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2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election

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For broader coverage of this topic, seeLouisiana's 2nd congressional district.
Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election
← 2020March 20, 2021 (first round)
April 24, 2021 (runoff)		2022 →
Louisiana's 2nd congressional district
Turnout18.0% (first round)[1]
16.8% (second round)[1]
 
NomineeTroy CarterKaren Carter Peterson
PartyDemocraticDemocratic
First round34,402
36.38%		21,673
22.92%
Runoff48,513
55.25%		39,297
44.75%
 
NomineeGary ChambersClaston Bernard
PartyDemocraticRepublican
First round20,163
21.31%		9,237
9.77%
RunoffEliminatedEliminated
First round parish results
Runoff parish results
Carter:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
     70–80%
Peterson:     20–30%     30–40%     50–60%     60–70%
Chambers:     20–30%
Bernard:     30–40%
U.S. Representative before election

Vacant

Elected U.S. Representative

Troy Carter
Democratic

Elections in Louisiana
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Government

The2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election was held on March 20, 2021, with a runoff being held on April 24, 2021.

On November 17, 2020, incumbent Democratic representativeCedric Richmond announced that he would resign from theUnited States House of Representatives to serve as the director of theOffice of Public Liaison and as aSenior Advisor toJoe Biden. He did so on January 15, 2021, and took his new job when Biden assumed office on January 20, 2021.[2][3][4] When congressional seats inLouisiana become vacant, the governor has the ability to call a special election at any time. The special election to fillLouisiana's 2nd congressional district took place on March 20, and a runoff was held on April 24.[5][6][7][8] Troy Carter won the runoff election on April 24, 2021, against fellow Democrat Karen Peterson.[1]

Primary candidates

[edit]

Democratic Party

[edit]

Of the Democratic candidates,Troy Carter, a state senator,Karen Carter Peterson, a state senator and former chair of the Louisiana Democratic Party, andGary Chambers, an activist, were considered the frontrunners.[9] Of these candidates, Carter was considered to bemoderate, while Peterson and Chambers were considered to beprogressives.[9] In the jungle primary, Carter and Peterson took first and second place with 36% and 23% of the vote, while Chambers took third place with 21%.[10] Chambers' result was considered an overperformance, as he significantly outdid his polling numbers.[10] On March 29, Chambers endorsed Peterson.[11]

Declared

[edit]

Republican Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Chelsea Ardoin, HR professional[16]
  • Claston Bernard, decathlete[16]
  • Greg Lirette, information technology professional[19]
  • Sheldon C. Vincent Sr., retired postal worker[16]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Mindy McConnell, principal[20]

No party affiliation

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Belden "Noonie Man" Batiste, activist and perennial candidate[16]
  • Brandon Jolicoeur, actor[16]

Endorsements

[edit]
Claston Bernard (R)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Individuals

  • Rev.Jesse Lee Peterson, podcast and talk show host, president of the Brotherhood Organization of a New Destiny (BOND)(1990–present)[26]

Organizations

Troy Carter (D)

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Gary Chambers (D)

Individuals

Karen Carter Peterson (D)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Jungle primary

[edit]

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Troy
Carter
(D)		Karen
Carter
Peterson
(D)		Gary
Chambers
Jr.
(D)		Desiree
Ontiveros
(D)		OtherUndecided
Edgewater Research/My People Vote[55]March 2–7, 2021651 (LV)± 3.8%35%24%11%–16%15%
LexthomResearch and Development, LLC[56]February 26 – March 3, 20211,067 (LV)± 3.0%23%17%13%4%3%[b]40%
Trust the People PAC (D)[A]February 21–22, 2021620 (LV)± 4.0%24%23%6%2%16%[c]29%
Silas Lee & Associates (D)[57][B]February 12–14, 2021450 (LV)± 3.5%28%19%6%2%8%[d]38%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Troy
Carter
(D)		Cleo
Fields
(D)		Mitch
Landrieu
(D)		Helena
Moreno
(D)		Karen
Carter
Peterson
(D)		OtherUndecided
ALG Research (D)[58]November 2–5, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%15%14%25%18%4%3%22%
22%17%–24%7%4%22%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[59]Solid DMarch 19, 2021
Inside Elections[60]Solid DMarch 19, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[61]Safe DMarch 18, 2021

Results

[edit]
2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTroy Carter34,40236.38
DemocraticKaren Carter Peterson21,67322.92
DemocraticGary Chambers Jr.20,16321.31
RepublicanClaston Bernard9,2379.77
RepublicanChelsea Ardoin3,2183.40
RepublicanGreg Lirette2,3492.48
RepublicanSheldon C. Vincent Sr.7540.80
DemocraticDesiree Ontiveros6990.74
IndependentBelden Batiste5980.63
DemocraticHarold John4030.43
LibertarianMindy McConnell3230.34
DemocraticJ. Christopher Johnson2880.30
DemocraticJenette M. Porter2440.26
DemocraticLloyd M. Kelly1220.13
IndependentBrandon Jolicoeur940.10
Total votes94,567100.00

By parish

[edit]
ParishTroy Carter
Democratic		Karen Carter Peterson
Democratic		Gary Chambers Jr.
Democratic		Claston Bernard
Republican		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Ascension77633.965328.530713.439217.11627.11235.4%2,290
Assumption37344.915218.3597.114917.99811.822126.6%831
East Baton Rouge2,27326.23,04535.12,83232.61641.93654.22132.5%8,679
West Baton Rouge28920.433423.629620.931822.517712.5161.1%1,414
Iberville62223.950419.364024.658322.42589.9180.7%2,607
Jefferson7,70239.53,28316.81,98910.22,90214.93,64718.74,41922.6%19,523
Orleans18,36638.612,05525.312,89727.11,7983.82,5145.35,46911.5%47,630
St. Charles1,03723.247610.63347.51,49533.41,13325.345810.2%4,475
St. James1,23835.055315.63179.099028.043712.42487.0%3,535
St. John the Baptist1,72648.261817.349213.744612.53018.41,10830.9%3,583
Total34,40236.3821,67322.9220,16321.329,2379.779,0929.6112,72913.46%94,567

Runoff

[edit]

A runoff was held on April 24 betweenTroy Carter andKaren Carter Peterson. In the April 24th runoff, Carter beat Peterson 48,513, 55.2%, to 39,297, 44.8%, with 87,810 votes reported from 100% of precincts.[62]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[59]Solid DMarch 19, 2021
Inside Elections[63]Solid DApril 23, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[64]Safe DApril 15, 2021

Endorsements

[edit]
Troy Carter (D)

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Karen Carter Peterson (D)

Governors

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election runoff[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTroy Carter48,51355.25%
DemocraticKaren Carter Peterson39,29744.75%
Total votes87,810100.00
Democratichold

By parish

[edit]
ParishTroy Carter
Democratic		Karen Carter Peterson
Democratic		MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%
Ascension1,11347.51,22852.51155.0%2,341
Assumption44162.626337.417825.2%704
East Baton Rouge3,03235.45,54264.62,51029.2%8,574
West Baton Rouge61748.665251.4352.8%1,269
Iberville1,17348.01,27252.0994.0%2,445
Jefferson11,19567.05,52433.05,67134.0%16,719
Orleans24,16053.021,46747.02,6936.0%45,627
St. Charles2,34670.398929.71,35740.6%3,335
St. James2,35666.21,20233.81,35732.4%3,558
St. John the Baptist2,07864.31,15635.792228.6%3,234
Totals48,51355.2539,29744.759,21610.50%87,810

Notes

[edit]

Additional candidates and polling key

  1. ^abKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Claston Bernard (R) with 3%
  3. ^"Republican candidates" with 11% and "Another candidate" with 5%
  4. ^Chelsea Ardoin (R), Belden Batiste (I), Harold John (D), J. Christopher Johnson (D), Brandon Jolicoeur (NPP), Jenette Porter (D), Lloyd Kelly (D), Greg Lirette (R), Mindy McConnell (L) and Sheldon Vincent (R) combined with 6%; Claston Bernard (R) with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. ^This poll was sponsored by Trust the People PAC, an anti-Troy Carter super PAC.
  2. ^This poll was sponsored by Troy Carter's campaign.

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcde"U. S. Representative – 2nd Congressional District". Louisiana Secretary of State. March 20, 2021.Archived from the original on May 18, 2019. RetrievedMarch 21, 2021.
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  4. ^Mucha, Sarah; Krieg, Gregory; Merica, Dan; Sullivan, Kate (November 17, 2020)."Former Black caucus chair Cedric Richmond to leave Congress and join Biden White House".CNN.Archived from the original on November 17, 2020. RetrievedNovember 17, 2020.
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  9. ^abOtterbein, Holly (February 26, 2021)."How the left plans to shrink the Democratic establishment".Politico.Archived from the original on March 1, 2021. RetrievedMarch 21, 2021.
  10. ^abMonteverde, Danny (March 20, 2021)."Troy Carter, Karen Carter Peterson in runoff for 2nd Dist. Congressional seat".4WWL.Archived from the original on March 21, 2021. RetrievedMarch 21, 2021.
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  76. ^Carolyn B. Maloney [@CarolynBMaloney] (April 24, 2021)."Today is Election Day in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District! Good luck to my dear friend @TeamKCP who has shown time and time again the values, integrity, and know-how that are key to holding elected office" (Tweet). RetrievedApril 25, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  77. ^Bridges, Tyler (April 21, 2021)."Troy Carter, Karen Carter Peterson agree in debate – and attack each other". Nola.com.Archived from the original on April 22, 2021. RetrievedApril 22, 2021.
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External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites

U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Governors
Attorneys
general
State
legislatures
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