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2020 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia

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Main article:2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia

← 2016November 3, 20202024 →
Turnout66.9%[1]Increase
 
NomineeJoe BidenDonald Trump
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateDelawareFlorida
Running mateKamala HarrisMike Pence
Electoral vote30
Popular vote317,32318,586
Percentage92.15%5.40%

Ward results
Precinct results
Biden
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in the
District of Columbia

TheDistrict of Columbia participated in the2020 United States presidential election with the other 50 states on Tuesday, November 3.[2] District of Columbia voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, incumbent PresidentDonald Trump, and running mateVice PresidentMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, former Vice PresidentJoe Biden, and his running mate California SenatorKamala Harris. The District of Columbia has three electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3] Prior to the election, Biden was considered to be all but certain to win D.C.

The nation's capital is overwhelmingly Democratic and has voted for the Democratic nominee by massive margins in every presidential election it has participated in, ever since it was first grantedelectors by the passage of theTwenty-third Amendment in 1961. Biden's 86.75-point margin of victory was virtually identical to that secured byHillary Clinton in2016.[4]

Nevertheless, the District shifted by 0.02% to the right compared with the previous election, likely due to a decline in third-party voting, making Biden the first non-incumbent Democrat since1988 to win D.C. by a smaller margin than in the previous cycle. Biden still received the second-highest share of the vote in D.C., behind only Obama in2008. Along with six states,[a] it was one of seven jurisdictions where Trump improved on his 2016 margins.

Primary elections

[edit]

The District of Columbia held primary elections on June 2, 2020.

Republican primary

[edit]

Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of the district's 19 delegates to the2020 Republican National Convention.[5]

Democratic primary

[edit]
This section is an excerpt from2020 District of Columbia Democratic presidential primary § Results.[edit]
ward
Popular vote share by ward
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
  Biden—80–90%
precinct
Popular vote share by precinct
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
  Biden—80–90%
  Biden—>90%
2020 District of Columbia Democratic presidential primary[6]
CandidateVotes%Delegates[7][8]
Joe Biden84,09375.9719
Elizabeth Warren(withdrawn)14,22812.851
Bernie Sanders(withdrawn)11,11610.04
Tulsi Gabbard(withdrawn)4420.40
Write-in votes8090.73
Total110,688100%20

General election

[edit]

Final predictions

[edit]
SourceRanking
The Cook Political Report[9]Solid D
Inside Elections[10]Solid D
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]Safe D
Politico[12]Solid D
RCP[13]Solid D
Niskanen[14]Safe D
CNN[15]Solid D
The Economist[16]Safe D
CBS News[17]Likely D
270towin[18]Safe D
ABC News[19]Solid D
NPR[20]Likely D
NBC News[21]Solid D
538[22]Solid D

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.


Aggregate polls

[edit]
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[b]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight[23]until November 2, 2020November 3, 202090.8%5.8%3.4%Biden +85.0

Polls

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[24]Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020495 (LV)± 6%5%[d]94%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[24]Oct 1–28, 2020969 (LV)9%89%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[24]Sep 1–30, 2020343 (LV)12%86%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[24]Aug 1–31, 2020252 (LV)16%83%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[24]Jul 1–31, 2020290 (LV)8%91%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[24]Jun 8–30, 2020151 (LV)11%87%3%

Results

[edit]
2020 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticJoe Biden
Kamala Harris
317,32392.15+1.29
RepublicanDonald Trump
Mike Pence
18,5865.40+1.31
Write-in3,1370.91–1.19
LibertarianJo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
2,0360.59–0.99
GreenHowie Hawkins
Angela Walker
1,7260.50–0.87
IndependentGloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman
8550.25+0.25
IndependentBrock Pierce
Karla Ballard
6930.20+0.20
Total votes344,356100.00+1.60

Results by Ward

[edit]
Ward[25]Joe Biden
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various Candidates
Other Parties
MarginTotal Votes Cast
#%#%#%#%
Ward 139,04193.67%1,7254.14%9152.19%37,31689.53%41,681
Ward 229,07888.43%2,9188.87%8852.70%26,16079.56%32,881
Ward 339,39789.07%3,7058.38%1,1292.55%35,69280.69%44,231
Ward 442,48993.80%1,9134.22%8941.98%40,57689.58%45,296
Ward 543,32093.96%1,7693.84%1,0182.20%41,55190.12%46,107
Ward 656,71990.15%4,3376.89%1,8622.96%52,38283.26%62,918
Ward 736,38294.78%1,1342.95%8682.27%35,24891.83%38,384
Ward 830,89794.03%1,0853.30%8762.67%29,81290.73%32,858
Total317,32392.15%18,5865.40%8,4472.45%298,73786.75%344,356

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Those states wereArkansas,California,Florida,Hawaii,Nevada, andUtah.
  2. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ab"General Election 2020 - Certified Results".D.C. Board of Elections.
  2. ^Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018)."US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?".The Independent.Archived from the original on January 4, 2019. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  3. ^"Distribution of Electoral Votes".National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. RetrievedNovember 3, 2020.
  4. ^"District of Columbia Election Results".The New York Times. November 3, 2020.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedNovember 9, 2020.
  5. ^"District of Columbia Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. RetrievedJune 3, 2020.
  6. ^"DCBOE Election Results".electionresults.dcboe.org. DC Board of Elections. RetrievedJune 3, 2020.
  7. ^"Live results: 2020 District of Columbia Democratic presidential primary".The Washington Post. June 17, 2020. RetrievedApril 15, 2022.
  8. ^"District of Columbia Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. June 14, 2019. RetrievedJune 23, 2019.
  9. ^"2020 POTUS Race ratings"(PDF).The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  10. ^"POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections".insideelections.com. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  11. ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President".crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  12. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  13. ^"Battle for White House".RCP. April 19, 2019.
  14. ^2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College PredictionsArchived April 23, 2020, at theWayback Machine,Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  15. ^Chalian, David; Burlij, Terence (June 11, 2020)."Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020".CNN. RetrievedJune 16, 2020.
  16. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. RetrievedJuly 7, 2020.
  17. ^"2020 Election Battleground Tracker".CBS News. July 12, 2020. RetrievedJuly 13, 2020.
  18. ^"2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map".270 to Win.
  19. ^"ABC News Race Ratings".CBS News. July 24, 2020. RetrievedJuly 24, 2020.
  20. ^"2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes".NPR.org. RetrievedAugust 3, 2020.
  21. ^"Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten".NBC News. August 6, 2020. RetrievedAugust 6, 2020.
  22. ^"2020 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Archived fromthe original on August 12, 2020. RetrievedAugust 14, 2020.
  23. ^Best, Ryan; Bycoffe, Aaron; King, Ritchie; Mehta, Dhrumil; Wiederkehr, Anna (June 28, 2018)."District of Columbia : President: general election Polls".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on June 28, 2018.
  24. ^abcdef"Candidate preference".www.tableau.com.
  25. ^"Our Campaigns - DC US President Race - Nov 03, 2020".www.ourcampaigns.com. RetrievedJanuary 25, 2025.

Further reading

[edit]

External links

[edit]
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