Graham Simpson
Meghan Gallacher
3Steady59,89618.3Increase 2.2
GreenGillian Mackay1Increase 119,5126.0Increase 1.3

Glasgow

[edit]
2021 Scottish Parliament election:Glasgow constituencies
ConstituencyElected memberResult
Glasgow AnnieslandBill KiddSNPhold
Glasgow CathcartJames Dornan
Glasgow KelvinKaukab Stewart
Glasgow Maryhill and SpringburnBob Doris
Glasgow PollokHumza Yousaf
Glasgow ProvanIvan McKee
Glasgow ShettlestonJohn Mason
Glasgow SouthsideNicola Sturgeon
RutherglenClare Haughey
2021 Scottish Parliament election:Glasgow regional list
PartyElected candidatesSeats+/−Votes%+/−%
SNP0Steady133,91743.9Decrease 0.9
LabourPauline McNeill
Anas Sarwar
Paul Sweeney
Pam Duncan-Glancy
4Steady74,08824.3Increase 0.5
ConservativeAnnie Wells
Sandesh Gulhane
2Steady37,02712.1Increase 0.2
GreenPatrick Harvie1Steady36,11411.8Increase 2.4

Highlands and Islands

[edit]
2021 Scottish Parliament election:Highlands and Islands constituencies
ConstituencyElected memberResult
Argyll and ButeJenni MintoSNPhold
Caithness, Sutherland and RossMaree Todd
Inverness and NairnFergus Ewing
MorayRichard Lochhead
Na h-Eileanan an IarAlasdair Allan
OrkneyLiam McArthurLiberal Democrathold
ShetlandBeatrice Wishart
Skye, Lochaber and BadenochKate ForbesSNPhold
2021 Scottish Parliament election:Highlands and Islands regional list
PartyElected candidatesSeats+/−Votes%+/−%
SNPEmma Roddick1Steady96,43340.4Increase 0.7
ConservativeDouglas Ross
Donald Cameron
Edward Mountain
Jamie Halcro Johnston
4Increase 160,77925.4Increase 3.6
Liberal Democrats0Steady26,77111.2Increase 2.1
LabourRhoda Grant1Decrease 122,7139.5Decrease 1.7
GreenAriane Burgess1Steady17,7297.4Increase 0.2

Lothian

[edit]
2021 Scottish Parliament election:Lothian constituencies
ConstituencyElected memberResult
Almond ValleyAngela ConstanceSNPhold
Edinburgh CentralAngus RobertsonSNPgain fromConservative
Edinburgh EasternAsh DenhamSNPhold
Edinburgh Northern and LeithBen Macpherson
Edinburgh PentlandsGordon MacDonald
Edinburgh SouthernDaniel JohnsonLabourhold
Edinburgh WesternAlex Cole-HamiltonLiberal Democrathold
LinlithgowFiona HyslopSNPhold
Midlothian North and MusselburghColin Beattie
2021 Scottish Parliament election:Lothian regional list
PartyElected candidatesSeats+/−Votes%+/−%
SNP0Steady141,47835.9Decrease 0.3
ConservativeMiles Briggs
Sue Webber
Jeremy Balfour
3Steady78,59519.9Decrease 3.0
LabourSarah Boyack
Foysol Choudhury
2Steady76,68919.4Decrease 1.4
GreenAlison Johnstone
Lorna Slater
2Steady49,98412.7Increase 2.1
Liberal Democrats0Steady28,4337.2Increase 1.6

Mid Scotland and Fife

[edit]
2021 Scottish Parliament election:Mid Scotland and Fife constituencies
ConstituencyElected memberResult
Clackmannanshire and DunblaneKeith BrownSNPhold
CowdenbeathAnnabelle Ewing
DunfermlineShirley-Anne Somerville
KirkcaldyDavid Torrance
Mid Fife and GlenrothesJenny Gilruth
North East FifeWillie RennieLiberal Democrathold
Perthshire NorthJohn SwinneySNPhold
Perthshire South and Kinross-shireJim Fairlie
StirlingEvelyn Tweed
2021 Scottish Parliament election:Mid Scotland and Fife regional list
PartyElected candidatesSeats+/−Votes%+/−%
SNP0Steady136,82539.8Decrease 1.5
ConservativeMurdo Fraser
Liz Smith
Dean Lockhart
Alexander Stewart
4Steady85,90925.0Decrease 0.2
LabourClaire Baker
Alex Rowley
2Steady52,62615.3Decrease 2.3
GreenMark Ruskell1Steady28,6548.3Increase 2.2
Liberal Democrats0Steady25,4897.4Increase 0.4

North East Scotland

[edit]
2021 Scottish Parliament election:North East Scotland constituencies
ConstituencyElected memberResult
Aberdeen CentralKevin StewartSNPhold
Aberdeen DonsideJackie Dunbar
Aberdeen South and North KincardineAudrey Nicoll
Aberdeenshire EastGillian Martin
Aberdeenshire WestAlexander BurnettConservativehold
Angus North & MearnsMairi GougeonSNPhold
Angus SouthGraeme Dey
Banffshire & Buchan CoastKaren Adam
Dundee City EastShona Robison
Dundee City WestJoe FitzPatrick
2021 Scottish Parliament election:North East Scotland regional list
PartyElected candidatesSeats+/−Votes%+/−%
SNP0Steady147,91040.9Decrease 3.8
ConservativeLiam Kerr
Douglas Lumsden
Maurice Golden
Tess White
4Steady110,55530.6Increase 2.6
LabourMichael Marra
Mercedes Villalba
2Steady41,06211.4Decrease 1.2
GreenMaggie Chapman1Increase 122,7356.3Increase 1.4
Liberal Democrats0Decrease 118,0515.0Decrease 1.0

South Scotland

[edit]
2021 Scottish Parliament election:South Scotland constituencies
ConstituencyElected memberResult
AyrSiobhian BrownSNPgain fromConservative
Carrick, Cumnock and Doon ValleyElena WhithamSNPhold
ClydesdaleMàiri McAllan
DumfriesshireOliver MundellConservativehold
East LothianPaul McLennanSNPgain fromLabour
Ettrick, Roxburgh and BerwickshireRachael HamiltonConservativehold
Galloway and West DumfriesFinlay Carson
Kilmarnock and Irvine ValleyWillie CoffeySNPhold
Midlothian South, Tweeddale and LauderdaleChristine Grahame
2021 Scottish Parliament election:South Scotland regional list
PartyElected candidatesSeats+/−Votes%+/−%
SNPEmma Harper1Decrease 2136,74137.6Decrease 0.7
ConservativeCraig Hoy
Brian Whittle
Sharon Dowey
3Increase 1121,73033.5Increase 1.4
LabourColin Smyth
Carol Mochan
Martin Whitfield
3Increase 157,23615.7Decrease 2.1

West Scotland

[edit]
2021 Scottish Parliament election:West Scotland constituencies
ConstituencyElected memberResult
Clydebank and MilngavieMarie McNairSNPhold
Cunninghame NorthKenneth Gibson
Cunninghame SouthRuth Maguire
DumbartonJackie BaillieLabourhold
EastwoodJackson CarlawConservativehold
Greenock and InverclydeStuart McMillanSNPhold
PaisleyGeorge Adam
Renfrewshire North and WestNatalie Don
Renfrewshire SouthTom Arthur
Strathkelvin and BearsdenRona Mackay
2021 Scottish Parliament election:West Scotland regional list
PartyElected candidatesSeats+/−Votes%+/−%
SNP0Steady152,67140.4Decrease 1.8
LabourNeil Bibby
Katy Clark
Paul O'Kane
3Steady83,78222.2Decrease 0.3
ConservativeRussell Findlay
Jamie Greene
Pam Gosal
3Steady82,64021.9Decrease 0.3
GreenRoss Greer1Steady26,6327.1Increase 1.8

Constituency seat changes compared to 2016

[edit]
ConstituencyGainLoss
AyrSNPConservative
East LothianLabour
Edinburgh CentralConservative

MSPs who lost their seats

[edit]
MSPConstituency/RegionParty
Michelle Ballantyne[96]South ScotlandReform
Claudia Beamish[97]South ScotlandLabour
Maurice CorryWest ScotlandConservative
James Kelly[98]GlasgowLabour
Gordon LindhurstLothianConservative
Joan McAlpine[99]South ScotlandSNP
John Scott[100]AyrConservative
Paul Wheelhouse[99]South ScotlandSNP
Andy Wightman[101]Lothian (contestedHighlands and Islands)Scottish Greens (contested as independent)

Analysis

[edit]

The SNP won 64 seats, falling one seat short of an overall majority.[102] Some commentators put this down to unionistsvoting tactically for Conservative, Labour and Liberal Democrat candidates.[103][104] According to psephologistJohn Curtice, "Denying the SNP an overall majority was, indeed, a collective effort – at least on the part of Unionist voters, who on the constituency ballot demonstrated a remarkable willingness to back whichever pro-Union party appeared to be best placed locally to defeat the SNP. [...] These patterns had a decisive impact on the outcome."[105] This was apparent in seats likeDumbarton, where incumbent Labour MSPJackie Baillie saw her 0.3% majority increased to 3.9%, whilst both the Conservative and Lib Dem vote share decreased.[106]

InThe National,Emer O'Toole questioned whether social media adverts with "a lack of transparency over funding" may have cost the SNP key seats as well.[107] The day before the election,The Guardian reported that anti-independence groups and campaigners had "spent tens of thousands of pounds in the past week", including onFacebook adverts, calling for tactical voting to prevent the SNP getting a majority.[108] One of these groups was Scotland Matters, whose founder, ProfessorHugh Pennington said, "Across the country as a whole, tactical voting is obviously one of the ways forward to basically harm the SNP, not to put too fine a point on it."[108]

Additionally, the Greens claimed that they may have been deprived of two seats because ofIndependent Green Voice (IGV), a far-right party which has nothing to do with the Scottish Greens (who support Scottish independence). IGV received nearly 10,000 votes, including 2,210 inGlasgow (where the Greens were 1,000 short of gaining a seat) and 1,690 inSouth Scotland (where the Greens fell 100 short). This potentially prevented pro-independence parties from having a 19-seat majority instead of 15 seats.[109]

TheScottish and Welsh Election Studies 2021, revealed on 13 June, found that around a third of Scottish voters who decided to vote differently in the run-up to the election did so to stop another party, and that 90% of those who did this did so in a bid to prevent the SNP winning the seat. Rob Johns, Professor in Politics at theUniversity of Essex, said: "[W]e found a lot more switching than we had expected. The polls had suggested that not much was changing and obviously the overall election result was almost eerily similar to 2016. That can mean that nobody has changed their mind or it can mean lots of people have changed their mind – but these have cancelled out as people have moved in opposing directions. We found there was quite a lot more of that than we had expected."[110]

Voter demographics

[edit]

Data fromSavanta ComRes:[111]

The 2021 Scottish Parliament constituency vote
Social groupSNPConLabLib DemOthers
Total vote48221857
Gender
Male43262470
Female52162453
Age
16–3458102435
35–5451162553
55+38312290

Campaign spending

[edit]
PartyExpenses[112][113]
SNP£1,468,343
Conservative£1,359,435
Labour£1,176,410
Liberal Democrats£434,354
Green£231,902
Alba£214,371
Reform£54,504
Scottish Family£32,908
All for Unity£29,620
TUSC£13,753
Reclaim£10,199
UKIP£8,230
Freedom Alliance£7,387
Communist£6,420

Aftermath

[edit]
Further information:Third Sturgeon government andScottish National Party–Scottish Greens agreement
Election of the First Minister
Ballot →18 May 2021
Required majority →50 out of 99 valid votes
64 / 129
checkY
31 / 129
☒N
4 / 129
☒N
Abstentions
28 / 129
Not voting
2 / 129
Sources[114]

Nicola Sturgeon was nominated asFirst Minister by a vote held on 18 May 2021.[115] Hercabinet was approved by the parliament two days later and thus theThird Sturgeon government, aminority government, was formed.[116]

On 3 August 2021, it was reported that a co-operation agreement between the SNP and the Greens was "on the brink of being finalised" and could see Green MSPs take ministerial positions in government.[117] On 19 August, the power-sharing agreement between the two parties was announced.[7] Under the terms of the agreement, the Greens have two MSPs appointed as junior ministers in the government who are invited to attend cabinet meetings when their portfolios are being discussed. The Greens signed up to the bulk of the SNP's policies, but in areas of disagreement such as international relations and fee-paying schools the two parties are free to publicly disagree.[7] The agreement states that the Greens support the government onvotes of confidence andsupply.[118]

A deal that would seePatrick Harvie andLorna Slater made ministers was revealed on 26 August, subject to being voted upon by Green Party members.[119][120] Two days later, members of both parties overwhelmingly voted in favour of the deal.[121]

See also

[edit]

Other elections in the UK which were held on the same day:

Footnotes

[edit]
  1. ^Elected on theHighlands and Islands regional list while concurrently sitting as aWestminster MP forMoray.[1]Ruth Davidson, the Conservative leader at Holyrood before the leader, stood down at the election to take a seat in theHouse of Lords.[2]
  2. ^Originally elected as SNP
  3. ^Originally elected as SNP
  4. ^Co-opted to replaceRichard Lochhead, who became a constituency MSP in the2006 Moray by-election
  5. ^Originally elected as Labour
  6. ^Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  7. ^Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  8. ^Ross Greer, Scottish Green spokesperson on International Development and External Affairs, Education and Skills, and Culture and Media.
  9. ^Carole Ford, Liberal Democrat spokesperson on Children and Young People.
  10. ^Keith Brown, SNP Depute Leader.

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