Movatterモバイル変換


[0]ホーム

URL:


Jump to content
WikipediaThe Free Encyclopedia
Search

2020 United States presidential election in Oregon

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2020 United States presidential election

2020United States presidential election in Oregon

← 2016November 3, 20202024 →
Turnout81.97% (of registered voters)Increase
 
NomineeJoe BidenDonald Trump
PartyDemocraticRepublican
AllianceIndependent Party-
Home stateDelawareFlorida
Running mateKamala HarrisMike Pence
Electoral vote70
Popular vote1,340,383958,448
Percentage56.45%40.37%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Biden

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No Data

  
  


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in Oregon
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections

The2020 United States presidential election in Oregon was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.[1]Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee,PresidentDonald Trump, and running mateVice PresidentMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, formerVice PresidentJoe Biden, and his running mate CaliforniaSenatorKamala Harris. Oregon has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Prior to the election, Oregon was considered to be a state Biden would win or asafe blue state. Biden won 56.45% of the vote to 40.37% for Trump. Biden received Oregon's seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3] The state certified its election results on December 3.[4]

Biden won Oregon by 16.09%, an increase fromHillary Clinton's 11% victory margin in2016. No Republican presidential candidate has won Oregon sinceRonald Reagan of neighboringCalifornia in1984. Biden flipped two counties Trump won in 2016:Marion County, home to the state capital ofSalem; andDeschutes County, anchored by fast-growingBend. This marked the first time since1964 that a Democrat won an outright majority in Deschutes County, although Democratic presidential nominees in 1976 and 1992 had carried the county with pluralities.[5]

Biden was the first Democrat sinceWoodrow Wilson in1916 to win the presidency without carryingColumbia County andTillamook County. Tillamook and Columbia counties were among a fraction of the more than 3,000 counties in the U.S. to vote twice forBarack Obama (in2008 and2012) and twice for Trump (in 2016 and 2020).[6] Biden also made history as the highest vote earner inOregon history, with 1,340,383 votes, and Biden was able to achieve stronger swings leftward in 28 of Oregon's 36 counties thanHillary Clinton in 2016. Perexit polls by theAssociated Press, 33% of voters weresecular and supported Biden by 80%.[7]

Primary elections

[edit]

The Oregon primary elections were held on Tuesday, May 19, 2020.

Republican primary

[edit]

Donald Trump ran unopposed in Oregon, receiving the state's 28 delegates to the Republican National Convention[8]

This section is an excerpt from2020 Oregon Republican presidential primary § ORresults.[edit]
2020 Oregon Republican presidential primary[9]
CandidateVotes%Delegates[10]
Donald Trump (incumbent)363,78593.7028
Write-ins24,4616.300
Total388,246100.0028

Democratic primary

[edit]

Though all Democrats but Joe Biden had withdrawn from the national race by the Oregon primary, four remained on the ballot. Biden won just under two-thirds of the vote. Bernie Sanders received just over 20% of the vote. Oregon's 71 delegates were allocated with 46 to Biden and 15 to Sanders.[8]

This section is an excerpt from2020 Oregon Democratic presidential primary § ORresults.[edit]
2020 Oregon Democratic presidential primary[11]
CandidateVotes%Delegates[12]
Joe Biden408,31565.9946
Bernie Sanders(withdrawn)127,34520.5815
Elizabeth Warren(withdrawn)59,3559.59
Tulsi Gabbard(withdrawn)10,7171.73
Write-in votes12,9792.10
Total618,711100%61

Independent Party of Oregon primary

[edit]

TheIndependent Party of Oregon cross-nominatedJoe Biden after an onlinenonpartisan blanket primary.[13]

CandidateVotes%
Joe Biden1,66146.7
Donald Trump1,38939.1
Bernie Sanders1,22734.5
Total4,277100.00
CandidateVotes%
Joe Biden39255.13
Donald Trump28039.38

Pacific Green Party primary

[edit]

Howie Hawkins won the OregonGreen Party primary.

General election

[edit]

Final predictions

[edit]
SourceRanking
The Cook Political Report[14]Solid D
Inside Elections[15]Solid D
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe D
Politico[17]Likely D
RCP[18]Lean D
Niskanen[19]Safe D
CNN[20]Solid D
The Economist[21]Safe D
CBS News[22]Likely D
270towin[23]Safe D
ABC News[24]Solid D
NPR[25]Likely D
NBC News[26]Likely D
538[27]Solid D

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.


Polls

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
270 to Win[28]September 26 – October 17, 2020October 20, 202058.0%38.5%3.5%Biden +19.5
FiveThirtyEight[29]until November 2, 2020November 3, 202058.7%37.4%3.9%Biden +21.3
Average58.4%38.0%3.7%Biden +20.4

Polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Pacific Green
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[30]Oct 20 – Nov 2, 20203,543 (LV)± 2.5%39%[c]59%
Swayable[31]Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020324 (LV)± 7.3%37%60%1%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[30]Oct 1–28, 20205,422 (LV)38%61%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[30]Sep 1–30, 20202,109 (LV)38%61%2%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[32]Sep 26–29, 2020944 (LV)± 3.5%39%56%3%[d]2%
DHM Research[33]Sep 3–8, 2020502 (LV)± 4%39%51%6%[e]4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[30]Aug 1–31, 20201,648 (LV)38%60%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[30]Jul 1–31, 20201,890 (LV)38%61%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[30]Jun 8–30, 2020872 (LV)39%59%2%

Results

[edit]
2020 United States presidential election in Oregon[34]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticJoe Biden
Kamala Harris
1,340,38356.45%+6.38%
RepublicanDonald Trump
Mike Pence
958,44840.37%+1.28%
LibertarianJo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
41,5821.75%−2.96%
Pacific GreenHowie Hawkins
Angela Walker
11,8310.50%−2.00%
ProgressiveDario Hunter
Dawn Neptune Adams
4,9880.21%N/A
Write-in17,0890.72%−2.91%
Total votes2,374,321100.00%N/A

By county

[edit]
CountyJoe Biden
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Baker2,34623.62%7,35274.02%2342.36%-5,006-50.40%9,932
Benton35,82767.86%14,87828.18%2,0943.96%20,94939.68%52,799
Clackamas139,04353.96%110,50942.89%8,1273.15%28,53411.07%257,679
Clatsop12,91654.02%10,21842.74%7763.24%2,69811.28%23,910
Columbia13,83542.94%17,15053.23%1,2363.83%-3,315-10.29%32,221
Coos14,24338.42%21,82958.88%1,0032.70%-7,586-20.46%37,075
Crook3,80124.61%11,28773.06%3602.33%-7,486-48.45%15,448
Curry6,05840.59%8,48456.84%3832.57%-2,426-16.25%14,925
Deschutes65,96252.67%55,64644.43%3,6262.90%10,3168.24%125,234
Douglas19,16029.78%43,29867.29%1,8912.93%-24,138-37.51%64,349
Gilliam32427.50%83470.80%201.70%-510-43.30%1,178
Grant92920.21%3,54577.13%1222.66%-2,616-56.92%4,596
Harney89419.95%3,47577.55%1122.50%-2,581-57.60%4,481
Hood River8,76466.95%3,95530.21%3712.84%4,80936.74%13,090
Jackson59,47846.77%63,86950.23%3,8183.00%-4,391-3.46%127,165
Jefferson4,39336.88%7,18960.35%3312.77%-2,796-23.47%11,913
Josephine18,45135.73%31,75161.48%1,4392.79%-13,300-25.75%51,641
Klamath10,38828.29%25,30868.91%1,0302.80%-14,920-40.62%36,726
Lake79218.15%3,47079.53%1012.32%-2,678-61.38%4,363
Lane134,36660.46%80,33636.15%7,5513.39%54,03024.31%222,253
Lincoln17,38556.58%12,46040.55%8812.87%4,92516.03%30,726
Linn26,51236.50%43,48659.87%2,6423.63%-16,974-23.37%72,640
Malheur3,26027.62%8,18769.36%3573.02%-4,927-41.74%11,804
Marion80,87248.86%79,00247.73%5,6603.41%1,8701.13%165,534
Morrow1,37126.79%3,58670.07%1613.14%-2,215-43.28%5,118
Multnomah367,24979.21%82,99517.90%13,4152.89%284,25461.31%463,659
Polk22,91747.46%23,73249.14%1,6423.40%-815-1.68%48,291
Sherman26021.52%92176.24%272.24%-661-54.72%1,208
Tillamook8,06647.76%8,35449.47%4682.77%-288-1.71%16,888
Umatilla10,70732.41%21,27064.38%1,0613.21%-10,563-31.97%33,038
Union4,25428.47%10,29868.91%3922.62%-6,044-40.44%14,944
Wallowa1,62531.56%3,40466.11%1202.33%-1,779-34.55%5,149
Wasco6,60446.74%7,03549.79%4913.47%-431-3.05%14,130
Washington209,94065.54%99,07330.93%11,3133.53%110,86734.61%320,326
Wheeler21722.49%71173.68%373.83%-494-51.19%965
Yamhill27,17446.12%29,55150.15%2,1983.73%-2,377-4.03%58,923
Totals1,340,38356.45%958,44840.37%75,4903.18%381,93516.08%2,374,321
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10–12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5–10%
  •   Democratic — +5–7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5–5%
  •   Democratic — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5–5%
  •   Republican — +5–7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5–10%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10–12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5–10%
  •   Democratic — +5–7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5–5%
  •   Democratic — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5–5%
  •   Republican — +5–7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5–10%
County flips
Legend
  • Democratic

      Hold
      Gain from Republican

    Republican

      Hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Biden won four out of five congressional districts in Oregon.[36]

DistrictTrumpBidenRepresentative
1st33.8%62.7%Suzanne Bonamici
2nd55.3%41.8%Cliff Bentz
3rd23.3%73.8%Earl Blumenauer
4th46.4%50.3%Peter DeFazio
5th43.6%53.2%Kurt Schrader

Analysis

[edit]

Edison exit polls

[edit]
2020 presidential election in Oregon by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[37][38]
Demographic subgroupBidenTrump% of

total vote

Total vote56.4540.37100
Ideology
Liberals96433
Moderates663037
Conservatives89230
Party
Democrats98236
Republicans79324
Independents524341
Gender
Men514550
Women633550
Race/ethnicity
White583985
Non-white15
Age
18–29 years old17
30–44 years old623424
45–64 years old524835
65 and older544424
Sexual orientation
LGBT8
Not LGBT554292
Education
High school or less386224
Somecollege education573734
Associate degree574112
Bachelor's degree673017
Postgraduate degree781813
Region
Multnomah County20
Portland suburbs633526
Willamette/Northwest514529
East/South395725
Area type
Urban752332
Suburban524450
Rural375818
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago277141
Worse than four years ago84917
About the same732442

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ^"Someone else" with 3%
  5. ^"Someone else" with 6%

References

[edit]
  1. ^Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018)."US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?".The Independent.Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  2. ^"Distribution of Electoral Votes".National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. RetrievedDecember 24, 2020.
  3. ^"Distribution of Electoral Votes".National Archives and Records Administration. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  4. ^"Oregon secretary of state certifies election results".kgw.com. RetrievedDecember 5, 2020.
  5. ^Warner, Gary (November 20, 2020)."Deschutes joins Oregon's blue hue in presidential voting, and other voting stats".The Bulletin. RetrievedAugust 3, 2021.
  6. ^Warner, Gary A. (January 5, 2022)."A turbulent first week of 2022 election year".Oregon Capital Insider. RetrievedAugust 4, 2022.
  7. ^"Oregon Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted".The New York Times. November 3, 2020.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedNovember 17, 2020.
  8. ^ab"Biden, Trump win presidential primaries in Oregon". KPTV. Associated Press. May 19, 2020.
  9. ^"Oregon Secretary of State".results.oregonvotes.gov. Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedMay 20, 2020.
  10. ^"Delegate Tracker".interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. RetrievedMay 20, 2020.
  11. ^"May 19, 2020, Primary Election Abstract of Votes"(PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedOctober 14, 2020.
  12. ^"Delegate Tracker".interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. RetrievedMay 20, 2020.
  13. ^"RESULTS AND DATA | 2020 OREGON PRIMARY | Independent Party".Pers. RetrievedJuly 10, 2020.
  14. ^"2020 POTUS Race ratings"(PDF).The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  15. ^"POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections".insideelections.com. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  16. ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President".crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  17. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  18. ^"Battle for White House".RCP. April 19, 2019.
  19. ^2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College PredictionsArchived April 23, 2020, at theWayback Machine,Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  20. ^David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020)."Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020".CNN. RetrievedJune 16, 2020.
  21. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. RetrievedJuly 7, 2020.
  22. ^"2020 Election Battleground Tracker".CBS News. July 12, 2020. RetrievedJuly 13, 2020.
  23. ^"2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map".270 to Win.
  24. ^"ABC News Race Ratings".CBS News. July 24, 2020. RetrievedJuly 24, 2020.
  25. ^Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020)."2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes".NPR.org. RetrievedAugust 3, 2020.
  26. ^"Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten".NBC News. August 6, 2020. RetrievedAugust 6, 2020.
  27. ^"2020 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Archived fromthe original on August 12, 2020. RetrievedAugust 14, 2020.
  28. ^270 to Win
  29. ^FiveThirtyEight
  30. ^abcdefSurveyMonkey/Axios
  31. ^SwayableArchived November 27, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  32. ^Civiqs/Daily Kos
  33. ^DHM Research
  34. ^"November 2020 General Election Results"(PDF).Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 6, 2020.
  35. ^ab"Counties that flipped from Donald Trump to Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election".The Republican. March 17, 2021.Archived from the original on January 4, 2025.
  36. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 29, 2025.
  37. ^"Oregon 2020 President exit polls".www.cnn.com. RetrievedDecember 28, 2020.
  38. ^"Oregon Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted".The New York Times. November 3, 2020. RetrievedDecember 28, 2020.

External links

[edit]
U.S.
President
U.S.
Senate
U.S.
House

(election
ratings
)
Governors
Attorneys
general
Secretaries
of state
State
treasurers
State
legislatures
Mayors
Local
Statewide
Related
State and district results of the2020 United States presidential election
Electoral map, 2020 election
General
Governor
Secretary of State
State Treasurer
Attorney General
Labor Commissioner
State legislature
Ballot measures
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
Class 2
Class 3
U.S. House
Multnomah County
Portland Municipal
Mayoral
City Council
Auditor
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Oregon&oldid=1308373298"
Categories:
Hidden categories:

[8]ページ先頭

©2009-2025 Movatter.jp