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2020 United States Senate election in West Virginia

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2020 United States Senate election in West Virginia
← 2014November 3, 20202026 →
 
NomineeShelley Moore CapitoPaula Jean Swearengin
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote547,454210,309
Percentage70.28%27.00%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Capito:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Swearengin:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%
U.S. senator before election

Shelley Moore Capito
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Shelley Moore Capito
Republican

Elections in West Virginia
Presidential elections
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The2020 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of West Virginia, concurrently with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states,elections to theUnited States House of Representatives, and variousstate and local elections.

Incumbent senatorShelley Moore Capito won a second term againstDemocratPaula Jean Swearengin by a margin of 43.3%, winning every county, and becoming the first West Virginia Republican to win reelection to the U.S. Senate since 1907.

Swearengin's 27% of the vote was the lowest vote percentage and worst margin of defeat for any Democratic Senate candidate in West Virginia history.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Larry Butcher, farmer[1]
  • Allen Whitt, president of the West Virginia Family Policy Council[2]

Endorsements

[edit]
Shelley Moore Capito

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Moore Capito
  •   Capito—80–90%
  •   Capito—70–80%
Republican primary results[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanShelley Moore Capito (incumbent)173,84783.32%
RepublicanAllen Whitt20,0759.62%
RepublicanLarry Butcher14,7177.05%
Total votes208,639100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Paula Jean Swearengin won the nomination with 38.8% of the vote in the state's Democratic primary on June 9, 2020.[5]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Paula Jean Swearengin

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county
Swearengin
  •   Swearengin—30-40%
  •   Swearengin—40-50%
  •   Swearengin—50-60%
Ojeda
  •   Ojeda—40–50%
  •   Ojeda—30–40%
  •   Ojeda—20–30%
Robb
  •   Robb—30-40%
  •   Robb—40-50%
  •   Robb—50-60%
Democratic primary results[14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPaula Jean Swearengin72,29238.39%
DemocraticRichard Ojeda61,95432.90%
DemocraticRichie Robb54,04828.70%
Total votes188,294100.00%

Other candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Independents

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[17]Safe ROctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections[18]Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos[20]Safe ROctober 30, 2020
Politico[21]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP[22]Safe ROctober 23, 2020
DDHQ[23]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538[24]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Economist[25]Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Endorsements

[edit]
Shelley Moore Capito (R)

Unions

Organizations

Publications

Paula Jean Swearengin (D)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Notable Individuals

Unions

Organizations

Publications

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Shelley Moore
Capito (R)		Paula Jean
Swearengin (D)		David
Moran (L)		Undecided
Research America Inc.[50]October 6–9, 2020450 (LV)± 4.6%53%33%5%9%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Shelley Moore
Capito (R)		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][A]June 13–14, 2017762 (V)± 3.4%48%35%17%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in West Virginia, 2020[52]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanShelley Moore Capito (incumbent)547,45470.28%+8.16%
DemocraticPaula Jean Swearengin210,30927.00%−7.47%
LibertarianDavid Moran21,1552.72%+1.09%
Total votes778,918100.00%
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]

Capito won all 55 of the state's counties for the second election in a row, earning more than 70% of the vote over Swearengin in all but nine counties.

By county
CountyShelley Moore Capito
Republican		Paula Jean Swearengin
Democratic		David Moran
Libertarian		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%
Barbour5,09677.001,33120.111912.893,76556.896,618
Berkeley34,16267.2315,19729.911,4532.8618,96537.3250,812
Boone6,67475.272,01622.741772.004,65852.538,867
Braxton4,00672.221,39525.151462.632,61147.075,547
Brooke7,35570.962,69926.043113.004,65644.9210,365
Cabell22,88062.3012,97935.348642.359,90126.9636,723
Calhoun2,27678.8153718.59752.601,73960.222,888
Clay2,68080.3857517.25792.372,10563.143,334
Doddridge2,50782.9041513.721023.372,09269.183,024
Fayette11,15867.794,93830.003642.216,22037.7916,460
Gilmer1,93974.7858622.60682.621,35352.182,593
Grant4,54486.8753410.211532.924,01076.665,231
Greenbrier11,04270.694,29927.522801.796,74343.1715,621
Hampshire7,76479.221,76418.002722.786,00061.229,800
Hancock9,59371.383,48425.923622.696,10945.4613,439
Hardy4,87978.181,19619.161662.663,68359.016,241
Harrison21,19470.647,80726.021,0003.3313,38744.6230,001
Jackson10,29877.212,75420.652852.147,54456.5613,337
Jefferson15,62557.2311,03340.416462.374,59216.8227,304
Kanawha50,95362.8528,56535.241,5501.9122,38827.6281,068
Lewis5,73677.461,43119.322383.214,30558.147,405
Lincoln5,77075.731,66321.831862.444,10753.907,619
Logan9,81079.712,26618.412311.887,54461.3012,307
Marion16,72266.017,62630.109853.899,09635.9125,333
Marshall10,65577.122,91321.082491.807,74256.0313,817
Mason8,42176.062,33321.073172.866,08854.9911,071
McDowell4,53975.441,36322.651151.913,17652.786,017
Mercer18,74076.485,26921.504942.0213,47154.9824,503
Mineral9,83077.952,30818.304723.747,52259.6512,610
Mingo7,76181.571,52516.032282.406,23665.549,514
Monongalia22,14053.3717,86343.061,4833.574,27710.3141,486
Monroe4,90177.341,30520.591312.073,59656.746,337
Morgan6,50476.301,79721.082232.624,70755.228,524
Nicholas7,97676.692,21421.292102.025,76255.4010,400
Ohio13,37368.075,90530.063681.877,46838.0119,646
Pendleton2,84079.1567718.87711.982,16360.283,588
Pleasants2,62877.7363418.751193.521,99458.983,381
Pocahontas2,70770.261,03426.841122.911,67343.423,853
Preston9,95369.712,66418.661,66011.637,28951.0514,277
Putnam20,81273.786,78424.056132.1714,02849.7328,209
Raleigh23,70873.028,20125.265611.7315,50747.7632,470
Randolph8,87373.912,86823.892652.216,00550.0212,006
Ritchie3,47483.4956913.671182.842,90569.814,161
Roane4,26075.001,30222.921182.082,95852.085,680
Summers3,83970.861,46727.081122.072,37243.785,418
Taylor5,40273.951,58221.663214.393,82052.297,305
Tucker2,70671.3885422.532316.091,85248.853,791
Tyler3,09580.6661215.951303.392,48364.713,837
Upshur7,78877.481,95319.433103.085,83558.0510,051
Wayne12,04873.803,89523.863832.358,15349.9416,326
Webster2,58578.8461318.69812.471,97260.143,279
Wetzel4,81174.121,44122.202393.683,37051.926,491
Wirt2,11681.3242616.37602.311,69064.952,602
Wood27,73372.759,35924.551,0312.7018,37448.2038,123
Wyoming6,57380.081,48918.141461.785,08461.948,208
Totals547,45470.28210,30927.0021,1552.72337,14543.28778,918

By congressional district

[edit]

Moore Capito won all three congressional districts.[53]

DistrictMoore CapitoJean SwearenginRepresentative
1st70%27%David McKinley
2nd69%29%Alex Mooney
3rd73%25%Carol Miller

Notes

[edit]

Partisan clients

  1. ^Poll sponsored by Save My Care

Voter samples and additional candidates

  1. ^abKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

[edit]
  1. ^Thomas, Alex (January 29, 2020)."Governor, US Senate seats up in this year's election".
  2. ^Barker, Tyler (October 8, 2019)."Conservative Challenging Shelley Moore Capito For Senate".WOAY TV - ABC. Archived fromthe original on October 9, 2019. RetrievedOctober 9, 2019.
  3. ^ab"2020 Candidates".maggieslist.org.
  4. ^"U.S. SENATOR - REP".Secretary of State of West Virginia. RetrievedJune 9, 2020.
  5. ^ab"West Virginia U.S. Senate Primary Election Results".The New York Times. June 9, 2020.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedJune 10, 2020.
  6. ^"What Are The Knock Down The House Candidates Doing In 2019?".Bustle. RetrievedJune 4, 2019.
  7. ^Staff, WSAZ News (June 10, 2020)."U.S. Senate Candidate Paula Jean Swearengin wins W.Va. Democratic primary".www.wsaz.com. RetrievedJune 10, 2020.
  8. ^Ojeda, Richard (January 13, 2020)."To the People of West Virginia".
  9. ^Pathe, Simone (January 13, 2020)."West Virginia's Richard Ojeda is back, this time running for Senate". Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on January 15, 2020. RetrievedJanuary 13, 2020.
  10. ^Adams, Steven Allen (January 27, 2020)."Warner: Filings go smoothly on final day".The Inter-Mountain. RetrievedJanuary 27, 2020.
  11. ^abSingiser, Steve."Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?".Daily Kos. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2019.
  12. ^"Paula Jean Swearengin".Brand New Congress. May 28, 2020. Archived fromthe original on October 23, 2019. RetrievedOctober 23, 2019.
  13. ^"Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".Sierra Club.
  14. ^"U.S. SENATOR - DEM".Secretary of State of West Virginia. RetrievedJune 9, 2020.
  15. ^ab"WV SOS - Elections - Candidate - Online Data Services".services.sos.wv.gov. Archived fromthe original on August 17, 2020. RetrievedAugust 17, 2020.
  16. ^Zuckerman, Jake (August 7, 2019)."Swearengin announces US Senate run as Democrat".WV Gazette Mail. RetrievedMay 15, 2020.
  17. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  18. ^"2020 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  19. ^"2020 Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedMarch 12, 2021.
  20. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  21. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  22. ^"Battle for the Senate 2020".RCP. October 23, 2020.
  23. ^"2020 Senate Elections Model".Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2020.
  24. ^Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020)."Forecasting the race for the Senate".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on September 18, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2020.
  25. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. November 2, 2020. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  26. ^Thomas, Alex (September 7, 2020)."Annual UMWA picnic goes virtual, but remains opportunity for candidates".
  27. ^Thomas, Alex (September 10, 2020)."US Chamber of Commerce endorses Capito as senator seeks second term".
  28. ^"Gazette-Mail endorses Capito for US Senate". October 6, 2020.
  29. ^"Editorial: Capito is best choice for U.S. Senate".The Herald-Dispatch. October 6, 2020.
  30. ^@paulajean2020 (October 10, 2020)."Tonight at 7pm EST, join me and US Senator @EdMarkey at the #UniteOurFight rally. I'm so excited to stand beside Senator Markey in DC to fight for the everyday folks all across our nation. Let's end political dynasties and take our power back! Heart decoration http://pjwv.cc/rally" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  31. ^"Swearengin receives Sanders endorsement". July 9, 2020.
  32. ^Grace Meng [@Grace4NY] (September 10, 2020)."Grace Meng: I'm with @paulajean2020! Join us!" (Tweet). Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  33. ^Charles Booker [@Booker4KY] (September 30, 2020)."Charles Booker:@paulajean2020 is a coal miner's daughter running for a Green New Deal in West Virginia so we can get a just transition for workers who've been left behind by industry and our politicians. She is a champion for the people, and we need her in the Senate!" (Tweet). Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  34. ^Richard Ojeda [@Ojeda4America] (June 30, 2020)."Richard Ojeda: I'm giving my full support to Paula Jean Swearingin" (Tweet). Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  35. ^Charlotte Pritt [@betterbalance2] (August 25, 2020)."Charlotte Pritt: Yes! This coal miner's daughter is with you all the way" (Tweet). Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  36. ^Paula Jean Swearengin [@paulajean2020] (August 26, 2020)."Paula Jean Swearengin:Thank you for your endorsement @ninaturner! I'm honored to have your support" (Tweet). Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  37. ^Cori Bush [@CoriBush] (August 21, 2020)."Cori Bush:Paula Jean Swearengin is my sister from Knock Down the House, and while we came up short in 2018, in 2020 we are both demonstrating that this is our moment to make history" (Tweet). Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  38. ^Marianne Williamson [@marwilliamson] (July 14, 2020)."Marianne Williamson:Let's help elect @paulajean2020 to the Senate in West Virginia" (Tweet). Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  39. ^Paula Jean Swearengin [@paulajean2020] (August 28, 2020)."Swearengin:Thank you @AndrewYang for your endorsement!" (Tweet). Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  40. ^Paula Jean Swearengin [@paulajean2020] (September 1, 2020)."Swearengin:Thank you so much, @RWDSU Local 21! I'm honored to stand beside you all and will always vote to protect your rights" (Tweet). Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  41. ^"Endorsements".350 Action.
  42. ^Brand New Congress."Mother and Community Activist Paula Jean Swearengin for U.S. Senate, West Virginia". Archived fromthe original on October 23, 2019. RetrievedOctober 23, 2019.
  43. ^"2020 Endorsements".
  44. ^"Candidate Endorsements • Friends of the Earth Action".Friends of the Earth Action. August 25, 2017.
  45. ^"2020 Endorsements".PDAmerica. Archived fromthe original on May 20, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 24, 2020.
  46. ^"Sierra Club Voter Guide: Endorsements".Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide. July 16, 2012.
  47. ^Golshan, Tara (September 10, 2020)."Sunrise Movement Unveils 2020 Endorsements To Defeat Climate Change Deniers".HuffPost. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2020.
  48. ^"WV Working Families Endorses Paula Jean Swearengin".Paula Jean Swearengin. July 27, 2020.
  49. ^"Swearengin for Senate". September 14, 2020.
  50. ^Research America Inc.
  51. ^Public Policy Polling (D)
  52. ^"November 3, 2020 General Election - Official Results".West Virginia State - Clarity Elections. RetrievedNovember 30, 2020.
  53. ^https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::8011bcb2-469b-4546-a6b8-27259586d5a3

External links

[edit]

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