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2020 United States Senate election in Oregon

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States Senate election in Oregon
← 2014
November 3, 2020
2026 →
 
NomineeJeff MerkleyJo Rae Perkins
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote1,321,047912,814
Percentage56.91%39.32%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Merkley:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80–90%     >90%
Perkins:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
U.S. senator before election

Jeff Merkley
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Jeff Merkley
Democratic

Elections in Oregon
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The2020 United States Senate election in Oregon was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of Oregon, concurrently with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate,elections to theUnited States House of Representatives, and variousstate and local elections.

IncumbentDemocratic senatorJeff Merkley won reelection to a third term in office. Although this Senate seat was largely expected to be one of the safest for the Democrats, the race received national attention due to theRepublican nomineeJo Rae Perkins's promotion of the unfoundedQAnon conspiracy theory. Furthermore, Perkins flipped five counties that Merkley had won in 2014 (though only by pluralities in the cases ofJackson,Polk andYamhill).[1] That said, Merkley overperformed DemocratJoe Biden in theconcurrent presidential election by about a point and a half.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Michael David, activist and ethnographer[4]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jeff Merkley

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJeff Merkley (incumbent)564,87898.71%
DemocraticWrite-in7,3861.29%
Total votes572,264100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jo Rae Perkins

State representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Rae Perkins—50–60%
  Rae Perkins—40–50%
Republican primary results[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJo Rae Perkins178,00449.23%
RepublicanPaul J. Romero, Jr.109,78330.36%
RepublicanRobert Schwartz40,19611.12%
RepublicanJohn Verbeek29,3828.13%
RepublicanWrite-in4,2501.17%
Total votes361,615100.0%

Other candidates

[edit]

Pacific Green Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ibra Taher

Individuals

Organizations

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Gary Dye, former refinery operator and engineer[28][29][3]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[30]Solid DOctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections[31]Safe DOctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32]Safe DNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos[33]Safe DOctober 30, 2020
Politico[34]Safe DNovember 2, 2020
RCP[35]Safe DOctober 23, 2020
DDHQ[36]Safe DNovember 3, 2020
538[37]Safe DNovember 2, 2020
Economist[38]Safe DNovember 2, 2020

Additional general election endorsements

[edit]
Jeff Merkley (D)

Organizations

Unions

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Jeff
Merkley (D)		Jo Rae
Perkins (R)		OtherUndecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos[58]September 26–29, 2020944 (LV)± 3.5%55%35%5%[b]5%

Results

[edit]
2020 United States Senate election in Oregon[59]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticJeff Merkley (incumbent)1,321,04756.91%+1.18%
RepublicanJo Rae Perkins912,81439.32%+2.45%
LibertarianGary Dye42,7471.84%−1.23%
Pacific GreenIbrahim Taher42,2391.82%−0.40%
Write-in2,4020.11%-0.34%
Total votes2,321,249100.0%
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountyJeff Merkley
Democratic		Jo Rae Perkins
Republican		Gary Dye
Libertarian		Ibrahim Taher
Pacific Green		Write-inMarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Baker2,63327.016,86370.391761.81710.7370.07-4,230-43.389,750
Benton35,02167.2914,81128.461,0412.001,1182.15520.1020,21038.8352,043
Clackamas134,81353.79106,83842.634,7671.903,9951.592270.0927,97511.16250,640
Clatsop13,05255.489,62340.914381.863911.66200.093,42914.5823,524
Columbia14,37545.4415,94850.417672.425071.60400.13-1,573-4.9731,637
Coos14,88541.2320,05155.536761.874701.30240.07-5,166-14.3136,106
Crook4,13327.2910,62870.172501.651180.78170.11-6,495-42.8815,146
Curry6,17042.247,99354.722681.831701.1670.05-1,823-12.4814,608
Deschutes65,26453.1953,28543.432,2441.831,7691.441280.1011,9799.76122,690
Douglas20,70733.0340,03663.871,2171.946601.05650.10-19,329-30.8462,685
Gilliam37331.9676565.55181.5480.6930.26-392-33.591,167
Grant1,11924.803,27372.52891.97270.6050.11-2,154-47.734,513
Harney1,05524.103,21373.41651.49380.8760.14-2,158-49.304,377
Hood River8,61966.893,82129.652291.782091.6270.054,79837.2412,885
Jackson59,09347.5461,01049.082,2171.781,9011.53820.07-1,917-1.54124,303
Jefferson4,59139.076,81057.952061.751301.11150.13-2,219-18.8811,752
Josephine18,69737.2329,68559.109861.967891.57680.14-10,988-21.8850,225
Klamath11,23731.2323,57965.537021.954351.21290.08-12,342-34.3035,982
Lake90821.293,26176.46631.48290.6840.09-2,353-55.174,265
Lane133,03361.2675,55034.793,8421.774,4972.072360.1157,48326.47217,158
Lincoln17,48557.8811,62838.495461.815241.73250.085,85719.3930,208
Linn27,04838.2940,80157.761,6182.291,0791.53980.14-13,753-19.4770,644
Malheur3,35328.927,88267.972301.981241.0770.06-4,529-39.0611,596
Marion79,99049.3775,90846.853,2211.992,6831.662120.134,0822.52162,014
Morrow1,55830.943,32466.021092.16410.8130.06-1,766-35.075,035
Multnomah356,87078.5378,67317.316,7751.4911,6692.574310.09278,19761.22454,418
Polk22,89348.1622,93148.249281.957251.53540.11-38-0.0847,531
Sherman30225.6184571.67262.2160.5100.00-543-46.061,179
Tillamook8,32650.197,76846.832701.632131.28120.075583.3616,589
Umatilla11,25334.9519,87661.746962.163391.05300.09-8,623-26.7832,194
Union4,54531.129,67466.242301.571450.99110.08-5,129-35.1214,605
Wallowa1,70233.563,26764.43651.28370.7300.00-1,565-30.865,071
Wasco6,71648.676,57247.632902.102081.51130.091441.0413,799
Washington202,07364.6497,79931.286,1311.966,2061.994090.13104,27433.36312,618
Wheeler26228.1164669.31161.7280.8600.00-384-41.20932
Yamhill26,89346.8828,17749.121,3352.339001.57550.10-1,284-2.2457,360
Totals1,321,04756.91912,81439.3242,7471.8442,2391.822,4020.10408,23317.592,321,249

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Merkley won four of five congressional districts.[60]

DistrictMerkleyPerkinsRepresentative
1st62%34%Suzanne Bonamici
2nd43%53%Cliff Bentz
3rd73%22%Earl Blumenauer
4th52%44%Peter DeFazio
5th53%43%Kurt Schrader

Notes

[edit]

General

  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Dye (L) and Taher (G) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%

References

[edit]
  1. ^Baker, Mike (May 20, 2020)."G.O.P. Voters Back QAnon Conspiracy Promoter for U.S. Senate".The New York Times. RetrievedJune 14, 2020.
  2. ^Sullivan, Sean (March 5, 2019)."Sen. Jeff Merkley opts out of Democratic presidential contest and will run for reelection to Oregon seat".The Washington Post. RetrievedMarch 5, 2019.
  3. ^abc"Oregon 2020 Senate Candidate List".secure.sos.state.or.us. Oregon Secretary of State. July 17, 2020. RetrievedAugust 26, 2020.
  4. ^"Candidate Information: Michael David". Oregon Secretary of State: Elections Division. February 28, 2020. RetrievedMarch 10, 2020.
  5. ^"2020 State of Oregon Primary Candidate Recommendations".Stateweb. February 28, 2020.
  6. ^"Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World".Council for a Livable World.
  7. ^"Our Candidates".Democracy for America. RetrievedMay 1, 2020.
  8. ^Acosta, Lucas (March 2, 2020)."HRC Endorses Sen. Jeff Merkley for Reelection".Human Rights Campaign. Archived fromthe original on August 3, 2020. RetrievedMay 4, 2020.
  9. ^Society, Humane."2020 Endorsements".Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  10. ^Burke, Holly (June 27, 2019)."LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Jeff Merkley for Re-Election".League of Conservation Voters.
  11. ^"NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR) for Re-election".NARAL Pro-Choice America. April 24, 2019.
  12. ^"OEA-PAC | Oregon Education Association".oregoned.org. RetrievedAugust 18, 2024.
  13. ^"2020 Primary Endorsements".OLCV.
  14. ^"2020 Election – SEIU Oregon State Council". Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2020. RetrievedMay 9, 2020.
  15. ^"Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".Sierra Club.
  16. ^ab"May 19, 2020, Primary Election Abstract of Votes"(PDF).Oregon Secretary of State. May 19, 2020. RetrievedAugust 26, 2020.
  17. ^"Candidate Information: Jo Rae Perkins". Oregon Secretary of State: Elections Division. January 17, 2020. RetrievedJanuary 20, 2020.
  18. ^"Believer in QAnon conspiracy theory wins Republican Senate nomination in Oregon".The Washington Post. May 20, 2020. RetrievedMay 20, 2020."Where we go one, we go all," Perkins said in the video, reciting a QAnon slogan. "I stand with President Trump. I stand with Q and the team. Thank you Anons, and thank you patriots. And together, we can save our republic."
  19. ^Cegavske, Carisa (September 20, 2019)."Roseburg Republican seeks senate seat held by Democrat Jeff Merkley".The News-Review. RetrievedJanuary 5, 2020.
  20. ^"Oregon Secretary Of State".secure.sos.state.or.us. RetrievedOctober 29, 2019.
  21. ^"Candidate Information: John Verbeek". Oregon Secretary of State: Elections Division. March 6, 2020. RetrievedMarch 9, 2020.
  22. ^"FILING FEC-1380922".FEC. February 7, 2020. RetrievedMay 15, 2020.
  23. ^"44 changes to the candidate list".The Green Papers. March 12, 2020. Archived fromthe original on June 4, 2020. RetrievedMay 15, 2020.
  24. ^Warner, Gary (December 29, 2018)."After losing race for governor, Buehler plans his future".The Bulletin. RetrievedAugust 15, 2019.
  25. ^abcd"Endorsements". Perkins for Senate. Archived fromthe original on June 25, 2020. RetrievedApril 14, 2020.
  26. ^"Our Coordinating Committee".Pacific Green Party Standard. RetrievedJune 28, 2020.
  27. ^abcde"Endorsements".Ibrahim Taher. June 24, 2020.
  28. ^"Gary Dye".Ballotpedia. RetrievedAugust 25, 2020.
  29. ^"Official website of the Libertarian Party of Oregon".Libertarian Party of Oregon. August 14, 2020. Archived fromthe original on August 17, 2020. RetrievedAugust 25, 2020.
  30. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  31. ^"2020 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  32. ^"2020 Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedMarch 12, 2021.
  33. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  34. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  35. ^"Battle for the Senate 2020".RCP. October 23, 2020.
  36. ^"2020 Senate Elections Model".Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2020.
  37. ^Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020)."Forecasting the race for the Senate".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on September 18, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2020.
  38. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. November 2, 2020. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  39. ^"350 Action Endorses Kara Eastman (NE-02) and Jeff Merkley for Congress in 2020".350action.org. December 17, 2019.
  40. ^Klein, Howie (May 12, 2019)."Blue America's Mothers' Day Senate Endorsement: Jeff Merkley".Blue America.
  41. ^"2020 Endorsements". RetrievedAugust 18, 2024.
  42. ^"DUH/PEP website".duh4all.org. Archived fromthe original on August 9, 2020. RetrievedMay 9, 2020.
  43. ^Muller, Tiffany (April 25, 2019)."End Citizens United Endorses Senator Jeff Merkley for Re-election".End Citizens United.
  44. ^"Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Senator Jeff Merkley For U.S. Senate".Everytown. June 30, 2020.
  45. ^"JStreetPAC Candidates".JStreetPAC. Archived fromthe original on May 2, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2020.
  46. ^"Meet the 2020 Candidates".Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.[permanent dead link]
  47. ^"Our Candidates".MoveOn.org.
  48. ^"Candidates We Endorse and Support".NCPSSM.
  49. ^"2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC".nowpac.org.
  50. ^"Six Environmental Champions Win NRDC Action Fund Endorsements".www.nrdcactionfund.org. May 18, 2020.
  51. ^"PeaceVoter 2020 Endorsements".Peace Action. Archived fromthe original on March 20, 2020. RetrievedMay 9, 2020.
  52. ^"2020 Endorsements".plannedparenthoodaction.org. Archived fromthe original on April 12, 2020. RetrievedMay 8, 2020.
  53. ^"Endorsements".ppaoregon.org.
  54. ^"2020 Endorsements".Population Connection. Archived fromthe original on September 18, 2020. RetrievedMay 9, 2020.
  55. ^"U.S. Senate - Education Votes".educationvotes.nea.org.
  56. ^"2020 OREGON AFL-CIO ENDORSEMENTS".Oregon AFL-CIO. March 6, 2020.
  57. ^"Oregon – Official UAW Endorsements".uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  58. ^Civiqs/Daily Kos
  59. ^"November 3, 2020, General Election Abstract of Votes"(PDF).Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 3, 2020.
  60. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 18, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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