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2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming

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Main article:2020 United States presidential election

2020United States presidential election in Wyoming

← 2016November 3, 20202024 →
Turnout62.6%Increase 4.79pp[1]
 
NomineeDonald TrumpJoe Biden
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateFloridaDelaware
Running mateMike PenceKamala Harris
Electoral vote30
Popular vote193,55973,491
Percentage69.94%26.55%

County results
Precinct results

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Biden

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Tie/No Data

  
  


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in Wyoming
Presidential elections
Presidential caucuses
Democratic
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2008
2012
2016
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections

The2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the2020 United States presidential election in which all 50states and theDistrict of Columbia participated.[2]Wyoming voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, incumbent PresidentDonald Trump and running mateVice PresidentMike Pence, againstDemocratic Party nominee, former Vice PresidentJoe Biden and his running mate California SenatorKamala Harris. Wyoming has three electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3] Trump, the Republican nominee and incumbentpresident of the United States, won the state's three electoral votes.

Trump routed Biden in Wyoming, with his 69.94% vote share there making it his strongest win in the election. He won the sparsely populated state by a margin of 43.39%, down from his 46.29% four years earlier. Prior to the election, all news organizations declared Wyoming a safered state, therefore justifying its status as one of the safest red states in the country, not being won by a Democrat sinceLyndon B. Johnson's1964 landslide victory. Trump's 69.94% of the vote is the third-highest ever by a presidential candidate in Wyoming, only surpassed byRonald Reagan's 70.51% during his1984 landslide and by Trump's 71.60% in2024.

Despite his loss, Biden scored a landslide win inTeton County, garnering a larger vote share in it than any nominee since1984. He also narrowly flipped the bellwether ofAlbany County, anchored by thecollege town ofLaramie, which had supported Obama in2008 before returning to the Republican Party in2012 and2016, albeit by a narrow margin.[4] Perexit polls by theAssociated Press, Trump's strength in Wyoming came fromwhite people, who comprised 89% of the electorate, and from voters prioritizingenergy policy, with 62% believing the government should focus on expanding production offossil fuels such asoil,gas, orcoal.[5]

Caucuses

[edit]

Democratic caucuses

[edit]
Further information:2020 Wyoming Democratic presidential caucuses

The Democratic caucuses were originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 22, due to concerns over theCOVID-19 pandemic, theWyoming Democratic Party canceled in-person voting in favor of mail-in voting. The deadline was also extended to April 17.[6]

2020 Wyoming Democratic presidential caucuses[7]
CandidateVotes%Delegates[8]
Joe Biden10,91272.2%12
Bernie Sanders(suspended)4,20627.8%2
Total15,118100%14

Republican caucuses

[edit]

The Republican state party convention was held in May to officially select the final delegates to the national convention. Trump won all 29 delegates from Wyoming: 12 at the county conventions and 17 at the state convention.[9]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[10]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
Inside Elections[11]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
Politico[13]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
RCP[14]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
Niskanen[15]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
CNN[16]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
The Economist[17]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
CBS News[18]Likely RNovember 3, 2020
270towin[19]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
ABC News[20]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
NPR[21]Likely RNovember 3, 2020
NBC News[22]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538[23]Safe RNovember 3, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.


Aggregate polls

[edit]
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight[24]November 3, 202030.8%62.3%6.9%Trump +31.5

Polls

[edit]

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25]Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020367 (LV)± 7%66%[c]33%
University of Wyoming[26]Oct 8–28, 2020614 (LV)± 4%59%31%5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25]Oct 1–28, 2020739 (LV)68%31%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25]Sep 1–30, 2020236 (LV)65%34%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25]Aug 1–31, 2020211 (LV)74%25%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25]Jul 1–31, 2020246 (LV)70%28%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25]Jun 8–30, 202098 (LV)78%22%0%

Electoral slates

[edit]

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in theElectoral College should their candidate win the state:[27]

Donald Trump and
Mike Pence
Republican Party
Joe Biden and
Kamala Harris
Democratic Party
Jo Jorgensen and
Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party
Don Blankenship and
William Mohr
Constitution Party
Brock Pierce and
Karla Ballard
Independent
Marti Halverson
Doug Chamberlain
Karl Allred
Kelly Tamblyn
Andrea Clifford
Milward Simpson
Shawn Johnson
Jared Baldes
Richard Brubaker
Cindy Haggett
Michael O'Brien
Nanette Hinck
Luke Onderko
Joann Dawn Grisham
Elizabeth Batton

Results

[edit]
2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanDonald Trump (incumbent)
Mike Pence (incumbent)
193,55969.94%+2.54%
DemocraticJoe Biden
Kamala Harris
73,49126.55%+4.92%
LibertarianJo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
5,7682.08%−3.05%
IndependentBrock Pierce
Karla Ballard
2,2080.80%N/A
Write-in1,7390.63%−2.04%
Total votes276,765100.00%
Republicanwin

By county

[edit]
CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Albany8,57946.08%9,09248.84%9465.09%-513-2.76%18,617
Big Horn4,80683.55%78813.70%1582.75%4,01869.85%5,752
Campbell16,97586.76%1,9359.89%6563.35%15,04076.87%19,566
Carbon5,01475.24%1,42721.41%2233.35%3,58753.83%6,664
Converse5,91784.89%86112.35%1922.76%5,05672.54%6,970
Crook3,65188.64%3789.18%902.18%3,27379.46%4,119
Fremont12,00766.30%5,51930.47%5853.23%6,48835.83%18,111
Goshen4,87878.16%1,20319.28%1602.57%3,67558.88%6,241
Hot Springs1,99977.57%48218.70%963.73%1,51758.87%2,577
Johnson3,88178.98%89718.25%1362.77%2,98460.73%4,914
Laramie27,89162.00%15,21733.83%1,8744.16%12,67428.17%44,982
Lincoln8,64382.57%1,50914.42%3163.03%7,13468.15%10,468
Natrona25,27171.79%8,53024.23%1,4013.98%16,74147.56%35,202
Niobrara1,11885.47%15511.85%352.68%96373.62%1,308
Park12,81376.65%3,41020.40%4942.96%9,40356.25%16,717
Platte3,89879.18%89018.08%1352.75%3,00861.10%4,923
Sheridan11,84372.09%4,04324.61%5423.29%7,80047.48%16,428
Sublette3,95779.62%88217.75%1312.63%3,07561.87%4,970
Sweetwater12,22973.66%3,82323.03%5513.32%8,40650.63%16,603
Teton4,34129.58%9,84867.10%4883.33%-5,507-37.52%14,677
Uinta7,49679.73%1,59116.92%3153.35%5,90562.81%9,402
Washakie3,24580.88%65116.23%1162.89%2,59464.65%4,012
Weston3,10787.72%36010.16%752.11%2,74777.56%3,542
Totals193,55969.94%73,49126.55%9,7153.51%120,06843.39%276,765
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
County flips
Legend
  • Democratic

      Hold
      Gain from Republican

    Republican

      Hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is called the at-large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictTrumpBidenRepresentative
At-large69.94%26.55%Liz Cheney

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Wyoming Voter Registration and Voter Turnout Statistics"(PDF).sos.wyo.gov/. RetrievedNovember 11, 2020.
  2. ^Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018)."US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?".The Independent.Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  3. ^"Distribution of Electoral Votes".National Archives and Records Administration. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  4. ^"County winners, 1836-2016".Google Docs. RetrievedNovember 20, 2020.
  5. ^"Wyoming Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted".The New York Times. November 3, 2020.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedNovember 17, 2020.
  6. ^"Wyoming Democratic Caucus moves to only mail-in voting".Wyoming Tribune Eagle. March 22, 2020.
  7. ^"2020 Caucus Results".www.wyodems.org. Wyoming Democratic Party. Archived fromthe original on September 13, 2020. RetrievedApril 19, 2020.
  8. ^"Delegate Tracker".interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. RetrievedApril 19, 2020.
  9. ^"Wyoming Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. RetrievedFebruary 21, 2020.
  10. ^"2020 POTUS Race ratings"(PDF).The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  11. ^"POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections".insideelections.com. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  12. ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President".crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  13. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. ^"Battle for White House".RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. ^2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College PredictionsArchived April 23, 2020, at theWayback Machine,Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  16. ^David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020)."Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020".CNN. RetrievedJune 16, 2020.
  17. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. RetrievedJuly 7, 2020.
  18. ^"2020 Election Battleground Tracker".CBS News. July 12, 2020. RetrievedJuly 13, 2020.
  19. ^"2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map".270 to Win.
  20. ^"ABC News Race Ratings".CBS News. July 24, 2020. RetrievedJuly 24, 2020.
  21. ^Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020)."2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes".NPR.org. RetrievedAugust 3, 2020.
  22. ^"Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten".NBC News. August 6, 2020. RetrievedAugust 6, 2020.
  23. ^"2020 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Archived fromthe original on August 12, 2020. RetrievedAugust 14, 2020.
  24. ^Best, Ryan; Bycoffe, Aaron; King, Ritchie; Mehta, Dhrumil; Wiederkehr, Anna (June 28, 2018)."Wyoming : President: general election Polls".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on June 28, 2018.
  25. ^abcdef"Candidate preference".www.tableau.com.
  26. ^"UW Survey: Wyoming Voters Prefer Trump to Biden | News | University of Wyoming".UWYO News.
  27. ^"2020 Presidential Electors Information"(PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 6, 2020.
  28. ^"Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 3, 2020"(PDF).sos.wyo.gov/. RetrievedNovember 11, 2020.
  29. ^"Counties that flipped from Donald Trump to Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election".The Republican. March 17, 2021.Archived from the original on January 4, 2025.

External links

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State and district results of the2020 United States presidential election
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