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| Turnout | 77.17% (of registered voters)[1] 2.69pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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The2020 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the2020 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states and theDistrict of Columbia participated.[2]Florida voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, incumbent presidentDonald Trump, and his running mate,Vice PresidentMike Pence, againstDemocratic Party nominee, former vice presidentJoe Biden, and his running mate, United States senatorKamala Harris, of California. Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]
Florida was one of six states as well asWashington, D.C., where Trump received a greater percentage of the two-party vote than he did in 2016.[a]
Miami Beach, Florida, which hosted the1972 Democratic National Convention, was a finalist to host the2020 Democratic National Convention.[4] The other finalists were Milwaukee and Houston; Milwaukee was chosen.[5][6] Florida was Trump's state of residency for this election;New York was his home state in2016.[7] Trump was the first nominee of either major party to be a Florida resident. Biden was selected as the Democratic nominee in the2020 Florida Democratic presidential primary on March 17, 2020 also becoming the first formervice-president to run for president sinceWalter Mondale in1984.
Before the election, aggregate polls had Biden in the lead in Florida by 1 to 3 percentage points. Despite this, Trump won by a 3.4-point margin, improving on his margin from2016 by 2.2 points. This was the largest margin for any presidential election in Florida since2004. The main reason was increased support for Trump amongLatino voters in the state, particularly inMiami-Dade County, which Biden carried by 7.4 points, significantly less than Clinton's 29.4-point margin in 2016 and Obama's 23.7-point margin in 2012.[8] Trump carried theCuban vote with 56%, while Biden carried thePuerto Rican vote with 66%, and Trump and Biden split theSouth American vote with 50% each. Overall, Biden won 54% of Latinos.[9][10]
In this election, Florida voted 7.8 points right of the nation as a whole, the furthest it has voted from the nation since1988, when the state voted 14.6 points right of the national result. As of the2024 presidential election, this was the only election in which Florida backed the losing candidate since1992. Despite the overall rightward shift, Biden became the first Democrat since1976 to win the heavily urbanizedDuval County, historically a Republican stronghold and home toJacksonville. Similarly, he became the first Democrat to winSeminole County sinceHarry Truman in1948. Biden also became the first Democrat to be elected president without winning Florida sinceBill Clinton in1992.
Florida is one of only three states that voted twice forBarack Obama and thrice for Trump, the other two beingIowa andOhio.
The primary elections were held on March 17, 2020.
The Florida Secretary of State declaredRocky De La Fuente to be a major candidate and thus worthy of automatic inclusion on the ballot.
| Candidate | Votes | % | Estimated delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump (incumbent) | 1,162,984 | 93.79 | 122 |
| Bill Weld | 39,319 | 3.17 | |
| Joe Walsh(withdrawn) | 25,464 | 2.05 | |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 12,172 | 0.98 | |
| Total | 1,239,939 | 100% | 122 |
Three Democrats were still in the race by the time Florida held its primaries:VermontsenatorBernie Sanders, formervice presidentJoe Biden, andrepresentative fromHawaii,Tulsi Gabbard.[13][14][15]
The first Democratic debate took place inMiami over two nights at the end of June 2019. It was broadcast on several of theNBC networks.[16]
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[18] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 1,077,375 | 61.95 | 162 |
| Bernie Sanders | 397,311 | 22.84 | 57 |
| Michael Bloomberg(withdrawn)[b] | 146,544 | 8.43 | |
| Pete Buttigieg(withdrawn) | 39,886 | 2.29 | |
| Elizabeth Warren(withdrawn)[b] | 32,875 | 1.89 | |
| Amy Klobuchar(withdrawn) | 17,276 | 0.99 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 8,712 | 0.50 | |
| Andrew Yang(withdrawn) | 5,286 | 0.30 | |
| Michael Bennet(withdrawn) | 4,244 | 0.24 | |
| Tom Steyer(withdrawn) | 2,510 | 0.14 | |
| Marianne Williamson(withdrawn) | 1,744 | 0.10 | |
| John Delaney(withdrawn) | 1,583 | 0.09 | |
| Cory Booker(withdrawn) | 1,507 | 0.09 | |
| Julián Castro(withdrawn) | 1,036 | 0.06 | |
| Joe Sestak(withdrawn) | 664 | 0.04 | |
| Deval Patrick(withdrawn) | 661 | 0.04 | |
| Total | 1,739,214 | 100% | 219 |
| Source | Ranking |
|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[19] | Tossup |
| Inside Elections[20] | Tilt D(flip) |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean R |
| Politico[22] | Tossup |
| RCP[23] | Tossup |
| Niskanen[24] | Tossup |
| CNN[25] | Tossup |
| The Economist[26] | Lean D(flip) |
| CBS News[27] | Tossup |
| 270towin[28] | Tossup |
| ABC News[29] | Tossup |
| NPR[30] | Tossup |
| NBC News[31] | Lean D(flip) |
| 538[32] | Lean D(flip) |
Graphical summary
 | This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension. |
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided[c] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[33] | October 24 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.0% | 5.3% | Biden +2.7 |
| Real Clear Politics[34] | October 28 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.9% | 47.0% | 5.1% | Biden +0.9 |
| FiveThirtyEight[35] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.1% | 46.6% | 4.3% | Biden +2.5 |
| Average | 48.6% | 46.5% | 4.9% | Biden +2.1 | ||
State polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[d] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insider Advantage/Fox 35[36] | Nov 1–2, 2020[e] | 400 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group[37] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1%[f] | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[38] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 8,792 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 49%[g] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| AYTM/Aspiration[39] | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 | 517 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[40] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 48% | 51% | 0% | 0% | – | 1% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[41][A] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | - | 2%[h] | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[42] | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,657 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 1%[f] | 9% |
| Swayable[43] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,261 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 53% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
| Data for Progress[44] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 0%[i] | – |
| Ipsos/Reuters[45] | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 670 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46%[j] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1%[k] | – |
| 46%[l] | 50% | - | - | 2%[m] | 2% | ||||
| 47%[n] | 51% | - | - | 2%[o] | – | ||||
| Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere[46][B] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 768 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[47] | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 3%[p] | – |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[48] | Oct 27–31, 2020 | 1,451 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0%[q] | 6%[r] |
| Morning Consult[49] | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 4,451 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| St. Pete Polls[50] | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 2,758 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 48% | 49% | 1% | - | – | 2% |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[51] | Oct 28–30, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47%[j] | 51% | - | - | 2%[o] | 0% |
| 45%[s] | 52% | - | - | 2%[o] | 0% | ||||
| 48%[t] | 49% | - | - | 2%[o] | 0% | ||||
| Targoz Market Research/PollSmart[52] | Oct 25–30, 2020 | 1,027 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2%[u] | – |
| AtlasIntel[53] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 786 (LV) | ± 3% | 48.5% | 48.5% | - | - | – | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling/Climate Power 2020[54][C] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 941 (V) | – | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | 3% |
| Harvard-Harris/The Hill[55] | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 1,148 (LV) | ± ≥3% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | 3% |
| ABC/Washington Post[56] | Oct 24–29, 2020 | 824 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 0%[v] | 0% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[57] | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 1,587 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group[58] | Oct 25–28, 2020 | 1,088 (LV) | ± 2.89% | 50% | 47% | 2% | - | 1%[f] | 1% |
| Monmouth University[59] | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 509 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1%[w] | 2% |
| 509 (LV) | 45%[x] | 51% | - | - | – | – | |||
| 46%[y] | 50% | - | - | – | – | ||||
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[38] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 14,571 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Marist College/NBC[60] | Oct 25–27, 2020 | 743 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University[61] | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,324 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 45% | - | - | 1%[f] | 11% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[62] | Oct 21–27, 2020 | 704 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47%[j] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 2%[z] | – |
| 47%[l] | 49% | - | - | 3%[aa] | 2% | ||||
| Swayable[63] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 51% | 46% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
| YouGov/Institute of Politics at Florida State University[64] | Oct 16–26, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | 6% |
| Wick Surveys[65] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Florida Atlantic University[66] | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 937 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2%[ab] | – |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[67][A] | Oct 23–25, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 44% | 2% | - | 3%[ac] | 3% |
| Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research[68] | Oct 17–25, 2020 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.56% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2%[ab] | 3% |
| Ryan Tyson (R)[69] | Released Oct 24, 2020 | – (V)[ad] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | 3%[ae] | 4% |
| Gravis Marketing[70] | Oct 24, 2020 | 665 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% |
| YouGov/CBS[71] | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,228 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2%[af] | 0% |
| St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics[72] | Oct 21–22, 2020 | 2,527 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 2%[ag] | 2% |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[73] | Oct 20–22, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48%[j] | 50% | - | - | 1%[ah] | 1% |
| 46%[s] | 52% | - | - | 1%[ah] | 1% | ||||
| 48%[t] | 46% | - | - | 1%[ah] | 1% | ||||
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[74] | Oct 20–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | - | - | 3%[ai] | 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[75] | Oct 14–21, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46%[j] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 2%[z] | – |
| 46%[l] | 50% | - | - | 1%[aj] | 3% | ||||
| Citizen Data[76] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos[77] | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1%[f] | 1% |
| CNN/SSRS[78] | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 847 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0%[ak] | 1% |
| Morning Consult[49] | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 4,685 (LV) | ± 1.4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[79] | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 547 (LV)[e] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| University of North Florida[80] | Oct 12–16, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1%[f] | 3% |
| HarrisX/The Hill[81][1] | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 965 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[82] | Oct 7–14, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47%[j] | 50% | 0% | 0% | 2%[al] | – |
| 47%[l] | 49% | - | - | 1%[aj] | 3% | ||||
| Trafalgar Group[83] | Oct 11–13, 2020 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 48% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1%[f] | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[84] | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 1,519 (LV) | – | 44%[e] | 50% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics[85] | Oct 11–12, 2020 | 2,215 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 1%[am] | 2% |
| Emerson College[86] | Oct 10–12, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48%[an] | 51% | - | - | 1%[f] | – |
| Mason-Dixon[87] | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1%[ao] | 6% |
| Clearview Research[88] | Oct 7–12, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.18% | 40%[j] | 47% | - | - | 4%[ap] | 9% |
| 39%[aq] | 48% | - | - | 4%[ap] | 9% | ||||
| 41%[ar] | 46% | - | - | 4%[ap] | 9% | ||||
| Morning Consult[49] | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 4,785 (LV) | ± 1.4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[84] | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 42%[e] | 53% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| Florida Atlantic University[89] | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2%[ab] | – |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[90] | Oct 4–8, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 46%[j] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| 44%[s] | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
| 47%[t] | 46% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
| Insider Advantage/Insider Advantage/Hannity Exclusive (R)[91] | Oct 6–7, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 46% | 1% | - | – | 10% |
| YouGov/CCES[92] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 3,755 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Ipsos/Reuters[93] | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 678 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 1%[aj] | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[94] | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1%[as] | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University[95] | Oct 1–5, 2020 | 1,256 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 51% | - | - | 1%[f] | 7% |
| Change Research/CNBC[96] | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[97][2] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45%[j] | 45% | 2% | 0%[at] | 2%[au] | 6% |
| 46%[av] | 45% | - | - | 2%[aw] | 7% | ||||
| University of North Florida[98] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 3,134 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | 1%[f] | 3%[r] |
| St. Leo University[99] | Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 | 489 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[100] | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 710 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0%[q] | 8%[r] |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[38] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 12,962 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce[101] | Sep 23–29, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44%[e] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[102][A] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 46% | 3% | - | – | 8%[r] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[103] | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 1,073 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[as] | 7% |
| St. Pete Polls[104] | Sep 21–22, 2020 | 2,906 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2%[ag] | 2% |
| Data For Progress[105][D] | Sep 15–22, 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 46% | - | - | – | 11% |
| Change Research/CNBC[106] | Sep 18–20, 2020 | 702 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| ABC/Washington Post[107] | Sep 15–20, 2020 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 47% | - | - | 1%[ax] | 1% |
| Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[108][E] | Sep 17–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| YouGov/CBS[109] | Sep 15–18, 2020 | 1,205 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 1%[ay] | 5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[110] | Sep 11–17, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2%[m] | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[111] | Sep 12–14, 2020 | 1,158 (LV) | ± 2.88% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1%[as] | 6% |
| Monmouth University[112] | Sep 10–13, 2020 | 428 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1%[az] | 3% |
| 428 (LV) | 45%[ba] | 50% | - | - | 1%[bb] | 3% | |||
| 46%[bc] | 49% | - | - | 1%[bb] | 3% | ||||
| Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report[113] | Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 | 1,009 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | - | - | 4%[bd] | 11% |
| Florida Atlantic University[114] | Sep 11–12, 2020 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 50% | - | - | 0%[be] | – |
| St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics/AARP[115] | Sep 7–8, 2020 | 2,689 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2%[ag] | 2% |
| Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP[116] | Aug 30 – Sep 8, 2020 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2%[bf] | 4% |
| Morning Consult[117] | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 3,914 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 43%[bg] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[118] | Sep 4–6, 2020 | 1,144 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4%[bh] | – |
| Marist College/NBC[119] | Aug 31 – Sep 5, 2020 | 760 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
| Trafalgar Group[120] | Sep 1–3, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 2% | - | 1%[bi] | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[121] | Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[as] | 6% |
| GQR Research (D)[122] | Aug 26 – Sep 3, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Quinnipiac[123] | Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 | 1,235 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1%[f] | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[38] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 12,286 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult[124] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 3,790 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Opinium/The Guardian[125][3] | Aug 21–26, 2020 | 684 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
| Change Research/CNBC[126] | Aug 21–23, 2020 | 1,262 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| PPP[127] | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 671 (V) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 7% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies[128] | Aug 16, 2020 | 1,280 (LV) | – | 41% | 49% | 1% | - | 1%[as] | 7% |
| Morning Consult[124] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 3,484 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[129][F] | Aug 11–15, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 46% | 2% | - | 1%[bj] | 6% |
| Change Research/CNBC[130] | Aug 7–9, 2020 | 469 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action[131][G] | Aug 2–4, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[38] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 13,945 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Change Research/CNBC[132][4] | Jul 24–26, 2020 | 685 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[133] | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 3,760 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 46%[bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[133] | Jul 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[ad] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| CNN/SSRS[134] | Jul 18–24, 2020 | 880 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2%[bk] | 2% |
| Zogby Analytics[135] | Jul 21–23, 2020 | 811 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 43% | 3% | 2% | – | 9% |
| Mason-Dixon[136] | Jul 20–23, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[137] | Jul 19–21, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[as] | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[138] | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 924 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 6%[bl] | 5% |
| Morning Consult[133] | Jul 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[ad] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Florida Politics/AARP Florida/St. Pete Polls[139] | Jul 13–14, 2020 | 3,018 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2%[bm] | 3% |
| Gravis Marketing[140] | Jul 13, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 53% | - | - | – | 4% |
| Change Research/CNBC[141] | Jul 10–12, 2020 | 1,128 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| YouGov/CBS[142] | Jul 7–10, 2020 | 1,206 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2%[bn] | 8% |
| Morning Consult[133] | Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 | – (LV)[ad] | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group[143] | Jun 29 – Jul 2, 2020 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 2.91% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 5%[bo] | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[38] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 5,663 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Change Research/CNBC[144] | Jun 26–28, 2020 | 951 (LV)[e] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[133] | Jun 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[ad] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Fox News[145] | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 6%[bp] | 6% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[146] | Jun 8–18, 2020 | 651 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 47% | - | - | 4%[bq] | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[147] | Jun 14–15, 2020 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 41% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 1%[as] | 11% |
| Morning Consult[133] | Jun 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[ad] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[148] | Jun 12–14, 2020 | 713 (LV)[e] | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 3%[br] | – |
| Gravis Marketing/OANN[149] | Released Jun 11, 2020 | – (V)[ad] | – | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| TIPP/American Greatness PAC[150][A] | Jun 9–11, 2020 | 875 (LV) | – | 40% | 51% | - | - | 4%[bs] | 5% |
| Morning Consult[133] | May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 | – (LV)[ad] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC[151] | May 29–31, 2020 | 1,186 (LV)[e] | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
| Cygnal (R)[152] | May 18–30, 2020 | 881 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43.8% | 47% | - | - | 3.3%[bt] | 5.9% |
| St. Pete Polls[153] | May 26–27, 2020 | 4,763 (RV) | ± 1.4% | 46.7% | 47.5% | - | - | 2.7%[bu] | 3.1% |
| Morning Consult[133] | May 17–26, 2020 | 3,593 (LV) | – | 48%[bg] | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[133] | May 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[ad] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Point Blank Political[154] | May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 45% | 1%[bv] | <1%[bw] | 2% | 8% |
| Point Blank Political[154] | May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult[133] | May 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[ad] | – | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[155] | May 10–14, 2020 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 45% | - | - | 3%[bx] | 10% |
| Florida Atlantic University[156] | May 8–12, 2020 | 928 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
| Fox News[157] | Apr 18–21, 2020 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
| Quinnipiac University[158] | Apr 16–20, 2020 | 1,385 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
| St. Pete Polls[159] | Apr 16–17, 2020 | 5,659 (RV) | ± 1.3% | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
| University of North Florida[160] | Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2020 | 3,244 (RV) | ± 1.7% | 40% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
| AtlasIntel[161] | Mar 14–16, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
| Univision[162] | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
| Florida Atlantic University[163] | Mar 5–7, 2020 | 1,216 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| University of North Florida[98] | Feb, 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | - | - | – | 10%[r] |
| Saint Leo University[164] | Feb 17–22, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
| University of North Florida[165] | Feb 10–18, 2020 | 668 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
| Florida Atlantic University[166] | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 1,285 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce[167][H] | Jan 3–12, 2020 | 608 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
| Mason-Dixon[168] | Dec 11–16, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | 8% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[169] | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
| University of North Florida[170] | Oct 14–20, 2019 | 643 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 6%[by] | 3% |
| Florida Atlantic University[171] | Sep 12–15, 2019 | 934 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | - | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University[172] | Jun 12–17, 2019 | 1,279 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
| St. Pete Polls[173] | Jun 15–16, 2019 | 3,095 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
| Florida Atlantic University[174] | May 16–19, 2019 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| WPA Intelligence[175] | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 48% | 44% | - | - | – | 7% |
Former candidates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
|
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey
with Donald Trump and generic Democrat
with Donald Trump and generic Opponent
with Mike Pence and Joe Biden
with Mike Pence and Kamala Harris
with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren
|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 5,668,731 | 51.22% | +2.20% | |
| Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 5,297,045 | 47.86% | +0.04% | |
| Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 70,324 | 0.64% | −1.56% | |
| Green | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker | 14,721 | 0.13% | −0.55% | |
| Reform | Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson | 5,966 | 0.05% | −0.05% | |
| Socialism and Liberation | Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman | 5,712 | 0.05% | N/A | |
| Constitution | Don Blankenship William Mohr | 3,902 | 0.04% | −0.13% | |
| Write-in | 1,055 | 0.01% | −0.26% | ||
| Total votes | 11,067,456 | 100.00% | |||
| County | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Alachua | 50,972 | 35.63% | 89,704 | 62.71% | 2,371 | 1.66% | -38,732 | -27.08% | 143,047 |
| Baker | 11,911 | 84.58% | 2,037 | 14.47% | 134 | 0.95% | 9,874 | 70.11% | 14,082 |
| Bay | 66,097 | 70.91% | 25,614 | 27.48% | 1,502 | 1.61% | 40,483 | 43.43% | 93,213 |
| Bradford | 10,334 | 75.71% | 3,160 | 23.15% | 156 | 1.14% | 7,174 | 52.56% | 13,650 |
| Brevard | 207,883 | 57.48% | 148,549 | 41.08% | 5,221 | 1.44% | 59,334 | 16.40% | 361,653 |
| Broward | 333,409 | 34.74% | 618,752 | 64.48% | 7,479 | 0.78% | -285,343 | -29.74% | 959,640 |
| Calhoun | 5,274 | 80.68% | 1,209 | 18.49% | 54 | 0.83% | 4,065 | 62.19% | 6,537 |
| Charlotte | 73,243 | 62.84% | 42,273 | 36.27% | 1,042 | 0.89% | 30,970 | 26.57% | 116,558 |
| Citrus | 65,352 | 69.98% | 27,092 | 29.01% | 944 | 1.01% | 38,260 | 40.97% | 93,388 |
| Clay | 84,480 | 67.77% | 38,317 | 30.74% | 1,863 | 1.49% | 46,163 | 37.03% | 124,660 |
| Collier | 128,950 | 61.91% | 77,621 | 37.27% | 1,714 | 0.82% | 51,329 | 24.64% | 208,285 |
| Columbia | 23,836 | 72.03% | 8,914 | 26.94% | 342 | 1.03% | 14,822 | 45.09% | 33,092 |
| DeSoto | 8,313 | 65.58% | 4,259 | 33.60% | 104 | 0.82% | 4,054 | 31.98% | 12,676 |
| Dixie | 6,759 | 82.70% | 1,365 | 16.70% | 49 | 0.60% | 5,394 | 66.00% | 8,173 |
| Duval | 233,762 | 47.30% | 252,556 | 51.11% | 7,843 | 1.59% | -18,794 | -3.81% | 494,161 |
| Escambia | 96,674 | 56.58% | 70,929 | 41.51% | 3,253 | 1.91% | 25,745 | 15.07% | 170,856 |
| Flagler | 43,043 | 59.90% | 28,161 | 39.19% | 659 | 0.91% | 14,882 | 20.71% | 71,863 |
| Franklin | 4,675 | 68.16% | 2,120 | 30.91% | 64 | 0.93% | 2,555 | 37.25% | 6,859 |
| Gadsden | 7,465 | 31.42% | 16,153 | 67.98% | 144 | 0.60% | -8,688 | -36.56% | 23,762 |
| Gilchrist | 7,895 | 81.37% | 1,700 | 17.52% | 107 | 1.11% | 6,195 | 63.85% | 9,702 |
| Glades | 3,782 | 72.69% | 1,385 | 26.62% | 36 | 0.69% | 2,397 | 46.07% | 5,203 |
| Gulf | 6,113 | 74.80% | 1,985 | 24.29% | 74 | 0.91% | 4,128 | 50.51% | 8,172 |
| Hamilton | 3,815 | 65.33% | 1,963 | 33.61% | 62 | 1.06% | 1,852 | 31.72% | 5,840 |
| Hardee | 6,122 | 72.01% | 2,298 | 27.03% | 82 | 0.96% | 3,824 | 44.98% | 8,502 |
| Hendry | 7,906 | 61.02% | 4,929 | 38.04% | 121 | 0.94% | 2,977 | 22.98% | 12,956 |
| Hernando | 70,412 | 64.51% | 37,519 | 34.37% | 1,219 | 1.12% | 32,893 | 30.14% | 109,150 |
| Highlands | 34,873 | 66.75% | 16,938 | 32.42% | 432 | 0.83% | 17,935 | 34.33% | 52,243 |
| Hillsborough | 327,398 | 45.85% | 376,367 | 52.71% | 10,303 | 1.44% | -48,969 | -6.86% | 714,068 |
| Holmes | 8,080 | 89.01% | 924 | 10.18% | 74 | 0.81% | 7,156 | 78.83% | 9,078 |
| Indian River | 58,872 | 60.23% | 37,844 | 38.72% | 1,024 | 1.05% | 21,028 | 21.51% | 97,740 |
| Jackson | 15,488 | 68.97% | 6,766 | 30.13% | 202 | 0.90% | 8,722 | 38.84% | 22,456 |
| Jefferson | 4,479 | 52.89% | 3,897 | 46.02% | 92 | 1.09% | 382 | 6.87% | 8,468 |
| Lafayette | 3,128 | 85.42% | 510 | 13.93% | 24 | 0.65% | 2,618 | 71.49% | 3,662 |
| Lake | 125,859 | 59.56% | 83,505 | 39.52% | 1,950 | 0.92% | 42,354 | 20.04% | 211,314 |
| Lee | 233,247 | 59.09% | 157,695 | 39.95% | 3,816 | 0.96% | 75,552 | 19.14% | 394,758 |
| Leon | 57,453 | 35.14% | 103,517 | 63.32% | 2,506 | 1.54% | -46,064 | -28.18% | 163,476 |
| Levy | 16,749 | 72.24% | 6,205 | 26.76% | 231 | 1.00% | 10,544 | 45.48% | 23,185 |
| Liberty | 2,846 | 79.83% | 694 | 19.47% | 25 | 0.70% | 2,152 | 60.36% | 3,565 |
| Madison | 5,576 | 59.36% | 3,747 | 39.89% | 70 | 0.75% | 1,829 | 19.47% | 9,393 |
| Manatee | 124,987 | 57.47% | 90,166 | 41.46% | 2,319 | 1.07% | 34,821 | 16.01% | 217,472 |
| Marion | 127,826 | 62.44% | 74,858 | 36.57% | 2,032 | 0.99% | 52,968 | 25.87% | 204,716 |
| Martin | 61,168 | 61.82% | 36,893 | 37.29% | 881 | 0.89% | 24,275 | 24.53% | 98,942 |
| Miami-Dade | 532,833 | 45.98% | 617,864 | 53.31% | 8,221 | 0.71% | -85,931 | -7.33% | 1,158,918 |
| Monroe | 25,693 | 53.38% | 21,881 | 45.46% | 561 | 1.16% | 3,812 | 7.92% | 48,135 |
| Nassau | 42,566 | 72.25% | 15,564 | 26.42% | 785 | 1.33% | 27,002 | 45.83% | 58,915 |
| Okaloosa | 79,798 | 68.35% | 34,248 | 29.34% | 2,697 | 2.31% | 45,550 | 39.01% | 116,743 |
| Okeechobee | 11,470 | 71.76% | 4,390 | 27.46% | 124 | 0.78% | 7,080 | 44.30% | 15,984 |
| Orange | 245,398 | 37.80% | 395,014 | 60.85% | 8,745 | 1.35% | -149,616 | -23.05% | 649,157 |
| Osceola | 73,480 | 42.53% | 97,297 | 56.31% | 2,007 | 1.16% | -23,817 | -13.78% | 172,784 |
| Palm Beach | 334,711 | 43.21% | 433,572 | 55.97% | 6,314 | 0.82% | -98,861 | -12.76% | 774,597 |
| Pasco | 179,621 | 59.36% | 119,073 | 39.35% | 3,927 | 1.29% | 60,548 | 20.01% | 302,621 |
| Pinellas | 276,209 | 49.22% | 277,450 | 49.44% | 7,502 | 1.34% | -1,241 | -0.22% | 561,161 |
| Polk | 194,586 | 56.56% | 145,049 | 42.16% | 4,391 | 1.28% | 49,537 | 14.40% | 344,026 |
| Putnam | 25,514 | 70.05% | 10,527 | 28.90% | 381 | 1.05% | 14,987 | 41.15% | 36,422 |
| St. Johns | 110,946 | 62.66% | 63,850 | 36.06% | 2,251 | 1.28% | 47,096 | 26.60% | 177,047 |
| St. Lucie | 86,831 | 50.38% | 84,137 | 48.82% | 1,381 | 0.80% | 2,694 | 1.56% | 172,349 |
| Santa Rosa | 77,385 | 72.19% | 27,612 | 25.76% | 2,201 | 2.05% | 49,773 | 46.43% | 107,198 |
| Sarasota | 148,370 | 54.71% | 120,110 | 44.29% | 2,689 | 1.00% | 28,260 | 10.42% | 271,169 |
| Seminole | 125,241 | 47.89% | 132,528 | 50.67% | 3,764 | 1.44% | -7,287 | -2.78% | 261,533 |
| Sumter | 62,761 | 67.76% | 29,341 | 31.68% | 522 | 0.56% | 33,420 | 36.08% | 92,624 |
| Suwannee | 16,410 | 77.84% | 4,485 | 21.27% | 188 | 0.89% | 11,925 | 56.57% | 21,083 |
| Taylor | 7,751 | 76.45% | 2,299 | 22.68% | 88 | 0.87% | 5,452 | 53.77% | 10,138 |
| Union | 5,133 | 82.11% | 1,053 | 16.85% | 65 | 1.04% | 4,080 | 65.26% | 6,251 |
| Volusia | 173,821 | 56.42% | 130,575 | 42.38% | 3,713 | 1.20% | 43,246 | 14.04% | 308,109 |
| Wakulla | 12,874 | 69.79% | 5,351 | 29.01% | 223 | 1.20% | 7,523 | 40.78% | 18,448 |
| Walton | 32,947 | 75.23% | 10,338 | 23.61% | 510 | 1.16% | 22,609 | 51.62% | 43,795 |
| Washington | 9,876 | 80.06% | 2,347 | 19.03% | 112 | 0.91% | 7,529 | 61.03% | 12,335 |
| Totals | 5,668,731 | 51.11% | 5,297,045 | 47.75% | 126,445 | 1.14% | 371,686 | 3.36% | 11,092,221 |
Swing by county
Trend relative to the state by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold Gain from Republican | Republican Hold
|
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Trump won 15 of 27 congressional districts, while Biden won 12, including one that elected a Republican.[183]
| District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 65.9% | 32.4% | Matt Gaetz |
| 2nd | 67% | 32% | Neal Dunn |
| 3rd | 56% | 42.8% | Ted Yoho |
| Kat Cammack | |||
| 4th | 59.9% | 38.9% | John Rutherford |
| 5th | 36.2% | 62.7% | Al Lawson |
| 6th | 58.3% | 40.8% | Michael Waltz |
| 7th | 44.2% | 54.6% | Stephanie Murphy |
| 8th | 58.3% | 40.6% | Bill Posey |
| 9th | 46% | 52.9% | Darren Soto |
| 10th | 37% | 62% | Val Demings |
| 11th | 65.4% | 33.8% | Daniel Webster |
| 12th | 57.9% | 41% | Gus Bilirakis |
| 13th | 47.4% | 51.5% | Charlie Crist |
| 14th | 41.6% | 57.2% | Kathy Castor |
| 15th | 53.7% | 45.2% | Ross Spano |
| Scott Franklin | |||
| 16th | 53.6% | 45.5% | Vern Buchanan |
| 17th | 63.3% | 35.9% | Greg Steube |
| 18th | 53.9% | 45.5% | Brian Mast |
| 19th | 59.7% | 39.6% | Francis Rooney |
| Byron Donalds | |||
| 20th | 22.1% | 77.3% | Alcee Hastings |
| 21st | 41.2% | 58.2% | Lois Frankel |
| 22nd | 42.3% | 57.2% | Ted Deutch |
| 23rd | 41.2% | 58.3% | Debbie Wasserman Schultz |
| 24th | 24% | 75.4% | Frederica Wilson |
| 25th | 61.2% | 38.2% | Mario Díaz-Balart |
| 26th | 52.5% | 46.9% | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell |
| Carlos Giménez | |||
| 27th | 48.1% | 51.3% | Donna Shalala |
| Maria Elvira Salazar |
This election was the first time since1992, and only the second time since1960, that Florida went to the losing candidate in a presidential election. It was also the first time since 1960 that bothOhio and Florida have voted for the losing candidate in a presidential election, the first time since 1992 that Florida voted Republican while neighboringGeorgia voted Democratic, and the first time since 1992 that Florida voted more Republican thanNorth Carolina. Trump also became the first Republican candidate to win Florida with a majority of the state's popular vote sinceGeorge W. Bush did so in2004.[184]
Despite his loss statewide, Biden became the first Democrat to winDuval County—consolidated withJacksonville—since SouthernerJimmy Carter in1976, and the first Democrat to winSeminole County sinceHarry Truman in1948.[185][186] Biden also flippedPinellas County back to the Democratic Party. Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidency without carryingJefferson County sinceLyndon B. Johnson in1964, and the first Democrat to win the presidency without carryingMonroe County sinceGrover Cleveland in1884.[187]
Also, this is the first time since1888 that Florida increased its margin to an incumbent that lost re-election nationally. Florida was one of six states where Trump received a higher percentage of the vote than he did in 2016.[cd] Florida is one of three states that voted twice forBarack Obama and thrice for Trump, the other two beingOhio andIowa.
TheUnited States Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit, located inAtlanta, ruled that ex-felons could not vote in Florida unless they pay fines and fees. Florida voters approved amendment 4 in November 2018, which restored voting for felons upon completion of all terms of sentence including parole or probation, except for those who committed murders or were involved in sex crimes.[188] The Republican-controlled legislature then passed a law which required ex-felons to settle their financial obligation in courts. TheUnited States District Court in Tallahassee ruled against it in May, but the circuit court overturned it in September, which was speculated to have created further problems for ex-felons when they voted in November. Civil rights organizations includingAmerican Civil Liberties Union opposed the decision by the court.[189]
In Miami-Dade County, the majority of Trump support came from the west and the majority of Biden support came from the east.Mexican,Haitian, andAfrican American precincts tended to vote for Biden, whileCuban andColombian American precincts did so for Trump.[190] Trump won approximately two thirds of the vote inHialeah, whereas it was nearly evenly split four years prior.[191] Due to the heavy presence of the Cuban-American community, Hialeah traditionally, as of 2020, leaned towards Republican politics.[192] Trump's coattails played a role in the election of Miami RepublicansCarlos A. Giménez andMaria Elvira Salazar to the House of Representatives.
Residents of Cuban descent often had an antagonism against leftist movements due to associations withFidel Castro.[193] Trump sought to attract these voters by implementing anti-Cuba policies.[194]
Additionally, Trump made efforts to target other Hispanic demographics. Trump significantly increased his share of the vote in majority-HispanicOsceola County, winning 42.53% of the vote, the highest since2004.[191]
| 2020 presidential election in Florida by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[195][196] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic subgroup | Biden | Trump | % of total vote |
| Total vote | 47.86 | 51.22 | 100 |
| Ideology | |||
| Liberals | 83 | 16 | 19 |
| Moderates | 59 | 40 | 42 |
| Conservatives | 16 | 83 | 39 |
| Party | |||
| Democrats | 94 | 5 | 30 |
| Republicans | 7 | 93 | 38 |
| Independents | 54 | 43 | 32 |
| Gender | |||
| Men | 45 | 54 | 45 |
| Women | 51 | 48 | 55 |
| Race/ethnicity | |||
| White | 37 | 62 | 62 |
| Black | 89 | 10 | 14 |
| Latino | 53 | 46 | 19 |
| Asian | – | – | 1 |
| Other | 55 | 44 | 3 |
| Age | |||
| 18–24 years old | 57 | 42 | 7 |
| 25–29 years old | 64 | 35 | 6 |
| 30–39 years old | 48 | 50 | 13 |
| 40–49 years old | 48 | 51 | 13 |
| 50–64 years old | 45 | 54 | 28 |
| 65 and older | 45 | 55 | 32 |
| Sexual orientation | |||
| LGBT | 83 | 15 | 6 |
| Not LGBT | 46 | 53 | 94 |
| Education | |||
| High school or less | 44 | 56 | 19 |
| Somecollege education | 50 | 49 | 25 |
| Associate degree | 45 | 53 | 20 |
| Bachelor's degree | 49 | 50 | 22 |
| Postgraduate degree | 53 | 45 | 14 |
| Issue regarded as most important | |||
| Racial inequality | 86 | 12 | 13 |
| Coronavirus | 88 | 10 | 18 |
| Economy | 13 | 87 | 38 |
| Crime and safety | 12 | 88 | 10 |
| Health care | 83 | 16 | 13 |
| Region | |||
| North/Panhandle | 41 | 58 | 18 |
| Orlando/Central Atlantic | 51 | 48 | 19 |
| Tampa Bay area | 48 | 51 | 16 |
| Gulf Coast/Mid-Florida | 39 | 60 | 20 |
| Miami/Gold Coast | 58 | 41 | 27 |
| Area type | |||
| Urban | 55 | 44 | 41 |
| Suburban | 44 | 55 | 50 |
| Rural | 38 | 61 | 9 |
| Family's financial situation today | |||
| Better than four years ago | 18 | 81 | 44 |
| Worse than four years ago | 84 | 15 | 19 |
| About the same | 67 | 32 | 36 |
Partisan clients
Florida
Both parties are waging legal battles around the country over who gets to vote and how
Videos:
State and district results of the2020 United States presidential election | ||
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